Gold (4H) – Still in Accumulation
🔍 Price Action
– Failed to make a higher high after retracing into the 4H OTE zone around 3 265-3 285.
– Closed back at 3 325, right at resistance, signaling indecision.
🎯 Key Scenarios
🚀 Bullish Trigger : Hold above 3 325 → builds energy for a breakout up through the supply zone toward 3 365-3 380.
⏳ Further Pullback : Rejection at 3 325 → deeper retrace toward the OTE low (~3 260) before resuming the uptrend.
🌐 Macro Watch
– US inflation prints & Fed speakers this week.
– Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, which could keep safe-haven bids under gold.
✅ Takeaway
Gold is coiling-watch 3 325 as the pivot: failure there means a deeper shakeout; hold means a powerful leg higher !
Futures market
can Gold make new LL??as it seems a quite bearish trend, the metal has just marked its 3rd LH, so the main thing is that will it continue its bearish trend and if it does that traders should add short positions and for that I have also opened short position although decent RR can be achieved on shorter TFs. The next possible LL has been calculated by the avg of last two
Gold INTRADAY bullish consolidation supported at 3250Gold continues to exhibit a bullish overall sentiment, supported by a well-established rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action has transitioned into a consolidation phase, signalling temporary indecision following the latest bullish move.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3250 – Critical near-term support; also the previous consolidation zone. A successful retest here would reinforce bullish structure.
3220 – Secondary support; a break below 3250 may prompt a move towards this level.
3200 – Major downside support; a breach would suggest a broader corrective phase.
Resistance:
3345 – Initial upside target if bullish momentum resumes.
3367 – Intermediate resistance; a break here would strengthen the bullish breakout.
3410 – Longer-term resistance; a target for sustained bullish extension.
Technical Outlook:
A corrective pullback toward 3250, followed by a bullish reversal, would confirm a continuation pattern and open the way toward 3345/3367/3410 over a medium to longer-term horizon. Conversely, a daily close below 3250 would invalidate the bullish bias and expose the metal to further downside toward 3220 and 3200.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish overall, but near-term direction hinges on the 3250 level. A bounce from this support reaffirms the uptrend, while a break below it warns of deeper correction. Traders should monitor price action closely around 3250 for confirmation of the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Inverse Head and ShouldersGold has created a left shoulder,head and is on the verge of forming the right shoulder so that it can then move upwards.
The two arrows denote the shoulders. It is better to take a buy now and have a smaller stop loss than to wait for it to move upwards and join with a huge stop loss.
Gold prices are likely to surge today for several reasons, but dGold prices are likely to surge today for several reasons, but do not expect a long-term rally just yet.
Technically, the price has tested the former resistance-turned-support level at 3250, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, and has completed a 3-wave minor structure.
After testing the 3250 level, the price rebounded significantly and broke the previous high, indicating a potential short-term uptrend in wave c of the broader wave B. This suggests that gold is currently forming a complex corrective wave, likely entering the final minor bullish wave before reversing downward once major wave B completes.
Fundamentally, a federal appeals court has temporarily halted a Wednesday decision by the Court of International Trade that had blocked President Donald Trump’s tariffs.
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit reinstated Trump’s power to enforce tariffs under emergency authority declared earlier this year.
This development deepens the uncertainty and confusion on US economic policies, which is putting pressure on the US dollar. This also reignites concerns over global trade and brings volatility to financial markets, prompting investors to return to safe-haven assets.
The PCE inflation data, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, will be released today. It will likely affect both the US dollar and gold prices.
The market expects the figure to ease to 2.2%, down from 2.3% previously. If the forecast is accurate, it would bring inflation closer to the Fed’s 2.0% target, increasing expectations of a potential rate cut. This would further weaken the dollar and could boost gold prices following the release.
* The current price retracement below 3300 following yesterday's surge is a "buy-on-dip opportunity," as bullish momentum remains intact.*
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21395.25
- PR Low: 21335.25
- NZ Spread: 134.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Rotation off 21850
- Previous session print advertising decline back to week low
Session Open Stats (As of 1:25 AM 5/30)
- Session Open ATR: 446.48
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 267K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -5.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAUUSD 15MThanks for the second chart. Here's a breakdown of what this image shows:
---
📉 Chart Summary:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Broker/Exchange: OANDA
Timeframe: 15-minute chart
Current Price: ~3,293.970 USD
---
🧠 Trade Setup Analysis:
Entry Point:
Clearly marked near 3,300.000 USD
Indicates a short (sell) trade taken at a resistance level after price bounced up and started declining.
Target:
Labeled as “Target Successful”
Appears to be around the 3,255.000 – 3,260.000 USD zone.
Suggests the short trade reached its take-profit level successfully.
Trade Direction:
This is a bearish setup.
Arrows show the expectation of price dropping from the resistance back down to the target zone.
Price Action Confirmation:
Before the entry, we see a reversal pattern from the high.
The drop afterward confirmed the setup was effective.
---
✅ Summary:
This chart demonstrates a clean resistance-based sell trade on XAU/USD that hit its take-profit (TP) target. The purple arrow highlights the price movement downward, reinforcing the visual confirmation of a successful short trade execution.
---
Would you like a comparison between this gold trade setup and the Bitcoin one you previously shared (e.g., risk/reward, timing, effectiveness)?
