How do I know if a day will be bullish?"Daily Bias" is one of the most asked questions by traders!
You’ve probably heard someone say:
“If only I knew where the candle would expand, I’d be rich!”
Well, today I’m sharing a framework that can help you start answering that exact question.
🚶🏽♂️Walk with me as we break down the ES Futures Daily Candle for April 24, 2024.
By the end of this video, you'll have a solid starting point to study and apply this method—
#OneCandlestickAtATime
Futures market
Gold price breaks down: Will gold price continue to rise?At the short-term 4-hour level, the intraday rebound was under pressure from the middle track downward. At present, the K-line has returned to run below the moving average. The short-term trend is bearish. The market may further test the support near the lower track 3240. The short-term upper pressure focuses on the pressure near 3315, which is near the ma5 moving average. Above it is the pressure near the middle track that has moved down to 3338. Relying on these two suppressions tonight, there is still room for further decline, pointing to the previous day's low of 3260. If it continues to break through here, then the first attempt at bottom speculation may be close.
Market trend analysis and unique operation layoutTechnical analysis of gold: From the performance of the daily chart, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, and there has been a significant correction from the high point near $3,500. After hitting the low point of the week, the gold price rebounded to a certain extent, but the rebound strength was blocked near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level (about $3,368-3,370), which has now become an important short-term resistance. Today's opening trend of the gold market is like yesterday. The upward mode started during the Asian session, rising all the way to around $3,370, but encountered strong resistance here, and then turned downward and started a decline. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by yesterday's European and American sessions, and rebounded after the lowest point fell to $3,265.
In view of the important trend of gold prices breaking down key points, the subsequent market is likely to consider the idea of swinging and shorting. From the current market structure, the position of $3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it effectively breaks, the bearish trend will be further strengthened, and the market may usher in a deeper adjustment. From the 4-hour chart, the intraday rebound is under pressure from the middle track downward. At present, the K-line has returned to run below the moving average. The short-term trend is bearish. The market may further test the support near the lower track 3260. The short-term upper pressure focuses on the pressure near 3315, which is near the ma5 moving average. Above it is the pressure near the middle track currently moving down to 3338. Relying on these two pressures, there is still room for further decline in the short term, pointing to the previous day's low of 3260, so you can try to buy the bottom with a light position for the first time. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The upper short-term focus is on the 3315-3320 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3265-3260 line of support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Oscillating downward! The bearish trend is beginning to emerge!【Gold Analysis】
Interpretation of news: The current market presents a "three-legged" pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark. The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. In terms of the trade war, the situation is not as good as Trump's remarks. The Asian giant issued a solemn statement on Thursday, emphasizing that if the US is sincere about solving the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be immediately cancelled. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing.
The current market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. On the one hand, Finance Minister Bensont's statement that the trade confrontation may continue has triggered a rise in risk aversion; on the other hand, the expectation that the Fed may cut interest rates has provided fundamental support for gold. This complex psychology is the main reason why the price of gold fluctuates in the range of 3260-3500 US dollars. There is one last trading day this week. Let's see how this week ends.
From the daily chart of gold, after the exaggerated reversal in the middle of the week, the current price of gold has not only lost the important support of 3350, but also formed an obvious bearish evening star in terms of shape, which means that there may be further correction space in the future. In addition, at this stage, the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 have been broken one after another, so it is not ruled out that they will continue to move closer to MA20, but their position is still below 3200.
From the 4-hour chart of gold, although it once fell nearly 200 US dollars from the high, the price of gold gradually stood firm yesterday and began to fluctuate and rebound. It has now returned to above 3270. However, given that the moving average group is in a sticky state and the MACD indicator is adjusted to near the 0 axis, the short-term long and short competition may become more intense. Therefore, it is recommended to keep selling high and buying low as the main strategy, which is more stable. Pay attention to the resistance of 3370-3375 on the top and the support of 3285-3280 on the bottom;
Investment strategy: short gold at 3310-3320, target 3265.
