Get started

Futures market

Silver12 18 24 I felt compelled to do this video after most of the markets closed for the day because the previous video I claimed was not a good trade because the market was actually contracted and trading a contracted Market is a very bad idea. near the end of the session on Silver it managed to produce a very substantial move lower in effect creating an expanding market for silver and because of this a bad Market turned in to a good Market to go higher. over the years I made a concerted effort to look for behaviors that could keep me out of bad markets and attract me to the good markets. today the silver expanded near the end of the day and there was a confluence with the expansion of the market and the simultaneous Target of an ABCD pattern at a double bottom. this Market became an untreatable market today and turned into a great opportunity by the end of the day and I believe this is a good trade to go long at the end of the trading day or even at this time since the market has started a new day even though we're still on Wednesday and the market still trading so that you could make an entry into the market if you wanted to. the funny thing about trading is that if you appreciate opening price when the markets starting to trade after it's been put on hold at the end of 1 day and then opens in a couple of hours the next day you know what a mistreats it can get you in the market and carry you through for the rest of the day when you get up at 6:00 in the morning or whatever it is opening price trades happen so often that it's one time of the day you probably don't want to miss. these last couple of sentences were not expressed in the video but I've talked about this many times in the past.
COMEX:SI1!
by ScottBogatin
How Often Do Professional Traders Actually Trade?One of the biggest misconceptions in trading is the belief that successful traders are constantly active in the market. Many imagine professionals glued to their screens, executing trade after trade, chasing every price movement. The reality is much different. Professional traders focus more on quality than quantity. They understand that in the world of trading, less is often more. The Pitfalls of Over-Trading Over-trading is one of the most common reasons traders struggle, particularly beginners. There’s a certain allure to being “in the action,” and it’s easy to confuse frequent trading with productivity. However, every time you take a position, you are exposing your account to risk. Without a solid reason for entering, backed by a clear trading edge, trading becomes nothing more than gambling. Amateur traders often fall into this trap. They believe that the more they trade, the faster they will achieve their goals. But what they fail to realize is that over-trading often leads to poor decision-making, over-leveraging, and emotional trading—all of which can quickly deplete a trading account. Professional traders take the opposite approach. They know that the market will always present opportunities, and there’s no need to chase every move. Instead, they focus on patiently waiting for setups that align with their proven strategies, where they have a clear edge. This disciplined approach minimizes unnecessary risk and maximizes profitability over the long term. The Foundation of Success: Mastering One Strategy Professional traders don’t rely on luck or randomness to succeed. Their consistency comes from mastering a specific trading strategy. Instead of dabbling in multiple approaches, they dedicate time and effort to understanding and refining one methodology. This gives them the ability to quickly identify high-quality setups that fit their criteria. For example, some traders specialize in price action trading, focusing on candlestick patterns and market structure to guide their decisions. Others might rely on Elliott Waves or fundamental analysis. The key is that they don’t deviate from their chosen method, and they don’t let market noise distract them. By sticking to one strategy, professional traders also develop a deep understanding of how it performs under different market conditions. This reduces uncertainty and helps them avoid impulsive trades, which often stem from frustration or fear of missing out (FOMO). Patience and Discipline: The Cornerstones of Professional Trading Patience is arguably the most underrated skill in trading. While it’s easy to talk about, it’s much harder to practice, especially for beginners who feel pressured to “do something” whenever the market moves. Professionals, however, are comfortable sitting on the sidelines for extended periods if necessary. They understand that waiting for the right opportunity is far more valuable than being constantly active. This patience stems from experience and the knowledge that not every market movement is worth trading. Many professionals only trade a few times a week, or even less, because they’re selective about the setups they act on. Discipline complements patience. It’s one thing to recognize a good trading opportunity, but it’s another to follow through with proper execution. Professional traders have strict plans in place, outlining their entry, stop loss, and target levels. They don’t deviate from these plans, even when emotions or market conditions tempt them to. This disciplined approach ensures that their trading decisions are consistent and not influenced by short-term emotions or irrational impulses. Trading Frequency: How Often Do Professionals Trade? The frequency of trades among