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BIST30 (XU030) - 1 DThe corrective move in the BIST30 index, which began in July 2024, has completed the first two legs of a three-wave structure and is currently unfolding the final downward leg. While the overall pattern appears to be a classic flat (regular) correction, the possibility of it evolving into a WXY complex correction—albeit less likely—still remains valid. I anticipate that this correction will conclude with one final leg to the downside. Both time-based and price-based target levels have been marked. In my assessment, the likelihood of the correction ending within the initially identified support zone is higher than the probability of a deeper retracement.
BIST:XU030
by ekgencsoy
US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook 🔍 1. Fundamental Analysis The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently navigating a complex environment shaped by macroeconomic shifts and geopolitical tensions. Below is an in-depth review of current factors influencing its price action: 🏦 Monetary Policy & Economic Indicators Federal Reserve Stance: After a series of rate hikes between 2022 and 2024, the Fed has adopted a more dovish tone in 2025. Market consensus now expects the Fed to cut rates by Q3–Q4 2025 as inflation cools and growth moderates. Inflation: The May 2025 CPI came in lower than expected at 2.7% YoY, signaling disinflation. Core CPI and PCE data also reflect a slowing pace of price increases, strengthening the case for easing. Labor Market: Non-farm payrolls have stabilized, but wage growth is slowing. Unemployment remains low at 3.8%, but job creation is skewed toward lower-paying service sectors. Growth Metrics: ISM Manufacturing PMI remains below 50 (contraction), but Services PMI is resilient. Consumer confidence dipped recently, reflecting uncertainty, yet consumer spending remains robust. 🌍 Geopolitical Climate Iran–Israel Conflict Escalation (Mid 2025): The recent Iran-Israel military clashes have rattled markets, briefly triggering risk-off flows. The conflict has led to spikes in crude oil prices, pushing energy stocks higher but raising concerns about inflation re-acceleration. US–China Relations: Ongoing trade tensions over semiconductors and AI have led to sanctions on key Chinese tech firms. Despite this, tech-heavy indices remain resilient due to domestic demand and AI sector optimism. Global Monetary Policy Divergence: While the Fed is dovish, the ECB has already started cutting rates, boosting global liquidity. This divergence supports capital inflows into US equities, especially defensive and industrial sectors represented in the Dow. 📉 2. Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts) The daily chart of US30, as annotated, reflects a clear transition from a bearish structure to a bullish regime, validated by Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology: 🔄 Market Structure Shift Bearish Trend: Price was forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) into early 2025. Change of Character (ChoCH): A significant bullish shift occurred with a closure above 42842, invalidating the prior LH and suggesting institutional buying. Break of Structure (BOS): Followed by a clean higher high, reinforcing the bullish momentum. 🧱 Key SMC Levels & Zones Buy Zone (Demand): Between 41,600 and 41,800, this region aligns with: A previous Higher Low (HL) A visible Fair Value Gap (FVG)/Imbalance Psychological support zone Expected to be a strong institutional demand zone for a long setup. IDM (Intermediate Demand Mitigation): Minor liquidity grab possible before retest of buy zone. An early sign of bullish intent may appear here. Bearish Invalidation Level: 41,179 is the key structural level. A daily closure below 41,179 would invalidate bullish bias and trigger a bearish BOS. 📈 Trend & Liquidity Outlook Liquidity Pools: Sell-side liquidity rests below recent HLs, particularly near IDM and the Buy Zone. Buy-side liquidity above recent HH (~43,800) is the next target if price rebounds. Trendline Support: Ascending trendline from April continues to hold. Acts as dynamic support intersecting the Buy Zone in late June. Targets: TP1: 43,000 (recent swing high) TP2: 43,800–44,000 (liquidity magnet zone) Final Supply Zone: 45,078 (historical resistance, visible on chart) 📌 Scenario Planning (SMC-Based) Primary (Bullish) Scenario: Price retraces into Buy Zone (41,600–41,800). Forms bullish engulfing or displacement candle. Entry long → Target 43,800+, SL below 41,179. Alternate (Bearish) Scenario: Price closes below 41,179 (breaks structure). Bias flips to bearish. Next support zone lies around 40,300–40,500. NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
FOREXCOM:US30
by Awii_Khan
