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ES meets January Elliot Wave CorrectionAn Elliott Wave combination correction is a complex corrective pattern in Elliott Wave Theory, typically formed when simpler corrective patterns combine to create a larger, more intricate structure. It consists of two or three corrective waves labeled W, X, Y. Combination corrections aim to extend and complicate the corrective phase, often seen in sideways or consolidative price action. They provide a way for markets to consume time and create balance before resuming the primary trend. Key Characteristics: The larger trend of the correction labelled as W,X,Y consists of 3 corrective wave structures being 1 flat, and 2 following zigzag structures. Each major corrective structure ends with a 3 wave impulse move to the downside, followed by a 2 wave corrective structure before resuming the trend. You can see more detail on EW theory related to elliot wave combination structures on the website: www.elliottwave.com What catches my attention for this up coming week is a potential end to the corrective structure on the ES (SP500 Futures), erasing all the markets gains made from Nov 5, 2024 onward. It would be an interesting location to look for potential long trades in the market.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by afurs1
1
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown: 🔸 Daily Timeframe: • We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs. • However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift. 🔸 H4 Timeframe: • Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure. • Formed a lower high, indicating seller control. 🔸 H1 Timeframe: • Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest. • Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit. • Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade. 🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels: ✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low. ✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues. ⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed: • If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower. 🛠 Trade Management: • Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips. • Current floating: +142 pips. • Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR). • If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains. This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion. If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
FX:USOILShort
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
XAUUSD-Gold Buys from 2,900 back upGold has been in a strong bullish uptrend for the past few weeks, so I’m not surprised that price has once again reached all-time highs. As anticipated, price mitigated the demand zone and continued pushing upward. For this week, I expect price to accumulate and retrace back down to my 11-hour demand zone, where I anticipate signs of weakening before a new bullish move to the upside. Since this demand zone was responsible for the recent break of structure, it has become my point of interest (POI). Confluences for Gold Buys: ✅ Price remains in a strong bullish trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. ✅ The clean 11-hour demand zone that initiated the last upside move remains unmitigated. ✅ There is liquidity resting above, including the newly formed trendline, which is likely to be taken. ✅ This setup aligns with the overall bullish trend, reinforcing my long bias. Alternative Scenario: If price fails to hold at the 11-hour demand zone and breaks the major low, we could see a temporary bearish phase or a potential reaction from the 7-hour demand zone instead
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RamiGamil
S&P Daily Chart Analysis2-23-25 Last Thursday was an implied H1, late in a wedge expecting another leg up, a low probability buy. Bears sell aggressively. Price is in the middle of a tight TR, expect disappointment and failed BOs. Bulls are stuck at higher prices and will scale in looking to get to BE and entry, so sellers above. Bears that are short will scale in looking for a 2nd leg down. Weekly chart gives good context for continuation downward. Expect small continuation, possibly even an inside bar to start the week, pullback, then price to begin a wedge down to test the lower levels of the TR. A breakout above a bad buy signal bar is a magnet and likely to get tested.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by AlSmith22
Nat Gas Pre-Open Idea: 2/23/24The Us models trended 9 HDD warmer while the Euro trended a whopping 18 HDD warmer. Weather models have trended perfectly for the new week and roll over set up. Expecting a sizable gap lower today, with models losing double digit GWDD for the 15 day period. Roll over Tuesday afternoon, HH Spot below $4 again and heading lower today. Looking as planned. Production has bounced back up nicely from after a week of frozen ground. Although the only bullish catalyst is LNG production is above 16 BCF/d for the third straight day. Idea will be post after opening tonight. No change on an ideas that I have posted from the past week.