professionals varies, but those who achieve consistent success often lean towards less frequent trading. Swing traders, who operate on daily or 4-hour charts, might place only a handful of trades each week or even month. Positional traders take this approach even further, sometimes executing just a few well-considered trades per year. The common denominator among these traders is their selectivity. They don’t trade for the sake of trading. Instead, every position they take is deliberate, guided by a well-defined setup that aligns with their strategy. For them, trading less frequently doesn’t mean missing out—it means focusing on high-probability opportunities while avoiding unnecessary risks. One reason professionals favor fewer trades is their preference for higher timeframes. Daily and 4-hour charts provide a clearer, more reliable perspective on the market, filtering out the noise and unpredictability of smaller timeframes. This approach allows them to make informed, calculated decisions and avoid the stress and over-analysis that come with constant market monitoring. The Power of Quality Over Quantity One of the most important lessons in trading is that quality matters far more than quantity. Professional traders know this, which is why they prioritize high-probability setups over constant activity. They view trading as a long-term game, where consistency is the goal. Every trade they take has a clear reason behind it, supported by their strategy and risk management rules. They don’t trade for excitement or to “make up” for losses. Instead, they focus on making the right decisions at the right time. For aspiring traders, the message is simple: slow down. Don’t fall into the trap of thinking that more trades equal more success. Take the time to master one strategy, be patient for quality setups, and stay disciplined in your execution. Conclusion Professional forex trading is about precision, not frequency. By trading less often and focusing on high-quality setups, professionals minimize risk and maximize their chances of success. They’ve learned to embrace patience and discipline, understanding that trading isn’t about chasing every move—it’s about waiting for the right opportunities and making the most of them. If you’re serious about becoming a successful trader, it’s time to rethink the idea that you need to be constantly active. Take a step back, refine your strategy, and remember: the best traders know when to trade and, just as importantly, when not to.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
12
SIlver possible buy set upSilver is currently in a downtrend, driven by the strength of the U.S. dollar following Fed Chair Powell's speech earlier today. However, as we analyze the chart, we can see that the price is approaching a key diagonal support level. This area has historically shown buyer interest, and I anticipate a potential rebound from this zone. With the Fed signaling a slower pace of rate cuts in the coming year, the dollar's momentum may be temporary, creating an opportunity for silver to regain strength. This setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for a buy on XAG/USD, targeting a bounce from the diagonal support while keeping an eye on USD dynamics and upcoming economic data. Monitor closely for confirmation of buyer activity before entering the trade.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Eleazarahmath
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 2618.36, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 2577, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be at 2665.40, an overlap resistance close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
#GOLD XAUUSD SELL MORE?🌐The Fed cut interest rates by another quarter point to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% early this morning and announced it would continue to shrink its balance sheet. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted to keep rates unchanged. After confirming the Fed had delivered a 25 basis point cut, markets immediately turned to see how the central bank’s view on future rate cuts has changed. Unsurprisingly, the Fed is expected to be more cautious in 2025 than President Trump had predicted before the election. The Fed is expected to cut by 50 basis points, while raising its inflation outlook
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeAdvisory
GOLD -- Fell below 2650 with negative fundamental driversOANDA:XAUUSD continued its downward trajectory, dipping to $2,648, underpinned by adverse fundamental drivers. The key question now is whether a retracement is on the horizon or if the decline will deepen further. Optimism about Chinese stimulus faded due to growing concerns over the U.S.