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(XAU/USD) Gold AnalysisHello Dear traders! Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts in comment section (XAU/USD) price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, showing an ascending channel pattern. From a technical analysis perspective, the price is moving within this upward channel, indicating a bullish trend. The suggestion here is to target potential profit levels at TP 2717 and TP 2760. The stop loss is set below the current level to manage risk if the market moves against expectations. From a fundamental analysis standpoint, factors such as macroeconomic indicators, interest rates, geopolitical events and currency fluctuations can influence gold prices. Investors may consider these elements alongside technical signals to make informed trading decisionsOverall, traders are encouraged to take a position on gold within this technical setup while considering fundamental influences that may impact future price movements. NOTE: This Ananlysis For educational purposes only not a trading advice
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by NicolusFrank
NASDAQ After Trump's Inauguration 25.01.21Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Monday’s Briefing Results Chart: Buy Position: A breakout above the high occurred 45 minutes before the U.S. session opened, reaching the buy-entry zone at 21682.5. While the target of 21812 was not achieved, the price increased by 95 points, generating approximately $1,900 in profit per contract. Sell Position: During the Asian session, after breaking the ascending trendline, a sell-entry opportunity emerged at the yellow box. Following the entry, the price dropped by 183 points, yielding approximately $3,660 in profit per contract. Total Results: Based on Monday’s briefing, a total profit of approximately $5,560 per contract was achieved. Daily Chart Analysis Chart: Due to Monday’s market closure, the daily candle for Monday has yet to close, and it will likely complete after Tuesday’s U.S. session. Key Observations: The sharp drop during the Asian session found support at the 20 EMA on the daily chart. The 20 EMA is currently at 21387, and whether this support holds will be crucial in determining the market’s direction. Bearish Scenario: If the 20 EMA fails to hold, traders should prepare for a potential trend reversal. Bullish Scenario: Resistance was observed at the green box, particularly near the January 7 bearish candle’s high. If Tuesday’s session closes above the 21806–21896.75 zone, it could signal a breakout above the supply zone and a trend reversal. A critical point for buyers is whether the current price action can engulf the large bearish candle with a bullish one. 15-Minute Chart Analysis Chart: Key Insights: During the Asian session’s sharp decline, the NASDAQ bounced off the upper boundary of the blue box supply zone. However, it broke the yellow box ascending trendline, leaving uncertainty about whether the current rebound is a dead cat bounce or a genuine reversal. The market may react strongly to the president’s inauguration speech and subsequent remarks, which could provide clear direction. Recommendation: At this point, trading either direction is a 50-50 probability. It’s advisable to wait for a clear breakout or breakdown before entering a trade. Today’s Trading Strategy Chart: Buy Strategy: Entry: Breakout above the yellow box high at 21779. Rationale: The sharp drop during the Asian session has broken the upward channel. A breakout above the high would confirm that bullish momentum has returned. Risk: The next resistance is close at 21812, and whether this level is broken will be crucial for further upside potential. Sell Strategy: Entry: Break below the ascending trendline, or Break below both the trendline and the Asian session low at 21377. Rationale: The rebound during the Asian session occurred near the 20 EMA on the perpetual contract, making a clear break below this level necessary to confirm a trend reversal. However, if the white box frame’s lower boundary isn’t completely breached, it’s difficult to confirm a full trend reversal. Risk: Support at the daily 20 EMA. Conclusion The NASDAQ remains in a delicate balance, with potential for movement in either direction: For buyers, the key focus is on breaking above 21779 and 21812 for a potential continuation of the uptrend. For sellers, watch for a break below the ascending trendline or 21377 to confirm a trend reversal. Stay patient, follow the levels closely, and trade strategically. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
Jan 21,2025 Gold IdeaTrading Strategy www.tradingview.com January 21, 2025 Gold held its ground above 2703–2706 USD/oz yesterday, leading to a breakout at 2711–2712 USD/oz during the Asian session. This bullish signal suggests favoring Buy trades for today. Key Levels Support Levels: 2711–2712 USD/oz 2703–2704 USD/oz Resistance Levels: 2733–2735 USD/oz 1. Buying Opportunities (Bullish Continuation): Enter Buy positions if the price stays above 2711–2712 USD/oz. Initial target: 2733–2735 USD/oz Extended target: 2749–2750 USD/oz Place a Stop Loss below 2708 USD/oz. 2. Pullback to Support Levels: If the price retraces to 2703–2704 USD/oz, look for a strong rebound to enter Buy positions. Target: 2711–2712 USD/oz and beyond. Set a Stop Loss below 2700 USD/oz. 3. Breakout Above Resistance: If the price breaks above 2735 USD/oz with strong momentum, consider additional Buy positions. Target: 2749–2750 USD/oz. Place a Stop Loss below 2730 USD/oz.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Tammy-trader
