GOLD GOLD , the breakout of ascending trendline is watched as it drops over450pips,we are likely headed for retest to shot from the supply roof and go long on 3360-3365 break and retest.
#gold #dxy
Futures market
Bullish BreakoutThere's a lot of greed towards the upside in this current market state. Fear consolidation is confirmation of this. Stoploss below said fear consolidation pricing.
Maintain weak adjustment and continue to sell at high prices
Gold has been making history this year. Both long and short positions have reached their peak, especially after entering April, this trend has become crazy; the rare market of $100 rise and fall in a single day in the past has now become commonplace, and the intraday V-shaped reversal and inverted V trend have become the norm! The fluctuation in one day is greater than that in the past month, and the 15-minute chart is equivalent to the previous daily line!
The super-invincible sweep of gold will continue to be staged, mainly determined by the current fundamentals!
Against the background of tariff wars, geopolitical situations, central bank gold purchases, de-dollarization, uncertainty in the Fed's policies, and global economic recession, investors are enthusiastic, speculative funds follow suit, and spot gold soars and plummets have become commonplace, and more and more! In the future, for a long period of time, gold is likely to repeatedly sweep between 3400-3100 or 2950-3500, and then seek a large range breakthrough! Buying, selling, everything is fine, as long as there are sufficient reasons, don't resist orders, control positions; as long as there is no loss, it is easy to make a lot of money. The market fluctuates greatly. If the profit does not exceed 20-30 US dollars, do not consider selling, otherwise it will waste a good market; the profit can be as low as 20-30 US dollars, as high as 50-70 US dollars, and it is not difficult to make a profit of more than 100 US dollars if the position is good!
Gold rose in a wash-out manner last week. Our main idea is to fill the gap on May 12. Although there were twists and turns during the week, the bulls finally stabilized the situation and successfully rose sharply. Last week, gold was mainly affected by tariff news, especially the collapse of the European and American tariff talks on Friday, and Trump's 90-day window period. Risk aversion pushed gold to rise sharply, and the weekly line closed with a big positive line. At present, there is still room for bulls to rise. As for the mid-line, we have said in the opening article that we will continue the super sweep next; therefore, while we are bullish this week, we will pay attention to the high and fall. After gold fell to the 3120 area, we have insisted on being bullish until now. Next, we need to change our thinking and focus on the bearish after the week's rise.
Fundamentals: The EU plans to "fast-track" trade negotiations with the United States to avoid a transatlantic "trade war", indicating that the two sides will adopt a more friendly attitude. Just a few days ago, Trump criticized the EU for delaying the negotiation process. An EU spokesman said that in the negotiations with the United States, the EU's "zero tariffs against zero tariffs" proposal is still on the negotiating table; it is reported that the EU has planned to speed up negotiations with the United States. The tariff news is talk and fight, fight and talk, and the market is jumping up and down! Iran said that it is fully prepared to strike Israel appropriately. It will not accept the practice of suspending uranium enrichment to ensure a nuclear agreement with the United States. Germany's Merz said that Western countries have lifted the range restrictions on weapons aid to Ukraine. Yesterday's slight fluctuations, the lower shadow of the daily line, belong to the downward recovery, and there is a possibility of breaking up today; however, there has been a wave of highs and falls in the Asian session recently, so if you consider breaking up first in the Asian session, you will follow the trend. From the price point of view, the focus of the day is the pressure of 3353-3357 area. Adjustment is expected below. If it breaks through, the high point of last week, 3365, is likely to be broken, and then further 3380-3400-3415 area. Pay attention to the trend support since 3120 below, which is the key for the day, and then yesterday's low area, 3320-3325 and last Friday's low area, 3385-3390. In terms of operation, short first when the Asian session rises, and follow the trend to go long when the resistance is broken. Refer to the support and resistance to formulate strategies.
In general: the short-term price is still volatile. The main focus of the day is 3329-3320. Falling below 3320 means that the price will fall back and repair. Currently, pay attention to the support of 3328-29. What we need to pay attention to above is the high point break of 3356 and 3365.
Now the idea of the US market, the current high-altitude strategy is still valid. Pay attention to the opportunity of 3323 resistance not breaking during the day. The key support below is 3289-3286.
