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Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations 📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week. Technical analysis: Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short. 💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
1
Bearish Setup for GoldGold is currently in a retracement phase after breaking below the mid Keltner channel zone. The small upward arrow marks this temporary relief rally, which I anticipate will be short-lived. Price is testing the lower band of the inner Keltner channel after rejecting from the upper zones. The structure suggests a classic lower high formation before a potential major sell-off, targeting the deeper liquidity zones around $3,218 – $3,160 and possibly $3,080 if momentum accelerates. 📉 Bias: Bearish 📌 Invalidation: A clean break and close above the red resistance block (~$3,320+) 📌 Target Zones: $3,218 → $3,160 → $3,080 🔔 Look for volume drop and wick exhaustion confirming the next leg down. This retracement may offer one final short entry opportunity before a deeper correction unfolds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Steffen
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take proft. Entry: 36.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback resitance. Stop loss: 37.24 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 34.78 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAGUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
#XAU/USD SELL TRADE SETUP [SHORT]In this analysis we're focusing on 2H timeframe. As we know, Gold is moving in a strong bearish trend. The best selling zone is 3295 - 3305 key levels area. If gold encounters rejection from this zone, we can anticipate a potential decline in price towards its targeted levels. Target 1:3260 Target 2:3250 Target 3:3240 Wait for a retracement to sell with strong confirmation and proper risk management. #GOLD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
Brent crude: why I'm not trading oil right nowBrent crude surged earlier this month on war headlines, and our trade setups nailed the moves. But right now, the market offers no edge. Volatility is fading and price is stuck in a large triangle. Unless you have geopolitical insight, there's no clear reason to trade. In this video, I explain why I'm staying out and what I’ll look for next. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BRENTLong
by ThinkMarkets
XAUUSD 01.07.2025-Formation of the market: On the background of general cooling of geopolitical situation gold continues its fall to the levels of 3250. The main preference of market participants is now given to less "conservative" assets, which is clearly reflected in the record values of cryptocurrency and stock market. -Forecast: In the medium term, capital outflows are likely to continue and the asset will again test the 3250 level as support. -News Background: There will be many "strong" news releases this week that could be a strong driver of movement for the asset: Today: -ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job openings. Thursday: Unemployment rate, and Non-Farm Payrolls.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Viatre
July 1, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis: The monthly close suggests a reduction in bullish momentum, raising the possibility of stronger bearish pressure ahead. However, yesterday’s daily close above 3300 indicates bulls still have some control. Watch 3312 carefully — if price breaks above it, it will confirm a shift towards a stronger bullish trend. Summary: Above 3300, the strategy is buying on pullbacks to support. Below 3300, the plan is selling on pullbacks to resistance. If price breaks below 3275, bearish strength could accelerate, and future longs will need clearer confirmation. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3350 – Bullish target • 3338 – Resistance • 3325 – Key resistance • 3310–3312 – Intraday key resistance zone • 3300 – Psychological level • 3283 – Key support • 3275 – Intraday key support • 3263 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3298 → target 3292, then 3288, 3283, 3275 • BUY if price holds above 3312 → target 3318, then 3325, 3333, 3340 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold Price Update – Bearish Trend ContinuesGold Price Update – Bearish Trend Continues Gold remains in a bearish trend with no significant changes in market direction at the moment. The price is currently reacting to developments in the Middle East, where geopolitical tensions have slightly eased, offering a short-term relief. While this may trigger temporary gains, the overall outlook suggests a potential for a larger downside wave, especially as market fundamentals and recent data continue to support the bearish scenario we've been following. Key Support Targets: 3260 3225 3200
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Morgan_Dex
Silver Analysis – June 29, 2025Over the past two weeks, silver surged to the $37 level, forming a new high. Given the speed of this move from the $33 area, this nearly 20% rally appears a bit too sharp in a short time frame. 💡 As a result, profit-taking around $37 is likely, making it harder for silver to break above this level in the near term. We expect a period of consolidation or a minor pullback, potentially dragging the price back toward the $33 zone — where buy orders may start getting triggered. 📌 The $33 area could offer a more attractive buying opportunity. Whether silver can retest the previous highs will largely depend on the strength and volume of demand at that level.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by SineHeidari
