XAUUSD: The LH trendline is the difference maker.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.327, MACD = 32.010, ADX = 35.582), staying under the high impact LH trendline that has been keeping the medium term trend bearish since the April 22nd High. As long as the price is under it, we are short, aiming for the S1 level (TP = 3,246) and not below it as the 1D MA50 offers long term support. If the price closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline, we will turn long and aim for a +7.39% rise from the bottom (TP = 3,485), which has already taken place twice in the past 30 days.
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Futures market
MNQ Buy Idea 5.29.25 (Part 2)Continuation of the first video entry of this trade.
We were aiming for $200 in profits today but failed to get that, ending with $61 in profits. I don't think we will be entering another trade due to the time and also that I want to focus on reading my book "The Trading Game" by Ryan Jones.
If you guys found this insightful give it a 🚀, it helps me see that you guys learned something from watching this and motivates me to post more.
Drop your comments down below, do you think MNQ is bullish or bearish? What prices do you see MNQ reaching?
Gold operation strategy adjustment!Gold 4-hour K-line chart shows that the Bollinger channel is opening upward, and the short-term trend is obviously weak. From the perspective of the moving average system, the short-term moving average is in a bullish arrangement, which continues to suppress the gold price, and the upward trend is further confirmed. It is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy in operation, focusing on the long opportunities after the callback. The short-term trading idea is mainly to buy on dips. The upper resistance level is to pay attention to the 3315-3320 area, and the lower support is to pay attention to the 3250-3245 range. The specific operation is to buy on the callback to the 3388-3393 area, and consider the layout of long orders. This range needs to be paid attention to.
Today's gold price: short again after falling below 3300Today's gold price: short again after falling below 3300
This will be my last participation in the market this week and my last belief.
Sell: 3295-3300
Stop loss: 3325
Target: 3250-3220-3200
The repeated fluctuations in the past two days are really heartbreaking. Even as a professional trader, I feel exhausted.
This week is another dull week. Trump's changes in instructions caught people off guard.
But trading is like this, always back and forth, and many times, we can't fully control it, but are controlled by it.
In order to seize as many time periods as possible that can control the fluctuations in gold prices, I often maintain a rhythm, trade only a few signals a day, and only trade in specific time periods that I can understand.
And strictly control stop loss and take profit, and use one month's data to calculate all my profits and losses.
After talking about mentality, let's analyze the price of gold:
Fundamental core:
Policy repetition and risk aversion
The US federal court ruled to suspend Trump's tariff policy, but the federal appeals court subsequently agreed to suspend the implementation of the ruling. Policy uncertainty leads to fluctuations in market risk aversion demand.
The White House said it would explore other legal ways to levy taxes, which exacerbated expectations of policy chaos and strengthened the attributes of gold as a safe-haven hedge tool.
Economic data and Fed policy
Weak employment data: As of the week ending May 24, the number of first-time unemployment claims in the United States surged by 14,000 to 240,000 (expected to be 230,000), suggesting a weak labor market and the probability of a rate cut in September rose to 84.4%.
Minutes of the Fed meeting: Keep interest rates unchanged, but acknowledge the risk of stagflation with "inflation and unemployment coexisting", and policy differences have intensified.
Geopolitical risks and long-term support
The situation in the Middle East (Israel may attack Iran's nuclear facilities) and the continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine have limited the decline in gold prices due to geopolitical premiums.
Central banks around the world have strong demand for gold purchases: China's gold imports in April hit an 11-month high. In 2024, global central banks will purchase more than 1,000 tons of gold, which will support gold prices in the long term.
2. Key technical points
Support level:
Short-term: 3280-3290 (4-hour Bollinger band middle track + psychological barrier).
Medium-term: 3250 (50-day moving average, if it falls below, it may fall to 3217).
Resistance level:
Short-term: 3335-3340 (previous high pressure area).
Breakthrough target: 3350 (opening the channel to 3400).
Key events:
US core PCE data for April: If inflation is lower than expected (previous value 2.8%), expectations of interest rate cuts will increase, which is good for gold; if it exceeds expectations, gold prices may fall below 3250 points.
Sudden change in geopolitical situation: Israel's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities may cause the gold price to surge 5% in a single day, breaking through 3,400 points.
Markets Lower Ahead of Nvidia Earnings Equity Indices traded loEquity Indices traded lower on the session today after seeing strong gains yesterday to start the week with the Russell leading the downside pressure being down near 1%. The FOMC minutes were released this afternoon and showed that the Fed was comfortable with rates remaining unchanged for the time being, and equity markets fell while traders saw Bond Yields trade higher. Gold, Silver and Copper also saw losses on the session with Copper leading the selling pressure being down near 1.5%.
