SHORT BIASPrice broke structure before retracement to fill ower liquidity.
Potentially expect a sell having swept liquidity below down to support level.
Target should be resistance zone.
Futures market
Gold intraday trading strategyGold continued to rise strongly on Friday, breaking the high and closing. The U.S. gold price stabilized at the 3067 mark and continued to rise, and finally closed back above 3085, almost the highest point of the day. The daily K-line closed with two consecutive positive days of shock and breaking the high. The overall gold price firmly stood above the 3050 mark, continuing the strong unilateral rhythm of the bulls. However, after the opening of today, the gold price continued to accelerate and pierced the 3097 mark, and then fell back under pressure and adjusted rapidly. In the short term, the gold price is expected to usher in repeated long and short fluctuations at the 3100 integer mark. Don’t chase more near 3100 at present. Although it rebounded near 3097 at the opening and then rebounded after touching the lowest level of 3077, this wave of technical adjustments is far from reaching the target. We continue to maintain the idea of retreating and going long.
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3065-73, with a focus on the 3056 first-line support below. The short-term pressure above is 3100-3106. Relying on this range during the day, the main tone of the high-altitude low-multiple cycle remains unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3065-3073, add more when it falls back to 3056, stop loss at 3045, target at 3105-3108, continue to hold if it breaks
Precise gold trading signalsSpot gold opened higher and moved higher in the morning trading on Monday (March 31), breaking through $3,090/ounce and setting a new record high of $3,111.54/ounce. The market was mainly driven by geopolitical risks and market concerns about the global trade war, which attracted investors to safe-haven assets. The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 63 basis points this year, starting in July. Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a US recession from 20% to 35%. Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in July, September and November. The market is currently preparing for Trump's plan for reciprocal tariffs on April 2.
This week, the focus will be on the implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which may strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. Other important data include the ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings on Tuesday, ADP employment on Wednesday, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims on Thursday.
Gold has four consecutive positive weekly lines, and the price has risen strongly based on 5MA. The K-line continues to diverge upward against the upper Bollinger track. Last week, the K-line closed with a real big positive line, and there will be further continuation this week. The upper track has moved up to around 3122, but today's monthly line is closed. After the high, we must also be careful of the risk of retracement. The daily K-line also broke the high after the consolidation last week. The current price has risen to 3111. The bulls are very strong, and there is further short-term growth. Pay attention to the resistance near the upper track 3117 in the short term, but it should be noted that MACD has signs of top divergence, so be careful of the market going up and falling back to wash the market. The 4-hour chart is also in a very strong trend.
Intraday operations still adopt the idea of low-to-long, bullish but not chasing the rise, gold rose and broke the high in the morning, so the European session will continue, the intraday support is 3097-3086, the watershed is the early low of 3076, the European session falls back to around 3097-86 and continues to be long, focusing on the strength of the European session, the European session is strong, and the US session has a second rise, if the European session is weak, the US session will fluctuate.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to buy at 3097-3095, stop loss at 3086, and target 3113-3122-3132
Gold continues to rise above 3100!Gold is bound to reach 3100. Last week, after several days of shocks, gold broke through the high and rose sharply. On Friday, it reached 3087, and the daily line closed with a big positive for two consecutive days. There is only a dozen dollars left to reach 3100, and there is no doubt that it will be won next week.
On Friday, the high level fluctuated sideways, and it tested the high point of 3086 many times from the US market to the early morning. The more it tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Finally, it closed near the high point of 3085.
If this kind of strong market closes strongly at a high level, then there is a high probability that the market will directly rise and break the high at the opening on Monday morning, or will go straight to around 3100. Even if there is a retracement, the amplitude will not be too large. Pay attention to the support line of 3073-3067.
How much room is there above 3100?
This wave of strong breakout and rise is somewhat affected by the tariff policy. The rise in risk aversion has helped push gold to a new high. After a large increase in bullish volume, it may slow down. It mainly depends on the expectation of tariff policy, buy expectations and sell facts. The previous rise has fully digested the impact of the news. Facts have proved that if it continues to rise, it is expected to slow down or even fall in stages.
