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XAU! 11/8! Create liquidity for the downtrendXAU / USD trend forecast November 8, 2024 Gold prices rose above $2,700 after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and noted that US election impacts are unlikely to be immediate. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,704, up over 1.7%. Wall Street gained further as the Fed unanimously lowered the federal funds rate by 0.25%. In its statement, the Fed pointed to solid economic growth, though labor market conditions have weakened slightly. Officials also observed that inflation is closer to the Fed’s 2% target but remains somewhat elevated. Long term framework - gold price is still in a downtrend. Market recovered thanks to FED continuing to cut 0.25% as expected. Short term recovery /// SELL XAU : zone 2719-2722 SL: 2727 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2692) /// BUY XAU : zone 2667-2664 SL: 2659 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2694) Safe and profitable trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Moon-ForexAcademy
1
Gold - Time To Close Out Partial Profits!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is now back to the upper channel resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After breaking above the plsychological $2.000 level, Gold created such an incredible rally, massively outperforming stocks and even cryptocurrencies over the past couple of months. Therefore, it is quite likely that big institutions will take some profits at the current levels. Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDShort
by basictradingtv
22
XAUUSD: Continue to Monitor Resistance at 2712-2720During the Asian and European sessions today, gold pulled back as it approached key resistance levels, and is currently near a support zone. Based on the current price structure, the support appears relatively strong, suggesting a potential for a rebound in the short term. If the support remains intact over the next hour, the price could rise again, with focus shifting to the resistance zone around 2712-2720. However, if the support is broken, there is a possibility that the price may test the previous lows again. In this case, the formation of a "W" reversal pattern should be monitored, as it could signal a significant rebound opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal
Gold may recover from the supportGold plummeted after the US elections, removing the geopolitical premium from the price. However, uncertainty hasn't gone away, and it might continue moving in the direction of the trend. Yesterday's planned decline of the interest rate and the supporting speech of Jerome Powell points to a neutral sentiment of the FED toward the monetary policy as the economic outlook stabilizes. Political uncertainty is still at the center of the agenda, but markets are quiet after the first optimistic spike of stocks and cryptos. It's possible to observe another ATH for Gold soon. Don't forget - always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
Gold price analysis November 8Fundamental Analysis After Trump took office, hopes that his policies would boost economic growth and inflation, to a greater extent, overshadowed the dovish outlook of the Federal Reserve (Fed), which helped revive demand for the US Dollar (USD). In addition, a generally positive risk tone undermined the safe-haven precious metal. Meanwhile, falling US Treasury yields could keep US bulls from placing aggressive bets and help limit any further downside in non-yielding Gold prices. However, XAU/USD, for now, appears to have stalled its nice recovery from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support, or above the three-week low touched on Thursday, and remains on track to post a second consecutive weekly loss. Technical Analysis If the correction of gold fails to exceed the 2690 zone, the recovery may last until the beginning of the US session. Our target is around 2676 at this signal. Today's main port area is noted around the bottom of the 2650 correction wave. When gold breaks 2690, wait for a retest and BUY to the 2710 and 2730 zones.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
FOMC and Powell support GOLD, bearish outlook still prevailsOANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading rose nearly 2% yesterday when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as market predicted, causing the US Dollar to plunge and giving gold a boost. The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday, while policymakers noted a "broad deterioration" in the job market. Officials voted unanimously to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.5%-4.75%. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Trump's presidential election victory will not directly affect monetary policy. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have put pressure on the US dollar and bond yields, while boosting the investment appeal of non-yielding gold. FOMC content In their monetary policy statement, officials acknowledged the economy is growing steadily despite slowing labor market conditions. They admitted inflation was close to the Fed's 2% target but still remained slightly high. Fed policymakers also noted that the risks to achieving their dual mandates were “roughly balanced” but acknowledged uncertainty about the economic outlook. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement said: "The Committee believes that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are balanced and that there is uncertainty about the economic outlook. The Committee concerned about the risk of achieving his dual mandate." While policymakers noted “progress” in achieving the inflation target, they neglected to mention “becoming more confident that inflation can move steadily toward 2 percent.” sustainable”. “Labour market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low,” the Fed statement said. Powell said the election results would not affect decision-making in the short term and that there was flexibility in future policy direction. At his post-FOMC press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell avoided giving specific guidance on the future direction of interest rates, leaving room for flexibility at the December meeting and beyond. He emphasized that because the economy is strong, the Fed can take its time lowering interest rates. He acknowledged that even after Thursday's rate cut, policy remains restrained as officials aim to return interest rates to neutral levels. Regarding the pace of interest rate cuts, Powell said if the labor market weakens or slows as it approaches neutrality, the Fed could accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts. However, he clarified that no final decision has been made yet. Powell also said that in the short term, the presidential election results will not directly affect monetary policy. General assessment The Fed's 25 basis point cut boosted gold prices, on the other hand, Powell made very clear statements about the possibility and prospect of cutting interest rates and this is not beneficial for the US Dollar. A very basic knowledge is that the US Dollar is controlled by the Fed and not under the power of the US President. Therefore, even in the event that Trump is elected and boosts the US Dollar, it will still be restrained by the policy of cutting interest rates. Only if Trump can completely eliminate the Fed will the US Dollar have nothing to show for it. prevent. Of course, this is without precedent, nor has any President been able to do this. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Although gold has recovered strongly from the 0.618% Fibonacci level confluence with the lower edge of the channel, it is still in a downtrend with the price channel as the short-term trend. On the other hand, gold's upward momentum has also been limited by the EMA21 level, and it still has enough bearish conditions when the Relative Strength Index is also showing signs of folding down from the 50 level area. If gold falls below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it will have the potential to fall a bit further with a short-term target of around 2,684 USD rather than 2,668 USD. However, in case gold moves above the EMA21 level it will tend to increase further to test the 0.236% Fibonacci level. Therefore, for open selling positions should be protected above EMA21 quite "strictly." During the day, gold still has a bearish technical outlook with notable points listed as follows. Support: 2,684 – 2,668USD Resistance: 2,700 – 2,710USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2736 - 2734⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2740 →Take Profit 1 2729 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2724 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2676 - 2678⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2672 →Take Profit 1 2683 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2688
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
SILVER_105 2024.11.08 03:36:03 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for SILVER_105 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 32.043 SL: 31.551 Entry Price: 31.715 Analysis for SILVER Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for XAG/USD (Silver) in both the short-term and long-term: **Short-term (next few days to a week):** * Expected price movement: Down * Reasoning: The price has broken below key support levels, including the 50-day SMA, and is currently under pressure. The technical outlook suggests a potential bullish correction to test the resistance area near $32.05, but this is likely to be followed by a downward rebound. Additionally, market indicators such as oscillators on the daily chart are gaining negative traction, indicating a path of least resistance to the downside. **Long-term (next few weeks to months):** * Expected price movement: Down * Reasoning: The analysis suggests that silver prices are vulnerable and may continue to decline unless there is a strong breakout above key resistance levels. The technical outlook indicates a potential continuation of the fall, targeting levels below $28.45. Furthermore, the strengthening of the US Dollar following the presidential election is likely to maintain downward pressure on silver prices. It's worth noting that a strong breakout above $33.65 could indicate continued growth to the $35.05 area, but this scenario seems less likely based on the current analysis. Result: ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions on the expected price movement of XAG/USD (Silver) in both the short-term and long-term: **Short-Term Analysis (next few days/week):** * The price is expected to go down. The current price action suggests further potential declines, with support levels identified at $30.40-$30.35 (100-day SMA) and potentially lower to $30.00, $29.70, and the 200-day SMA near $28.55. * However, there is an expectation of an attempt to develop a bullish correction in the price of silver, testing the resistance level near $32.05, followed by a potential downward rebound and continuation of the fall in price. **Long-Term Analysis (next few weeks/months):** * The price is expected to go down. The technical outlook indicates that any attempted recovery might be seen as a selling opportunity, with the path of least resistance currently to the downside. * The strong US Dollar, bolstered by Trump's election victory, is a significant factor in the current downward pressure on silver prices, which is likely to continue in the long-term. * However, if the price clears the $33.00 mark, it could target the October 31 high of $33.89 and potentially higher levels, indicating a potential reversal of the downtrend. Overall, the analysis suggests that the price of silver is likely to continue its downward trend in both the short-term and long-term, with potential support levels at $30.40-$30.35 and $28.55. However, there is a possibility of a bullish correction in the short-term, and a potential reversal of the downtrend if the price clears the $33.00 mark. Result: ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the Silver price (XAG/USD): **Short-term (next few days to a week):** * The price is expected to go down. The breakdown below the 50-day SMA and the short-term ascending trend-channel has triggered bearish sentiment, and oscillators indicate negative traction. The price is likely to continue its fall towards the 100-day SMA support around $30.40-$30.35. * Immediate support levels to watch are $30.23 (100-day SMA) and the psychological mark of $30.00. If these levels are broken, the price could drop further to $29.70. **Long-term (next few weeks to a month):** * The price is expected to stay the same or go down slightly. The strong US Dollar following Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election is likely to keep Silver prices in check. The price may eventually drop below the $30.00 psychological mark, heading towards the $29.70 zone and the 200-day SMA near $28.55. * However, if the price manages to break above the 50-day SMA breakpoint near $31.40, it could lead to a short-covering move, but it may not sustain and could fizzle out near the $32.65 region. Overall, the technical analysis suggests a bearish sentiment in the short-term, while the long-term outlook is neutral to slightly bearish due to the strong US Dollar. Result: ST=Down LT=Down
TVC:SILVERLong
by orbborisson
Silver Short-Term Analysis for 08/11/2024Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and is intended for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decisions. Time Frame: 4-hour Market Analysis: The 4-hour XAGUSD chart exhibits a bearish trend, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating a slight oversold condition. Key Levels: POC (Daily Point of Control): 30.59 Order Block (Lower Target): 28.90 - 28.72 Resistance: 32.74 Local Support: 30.12 Trading Bias: The price is retesting the strong support level at 31.47. If it holds, the price may move upward to 32.75 (POC). Conversely: A break below 30.12 (local low) could send the price to 30.80 (previous low). If 30.81 holds as support, the trend may turn more bearish, potentially dipping to 28.92 - 28.72.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by avatarfreak