Gold Finds Support in PRZ – $3,337 in Sight? As I expected in my previous idea , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved towards the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel.
Gold is moving near the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Monthly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 can be complex . Confirmation of the end of the main wave 4 requires a break of the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) .
I expect Gold to move up after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the first target could be $3,314 and the second target could be $3,337 . If the momentum is high for Gold, you can consider higher targets for Gold to increase .
Note: If Gold touches $3,245 , we should expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
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Futures market
Narrow trading range, medium and long term outlook is bullishGeopolitical tensions have pushed gold prices higher, with the medium- to long-term outlook still pointing to upside potential, and a recovery in Chinese demand could provide potential support.
OANDA:XAUUSD edged up in early Asian trade on Tuesday. Russia recently launched its largest-ever drone and missile attack on Ukraine, ignoring President Trump’s call to stop the bombing, according to Ukrainian officials.
Gold prices fell nearly 1%
On Monday, international gold prices were under pressure and fell nearly 1%. Affected by US President Trump's decision to postpone the imposition of a 50% tariff on EU goods, the market's risk-off sentiment has cooled significantly, and the appeal of gold as a traditional safe-haven asset has weakened.
The most actively traded June 2025 gold futures closed at $3,342.2/ounce, down $23.6 (-1.45%) on the day, with intraday fluctuations ranging from $3,322.9 to $3,356. Due to the Memorial Day holiday in the United States, COMEX did not announce settlement prices on that day, and the UK and US markets were closed at the same time.
Policy changes affect short-term trends, narrow-range trading is likely to bring big changes
Trump’s extension of the US-EU trade talks deadline from June 1 to July 9 has directly undermined the market’s safe-haven demand for gold. The holiday-induced liquidity crunch has further exacerbated price volatility.
The move is in stark contrast to gold’s performance last Friday, when the OANDA:XAUUSD price recorded its biggest one-day gain in six weeks as Trump threatened to impose tariffs on EU goods and Apple’s iPhones.
Geopolitical risks have not disappeared and institutions remain bullish on the outlook
Reasons include the ongoing changes in US tariff policy, the continued escalation of the Ukraine geopolitical crisis and fiscal concerns. Data shows that Russia has launched airstrikes on Ukraine for three consecutive nights, including the largest attack since the conflict began in 2022, and the intensity of the war has not abated.
With what is available in terms of trade, geopolitical and monetary policy risks, gold still has a lot of upside potential in the coming period.
China’s demand is showing signs of recovery, which could be the latest factor
The latest trade data showed that mainland China’s gold imports via Hong Kong in April hit their highest level since March last year. The recovery in physical gold purchases in Asia could support lower gold prices, especially amid increasingly volatile investment demand in the West.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold traded in a fairly narrow range in the early Asian session today, Tuesday (May 27), with technical conditions still leaning towards the upside, with spot gold currently trading around $3,341/oz. After falling from $3,371, the target price point is the price point of the temporary 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. The bullish momentum of gold prices remains unaffected as the nearest support is the confluence of the (EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement).
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remaining above 50 should be considered a positive signal as the RSI is still quite far from the overbought zone indicating that there is still room for upside ahead.
Next, if gold breaks above $3,371 it will be in a position to continue its rally towards the short-term target of $3,400, more so $3,435 and then the all-time high of $3,500.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it still has a short-term bullish outlook, and the long-term trend continues to be noticed by the price channel.
During the day, the gold price's bullish trend will be interested by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3391 - 3389⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3395
→Take Profit 1 3383
↨
→Take Profit 2 3377
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3285⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3279
→Take Profit 1 3291
↨
→Take Profit 2 3297
Gold fluctuates strongly, pay attention to key breakthroughs
Yesterday, gold fluctuated slightly, and the daily line closed with a lower shadow hammer pattern, showing a downward recovery trend, with short-term bulls in the lead. Today, focus on the breakthrough of the upper pressure. If it breaks through the 3356-57 area, it may further test 3365 or even 3380-3415; on the contrary, if it rises and falls in the Asian session, it is necessary to pay attention to the support performance below.
Technical analysis
Daily level
K-line pattern: small hammer line, showing strong buying support below.
Indicator: MACD golden cross is initially established, STO overbought zone adhesion, indicating that bullish volatility continues.
Key support: middle rail and moving average support 3303-3289, short-term MA5 support 3329.
4-hour level
MACD dead cross opens, STO repairs downward, and there is a need for a short-term decline.
Key support: middle rail and MA30 (3329-3318), lower rail and MA60 (3288-3265).
Pressure: 3356-3365, breaking through will open upside space.
Hourly level
MACD crosses near the zero axis, STO moves downward rapidly, short-term weakness.
Support focus on 3328-29, break down to 3320; pressure focus on 3342-50.