NYMEX:NGH2025
by NrG_Trader
XAU/CHF | Down Retest High chance but continue Bullish channel?🔥 XAU/CHF Price Forecast – Bullish Channel Holding Strong! The XAU/CHF pair remains in a bullish trend, with price action respecting the bullish channel after completing a key retest of support levels. This signals a potential continuation of the uptrend, offering a high-probability trading opportunity. 📌 Market Structure & Technical Setup: ✅ Pattern Formation: A Symmetrical Triangle was previously observed, but the market has now transitioned into a bullish channel. ✅ Retest Confirmed: Price successfully tested the 2,624 – 2,612 support zone, reinforcing bullish momentum. ✅ EMA 50 Support: The market remains above the 50 EMA, which is acting as a dynamic support level, strengthening the upside outlook. 🎯 Key Price Levels & Target Zones: 📈 Entry Zone: 2,624 – 2,612 1st Target : 2,642 2nd Target : 2,667 3rd Target : 2,700 ⚠ Risk Management & Trading Plan: 🔹 Stop Loss Strategy: Always maintain a disciplined stop loss to manage risk effectively. 🔹 Breakout Confirmation: Watch for a strong candle close above 2,642 for further bullish confirmation. 🔹 Momentum Check: Increased buying volume and price action signals will be key to sustaining the uptrend. 📢 Stay Ahead of the Market! 💡 Like, Comment & Follow for real-time market insights, expert trade setups, and profitable trading strategies!
OANDA:XAUCHFLong
by James_Mindset
XAUUSD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION Hey everyone hope y’all enjoyed your weekend tho we ended last week with a break even but this week still interested on buying gold so I’m bullish and my zone which I would be looking for more buys is 2920 & 2953 zone if I can get a good pullback to the 2920 zone and also with a rejection of the 50 EMA and with a bullish engulfing I will be taking buys to the upside or the new ATH and 2953 zone if price creates a new ATH without pulling back to my first area of interest I will I be waiting for a good retest of my 0.61 fib with a bullish engulfing then I will take a buy so that’s it let’s have a win week and keeping things simple is always better…I will let you know when I take them buys….
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by THATGUYMAZINO
Acw platinum analysis for week starting 23rd Feb 2025Using previous price action 2020 Feb We use the acw bar pattern strategy to future forecast price action in platinum ‘Should the market break previous lows and continue downward pressure, this hints that price might repeat Covid crash scenario That said history doesn’t repeat itself but it rhymes in the same rhythm Let time be the judge of this chart Acw lifestyle It’s the best or nothing Accuracy comes standard
NYMEX:PL1!Short
by Alpha_Capital_Wealth
XAUUSD Price Will Decline From TopThe XAU/USD (Gold) price is in a bearish trend, with further drops expected after testing the 2946 level. You anticipate probable support levels of 2920, 2910, and 2995. However, you're also wary of selling because to the strong bullish trend, which might lead to a rebound to 2955 if the market displays resilience following the projected downturn. Your analysis reveals that, while the bearish pattern is in place, selling Gold is still a dangerous decision given the chance of a counter rebound due to the positive momentum. The chart may contain additional information. PS Show your support for my work by liking and commenting for further insights. 📉 XAU/USD – Bearish Setup Ahead? Key Levels to Watch! 🔥 💰 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H Chart Gold is showing signs of bearish pressure after failing to break the $2,940 - $2,944 resistance zone. The price remains inside a descending channel, indicating a possible continuation to the downside. 📉 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 🔻 Resistance Zone: $2,940 - $2,944 (Strong supply area) 🔻 Support Levels: First Support: $2,920 (Potential breakdown level) Second Support: $2,910 (Next key level) Major Support: $2,896 (Critical bearish target) 📉 Bearish Outlook: ✅ Price has failed to break above the descending trendline, showing signs of weakness. ✅ A break below $2,920 could trigger further downside towards $2,910 and $2,896. ✅ If sellers take control, $2,888 could be the next major target. ⚠️ Watch for: 🔍 Breakdown Confirmation below $2,920 for a strong bearish move. 🚨 Fakeout Possibilities at support levels—wait for confirmation! 📈 Bullish Reversal? If price breaks above $2,944, bearish momentum could be invalidated. 📊 Conclusion: Gold is at a decision point! Will sellers push it lower, or will buyers step in? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🔥👇 🔔 Like & Follow for More Trading Setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
EUR/USD - Short Term Long trade.M = Green W = Deep Blue D = Neon Blue 4H = Pink. Vice Versa of my DXY analysis, EUR/USD should see bullish price action in repsonse to the DXY dropping. The EURUSD pair HTF's are somewhat mixed, with the M looking like its in the motion of forming a reversal coming off of the M bullish FVG created during the last bullish expansive leg. There are key levels on the weekly and daily, but its the Monthly Bearish FVG currently unmitigated above current price action at 1.07, that is my draw on liquidity for any potential trades. Entries to be taken on the LTFs inside the current daily range, with the 4H Bullish OB being my entry level. Keep it real.