The retracement range of the previous high of 3057-3000 is only 57 US dollars, which can only be regarded as a small correction. Under the influence of the news, it will break the high again. It is possible to see more above 3100, but it is really not recommended to chase more.
Because after the New York futures gold broke through 3100 US dollars on March 28, the number of contracts delivered on the first fixed position day of the April contract was as high as 34,865, with a total of 3.49 million ounces, that is, 108 tons, a historical record. In the case of gold continuing to rise and break high, this huge delivery will make it highly likely that there will be a large-scale run on gold in April.
In the previous round, the price of gold bulls went from 2286 to 2790, which was 504 US dollars. If calculated from 2277 to 2790, it is 513 US dollars. It peaked at 2790 and fell to 2536, which was 254 US dollars.
In this round of bull market, the price went from 2583 to 3100, which was 517 US dollars. If calculated from 2596 to 3100, it was also 504 US dollars.
According to the same rise and fall in the previous round, there is a possibility of a sharp decline above 3100. Be careful of risks if you are bullish but don't chase the long position. If the price drops by 254 US dollars from 3100, it is 2846, which is also near the starting point of the second rise, which is consistent with the technical aspect.
Gold continues to look above 3100Today, we will focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If it fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to go long if it falls back to 3100-02. It is still possible to go short if it falls back to 3102 and then rebounds to 3125-27. If you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, then going short may be the best choice. It is better not to do it than to make a mistake! Watching more and doing less is also a suitable strategy. Overall, it is recommended to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds in terms of short-term gold operations. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3128-3130 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3097 support line.
Operational Strategy；Gold will pull back to around 3100-3102, buy 20% of the position in batches, stop loss at 3090, target around 3115-3125, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Bias with Key Support at 3085Trend Overview:
Gold maintains a strong bullish trend, with recent price action confirming a breakout above a previous consolidation zone, now acting as key support at 3085.
Key Levels:
Support: 3085 (key level), 3070, 3057
Resistance: 3143, 3160, 3200
Bullish Scenario:
A pullback to 3085, followed by a bullish rebound, would confirm the support level and signal further upside potential. A breakout above 3143 may extend gains towards 3160 and 3200 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 3085 would invalidate the bullish outlook, increasing the likelihood of a retracement toward 3070, with 3057 as the next downside target.
Conclusion:
Gold remains bullish above 3085, with potential upside targets at 3143, 3160, and 3200. However, a break below 3085 could shift momentum to the downside, targeting 3070 and 3057. Traders should watch price action around 3085 for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,118.23.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,093.41 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold's new high interpretationIt is indeed a new round of gold reverse pick-up, retreating to the lowest level of 3076, breaking the new high again, and reaching the exaggerated point of 3112 as of now. The dream of gold reaching 1,000 yuan that the market expects is within reach. In such a violent market at the opening of this week, should we aggressively chase the rise or short? First of all, there are three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, and the bullish trend is actually very obvious. Today, the bulls pushed the point up and stood firmly above 3100, so there is still room for continued rise, and vice versa.
The low point of the morning retracement on the hourly line is the dividing line between strength and weakness today. If the price retraces again, the strong trend will be weak. If the price continues to rise in the afternoon without retracement, it will be difficult to choose the entry point. If the position is chosen aggressively, the volatility will be high and the price will lose money. If the position is chosen conservatively, the entry point will not be reached. There are too many factors that affect the rise and fall of gold at present.
Gold fell back to 3090-3100, stop loss at 3085, target at 3020-30, no prediction for upper resistance for the time being
Gold rose more than 1% in a single dayGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the daily chart is 3150, and the support level below is 3060
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3150, and the support level below is 3078
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3130, and the support level below is 3098
Risk aversion and policy expectations jointly push up the price of gold. After stabilizing at $3100, the next target is $3130-3170; if the NY market data is negative or a technical correction occurs, it is necessary to pay attention to the effectiveness of the support near 3100.
Comprehensive consideration is mainly to buy at low levels, focusing on the breakthrough signal of $3130, the 4-hour rising channel is intact, and the rising channel that breaks through 3130 will move towards the 3150-3170 range
Is gold accelerating towards its peak?Today, the European and American markets focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If the European market fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to go long when it falls back to around 3100-02. It is still possible to go short if it falls back to 3102 and then rebounds to 3125-27. Finally, I would like to advise retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, then going short may be the best choice. It is better not to do it than to make a mistake! Watching more and doing less is also a suitable strategy.
In today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3128-3130, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3100-3097.
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting bullish move)(26-03-2025)(mid term)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (26-03-2025)
Current price- 3017
"if Price stays above 3008, then next target is 3027, 3037, 3055 and 3072 and below that 2985 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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GOLD reasons for shortHello fellow traders,
this idea is an absolute speculation based on a fact the tariffs were announced, indexes loss is accounted for and time for stabilisation in a market, perhaps time to buy USD instead? I am bidding 1:2 on the scenario and placing my t/p at level 2840 with sl 3240,
always protect your capital, management of risk is the crucial factor in trading no matter how much you invest, good luck
This should be scaring you right now...gold vs silver ratio unrelenting.
DotCom Bubble Bust 2001 recession
GFC Bust 2008-2009 recession
XAU/ USD 4 hour chart Hello traders. Happy Monday. Gold is just pumping. On the 4-Hour chart I've marked my areas of interest. If we got a good pull back potential longs are marked on the chart as well. It's just speculation and not based on current price action. Let's see how the current 4-Hour candle closes. A break and close below current for our candle could open up opportunities for a push down. Big G gets all my thanks. Be well and trade the trend 📉. Let's see how the current 4-Hour candle plays out. Happy Monday.
The bull's charge trumpet was successfully soundedFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3100-06, with a focus on the support line of 3086-94 below, and the short-term pressure above is 3127-3130. Keep the main tone of participation in the idea of buying on pullbacks unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for the shutdown point to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Gold retreats to the 3100-3106 line for more, and retreats to the 3086-3094 line to cover more positions. The stop loss is 3079, and the target is the 3125-3130 line. If the position is broken, continue to hold;
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis
#### **Current Market Overview**
- **Price:** $3,092
- **Support Level:** $3,087 - $3,083
- **Resistance Level:** $3,095 - $3,100
- **Trend:** Uptrend continuation, with price holding above key EMAs
---
### **📈 Bullish Scenario**
- If the price **breaks above $3,095 - $3,100** resistance, expect further upside movement towards **$3,110 - $3,120**.
- The **rising trendline and EMA support** suggest buyers are in control.
- A strong close above resistance could trigger **momentum buying** and fuel a rally.
---
### **📉 Bearish Scenario**
- A **failure to break $3,100** may lead to a pullback towards **$3,087 - $3,083** support.
- If sellers push below this support zone, further downside towards **$3,076 and $3,065** is possible.
- Increased selling pressure may shift sentiment, leading to a correction.
---
### **Conclusion**
- **Above $3,095:** Bullish continuation toward higher levels.
- **Below $3,087:** Potential bearish correction before another leg up.
XAUUSD Here is a simple short signal On Xauusd 15m tf
We can see a bearish OB on 15m Time frame
Always #dyor
Gold/Silver Ratio AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) currently trading at $3,118 has significantly outpaced Silver (
SILVER) at $34.07 since mid-March. This divergence has pushed the Gold/Silver ratio to elevated levels, creating a potential mean-reversion opportunity.
Looking at the chart, both metals maintained strong correlation through January-February 2025 before Gold began its dramatic acceleration in March-April. While both assets remain in strong uptrends, Gold's nearly vertical move in April suggests potential overextension relative to its historical relationship with Silver.
Trading Strategy
Consider a pairs trade setup:
SHORT Gold / LONG Silver at current ratio
Target: Reversion to 50-day moving average of Gold/Silver ratio
Stop: 2% additional expansion of current ratio
Risk Management
Key to this trade is position sizing that equalizes dollar exposure between the two positions. Use reduced leverage as precious metals volatility remains elevated across the complex.
TVC:XAU NASDAQ:XAG #PairsTrading
How to Choose the Right Leverage in Trading: What Metters?One of the most common questions I get from beginner traders is: What leverage should I use ?
And every time, my answer is the same: The leverage offered by the broker is irrelevant. What truly matters is the position size you control in the market.
Understanding Leverage in Trading
Leverage is a tool that allows you to control a larger amount of money in the market than you actually have in your account. Brokers regulated in the U.S., EU, or Australia limit leverage to 1:30, but in other jurisdictions, these restrictions do not apply, and brokers may offer leverage of 1:200 or even higher.
What does this mean? Let’s take a concrete example:
• You have an account with $1,000.
• Your broker offers 1:200 leverage.
• This means you can control $200,000 in the market.
Although this may sound tempting, you must understand that your profit and loss are calculated based on the amount controlled, not your initial capital.
The Real Risk of High Leverage
Let’s assume you open a position using the full leverage available and control $200,000 in the market.
• If the market moves 100 pips against you, your loss is $2,000.
• Your $1,000 account is completely wiped out in just 50 pips of adverse movement.
In other words, high leverage can quickly take you out of the game if you do not manage your risk properly.
How to Trade Safely
If you have an account of $1,000, it is recommended to control much smaller amounts in the market to reduce risk.
A safer approach would be:
• To control $5,000, meaning you open a position of 0.05 lots.
• If you have a higher risk appetite, a maximum of 0.1 lots, which means you control $10,000 in the market.
This way, a 100-pip movement against you will not completely wipe out your account, giving you a better chance to manage risk and learn from experience.
Conclusion
The leverage offered by the broker does not matter; what matters is the position size you open. Set an appropriate risk level for your account and do not be tempted by high leverage offered by brokers. Survival in trading depends on proper risk management, not on how big you can bet on each trade.
Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
You must keep your trading mind active, only in this way can you avoid too many stupid trading signals.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold is crazy. When will it peak?Gold has experienced a wave of rapid declines and market washouts. It successfully made many people get off the market with one move, and then it continued to rise all the way. It is really strong.
At present, it seems that gold is getting closer and closer to the top, but you can still take advantage of the pullback to make long orders, but you must not stay in the long term.
At present, gold is getting closer and closer to the top, but you can still take advantage of the correction to go long, but don't be a long-term investor. Gold can take advantage of the trend to take long positions above 3100
GOLD SHORT SETUP: TARGETING $3,100 FROM OVERBOUGHT CONDITIONSGOLD SHORT SETUP: TARGETING $3,100 FROM OVERBOUGHT CONDITIONS
Looking at the current Gold chart, we're seeing potential exhaustion signs near all-time highs. While the trend remains strongly bullish (all moving averages pointing up), several indicators suggest we may be due for a pullback to the $3,100 level.
Key Observations
Overbought RSI (77.09): The RSI is showing overbought conditions without divergence yet, but at levels where previous corrections have occurred.
Extreme Stochastic (97.99): Nearly maxed out at 98, suggesting limited upside momentum remains.
Williams %R near zero (-2.44): Showing extreme buying pressure that historically doesn't sustain.
CCI above 140: At 146.61, well into overbought territory.
Moving Average Spacing: While all MAs signal "Buy," the distance between recent EMAs (10, 20) and price indicates stretched conditions.
Risk Management
This is a counter-trend trade against strong bullish momentum, so position sizing should be conservative. The R2 pivot at $3,045 and the 10-day SMA at $3,046 should act as initial support levels and could provide clues about whether the pullback thesis is playing out.
Sp500 Weekly Action Areas & Price Targets 31/03/25In this update we review the recent price action in the emini SP500 futures and identify high probability action areas and price targets fort he trading week ahead!