XAUUSD Nears Key Rejection ZoneHello all dear traders! Currently, XAUUSD is still in a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows – a characteristic of a market controlled by sellers. Now the price is rebounding to an important resistance zone – which was previously a demand zone but was broken. It coincides with the EMA cluster and falls right into a technical confluence area. This is a very typical "retest" before the price continues to fall. If you have experience, you will know: there is nothing more dangerous than buying in a downtrend, just because the price is recovering. On the macro side, the current context is not favorable for gold: Middle East tensions have temporarily subsided, the USD is recovering slightly, US bond yields are still high, and US inflation data is showing signs of cooling down. That is: gold is losing its role as a haven and a hedge against risks – money will gradually withdraw from gold if there are no more unexpected fluctuations. Given the convergence of these technical and fundamental factors, I am leaning strongly towards a continuation of the downside, with the possibility of a further decline towards the lower boundary of the channel. Traders should wait for a clear price reaction at the resistance zone – if they see a strong rejection signal (e.g. pinbar, engulfing candle, or exhausted volume), it is a very good opportunity to enter a position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasGlobal
Weather and Corn: Understanding the Precipitation Factor1. Introduction: Rain, Grain, and Market Chain Reactions In the world of agricultural commodities, few forces carry as much weight as weather — and when it comes to corn, precipitation is paramount. Unlike temperature, which can have nuanced and sometimes ambiguous effects depending on the growth stage, rainfall exerts a more direct and consistent influence on crop performance. For traders, understanding the role of rainfall in shaping market sentiment and price behavior isn't just an agricultural curiosity — it's a trading edge. This article unpacks the relationship between weekly rainfall levels and corn futures prices. By leveraging normalized weather data and historical returns from Corn Futures (ZC), we aim to translate weather signals into actionable market insights. Whether you're managing large agricultural positions or exploring micro futures like MZC, precipitation patterns can provide vital context for your trades. 2. Corn’s Moisture Dependency Corn is not just sensitive to water — it thrives or suffers because of it. From the moment seeds are planted, the crop enters a delicate dance with precipitation. Too little moisture during the early stages can impair root development. Too much during germination may lead to rot. And during pollination — particularly the tasseling and silking stages — insufficient rainfall can cause the plant to abort kernels, drastically reducing yield. On the other hand, excessive rainfall isn't necessarily beneficial either. Prolonged wet periods can saturate soil, hinder nutrient uptake, and encourage fungal diseases. Farmers in the U.S. Corn Belt — particularly in states like Iowa, Illinois, and Nebraska — know this well. A single unexpected weather shift in these regions can send ripple effects across global markets, causing speculators to reassess their positions. For traders, these weather events aren’t just environmental footnotes — they are catalysts that influence prices, volatility, and risk sentiment. And while annual production is important, it's the week-to-week rhythm of the growing season where short-term trades are born. 3. Our Data-Driven Approach: Weekly Rainfall and Corn Returns To understand how rainfall impacts price, we collected and analyzed decades of historical weather and futures data, aligning weekly precipitation totals from major corn-growing regions with weekly returns from Corn Futures (ZC). The weather data was normalized using percentiles for each location and week of the year. We then assigned each weekly observation to one of three precipitation categories: Low rainfall (<25th percentile) Normal rainfall (25th–75th percentile) High rainfall (>75th percentile) We then calculated the weekly percent change in corn futures prices and matched each return to the rainfall category for that week. The result was a dataset that let us measure not just general trends but statistically significant shifts in market behavior based on weather. One key finding stood out: the difference in returns between low-rainfall and high-rainfall weeks was highly significant, with a p-value of approximately 0.0006. 4. What the Numbers Tell Us The results are striking. During low-rainfall weeks, corn futures often posted higher average returns, suggesting that the market responds to early signs of drought with anticipatory price rallies. Traders and institutions appear to adjust positions quickly when weather models hint at below-normal moisture during key growth stages. In contrast, high-rainfall weeks displayed lower returns on average — and greater variability. While rain is essential, excess moisture raises fears of waterlogging, planting delays, and quality issues at harvest. The futures market, ever forward-looking, seems to price in both optimism and concern depending on the volume of rain. Boxplots of these weekly returns reinforce the pattern: drier-than-usual weeks tend to tilt bullish, while wetter periods introduce uncertainty. For discretionary and algorithmic traders alike, this insight opens the door to strategies that incorporate weather forecasts into entry, exit, and risk models. 