The big news today came after the bell with Nvidia reporting earnings, where they saw a beat on both EPS and Revenue, and the S&P and Nasdaq are seeing some after hours gains. There was news this afternoon as well where President Trump ordered US chip designers to stop selling software to China, which could have longer term effects on the global supply and demand. Looking ahead for the rest of the week, traders will see key economic data looking at jobs and GDP that can add volatility to the equity indices and outside markets like the precious metals or crypto markets.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
XAUUSD Making Lower HighsGood day,
The overall trend of XAUUSD on the 4-hour timeframe currently appears bearish. This is supported by recent price action where gold is pushing up toward previous day highs, likely setting up for a bearish pullback to test resistance levels.
Key Price Levels and Targets
Resistance and Pullback Setup: The price is approaching resistance near recent highs, a supply area that may trigger a bearish pullback if the upside momentum weakens.
Estimated Price Targets:
Immediate targets on the downside are 3,195.896 and 3,130.847, which align with intermediate support levels.
A more extended bearish bias targets 3,010.225, potentially reaching as low as 2,942.672, which corresponds to deeper support zones.
Fundamental Highlights:
The recent easing of tariff tensions and a stronger US dollar have reduced safe-haven demand for gold, contributing to the bearish outlook.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rates and inflation risks adds complexity; while hawkish signals can pressure gold prices, any potential rate cuts later in 2025 could provide support.
Geopolitical risks remain a wildcard: escalation could boost gold’s safe-haven appeal, while easing tensions may further weigh on prices.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – May 29, 2025“Grip the Zones or Get Gripped – GDP & Claims Are Loading”
Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🧠🚨
Hope your charts are zoomed in and your mind is zoomed out — because today is calm before the storm. With Unemployment Claims and Prelim GDP dropping tomorrow, NY is all about positioning before the macro thunder hits. So let's gear up — sniper style. 🎯
Current Price: ~3290
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, as long as 3285–3295 holds structure.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3314–3320 (Refined 🔥)
• M15 OB + clean FVG alignment
• EMA50/100 confluence
• Tuesday’s LH rejection → precision sniper zone
🦅 Sniper Alert: Look for CHoCH or M5 rejection candle to enter short with SL above 3322.
🔻 3328–3335
• Liquidity trap zone above yesterday's rejection
• Quick wicks + FVG gap → ideal inducement zone
🦅 Aggressive Sellers: This is the second defense line — don’t chase, react to confirmations.
🔻 3348–3360
• D1 Supply + historical OB + unfilled imbalance
• Strong selling reaction previously seen here
🦅 Swing Traders: This is your reversal fortress. Watch RSI divergence and HTF reaction.
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3285–3295
• Active H1 demand zone
• EMA200 support + Asia bounce confirmed
• RSI support holding around 38–40
🦅 Long Setup: M5/M15 CHoCH + bullish engulf = sniper trigger.
🟩 3260–3270
• Unfilled FVG + lower OB from Tuesday
• Mid-range retest level
🦅 Buyers: If NY dips below 3285, this is your second line. Wait for PA shift.
🟩 3235–3250
• HTF demand + deep discount zone
• Untapped FVG + BOS origin
🦅 Last Bullet Zone: If we nuke below all structure — this is where smart money waits.
⚡ MID-ZONE CONTROL
⚡ 3300–3308
• NY equilibrium
• Likely to chop — not for entries
🦅 Use for direction bias only after London open.
📊 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – H1 + M30
CHoCH confirmed → 3174 to 3285 HL
Bullish continuation possible if 3295 holds
Rejection from refined 3314–3320 zone = intraday short trigger
If we clear 3320 cleanly → expect test of 3335–3360
🧠 MACRO & NEWS CONTEXT
🗓 Tomorrow:
• 🧾 Unemployment Claims
• 📉 Prelim GDP
Big folders = big liquidity sweeps. Today, the market builds traps for tomorrow’s trigger.
🎯 BATTLE PLAN
Buy from 3285–3295 only with M5 confirmation.
Sell from 3314–3320 only on rejection + CHoCH.
Prepare backup buys from 3260 and 3245 if structure breaks.
Avoid trading in 3300–3308 – it's a trap range.
🚨 Final Note – Be The Trader, Not The Liquidity
Today’s game is reaction, not prediction. Price is setting the stage — your job is to read the script and play the sniper role. 🎯
💬 Drop a comment if you’re watching the 3314 zone like a hawk.