Gold plunged again! The bears will continue!
Today, gold has returned to the channel again after this wave of decline. The price broke the upward trend line support. Has the trend turned bearish? No, according to my analysis yesterday, after the price broke the 3322-3324 support line, it was around the 3370-3380 support line. The market turned to shocks and waited for the momentum to rise again. Today, gold is moving according to our expected analysis. The market is also expected to go here, so this view remains unchanged.
So for today's US market, the probability of continuing the direction of the European market is very high, and the morning market is often less continuous and cannot be used as a reference. Therefore, the European market fell and weakened, and the US market rebounded and continued to look for a second decline. Focus on the 3320 line pressure, the watershed 3328, and the support below is 3270-3280. If it is touched, consider low and long to see a rebound.
Gold is under pressure in the short term, sell!This wave of large-range sweeps that started on April 17 formed a large channel, and the price once again touched the lower track of the channel, forming a bottoming-out recovery.
This is also the reason why I insist on selling at a high price recently. The space budget is about 200-300 US dollars, which is the weekly level sweep space
Go to the lower track of the channel to consider recovering the space of 200-300 US dollars
Go to the upper track of the channel to consider recovering the space of 200-300 US dollars
The most recent one is the rise formed by touching the 3120-3121 area. As of the current sprint to the 3366 area, the rise is about 245 US dollars
And it continues to hover at the upper track of the channel. Is it a new beginning? It also needs to break through the key support defense line
The corresponding is the hourly chart double line, the four-hour lifeline and the daily lifeline
Specifically:
1. The hourly chart double line position is now in the 3306-3270 area. After the price broke through the double line, it used the double line lower track (purple trend line) as suppression and continued to fall and break low
Then after breaking through the double line, it turned into support, especially after breaking through the repeatedly suppressed purple trend line position 3250, forming an accelerated sprint, and the space range exceeded 100 US dollars
Then the purple trend line position, as the space switching line position, the subsequent space breakthrough will achieve at least 100 US dollars of space switching
Now this position is 3270, the distance is a little far, mark it first!
2. The four-hour lifeline is now at 3323. After the price surged, there was no increase in volume and acceleration. Instead, it continued to surge and fall. The four-hour pattern also began to close. The lifeline position is the dividing line. The double-line lower track and the pattern lower track are superimposed in the 3283 area. Special attention should be paid to it. Together with the 3270 position of the hourly chart, it will become the space switching point for the subsequent market. 3. Interestingly, the daily lifeline is in the 3286 range, which is also the low point in the second half of last week and the final support point determined by the retracement. Multiple supports are superimposed here, which means that the subsequent price can fall below this point, and the space will be switched.
4. Sweep in the short-term blue channel range. After standing above 3330-3332 again last Friday, the upward increase was expanded to find the upper rail of the channel, which is also the upper rail of the large range, at 3366. After confirming the resistance, it fell back again.
The current channel range is 3366-3306, with the middle acceleration point at 3340 area. This is used as the boundary. The suppression is successful and falls back below 3330. The area to look for is 3306-3300, followed by 32 96 (the excess range is 3288)
Then we need to pay attention to the area below 3288 mentioned in the above three points. This area will either not be given, or when it is really given, it is likely to be directly broken through, and then find the purple trend line position 3270 range
In summary, for the next gold, first consider the small blue channel range of 3366-3306, and use 3340 as the dividing line to switch space
Secondly, if it rises again and breaks 3366, the next resistance is 3386 to continue to sweep the high range
Finally, it is possible to suppress the area below 3306, and gradually break through the low point area of 3286-3288. If it successfully breaks through, the bears will start to recover the lost ground.
Referring to this idea, choose to continue to maintain the idea of high altitude. The current short position of 3349-3347 is under pressure to fall to the 3332 area. It can be harvested in the short term. The small band continues to hold the principal loss and look down to the 3320-3310 area.
In the short term, continue to pay attention to the short position of 3340-3342, stop loss 3349, target 3320-3310!
Gold ( XAU ) is testing consolidation supportGold has not broken the bullish trend yet. The price has left the ascending wedge and entered the consolidation phase, while the whole market is in the correction phase.