📊 Boxplot Chart: Weekly corn futures returns plotted against precipitation category (low, normal, high). This visual helps traders grasp how price behavior shifts under varying rainfall conditions. 5. Strategy: How Traders Can Position Themselves With the clear statistical link between rainfall extremes and price behavior in corn futures, the logical next step is applying this insight to real-world trading. One straightforward approach is to incorporate weather forecast models into your weekly market prep. If a key growing region is expected to receive below-normal rainfall, that could serve as a signal for a potential bullish bias in the upcoming trading sessions. This doesn’t mean blindly buying futures on dry weeks, but rather layering this data into a broader trading thesis. For example, traders could combine weather signals with volume surges, technical breakouts, or news sentiment to form confluence-based setups. On the risk management side, understanding how price behaves during extreme weather periods can inform smarter stop-loss placements, position sizing, or even the use of option strategies to protect against unexpected reversals. Additionally, this information becomes particularly valuable during the planting and pollination seasons, when the corn crop is most vulnerable and the market reacts most strongly. Knowing the historical patterns of price behavior in those weeks — and aligning them with current forecast data — offers a clear edge that fundamental and technical analysis alone may not reveal. 🗺️ Global Corn Map Screenshot: A world map highlighting major corn-growing regions with weather overlay. This helps illustrate the geographic variability in rainfall and how it intersects with key production zones. 6. Corn Futures Contracts: Speculating with Flexibility For traders looking to act on this kind of seasonal weather intelligence, CME Group provides two practical tools: the standard-size Corn Futures contract (ZC) and the Micro Corn Futures contract (MZC). Here are some quick key points to remember: Tick size for ZC is ¼ cent (0.0025) per bushel, equating to $12.50 per tick. For MZC, each tick is 0.0050 equating to $2.50 per tick. Standard ZC initial margin is approximately $1,000 and MZC margins are around $100 per contract, though this can vary by broker. Micro contracts are ideal for those who want exposure to corn prices without the capital intensity of full-size contracts. They’re especially helpful for weather-based trades, where your thesis may rely on shorter holding periods, rapid scaling, or position hedging. 7. Conclusion: Rain’s Role in the Corn Trade Precipitation isn’t just a farmer’s concern — it’s a trader’s opportunity. Our analysis shows that weather data, especially rainfall, has a statistically significant relationship with corn futures prices. By normalizing historical precipitation data and matching it to weekly returns, we uncovered a clear pattern: drought stress tends to lift prices, while excessive moisture creates volatility and downside risk. For futures traders, understanding this dynamic adds another layer to market analysis. As part of a broader series, this article is just one piece of a puzzle that spans multiple commodities and weather variables. Stay tuned for our upcoming releases, where we’ll continue exploring how nature’s forces shape the futures markets. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZC1!Education
by traddictiv
GOLD Bouncing from Trendline, Breakout Ahead?GOLD BOTTOM IS HERE 🔥 Gold has taken support from the rising trendline and is now close to breaking a key resistance. The chart is showing an ascending triangle, which usually means a big move is coming. If price breaks above the resistance, we might see a strong rally of 13% or more. The setup looks positive as long as the support stays strong. Looks like Gold is ready to shine again! Retweet if you're bullish. Like and follow for more updates! #GOLD TVC:XAU
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
1
Market next target 🔀 Disruption Analysis - Alternative Scenario While the current chart suggests a bullish breakout from the support area around $35.85–$35.90 with an upward target above $36.20, a potential bearish disruption scenario could unfold under the following conditions: ⚠️ Bearish Disruption Possibility: 1. Weakening Buying Pressure: Price has tested the support zone multiple times, showing signs of weakening bullish momentum. Buyers may be exhausting near the $36.00 area without strong follow-through. 2. Break Below Support: If price breaks and closes below $35.85 support zone on high volume, it could invalidate the bullish setup. This would create a lower low, indicating a potential trend reversal to the downside. 3. Next Downside Targets: Immediate support lies around $35.60. Further downside could take price to $35.40 if bearish momentum strengthens. 4. Bearish Triggers: Negative economic data (especially U.S.-related as indicated by the calendar icon). Rising DXY or bond yields may pressure silver prices
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