Operation strategy
Radicals go short at 3342-44, stop loss at 3354, target at 3331-3322, break to 3310-3290.
Breakout and follow long
If it stands above 3357, go long near 3350, stop loss at 3340, target at 3365-3380.
Support level long position
3323-20 stabilizes short-term long (quick in and out), and wait and see if it falls below 3320.
Summary
Gold will maintain strong volatility in the short term. Pay attention to the possibility of a high and fall in the Asian session, and focus on the breakthrough direction in the European and American sessions. 3356-65 above is the key watershed for bulls, and 3320-30 below is the intraday strength and weakness boundary. In terms of operation, sell high and buy low at key positions, and follow up after the break.
XAUUSD Long OpportunityGold is currently sitting upon a major support level at $3290... Price still trading above the 50 SMA confirming the bullish market directionality and is currently in the sweet spot on the RSI between 45-55 indicating the retracement is nearing its completion upon the 4 hour chart... Awaiting a Long entry on the 1hour/15min timeframe per price action signal
Potentila Scenarios*Bullish Case (Wave 4 complete soon)
-If price stabilizes within or just under the green support zone, and begins forming higher lows-> this would be wave 4 bottom.
-Look for break about the red corrective channel, followed by confirmation candle to rejoin the uptrend (wave 5)
Wave 5 Target Projection:
-Use Fib extention of wave 1-3 from wave 4 low.
-Possible targets: 100% extention, 123.6%-138.2% (for aggresive wave 5)
*Bearish Case (Wave 4 not done or invalidated)
-If price breaks below the green support zone, particulary under 3260 and closes under it, wave 4 may extend deeper.
-invalidates impulsive count if it enters wave 1 territory too much or breaches structural support.
Steepening Yields & Uncertainty: What says the Bond Markets?
CBOT:ZN1!
US Yield Curve in Image Above
Showing yields on May 27, 2024 vs May 27, 2025 . What happened in a year and how to understand this?
Looking at the image above, the yield curve was inverted on this day last year. Comparing last year’s term structure to today’s, we can see that the yield curve has steepened sharply.
What does this signify? Let’s dive deeper as we share our insights and assessment of what the bond market is doing.
At the March 16, 2022, meeting, the FED finally pivoted away from their "transitory inflation" narrative to a significant supply shocks narrative—supply-demand imbalances and Russia-Ukraine war-related uncertainty. This started a rate hike cycle, with rates peaking at 5.25%–5.50% in the July 26, 2023, meeting.
The Fed Funds rate was reduced by 100 bps, with a cut of 50 bps on September 18, 2024, and two cuts of 25 bps in the November and December 2024 meetings. The FED paused its rate cutting at the start of the year, citing—as we have all heard recently—that the inflation outlook remains tilted to the upside, and given policy uncertainty and trade tariffs, the risk to slowing growth continues to increase. Businesses are holding back spending due to this confusion and continued uncertainty. ** Refer to the image of FED rate path above.
The start of the rate hike cycle also began the FED’s balance sheet reduction program—from a peak of $8.97 trillion to the current balance of $6.69 trillion. **Refer to the image of FED's balance sheet above.
Rates remained elevated at these levels to bring down inflation, which peaked at 9.1% in June 2022. Inflation has currently eased to 2.3% as of April 2025. Refer to the CPI YoY image above.
Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, and most recently non-voter Kashkari (FED) highlighted stagflationary risks. FED Chair Powell noted risks to both sides of its dual mandate in its most recent meeting March 19, 2025.
In the March meeting, they also announced a slower pace of reducing Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities. In this announcement, Treasury securities reduction slowed from $25 billion to $5 billion per month, while maintaining agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities reduction at the same pace.
Many participants and analysts noted this as a dovish pivot. However, given the current market conditions and the supply-demand imbalance emerging within US Treasury and bond markets, we note the rising yields.
The yield curve steepening signifies that investors want better return on their bond holdings. The interesting turn of events here is that US Treasuries and bonds have not provided the safety they usually do in times of uncertainty and policy risk. The dollar has fallen in tandem with bonds, resulting in a devalued dollar and rising yields. Thirty-year yields touched the 5% level, and the DXY index traded at levels last seen in March 2022.
Looking deeper under the hood, we note that a repeat of COVID-pandemic-style stimulus measures may perhaps result in an uncontrollable inflation spiral. The ballooning twin deficits—i.e., trade and budget deficits—with the new “Big Beautiful Bill,” or as some analysts joked, noting this as a foreshadowing of the newest credit rating: “BBB.”
Any black swan event may just be the catalyst needed to tip these dominoes to start falling.
As we previously noted in some of our commentary, debt service payments are now more than defense spending.
