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US Cash Market Goes 'Flippant'. Understanding Revenge in TradingFirst of all, revenge trading is a destructive pattern of behavior in trading where individuals make impulsive and emotionally-driven decisions in an attempt to recoup previous losses. This practice is not limited to novice traders; even experienced traders can fall prey to it. The primary emotions driving revenge trading include anger, frustration, greed, fear, and shame, which cloud judgment and lead to irrational decision-making. Causes of Revenge Trading Emotional Response: Traders often react emotionally to significant losses, feeling compelled to immediately recover their losses without adequate analysis or strategy. Lack of Discipline: Deviating from established trading plans and risk management principles is common in revenge trading. Psychological Triggers: Feelings of injustice, anger, or a desire for vengeance against the market can trigger revenge trading. Consequences of Revenge Trading Financial Losses: Revenge trading often results in larger losses due to riskier trades and poor timing. Emotional Burnout: The stress and frustration from repeated losses can lead to emotional exhaustion and decreased trading performance. Career Impact: Persistent revenge trading can erode confidence and lead to a trader questioning their abilities. Real-Life Examples of Revenge Trading Increasing Position Size: A trader experiences a significant loss and decides to double or triple their position size in the next trade, hoping to quickly recover their losses. This action disregards risk management principles and often leads to even greater losses. Ignoring Stop-Loss Orders: After a loss, a trader might hold onto a losing position longer than planned, hoping it will turn around. This behavior ignores established stop-loss orders and can result in further financial damage. Chasing Trades: A trader feels compelled to enter trades without proper analysis, driven by the urge to recoup losses quickly. This impulsive behavior can lead to a series of poor trading decisions. Market Reversal Scenario: A trader suffers a loss due to a sudden market reversal. In an attempt to recover, they enter a trade in the opposite direction without thorough analysis, which can exacerbate their losses. Wish more examples? Watch recent one below 👇👇 How to Avoid Revenge Trading To avoid revenge trading, traders should focus on maintaining discipline and adhering to their trading strategies. This includes: Taking Breaks: After a loss, taking time to reassess the market and calm emotions can help prevent impulsive decisions. Sticking to Plans: Adhering to established trading plans and risk management principles is crucial. Emotional Awareness: Recognizing emotional triggers and taking steps to manage them can help prevent revenge trading. In conclusion, revenge trading is a HARMFUL AND DANGEROUS practice that can lead to significant financial and emotional consequences. Understanding its causes and recognizing its signs are essential steps in avoiding this behavior and maintaining a successful trading career. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CME_MINI:NQM2025Education
by PandorraResearch
ID: 2025 - 0073.18.2025 Trade #7 of 2025 executed. So simple, yet far from easy... Trade entry at 30 DTE (days to expiration). This trade has a little more hot sauce and fire built into it. Unbalanced butterfly, close to expiration, will adjust the wing widths as the market adjusts either up or down. Goal is to be out of this trade in under two weeks before GAMMA really begins kicking in. The reason I like going in closer to expiration after big market moves, is the volatility is better, and fills are quicker, and spreads are tighter. The downside of playing super long DTE strategies is that when the market gets spooked or turbulent, the bid/ask spreads become a mile wide. Happy Trading! -kevin
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Kevins