There is a strong and quite important support level on the chart, for which there may be a tough fight. False breakdown of the support may support the price growth
Scenario: False break of the support zone 3285 - 2380, consolidation above 3285 - 3290 will confirm the buyer's victory, which may cause a wave of purchases.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Trendline Breakout – Short Set.Trend Channel: Price had been moving within a clear ascending channel. Recently, price action tested the lower trendline and appears to have broken below it, indicating potential bearish momentum.
Ichimoku Cloud: The price has moved below the Ichimoku cloud, which adds further bearish confirmation. This breakdown of both the trendline and the cloud indicates a possible shift in trend direction.
Volume Spike: A slight increase in volume during the breakout suggests growing interest from sellers.
Entry Signal: The chart marks a zone (circle) where traders should watch for a red candle confirmation. A bearish close below the trendline supports initiating a short position.
Targets:
TP1 (Take Profit 1): Around the 3,240 zone — this is a moderate support area and a conservative profit target.
TP2 (Take Profit 2): Around the 3,160 zone — this aligns with a previous demand zone and represents a deeper corrective move.
Trade Strategy:
Entry: After confirmation with a red candle below the trendline and Ichimoku cloud.
SL (Stop Loss): Ideally placed above the trendline or recent high to protect against a false breakout.
Conclusion:
If the price holds below the ascending channel and the Ichimoku cloud, the setup favors short sellers. Watch closely for bearish candlestick confirmation before entering. TP1 and TP2 offer clear targets based on past support zones.
Would you like a follow-up with live price tracking or updated levels?
How to Use Stop Losses in TradingViewThis video covers stop loss orders, explaining what they are, why traders use them, and how to set them up in TradingView.
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
The placement of contingent orders by you or broker, or trading advisor, such as a "stop-loss" or "stop-limit" order, will not necessarily limit your losses to the intended amounts, since market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.
Gold Technical Analysis.This chart is a 1-hour time frame for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD), shared by a trader or analyst group. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Current Price: 3,301.440 USD/oz, down -0.92%.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Around 3,285.483 – 3,301.440.
Resistance Zone / Target: Around 3,345.669.
Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: Within the current support zone.
Target: 3,345.669, which aligns with the upper resistance zone.
Stop-Loss (SL): Just below the lower support line at 3,285.483.
Pattern:
The market appears to be in a downtrend recently, but the chart suggests a potential bounce from the current support zone for a bullish move.
Interpretation: The trader is likely suggesting a long (buy) position with a favorable risk-reward ratio, betting on a reversal or bounce off support towards the target zone.
Let me know if you'd like help analyzing this setup further or converting it into a trade plan.
XAU/USD Bounces Off Strong Support Zone – Bullish MomentumGold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong bounce from the clearly defined support zone around the 3280–3290 level on the 1-hour timeframe. This zone has held multiple times in the past, confirming its significance. Additionally, the 200 EMA (red) is aligned with this horizontal support, creating a strong confluence area. Price action has respected this level, forming a bullish reversal candle setup, indicating potential for upside movement.
Based on this structure, a long (buy) trade can be considered around the 3300–3305 range, ideally after a bullish confirmation candle or price holding above the EMAs. This entry provides an opportunity to ride the next wave upward while maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
The stop loss for this trade should be placed just below the support zone—around 3275 USD. Placing the stop slightly below this area protects against fakeouts while still maintaining good risk control. This is a logical level where the setup would be invalidated if breached.
For targets, the first potential resistance and partial profit booking zone is near 3335–3340 USD. This zone acted as resistance during previous price swings. If momentum sustains, the second target zone is around 3360–3370 USD, which marks a previous swing high and a likely destination for bullish continuation. For extended upside potential, traders can aim for 3385+ USD, especially if the price action is supported by volume and broader market sentiment.
This setup offers a clean technical play with a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:2.5 or higher. Traders can also trail their stop-loss once the price crosses above the first target to protect gains while riding further upside.