CME_MINI:M6E1!Long
by TuataraW20
XAUUSD 23/2/25Following this week's bullish bias, which has remained in line with the last two months' bullish trend, we are once again expecting an autumn high. We are either looking to run from the current position, as we have already taken out some major liquidity lows highlighted on our chart, or we may first take out the remaining liquidity lows before targeting the marked highs. This is a simple markup. We anticipate either a slight pullback before a bullish continuation or a strong bullish continuation from market open. Either scenario aligns with our existing bias. However, if the highs are run, you will need to reestablish your entry points. If the entry points are taken out and the market does not shift bullish, look lower for a more opportune entry. As it stands, Orion confirms our bullish outlook, and we will continue to follow it. Follow your rules, stick to your risk, and let Orion guide you.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
S&P weekly Analysis 2-23-25Bear sell signal in the middle of the Trading Range and just above EMA. Many bulls will buy at the EMA, which has been support since November 23. However, context is good for a MTR. Market is at the top of a Spike and channel parabolic wedge. After wedge completion, expect Price to retest the start of the channel. This Friday is month end, adding to potential end-of-week vol. Bears may sell here, but that would create a moment of clarity. Such moments get a pull-back 80% of the time. So better bearish trade would be to let the next weekly bar form for more information. Sell a PB after continuation. The market is in a Trading Range, and in tight TRs, expect disappointment and for breakouts to fail. Look for 2-push moves to the extremes of the Range. Last week's bearish bar is strong enough to expect continuation, and if we get continuation, expect a PB or hesitation, and then another leg down.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by AlSmith22
GOLD The upcoming economic data releases and speeches from Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members can significantly influence the directional bias for gold trading. Here’s how each of these events may affect gold prices: 1. CB Consumer Confidence Forecast: 103.3 (previously 104.1) Impact on Gold: A decline in consumer confidence can lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. If the actual figure falls below expectations, it may signal economic weakness, prompting investors to seek stability in gold, potentially driving prices higher. Conversely, if confidence improves or meets expectations, it might reduce gold's appeal as investors turn to riskier assets. 2. Richmond Manufacturing Index Forecast: -2 (previously -4) Impact on Gold: An improvement in this index could indicate a strengthening manufacturing sector, which may boost the U.S. dollar and reduce gold's attractiveness. If the index shows a larger-than-expected improvement, it could lead to a bearish sentiment for gold. 3. FOMC Member Speeches (Barr and Barkin) Impact on Gold: Speeches from FOMC members can provide insights into future monetary policy decisions. If they signal a hawkish stance (favoring interest rate hikes), this could strengthen the U.S. dollar and exert downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, dovish comments (favoring lower rates) may support gold prices by indicating a continued low-interest environment, which is favorable for non-yielding assets like gold. Summary of Trade Directional Bias: Bullish Scenario: If consumer confidence drops significantly and manufacturing data disappoints, alongside dovish comments from FOMC members, gold prices may rise as investors seek safety. Bearish Scenario: If consumer confidence improves or meets expectations, and if manufacturing data shows strong recovery with hawkish signals from FOMC members, gold could face selling pressure. Please do your own research for educational purpose only