TRADE IDEAS: ES FUTURES (ESM2025) – 3/26/2025 PLAYBOOK# 📊 TRADE IDEAS: ES FUTURES (ESM2025) – 3/26/2025 PLAYBOOK ## 🟢 SCENARIO 1 (BULLISH) **DIRECTION:** Long **STRUCTURE BIAS:** Bullish **ENTRY LEVEL:** 5,795-5,815 (current zone, buying sell-side liquidity raids) **STOP LEVEL:** 5,785 (invalidate if hourly close below this level) **TARGET LEVELS:** - **Target 1:** 5,880-5900 (Weekly Key High Resistance Level) **R/R RATIO:** ~3:1 (depending on final execution) ### EXECUTION STRATEGY - **Entry Confirmation:** Look for price to raid previous unhit weekly lows (sell-side liquidity) - **Long Entries:** Establish long positions as price successfully raids these lows but fails to sustain below them - **Stop Placement:** Use 5,785 as a hard stop (hourly close below invalidates the trade idea) - **Target:** Take profits at 5880 - 5,900 (Weekly Key High Resistance) ### KEY POINTS - Current price action targeting sell-side liquidity in the form of previous unhit weekly lows - Wednesday typically not a low/high of week formation day, suggesting potential for continued movement - Tomorrow's High Impact News Event (GDP at 8:30 AM) likely to create volatility and could accelerate the move - Bullish structure prevails as long as price maintains above liquidity raid zones --- ## 🔴 SCENARIO 2 (BEARISH) **DIRECTION:** Short **STRUCTURE BIAS:** Bearish after bullish extension **ENTRY LEVEL:** 5,880-5910 (Weekly Key High Resistance Level) **STOP LEVEL:** 5,9550 (invalidate if hourly close above this level) **TARGET LEVELS:** - **Target 1:** 5,740 (Weekly Opening Gap upper boundary) **R/R RATIO:** ~3:1 (depending on final execution) ### EXECUTION STRATEGY - **No Immediate Short:** Wait for price to extend to Weekly Key High Resistance Level (blue line ~5,900) - **Rejection Confirmation:** Look for reversal candles and selling pressure at resistance - **Short Entries:** Establish short positions once price trades below confirmation level after testing resistance - **Stop Placement:** Use 5,925-5950 as a hard stop (hourly close above invalidates the trade idea) - **Scaling Out:** Partial profit near 5,800, hold remaining for potential move to 5,745 area ### KEY POINTS - After liquidity is taken at the Weekly Key High Resistance (blue line), expect manipulation and reversal - Short opportunity emerges only after bulls exhaust momentum at key resistance - Weekly Opening Gap (red zone) remains a significant downside target for next move - Any sustained hourly close above 5,965 **invalidates** this bearish setup ## MARKET BIAS - **SHORT TERM (Today – 1 Day):** - **Bullish** bias as price is likely to find support at current levels and move toward the Weekly Key High Resistance - Current price action suggests accumulation before a move higher - Tomorrow's GDP numbers (8:30 AM) represent a potential catalyst for accelerated movement - **LONGER TERM (1–2 Weeks):** - After testing the Weekly Key High Resistance level (~5,900), expect a reversal and move back toward the Weekly Opening Gap (red zone) - Market structure suggests a "liquidity hunt" pattern – first to the upside, then reversing to the downside - Major liquidity draw currently at the blue line, once exhausted, focus will shift back to the Weekly Opening Gap
CME_MINI:ESM2025Long
by LiquidityTracker
Gold may fall sharply on March 27Gold may fall sharply on March 27 Technical key position game: Gold has risen by more than 15% this year, and hit a record high of $3057.21 on March 20. It currently needs to break through the 3035 watershed to confirm the continuity of the upward trend. Daily level: Prices fluctuate in a narrow range, and there is pressure for a correction. 3000 integer mark, once it breaks, there is a high probability of a waterfall 4-hour level: The fluctuation range is narrowed to $3010-3030, and it is necessary to be vigilant about the unilateral market after the break. There is a lack of clear direction in the short term, but a new round of market conditions is about to break out. Key points: Support: 3010-3015 (4 hours ago low + psychological barrier), 3000 (double bottom neckline). Resistance: 3030-3036 (recent fluctuation upper edge), 3057 (historical high). Operation strategy: 1. Range oscillation strategy (applicable before data release) Short order: Rebound to 3028-3030, try to short with light position, stop loss 3040, target 3020-3015. Long order: Pullback to 3010---2980, can be long with light position, stop loss 5-10 points, target 3025-3030. 2. Breakthrough follow-up strategy: Break through 3030: chase long, target 3045-3057, stop loss 3025. Break through 3005: chase short, target 2995-2980, stop loss 3018. Sentiment: The market has fully digested the Fed's "dovish" expectations, beware of PCE data exceeding expectations and triggering a correction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa00000
US OIL SHORT & LONG TRADESAs I stated yesterday after price rejected from the Diagnonal resistance, I said price could retest and dump further or breakout to higher levels. I did ioen a short for the dump, but then I checked the trade this morning and realized it's in a breakout trend. So I closed the short in a small los and capitalized on the long at the point of resting the Trendline which is still running. Let's see how high price can climb now, currently at a strong zone.
