Gold: Bearish, may fall below 3300📊 Yesterday, gold resumed its bullish move after a minor pullback, breaking through the 3400 level and reaching around 3440 during today’s early session, before starting to retrace.
📉 In the chart I shared yesterday, the black line represents the key bull-bear boundary. The current price has already broken below this level, and if it fails to reclaim it, the trend may shift toward bearish in the short term.
📌 Key support levels to watch:
First support: 3383
Next support: 3350
If selling intensifies, there’s a real chance price may break below 3300
Futures market
Today’s gold operation ideas are back to bullish【Gold Trend Analysis】
Fundamentally, the Trump administration's tariff policy is still uncertain, and market concerns about the trade war support the safe-haven demand for gold; the recent weakness of the US dollar index (close to the 99.0 mark), the decline in US Treasury yields (10-year yields fell to 4.368%), further benefiting gold; Goldman Sachs raised its year-end gold price forecast to $3,700, while UBS is bullish to $3,500, believing that central bank gold purchases and safe-haven demand will continue to support gold prices. Technically, gold opened higher today, rising to 3,233 as high as possible. From the technical indicators, gold is still in a bullish trend, with a 3-hour moving average golden cross. Today, gold fell back to rely on the moving average support. At the same time, the gold price is running above the Bollinger middle track. Pay attention to the middle track support. Today, we are still mainly low-long operations.
【Operational suggestions】
Buy at 3217-20, stop loss at 3207, target at 3230-45.
The first negative line after three consecutive positive linesThe current gold market is facing dual drivers of policy and fundamentals. Trump's tariff policy trend has become a key variable. Coupled with expectations of a slowdown in the US economy in 2025 and rising global geopolitical risks, safe-haven demand continues to support gold prices.
Gold technicals show the first small negative line after three consecutive positive lines, and the correction signal is to be confirmed. The intraday shock adjustment is obvious, and the magnetic effect of the 3235-3200 range is significant. It is recommended to maintain the range thinking at the operational level. The upper resistance is currently at 3232-3235, and the lower support is at 3200-3195. Wait for the key guidance on Wednesday to clarify the direction. The market is in a sensitive period of market change, and it is necessary to focus on the pulsed impact of policy dynamics and geopolitical risk evolution on gold prices.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound to 3233-3237 short, stop loss 3245, and the target is 3210-3200.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3190-3185 long, stop loss 3178, and the target is 3210-3230.
Gold rose by 100 points to a new highAs the former US Treasury Secretary pointed out, the Trump administration's erratic rhetoric and ever-changing tariff policy measures are gradually eroding the global market's trust in the US dollar. Investors are therefore seeking asset allocations with safe-haven properties. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven tool, naturally becomes the first choice. From the perspective of technical analysis, the bullish trend of gold prices is strong. After the opening, it has shown a unilateral upward trend, with significant intraday gains. In this market situation, it is particularly important to follow the price trend, and counter-trend operations often face greater risks. Based on the current market trend, the gold bull market is still expected to continue, and may even further hit higher points. In terms of trading operations, it is recommended to take a dip and buy more after a pullback to the key support level as the main strategy.
Today, gold rose to a new high, reaching 3317, and the increase was close to 100 points. The strength is beyond words. After the previous sideways accumulation, it continued to rise by inertia. It continued to be bullish and long. In the 4H cycle, it broke through the upper track of Bollinger, driving the moving average to turn upward, but the indicators diverged. It is prudent to buy more on the decline. The support below is maintained at 3288 and 3270. Buy more according to the strength of the decline. The upper side will gradually look to 3300 and 3320. Don't blindly guess the top!
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy more gold near 3270-72, stop loss at 3264, and target at 3300 and 3320! If it is very strong, rely on the support of 3288-90!
Gold is strong and faces adjustments today!For gold today, the morning surge and fall broke the pattern of the morning cycle rise, which means that this wave of unilateral rise from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold ones will die of overeating and the timid ones will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing more will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The decline from 3357-3320 reached 37 US dollars, so focus on the pressure of 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high during the day, you can still go short; the support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, you can go long to see the rebound.