The new bill, once passed, is going to add another $2.5 trillion to the deficit. While the deficit is an issue in the US, it is important to note that it is a global issue.
The key question here will be: in due time, will the US bond market and US dollar regain their usual haven status? Or will we continue seeing diversification into Gold, Bitcoin, and global markets?
So, to summarize these mechanics playing out in the US and global markets—in our view—sure, the US administration, one may debate, is not helping by creating this environment of uncertainty in global trade, coupled with a worsening deficit and higher-for-longer rates. The markets currently are perhaps at their most unpredictable stage, with so much going on in the US and across the world.
It is still too early to write off US exceptionalism, and there will be value in rotating back to US markets once the dust on policy uncertainty settles. We suggest that investors stay diversified, watch for any upside surprises to the inflation and do not chase yields blindly as the move may already be overstretched. It is also our view that we are past the extreme policy uncertainty having already noted Trump put when ES Futures fell over 20%.
Although note that near All-time highs or at 6000 level, we are likely to see further headline risks until trade deals are locked in. As always, be nimble, pragmatic and be ready to adjust with evolving market conditions.
Definitions
Plain-language definition: A “basis point” (bps) is 0.01%. So, a 50 bps cut = 0.50% reduction in interest rates.
Plain-language definition: A steep yield curve means long-term interest rates are much higher than short-term ones. This can reflect rising inflation expectations or increased risk.
A “black swan event”—an unpredictable crisis—could set off a chain reaction if confidence in US finances weakens further.
Trade deficit: Importing more than exports
Budget deficit: Government spending far more than it earns
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
On the supply side, although OPEC+ has a production increase plan, there are differences in the implementation efforts among member states. Some countries may be unable to fully implement the production increase target due to their own interests or production capacity limitations. In the case of U.S. shale oil, the current oil price is hovering near $60, close to the shale oil extraction cost line. If oil prices continue to fall, the production enthusiasm of U.S. shale oil enterprises will be dampened, and some oil wells may even be shut down, leading to a reduction in supply, which in turn will support oil prices.
On the demand side, the global economic recovery trend has gradually become clear. With the continuous implementation of economic stimulus policies by various countries, industrial production activities have increased, and the transportation industry has gradually recovered, leading to a steady growth trend in crude oil demand. In particular, emerging economies, with their fast economic growth rates and large demand gap for crude oil, have become an important force driving the growth of crude oil demand.
Geopolitical factors remain a key variable affecting oil prices. The situation in the Middle East is tense, the progress of the Iranian nuclear negotiations is slow, and the contradictions between Israel and Iran continue to escalate. Once a conflict breaks out, it will seriously affect crude oil production and transportation in the Middle East, leading to a global crude oil supply shortage and a inevitable sharp rise in oil prices.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:61.5~62
Structure Shift at Key Support – Is the Bullish Reversal InPrice aggressively broke down recently but showed strong reaction near the 3,280–3,290 demand zone, reflecting potential buyer absorption at lower prices. Following several bearish attempts that failed, price started making higher lows, reflecting a change in short-term structure.
Trade Idea:
Expecting a bullish reversal from this demand zone with a clean RR setup.
Entry Zone: 3,290–3,292 (bullish confirmation candle or wick rejection)
Stop Loss: 3,280 (below liquidity sweep & structure low)
Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: 3,300 – intraday bounce zone
• TP2: 3,305 – mid-level resistance
• TP3: 3,310 – structural breakout area
Why this setup?
✅ Structure shift (higher lows)
✅ Demand zone tapped with strong wick rejection
✅ Clean RR with risk tightly managed
✅ No major macro resistance until 3,310
Risk Note:
Steer clear of early entries without confirmation. If price doesn't hold above 3,288, bearish continuation is still in play.
GOLD Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,354.87.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,290.54.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Economic data released. Start of a new trend?The international gold market suffered a sharp sell-off, and the spot gold price once fell below the key psychological mark of $3,300/ounce, reaching a low of $3,392.59, as the US dollar index rebounded from a low of more than a month and concerns about the international trade situation cooled down.
The gold price is currently in a short-term recovery phase, and the downside risk is temporarily lifted. In the long run, the expansion of the US fiscal deficit may support the gold price; but in the short term, according to the latest data released by the United States, it is conducive to the long operation of gold, and the gold price will rise briefly.
Gold is strong in the short term, but traders need to take profits in time to avoid unexpected events that cause trend changes.
Overall, the short-term trend of gold prices is still subject to the US dollar, interest rate expectations and economic data, and the competition for the $3,300 mark will become the key.
The US economic data is within the expected range, and gold has a short upward trend.
Operation strategy:
Buy near $3290, stop loss at $3280, profit range at $3320-3330.
