Futures market
Indicating a potential reversal in trend.On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold is currently experiencing a downward movement. However, the market has recently entered into a bullish PD (Price Delivery) Array on the daily timeframe. This suggests that although short-term bearish pressure is evident, the broader daily structure remains bullish.
It is expected that the price may continue to move slightly lower in the short term in order to capture the liquidity resting below the previous swing low. After sweeping this liquidity, we anticipate that price will find support at the CE (Consequent Encroachment) level of the daily bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Following this interaction, a Market Structure Shift (MSS) may occur, indicating a potential reversal in trend. If this plays out as expected, we could then observe a bullish move with price beginning to climb upward once again.
Please conduct your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice.
GBPUSD🚨 BUY ALERT – XAU/USD (GOLD) 🚨
📈 Action: Buy XAU/USD (Gold)
🕒 Timing: Immediate Entry
🎯 Reason: Market conditions signal a bullish move – capitalize now
📊 Recommended: Apply proper risk management (stop-loss & take-profit levels)
Gold is showing strong momentum — act swiftly and stay alert for key levels.
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (May 27), spot gold fluctuated slightly higher around $3,345/ounce. Behind this seemingly bland figure, there is a fierce game between long and short forces. Yesterday, the London gold price fell to around $3,324, but rebounded quickly under the support of the escalation of the situation between Russia and Ukraine and bargain hunting. This relatively strong trend exposed the special resilience of gold as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices weakened in light trading as the US market was closed for Memorial Day and Trump postponed his threat of "directly imposing 50% tariffs" on the European Union. The delay reduced safe-haven demand, but broader market drivers still favored gold's bullish outlook. International gold prices have retreated as Trump postponed his tariff threat to the European Union, but fiscal pressures have kept the bullish gold price forecast unchanged. Gold prices are firmly above $3,310. In the short term, the situation between Russia and Ukraine and the progress of US-EU trade negotiations will dominate the fluctuations; in the medium term, the currency game between the US dollar and the euro and the evolution of the Middle East nuclear crisis will determine the direction; in the long term, the global de-dollarization process and the reconstruction of the geopolitical structure may bring greater revaluation of gold. The initial value of the US durable goods orders in April will also be released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to it.
Technical Review:
Gold stood above the 3340 mark again in the late trading, and the callback low-price buying layout was the main focus, and the overall participation was wide-range short-term fluctuations. The price of the hourly and four-hour charts is above the moving average and opens upward, and the price is running on the upper and middle track of the Bollinger band. The current price is supported near the middle track, 3322-25, which is also the last rising position last Friday. MA5 crosses the MA10 moving average, indicating that the current market tends to adjust, especially the long-term moving average runs above the medium-term moving average, but the overall trend of the moving average is smooth, and the expected shock correction. Gold has hit 3365 twice, both times it fell under pressure. Yesterday, it opened low and fell back to around 3320, indicating that the correction phase is expected to continue. Its trend is completely consistent with expectations. According to my expectations, once it falls below the 3320 mark, it will test the 3300 mark. Today, the first thing to pay attention to is the 3356 mark, followed by the 3368 resistance, and the support below is around 3300.
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to fluctuate, but the rebound of gold in the Asian session still did not break through the high point of yesterday. Gold hit 3350 in the Asian session and then fell directly under pressure, so gold continues to sell at a high level. Since the gold bulls are unable to rise and break through the high point, it will continue to fluctuate as the main force, and gold will continue to be short on the rebound. The market is all current, of course, it is not to buy when it rises and sell when it falls. Gold has begun to fluctuate now, so the high position of the box is still sold at a high price, and then follow up if it breaks through! Gold hit a high of 3350 in the Asian session and then fell back under pressure. Gold did not break through yesterday's high point, so the high point of gold's rebound is still decreasing in sequence, indicating that the buying power of gold is not strong, so gold will continue to be sold at high prices, and gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. It is still mainly sold at high levels. Now the market still changes greatly according to the impact of news. If there is a risk aversion on the gold news, then it is possible to go ahead with the risk aversion.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3310-3320 buy, stop loss 3305, target 3330-3350;
Short-term gold 3290-3300 short, stop loss 3310, target 3260-3280;
Market next move
1. False Breakout / Bull Trap Risk
Observation: Price just touched the support and bounced slightly.
Disruption: If buyers fail to push above the next resistance (around 32.95–33.00), it could be a bull trap.
Implication: The bounce might just be a short-covering rally before another leg down.
---
2. Weak Buying Volume
Observation: The bounce lacks strong green volume bars so far.
Disruption: Weak volume on the bounce suggests limited buyer conviction.
