Futures market
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today. After completing our 1h chart route map yesterday, we moved onto our 4 chart route map.
On this chart idea, we got our Bullish target at 3330 hit, followed with candle body close gaps to 3372 and 3414, as ema5 didn't catch up due to momentum. However, the body close breaks on each level still gave us enough time for the confirmation before being hit.
We then managed to get ema5 cross and lock above 3414 opening 3457, which was also hit perfectly, completing this target with confirmation. No further lock above 3457 confirmed the rejection. However, we now have a body close above 3457 with a gap to 3503, which just fell short by a few pips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3224
3190
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3190 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3131 - 3077
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Sell IdeaGold price have climbed very quickly in the past 72 Trading Hours and has left gaps in the market. This is famously know as "Fair Value Gap". Usually, I would only base my trade on the trend line breakout and head and shoulders pattern, but I read a definition recently, let us see if the dictionary is right.
Planning the Trade: Crude Oil Scenarios in a Shifting Macro LandNYMEX:CL1!
In volatile times, both opportunities and risks increase. Traders gain the ability to be more selective, adapting to new market regimes by adjusting risk and trade management strategies. Key tools in this process include indicators such as the Average True Range and Close-to-Close volatility sigma bands. April 20, 2020: A historic day, WTI Crude Oil prices traded negative for the first time, and we have yet another volatile April.
"If you fail to plan, you are planning to fail." Preparation is essential before taking on the market head-on.
Many participants choose to stay on the sidelines when volatility exceeds 1 standard deviation. Others, however, see this as an opportunity—adapting their risk per trade, adjusting targets, and refining trade management. Reducing position size can be an effective way to manage periods of heightened volatility.
This Week's Trade Idea: Crude Oil
We'll be reviewing Crude Oil price action with updated levels, fresh insights, and framing a trade plan with an example idea for reference.
Key Levels:
• April Monthly Open: 70.75
• 2025 mCVPOC: 71.13
• Yearly Open: 69.64
• 2024 Mid: 69.52
• 2025 Developing Mid: 66.52
• 2025 mCVAL: 65.08
• March 2025 Low: 64.37
• 2022 CVAL: 61.60
• 2024 Low: 59.91
The recent announcement of reciprocal tariffs, coupled with OPEC+ production plans (though scheduled earlier), and the rising uncertainty around a possible recession, have collectively weighed on demand expectations—resulting in a significant decline in oil prices. Although the 2024 low was reclaimed and prices have remained above this level, the sustainability of this recovery remains uncertain.
Scenario 1: Push Higher Towards 2025 Mid
In this scenario, we anticipate prices closing above March lows. Price then pushes higher toward the 2025 developing mid-range, re-entering the 2025 micro composite value area (mCVA).
Example Trade Idea:
• Timeframe: Hourly
• Setup: Wait for a candle close above March lows. Look for a pullback reaction off the 2025 Value Area Low (VAL).
• Entry: 64.50
• Stop: 64.00
• Target: 66.50
• Risk: 50 ticks
• Reward: 200 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 4R
________________________________________
Scenario 2: Range-Bound Price Action
In this scenario, the March low acts as strong resistance, aligning with the 2025 mCVAL. Price reverts lower towards the 2022 CVAL.
Example Trade Idea:
• Setup: Watch for signs of buyer exhaustion near March lows. If sellers regain control, look for a move back down toward 2022 CVAL.
• Timeframe: Hourly
• Entry: 64.00
• Stop: 64.40
• Target: 62.00
• Risk: 40 ticks
• Reward: 200 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 5R
________________________________________
Important Notes:
These are example trade ideas provided for educational purposes and are not intended as trade recommendations. Traders should perform their own analysis and thorough preparation before entering any positions.
Please be aware that stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at the specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels.
________________________________________
Glossary:
• VA: Value Area
• VPOC: Volume Point of Control
• VAL: Value Area Low
• C: Composite (used as a prefix: VA, VAL, VAH, VPOC, etc.)
• mC: micro Composite (used as a prefix: mCVA, mCVAL, etc.)
Place long orders after the adjustment is over!After gold accelerated its rise in the Asian session, it fell back in the European session and temporarily entered an adjustment cycle, accumulating strength to provide power for the next round of launch. The short-term support in the US session is 3430 and 3412. In terms of operation, go long according to the strength of the decline. There is still no guess on the top, and gradually look to 3480 and 3500! Short-term volatility has increased, and the notice has been issued before the market!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3410-15, and look at 3445 and 3455!
Gold's retracement is an opportunity to go longStay long and don't relax. Continue to buy gold when it falls back!
The gold market has fluctuated violently recently, with a rise of $100 and a fall of $90, which has brought great obstacles to our trading. Long and short positions with bad entry positions will be washed out, so we need to wait patiently for opportunities in operation. The strong market remains unchanged. Continue to buy when it falls back. Find the watershed position to participate in the transaction. It is better to miss it than to be too aggressive. In the Asian session, I will share with you the support of the 3405/3410 watershed of gold. I will rely on this position to buy when it falls back. Gold hit a high of 3499 during the day, which is one step away from 3500. The European and American sessions fell back by $90, which just happened to fall back to the watershed position shared with you in the Asian session. The long orders have also been realized at the target position. Friends who have participated should pay attention to protecting profits, and friends who are short should wait patiently for opportunities and not be too aggressive!
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(SELL)trade( XAUUSD ) SELL zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3430) to (3428) 📊
FIRST TP (3420)📊
2ND TARGET (3410) 📊
LAST TARGET (3402) 📊
STOP LOOS (3440)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
XAU/USD: Trend Remains Strong as Price Holds Above Key SupportThe XAU/USD market continues its impressive rally, recently reaching a new all-time high at 3500 before pulling back toward support and the previous day's high. The price action completed an ABC structure prior to this retracement.
Currently, the market may be forming a triangle or flag pattern, similar to past consolidation setups. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and the critical 3400 support level, the probability of a trend continuation remains high. A retest of the ATH level followed by a move higher is likely, with the next target at the resistance zone around 3520
The latest operation layout of gold,long is still the main trendGold once touched the 3,500 mark today, setting a record high, with an intraday increase of more than 2%. Today, gold once started to rise from the early trading low near 3413, reaching the highest level near the 3500 mark. But then the trend suddenly changed, and the European and American markets have been in a correction and retracement. So far, gold has hit a low near 3410, and is currently correcting to maintain a correction near 3430.
From the trend of 3285 to 3500, we can see that 3420-18 is exactly the 61.8% support position of the Fibonacci dividing line.
The upper area near 3450 is currently the moving average suppression position, and there may be a correction here. If gold cannot close above 3450 tonight, then it is estimated that there is a possibility of a fall later. However, once it continues to stand firm at 3450 tonight, it will continue to test 3500 or even a new high. Therefore, for subsequent operations, I suggest that we can rely on 3430-20 to enter the market and do long, and the target is 3450-60.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Silver: Elliott Wave Shows Room For More UpsideSilver made a very strong drop after breaking out of the upward channel at the end of March. This caused a sharp and fast move below 29 dollars where metal is showing some first evidence of a bottom as price recovers back above 32.00.
In fact, this can be the beginning of a new impulse, especially if we consider that on a daily chart market might complete an A-B-C drop back in wave IV. As such, we think there is room for more gains, after retracements which can give an opportunity to join the trend.
Can gold finally cacth silver? What you think?
GH
NASDAQ 100 Elliott Wave Update – Wave (5) in Play?CME_MINI:NQ1!
📊 NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures – Elliott Wave Analysis
🗓️ Weekly Chart – April 2025
The NASDAQ 100 appears to have completed an ABC corrective pattern, marking the end of wave (4). A bullish move toward wave (5) is now projected, with a potential target zone highlighted in yellow:
🎯 Target 1: 32,291 (100% extension)
🎯 Target 2: 38,678 (127% extension)
This zone marks the Fibonacci projection for the fifth wave, based on the Elliott Wave principle. The bullish structure remains valid as long as the key support at 16,551 holds.
🔎 Key things to watch:
Confirmation of a reversal at wave (C) low
Increasing volume on upward moves
Momentum indicators like RSI / MACD
Gold Trading Signals!!Looking back to last Thursday, our gold short strategy hit the mark perfectly. Prices dropped nearly $60 as expected, and we captured around $45 in profit from that move. Overall, we secured over $200 in profit space last week—an excellent performance.
Today, gold opened higher and continues to climb. Technically, bulls still have room to push higher, with 3360 as a key resistance level. However, judging by the current momentum, we may even see a test of 3400. That said, trading is about precision, not perfection. If prices approach 3380 and the upward momentum stalls, it may be time to watch for a pullback. On the other hand, if strength continues, holding some light long positions remains a relatively low-risk strategy.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3380–3410 range
📈 Buy in the 3307–3280 range
🔁 Flexible trades between 3360–3330 / 3272–3315
XAUUSD/GOLD Intraday Move 22-04-2025📊 XAUUSD Trade Setup – April 22, 2025
Analysis: Price is currently in a corrective bearish move after a strong bullish rally. We're seeing clear signs of a potential bullish reaction around key support zones. Two major demand zones are identified:
Zone 1: 3430 – 3435
Zone 2: 3405 – 3410
These zones align with previous consolidation areas and coincide with the lower Bollinger Band, increasing the probability of a bounce.
Expected Price Action:
A potential drop into the 3430–3435 zone may trigger a bullish reaction.
If this level fails to hold, the second strong buy zone lies between 3405–3410.
From either zone, a reversal and bullish continuation towards the 3460–3475 region is expected.
📈 Buy Signal:
Buy Entry #1: 3430–3435
SL: 3417
TP: 3460
Buy Entry #2: 3405–3410
SL: 3393
TP: 3460+
🔁 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) before entering.
Kindly hit like, follow, like and comment.
Gold bulls are not strong enoughGold has begun to form an inverted V reversal pattern in the 1-hour moving average. If the 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn, then gold may have a deep adjustment. If there is no strong risk-averse news for gold, then adjustments are inevitable. Gold is at least volatile in the short term. Don’t chase too much easily. Pay attention to the pressure near 3450.
Trading idea: short gold near 3446, stop loss 3456, target 3426
Why Is the T Bond Heading Down?The downward pressure did not start with the Liberation Day tariffs on 2nd April.
Based on the 30-year long-term bond price chart, the market peaked in 2020, then broke below a major support line—established since the 1980s—in 2022.
Since that break, US bonds have been on a downward trajectory.
So, what happened in 2020 and 2022 that set the bond market on shaky ground?
Why is the recent tariff shock just a continuation of developments that began back then?
And where are bond prices heading next?
This goes beyond investors offloading its US Treasury holdings after 2nd April.
U.S. Treasury Futures & Options
Ticker: ZB
Minimum fluctuation:
1/32 of one point (0.03125) = $31.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
XAUUSD : $3,460Historically, Inflation Adjusted Gold Price, Adjusted to Today's Dollar reached a record high of around $3,460 in 1980 and a record low of $289
A moment ago, the price just hit that.
What happens now is open to speculation.
In the past, the gold price has declined significantly for long periods after approaching its previous inflation-adjusted peaks. This happened in 1980, 2011, and again in 2020. Let’s see what happens this time.
I am in. Are you?
Good luck.
Bitcoin call from March comes into fruition, Almost to the day!Not looking to toot horn but, did we state anything about buying CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH until recently? NO! (pls see our profile for more info on that)
We have been analyzing Bitcoin & Ethereum and posting suggestions. But until recently we did not state any buy recommendations.
In fact, om March 25th we stated that there would be a big move coming by mid April!
We then changed our stance on #Bitcoin. We noticed, far to frequent anomaly using
@tradingview charts, trendlines MOVE on their own, that the move COULD be until the 8th of May! HOWEVER, less than 2 weeks ago, we stated that A MOVE was coming before then. It has happened almost to the T!!!