❤️ Smash that like & follow if these breakdowns sharpen your entries.
Let’s crush the day, stay smart, and let price prove the move.
— GoldFxMinds 💛
5/30 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, we successfully executed short at 3290 and long at 3250, and also entered the 3316–3328 short zone near the close. All signals were hit, and profits were solid ✅.
📉 Technical Outlook:
The 1-hour chart remains in a clear bearish trend, indicating that this pullback is not yet complete.
Initial support at 3296 is very likely to break
Focus shifts to 3278 support, though it appears technically weak
If price hits 3278, a minor bounce is expected, but it's likely just a retracement, not a reversal
🗞 Fundamental Watch:
The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index will be released during the U.S. session today.
Market reaction is expected to be similar to yesterday’s initial jobless claims — possibly triggering short-term moves, but not changing the broader trend.
📈 Trade Plan for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3316–3328 zone (key resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3238–3221 zone (key support area)
🔁 Scalp/flexible trading zones:
3303 / 3288 / 3276 / 3265 / 3252 / 3238
Stick to proper risk management, and stay alert during U.S. data releases.
Trade with the trend and close the week strong!
Additionally, on the 30-minute chart, gold appears to be forming a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern. If this pattern completes and breaks the neckline successfully, the price may surge toward the 3336–3352 area, or even up to 3360.
For those considering short positions, it’s crucial to control position size and avoid entering too early. Try to wait for price action to reach higher resistance levels before making a move. Don’t worry about missing a perfect entry — even if one trade is missed, it won’t affect your overall profitability for the week.
The market always offers opportunities. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and remember: consistency and patience lead to long-term success.
xauusd 15mThe chart you've shared is a 15-minute candlestick chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the analysis presented:
---
🔍 Key Chart Annotations & Levels
1. Current Price:
Around 3,293.175
2. Support Zone (Register Zoon):
Marked in red, around 3,275.000 - 3,285.000
This appears to be a strong demand/support zone where price might bounce.
3. Resistance Levels:
1st Level Resistance:
3,305.930
Price must break this to confirm a bullish reversal.
Target Point (Major Resistance):
3,329.135
Considered the upside goal if price breaks above the first resistance.
---
📈 Price Action Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario (Green Arrows):
If price finds support around current levels or in the red "register zoon"
A bounce could take price above the 1st level (3,305.930)
Target: 3,329.135
2. Bearish Scenario (Red Arrows):
If price fails to hold above the support zone
Possible breakdown below the red register zone leading to further downside
3. Neutral/Wait-and-See (Black Arrow):
Shows price could range before confirming direction
Suggests waiting for a clear break above 3,305.930 for confirmation
---
📝 Observations:
The chart combines support/resistance with trend reversal signals.
Entry might be ideal if price tests and holds above the red zone, or breaks above 3,305.
Typo note: "register zoon" should likely be "register zone".
Would you like help interpreting this strategy in a trading plan or coding it into a trading bot/script?
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementResistance Levels Marked in Pink
1 First Target Zone
3,310 Minor resistance level potential breakout confirmation
2 Second Target Zone
3,320 Stronger resistance could be the next consolidation point
3 Final Target Zone
3,330 Major resistance level, marking a possible end to the bullish move or a reversal zone
Gold War Room: Battle Scenario for May 28 Hello, warriors of GoldMindsFX!
Tomorrow is not just another trading day — it’s FOMC Minutes day, and that means the battlefield will be wild. Forget calm, forget predictability — the chart is set for ambushes, fakeouts, and sharp reversals at every zone.
The Arena: Structure Zones in Play
3325–3335: The Fortress Wall 🏰
Every bull attack so far has been repelled here. Sellers line up and wait for overconfident buyers. Expect “arrow volleys” (liquidity hunts), quick spikes, and sudden reversals right at the gates if FOMC brings volatility.
3307–3312: The Front Line ⚔️
The battle flips fast here. This zone loves to lure both sides in, only to trap and reverse. FOMC minutes may use this spot to create the first fake move — don’t fall for the head fake.
3286–3295: The Battlefield 🛡️
This is where the real fight will erupt. If buyers defend, you’ll see huge wicks, maybe even a counterattack. If it cracks, expect a fast retreat and bears to charge in.
3272–3280: The Last Stand 🏴
If price falls here, bulls have one chance to rally the troops. If this fortress falls, it’s open ground for bears — could get wild, so don’t get caught in the chaos.
The Scenario
Before FOMC:
Expect fake moves, traps, and low conviction. Liquidity will pool at all these zones as the market waits for the signal.
During/After FOMC:
Be ready for surprise attacks — sharp spikes, liquidity sweeps, and instant reversals.
The real winner is the one who reacts at the zone, not the one who predicts.
Final Word
No matter your side — bull or bear — tomorrow is all about reading the battlefield and acting with sniper discipline.
Don’t be a hero in the middle. Let the market show its hand at the big walls, and pick your moment.
Mark your zones, load up your patience, and stay on high alert — GoldMindsFX is battle ready! 🚀⚔️
Drop a follow if you want to see the post-battle recap, and send a shield or sword in the chat for your side!
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD:[GOLD]: First Drop And Then Reverse! Comment Your Views! Gold touched $3350 but was rejected at that level, dropping around 3288. The price shows some minor support at this region, which we’re currently monitoring. If it breaks through, it could touch our buying zone, reversing the trend. You can set three targets based on your own analysis and bias. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can assist us:
- Like our ideas
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- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
XAGUSD Analysis with MMC | Trendline + CHoCH Insight + Target🔍 Overview
This XAGUSD chart presents a classic Mirror Market Concept (MMC) pattern – a fractal, symmetrical market behavior often observed at key inflection points. The structure is currently forming a tight triangle pattern within two converging trendlines, signaling a compression phase before a significant breakout.
Mirror Market Concept relies on the idea that historical emotional market structures tend to repeat or reflect, especially in psychologically sensitive zones such as trendline tests, liquidity pools, and BOS/CHoCH areas.
📐 Technical Structure Breakdown
🔷 1. Trendline Resistance & Support (Triangle Compression)
Upper trendline connects successive lower highs, reflecting consistent seller pressure.
Lower trendline aligns with higher lows, showing bullish defense and accumulation pressure.
The result is a symmetrical triangle, often preceding explosive directional moves.
🔹 2. Blue Ray Zone
The "Blue Ray" acts as a historical liquidity pivot — a region where large wicks and rejections happened in both directions.
Price has respected this zone repeatedly, making it a likely impulse trigger area if revisited.
🔄 3. BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character)
Major BOS near the $33.60 area indicates a shift in market structure to bullish. The break above previous swing highs suggests buyers gained control temporarily.
Major CHoCH at the base of the triangle reflects where market sentiment shifted, initiating the current series of higher lows.
📍 4. SR Interchange Zone
Previous resistance around $32.80–$33.00 is now acting as support (interchange level), creating a confluence zone with the lower trendline and CHoCH point.
🎯 Forecast & Targets
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary):
A breakout above the upper triangle trendline and confirmation above $33.60 will validate the bullish breakout setup.
Price Target: $34.40 – $34.60 (based on triangle height + measured move theory)
Expect impulsive follow-through as trapped shorts exit and fresh longs enter.
🚫 Bearish Alternative:
A breakdown below $33.00 with strong volume and bearish retest may invalidate the bullish setup.
In such case, a fall toward $32.20–32.40 is possible — completing a deeper retracement before any resumption of the upward move.
🔍 Market Psychology Behind the Pattern
This triangle represents market indecision, a "coil" where both bulls and bears are losing volatility while absorbing liquidity. The MMC concept teaches us that price often mirrors previous patterns — and the compressed energy inside triangles typically resolves in sharp momentum moves, mirroring the prior impulse.
Expect a strong breakout that "mirrors" the breakout leg from May 22 to May 23. This type of reflection-based logic is a cornerstone of MMC.
🔔 Trading Plan & Strategy
Entry: Wait for breakout and retest of the triangle boundary (ideally on 1H/2H close).
Stop Loss: Below the most recent swing low inside the triangle.
TP1: $34.10
TP2: $34.40
TP3: $34.60 (psychological level and measured move)
⚠️ Risk & News Considerations
Upcoming U.S. economic data events (highlighted on the chart) could act as catalysts. Be prepared for volatility spikes and fakeouts. Always use solid risk management.
GOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ PatternGOLD: Z Wave in Progress - WXWXZ Pattern
GOLD: Z Wave in Progress Gold is currently developing the final leg of a complex WXYXZ pattern, with the Z wave taking shape.
Gold tends to rise unpredictably—even on days without major news or strong market volume, making this a hazardous trade.
FOMC Minutes Today.
The Federal Reserve’s minutes from the May 6-7 meeting will be released today. Policymakers showed no signs of adjusting interest rates soon, and today’s report may highlight how firmly they are sticking to their current "wait-and-see" approach.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
forecast 30/05/2025
XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.