TVC:USOIL
by THE_KLASSIC_TRADER
USOIL:It's time to go shortRecently, the WTI crude oil has been on a continuous upward trend with fluctuations. The current intraday price has reached a three - week high. At present, the long - position sentiment in the market is greatly influenced by the fundamental news, mainly due to the intensified U.S. sanctions on Iranian energy and the ineffective implementation of the 30 - day cease - fire agreement between Russia and Ukraine. Today's trading strategy: Focus on shorting at high levels. Currently, the price has a firm support at $69. Observe whether it can reach the resistance range of $69.5 again. If it breaks through the upper level, look at the important psychological resistance level of $70. Select to short again within the range. USOIL Trading Strategy: Sell@69.5-70 TP:68-67 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
TVC:USOILShort
by LeoBlackwood
Short Position Targeting Below $3,000🔍 Market Analysis After Durable Goods Orders Release The latest Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for February 2025 were released today, showing a surprising 0.9% increase, while economists had expected a 1.0% decline. However, core capital goods orders fell by 0.3%, indicating weaker business investment. These mixed figures create uncertainty in the markets. The strong durable goods orders support the U.S. dollar, while the drop in business investment may signal economic concerns. In the short term, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not rush to cut interest rates could put pressure on gold prices. 📉 Trading Idea: Short Gold from $3,025 to Below $3,000 Entry: $3,025 (already opened) Gold is currently trading around $3,025, showing signs of weakness near resistance levels. Why This Short Trade Makes Sense: 1️⃣ U.S. Economic Data Supports the Dollar The unexpected rise in durable goods orders suggests economic resilience. A stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on gold prices. 2️⃣ Lower Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts These data points may reduce expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts. Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is bearish for gold. 3️⃣ Technical Resistance & Downward Momentum Gold has struggled to break above $3,025 - $3,035 multiple times. If this level holds, we could see a drop below $3,000 soon. 📊 Price Targets & Stop-Loss 🎯 First Target: $3,000 (psychological support level) 🎯 Second Target: $2,985 - $2,975 (next key technical support zone) 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Entry: $3,025 Target: at least $3,000 RRR = 1.66 : 1 – a solid setup for a short-term trade. 🧐 Potential Risks to the Trade ⚠ If the U.S. Dollar Weakens: If markets interpret weak core capital goods orders as a sign of economic slowdown, the Fed might shift to a more dovish stance, weakening the dollar and boosting gold. ⚠ If Geopolitical Tensions Increase: Rising geopolitical risks (e.g., China, Middle East) could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher. 📌 Conclusion: Bearish Setup for Gold Today’s Durable Goods Orders release supports a stronger U.S. dollar, while gold is struggling to break resistance at $3,025 - $3,035. As long as this zone holds, the probability of a correction below $3,000 remains high. 🟢 Plan: Short at $3,025 is active. Target: Below $3,000. Gold remains volatile – keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, Fed policy, and market sentiment for further confirmation! 🔥🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
3
Gold: Bearish Swing, $3032 Key, Short Now!From the daily chart perspective, gold closed with a bullish candlestick yesterday, putting an end to the previous consecutive bearish candlestick decline. Currently, the gold price is situated between the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10. These two moving averages are now showing a trend of being on the verge of forming a death cross. Overall, the price trend remains in a range-bound and slightly bearish state. It is necessary to closely monitor the resistance situation around the $3032 - 3034 level. Initially, pay attention to the support strength of the low point area around $3002 / $2999 at the lower end. Once this support area is effectively broken through, the bearish trend will continue. In terms of trading operations, it is still advisable to go short on rebounds. For the medium-term short position layout, the profit is still accumulating, and the position should still be held. XAUUSD sell@3025-3035 tp:3010 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by JohnGonzalez7
4