US30 POTENTIAL SETUPUS30 Analysis Fundamental Analysis: The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) continues to face turbulence as global and domestic factors interplay. Recently, several key macroeconomic and geopolitical developments have influenced sentiment: FOMC Outlook: The Federal Reserve’s decision to pause interest rate hikes amidst easing inflation suggests a more dovish stance. However, labor market resilience and retail sales indicate lingering strength in consumer demand. Geopolitical Risk – Iran-Israel Conflict: The renewed tensions in the Middle East—especially between Iran and Israel—have heightened risk sentiment. Oil prices are sensitive to the conflict, indirectly pressuring inflation and causing volatility in equity markets. US Economic Indicators: CPI (Consumer Price Index): Showed moderate deceleration, aligning with the Fed’s inflation target. Unemployment Rate: Remains low, strengthening confidence in the soft-landing narrative. Manufacturing and PMI Data: Indicate a slowdown, showing a mild contraction phase in industrial activity. These mixed signals are feeding into a cautious yet opportunity-laden market environment for indices like US30. Technical Analysis (SMC - Smart Money Concepts): Current Market Structure: The price recently broke structure (BOS) to the upside after a series of higher lows and equal highs. It’s now in a pullback phase, showing a classic inducement pattern where early liquidity is grabbed below recent equal lows. Key Zones: Buy Zone: Marked between 41,460 to 41,357 (H1 FVG) , which lies just above the protected low at 41,150. A sweep of equal lows followed by confirmation (e.g., BOS on lower timeframe like H4) would validate a long entry. Risk Management: Stop-loss: Below 41,150, signaling bearish intent if broken (CHOCH – Change of Character). Take-profit Target: Upwards toward 42,911, aligning with previous highs and order block inefficiencies. Bearish Scenario: A daily closure below 41,150 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest a deeper retracement toward the next key support near 40,636. NOTE: Not a financial advice only for educational purpose
BLACKBULL:US30
by Awii_Khan
One of the reason, Why I m saying 5th wave done?Here you can see the pitchfork tool applied, as u can see that Nifty has touched this pitchforks median line from below and taking a resistance from it. This is the final 5th wave resistance. For further more elaboration, here are two ways I applied this tool: 1. In this particular snapshot, I touched 3rd pivot of this tool on the 7th April 2nd lowest pivot on hourly TF. 2. And yesterday prediction was based on this same tool but the 3rd pivot of the tool was on 7 April lowest pivot means on 21742. Thats why there is a slight difference between these two median lines from two different ways of applying. As u can see nifty has taken support on this line multiple times and forming a wavy structure around it
NSE:NIFTYShort
by GSDhirawat
1
VIX....nicely set-upVIX typically is not this low and the beauty of it is that it spikes 5-7 times a month about 5%. If you're in the lookout of a nice opportunity, this is nicely set-up atm. It may take a day or two to jump, but rallies typically have a pullback after a few good days. When profit taking hits, and it will come very soon, the VIX will spike again. You can use UVIX! It's the best ETF proxy IMHO if you understand how to use it. Always do your own due diligence and best of luck!
TVC:VIXLong
by antonini2002
Make Dollar Great AgainDXY Big Picture While looking at other DXY charts to use a clean chart for HTF, I saw that it touched historical trend support. It didn't touch only on the TVC chart, so I am adding it with the other charts and accepting that it touched the trend. According to the fractal I added in August last year, the price is moving very well. I expect a correction from these areas. I think we have reached the reversal areas due to both the momentum in the declines and the oversold. The decline fatigue I mentioned is more evident in LTF charts. The price cannot reach the EQ zone of the decline channel that has been going on since February on the daily chart. Although it is a very inclined channel on the 4h chart, it can no longer reach the channel bottom. For this reason, I think this region is where reversal should be sought. After the first 0.38 of this decline, I think a pullback to 0.5 is possible.
TICKMILL:DXYLong
by mooniron
Generally bullish sentiment heading into next weekWednesday's AUD CHF trade finally stopped out. I've been a little surprised by CHF resilience considering the 'risk on' environment. I have read an interesting article suggesting CHF and EUR strength can be attributed to holding relatively high amounts of gold reserves. I'm not sure how much long term credence I'd give that theory but it does make sense. Meanwhile, the USD turned out to be the currency to short this week as the market starts to price in more rate cuts than thought a few weeks ago. It could be a tricky road ahead for the FED, as softening data, and now today's higher than forecast PCE data means the dreaded 'stagflation' word will be mentioned. But with the VIX well below 20 and the S&P touching all time highs, in the absence of Middle East re-escalation or fresh tariff concerns, I'll begin next week with a mind to continue looking for 'risk on' trades. For today, I will let Friday's price action do what it's going to do and start fresh next week.