-China trade war. In a closed report, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) stated that China has begun retaliating against President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming tariffs by implementing non-tariff measures. The market now believes that the Fed might send a hawkish signal by indicating a pause in January after the anticipated 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at the December 17-18 policy meeting, especially following the release of higher-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Technically, gold remains confined within its current channel, with the consolidation phase still intact. The primary focus lies on the key support zone between 2636 and 2634, below which a large liquidity cluster could serve as a potential target for prices. The 2636 support level could trigger a retracement, depending on forthcoming market developments. If the retracement appears shallow and prices quickly return to this level, the likelihood of a break below support increases, potentially driving prices down to levels like 2612 and 2580. However, if gold can stabilize above 2682 and consolidate above local highs, it could pave the way for a retest of higher levels. Regards Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold --> Bear Market Intensifies, Key Resistance LoomsHello, dear friends! This is Ben. Gold prices rose after a false breakout at 2,650. Fundamentally, the situation remains complex, and technically... The metal's price is being influenced by geopolitical tensions, weaker U.S. bond yields, and a softer USD, which supports the safe-haven appeal of XAU/USD. However, bets on a less dovish Fed warrant caution for bullish markets ahead of this week's FOMC meeting. Theoretically, additional gold price gains could be limited by concerns about China's economy after its industrial production posted a modest rise in November, while retail sales disappointed. Widening gold discounts in India amid subdued wedding season demand due to higher prices may also act as a drag on the metal. China and India remain the largest gold consumers globally. Looking ahead, U.S. PMI data also warrants attention for fresh insights into the Fed's rate trajectory next year, which could heavily influence gold prices—given gold's sensitivity to the USD. From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of a major range, testing critical support. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. If there is a false breakout around the 2,655 level, a minor correction toward resistance could form. However, with prices testing strong support, we may witness a false breakout followed by a corrective move to the 2,660–2,675 region (0.618 Fib retracement) before resuming the downtrend. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
2
GOLD --> Correction Before Potential Further DeclineOANDA:XAUUSD transitioning to a Correction Phase After Last Week's Economic Data. Market participants are generally confirming the bearish nature after returning to the channel. The market is broadly prepared for a 25% rate cut, but traders seem cautious about hints regarding the Fed's stance: whether the Fed will cut interest rates, shift to a wait-and-see approach, or imply a rate hike based on last week's economic data. Traders are eagerly awaiting the Fed's decision, which will be announced on December 18. Gold prices continue to be supported by safe-haven demand amidst ongoing geopolitical risks. Additionally, China's continued gold purchases are providing further momentum for this precious metal. Technically, after a false breakout at the 2721 level, a deep correction is forming, which typically develops into a local downward trend. Prices are approaching the panic zone of 2615-2600. During the Asian trading session, gold maintained its earlier recovery above $2650 as buyers still held control amidst the persistently weak US dollar and sluggish US Treasury yields, with attention on key resistance levels. Prices are heading toward the imbalance zone in the correction process. A swift approach and retest of resistance could trigger a recovery. Traders may enter the profit-taking phase before major news releases. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
2
Gold: Short-Term Fluctuations, Long-Term TriumphsAs a market analyst, I observe that global gold prices currently stand at $2,647 per ounce, with February 2025 gold futures on the Comex New York exchange priced at $2,675 per ounce, reflecting a 0.03% increase from the previous day. Over the past week, gold has shown a solid 0.8% gain. From my perspective, gold has had a remarkable year, and while it is now undergoing a phase of correction, I firmly believe this pullback will not last long. My analysis suggests that gold prices will rise further in the coming months. This outlook is supported by several key factors, including loose monetary policies, strong central bank buying activity, and growing demand for safe-haven assets, all of which are likely to drive gold to new record highs this year. I’m also closely following comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell after each meeting, as these are crucial for shaping investor expectations for 2025. Inflation remains a pressing issue, still falling short of the Fed’s 2% target. According to Nicky Shiels, a metals strategist at MKS PAMP SA, gold prices could reach $2,500 per ounce, or even as high as $3,000 per ounce, depending on how effectively the Fed manages inflation. In the short term, my projection is that gold will trade within a range of $2,647 to $2,760 per ounce. For the longer term, I align with Goldman Sachs' forecast that gold could achieve $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025. This aligns with the broader trends I’m observing, where persistent economic uncertainties and evolving monetary policies continue to shape a favorable environment for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader-Briannnn