XAUUSD Hello traders. There’s currently a great opportunity for a potential short setup on the XAUUSD pair. We just need a bit of patience. For that reason, this trade will be placed as a Sell Limit. In the coming days, I expect a moderate pullback in gold. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has reached a new all-time high, which is quite notable. If the index begins to correct from these levels, we could potentially see a strong rally in gold. Of course, this is just my personal opinion based on current market dynamics. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.20 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell Limit ✔️ Entry Price: 3294.70 ✔️ Take Profit Targets: 3245.78 / 3207.00 / 3154.00 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3315.36 🕒 If momentum weakens or price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll manually close it—whether in profit or loss—based on how price action evolves. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
"SILVER (XAGUSD) July Breakdown = Trend Reversal SetupSilver’s explosive rally may be running out of steam — the July setup is screaming SELL. 📌 Using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System, here’s the case: ✅ CC SELL confirmed near the 37.30 zone ✅ RSI Overbought printed — classic blow-off top conditions ✅ MACD rolling over + weakening momentum ✅ Price rejected cleanly from the top of trend channel 🎯 Bearish targets: 34.60 – first reaction zone / channel midpoint 32.80 – channel base and high-volume node This is a prime setup for a mean reversion trade or trend reversal, depending on how July opens. Looking to build shorts into rallies. 🧠 Powered by: Confirm Alerts CC MACD Screener RSI OB/OS Zones Cheat Code Trend Indicator Watch for continued weakness below 35.80 to confirm momentum shift.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by bluesignalfx
1
Stock Index Futures - ES, NQ, YM - Weekly AnalysisS&P 500 / ESU2025 Key drivers: Rebounding from April’s tariff-induced lows, boosted by optimism around U.S.–China trade, easing geopolitical tensions, and Fed rate‑cut expectations Market breadth strengthened as sectors beyond mega-cap tech—especially financials and industrials—joined the rally Nasdaq / NQU2025 Catalysts: Continued leadership from AI/digital giants like Nvidia (which rose ~4% on Friday and regained its title as the world’s most valuable company) alongside broader tech momentum Dow Jones / YMU2025 Highlights: Strongest weekly performance since early April. Corporate earnings (e.g., Nike’s better-than-expected report) provided sector-specific tailwinds. Cross‑asset momentum: Equities rebounded strongly from April’s slump, logging back-to-back months of double-digit gains—fuelled by tariff ease, geopolitical calm, and dovish Fed signals. Vigilance required: While sentiment is strong, potential catalysts include the July 9 deadline on tariff pauses, upcoming jobs data, Fed commentary, and the tax/spending package. ------------------------------------ I will be approaching the markets differently from now on. Based on the feedback from past analysis, I will be compiling all related pairs into one video, giving you guys the ability to see how one asset affects the other. This is called inter-market relationship and it's something i've been doing for years. It gives you confidence on what pairs are 'Hot Picks' and the ones that have a high chance of not delivering the way you want.
CME_MINI:ESU2025Long
by LegendSince
XAUUSD h4 down mode GOLD (XAU/USD) Analysis – Bearish Retest & Drop Setup Price rejected from key resistance zone near 3285–3300, showing clear bearish pressure. Two major resistance zones: • Zone 1: 3285–3300 – Recently tested and rejected • Zone 2: 3340–3360 – Strong resistance if price spikes higher Price expected to: Retest the 3285–3300 resistance Fail to break above Continue its bearish move toward target levels below Targets: • First Target: 3240 • Final Target Point: 3215–3220 This setup is based on price action, multiple rejections, and resistance zone behavior. Clean bearish confirmation expected on H4. Watch price closely at resistance zones for rejection candles or wicks before entry. Trade with proper risk management and confirmations #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #BearishSetup #PriceAction #TradingView #RSI_Technical_Trading #ForexSignals
TVC:GOLDLong
by Official_Of_GoldMaster
4
Gold rebounded from oversold!Gold fell continuously on Friday, and the daily line closed in a cross. Although the previous closing was a small positive, the rebound was discontinuous and there was no strong upward movement, which means that the overall reversal has not ended and there is still room for downward adjustment. It continued to fall to the 3255 line and rebounded slightly, and then approached the 3280 mark. The support below is dense, and there is no condition for aggressive shorting. If you want to short, you still have to rebound and then short. This week, the two key positions above 3295 and 3310 were suppressed. The monthly closing is likely to be a new low. Be cautious.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by DrewJudson
Possible MTR in Play (TBC)Gold has printed a textbook structure for a potential Major Trend Reversal (MTR) off the ATH zone, with a clean rejection and a shift in character. The descending trendline from the top aligns with lower highs, while the ascending base from April is now under pressure. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 3,280.0 – neckline of the potential MTR 3,250.00 – psychological magnet and structural support 3,000.00 – major downside target if the reversal confirms 🧠 “Markets top on euphoria, not logic.” If price breaks and retests the neckline with momentum, the MTR thesis gains traction. Until then — TBC. #XAUUSD #Gold #MajorTrendReversal #MTR #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBears #ATHRejection #TrendShift #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by MJElahifx
1