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisHello Dear Traders! share Your Thoughts In comments Section Thanks For Support In My Analysis Of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour Timeframe. Here's the Details: Technical Analysis 1. Trend and Channel: Gold is in a bullish trend, trading within an upward price channel Price recently tested the upper resistance of the channel (Point 3) and is now consolidating near a key resistance zone. 2. Key Levels: Resistance Levels: Around 2725–2745, marked as potential profit-taking zones (TP). Support Levels: Strong support near 2690–2700 aligns with the lower channel boundary and past consolidation zones. Major support around 2630–2650 in case of a deeper retracement. 3. Chart Pattern: A possible pullback to the support zone (2700) may occur before resuming the bullish trend toward the next targets (2725 and 2745). Fundamental Analysis 1. Market Sentiment: Gold's bullish momentum reflects a possible safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty or declining USD strength. Investors might also be positioning ahead of key economic data (e.g., inflation, central bank policies). 2. Key Drivers: If U.S. interest rates remain unchanged or expectations of cuts in increase, it could support further gains in Gold. Conversely, stronger U.S. economic data or hawkish central bank commentary might lead to a short-term correction. Outlook Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 2745 could open the door to further gains toward higher levels. Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold support at 2700 may trigger a correction toward 2650–2630. Gold Suggests a bullish bias, with a potential pullback to support before resuming the upward trend. NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by David_Josh_Trader
1
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 2,727.65, which is a pullback resistance near the 61.8% Fibonacci rprojection. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 2,696.87, aligning with a significant support level, marking a logical target for the trade. The stop loss is set at 2,762.20, above the recent swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish bias. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
My Analysis of XAU/USD: Upcoming Economic Data and Trading ideasAs gold (XAU/USD) hovers near the psychological level of $2,700.4, with a recent low at $2,698.4, market sentiment is critical. Recent price action shows signs of fading momentum, with buyers stepping in to stabilize prices around $2,700-03 at the end of the week. Supply and Demand Analysis Using a supply and demand approach, the following zones are significant: Demand Zone (PWH): Range: $2,694.87 to $2,700.4 Opportunity: A bounce from this zone could present a buying opportunity, as recent action suggests increased buying interest. Recent Low: Level: $2,698.4 Analysis: A break below this level may indicate increasing selling pressure; however, a reversal could reaffirm support. Supply Zone (EQH): Level: $2,714.365 Opportunity: If prices rally here, it may create a chance to short, especially if rejection signals appear. Trading Scenarios: Long Position: Entry: Around $2,700.4 Stop Loss: Below $2,694.87 Target: Near $2,714.365 or higher if bullish momentum continues. Short Position: Entry: Near $2,714.365 upon signs of rejection. Stop Loss: Above the supply zone. Target: Towards $2,700 or lower. Upcoming Economic Releases Several key economic indicators are scheduled for next week that could significantly impact the USD and, consequently, gold prices: Consumer Price Index (CPI): January 23 Higher inflation may bolster gold demand. FOMC Minutes: January 24 Insights on future interest rate policy could influence market sentiment toward the USD. Initial Jobless Claims: January 25 An increase could weaken the USD, potentially supporting gold prices. Manufacturing and Services PMI: January 26 Strong data may strengthen the USD, thereby exerting pressure on gold. Conclusion Monitoring these economic indicators is essential for navigating potential price movements in XAU/USD. Align your trading strategy with the outcomes of these indicators to enhance decision-making. With the current market dynamics, traders should remain vigilant and adaptable to changing conditions, capitalizing on opportunities based on the evolving economic landscape.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by forex_forge
Gold showing strength after Trump entered White House President Trump's recent phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping has created a strong expectation for a more conciliatory relationship with China. In response, the dollar, which had previously surged due to fears over tariffs and inflation, has begun to weaken and gold is on a consistent upward trajectory. Goldman Sachs firmly predicts that gold will likely be exempt from widespread tariffs, asserting that there is less than a 10% chance of a 10% real tariff on gold being introduced in the next year. They also confidently forecast that the gold price will soar to $3,000 per ounce by mid-2026. XAUUSD sustains a steady uptrend within an ascending channel. The price holds above EMA21, awaiting further price triggers to test the resistance at 2720. If XAUUSD breaches above 2720, the price may gain upward momentum toward 2735. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks below EMA21, the price may fall further to the ascending channel’s lower bound, where EMA78 coincides.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by inkicho_exness