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we wanted to see price dip into the lower support and give us the opportunity to long into the higher levels targeting the red box targets and the bias levels given. We manged to get this trade and started the week well! We then suggested traders play caution as the set up just wasn’t presenting itself for the short, instead, we updated our plans and published the long idea again which played out well giving us a decent end to the week. The ranging gave us conflicting signals and choppy price action towards the end of the week, so not 100% to plan, but we played it and adapted. We managed another stellar performance on Excalibur, 6 targets on Gold and another trunk full on the other pairs we trade and analyse in Camelot. Difficult, but consistent nevertheless. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Ideally we would like to wait for the market to open and break out of the range before picking the direction. We have lower support at 2930 and the extension level 2918-14 which needs to be watched for the break in the early part of the week, while the key level above 2950-55 with extension into the 2960 region should act as a barrier which will need to break. We’ll start by saying if the price does support that 2930-25 level on the open, then the opportunity to long into the 2943 and above that 2950 levels should be available to those looking to go long. We have marked a RIP point 2960-65 but that will only give us the flip so scalps into the lower support region are potentially all we will get. Above that we have marked our area of interest, this is ideally where we want to be monitoring the price action and looking for signs of a potential reversal, which, if given should give us a nice swing short into the lower levels which will be published on morning reviews and KOG’s bias of the day. On the flip, If we glitch and make a move downside on the open, look out for the levels of 2920-16 and below that 2910! These region need to hold us up to go higher in order to clear the liquidity from above before another attempt at lower. It’s the last week of the month, it’s going to be choppy and ranges will form. Indications of lower pricing are on the horizon, the set up just isn’t clear at the moment so play it level to level, keep an eye on the red boxes, look back at the KOG reports and see for yourself how well they play with price. Take it easy, “if it’s exciting, you’re doing it wrong”. We’ll update as through the week as we usually do with the red box targets, KOG’s bias of the day and the indicator levels. KOG’s bias of the week: Bullish above 2920 with targets above 2945, 2949. 2952 2955 and above that 2970 Bearish below 2920 with targets below 2916, 2910, 2906, and below that 2898 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 2943 for 2947, 2950, 2955, 2962, 2966 and 2977 in extension of the move Break below 2930 for 2923, 2920, 2910, 2906 and 2899 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
US Oil Market Outlook: Bearish Momentum Indicate Further DeclineThe 4-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (TVC: USOIL) reveals a well-defined market structure transition from bullish to bearish. Initially, the price action exhibited a strong uptrend, characterized by the formation of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). However, a break of structure (BOS) marked the onset of a reversal, leading to the emergence of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming the shift to a downtrend. A key technical observation is the presence of a price gap near the highest point, which often signifies inefficiency in the market and the potential for price retracements in the future. Furthermore, the highlighted resistance zone around the $72.49–$73.50 range has proven to be a strong supply area, repeatedly rejecting bullish attempts to break above it. This resistance, coupled with price trading below the 50-period and 200-period moving averages, reinforces the bearish bias. The price has now breached the $71.78 level, accelerating downward momentum. The next significant area of interest lies at the identified support level around $69.36, which serves as the primary target area. If selling pressure remains dominant, further declines may be anticipated. Volume analysis further substantiates the bearish outlook, as recent price drops have been accompanied by increased selling activity. The combination of structural shifts, resistance validation, and moving average positioning strongly suggests that the downward trajectory is likely to persist unless the price reclaims and sustains above the resistance zone. Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
TVC:USOILShort
by SOAM_PRO_TRADER