SP:SPXLong
by johnelfedforexblog
Nasdaq Hits New ATH at $22,570 – Eyes Now on $23,200 and $24,000By analyzing the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index followed our previous analysis perfectly, hitting the $22,400 target and printing a new all-time high at $22,570! Momentum remains strong and bullish, and we expect price to continue climbing toward the next targets. Based on the original projection, upcoming targets are $23,200 and $24,000. Stay tuned for the next update! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
IG:NASDAQLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
3
Trade alert triggered! Tiqgpt setupAnalyzing the US Tech 100 CFD across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent bullish momentum from the daily down to the 1-minute chart. The daily and 4-hour charts show a series of strong bullish candles, indicating a robust institutional buying presence. The 1-hour chart confirms this trend with a continuation of bullish candles, although there's a slight pullback visible, suggesting a temporary liquidity grab before further upward movement. The 15-minute charts show a more detailed view of this pullback, which appears to be a healthy correction within a broader bullish trend. The 1-minute chart shows increased volatility and some consolidation, typical of lower timeframes where retail traders are more active. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions are likely in a phase of accumulation and distribution, using pullbacks to gather more positions before pushing the price higher. The consistent higher highs and higher lows across timeframes suggest a strong bullish bias. The recent pullbacks on lower timeframes are likely temporary, serving to trap bearish retail traders before continuation of the uptrend. LEARNING POINT: The pullback seen on the 1-hour and 15-minute charts can be interpreted as a liquidity grab, where institutions are likely stopping out weak bearish positions before continuing the bullish trend. This is a classic example of "stop hunt" before trend continuation. SIGNAL: BUY SYMBOL: US Tech 100 CFD ENTRY PRICE: $22,500.0 STOP LOSS: $22,480.0 (Below the recent minor pullback on the 15-minute chart) TARGET PRICE: $22,600.0 (Just below the recent highs to ensure liquidity for exit) CONDITION: Buy limit order at $22,500.0 following a confirmed bullish reaction off the $22,500.0 level on the 15-minute chart RATIONALE: Market Structure: Consistent higher highs and lows across all timeframes. Order Flow: Institutional buying evident from large bullish candles. Liquidity Behavior: Recent pullbacks likely represent liquidity grabs. Pressure Analysis: Strong bullish candles indicate institutional pressure. Strategies Used: Liquidity grab and continuation, intraday accumulation. URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (Based on the clear bullish structure and institutional buying signs) **RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$20.00, Reward=$100.00, Ratio=1:5.0 Risk = $22,500.0 - $22,480.0 = $20.0 Reward = $22,600.0 - $22,500.0 = $100.0 Ratio = $100.0 / $20.0 = 5.0
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDLong
by Mistermoriarty
S&P 500 hits fresh records: Levels to watchBreaking its February peak, the S&P 500 has joined the Nasdaq 100 in hitting a new record high this week. The latest gains came on the back of a sharp de-escalation in the Middle East and mounting pressure on the Fed to cut rates. They question is whether it will kick on from here or we go back lower given that trade uncertainty is still unresolved. Indeed, there’s the upcoming 9 July deadline, when the current reciprocal tariff truce is due to expire. Unless it’s extended—or replaced by something more concrete—we could be in for another wave of trade tensions. It is also worth remembering the ever-looming US fiscal showdown. Trump’s much-touted spending bill—nicknamed the “One Big Beautiful Bill”—is targeting a Senate vote by the 4th of July. If passed, it could reignite concerns about ballooning deficits and inflationary pressure. Anyway, from a purely technical analysis point of view, the path of least resistance continues to remain to the upside. Thus, we will concentrate on dip buying strategy than looking for a potential top - until markets make lower lows and lower highs again. With that in mind, some of the key support levels to watch include the following: 6069 - the mid-June high, which may now turn into support on a potential re-test from above 6000 - this marks the launch pad of the latest rally and marks the 21-day exponential average 5908 - this week's low, now the line in the sand. It wouldn’t make sense for the market to go below this level if the trend is still bullish. Meanwhile, on the upside: 6169 is the first target, marking the 161.8% Fib extension of the most recent downswing 6200 is the next logical upside target given that this is the next round handle above February’s peak of 6148 By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
US Tech 100 CFD broke the Resistance level 22,365.0 range👀Possible scenario: U.S. stock futures climbed on June 27, with the S\&P 500 and Nasdaq nearing record highs as investors awaited May’s PCE inflation report — the Fed’s preferred gauge — due at 8:30 a.m. ET. Rate cut expectations grew following reports that President Trump may replace Fed Chair Powell by fall. The odds of a July rate cut rose to 20.7%, up from 14.5% last week. Soft GDP growth, rising jobless claims, and a rare earth trade agreement with China added to the dovish outlook. Also due June 27 final June consumer sentiment data and remarks from several Fed officials. ✅Support and Resistance Levels Support level is now located at 21,360.0 Now, the resistance level is located at 22,570.0
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFD
by MaxOnMarkets