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Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/28/2025Gold acted as predicted yesterday. Since the trendline was broken, it did rejected from 3350 and broke 3322. Currently it is above 3300. I am looking to sell from either 3305 or 3322 resistance. If selling from 3305, 1st target is 3287. If selling from 3322, 1st target is 3305. My ultimate target for today is 3267. Bear in mind that weekly and monthly gold is still bullish. It can reverse from 3287 and regain bullish power. If 3327 is broken, the setup above is invalidated.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by SteadyFund
USOIL MONTHLYUSOIL,oil is on a demand floor and will continue to upswing into 70-69 dollar zone ,am holding oil buy till 70$ per barrel at 70$ zon,e buyers will face supply roof ,a critical make or break zone ,if they break the structure ,oil will fly higher and if they respect the supply roof, we sell on the fundamentals of a broken SR/RS RULE..35$ zone will be watched in a bearish scenario. Relationship Between US Oil Prices (USOIL), Bond Yields, and Interest Rates 1. General Correlation Between Oil Prices and Bond Yields Over recent years, US crude oil prices and 10-year US Treasury bond yields have shown a strong positive correlation, often moving in tandem. When oil prices rise, it typically signals stronger economic activity and higher inflation expectations, which tend to push bond yields higher as investors demand greater compensation for inflation risk and growth prospects. Conversely, falling oil prices often correlate with lower bond yields due to expectations of weaker growth and reduced inflationary pressure. 2. Oil Prices Leading Bond Yield Movements Short-term trend changes in crude oil prices often lead changes in bond yields by a few weeks, meaning oil price movements can be a useful indicator for bond market trends. For example, a sustained rise in oil prices due to supply constraints or geopolitical tensions often precedes an increase in Treasury yields. 3. Recent Divergences and Market Dynamics Recently, the usual positive relationship between oil prices and bond yields has broken down temporarily, reflecting unusual market conditions such as US fiscal uncertainties and changing safe-haven dynamics. For instance, oil prices dropped due to expectations of increased production, while US bond yields increased following economic data releases, showing a temporary divergence. 4. Impact of Oil Prices on Interest Rates and Inflation Expectations Rising oil prices contribute to higher inflation expectations, which in turn can lead to higher nominal bond yields as investors seek compensation for inflation risk. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve, may respond to sustained high oil prices and inflation by maintaining or raising interest rates, which also pushes bond yields higher. Conversely, falling oil prices can act as a disinflationary force, potentially easing pressure on interest rates and bond yields, though recent market behavior shows this effect can be muted by other factors. 5. Economic Implications Higher oil prices combined with rising bond yields and a strengthening dollar can act as a "tax" on the US economy, potentially slowing growth and increasing recession risks. The interplay of oil prices and bond yields is a key factor in assessing the economic outlook, inflation trajectory, and monetary policy stance. Summary Table Factor Relationship / Impact Oil Price ↑ Bond yields ↑ (due to inflation & growth expectations) Oil Price ↓ Bond yields ↓ (due to lower inflation & growth fears) Oil price trend leads bond yields Oil price changes precede bond yield changes by weeks Recent divergence Temporary breakdown due to fiscal concerns, policy uncertainty Inflation expectations Higher oil → higher inflation expectations → higher yields Economic growth impact Higher oil + yields = economic headwind (stagflation risk) Conclusion The relationship between US oil prices (USOIL) and bond yields is generally positive and significant, with oil price movements often leading bond yield trends. Rising oil prices tend to push bond yields and interest rates higher through increased inflation expectations and stronger economic activity signals. However, recent market conditions have caused some temporary divergences due to fiscal uncertainties and changing safe-haven demand. Monitoring oil prices is crucial for anticipating bond market movements and understanding the broader macroeconomic environment. #usoil #dollar #oil
FX:USOILShort
by Shavyfxhub
Gold Falls as Expected — Bearish Structure HoldsAfter today’s market open, gold entered the 3346–3358 resistance zone, but failed to maintain upward momentum. As expected from yesterday’s analysis, the bearish pattern remained intact, and price turned lower. 🔔 Congrats to those who followed the plan — another profitable move locked in! 🔍 Current Market Outlook: ✅ Trend remains bearish, technicals do not currently support a bullish case; ✅ Key support zones: First support: near 3306 Major zone: 3290–3280 Extended support: around 3260 📌 We’ll continue to focus on short setups as long as the bearish structure holds. ⚠️ Key Reminders: The market won’t fall in a straight line — watch for temporary rebounds; During rebounds, pay attention to support/resistance flips; Be ready to adjust your strategy if the trend shifts! 📍 Important resistance levels: 3346–3338 3324–3318 (This has been highlighted multiple times — don’t ignore it.) ✅ Stick to the plan, adapt to the trend, and manage risk like a pro — that’s the key to consistent profits.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Arthur3017
SILVER (XAGUSD) BUY TRADE PLANXAG/USD – Silver vs USD Buy Entry: $33.25-35 📋 Plan Overview Table Type Direction Confidence R:R Status Swing Long 70% 2.7:1 Active Trade 📈 Market Bias & Type Market Bias: Bullish to Neutral Type: Continuation from breakout support 🔰 Confidence Level Confidence: 70% Breakdown: Technical Structure: ✅ Bullish channel holding Volume Pickup: ✅ Moderate confidence Macro Sentiment: ⚠️ Mixed USD signals Daily candle: ✅ Higher low formed Overhead Resistance: ⚠️ Still present near $34.50 📍 Entry Zone ✅ EntRY at $33.25-35, which is within the recent demand bounce zone (between $33.10–$33.40) ❗ Stop Loss (Dynamic) Primary SL: $32.60 (below recent swing low) Alternative SL (tight): $32.90 (below previous candle low if managing tighter risk) Reasoning: Clean invalidation below $32.60 would break the current bullish structure. 🎯 TP Targets Take Profit Level Reason TP1 $33.95 Mid-range resistance zone TP2 $34.60 Previous top + psychological resistance TP3 $35.30 March swing high zone 🧠 Management Strategy Move to Breakeven at $33.70 (just before TP1) Scale out 50% at TP1, trail stop for remainder Tighten stop near $33.00 if candle closes bearish on H4 Watch DXY – USD strength could pause momentum ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist ✅ Price bounced from H4 demand ✅ Daily candle higher low ⚠️ Still under resistance at $34.00 ✅ Volume showing re-engagement ✅ No bearish engulfing yet on D1 ⏳ Validity Plan Valid for 48–72 hours (Swing) ❌ Invalidation Conditions Close below $32.60 on 4H or Daily timeframe Break of bullish structure with strong volume sell-off 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot USD: Mixed due to Fed ambiguity on rates Silver Demand: Steady amid China stimulus & global inflation risks COT Data: Funds still net long but slightly trimmed positions Risk Sentiment: Gold + Silver recovering alongside equities 📋 Final Trade Summary We have a solid long at $33.35. Hold with SL at $32.60. First resistance at $33.95. If price breaks above that zone, $34.60–$35.30 remains on the table. Consider trailing your stop after TP1 and letting partials run.