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The NASDAQ closed early due to the U.S. market holiday, and yesterday’s and today’s daily candles will merge into one. As anticipated, the U.S. market showed an upward trend, but it is likely to exhibit sideways or downward movement during the pre-market and regular trading sessions today. While the daily chart has generated a buy signal, confirmation will only occur if today’s candle closes as a bullish one. With significant resistance levels overhead, the market needs a strong bullish candle to widen the gap between the MACD and signal line. Failure to generate such a rally may lead to repeated resistance at the upper levels and increase the likelihood of a downturn. On the 240-minute chart, no sell signal has been generated yet, but the market appears to be absorbing overhead supply. If a MACD dead cross emerges, the buy signal on the daily chart may fade, potentially reversing the trend to bearish. Avoid chasing prices and refer to yesterday’s detailed pre-market analysis for further context. CRUDE OIL Crude oil closed lower, correcting down to the 10-day moving average. After a brief consolidation at the $76 support, it declined further. The $74–$75 range serves as a critical support level and aligns with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart. Buying on dips within this range is favorable. However, it is advisable to enter at lower levels, as rebound risks make shorting less viable. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is falling towards the zero line, steepening its angle against the signal line. Even if oil rebounds from key support levels, it may face further selling pressure, as a MACD golden cross appears unlikely. Since yesterday’s expected downtrend materialized, today’s strategy should focus on cautious dip-buying at lower levels. GOLD Gold closed lower, finding support near the 5-day moving average as anticipated in yesterday’s analysis. The strong pullback to the 5-day moving average provides a reasonable entry point for buying on dips. However, the weekly chart indicates potential for further downside, suggesting short-term positions to manage risk effectively. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged as a head-and-shoulders pattern broke its neckline. A further drop below 2730 could lead to additional downside toward the 2718 support level, where dip-buying may be considered. The MACD and signal line remain significantly below the zero line on the 240-minute chart, increasing the likelihood of a rebound at key support levels. Avoid aggressive short-selling and note that the broader trend remains bullish, as gold's daily chart exhibits strong buying momentum. Focus on buying near major support levels during pullbacks for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Manage your risk carefully and best of luck with your trades today. ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21660 / 21620 / 21570 / 21510 / 21480 / 21350 -Sell: 21780 / 21880 / 21940 / 22005 Crude Oil - Bullish Market -Buy: 75.70 / 74.95 / 74.50 -Sell: 77.50 / 77.85 / 78.25 / 78.65 / 79.10 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy: 2726 / 2716 / 2708 / 2700 -Sell: 2738 / 2747 / 2753 / 2758 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
Behind the Curtain: Top Economic Influencers on ZN Futures1. Introduction The 10-Year Treasury Note Futures (ZN), traded on the CME, are a cornerstone of the fixed-income market. As a vital benchmark for interest rate trends and macroeconomic sentiment, ZN Futures attract institutional and retail traders alike. Their liquidity, versatility, and sensitivity to economic shifts make them a go-to instrument for both speculation and hedging. In this article, we delve into the economic forces shaping ZN Futures’ performance across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes. By leveraging machine learning, specifically a Random Forest Regressor, we identify the most impactful indicators influencing Treasury futures returns. These insights can help traders fine-tune their strategies and navigate the complexities of this market. 2. Product Specifications Contract Size: The standard ZN Futures contract represents $100,000 face value of 10-Year Treasury Notes. Tick Size: Each tick corresponds to 1/64 of 1% of par value. This equals $15.625 per tick, ensuring precise pricing and manageable risk for traders. Margins: Approximately $2,000 per contract (changes through time). Micro Contract Availability: While the standard contract suits institutional traders, the micro-sized Yield Futures provide a smaller-scale option for retail participants. These contracts offer reduced tick values and margin requirements, enabling broader market participation. 3. Daily Economic Drivers Machine learning models reveal that daily fluctuations in ZN Futures are significantly influenced by the following indicators: Building Permits: A leading indicator of housing market activity, an increase in permits signals economic confidence and growth. This optimism often puts upward pressure on yields, while a decline may reflect economic caution, boosting demand for Treasuries. U.S. Trade Balance: This metric measures the difference between exports and imports. A narrowing trade deficit typically signals improved economic health, leading to higher yields. Conversely, a widening deficit can weaken economic sentiment, increasing Treasury demand as a safe-haven asset. China GDP Growth Rate: As a global economic powerhouse, China’s GDP growth influences global trade and financial flows. Strong growth suggests robust international demand, pressuring Treasury prices downward as yields rise. Slower growth has the opposite effect, enhancing Treasury appeal. 