Gold pullback corrects bullish trend but remains unchanged!In today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3350-3357 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3310-3315 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3355-3357, stop loss 6 points, target around 3335-3320, and look at 3315 if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3310-3315, stop loss 6 points, target around 3335-3345, and look at 3360 if it breaks;
Daily chart MACD double lines upwardThis week, the market focused on three core events, namely, the direction of Trump's tariff policy, the progress of the US-Iran nuclear negotiations, and the trend of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Based on the evolution of these events, it is recommended that everyone should pay close attention to the trend of the US dollar. As for the performance of gold this week, we continue with our consistent views and adhere to the strategy of bullish but not guessing the top. The specific trading strategy is to wait for a callback before arranging long orders. Once there is an adjustment opportunity, we can go long on the bullish trend.
From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, the lower support is near the 3385-3393 line, and the upper pressure is around the 3440-44 line. Given that the current price is at a historical high, it is recommended to be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for sufficient adjustments before entering the market.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to go long at the 3385-93 line, with a stop loss at 3378, and the target is the 3435-3440 line. If it breaks, continue to hold;
Gold opened higher this week with great momentumInterpretation of the news: U.S. President Trump’s extensive tariffs and uncertainty about his trade policy have disrupted global markets and dimmed the global economic outlook. This has prompted investors to withdraw from US assets. In addition, Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell last week pushed the US dollar index to a low in more than three years, making gold denominated in US dollars more price-competitive for overseas buyers. I believe that the recent rapid rise in gold prices is mainly driven by three aspects: concerns about the global trade war, a weaker US dollar, and risk aversion caused by the high uncertainty of Trump's policies.
Analysis of gold trend: The current trend of gold is non-technical, that is, hedging due to tariff conflicts. With the escalation of tariffs, gold continues to be abnormally strong. With a slight easing, gold will also fall back quickly. Although there was no major fundamental event last weekend, the overall market sentiment is dominated by gold mainstream hedging, and potential concerns about the US debt crisis and the credibility of the US dollar continue! Last week, gold adjusted in the short term, falling directly from above 3350 to 3284, and then quickly rebounded due to the influence of fundamentals, which basically met the expectations of the day, but from the closing point of view, the weekly line closed with a large positive line with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow, and after such a pattern ended, gold is expected to continue to hit a new high at the beginning of this week.
The Dual Crisis of the US Dollar and US DebtGold has been strong recently, and both technical and fundamental factors show that bulls are in a dominant position. Although there is no clear reversal signal at the daily level of gold, the high-level pullback is more like a normal adjustment in the rising process rather than a trend reversal. We still need to remain vigilant and pay close attention to market dynamics, especially the risk of high-level reversal. At present, the upper resistance is 3485-3490, and the lower support is 3444-3440. In terms of operation, I suggest shorting on rebounds and long on pullbacks. Once the market direction changes suddenly, it is particularly important to withdraw in time and avoid risks.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 3465-3470 on the rebound, stop loss at 3480, and the target is 3445-3430.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 3430-3425 on the pullback, stop loss at 3417, and the target is 3450-3480, and the target is 3500 if it breaks through.
Will gold continue to rise after the correction?At present, the short-term support of 4 hours is at 3442 of the 5-day moving average. If the extremely strong pattern falls back to 3442, it will be more. Further support is near the early high of 3435, which is also the support level for falling back and long positions. At the same time, it is also near the middle track of the hourly level, and the maximum support level for falling back at the hourly level. The intraday watershed is the early low of 3412. If it is broken, the market will turn weak. From the perspective of time, gold will rise in the Asian session, and there will be a second high in the European session. Focus on the strength of the European session to layout the US session. Today, gold will rise to $3,500, and the expected rise this year is $4,200-4,700. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3500-3530, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3410-3440. All friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3500-3503, stop loss 6 points, target around 3470-3450, and look at the 3440 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3440-3443, stop loss 6 points, target around 3475-3495, and look at the 3500 line if it breaks;
Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAUUSD Weekly ViewGold prices have soared to a new record high of $3,500 per ounce, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and escalating concerns over Federal Reserve policies and trade tensions. The dollar index has fallen to 98.164, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a safe-haven asset. This surge reflects a strong bullish sentiment, with traders buying into the rally despite traditional overbought indicators.
- Analysts are now eyeing a potential temporary pullback for gold and profit taking.
