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SILVER_105 2024.11.08 03:36:03 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for SILVER_105 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 32.043 SL: 31.551 Entry Price: 31.715 Analysis for SILVER Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for XAG/USD (Silver) in both the short-term and long-term: **Short-term (next few days to a week):** * Expected price movement: Down * Reasoning: The price has broken below key support levels, including the 50-day SMA, and is currently under pressure. The technical outlook suggests a potential bullish correction to test the resistance area near $32.05, but this is likely to be followed by a downward rebound. Additionally, market indicators such as oscillators on the daily chart are gaining negative traction, indicating a path of least resistance to the downside. **Long-term (next few weeks to months):** * Expected price movement: Down * Reasoning: The analysis suggests that silver prices are vulnerable and may continue to decline unless there is a strong breakout above key resistance levels. The technical outlook indicates a potential continuation of the fall, targeting levels below $28.45. Furthermore, the strengthening of the US Dollar following the presidential election is likely to maintain downward pressure on silver prices. It's worth noting that a strong breakout above $33.65 could indicate continued growth to the $35.05 area, but this scenario seems less likely based on the current analysis. Result: ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions on the expected price movement of XAG/USD (Silver) in both the short-term and long-term: **Short-Term Analysis (next few days/week):** * The price is expected to go down. The current price action suggests further potential declines, with support levels identified at $30.40-$30.35 (100-day SMA) and potentially lower to $30.00, $29.70, and the 200-day SMA near $28.55. * However, there is an expectation of an attempt to develop a bullish correction in the price of silver, testing the resistance level near $32.05, followed by a potential downward rebound and continuation of the fall in price. **Long-Term Analysis (next few weeks/months):** * The price is expected to go down. The technical outlook indicates that any attempted recovery might be seen as a selling opportunity, with the path of least resistance currently to the downside. * The strong US Dollar, bolstered by Trump's election victory, is a significant factor in the current downward pressure on silver prices, which is likely to continue in the long-term. * However, if the price clears the $33.00 mark, it could target the October 31 high of $33.89 and potentially higher levels, indicating a potential reversal of the downtrend. Overall, the analysis suggests that the price of silver is likely to continue its downward trend in both the short-term and long-term, with potential support levels at $30.40-$30.35 and $28.55. However, there is a possibility of a bullish correction in the short-term, and a potential reversal of the downtrend if the price clears the $33.00 mark. Result: ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the Silver price (XAG/USD): **Short-term (next few days to a week):** * The price is expected to go down. The breakdown below the 50-day SMA and the short-term ascending trend-channel has triggered bearish sentiment, and oscillators indicate negative traction. The price is likely to continue its fall towards the 100-day SMA support around $30.40-$30.35. * Immediate support levels to watch are $30.23 (100-day SMA) and the psychological mark of $30.00. If these levels are broken, the price could drop further to $29.70. **Long-term (next few weeks to a month):** * The price is expected to stay the same or go down slightly. The strong US Dollar following Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election is likely to keep Silver prices in check. The price may eventually drop below the $30.00 psychological mark, heading towards the $29.70 zone and the 200-day SMA near $28.55. * However, if the price manages to break above the 50-day SMA breakpoint near $31.40, it could lead to a short-covering move, but it may not sustain and could fizzle out near the $32.65 region. Overall, the technical analysis suggests a bearish sentiment in the short-term, while the long-term outlook is neutral to slightly bearish due to the strong US Dollar. Result: ST=Down LT=Down
TVC:SILVERLong
by orbborisson
Gold will fall again after a small upward movementInstrument: Time Frame: H4 Chart Observations: 1. A Strong choch was identified after several BOSes 2. That Choch changed the direction of trend from up side to down. 3. Fair Value Gape was also Observed at the place where ChOch formed 4. Gold is going up to fill the fair value gape and it will get instant reversal from P.O.I Trading Strategy: In this trade Our Risk Reward Ratio will be (1:5) Right Now We put Buy Entries Upto 2735 Strong Selling Zone will be 2735_2740 little above the P.O.I will be our S.L= 2755 the Previous L.L will be our Take Profit= 2642
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fxjames0009
GOLD established a falling structure after a sharp declineOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable after yesterday's plunge. The current gold price is about 2,660 USD/ounce. Previously on Wednesday (November 6), after Trump was elected President of the United States, investors rushed to buy US Dollar, OANDA:XAUUSD plummeted to its lowest level in 3 weeks. As sent to readers in many articles about the election of Trump, a shock decline in gold is inevitable because Trump's "steering wheel" will support the Dollar from general economic policies. Trump's victory will boost the dollar as he is expected to propose new tariffs that could cause a spike in inflation and cause the Federal Reserve to pause its easing cycle. Fed decision upcoming After cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this time. The US economic calendar today (Thursday) will focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision. The Fed is expected to reduce borrowing costs by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50%-4.75%. Trump