S&P 500 Futures Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 053025Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 5929/61.80%
Chart time frame:A
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
FED, a hidden rate cut?1) Money supply at an all-time high: an apparent paradox given that the Fed is no longer lowering interest rates
The M2 money supply in the United States has just reached a new all-time high, even though the Federal Reserve has not lowered its key interest rate since December 2024. This may come as a surprise: how is such an influx of liquidity possible without explicit action by the Fed on rates? However, this phenomenon is providing strong support for risky assets, starting with the S&P 500 index, which has rebounded sharply since April. For the record, M2 includes immediately available liquidity in the economy: currency in circulation, demand deposits, time deposits, money market funds, and highly liquid assets. It is therefore a key indicator of the spending and investment capacity of economic agents.
This rebound in money supply comes against a backdrop of macroeconomic resilience in the United States: commercial bank lending is picking up again, the labor market remains strong, and wages continue to rise. At the same time, the long-term upward trend in US stock markets remains intact. All these factors are fueling endogenous monetary expansion, regardless of immediate monetary policy decisions on interest rates. This strong return of liquidity is in turn fueling the markets, creating a self-reinforcing loop between rising asset prices, economic confidence, and credit injection.
The chart below shows the overlap between US M2 money supply and the S&P 500 futures trend.
2) Implicit monetary easing: has the Fed already pivoted without saying so?
The main explanation for this monetary expansion lies in an implicit pivot by the Fed, not through the Fed Funds rate, but via two less visible but equally powerful channels: the RRP (Reverse Repo Facility) and QT (Quantitative Tightening).
On the one hand, use of the RRP program has been in free fall for several months. This tool allows money market funds to place their excess short-term liquidity with the Fed. When the RRP declines, it means that this liquidity returns to the financial system to be reinvested elsewhere (Treasury bills, money markets, risky assets). This simple shift in cash constitutes an implicit easing of monetary conditions, lowering real short-term rates and increasing the availability of capital.
On the other hand, the Fed has significantly slowed its quantitative tightening program. In May 2025, it lowered its monthly cap on Treasury reductions to just $5 billion (down from $25 billion previously). This amounts to slowing the contraction of its balance sheet, thereby removing less structural liquidity from the economy. The result: the two levers, less sterilization via the RRP and less contraction via QT, combine to form de facto monetary easing, without any official change in the key interest rate.
3) So what are the consequences for the S&P 500 index?
In this context, the rebound in the S&P 500 can be explained not only by the current phase of trade diplomacy but also by hidden monetary easing. From a technical analysis perspective, the S&P 500 futures contract remains in a medium-term uptrend as long as the major support level of 5700/5800 points is maintained.
DISCLAIMER:
This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions.
This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior.
Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content.
The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services.
Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA.
Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law.
All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade.
Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
Gold strategy analysis todayHello Traders
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
Gold has strongly broken through the 3290 area and is currently fluctuating around 3300. As long as the price of gold remains below 3325, the bearish pattern to 3200-3140 remains valid. However, if the 3325 area is broken, we will enter a wave of upward movement, with the target pointing to the previous high.
Bloodshed on the Streets.🔻 SPX500M | Potential Breakdown Alert
Timeframe: 15m | Contract: June 2025
We are watching a technical rejection at a key trendline, confirming a potential double top formation. Price failed to hold the ascending structure, suggesting a loss of bullish momentum.
📉 Bearish Confluences:
Clear break and retest of the rising trendline.
Multiple rejections near 5,925 — acting as a hard ceiling.
A visible liquidity gap below, likely to attract sell-side pressure.
Measured move points toward the gap fill target near 5,681.63.
🧠 If this level breaks decisively, it could confirm short-term bearish continuation. Keep an eye on volume and order flow near 5,875 – 5,850 to confirm participation.
⚠️ Risk: Rising volatility into early June with major macro data (jobs, ISM, Fed speak) potentially acting as a catalyst.
📍Strategy Suggestion:
Scalp shorts below 5,900 with risk above 5,930. Target the gap zone with trailing stops once momentum picks up.
💼 Post by WaverVanir International LLC – Applying discretionary strategy with macro + technical alignment.
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY & SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📉📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – Key Decision Zone Incoming! ⚠️📈
Gold prices are currently testing a crucial support zone around 3,251, following a strong bearish momentum. As shown on the M30 chart, the market is now at a make-or-break level, where two potential scenarios could unfold: either a bullish reversal toward the 3,280–3,300 area if price holds and confirms support ✅, or a bearish continuation if the level breaks, pushing price lower toward 3,220 or beyond ❌. Traders should watch for price action signals and wait for a clear breakout or strong bounce confirmation before entering any trades 🧠🔍. This is a high-volatility reaction zone — trade smart! 🎯📉📈
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/30/2025Gold indeed behaved as predicted. It went down to 3245 and reversed above 3280 and continued until touching 3330. As shown in the chart, the trendline was broken and I am looking for buying opportunity from the retest of the trendline. If 3330 is broken, my 1st target will be 3345 and ultimate target for today is 3365.
Bearish drop?COPPER has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.6618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.7246
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance leel that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.5233
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
njoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD-WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800Even though Gold sellers dropped 490 PIPS last night on market open & pushed below last week's range low, we saw a complete reversal as Gold pushed back up 760 PIPS again today, back into the range.
Seems like Gold wants to range even more, which can open up the possibility of buyers reaching $3,373 & $3,417 in the mid term. Keeping an eye on price action