ICMARKETS:XAGUSDLong
by jibkhan111
GOLD/USD – Bearish Continuation or Support Reversal? Description: The price of Gold (XAU/USD) broke out of a falling wedge but failed to sustain the bullish momentum and dropped sharply. Currently, it's consolidating just above the key support zone around 3290. A trade setup is visible with a tight stop-loss above 3310 and a target near 3254 or lower. If the support breaks, we could see further downside continuation. However, strong buyer volume at this level could indicate a potential reversal. Keep an eye on volume and candlestick confirmation for direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
XAUUSD Bounce Underway – Can Bulls Reclaim 3,363 Zone ?Gold is attempting a rebound after finding support near the 3,286.78 🔽 level, following a sharp pullback from the 3,363.46 🔼 resistance. The structure remains bullish on the higher timeframe, but recent weakness has created a short-term lower high. Price is currently caught between the 3,323.93 🔼 and 3,286.78 🔽 levels, forming a short-term range. Support at: 3,286.78 🔽, 3,246.06 🔽, 3,208.11 🔽, 3,162.25 🔽 Resistance at: 3,323.93 🔼, 3,363.46 🔼, 3,432.64 🔼 🔎 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: A break and hold above 3,323.93 could open the path for another test of the 3,363.46 level and possibly higher. 🔽 Bearish: Failure to reclaim 3,323.93 and a drop below 3,286.78 may shift momentum further downward, targeting 3,246.06 or lower. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by SPOT_FX
1
3278-3320 key position is mainly high sell low buyAt present, gold rebounded after falling back to 3287, and fluctuated around 3300 in the short term. Pay attention to the support area of ​​3278-3283 below. If it does not break this area, you can still try to go long in the short term. After all, from a technical point of view, the decline during the day is a correction and adjustment to the previous rise. From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term focus is on the suppression of the 3316-3320 area, and the lower focus is on the support of 3278-3283. In terms of operation ideas, continue to maintain the interval strategy of "high-altitude and low-multiple", rely on key positions to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for effective signals before entering the market. If the structure or rhythm of the market changes, the strategy will be adjusted in time and notified separately.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
2
XAUUSD:Long trading ideas On the whole, the easing of the trade end further reduces risk aversion, and the geopolitical situation supports the normalization. It is expected that gold will maintain a volatile pattern in the short term, and bullish in the medium and long term. Below the strong support near 3288, back to step into the market can be more than a single rebound. (Those who hold long orders can add long positions at this position), the upper short target is 3320-25, then 3360. So the trading strategy :BUY@3288-94 TP@3320-25 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
TVC:GOLDLong
by Boooob_
Gold analysis layout!This wave of gold decline has returned to the channel, and the price has broken the upward trend line support. Has the trend turned bearish? No, according to our analysis, after the price broke the 3322-3324 support line, it will be sideways around the 3370-3380 support line, and the market will turn to shock, waiting to accumulate momentum for another upward attack. Gold is moving according to our expected analysis, and the market is also expected to move here, so we still maintain this view. There is a high probability that the direction of the European session will continue, so the European session has fallen and weakened, and the rebound continues to be bearish and sees a second decline. Focus on the 3320 pressure line, the watershed 3328, and the support below is 3270-3280. If it touches, consider buying more at a low price and see a rebound.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by OttoSandy
1
Gold - Unexpected Correction on the Horizon?Gold has had a tremendous run over the past two years and as it burst to 3,400 before backing off, I'm feeling that the consensus for a sure trip to 5,000 is beginning to get too prevalent. Can't lose sight of the fact that we have completed a five wave impulse and needed to correct. The only question is have we already corrected and now are on the path to higher highs? Or are we completing a B wave and are setting up for a trip down to complete the C wave. I like the latter option for the moment, so much so that I took profits on many of my gold miner stocks in anticipation of perhaps an opportunity to pick them back up at much lower prices. Still maintaining physicals and will add should prices retrace sufficiently.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AssetDesign