and the Fed Trump's economic policy proposes imposing taxes, increasing the fiscal deficit, and reducing taxes. His economic advice conflicts with the Fed's anti-inflation policy. Therefore, the Fed will be forced to take a very cautious approach when loosening monetary policy. The risk of rising inflation after Trump introduced new taxes could slow the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This is very important because Trump and the Fed are becoming opposing, it is likely that Trump will destroy all previous efforts of the Fed to curb inflation. For more than 70 years, the Federal Reserve has operated as an independent government agency in the United States, but this tradition may soon be overturned. After declaring victory on Wednesday (November 6), Donald Trump is preparing to talk about "interest rates" after taking office in January 2025, insisting his intuition is better than the Chairman of the Reserve Federal Powell. For more than 70 years, the US central bank has operated as an independent government agency. When officials meet to decide interest rates, they will not need to consult with the president and other elected officials. That's because, as the former Fed chairman famously said, “The job of the central bank is to get rid of the drinking bowl just as the party is getting started.” In other words, they have to make unpopular decisions that ultimately seek to bring long-term benefits to the economy. However, once President-elect Trump returns to the White House, the independence the Fed has maintained for many years could be compromised. Trump's statement was posted on CNN: “I think the president should at least have a say. I feel very strongly,” Trump said about the Fed's interest rate decision at a press conference in August. Trump added: “I make a lot of money, I'm very successful and I think in many situations I have better abilities than the people at the Fed or the president.” Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After yesterday's strong price drop, gold has all the technical conditions to decrease in price through the price channel. The fact that gold was sold below the price channel and the 21-day moving average (EMA21) caused the bullish price structure to be completely broken. Currently, gold is recovering slightly after receiving support from the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, and once this level is further broken below, gold tends to continue to decline with a subsequent target level of around 2,600 USD around the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement area. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index continues to point downward after breaking the 50 level, which should be considered a negative signal for gold as the RSI's next target is 25. Showing that the downward momentum remains quite wide in the front. In the near future, technically, gold has the potential to decrease in price with the price channel being the short-term trend. As long as gold remains in the price channel and below the EMA21 level, the bearish outlook will still be prioritized, and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,640 – 2,645USD Resistance: 2,668 – 2,684 – 2,697USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2708 - 2706⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2711 →Take Profit 1 2701 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2696 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2637 - 2639⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2633 →Take Profit 1 2644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2649
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
1
Silver Short-Term Analysis for 08/11/2024Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and is intended for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decisions. Time Frame: 4-hour Market Analysis: The 4-hour XAGUSD chart exhibits a bearish trend, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating a slight oversold condition. Key Levels: POC (Daily Point of Control): 30.59 Order Block (Lower Target): 28.90 - 28.72 Resistance: 32.74 Local Support: 30.12 Trading Bias: The price is retesting the strong support level at 31.47. If it holds, the price may move upward to 32.75 (POC). Conversely: A break below 30.12 (local low) could send the price to 30.80 (previous low). If 30.81 holds as support, the trend may turn more bearish, potentially dipping to 28.92 - 28.72.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by avatarfreak
Update the latest gold price today. Today, gold prices rebounded, climbing over $48.4 to reach $2,708.8 per ounce. This rally, a gain of more than 1%, was fueled by a weaker U.S. dollar and the anticipated 0.25% rate cut announced by the Federal Reserve on Thursday. Currently, the market is pricing in the possibility of another 25 basis-point cut in December. However, if former President Trump returns to office, future rate cuts might face hurdles. Concerns over rising prices and persistent inflation could compel the Fed to keep a restrictive monetary policy longer than desired. This outlook poses a challenge for gold. If inflation worries prevent the Fed from lowering rates, prolonged high-interest rates would diminish gold's appeal compared to interest-bearing assets, adding downward pressure on its price.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chipucu
Scalping ! XAU ! Trendline Recovery 2678SCALPING XAU / USD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: The US Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Thursday is in focus, with markets widely anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut, which could support gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 98.1% chance of this quarter-point cut in November. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Trendline + DOW , Gold price recovered briefly - for the upcoming decline to 2606 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2673 TP1: $2665 TP2: $2662 TP3: $2658 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