Implication: Without a volume surge, the upward move could fizzle out quickly.
---
3. Lower High Structure
Observation: The trend before the support touch is clearly down.
Disruption: This bounce may only form a lower high before continuation lower.
Implication: The larger trend remains bearish unless 33.20+ is reclaimed with strength.
---
4. Fundamental Headwinds
Disruption: Any upcoming data like strong USD, rising interest rates, or weak industrial demand could push silver down despite technical setups.
Implication: Bullish setups could fail fast due to macroeconomic pressure.
Will Gold (XAUUSD) Hit $3,057 or Even $2,955? Price Action Breakdown with Technical, Fundamental, and Sentiment Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a clear descending channel for weeks. After testing the upper trendline near $3,331–$3,344 and failing to break out, sellers appear to be regaining control. With price action rejecting the upper boundary and now piercing below the EMA, the setup suggests a deeper correction may be on the horizon. Could XAUUSD be on its way toward $3,057 — or even the Fibonacci extension target of $2,955?
In this analysis, we combine technical patterns, market fundamentals, and sentiment signals to assess the next likely move for gold.
📊 Technical Analysis
The 4H chart of XAUUSD shows several key bearish indicators:
🟪 Channel Rejection
Price has remained trapped in a falling channel, respecting both support and resistance trendlines.
Recent rejection from the top of the channel and EMA30 (purple line) strengthens the bearish outlook.
📉 Fibonacci Levels
Gold failed to hold above the 50% retracement ($3,281) and is now sliding toward the 38.2% level ($3,231).
A confirmed break of $3,231 opens the door toward 23.6% ($3,169) and possibly even the 0.00% retracement ($3,069).
📉 Bearish Targets
First Support: $3,231
Key Zone: $3,169
Main Target: $3,057 (bottom of current structure)
Bearish Extension: $2,955 (-27% Fib Extension)
Extreme: $2,807 (-61.8% Extension)
A break below $3,231 with strong volume could validate this bearish trajectory.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis
💸 Macroeconomic Conditions
Despite recent rallies, Fed rate cuts remain uncertain. A strong dollar and high interest rates historically pressure gold prices.
Economic resilience in the U.S. limits demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
📊 Inflation & Employment
Sticky inflation and robust job markets reduce urgency for monetary easing, which tends to hurt non-yielding assets like gold.
Gold thrives on uncertainty and falling real yields — neither is currently in play.
🌐 Global Markets
No immediate geopolitical crises are inflating gold prices.
Investors are rotating into equities and bonds due to stable risk appetite.
😕 Sentimental Analysis
🏦 Institutional Positioning
COT reports suggest money managers are reducing long positions in gold.
Large players appear to be hedging downside risks or exiting gold for better returns.
📉 Retail Trader Behavior
Many retail traders still “buy the dip” — creating liquidity for larger institutions to offload positions.
Sentiment is overly optimistic despite technical rejection — a contrarian red flag.
📌 Conclusion: The Path of Least Resistance Is Down
The technical rejection, weakening fundamental backdrop, and overly bullish sentiment all point to a probable retracement in gold.
Unless we see an unexpected central bank pivot or geopolitical escalation, gold seems primed to head toward $3,057 — and possibly deeper to $2,955 in the coming sessions or weeks.
✅ Final Take
Watch for break below $3,231: This could trigger the sell-off continuation.
Main Target: $3,057 (previous structure low)
Bearish Extension: $2,955 (Fibonacci -27%)
Sentiment remains skewed: Bearish setups often play out when retail optimism is high.
Market next move
1. Potential Bear Trap Scenario
Observation: The highlighted consolidation area could be a support zone.
Disruption: If the price quickly reclaims and holds above this zone (around 3,292), it could be a bear trap. This might attract buyers looking for a false breakdown reversal.
Implication: This could lead to a short-term rally instead of continuation lower.
---
2. Volume Divergence
Observation: Despite the breakdown, the selling volume seems to taper off compared to the previous heavy down move.
Disruption: Lower volume on a breakdown can signal weakening bearish momentum. Price might consolidate or even reverse.
Implication: Watch for bullish volume spikes as a sign of reversal interest.
---
3. Oversold RSI or Momentum Indicators
Disruption: If momentum indicators like RSI (not visible on this chart) show oversold conditions, this may suggest a relief bounce is more likely than further immediate downside.
Implication: Short-term traders could get trapped if they short too late.
---
4. Fundamental Triggers
Disruption: Any sudden positive news for gold (e.g. economic uncertainty, lower bond yields, central bank demand) can reverse this technical setup quickly.
Implication: Be cautious trading solely on technicals in sensitive markets like gold.