Oil Surges Toward Four-Week Highs on U.S. Inventory DropOil extended gains and approached four-week highs, supported by an unexpected decline in U.S. crude inventories and persistent geopolitical tensions that keep international markets on edge. The price of WTI has once again surpassed $70 per barrel, its highest level in nearly a month. This bullish move is mainly driven by a 3.3 million barrel drop in U.S. commercial inventories, a figure that doubles analysts' initial expectations of only a 1.6 million barrel reduction. This significant inventory drawdown, reported by the latest release from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), reflects a robust domestic demand, largely fueled by increased activity at U.S. refineries. Over the past week, these facilities boosted their daily processing to an average of 15.8 million barrels, reaching a utilization rate of 87%, a considerable rise from the previous period. Similarly, there was a further decline in key refined product stocks: gasoline fell by 1.4 million barrels, while distillates dropped by 0.4 million barrels. These reductions suggest a healthy recovery in fuel consumption, though differences remain compared to historical averages: gasoline inventories are still 2% above the five-year average, while distillates remain a concerning 7% below. For oil-exporting countries like Mexico and Colombia, this situation presents a significant opportunity. Although average U.S. crude imports remain 11% below the same period last year, a sustained recovery could positively boost the economic outlook of these nations, offering key revenue amid a globally uncertain economic context. However, geopolitics remains a key player in the evolution of the oil market. The U.S. threat to impose 25% tariffs on Venezuelan crude imports has added pressure on the trade flow to China, the main buyer of Venezuelan oil. At the same time, new sanctions on Iran could further tighten global supply, once again placing Saudi Arabia in a position to cover any supply shortfall. Moreover, recent agreements between the U.S., Ukraine, and Russia to reduce attacks on energy infrastructure suggest an effort to partially stabilize the market; however, any breakdown in these negotiations could quickly reintroduce volatility in oil prices. Overall, while economic risks from trade tensions persist, the current balance between strong U.S. demand and supply constraints due to geopolitical factors is creating a bullish environment for oil. The energy market continues to show clear signs of strengthening, suggesting that prices could remain firm in the short term, with close monitoring of any unexpected shifts in the global landscape. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by Pepperstone
XAUUSD:Gold trade profitable, keep shortingToday, gold is still oscillating repeatedly within a range. We adhere to the strategy of short - selling at high levels. The short - selling signals in the range of 3032 - 3035 were directly and publicly indicated in the article. We reaped profits as the gold price declined again. The bullish sentiment for gold is not strong. Wait for a rebound and then continue to short. XAUUSD Trading Strategy: sell@3030-3035 TP1:3010 TP2:3000 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LeoBlackwood
1
DOW Shorts: Better RRWhile NQ and ES was trending lower DOW was going higher. This was to take out stops, pair smart money orders and start the sell program. I waited for multiple confirmations before entering the trade. Buystops, rejection, CISD and IFVG. I could've entered earlier targeting even higher rr but the more confirmations there are showing bearishness, the higher the probability. This trade is risk free and partials have been taken. The stops will be adjusted accordingly and managed while letting the runner target the PDL. Let's see.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by TradesofThunder
Five powerful trading psychology tips to help youHere are five powerful trading psychology tips to help you cope with losses and stay in the game without giving up: 1. Accept Losses as Part of the Game Losses are inevitable in trading—even the best traders lose. Instead of fearing them, see losses as the cost of doing business and a learning opportunity. Keep a trading journal to analyze your mistakes and improve over time. 2. Control Your Emotions & Stick to the Plan Emotions like fear and greed lead to revenge trading and overleveraging. Set clear rules for stop-losses, position sizing, and risk per trade. Never move your stop loss out of desperation—respect your trading plan. 3. Manage Your Risk Like a Pro Follow the 1-2% risk per trade rule to protect your capital. If you lose small, you can always come back. A good risk-to-reward ratio (at least 1:2 or 1:3) ensures that even a 40% win rate can still be profitable in the long run. 4. Take Breaks & Maintain a Strong Mindset If you experience a streak of losses, step away from the charts for a while. Clear your mind, do something unrelated to trading, and return with a fresh perspective. Trading with a stressed or emotional mindset leads to bad decisions. 5. Focus on the Long-Term Vision Trading success doesn't happen overnight. Many traders blow their accounts because they want quick riches. Instead, focus on consistency, discipline, and skill-building. If you trust the process and stay patient, the results will come. Below is an example of a trading checklist that I follow before I take any trade, this helps me stay disciplined, manage risk, and avoid emotional decisions: ✅ Trading Psychology Checklist 🔹 Before Entering a Trade: ☐ Did I follow my trading plan? (No random trades, only high-probability setups) ☐ Am I trading based on logic, not emotions? (No FOMO, revenge trading, or overconfidence) ☐ Is my risk properly managed? (1-2% risk per trade, proper lot size) ☐ Does this trade have a good risk-to-reward ratio? (At least 1:2 or 1:3) ☐ Did I place my stop loss and take profit before executing the trade? 🔹 While in a Trade: ☐ Am I sticking to my original plan? (No moving stop losses or take profit out of emotions) ☐ Am I avoiding overtrading? (Only taking quality setups, not forcing trades) ☐ Am I managing my emotions? (Staying calm, not panicking over small fluctuations) 🔹 After Closing a Trade: ☐ Did I journal my trade? (Win or lose, record entry, exit, and emotions during the trade) ☐ Did I review what went right or wrong? (Learn from mistakes and improve) ☐ Am I sticking to my daily trading limit? (No excessive trading after wins or losses) ☐ Am I taking breaks and staying mentally refreshed? (Not glued to charts 24/7) Feel free to copy. But remember to support this with a boost if you enjoyed reading it.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by AmaWina