4. Weekly Economic Drivers When analyzing weekly timeframes, the following indicators emerge as significant drivers of ZN Futures: Velocity of Money (M2): This indicator reflects the speed at which money circulates in the economy. High velocity signals robust economic activity, often putting upward pressure on yields. Slowing velocity, on the other hand, may indicate stagnation, increasing demand for Treasury securities. Consumer Sentiment Index: This metric gauges the confidence level of consumers regarding the economy. Rising sentiment suggests stronger consumer spending and economic growth, often pressuring bond prices downward as yields rise. Conversely, a decline signals economic caution, favoring safe-haven assets like ZN Futures. Nonfarm Productivity: This measures output per hour worked in the nonfarm sector and serves as an indicator of economic efficiency. Rising productivity typically reflects economic strength and may lead to higher yields, while stagnation or declines can shift sentiment toward Treasuries. 5. Monthly Economic Drivers On a broader monthly scale, the following indicators play a pivotal role in shaping ZN Futures: Net Exports: This metric captures the difference between a country’s exports and imports. A surplus indicates strong global demand for domestic goods, signaling economic strength and driving yields higher. Persistent deficits, however, may weaken economic sentiment and increase demand for Treasuries as a safe haven. 10-Year Treasury Yield: As a benchmark for longer-term borrowing costs, movements in the 10-Year Treasury Yield reflect investor expectations for economic growth and inflation. Rising yields suggest optimism about future economic conditions, potentially reducing demand for Treasury futures. Declining yields indicate caution, bolstering Treasury appeal. Durable Goods Orders: This indicator measures new orders placed with manufacturers for goods expected to last three years or more. Rising orders signal business confidence and economic growth, often leading to higher yields. Conversely, a decline in durable goods orders can indicate slowing economic momentum, increasing Treasury demand. 6. Applications for Different Trading Styles Economic indicators provide distinct insights depending on the trading style and timeframe: Day Traders: Focusing on daily indicators like Building Permits, U.S. Trade Balance, and China GDP Growth Rate to anticipate short-term market movements. For example, an improvement in China’s GDP Growth Rate may signal stronger global economic conditions, potentially driving yields higher and pressuring ZN Futures lower. Swing Traders: Weekly indicators such as Velocity of Money (M2), Consumer Sentiment Index, and Nonfarm Productivity could help identify intermediate trends. For instance, rising consumer sentiment can reflect increased spending expectations, potentially prompting bearish positions in ZN Futures. Position Traders: Monthly metrics like Net Exports, 10-Year Treasury Yield, and Durable Goods Orders may offer a macro perspective for long-term strategies. A sustained increase in durable goods orders, for instance, may indicate economic expansion, influencing traders to potentially adopt bearish sentiment on ZN Futures. 7. Conclusion The analysis highlights how daily, weekly, and monthly economic indicators collectively influence ZN Futures. From more immediate fluctuations driven by Building Permits and China GDP Growth Rate, to longer-term trends shaped by Durable Goods Orders and the 10-Year Treasury Yield, each timeframe provides actionable insights for traders. By understanding these indicators and incorporating machine learning models to uncover patterns, traders can refine strategies tailored to specific time horizons. Whether intraday, swing, or long-term, leveraging these insights empowers traders to navigate ZN Futures with greater precision. Stay tuned for the next installment in the "Behind the Curtain" series, where we examine economic drivers behind another key futures market. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZN1!Education
by traddictiv
7
Gold falls on inauguration day of TRUMP⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Last week's softer-than-expected US inflation data could support Gold prices by fueling speculation of more than one rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Traders are now looking ahead to President-elect Trump's inauguration on Monday for insights into the executive orders he plans to issue. "Uncertainty surrounding the policies President Trump will implement has been one of the factors supporting Gold," noted David Meger, Director of Metals Trading at High Ridge Futures. Moreover, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine conflict continue to drive safe-haven demand for Gold. According to The Guardian, the Russian military captured two additional settlements in eastern Ukraine's Donetsk region on Saturday, marking the latest progress in its westward advance. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold short term down around 2700 area, sideways and waiting for new economic policies of the trump administration ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2678 - $2676 SL $2671 TP1: $2685 TP2: $2693 TP3: $2700 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2716 - $2718 SL $2723 TP1: $2710 TP2: $2700 TP3: $2690 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Moustafa! Brent Crude Oil towards the uptrend line back 06.01.25* It has to return back to the purple uptrend line and touch it to gain back the buy power in case if it meant to go further more to the upside later on * It broke already another uptrend line on lower time frames which confirms the bearish move! Note: My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
BLACKBULL:BRENTShort
by moustafa_marei