Daily Analysis: 27‑05‑2025
Spot gold closed yesterday—during a session marked by market holidays in the U.S. and the U.K.—with a 0.4% decline, settling at 3,344. Reports suggesting accelerated trade agreements between the European Union and the United States are believed to have influenced price movement.
On the other hand, geopolitical developments remain closely monitored.
Technically, as long as the price does not break above the 3,335 resistance level, profit-taking may continue to weigh on the market. On the downside, 3,287 is seen as a key support level, followed by 3,250. If the price breaks above 3,335, the next target could be 3,370.
Just continue to maintain the bullish idea of high-altitude an
On Monday, gold closed slightly lower as Trump's comments on EU tariffs boosted market risk appetite. Today, it retreated and rose in the morning and now fell below our early long position again. In the short term, gold has lost its positive momentum, but it is impossible to fall more sharply. As investors weigh the prospects of improved trade relations between the United States and the European Union, the demand for safe-haven assets has cooled, and gold prices have maintained a downward trend.
Today's risk data warning!
At 20:30 today, the initial value of US durable goods orders in April will be released, and the monthly rate is expected to fall by 7.9%, after an increase of 9.2% in March
At 22:00 today, the US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for May will be released, and it is expected to be 87.2, and the previous value is 86.0.
Views on the trend of gold in the European session!
Gold rose and then fell yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3365. The trend is in line with our trend of volatility. As for today's market decline and break, it is a normal market! In addition, it has not broken through 3370 and has been under pressure, and the decline continued in the morning today. Since the support position of 3300 is close to the bottom, it is not appropriate to chase the short position!
In terms of trend, gold lacks the upward momentum at the 4-hour level, and the market falls after the upper resistance. This week's market has been maintained in the small range of 3330 and 3370. It is inevitable that the breakout will accelerate. At present, the bulls are under pressure. Unlike last week's continuous rise, this week has a bit of weak volatility. Then we continue to maintain the high-altitude bearish and low-level bullish ideas unchanged!
Gold: Enter long orders near 3290, defend 80, and target 3325-30! Continue to follow up with short orders above 3340, defend 50, and target 3300-05!
A reliable person has an explanation for everything, a solution for everything, and a response for everything. I have been committed to the market. I will write analysis that is useful to investors and make fewer mistakes. I believe that time will tell the true heart of a person. I am Yulia. Thank you for your likes. I love you.
XAU / USD 30 Minute Chart ( Buy Scalp Trade In Progress )Hello traders. We had a nice push down with the overnight sessions. I just took a trade, marked on the chart in anticipation that we will correct the move down. Let's see how things play out. I am using a mini lot size, and as soon as I am 30 pips in profit, I will close 75% of the trade's profit, move my SL to my entry point (break even ) and leave my runner running(the remaining 25% of the trade) . This is the best way to preserve your capitol and it was a formula I got from Raja and Uncle Ted. Big G gets my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Should be a nice scalp trade.
Am I the only one who still insists that gold will fall back?
💡Message Strategy
The dollar rebounded strongly, and gold fell under pressure
The primary driver of the gold price decline this time was the sudden strength of the dollar. After a brief correction, the US dollar index rebounded strongly, reaching a high of 99.40, with a daily increase of 0.4%, which is expected to be the best performance in the past two weeks. Since gold is denominated in US dollars, the appreciation of the US dollar directly weakened the attractiveness of gold to holders of other currencies, leading to an intensification of market selling.
US fiscal crisis + interest rate expectations, gold bulls suffered a double blow
In addition to the strengthening of the US dollar, the uncertainty of the US fiscal outlook also makes investors cautious. Although the market is worried that the US government debt may further expand (or increase by another $3.8 trillion in the next decade), it has not stimulated safe-haven buying of gold in the short term. On the contrary, the market is more concerned about the Fed's interest rate policy. The recent speeches of Fed officials tend to be hawkish. At present, traders generally bet that the Fed may restart interest rate cuts after September, but before that, gold may continue to be under pressure due to the high interest rate environment.
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line lost the lifeline, and the lifeline was used as a downward pressure to find the lower track of the pattern
2. The four-hour pattern opened downward, indicating a wave of large-volume decline
3. The double lines of the hourly chart turned from support to resistance, suppressing further decline
4. In the large channel range, determine the upper track position of the channel, re-suppress the decline to find the lower track position of the channel, with a space range of about 200-300 US dollars
As shown in the figure: the middle track of the small blue channel line and the yellow large channel overlap the 3350 mark
The price fell below the middle track of the small blue channel. As time goes by, the price position reaches 3320-3330, which happens to be the pressure of the 3350 mark area and the position along the large channel line.