Gold signal From a technical perspective, bullish resilience near the $3,000 mark and the subsequent move up, along with positive oscillators on the daily chart, suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is to the upside. Some follow-through buying beyond the overnight swing high, around the $3,036 area, will reaffirm the constructive outlook and lift the XAU/USD pair towards the all-time peak, around the $3,057-3,058 zone touched last week. Gold signal 3028 Support 3009 Resistance 3037
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stiven088
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Retest SetupMarket Structure & Analysis: Uptrend Confirmation: Price has been in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows. Resistance & Retest: The price recently hit a resistance zone around $3,054 and pulled back for a retest. Support Zone: A key support level is marked at $3,010, which has held multiple times. Bullish Retest Setup: If the price successfully retests this support level and confirms bullish momentum, we can anticipate a potential move toward the next resistance level. Target Levels: First Target: $3,054 (recent high) Final Target: $3,089 (next major resistance) Trading Plan: Buy Setup: Enter after confirmation of bullish price action at the support level ($3,010). Stop Loss: Below $3,010 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: TP1: $3,054 TP2: $3,089 Risk Factors: If the support at $3,010 breaks, price may drop toward the next major support at $2,911, invalidating the bullish setup. Economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI data, or geopolitical risks) may cause unexpected volatility in gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
1
CrudeOil Breakout or Reversal?📈 CRUDEOIL – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS CrudeOil is currently testing a key resistance zone near 5995–6000. Price action has respected the rising trendline, and the structure looks poised for a breakout or rejection move. 🔍 Two Possible Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Breakout Above 5995 If crude sustains above 5995 with volume confirmation, we may see a sharp move toward: 🎯 Target 1: 6030 🎯 Target 2: 6065 🔹 Bearish Rejection Failure to break 5995 may trigger a rejection and lead to a correction toward: 📉 Support 1: 5931 (EMA) 📉 Support 2: 5870 (Trendline base) 📊 Key Levels: Resistance: 5995 / 6030 / 6065 Support: 5931 / 5870 Volume will be the key factor in validating the breakout. Until then, keep a watchful eye for a trap or fake-out near resistance. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and trade with proper position sizing. Market sentiment can change quickly.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
by Shalvisharma5
1
Gold has been in a good range recently, which is perfect!Congratulations to everyone for realizing the range idea again。It should be noted here that since the bulls rose strongly in the early stage, the market turned to bearish, or the rhythm of bullish adjustment will not be so fast. Therefore, yesterday's daily line turned positive, not the return of bulls, but a correction in the process of decline. On the one hand, the adjustment of bulls is not enough, and the indicators show that there is still further exploration. On the other hand, although the current shock has rebounded, the strength is not strong and the continuity is poor. It is a shock upward trend and may fall at any time. Be cautious when looking at bullish. Only by matching the market and the time point can you get the correct direction. Trading focuses on ideas and planning, and doing yourself well is more important than anything else.If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. The information I recently shared about the gold market has received a lot of feedback, and everyone said it was very helpful! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me 🌐, I will release specific signals in real time, remember to pay attention to the bottom 🌐 signal in time. Gold hourly line pattern chart; Gold once touched the 3002 line to stabilize, and the daily line level fell back three times in a row. There is still room for decline in the short term. Pay attention to the obvious support of the 3000 mark below. If it does not break, it will still be a repeated trend. On the contrary, there will be a continuous decline. In terms of operation, continue to go short on the rebound! Operation suggestion: short at 3025-3030. The target is 3016-3010. On the contrary, if it falls back to 3010-3005, go long and the target is 3020-3025.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel