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we might continue dropping daily hidden divergence, price might want to continue seeking sell side liquidity 4hr is making a new low and taking out old lows (sell side liquidity) to the left MACD is not converging as of yet 1hr hbrsh-div price is dropping ahead of red news this Friday, could head to 1hr old low or weekly low, waiting to see how price reacts to news m15 price is below POC of previous NY session POC, as well as overnight Asian and London session converging nicely ahead of news I would favor price reacting short-term from m15 bearish imbalance before reaching the lows around the NY open after news but we will see
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by martiedirect
Bearish PotentialBias: Bearish (Pending Confirmation Post-News) Higher Timeframe Context (Daily) Wednesday closed bearish – 4H made a lower high, and a bearish engulfing candle after sweeping the previous day high, and MACD turned from bullish momentum after making a higher high showing hidden bearish divergence Lower Timeframe Breakdown 1hr made a market structure shift after making a higher MACD made a lower high (bearish divergence), the price closed below Wednesday NY session POC 15M made a lower low + MACD lower low( convergence)
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by martiedirect
2
Gold is about to test the 3000 supportGold is about to test the 3000 support From the current market, gold continued to fall on Friday and encountered a large amount of selling. It has now hit a low of 3016. Source: The non-agricultural data of the US market will be released tonight, which is obviously bearish, and the gold price has fallen from a high level. At present: the weekly moving average of gold price is suppressed and blocked. After testing the resistance, a short-term long-short reversal is formed, and it retreats and breaks the intraday low. From the overall trend: there is no doubt that the weak pattern of gold is reasonable. It is reasonable to continue to be under pressure and fall. Current pressure: 3050-3055 area, continue to look up to 3060-3070 area, Current support: 3000 mark, there will be a rebound above, and a new round of downward space will be opened below. Upper resistance: focus on 3055 first, and then focus on 3068. If the bulls break through strongly, the gold price is expected to return to 3080. Of course, the possibility of a short-term rise is not great. After all, in the strong and repeated trend, the double top structure formed by 3135 and 3080 has been confirmed. It is expected to continue to break through next week and test the 3000 integer mark. Overall: Gold short-term operation ideas: Short-term focus on the upper side: 3050-3055 resistance Short-term focus on the lower side: 3000-3015 support.
FX:XAUUSD
by Louisa00000
Gold reaches the dynamic supportGold has been overbought technically, which was visible from RSI (it was flashing the overbought conditions positioning above the 70 point line), Bollinger Bands (price was spiking above the 2 standard deviation zone), and the price action: after the initial breakout, it was rapidly sold off not holding the buying pressure anymore. So, the most expected scenario was probably a consolidation or a correction. As we see now, the scenario of correction was triggered. As Gold served both as a protection, and as a growth vehicle, it's difficult to assume the further liquidation. The most expected scenario would be a bullish pivot and locking in a consolidation, as shown at the chart. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
XAUUSD SELL NOWBased on current technical and economic indicators, it appears that gold is poised for a significant retracement. Here’s a detailed analysis: Gold Retracement Overbought Conditions: Gold prices, as measured by XAU/USD, have reached resistance levels and are exhibiting overbought RSI readings. This suggests that a correction is likely in the short term. Interest Rate Expectations: With rising real yields and the expectation of monetary tightening, gold—which is typically sensitive to higher opportunity costs—may lose its appeal. Technical Patterns: Chart patterns such as a double top or head-and-shoulders formation on gold's price chart indicate a potential bearish reversal. Flow of Money to Risk Assets Asset Reallocation: As investors seek higher yields, we’re likely to see capital flowing out of safe-haven assets like gold into riskier assets such as equities and cryptocurrencies. Equity Market Momentum: Equity indices are showing robust performance with upward-trending moving averages. Historical data suggests that when gold retreats, equities tend to benefit from the reallocation of funds, with projections indicating a minimum upward trend until the end of June. Crypto Surge: Cryptocurrencies, known for their volatility, have been on an upward trajectory, and the anticipated inflow of capital could further drive their prices higher. The crypto market is already exhibiting bullish momentum, supported by increased institutional interest and favorable technical signals. Outlook Through September/October Gold: Expect a continued downward pressure on gold prices through September and October as the shift in market sentiment persists. Equities: Equities are likely to remain buoyant at least until the end of June, driven by improved risk appetite and capital inflows. Cryptocurrencies: The inflow of risk capital is projected to boost cryptocurrencies further, reinforcing their position as a leading volatile asset class. In summary, current technical setups combined with macroeconomic trends suggest that the money flow is shifting from gold into equities and cryptocurrencies, setting the stage for a robust equity performance at least through June and a continued rally in the crypto space, while gold faces a strong retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SGsauragestion
Gold prices fluctuate dramatically!Market news: On Friday (April 4) in the Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3112/ounce. On Thursday (April 3), international gold experienced amazing fluctuations, with a single-day fluctuation of nearly $200, and the gold price eventually closed down. In the morning, due to the safe-haven buying driven by Trump's tariff policy, the gold price once refreshed its historical high to 3167, but then the bulls took the opportunity to take profits. The London gold price once fell by more than $110 to $3054/ounce, and then received support from bargain hunting. The poor performance of the US ISM manufacturing PMI data in March and the sharp drop in US stocks also provided support for the international gold price, helping the gold price to rise above the 3100 mark! The financial market was in panic, and people speculated that inflation would soar and economic development would stagnate. Concerns about a US recession rose, and people speculated that the Federal Reserve would have to adjust its monetary policy accordingly. The dollar plummeted, and stock markets around the world also plummeted. Central banks' buying may continue to support the rise of gold prices this year. They hope to avoid the risks brought by Trump's policies, so they are looking for options other than the US dollar. The US non-farm payrolls report for March will be released today. The market expects 135,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Investors need to pay close attention. In addition, Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a speech, which investors also need to pay close attention to. Technical Review: Why did the market volatility fall and rise by nearly $200 yesterday, exceeding the historical market's sharp decline and rise. Special tariffs were implemented yesterday, and then a series of policies on corresponding tariffs in various countries will be introduced. The main market players took this opportunity to carry out a large-scale wash and harvest retail investors. After the sharp drop, the stage high point appeared, and the follow-up was that both long and short positions could participate. The first plunge only established the high point position, and it was not so fast to turn short. It would fluctuate for a period of time. Generally, major news is an opportunity. The news in the early morning detonated the market, and the main players often did it with the help of news to increase shipments. Yesterday's market was really exciting. I can only say! Gold rose and fell on the daily line. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It rose to 3168 and was under pressure. It quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than $100. The callback space is larger than the upward space, that is, a wide range of washing with slow rise and fast adjustment. The volatility base is large, and both long and short positions need to respond flexibly, depending on the pattern. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3100 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement was 3054. Then it pulled back to close above 3100. The daily line has a short-term local adjustment, and the short-term is temporarily oscillating widely around the 3168-3050 range. Today's analysis: Gold prices fell on a new profit-taking as traders chose to cash out before the release of the crucial US non-farm payrolls data. Given the increased risk of recession, non-farm data will help provide a clear sense of the Fed's interest rate outlook. What is coming has come. The volatility of gold is really getting bigger day by day. The fluctuation of a single day is several hundred US dollars. The decline is always faster than the rise, and it is more fierce. After breaking the 3100 watershed, it accelerated downward. The current minimum is 3054. The key position below is 3033/3054. Pay attention to the plunge and the card position. You can also participate in buying, but you must wait patiently for the position.The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern. Although the gold bulls have strongly rebounded, it is also because of the retaliatory rebound stimulated by the risk-averse news. However, gold continued to fall after the high, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3100! If gold falls below the support near 3100 again, then the gold bears will still have more advantages in this tug-of-war. Today is the non-agricultural data again. Overall, the impact of non-agricultural data is expected to be eclipsed. More important is the stimulation of the news. However, it may be noted that if gold holds the 3100 mark for a long time, then gold is expected to fluctuate upward above 3100. If it does not fall below 3100, then it is necessary to adjust thinking in time. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3097-3100, stop loss at 3090, target at 3130-3140; Sell short-term gold at 3132-3135, stop loss at 3144, target at 3100-3090; Key points: First support level: 3100, second support level: 3078, third support level: 3054 First resistance level: 3120, second resistance level: 3135, third resistance level: 3167
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
GOLD short-term intraday analysisThe central bank's continued gold purchases, rising risk aversion and relatively low real interest rates will continue to attract funds into the precious metals market. Gold prices fell on a new profit-taking as traders chose to cash out before the release of the crucial US NFP employment data. Given the increased risk of recession, the NFP data will help provide more clues to the Fed's interest rate outlook. The volatility of gold is really getting bigger day by day, with a single-day fluctuation of several hundred US dollars. The decline is always faster and more fierce than the rise. After breaking the 3100 dividing line, it accelerated downward. Yesterday's lowest was 3054. The key position below is 3033/3054. Note that you can also participate in long positions at key support positions under the plunge, but you must be patient and wait for the position. The gold 1-hour moving average still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market did not allow the gold 1-hour moving average to enter a dead cross pattern. Although gold bulls rebounded strongly, it was also stimulated by risk aversion news. However, gold continued to fall after rising, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3078! Now that gold has fallen below the support near 3100 again, the gold bears are still more dominant in this tug-of-war. Today is the NFP data day. Overall, the impact of the NFP data is expected to be eclipsed. More importantly, the stimulus of risk aversion news. Key points: First support: 3085, second support: 3078, third support: 3054 First resistance: 3120, second resistance: 3135, third resistance: 3167 Operation ideas: Buy: 3078-3082, SL: 3068, TP: 3100-3110; Sell: 3132-3135, SL: 3144, TP: 3110-3100;
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAUUSD H4 Updat- Selling Pressure Sends Gold Tumbling Toward SupFOREXCOM:XAUUSD After struggling to stay above the 3100 area, XAUUSD is currently consolidating, awaiting the next momentum shift. Selling pressure continues to dominate, and buyers seem unable to push gold higher in the short term. From a technical perspective, the current lack of buying strength may be attributed to market uncertainty following comments from former U.S. President Donald Trump regarding potential tariff policies. These remarks have added a layer of risk-off sentiment, causing investors to step back from safe-haven assets like gold. On the 4-hour chart (H4), there's a visible downside potential with key support levels seen in the 2955–2930 range. This zone previously acted as a strong demand area, making it an important level to watch in the coming sessions. Key scenarios to consider: A confirmed break below the 3100 zone could pave the way for a retest of the 2955–2930 support area. However, if gold forms a higher low above 3100, a potential bullish reversal should not be ruled out. At this stage, the best approach is to wait for clearer price action confirmation — whether gold will bounce from support or extend its correction deeper. I'll continue to monitor the price development and update accordingly if the technical structure changes significantly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by algonauthx
Gold TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you're doing well. In the 1-hour timeframe, the price of gold has taken a downward trend and has formed two lower lows. There is a very strong order block visible on the chart, and I expect that after the price retraces to this order block, it will react and continue to move down. We will wait for the price to reach this order block, then in the 5-minute timeframe, we will take the right trades and enter a short position. Keep in mind that in higher timeframes, the market is moving upwards, so short positions carry higher risk. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub 📅 25.Apr.5 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GPTradersHub
Volatility Trades UVXY, SVIX, VXX and Risk On/OffVolatility Trades Do you trade symbols such as SVIX, VXX, UVXY or even UVIX? These are all volatility trades either long or short. I have come up with an indicator that I use to keep myself on the right side of volatility. It is also a good measure of RISK-ON/RISK-OFF. Where am I in the Volatility Trade? Full disclosure I am long volatility. It has not been an easy ride. I was long VXX call options on 3/26. On Liberation day, (4/2), got a sell signal, so I sold. Markets freaked out around 4:10pm so I bought UVXY after hours on my buy signal. I am still holding and moving my stop up. The Indicator I developed an oscillator indicator that charts the EMA of the VX futures roll yield along with the roll yield itself. It also has a quick-view table of the VIX, VX1, VX2 futures, the current roll yield and Contango/Backwardation status. It is free, search on "UM VIX status table and Roll Yield with EMA" This chart shows the VX1 futures with the roll yield indicator. I use several other indicators for trades on this hourly chart but the heart of the volatility trade strategy is this: Strategy: When: The VX futures roll yield turns down or red, begin looking for long volatility trades. This can take on a variety of formats including long VX futures, VXX, UVXY, UVIX or call options on any of the listed. Exit the long volatility, when the VIX futures roll yield turns green. You can proactively close any long position using your own indicators or judgement, but when the roll yield turns red to green, this is hard "out" or exit. The VX futures roll yield turns up or green, begin looking for short volatility trades. This too can take on any number of formats including short the VX futures, long SVXY, long SVIX or call options on any of these. Here is some real world trading of UVXY with this indicator: Here are a couple real world SVIX trades. (Note I had to roll back to November 2024 for the examples) Here is a chart of the S&P500 Futures with the same indicators: Notice when the volatility subsides/roll yield EMA turns down/red, stocks tend to rise. So when is a crash over?? When the VX futures come out of Backwardation and go into Contango with a positive roll yield, this "usually" leads to a risk-on environment. (This is the green fill above zero on the oscillator). I set an alert on the roll yield EMA and any cross of the roll yield zero line. No indicator is full-proof. Do your own homework and use good money management. But if you trade any of the volatility ETFs/ETNs, check out this indicator. Keep in mind, these instruments different animals from stocks and other ETFs. These are based on a combination of the front two month VIX futures contracts, so the ETFs/ETNs do not trade like stocks. My Chart Setup and Indicators: Security - VX1. (VIX front month futures contract). ( you can use the VIX, but VX1 seems smoother with more data points given a 23 hour trading day) Time Frame - 1 hour RSI. - UM-Relative Strength index with Trending EMA, RSI 65, EMA 220, OHLC4 WMA - 65 period UM VIX Status table with Roll Yield - 89 period EMA, table location lower right. Additional thoughts: I left much of this strategy open-ended. I am not going to tell you how to trade volatility because, well its volatile! Adopt this indicator to your style of trading and timeframe. Experiment with the settings and backtest it. Dates I suggest you review: 12/24, 7/24, 1/22, 3/22. If you can get the data, look at 2/20. Let me know if it helps you out. Use shorter time frames for long volatility - 1 hour is my goto. But always look at the daily for larger context. Happy Trading.
CBOE:VX1!Long
by UnderwearMillionaire