We are still looking at the action of holding high and breaking low, and the price will suppress the 3350 mark and fall below the lower track position of the channel at 3320 area.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3320-3330,3340-3350
Gold hits around 3280, please go long in the short term
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices fell more than 0.50% on Monday as demand for safe-haven assets decreased after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a postponement of tariffs on the European Union. Trading activity remained subdued as the U.S. and UK markets were closed for public holidays. As of this writing, the gold/dollar exchange rate was around $3,294. Trump issued a statement on Sunday, postponing the date of the 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9, and market sentiment improved. As a result, gold prices came under pressure and fell after a sharp rise of 4.86% last week (the strongest weekly performance since early April)
📊Commentary Analysis
Focus on the support level of 3285/80. If this area is touched for the first time, go long
💰Strategy Package
🔥Selling area: 3345-3350 SL 3355
TP1: $3333
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3308
🔥Buying area: $3280-$3285 SL $3275
TP1: $3312
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3345
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Waiting for prices to be lowerOur trend line has been broken and as the books says when a trend line is broken there must be a retest. I wouldn't advise to take any buys as much as we're expecting the market go up for a retest, cause it will be so dangerous for our capital ,but if we see and buy set up let buy but not to hold that much cause seller are in control
XAUUSD SMC Bullish AnalysisThe market structure shows clear bullish and bearish Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) zones.
• I am applying a liquidity sweep and order block entry model.
Market Structure Overview
• The chart starts with a bullish rally, followed by multiple BOSs to the downside, indicating a bearish market structure.
• Then, there’s a shift as CHoCH occurs — a Change of Character, often marking the beginning of a potential bullish shift.
• A recent CHoCH is marked near the bottom, signaling a potential reversal point.
Liquidity Concepts
• Sell-side liquidity was taken at the recent low (indicated by liquidity grabs marked with “$$$$”).
• The blue zone at the bottom represents a bullish demand zone / Order Block (OB) where liquidity has been swept and the price is expected to react bullishly.
Order Blocks & Zones
• The large red and pink areas at the top are Bearish Supply Zones / Bearish Order Blocks.
• The blue zone at the bottom is the Bullish Order Block the trader is focusing on for a potential long entry.
• A note on the chart says:
“We’ll be looking to long from this area once the bullish OB has been respected and sellside liquidity has been taken.”
Anticipated Price Action
• A projected path is drawn showing price forming a higher low, then breaking structure to the upside.
• The trade idea is to go long after the demand zone is respected and a new BOS to the upside confirms bullish intent.
• The path includes retracements and BOSs, indicating a bullish structure shift.
• Target zones are marked above, with areas of interest around $3,310, $3,325, and higher into the $3,340–$3,350 zones.
Key SMC Concepts Used
• Break of Structure (BOS): To confirm trend direction shifts.
• Change of Character (CHoCH): To signal potential reversals.
• Liquidity Sweeps: To trap retail and create institutional entries.
• Order Blocks (OB): Institutional demand and supply zones.
• Market Structure Shift: After liquidity is taken, the market shifts in the opposite direction.
Summary of the Setup
• Bias: Bullish, contingent on the bullish order block holding.
• Trigger: CHoCH and BOS to the upside from the OB zone.
• Entry Area: Around $3,280–$3,293 (blue zone).
• Targets: $3,310, $3,325, and potentially higher into supply at $3,341–$3,350.
• Invalidation: Break and close below the blue OB zone would invalidate the bullish setup.
Gold Enters PRZ and TRZ – Correction is Coming!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the previous Idea and reached the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and Resistance lines .
Gold is moving near the Resistance lines , Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of Main wave 3 , so Main wave 3 could have an extended structure .
I expect Gold to experience at least one correction after entering the PRZ and TRZ , the correction could continue to $3,329 . If the Support lines are broken, the next target could be the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Note: If Gold touches $3,420, there is a possibility of further pumping and breaking the Resistance zone($3,435-$3,406).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
SILVER Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 33.484
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 32.948
Safe Stop Loss - 33.744
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD Update – 1H Confirmation/ 15 min Chart/ 3min Sell SetupGold failed to break above the Developing POC resistance and is now pulling back toward the demand zones marked on the chart.
At 3331.8, we entered a short position after the day's low was swept on the 3-minute timeframe, combined with our entry confirmations — resulting in a clean 1:3 R:R ✅
Now we’re waiting for price to reach the demand zones. If we get confirmation on lower timeframes, we’ll be looking to enter a long position.
🔔 The deeper price pulls into the lower demand zones, the better the long setups become, allowing us to consider increasing our risk from 1% to 3%, given a solid setup and momentum.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