=================================================================
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Setup: Trendline Breakout + Fundamental TailwindsGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) gave us a textbook early entry on Friday after testing the 21-day moving average and surging on strong volume. The breakout of a short-term trendline confirms a bullish technical shift, supported by rising relative strength over the past two weeks. Historically, 4%+ weekly gains in a major index often mark a bottom, and this week’s 4.8% surge adds conviction to the setup.
On the macro front, gold remains a prime hedge in a volatile environment:
Sticky inflation pressures persist globally.
Geopolitical tensions remain elevated (Ukraine, Middle East, Taiwan).
Central banks continue adding to gold reserves, reflecting a shift away from fiat exposure.
Debt and deficit concerns in the U.S. are fueling safe-haven demand.
Gold’s role as a store of value is as relevant as ever in this uncertain backdrop.
Trade Setup:
📈 Entry: 3,335 – 3,368
🛑 Stop: 3,190 – 3,233
🎯 First Target: 3,500 — we’ll look to take profits on a reversal or add to the position on a break above all-time highs.
Let’s see how the follow-through develops next week.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern on XAUUSD (Gold)Chart: XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe (based on "XAUUSD-15-OANDA" in the image).
Pattern: Possible Inverted Head and Shoulders. The image highlights what appears to be a developing head and shoulders pattern.
Key Observations:
Head and Shoulders Formation: The image indicates a possible left shoulder, a head, and what could become a right shoulder.
Fibonacci Retracement: There's a Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 marked from the head to the potential right shoulder.
Trendline: A downward-sloping trendline connects the highs of the pattern.
Support/Resistance Levels: Horizontal yellow lines suggest potential support or resistance areas.
Wait for Fibretracemen fullback before sell GoldUpdate now XAAUSD Gold Sell3319.62 take profit 3268.78stop lose3343.16 share like follow my page more free signal analysis strategy like this let's goooo for sniper 🔫 entry early 📊📉📈
Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
Nasdaq 100. Mistakes and Daily Orderflow 27.05.25Covered the mistakes that I have made while reading the price. Wanted the shorts although the daily and the 4H suggested bullish price action. The good think was didn't forced. Just left the market after booking partials and breakeven
Post that took one long towards the Volume Imbalance
NQ: 197th trading session - recapI'm back, haven't had great days. School stress is really annoying me rn. I can't concentrade. Tomorrow, I will skip school and trade, I will be locked in, hopefully. And thursdays a holiday day in Germany - hopefully not in the US so the markets open...
BRENT outlook: Watching for a move toward the upper boundary (D)Price is currently trading within a broad range, and the main expectation is a move toward the upper boundary — but confirmation is key.
I'm watching the high of the May 22 bar as a key level, since it holds the highest traded volume in recent days.
If price breaks and holds above 64.987 ,
🎯 First target: 67.791
🎯 Second target: 68.619
Gold retracement adjustment. Pay attention to the timing.Gold prices continued to fall today, hitting a low of $3,285, and are currently recovering briefly.
I think there is room for profit in the long strategy, but the hourly line is only a single positive rise. Overall, the probability of volatility correction is still high. Compared with the short-term resistance position of 3,320, the correction is still within the normal range.
From the 4-hour chart, the 60-day MA of $3,320 has a certain suppression position on the upward trend, followed by the 90-day MA of $3,285, which provides strong short-term support. Today's price drop also failed to break through this support position; so this week will continue to fluctuate sharply, and the large fluctuations up and down are to accumulate momentum for the next wave of rise. The basic operation strategy of the bulls has not changed, but just a halftime break.
Operation strategy:
Buy near $3,295, stop loss at $3,285, and the profit range is $3,320-3,330.
GOLD HUNTER MODE: XAUUSD H1 OUTLOOK + DAILY PLAN (May 26, 2025)Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🌟 Hope you’re ready for a fresh week with the kind of sniper focus that turns confusion into clarity. Let’s break down Monday’s key levels and structure, so you trade with confidence, not hope.
Current price: ~3358
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, but caution is king as price sits at the top of a major H1 range.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3358–3368
H1 premium supply zone (last week’s local high + FVG unfilled)
Price hit premium, strong reactions likely
🦅 Eyes on — watch this area for potential sharp rejections or fakeout spikes!