Bullish continuation?The Silver (XAG/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 33.11
1st Support: 32.21
1st Resistance: 34.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XAUUSD4H Supply Zone (3367.55 area): Price has rejected from here multiple times (highlighted with red arrows).
4H Demand Zone (3260.25 area): Price has also rejected upwards (green arrows) from here.
Current Structure:
Price is stuck between supply and demand, inside a 4H consolidation zone.
There’s a 1H resistance currently being tested (~3308 area).
Trading Plan Outlined:
If price breaks and retests above the 1H resistance → Look for buys toward 3365.
If price rejects at 1H resistance → Look for sells down toward 3268.
EMA Setup: Blue (9 EMA) and Orange (likely 50 EMA) are being used for momentum cues.
"Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Min Chart: Potential Rebound to 3300 Target? This 15-minute Gold (XAUUSD) chart from TradingView highlights a sharp bearish move breaking below an ascending trendline, followed by a stabilization around a key support zone near 3,260–3,270. A potential bullish retracement is anticipated, with a target set at the 3,300 level. The chart outlines key resistance and support zones, a break-retest pattern, and a projected bullish path. Traders should watch price action closely near the 3,300 target for potential rejection or continuation.
4/25 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday’s long position strategy performed well—whether you closed your trades or continue to hold, the returns have been solid. Gold has now risen to the 3370 level, and technically, there's still room for further upside.
There is some selling pressure near 3370. If price breaks through decisively, we should watch for further resistance in the 3380–3400 zone. If bullish strength weakens, a pullback to 3368–3352 could occur.
If the market dips first, the 3345–3328 range is a key support area. A slow, corrective pullback to this zone could offer another buying opportunity. However, if the decline is sharp, we must monitor whether 3306–3288 can hold as a firm bottom.
From a trend perspective, I personally lean toward the possibility of gold pushing above 3400 today. Stay long-biased, but be flexible with high-level adjustments.
🔁Trading Recommendations:
Sell in the 3410–3440 range
Buy in the 3306–3288 range
Use 3380–3348 / 3328–3368 for flexible, intraday swing trades
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3271.6
Sl - 3260.0
Tp - 3293.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,270.77 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,242.15..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold is under pressure and falls again Short again on rebound!Gold rebounded weakly during the European session, and fell twice during the US session, with the lowest price dropping to 3265. However, even though it is extremely weak at present, it is not recommended to blindly chase the short position. The support below is 3260, which is the previous low point and is close to the volatility limit. Instead, you can try short-term long positions with a light position. The short-term pressure above is maintained at 3306, and the breakthrough will gradually reach 3315 and 3328!
Operational suggestions: Gold is short near 3310-20, and look at 3300 and 3280! Long positions can be made if the support below 3260 is not broken!
Bonds Could be Forming a Big Low The drop in bonds took them down the 76 retracement level and this is where we're stalled out, at least for now.
Action in this area is consistent with a head and shoulders - and if that pattern is in play then we'd be into the rally in bonds now.
Something that's always worth noticing is when there's a lot of talk of something dramatic happening in something but it doesn't make a new extreme.
During the last drop in bonds there was extreme bear sentiment (It's not even something I'm all that interested in and I was seeing it everywhere) but this drop has so far failed to break the low and, perhaps critically, remains above the 76. Currently in the pending reversal zone we have the formation of a possible reversal pattern.
This is a premise we can invert to the yields also.
If these reversals play out, they predict that these start to change really quickly. We'd be heading out of the late reversal stages and into the early trend.
We'd expect to see bonds sharp up and yields sharp down.
Failure of these levels as reversals would imply a far stronger trend in these, but I do think the odds skew better towards reversals here as per the TA norms.
Is XAUUSD bullish or bearish today? I'm bearish on GOLD (XAUUSD) today!
Logic: GOLD recently hit its historic high. After that retracing but not sustaining at any point just because of the big players booking profits, it's common in GOLD .
Now, GOLD is reversing, and I can see it formed a bearish flag pattern today in the 15- or 5-minute time frame, as you can see in my chart drawing. So, I'm bearish at least till the 3270 level .
Thank you
Selling CL based in line with daily bearish trendI did video analysis yesterday. I was looking to short CL which provided short entry in NY AM session however bounced back forming inside bar on daily chart. Today CL swept the liquidity above Daily inside bar high and reversed forming a breaker on 15M chart. I still expect yesterday's discussed idea and move to happen with target of big bearish Wednesday Daily candle low.
Can gold continue its decline and hit a new low?US President Trump said he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell. Affected by this, the US dollar soared in the short term and spot gold plummeted dramatically. This remark marks a huge change in Trump's attitude. He has recently stepped up his criticism of Powell and refused to rule out the possibility of taking the unprecedented step of firing Powell.
Gold technical analysis: This wave of gold correction is still continuing. The market has actually warned about today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after gold rose to 3500 yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation!
In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to sell short. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
Gold Analysis The recent gold rally has achieved all anticipated price targets in a remarkably short timeframe, subsequently attracting profit-taking activity. These sellers are currently dominating price action, creating what appears to be a potential head and shoulders pattern with the head at $3,500 and neckline at $3,280. Should the 4-hour candle close below this neckline, it would confirm the pattern formation, suggesting a downside target of $3,080. The RSI indicator further supports this bearish outlook, with a clear negative divergence forming over the past three days while remaining below the 50 level
SAXO:XAUUSD AMEX:GLD AMEX:IAU COMEX:GC1!
Gold INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 3227Gold prices slipped on Friday and are on track to end the week lower.
China denied any ongoing trade negotiations with the US, contradicting former President Trump's claims.
Despite this, markets are rallying on deal speculation, with traders rotating out of Gold and into equities.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3392
Resistance Level 2: 3457
Resistance Level 3: 3500
Support Level 1: 3227
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3130
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Head and Shoulder pattern XAUUSD GOLD Update | H4 Timeframe 🙌
We have been observed that in H4 Timeframe market is creating a proper Head and Shoulder pattern ❗️
We have been set our trendline which is indicated that previous h4 rejected that area and try to push himself from that point
We also set our observation area at point
If market break our trendline area then expected 3280 further 3260.00 would be last trigger point
On the otherhand if market can not break the trendline we are expecting near our Resistance area at 3348.00 ❗️
#XAUUSD
Elliot Wave B then C on 4hrTo confirm a low is in and Wave B’s final leg is starting:
✅ 15M CHoCH – Price must break previous lower high (LL > HL shift).
✅ Bullish volume surge on breakout.
✅ Higher low retest (entry zone).
✅ RSI breaks above 50.
This would line up with a reversal inside your 4H Demand/Reaction Block, adding confluence from both timeframes.
CRUDE OIL I Weekly CLS I KL - Breaker I |Model 1 to 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 7 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GOLD → Gold Market Forecast and AnalysisFor most of the period from 2025 to now, gold prices have risen almost continuously, hitting new all-time highs. Since October 2022, gold prices have almost doubled, rising by more than 25% in 2025 alone, reaching a new all-time high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22. The $4,000 price level, once considered untouchable, is now openly discussed in trading halls around the world.
The easing of global tensions, especially between the United States and China or in Eastern Europe, could significantly reduce safe-haven demand.
While this is not the base case for 2025, it is still an unexpected risk that traders must consider. In fact, gold prices have retreated from recent highs after US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced.
The sharp rise in gold prices increases the possibility of a correction. If the upward momentum slows, profit-taking could trigger a rapid and violent sell-off. As with any parabolic rise, volatility is inevitable; prices often experience a short-term downward trend before setting new all-time highs. Traders with short-term strategies should be aware of such price declines and practice risk management: avoid large trades, set stop-losses, and diversify their portfolios.
Quaid wants to say:
Opportunities always come to those who dare to act. Be bold in the gold market, and the next winner will be you, my friend.