3300 becomes the dividing line between long and short positions🗞News side:
1. The situation in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again
2. Pay attention to the opening of US stocks today
📈Technical aspects:
Good morning, bros. Gold is currently testing the important support of 3300. Once it falls below 3300, it can be officially confirmed that the correction trend is coming. Today's opening of the U.S. stock market is critical. If the U.S. stock market opens higher, it is very likely to pull down gold prices. The stable operation suggestion for the day is to go long when it retreats to 3295-3290, and then rely on the upper side of the previous low point for protection, that is, look at the vicinity of 3325-3330. If it encounters resistance and pressure near 3330-3340, you can consider entering a short position and continue to be bearish. At present, the first focus below is the support of 3290-3280. If it continues to fall, it may touch the 3266 line.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold prices steady in recovery above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices fell over 0.50% on Monday, weighed down by reduced demand for safe-haven assets after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a delay in the imposition of tariffs on the European Union (EU). Trading activity remained subdued due to market closures in both the United States and the United Kingdom for public holidays. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,336.
Sentiment improved following Trump’s Sunday statement, which postponed the implementation of the 50% tariffs on EU goods to July 9. As a result, gold came under pressure, retreating after last week’s impressive 4.86% surge—its strongest weekly performance since early April.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to maintain the accumulation price range of 3300 - 3367, in recovery momentum
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3389- 3392 SL 3396
TP1: $3380
TP2: $3368
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3285- $3287 SL $3280
TP1: $3295
TP2: $3310
TP3: $3325
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Daily Plan – 27 May 2025 | Sniper Eyes OnlyHey GoldMinds! Hope you’re ready – price action is about to get spicy. We’re coming off a slow Monday, but Tuesday’s bringing a real battlefield between bulls and bears. Here’s what you need to watch like a hawk:
Key Structure Zones to Watch
ABOVE PRICE
3,347 – 3,353:
First real resistance — expect quick reactions. If price stalls here, scalp sellers could step in.
Eyes on for short-term fade, but not the main battle zone!
3,360 – 3,370:
The premium supply and real strong high zone.
If price pushes here, watch for fakeouts, stop hunts, or sharp reversals. This is where the big bears get interested!
BELOW PRICE
3,339 – 3,342:
Micro support and flip area.
If bulls hold this, we can see another push up. If it breaks, momentum likely shifts down fast.
3,328 – 3,335:
First solid demand for sniper entries.
Best spot for a confirmed buy if price sweeps this area and shows rejection.
3,310 – 3,318:
Deep discount demand — the last real defense before we talk about a bigger correction.
If we get here, expect a wild reaction or “nothing zone” if broken.
Bias & Confluence
Trend: Bullish bias, but momentum is fading and liquidity is thick up top.
EMAs (5/21/50/100): Tightening up, watch for a fresh cross if volatility spikes.
RSI: Neutral, with hidden bearish divergence possible at 3,360+.
FVG/OBs: Marked in the key zones, especially above 3,347 and below 3,335.
Liquidity: Above 3,353 and below 3,335 — sweeps are highly likely before real direction.
Sniper Plan for Tuesday
If price pushes into 3,347–3,353, don’t chase — wait for a reaction or sweep, then short only with confirmation.
If price rockets to 3,360–3,370, eyes wide open for a sweep and sharp rejection. This is “hunt zone” for high-probability shorts.
If price dips to 3,339–3,342, monitor for bounce, but don’t rush buys unless you see confirmation.
True buy interest at 3,328–3,335 — best sniper long setups if price wicks this area and rejects hard.
Final support at 3,310–3,318 — “do or die” for the bulls.
Quick Take
📉 Don’t get chopped in the middle — play the real zones! Wait for the market to give you confirmation at the extremes. Sniper trading only, no FOMO.
📈 If you’re not sure, let the dust settle. Remember, patience = profits.
🔥 Drop a 🚀 if you’re ready to catch the next big move! What’s your bias for Tuesday? Follow & Comment below and let’s crush this week together.
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD: Long Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3295.4
Sl - 3287.5
Tp - 3311.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAUUSD is moving within the 3285.00 - 3365.00 range👀Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) rose 0.20% as investors grew cautious over a sweeping U.S. tax and spending bill that could sharply widen the federal deficit. The proposal has intensified doubts about the sustainability of U.S. debt, reducing demand for dollar assets. Ongoing fiscal uncertainty continues to erode confidence in U.S. financial instruments, limiting the dollar’s recovery as markets remain alert to potential shifts in monetary policy and interest rates.
On May 27, two key U.S. economic indicators—Durable Goods Orders (12:30 p.m. UTC) and CB Consumer Confidence (2:00 p.m. UTC)—are set to be released and could influence market movements.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12265.
Resistance level is located at 1.14220.
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,288.2
Target Level: 3,157.4
Stop Loss: 3,374.6
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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