##Gold Technical Analysis for the Upcoming Week 15/12/2024### Current Market Overview Gold has shown significant price movements recently, encountering challenges in breaking through key resistance levels. As we approach a crucial week with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, here’s a comprehensive technical analysis for gold (XAU/USD) to guide your trading decisions. ### Recent Price Action Breakout Attempt: Gold made an attempt to breach the resistance zone around $2700-$2720 but failed to maintain the bullish momentum. This failure suggests potential exhaustion among buyers and could indicate profit-taking ahead of the FOMC week. Post-PPI Movement: Following the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) data, gold faced significant selling pressure, highlighting the market's sensitivity to inflationary signals that may influence future monetary policy. Current Price: As of the latest close, gold is trading at $2648, which is below the 60% Fibonacci retracement level from the last bullish impulse. This positioning indicates a possible shift in the short-term trend from bullish to bearish, or at the very least, a period of consolidation. ### Support and Resistance Levels - Support Levels: - Immediate support is noted around $2638. - Further supports are at $2623 and $2590. A break below these levels could accelerate declines towards $2565/2530 or even $2485. - Resistance Levels: - The recent high around $2692-$2721 now serves as key resistance, with $2671 also acting as a hurdle. For gold to reverse the current bearish sentiment, it would need to rise above this resistance zone decisively. ### Potential Scenarios for Next Week Bearish Scenario: If gold continues to trade below the 60% retracement level and fails to reclaim the $2692, we can expect further downward movement. Key levels to monitor would be the mentioned supports. A decisive break below these could indicate a deeper correction, targeting $2530/2485 or lower. Bullish Reversal: Should gold find strength and bounce back—potentially due to renewed safe-haven demand or a dovish signal from central banks—watch for a move above $2722 for confirmation. A sustained rise with good volume could invalidate the current bearish setup and signal a new upward trend. ### Anticipated Impact of FOMC Rate Decision FOMC Statements and Dot Plot: The FOMC's language, especially regarding future rate paths, will be essential. If hints of more aggressive rate cuts for 2025 are suggested, a bullish reaction could ensue for gold. Conversely, a hawkish or neutral stance could exert downward pressure on gold prices. Market Expectations: Current expectations lean towards a rate cut, but traders should be vigilant for indications of the Fed's overall policy aggressiveness. Any surprises in the FOMC decision could lead to substantial price swings for gold. Volatility Ahead: As the FOMC announcement approaches, increased volatility is expected. Traders should be prepared for whipsaws—sharp price movements that may reverse quickly. ### Post-FOMC Scenarios Bullish Case: If the Fed adopts a dovish tone, leading to a weaker dollar and lower yields, gold may become an attractive hedge. If it reclaims and holds above $2680-$2716 post-FOMC, we could see a resurgence in bullish momentum, targeting new highs. Bearish Case: Should the Fed's messaging be less dovish than anticipated, or if fewer rate cuts are indicated, we could see a strengthening of the dollar, pushing gold down further. Prices below $2600 may see intensified bearish momentum. Neutral or Consolidation: If the FOMC decision aligns with expectations without providing new insights, gold might continue to consolidate until another significant catalyst emerges. ### Conclusion The upcoming FOMC decision is pivotal for gold's price trajectory. Prepare for various scenarios based on the Fed's policy direction, and utilize this analysis to guide your trades effectively. Stay informed, stay alert, and best of luck in your trading endeavors!
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by SRFXGlobal
Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart The current price is trading around 2649. A focus on bearish potential below this level could indicate continuing the downward trend if it breaks down further. A bearish outlook for gold below 2649 with the formation of a head and shoulders pattern coupled with a rising wedge is a significant indication to monitor. If the price tests and breaks below 2645, it could lead to further declines, reinforcing the bearish bias. Always remember to manage risk accordingly and adjust your strategy based on real-time market developments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SRFXGlobal
1216 Weekly outlook GOLDHello traders, December highlights, the last heavyweight data week before Christmas, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates! The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic projections this Thursday (03:00), followed by a press conference at 03:30 led by Chairman Powell. Currently, market consensus indicates a 97% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on December 17-18. Importantly, the market expects that after this rate cut, the Fed may begin to pause rate cuts in early 2025. Therefore, Powell's remarks and the latest economic forecasts will be very significant, as the Fed may slow down the pace of rate cuts. With this trend expectation, the inverse correlation of a weakening gold and strengthening dollar has already re-emerged. The latest daily chart of gold compared to the dollar shows that the dollar has consistently remained above the daily EMA and is currently in a consolidation phase, poised for an upward move. Gold is supplemented with this latest daily chart from Monday, which shows a double-top bearish pattern. Currently, the bears are dominant, and the daily