XAU/USD – Is the Uptrend Ready for the Next Move?Gold is approaching a major support level within its rising channel! 📊 Could this be the next higher low (HL) in the uptrend? If bulls step in here, we might see a push back toward the channel highs! 🚀 🔹 Key Support Levels: $2,655 is the immediate support, while $2,580 serves as a critical backstop below. 🔹 Potential Setup: Long on bullish confirmation around these supports. 🔹 My Thought: I believe Gold could be forming another HL here, potentially setting up for another push higher before any major correction. Historically Gold has shown bullish momentum leading up to U.S. elections, rallying once before turning bearish afterward. What are your thoughts? Are you bullish or bearish on gold? 💬 Drop your comments below and let’s discuss! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kashifone1
Gold: A Sudden Pivot and Decline… All Eyes on Powell and the FedGold’s Outlook Amidst Global Shifts: Anticipating the Federal Reserve’s Decision and Trump’s Return to Power Gold (XAUUSD) currently exhibits a technical reversal setup, hinting at a potential downward trend in the medium to long term. The fundamental landscape is shifting to favor the U.S. dollar, subtly steering capital away from gold. This pivot is influencing price targets and investor sentiment, aligning more with an appreciation of the dollar than a rally in precious metals. In a surprising twist in U.S. politics, Donald Trump has regained the presidency. What does this political shift mean for gold and other key markets? Historically, Trump’s policies have leaned toward deregulation and fiscal expansion, potentially fueling inflation. With an administration focused on rapid economic growth and bold policies, there’s a plausible scenario for rising inflation, increased demand for the dollar, a robust stock market, and strengthening U.S. bond yields. Yet, gold and currency markets might not see immediate benefits from this environment. Trump’s known stance toward China and Europe, marked by economic confrontation and protectionist measures, could eventually provide a supportive backdrop for gold, although this may not manifest immediately. Investors may perceive gold as a safe haven in the face of prolonged U.S.-China tensions, but significant gains may only materialize over time—perhaps not until late next year or beyond. So, what are the forward-looking targets for gold? Analysts are keeping an eye on potential pullbacks to levels like 2400, 2300, or even 2200. Should the selling pressure increase, a test of the 2000 mark isn’t out of the question. These medium to long-term projections underscore a cautious outlook, hinging heavily on both domestic policy under the new administration and ongoing global economic challenges. At present, however, the immediate focus lies with the Federal Reserve. This Thursday’s rate decision is critical: Will the Fed cut by another 0.25% to continue economic support, or opt for stability and keep rates steady? Yet, the spotlight is less on the rate decision itself and more on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary. Any signals that the Fed may ease up on its current rate cut cycle could impact markets dramatically, especially those tied closely to interest rates like gold. Hints of a potential slowdown in easing could push investors away from the yellow metal as confidence in the dollar strengthens. From a technical perspective, gold appears to be re-entering a price range, with attention drawn to significant internal levels, including the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line—a crucial marker. Should gold breach this level, a resumption of the downtrend may be imminent. If sellers reclaim control below this level, a deeper pullback may follow. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 2670, 2685, 2696 Support: 2652 (trigger point), 2637, 2624 As a correction pattern emerges in the wake of recent declines, traders are monitoring for a potential false breakout. If gold experiences a brief push above these resistance points but subsequently consolidates below them, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend. In summary, gold's trajectory will be shaped by a unique combination of technical pressures and fundamental shifts. Trump’s return and its implications for inflation and foreign policy, combined with the Fed’s upcoming rate guidance, form a complex backdrop. Investors should brace for heightened volatility, as the evolving policy landscape and economic indicators will likely be pivotal in determining gold's next moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
Welcome back donald trumpIn this chart, I have conducted a technical analysis of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. The analysis highlights key areas of interest: Supply Zone: Marked in purple, this region represents a potential area where selling pressure could resume. Historically, prices have shown resistance here, suggesting that traders should monitor this zone for possible reversals or selling activity. Retracement Levels: I've used Fibonacci retracement levels to assess potential pullbacks. The 0.5 (2,696.90) and 0.382 (2,684.38) levels are particularly notable as possible points where the price may find support or resistance. Target Area: Indicated by the arrow pointing downward, this is the level where I predict the price could head next if the supply zone holds and selling pressure intensifies. This represents a personal target based on my analysis and not a trade signal. "Hope for the Best" Label: Positioned just below the supply zone, this label reflects the sentiment of uncertainty as the price approaches this resistance area. It serves as a reminder that market movements can be unpredictable. Welcome Back Donald Trump: In a broader context, the market may also be impacted by political events. With Donald Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election, there could be shifts in economic policy, which might influence precious metal markets and investor sentiment in the coming months. Keep an eye on these macroeconomic factors as they may play a role in future price actions. This analysis is shared solely as my interpretation of market data and is not financial advice or a trade recommendation.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by rajpatel95133