XAU/USD M30(30-min XAU/USD):
Strong bearish momentum recently with a steep drop.
Price is currently consolidating in a tight range — kind of a bearish flag or descending triangle pattern.
Wait for breakout the zone with volume or retest the trendline.
Volume spiked on the sell-off, and tapered off during this sideways movement — typical of a bearish continuation.
XAUUSD GOLD PRICE WEEKLY UPDATEOANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD has been forming a massive bullish cup and handle pattern since 2011. it has almost been completed which is looking quite bullish. ofcourse we still need to break the upside in order to move further upside.
I think within 1.5 year we will see atleast $3000 on the chart. despite people fear over recession i still believe within by the end of next year we will see gold price close to 3k.
Disclaimer: this is not financial advice
Gold - still bullish. Already in wave iii of 5 targeting 3200+ ?Gold is now trading higher than the previous ATH at the end of October 24 and is still within the rising channel.
This might already be subwave iii of 5 targeting the 3200+ area later this year.
That could then mark the end of this bullish trend.
Gold levels for long positions target ATH.GOLD (XAU/USD) – Smart Money Buying Opportunity!
Gold just tapped into a key Buying Zone after pulling back from its All-Time High (ATH).
Price is now sitting at a potential launchpad for bulls, aligning perfectly with Smart Money Concepts.
Entry Zone: 3357 – 3350
Target: 3500
SL: Below 3328
Risk-to-Reward: Ultra clean setup with 3R+ potential
Backup Plan: Extreme Buying Zone at 3244 for deeper entries
This is a textbook liquidity sweep and demand re-test, with a high chance of bullish continuation.
Patience pays. Let the market come to you and strike with precision!
Like, share, or save if you're trading Gold this week!
XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025✅ XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025
🧭 Market Context & Trend After a powerful continuation post-holiday, Gold smashed through the previous ATH and is now trading in a vertical, parabolic leg — with minimal structure below and zero resistance above.
💣 Middle East tension + macro safe-haven flows = strong fuel for this spike. But we’re now in a price zone where traps and liquidation are very likely.
📈 Trend:
• H4: Strong bullish BOSs since April 10
• No valid H4 CHoCH yet — structure remains bullish
• Price is deep inside unmitigated premium, with signs of slowing momentum intraday
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🔻 Premium Sweep Zone 3395–3405 Key area around ATH for possible fakeout/sell trap setups — watch for M5/M15 CHoCH or BOS here
🧱 Ultimate Spike Zone 3415–3425 High-impact inefficiency from lower timeframes + round number zone – ideal for stop hunts
🚨 Extreme Spike Risk 3435–3455 No structure here — only if geopolitical tensions worsen
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Intraday Buy Zone 3333–3340 Minor FVG + OB zone – valid only for scalps or continuation if PA confirms
🟩 HTF Demand 3284–3288 Strong OB + FVG + clean H4 CHoCH base – valid for swing longs if dump occurs
⚓️ Institutional Support 3220–3235 Last clean unmitigated H4 demand + equilibrium from macro breakout zone
🧠 Trading Considerations
🔻 SELL setups only valid with clear bearish confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH + momentum shift) inside the 3395–3405 zone. No blind shorts — the trend is still active.
🟢 BUY setups are cleaner from 3284+ or deeper — chasing now is extremely risky unless price builds structure above 3400.
📉 A fast spike followed by breakdown could signal a swing reversal from this premium zone.
🎯 H4 Bias:
Cautiously Bullish — structure is clean, but price is hyperextended. Best setups will come after liquidity is taken.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,419.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,458.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,355.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.9% Fibonacci retracement.
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Silver is Again in the Bullish direction due to multiple ZonesSilver H1 Analysis 📈
The pair was rejecting the 31.00$ area.
But after almost many attempts it succeed ,, Closing above the 31 and gave a strong buy move.
If one bearish engulfing candle breaks the zone below . the Buying is no more valid
Now, According to the rule the market will retest the broken zone ( Red zone ) from upside direction and after that it will go up.
The target is based on the first resistance level.
One more thing , the market has trapped the buyers here
It gave a sell more abruptly and buyers without any confirmation entered the buy trades but the market manipulated.
The red zone is very important if markets holds here or make a strong support here we are going to buy otherwise we will wait