🔻 3380–3395
M15/M30 extension, just above the current HH, in unmitigated OB + FVG
High risk for wicks and “bull trap” inducement
🦅 Aggressive sellers: this is your upper defense — don’t get faked!
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3325–3335
H1 demand/FVG + retest zone, previous breakout base
CHoCH confirmed, so first bounce possible here
🦅 Eyes on — look for bullish PA or quick rebounds, but wait for confirmation!
🟩 3295–3312
M15/M30 deep demand, oversold last week, zone of confluence with 50 EMA
If price nukes through first demand, this is the next major long trigger
🦅 This is where real buyers step in — be patient, don’t rush!
🟠 INTRADAY MID-ZONE
⚡ 3340–3348
Intraday equilibrium, lots of chop expected
Not ideal for entries; instead, use this zone to judge direction after NY open
🦅 Eyes on — let price tell the story, don’t force trades in the middle!
📊 STRUCTURE RECAP (H1 + M15/M30 Confluence)
Bullish structure intact above 3325–3330, but buyers need to defend each demand zone or we retrace lower.
Premium zones above 3358 are loaded with liquidity and can reverse fast. If price fakes out above 3368–3395 and rejects hard, expect a selloff to next demand.
If buyers defend 3325–3335 with a strong CHoCH/BOS, we can see a new impulse leg higher.
👋 Final Note: Watch, Don’t Chase!
This is a week for patient, sniper-style entries. Watch the 3358–3368 zone like a hawk — every wick, every fakeout counts!
Don’t get trapped in the chop; let price come to your key POIs and wait for confirmation.
If you found this plan helpful, smash that like, follow, and drop your questions or thoughts below! Your feedback fuels the next level of analysis.
Let’s crush the week, team! 🚀
— GoldFxMinds
Market next move
1. Misleading Bullish Label
Issue: The chart marks the latest price action as "Bullish" based on a short-term recovery.
Disruption: This could be a dead-cat bounce — a temporary recovery in a downtrend. The overall trend from the prior candles is bearish, and a few green candles don’t confirm a reversal without volume or structural confirmation.
---
2. Volume Analysis Ignored
Issue: The volume spike accompanying the recent green candles is not fully analyzed.
Disruption: Although there's higher volume, it could be short covering or a reaction to news, not organic buying interest. No volume divergence or institutional footprint confirmation is given.
---
3. No Confirmation Pattern
Issue: No mention of chart patterns (e.g., double bottom, inverse head and shoulders, etc.).
Disruption: Calling it “bullish” without a clear technical pattern or confirmation (like a break of resistance or retest) is speculative.
---
4. Vague Target
Issue: The “Target” is labeled without specifics.
Disruption: There's no price level, Fibonacci retracement, or resistance level justification. A target without rationale lacks credibility.
---
5. No Risk Management
Issue: No stop-loss or risk level is discussed.
Disruption: Without defined risk-reward ratio, the analysis is incomplete and not tradable. Every strategy needs downside planning.
what will be the next movewhat we can expect the next move will be on break of bot and expect 150 to 200 pips
GOLD SHORTHello everyone hope y'all having an amazing day. This is my GOLD analysis for this week it gonna sell. Saying this besed on my price action strategy. Drop your thoughts below 👇🏽
Market next target Disruption of the Analysis
1. Weak Confirmation of Reversal: The chart shows a possible target zone after a recent small bullish move, but the candlestick reversal pattern is weak and lacks a strong confirmation candle. Without a bullish engulfing or a high-volume breakout, this “Target” may be premature.
2. Downtrend Momentum Intact: Despite the slight bounce, the broader trend remains bearish (visible by the previous lower lows and lower highs). No trendline break or structural shift supports a move toward the target.
3. Volume Does Not Support Breakout: Although there is a small spike in green volume, it does not exceed previous bearish volume, which suggests that buyers are not yet in control.
4. Over-reliance on Visual Targeting: The “Target” label appears to be placed based on a subjective expectation, not on a clear technical structure like a resistance level, Fibonacci retracement, or moving average. This makes it speculative.
5. Lack of Indicator Confluence: There are no visible indicators (like RSI, MACD, or EMA crossovers) shown to justify a reversal. Trading solely on price action without confirmation from indicators reduces reliability.
