Gold accelerates thanks to US-China tensions and a weakening USDGold prices continued to show their strength when breaking through the old peak of 3,434 USD and moving up to 3,460 USD/ounce, equivalent to an increase of more than 61 USD in less than a day, showing that safe-haven buying is overwhelming the entire market. On the 1H chart, the bullish structure is clear with EMA34 and EMA89 maintaining a strong slope, the price continuously increased after short technical corrections, confirming that the uptrend is still very sustainable. In terms of news, gold is being supported by two factors: trade tensions between the US and China escalated after Beijing decided to sharply reduce crude oil imports from the US and shift to Canada, increasing global risk concerns.
At the same time, global stock markets fell sharply, while President Donald Trump's controversial statement asking the FED to immediately cut interest rates sent the USD to a 3-year low. The combination of political uncertainty, risk aversion and a weak greenback has created a strong catalyst for gold to continue to be sought after by investors. In the short term, the $3,440–$3,450 zone could be new support, and if it holds above this zone, gold could continue to extend its rally towards the psychological $3,500 level.
Futures market
Gold Sell and Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 16th I shared this "Gold Sell and Buy Trading Plan"
I expected short term bearish moves towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price provided a small bearish move and then it continued higher further!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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“Gold Faces Rejection”Gold faced significant resistance near the $3,500 psychological barrier, with intraday highs reaching $3,499 before a swift pullback of nearly $60. This sharp reversal reflects a classic overbought correction, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading and that the market may be entering a short-term consolidation or retracement phase.
From a sentiment perspective, this rapid decline following a sustained rally could trigger profit-taking and panic selling, intensifying downward pressure. If the price fails to reclaim the $3,469 resistance level, a deeper correction is likely, with a potential break below the $3,400 support zone.
The preferred strategy remains selling on rallies. Traders are advised to consider initiating short positions near the $3,469 resistance area, with a protective stop at $3,479 and take-profit targets in the $3,410–$3,400 support range.
Given the heightened volatility in recent sessions, strict risk management and position sizing are essential to navigating potential price swings effectively.
fair value gap mitigation wait for a 4hrs candle breakout through a structure and also wait for price to come to a fair value on 30mins time frame, use one min time frame to determine market structure shift with a fairvalue gap on 1min time frame, enter at the available fairvalue gap on 1min timeframe sl to the recent swinglow that created the market structure shift,target the next draw on liquidity as your take profits. . THANK YOU
Gold targets $3,475: Strong wave has not stoppedThe world gold price's uptrend continues to hold steady after a technical correction to the support zone around $3,336 - $3,369 (Fibonacci 0.5 - 0.618), coinciding with EMA34 on the H4 frame, showing that buying power is still dominant in the main trend. The price has now recovered to around $3,395/ounce and continues to maintain a strong uptrend pattern with the target of expanding to the $3,475 zone - the 100% Fibonacci level of the most recent uptrend. The convergence between the technical structure and macro news creates a solid foundation for the uptrend: safe-haven money continues to flow into gold amid geopolitical instability, a weakening USD and market sentiment worried about risks from US economic policy.
Comments from experts such as Sean Lusk and Christopher Vecchio also reinforce the bullish outlook, especially as speculative money and central bank buying have yet to show signs of cooling off. With the EMA34 and EMA89 maintaining a positive slope, the possibility of the price continuing to climb to the target area of $3,475 is very high, before a short-term correction to test the breakout zone may appear. In the short term, any correction to the $3,370–$3,390 area is seen as an opportunity to increase long positions following the trend.
fair value gap mitigationwait for 4hrs displacement candles, patiently wait for price to come to a fair value gap on 1hr timeframe and wait for a market structure shift on 1min time frame for a good entry. check for any available fair value gap after the market structure shift had been created . you enter at the fair value gap using 1min timeframe . your sl at the nearest swing low that created the fair value gap, your tp @ the nearest swing high or nearest any draw on liquidity. thank you
GOLD (XAU/USD) Breakout Watch –Bullish Continuation or Pullback?🔍 Instrument Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold vs USD)
Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H (based on candle structure)
Indicators:
EMA 50 (Red) – Current value: 3,365.25
EMA 200 (Blue) – Current value: 3,248.04
📈 Current Market Structure
Price: Trading at 3,433.62, in a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
Trend: Bullish, supported by price trading above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
Key Zones:
Immediate Resistance: ~3,430 - 3,440 zone (currently being tested).
First Support Zone: ~3,315 - 3,330
Second Support Zone: ~3,250 - 3,270
🧠 Scenario Analysis
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Price is attempting a break and retest of the resistance zone.
If a successful retest confirms it as support, next upside leg could target 3,480+.
Bullish continuation is favored as long as price holds above 3,385 (recent breakout level).
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Secondary Bias)
If price fails to hold above 3,385, we may see a pullback to:
3,315 - 3,330 support area (reaction likely due to proximity to EMA 50).
A deeper retracement toward the 3,250 zone, aligned with EMA 200, which would be a critical level for bullish continuation or breakdown.
📊 EMA Insight
EMA 50 > EMA 200: Confirms bullish momentum.
The slope of both EMAs is upward, reinforcing current upward trend.
A test of the EMA 50 may offer a buy opportunity if structure holds.
🔔 Trade Outlook
Bullish bias remains intact above 3,385.
Look for bullish price action confirmation (bullish engulfing, pin bars, etc.) on retest of resistance-turned-support.
Monitor volume/activity around 3,385-3,400 for potential rejection or continuation clues.
GOLD INTRADAY Bullish bias supported at 3392GOLD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be an overbought corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area.
Key Support: 3392 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point.
Upside Targets:
3507 – initial resistance level
3557 and 3600 – medium to long-term bullish targets
If price finds support at 3392 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels.
However, a break and daily close below 3392 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 3347, with further support at 3294.
Conclusion
GOLD remains bullish above 3392. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 3392 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Safe-Haven Buying Lifts Silver Near $33Silver climbed nearly 1% to around $32.80 per ounce on Tuesday, rebounding from last week’s losses as a weaker US dollar and rising geopolitical risks lifted safe-haven demand. The dollar slipped amid growing concerns over the Fed’s independence after President Trump suggested removing Chair Powell. Heightened tensions with China also added to market caution.
On the technical side, resistance stands at $33.15, followed by $33.80 and $34.20 if the rally continues. Support is seen at $31.40, with $30.20 and $29.00 as lower levels to watch.
Political and Trade Tensions Fuel Gold RallyGold surged past $3,460 per ounce on Tuesday, reaching a new record as demand for safe-haven assets intensified amid growing economic uncertainty. The rally followed President Trump’s renewed criticism of Fed Chair Powell, including remarks about his possible removal and calls for immediate rate cuts—raising concerns about political interference and Fed independence. Continued U.S.-China trade tensions, including a new probe into mineral tariffs, added to market anxiety. Gold is now up over 30% for the year.
Key resistance is at $3500, followed by $3,550 and $3,600. Support stands at $3400, then $3356 and $3300.