candlestick chart is running below the EMA. Scott Rubner, a senior capital flow expert at Goldman Sachs, may provide some insights into capital flows before Christmas: First, the impact of global, especially the Federal Reserve's, interest rate cut expectations. With the market generally expecting a 97% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's December meeting, this could stimulate investors' risk appetite. Rate cuts usually mean lower borrowing costs, which promotes consumption and investment, thereby driving up the stock market. Second, the so-called annual "Santa Claus rally." The "Santa Claus rally" refers to the seasonal rise in the market at the end of each year, driven by holiday spirit and investor optimism. If the market's expectations for rate cuts are confirmed, there is indeed a higher likelihood that the S&P 500 index will rebound in the last few trading days of 2024. Third, the impact of year-end corporate buyback plans on market capital flows. Corporate stock buybacks are an effective means of driving up stock prices. When companies announce large-scale buyback plans, the market usually interprets this as confidence in the company's prospects, which also boosts investor confidence. It is reported that U.S. companies have approved stock buybacks worth $1 trillion by 2025, which could also drive the stock market significantly higher! As risk assets strengthen, investors' risk appetite typically increases. Gold does not generate interest or dividends, so the opportunity cost of holding gold rises. Investors are likely to prefer allocating funds to higher-risk, higher-return assets like stocks rather than traditional safe-haven assets like gold. A weakening of gold before 2025 is highly probable. **Gold** The bullish plan for gold laid out before last Thursday has completed its trading plan, with all profit targets reached. The trading plan from last Thursday aimed to continue the previous upward trend, looking for new bullish entry opportunities. 2690 was identified as a support level for entering long positions, but it became a resistance area on Friday. After no bullish entry signals appeared on the 1-hour chart on Thursday, the updated trading plan based on the latest 4-hour chart is as follows: **Friday 4-hour chart trading plan:** Before the U.S. market opens, look for 1-hour entry signals to short gold. TP1: 2648 TP2: 2618 TP3: 2575 Currently, the first target of 2648 has been reached; it is best to move the stop loss to the entry position and continue holding the short position. Considering the above 4-hour chart, wait for new consolidation signals; before this week's critical data and time points, gold will likely continue to decline, so patience is key! GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
NQ1 - Buy The Rate Cut DipThese post interest rate decision areas tend to be high volatility with wild whipsaws. We've certainly had high volatility with an immediate slam dump reaction today. But bonds also dumped today and in what appears to be in a high time frame downtrend: This is positive for stock indexes. A 0.25 rate cut does suggest the FED is on track with inflation and it was what was expected. So I think there is a good chance that this dump is the first wave of whipsaw and there may be significant bullish cause in the pipeline. There is no telling where this dump ends but it has hit support and that does somewhat increase the chance of a reversal. I'll give this one room to breathe and it may hit the lower support where I will add to my position if it does. I think we may see a very bullish 2025 and this area might be a great dip buy opportunity. Not advice.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by dRends35
1
Trading Silver: Sell Rallies Amid XAG/USD’s Bearish MomentumLast week, OANDA:XAGUSD made several attempts to break through the 32.30 resistance zone but failed to sustain any momentum. Much like the price action in OANDA:XAUUSD , Thursday was marked by a bearish engulfing candle, which was even more significant given the preceding day's Doji formation. Following the formation of this bearish engulfing candle, the price dropped sharply, reaching a local low around the 30.30 level, marking a 2,000-pip drop from the previous high. The structure forming since mid-September resembles a potential head and shoulders pattern, although it has not been confirmed yet. If the price breaks below the 30.00 zone, it could put further pressure on the selling side, triggering more downside momentum. In this scenario, the next key support level to watch would be around 27.80, with the measured target for the pattern being approximately 25.00. At this point, resistance is positioned at 31.50, and any rallies approaching this level should be viewed as potential selling opportunities. Sellers may look to capitalize on these rallies, anticipating a continuation of the downtrend. Additionally, the bearish outlook is reinforced by a bearish Pin Bar on the weekly chart, which adds further weight to the negative bias. This combination of factors—bearish patterns on both the daily and weekly charts—suggests that the downward pressure could persist, with further downside potential for XAG/USD in the near term. In summary, traders should remain cautious about buying in the current environment. Instead, the focus should be on selling rallies, especially near key resistance levels, while keeping an eye on the 30.00 support level as a key area for potential breakdown.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2