Futures market
Gold looks bullish at the current level. 1.The chart is showing a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an overall uptrend.
2. *Price is above the 20-day MA - Typically a bullish signal.
* (50-day and 89-day MA) are trending upwards and far below the current price, reinforcing a longer-term bullish trend.
Recent Candlestick Action: A strong bullish candle recently bounced off the blue MA after a short consolidation, suggesting buyers stepped in to the pullback. The last candles shows upward momentum resuming, possibly forming a Bullish continuation pattern. The RSI seems to be trending slightly down or flat not yet in overbought territory.
The technicals favor further upside in the short term to medium term, especially if the recent bullish candle closes strong. A break above the recent highs would confirm continuation, while a failure there could mean a short-term pullback.
After the late- April peak and pullback, the market formed a higher low, followed by a strong bullish rally from May 3rd onward. Current candles are consolidating after a sharp move - showing healthy digestion of gains. No strong bearish reversal patterns are visible yet.
Volume increased during the May 3-6 rally - a good sigh of strength behind the move. Slight decrease in volume on the latest candles, suggest consolidation rather than distribution.
RSI is rising but not yet in overbought territory - Room for upside remains. Watch if RSI diverge while price pushes up - that could signal exhaustion.
Warning sign : Drop below 2240 and break below EMAs would shift bias neutral to bearish.
4h Price Structure : after forming a double bottom or rounded base near April 30 - May 2, price pushed up strongly. It`s now consolidating just under the recent highs, forming a bullish flag or tight range, suggesting a potential breakout.
Risk Level To Watch: A break below 3345 (near the 59 EMA and previous range) would invalidate this short-term target and signal weakness.
Trade idea: XAGUSD long (BUY LIMIT)1. Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend)
• Trend: Strong bullish structure, recent consolidation after breakout above $30.
• MACD: Histogram tapering but still positive — momentum cooling but bullish bias intact.
• RSI (48.70): Neutral zone, not overbought or oversold — room for upside continuation.
• Price Action: Holding near previous resistance-turned-support around $32.40.
15-Min Chart (Intraday Context)
• Trend: Pullback from recent highs, but signs of base forming near $32.40.
• MACD: Still bearish, but histogram is flattening — suggesting downside momentum weakening.
• RSI (42.98): Near oversold territory — early sign of bounce potential.
3-Min Chart (Entry Timing)
• MACD: Just flipped bullish (signal line crossover), bullish divergence spotted.
• RSI (61.34): Rebounding strongly — confirmation of short-term bullish momentum.
• Price Action: Higher lows forming; reclaiming the 20 EMA.
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2. Fundamental Backdrop (as of May 2025):
• Dovish Fed stance and expectations of interest rate cuts continue to support metals.
• Global macro uncertainty (inflation, geopolitical tensions) keeps demand for silver intact.
• Industrial demand for silver remains strong due to green energy initiatives.
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3. Trade Setup (Long Position):
Bias: LONG XAGUSD
• Entry: 32.43 (current price, confirming breakout on 3M chart)
• Stop Loss (SL): 31.90 (below recent intraday low and structure support)
• Take Profit (TP): 33.80 (previous swing high from April, daily resistance zone)
FUSIONMARKETS:XAGUSD
Interest rates, will gold prices fall sharply today?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
However, US Dollar bulls appear cautious, holding back from making bold moves as they await clearer signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) future rate-cut trajectory. This wait-and-see stance, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions—particularly the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East—continues to bolster demand for safe-haven assets like gold. As such, investors are likely to remain on the sidelines until the conclusion of the closely watched two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price awaits today's interest rate result, there was a good recovery above 3400 but then fell immediately after, showing that the market is not ready for the first interest rate cut if any, gold price may face strong selling pressure today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3438- 3440 SL 3445
TP1: $3425
TP2: $3410
TP3: $3395
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3396- 3398 SL 3402 scalping
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3365
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3308 - $3306 SL $3301
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3345
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold fluctuates and waits for interest rate decisionAfter gold quickly rose and fell in the morning today, it basically began to fluctuate sideways. Of course, this is also in preparation for the heavyweight data of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The early pullback of gold at the hourly level has double-needle support near 3360, followed by yesterday's Asian session pullback near 3350. The U.S. session mainly focuses on the range of this position. In general, the short-term idea before the interest rate decision is to focus on the high-selling and low-buying operations in the range of 3350 to 3400. If it falls below the support of 3350, it is recommended to directly chase the short position and pay attention to the key support of 3290 below. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3350-3300 line of support.