Gold might descend to a support level, breaching the resistance Hi, traders. I'd like to share with you my thoughts on Gold. On this chart, we can observe that the price has recovered from the mirror line and begun to rise. Shortly later, it approached the support level, broke it, and hovered for a while before returning to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once more and resumed trading inside a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, before retreating to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone before quickly rising over the mirror line and into the seller zone. After this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line and resumed its upward journey. Shortly later, the price approached the resistance level, broke through it, and departed the range. For a while, gold traded above the seller zone, but it subsequently plummeted and is presently hovering at the 2930 resistance level within the sale zone. I anticipate Gold will climb little before continuing to drop, eventually shattering the resistance level. Furthermore, I believe that following the breakout, it will prolong its slide toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost! 🚀 📊 XAU/USD – Key Levels for the Week Ahead 🔍 Gold (XAU/USD) is trading within a well-defined range, testing the seller zone near resistance while eyeing the buyer zone near support. 🔴 Resistance Level: 2,930 - 2,940 (Seller Zone) 🟢 Support Level: 2,865 (Buyer Zone) 📉 Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bearish Rejection from resistance could push price down to the support level (2,865). 2️⃣ Breakout Above 2,940 may signal further upside potential. 3️⃣ Range-Bound Movement between support and resistance until a clear breakout. 📌 Market Outlook: Watching price action near key levels for confirmation before entering trades! 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Understanding Volume In TradingVolume is one of the most crucial yet often overlooked aspects of trading. It represents the total number of shares, contracts, or lots traded in a given period and provides insight into the strength of price movements. By analyzing volume effectively, traders can identify trends, confirm breakouts, and detect potential reversals before they happen. Unlike price action alone, volume adds a critical layer of confirmation. A price move supported by high volume is more likely to be sustainable, while a move on low volume may indicate weakness or manipulation. Institutions, hedge funds, and large market players leave footprints through volume, and understanding these patterns can give traders an edge. Volume Types 🎯 Volume Buy/Sell Volume Delta Volume Cumulative Delta Volume Relative Volume Cumulative Relative Volume Open Interest Volume Profile 01. Volume 🔥 In trading, volume refers to the total quantity of assets traded during a specific time frame, whether they are stocks, futures contracts, options, or currencies. It measures the activity level of a security and provides insights into the strength or weakness of price movements. Key aspects: Market sentiment: High volume often indicates strong interest in a security and can signal the strength of a price move. Conversely, low volume may suggest a lack of interest and can indicate that price movements may not be sustainable. Liquidity: High volume generally indicates better liquidity, meaning it is easier to enter and exit positions without significantly impacting the asset’s price. Low volume may lead to higher slippage and greater price volatility. Volume spikes: Extremely high volume after a prolonged trend may signal the end of that trend (blow-off tops or panic selling bottoms). Market types: Volume can vary by market type. In stock markets, it is usually reported in shares. In futures and options, it is reported in contracts, while in Forex, it is often measured by tick volume (the number of price changes). Impact on market orders & liquidity High Volume = Lower Slippage: Large orders can be executed more efficiently in high-volume environments. Low Volume = Higher Volatility: Thin order books in low-volume markets can lead to erratic price swings and wider bid-ask spreads. 02. Buy/Sell Volume 💹 Buy volume and sell volume are key metrics that indicate the level of buying and selling activity in a market. They help traders assess the strength of price movements and market sentiment. Buy Volume Buy volume represents the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded at the ask price (or higher). It occurs when buyers are willing to pay the seller’s asking price, indicating buying pressure and potential bullish sentiment. How buy volume is measured: Transactions that execute at the ask price are counted as buy volume. In some cases, aggressive market orders (where buyers take liquidity) are considered buy volume. Buy volume is often compared to total volume to determine demand strength. Sell Volume Sell volume represents the number of shares, contracts, or lots traded at the bid price (or lower). It occurs when sellers accept the buyer’s bid price, indicating selling pressure and potential bearish sentiment. How sell volume is measured: Transactions executed at the bid price are counted as sell volume. Market sell orders (where sellers take liquidity) contribute to sell volume. Higher sell volume relative to buy volume suggests downward price pressure. 03. Delta Volume ✨ Delta Volume (often referred to as Volume Delta) is a key order flow metric that measures the difference between buy volume and sell volume over a given period. Calculation Delta Volume is defined as: Delta Volume = Buy Volume − Sell Volume Where: Buy Volume is the total volume transacted at the ask price (aggressive buying). Sell Volume is the total volume transacted at the bid price (aggressive selling). Interpretation Positive Delta (Buy Volume > Sell Volume): Indicates more aggressive buying, suggesting bullish momentum. Negative Delta (Sell Volume > Buy Volume): Indicates more aggressive selling, suggesting bearish momentum. Near Zero Delta: Indicates a balance between buyers and sellers, often seen in range-bound markets. 04. Cumulative Delta Volume ⚡ Cumulative Delta Volume (CVD) is an advanced order flow metric that tracks the cumulative sum of Delta Volume over time. Calculation CVD t ​ =CVD t − 1 ​ + (Buy Volume − Sell Volume) Where: Buy Volume = Volume transacted at the ask price (aggressive buying). Sell Volume = Volume transacted at the bid price (aggressive selling). CVD*t = Current cumulative delta value. CVD\*{t-1} = Previous cumulative delta value. Interpretation Rising CVD (Positive Delta Accumulation): Buyers are dominating, indicating bullish momentum. Falling CVD (Negative Delta Accumulation): Sellers are in control, signaling bearish momentum. Flat or Divergent CVD: A divergence between price and CVD can indicate potential reversals or absorption by large traders. 05. Relative Volume 📉 Relative Volume (RVOL) is a key trading metric that measures current trading volume compared to its historical average over a specified period. It helps traders assess whether a security is experiencing unusual trading activity and provides insights into liquidity, volatility, and potential price movements. Calculation Relative Volume is typically expressed as a ratio: RVOL = Current Volume / Average Volume Over A Given Period Where: Current Volume = The total shares/contracts traded in the current period (e.g., 1-minute, 5-minute, daily). Average Volume = The average volume over a past period (e.g., 10-day average, 50-day average). A higher RVOL (>1) means the security is trading at above-average volume, while a lower RVOL (<1) indicates below-average activity. Interpretation RVOL > 2: Indicates significantly higher-than-normal volume, often linked to news events, earnings reports, or breakout trends. RVOL around 1: Suggests normal trading activity with no unusual volume spikes. RVOL < 1: Indicates low trading activity, which may lead to weak price movements and lower liquidity. 06. Cumulative Relative Volume 💥 Cumulative Relative Volume (CRVOL) is an advanced volume metric that tracks the total volume traded throughout a session relative to its historical average at the same time of day. Calculation Cumulative Relative Volume compares the ongoing total volume at a given point in time to the average cumulative volume at that same time over a historical period. CRVOL = Cumulative Volume at Time X / Average Cumulative Volume at Time X over N periods Where: Cumulative Volume at Time X = The total volume traded from market open up to time X. Average Cumulative Volume at Time X = The average total volume at that point in time over a selected historical period (e.g., 10 days). N periods = The number of historical sessions used for comparison. A CRVOL > 1 indicates higher-than-normal trading activity, while CRVOL < 1 suggests lower-than-average activity. Interpretation CRVOL > 1.5: Significantly higher trading activity than usual, often linked to news events, earnings reports, or institutional participation. CRVOL ≈ 1: Normal trading volume, suggesting typical market conditions. CRVOL < 0.8: Below-average trading volume, often indicating low liquidity and reduced volatility. 