Maintain weak adjustment and continue to sell at high prices Gold has been making history this year. Both long and short positions have reached their peak, especially after entering April, this trend has become crazy; the rare market of $100 rise and fall in a single day in the past has now become commonplace, and the intraday V-shaped reversal and inverted V trend have become the norm! The fluctuation in one day is greater than that in the past month, and the 15-minute chart is equivalent to the previous daily line! The super-invincible sweep of gold will continue to be staged, mainly determined by the current fundamentals! Against the background of tariff wars, geopolitical situations, central bank gold purchases, de-dollarization, uncertainty in the Fed's policies, and global economic recession, investors are enthusiastic, speculative funds follow suit, and spot gold soars and plummets have become commonplace, and more and more! In the future, for a long period of time, gold is likely to repeatedly sweep between 3400-3100 or 2950-3500, and then seek a large range breakthrough! Buying, selling, everything is fine, as long as there are sufficient reasons, don't resist orders, control positions; as long as there is no loss, it is easy to make a lot of money. The market fluctuates greatly. If the profit does not exceed 20-30 US dollars, do not consider selling, otherwise it will waste a good market; the profit can be as low as 20-30 US dollars, as high as 50-70 US dollars, and it is not difficult to make a profit of more than 100 US dollars if the position is good! Gold rose in a wash-out manner last week. Our main idea is to fill the gap on May 12. Although there were twists and turns during the week, the bulls finally stabilized the situation and successfully rose sharply. Last week, gold was mainly affected by tariff news, especially the collapse of the European and American tariff talks on Friday, and Trump's 90-day window period. Risk aversion pushed gold to rise sharply, and the weekly line closed with a big positive line. At present, there is still room for bulls to rise. As for the mid-line, we have said in the opening article that we will continue the super sweep next; therefore, while we are bullish this week, we will pay attention to the high and fall. After gold fell to the 3120 area, we have insisted on being bullish until now. Next, we need to change our thinking and focus on the bearish after the week's rise. Fundamentals: The EU plans to "fast-track" trade negotiations with the United States to avoid a transatlantic "trade war", indicating that the two sides will adopt a more friendly attitude. Just a few days ago, Trump criticized the EU for delaying the negotiation process. An EU spokesman said that in the negotiations with the United States, the EU's "zero tariffs against zero tariffs" proposal is still on the negotiating table; it is reported that the EU has planned to speed up negotiations with the United States. The tariff news is talk and fight, fight and talk, and the market is jumping up and down! Iran said that it is fully prepared to strike Israel appropriately. It will not accept the practice of suspending uranium enrichment to ensure a nuclear agreement with the United States. Germany's Merz said that Western countries have lifted the range restrictions on weapons aid to Ukraine. Yesterday's slight fluctuations, the lower shadow of the daily line, belong to the downward recovery, and there is a possibility of breaking up today; however, there has been a wave of highs and falls in the Asian session recently, so if you consider breaking up first in the Asian session, you will follow the trend. From the price point of view, the focus of the day is the pressure of 3353-3357 area. Adjustment is expected below. If it breaks through, the high point of last week, 3365, is likely to be broken, and then further 3380-3400-3415 area. Pay attention to the trend support since 3120 below, which is the key for the day, and then yesterday's low area, 3320-3325 and last Friday's low area, 3385-3390. In terms of operation, short first when the Asian session rises, and follow the trend to go long when the resistance is broken. Refer to the support and resistance to formulate strategies. In general: the short-term price is still volatile. The main focus of the day is 3329-3320. Falling below 3320 means that the price will fall back and repair. Currently, pay attention to the support of 3328-29. What we need to pay attention to above is the high point break of 3356 and 3365. Now the idea of ​​the US market, the current high-altitude strategy is still valid. Pay attention to the opportunity of 3323 resistance not breaking during the day. The key support below is 3289-3286.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FredericaCrichton
1
Gold plunged again! The bears will continue! Today, gold has returned to the channel again after this wave of decline. The price broke the upward trend line support. Has the trend turned bearish? No, according to my analysis yesterday, after the price broke the 3322-3324 support line, it was around the 3370-3380 support line. The market turned to shocks and waited for the momentum to rise again. Today, gold is moving according to our expected analysis. The market is also expected to go here, so this view remains unchanged. So for today's US market, the probability of continuing the direction of the European market is very high, and the morning market is often less continuous and cannot be used as a reference. Therefore, the European market fell and weakened, and the US market rebounded and continued to look for a second decline. Focus on the 3320 line pressure, the watershed 3328, and the support below is 3270-3280. If it is touched, consider low and long to see a rebound.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FredericaCrichton