Natural Gas Slowed Down For A Correction Within UptrendEU Commission will propose in June banning Russian gas and LNG imports under new deals and existing spot contracts by end-2025.
Natural gas slowed down recently, but despite that retracement, we see it as an ABC correction after a potential leading diagonal formation from the lows. It actually stopped perfectly at the former wave 2 swing low and 61,8% Fibonacci support area, from where we may now see a bullish continuation, especially if it recovers back above 4.15 bullish confirmation level.
Natural Gas Near Term - May 7, 2025 Natural Gas (NG) Technical Outlook – May 7, 2025
Is Wave (3) unfolding right now? The setup says YES.
After bouncing from the $2.85 low, Natural Gas has surged and is now forming a classic impulsive wave structure. All major indicators are flashing green:
✅ Momentum & RSI: Bullish crossover confirmed, with RSI holding near 60
✅ Volume: Buyers stepped in hard above $3.50
✅ Elliott Wave: Wave (2) likely completed, Wave (3) is underway with $4.70–4.90 in sight
✅ Cycle Timing: Matches a projected late-May peak before minor pullback
✅ Seasonality: May → June often kicks off major upside runs in NG
✅ COT: Specs still heavily short = fuel for more upside
✅ Chart Patterns: confirmed double bottom with head & shoulders above that needs to be broken
📈 The current pullback may be Wave (2) of (3), with the next leg potentially targeting $4.40–$4.70. Near-term consolidation is healthy, not bearish.
🎯 Trading Levels to Watch
Buy zone: $3.30–3.50
Support: $3.20–3.30
Resistance: $4.40 neckline → then $4.90
Wave (3) projection: $4.90–5.20 if structure holds
🧠 This is a strong technical setup backed by converging signals. We’ll be watching closely to see if NG confirms this bullish roadmap.
📊 Full PDF report + updated trading strategies available via email 📬
WTI CRUDE OIL: Short term rebound on RSI Bullish DivergenceWTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.958, MACD = -2.110, ADX = 28.985) as it remains on a multi-month Low. The 1D RSI however displays a HL Bullish Divergence and this can cause a short term price rebound. The Resistance is the Pivot Zone and short term the LH trendline is what maintains the downtrend. Consequently, we are now bullish, TP = 64.90.
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Gold Trade Plan 07/05/2025Dear Traders,
after False break of Side Range price break top of Range,
The price is hitting the support at 3360-3370(pullback) and the move is continuing.
Momentum of Bullish movement is very Good , i expect price will be continue Uptrend to 3480
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Natural Gas: Bearish Setup with Cautious PositioningFurther upward movement in natural gas is limited. The trend remains bearish.
The only thing that holds me back from opening a short position is the need for a wide stop above the 3.85 high, which is nearly 4.5%. The downside target is at least the $3 level, potentially down to $2.60.
Everything looks good, but the stop is very wide.
That’s why I’m starting with a small position size and will add more as the idea plays out .
Gold Trading Strategy, May 7-8📊From the hourly level, gold formed a double-needle bottoming pattern near 3360 during the early morning correction, showing strong short-term support. At the same time, 3350, as the low point of yesterday's Asian session correction, also constitutes an important support area at present, which needs to be focused on in the short term.
📊Before the announcement of the Fed's interest rate decision, market sentiment is relatively cautious, and gold is expected to continue to fluctuate at a high level in the range of 3350 to 3400. In terms of trading strategy, you can continue to maintain the idea of selling high and buying low in the range, that is, try to short with a light position near 3400, and try short-term long orders when it falls back to 3350.
📊If gold breaks below the 3350 support line, it means that the short-term structure will weaken. It is recommended to follow the trend and go short. The further downward target can focus on the 3290 line, which is an important platform support area in the early stage.
✅Short-term Trading Strategy:
🔰Within the range (3350-3400): mainly sell high and buy low;
🔰If the support of 3350 is broken: follow the trend and go short, the target is around 3290;
🔴Upper resistance level: 3400-3410;
🟢Lower support level: 3350, 3290.
✅Trading strategies are time-sensitive. We will provide members with real-time and accurate trading strategies based on market changes. Short-term trading requires flexibility, timely adjustment of positions, strict risk control, and ensuring that you are not affected by large fluctuations.
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, projecting a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the main ideas conveyed:
1. Support Level & Double Bottom
A strong support level is marked around the 3,177 area, with the price bouncing from it twice (highlighted by two black dots), indicating a potential double bottom pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
2. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lies just below the current price (~3,177), acting as dynamic support. The fact that price is holding above it adds strength to the bullish argument.
3. Bullish Divergence on RSI
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a bullish divergence, where the price made lower lows but RSI made higher lows—another potential reversal indicator.
4. Price Projection
If the bullish move plays out, the chart outlines two upward targets:
Target Point: ~3,501.67
Next Target Point: ~3,729.23
These are based on measured moves from previous impulse legs (shown by vertical blue projections).
5. Entry Setup
The chart suggests a break above the short-term consolidation could trigger the bullish run toward the first target, aligning with bullish price structure and support confirmation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Overall Idea: The chart expects a bullish reversal from support, confirmed by double bottom, EMA 200 support, and RSI divergence, targeting higher resistance zones.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold Market Update - XAUUSD post FOMC May 7🎤 Context: FOMC day just dropped the mic. Market’s fidgety. Fed held rates steady (no shocker), Powell said plenty (but meant little), and Gold just tap danced at resistance like it’s auditioning for Wall Street’s Got Talent. Let’s dissect it all and get sniper-precise.
🔍 MACRO CONTEXT
💣 FOMC Rate Decision: Rates unchanged. Dovish tilt in Powell’s tone – soft landing narrative holding.
💼 Market Impact: Dollar hesitant, equities flat, Gold caught in limbo near intraday premium.
🧠 Sentiment: Risk-on... cautiously. But Gold's structure says, “I still have traps to set.”
🧠 STRUCTURE INSIGHTS (H4 → M1)
🔹 H4 Bias: Bullish swing (CHoCH → BOS intact), premium territory.
🔹 H1-H4 Key Zone: 3451 = Previous HH, now resistance and first critical liquidity magnet.
🔹 Current PA: Sideways chop just under intraday premium.
🔹 Liquidity Above: Weak High around 3415–3420 ready for sniping.
🔹 Liquidity Below: HL sweep and imbalance open below 3384, with clean demand at 3366–3372.
🎯 SNIPER SELL ZONES
Sell #1 – 3412–3418 (Refined rejection block)
🟪 Confluence: 5M FVG + weak high + premium OB
🎯 Entry: 3412–3418
🛑 SL: 3425
🎯 TP1: 3390
🎯 TP2: 3372
🎯 TP3: 3350
Sell #2 – 3440–3455 (Retest)
💣 Only valid if price breaks above 3420 and sweeps next liquidity.
🟩 Entry: 3440–3455
🛑 SL: 3463
🎯 TP1: 3420
🎯 TP2: 3390
🎯 TP3: 3370
🎯 SNIPER BUY ZONES
Buy #1 – 3366–3372 (H1 OB + FVG confluence)
📌 Real-time unmitigated demand with strong structural confluence
🎯 Entry: 3366–3372
🛑 SL: 3355
🎯 TP1: 3395
🎯 TP2: 3415
🎯 TP3: 3440
Buy #2 – 3322–3330 (Deep liquidity sweep + H4 equilibrium zone)
💧 Only valid if full breakdown under HLs
🎯 Entry: 3322–3330
🛑 SL: 3305
🎯 TP1: 3355
🎯 TP2: 3370
🎯 TP3: 3390
⚔ BIAS
NY Session Bias: Sideways-to-bearish while under 3415
Macro Bias: Still bullish HTF, but intraday liquidity still needs clearing
Risk Note: FOMC aftermath = traps galore. Sniper entries only. No hero buys or chases.
Drop a 🚀 and follow us!
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
SILVER Is Going Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,288.3.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,391.4 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSDGold technical analysis
4-hour chart resistance level 3430, support level 3330-3320
1-hour chart resistance level 3400, support level 3350
30-minute chart resistance level 3400, support level 3360
Today, it is recommended to trade with 3350 as the dividing line. If the 3350-3360 short-term support zone stabilizes, you can buy bullish. If it falls below 3350, it will trigger long stop-loss selling, and you can follow the sale to 3330-3320.