07. Open Interest 📊 Open Interest (OI) is a key metric in derivatives markets (futures and options) that represents the total number of outstanding contracts that have not been settled or closed. It is an important indicator of market activity, liquidity, and trader commitment. How it works? Open Interest increases or decreases based on the interaction between buyers and sellers: OI Increases: When a new buyer and a new seller enter the market, creating a fresh contract. OI Decreases: When an existing buyer and seller close their positions (either by offsetting trades or expiration). OI Unchanged: If an existing contract is transferred between traders (one trader closes, another opens an equal position). Interpretation Rising OI + Rising Price: Suggests strong buying interest, indicating a bullish trend with conviction. Rising OI + Falling Price: Indicates strong selling pressure, confirming a bearish trend. Falling OI + Rising Price: Signals a short-covering rally or weakening trend, as traders close positions. Falling OI + Falling Price: Suggests a lack of commitment to further declines, indicating potential trend exhaustion. 08. Volume Profile 🎢 Volume Profile is a powerful market analysis tool that plots trading volume at different price levels over a specific period. Unlike traditional volume indicators, which show volume per time interval, Volume Profile reveals where the most buying and selling activity occurred, helping traders identify key support and resistance levels, market structure, and potential price reactions. Components Volume Profile is displayed as a histogram on the vertical axis, showing the amount of volume traded at each price level. It is built using tick data or intraday price action and is often calculated for different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly, or custom sessions). Key components of Volume Profile include: Point of Control (POC): The price level where the highest volume was traded, acting as a major support/resistance zone. High Volume Nodes (HVN): Price areas with heavy trading activity, indicating consolidation zones where price is likely to stabilize. Low Volume Nodes (LVN): Price areas with little trading activity, often leading to fast price movements as there is little resistance or support. Value Area (VA): The price range where 70% of the total volume was traded, representing the "fair value" zone of the market. Value Area High (VAH) & Value Area Low (VAL): The upper and lower boundaries of the Value Area, acting as dynamic support and resistance levels. Types Session Volume Profile: Analyzes volume for a single trading session (daily or intraday). Composite Volume Profile: Covers a longer period (weeks, months, or custom-defined ranges). Fixed Range Volume Profile: Analyzes volume for a specific price range or custom-selected area. Developing Volume Profile: Updates dynamically throughout the trading session to show real-time changes in volume distribution. Interpretation POC as a Magnet: Price tends to revisit the POC due to high liquidity and market agreement at that level. Breakouts from Value Area: If price breaks above VAH with strong volume, it signals a bullish trend; if it breaks below VAL, it signals a bearish trend. Reaction at LVN: Price moves quickly through LVN areas but may reverse or stall when approaching HVN. Rejections at VAH/VAL: If price rejects VAH, it may return to POC or VAL, and vice versa. 09. Indicators 📦 Volume indicators help traders gauge market strength by analyzing the number of shares or contracts traded. Volume (Default) – Displays the total volume traded per candle, often color-coded based on price movement. Volume Profile (Fixed Range, Session, Visible Range) – Shows volume distribution across price levels to identify support and resistance zones. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) – A dynamic support/resistance line that calculates the average price based on volume. On-Balance Volume (OBV) – Measures cumulative volume flow to detect price trends and confirm breakouts. Money Flow Index (MFI) – A volume-weighted RSI-like oscillator that identifies overbought and oversold conditions. Volume Delta – Measures the difference between buying (ask) and selling (bid) volume. Cumulative Delta Volume – Tracks the cumulative sum of volume delta over time to assess buying/selling pressure. Relative Volume (RVOL) – Compares current volume to historical averages to highlight unusual trading activity. Key Takeaways 📋 Volume is a crucial market indicator that reflects trading activity and liquidity, often preceding price movements. High volume confirms trends and breakouts, while low volume can signal weak or false moves. Volume Profile identifies key support and resistance zones, with High Volume Nodes (HVNs) acting as strong barriers and Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) allowing fast price movement. Relative Volume (RVOL) highlights unusual market activity, while Delta Volume and Cumulative Delta reveal buying and selling pressure. VWAP serves as a dynamic support/resistance tool commonly used by institutional traders.
CME:BTC1!Education
by CandelaCharts