Market indices
$RUSSEL: Completion of Cup and Handle formation or higher?The small cap index $RUSSEL has had a good past couple of months and has bounced back from its lows. We visited the small cap index on May 1st when we identified the trend reversal. The $RUSSEL was in the recovery mode after the Liberation Day capitulation.
IG:RUSSELL in a bounce back mode. But upside is capped @ 2400 for IG:RUSSELL by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
This cup and handle pattern is still on hold, and I also predicted that the upside is capped @ 2400. Currently the $RUSSEL is @ 2222.
So how much upside can we expect from here with TVC:DXY making new lows? My assumption is that $RUSSEL will fail to break above 2400, and the handle part will not break out of the reverse neckline. So, the upside in the small caps is capped @ 2400 which seems to be a major resistance indicating a 9% upside from here.
Verdict : $RUSSEL Cup and handle pattern nearing completion. 2400 is the upper resistance. Still some more room to run.
BANK NIFTY -1D - BEARISH EXPECTINGChart Insights : Day Chart
Index Trading at 56800 on 15-Jul-2025
Observed RSI Divergence on Bank Nifty 1 Day Chart.
- Bearish RSI Divergence: While Bank Nifty has been making higher highs, the RSI hasn’t followed suit. This disconnect suggests buyers are losing steam.
- Rising Wedge Pattern: The index is trading within a rising wedge—a bearish formation that often precedes a pullback. Breaking Rising Wedge would confirm the same.
Lets wait and see
Water point of view, the dollar needs a small shock rise after fWater point of view, the dollar needs a small shock rise after falling too much, slow down and continue to fall............
It was pulled up to the upper boundary before, and the decline was smooth and fast. What should I do if the decline is too fast? Slow down
Continue to see the decline, the trillion-dollar debt of the United States is a big pit, depreciation will prolong life
Major LowI'm buying puts expiring on October 31st, All Hallow's Eve.
I'll give price room to keep melting up to 666 at the farthest, that is my stop level. If we breach that price, then just know that tech is unstoppable and Artificial Intelligence is the Mark of the Beast.
If the market doesn't drop here, then the sky is the limit.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 15th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 15th:
There have been no major changes in the global market; it continues to maintain a moderately bearish sentiment, and our local market is also reflecting the same tone. Today, Gift Nifty is indicating a neutral to slightly gap-up start.
So, what can we expect today?
Current View:
Structurally, we are still in a minor downtrend. So, if the market fails to sustain the neutral start, we can expect a minor correction in the initial stage.
if the correction comes with a solid structure or the price consolidates around the immediate support, then the correction is likely to continue.
On the other hand, if the correction reaches the support with gradual moves, then the support may hold, and we can expect a minor pullback with a bearish bias.
Alternate View:
If the market takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum of 38% to 50% retracement on the upside. However, since we are still in a downtrend, once the pullback starts correcting again, we may expect a range-bound market or further correction, similar to what we saw in the last session.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 15th:Current View:
Structurally, we are still in a minor downtrend. So, if the market fails to sustain the neutral start, we can expect a minor correction in the initial stage.
if the correction comes with a solid structure or the price consolidates around the immediate support, then the correction is likely to continue.
On the other hand, if the correction reaches the support with gradual moves, then the support may hold, and we can expect a minor pullback with a bearish bias.
Alternate View:
If the market takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum of 38% to 50% retracement on the upside. However, since we are still in a downtrend, once the pullback starts correcting again, we may expect a range-bound market or further correction, similar to what we saw in the last session.
#SENSEX Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/07/2025Sensex is likely to kick off the session with a gap-up opening around the 82500 level, reflecting early bullish momentum. If this initial strength holds and the index begins to build above the 82600–82650 zone, it could signal the start of a recovery leg toward higher resistance levels at 82800, 82900, and potentially 83000+. Sustained action above 82650 may encourage momentum traders to chase strength during the day.
However, the 82500–82650 range will act as a battleground. Failure to defend this zone could invite selling pressure. A breakdown below 82500 may expose the index to intraday weakness, opening downside targets at 82200, 82100, and even 82050. In this case, expect volatility to increase near support levels.
Traders should approach with a flexible strategy—watching for breakout confirmation above 82650 or signs of reversal pressure below 82500. Today’s early range could set the tone for the entire session.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today near the 25050–25100 zone. If the index sustains above this level after the opening, bullish momentum could follow with potential upside targets of 25150, 25200, and 25250+. This zone will act as the key intraday support-turned-demand area.
However, if Nifty struggles to hold above 25200–25250 and shows signs of reversal from this zone, we might witness selling pressure. A rejection from this region could lead to a pullback toward 25150, 25100, and 25050 levels.
On the downside, a breakdown below 24950 will signal further weakness. If that level is breached decisively, it can lead to sharp downside movements toward 24850, 24800, and even 24750. This would indicate a reversal of early bullish sentiment.
Today’s session could remain volatile around key levels. It’s advisable to watch price action around the 25050–25250 range for intraday confirmation before taking directional trades.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(15/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 56950 zone. If the index sustains below the 56900–56950 resistance range after the initial up-move, it could face selling pressure. A downside move from this level may trigger a correction toward the 56750, 56650, and 56550 zones. This level becomes a key intraday resistance.
On the downside, a breakdown below the 56650 level could intensify selling, leading to further downside targets of 56250, 56150, and 56050. This zone must be monitored closely as it holds short-term support strength. A decisive move below 56650 will shift sentiment bearish for the session.
On the other hand, a breakout and sustained move above 57100 could attract bullish momentum and may lead to upside targets of 57250, 57350, and even 57450+. Price action around the 57000–57100 mark will be crucial to determine any bullish continuation.
Overall, today's session is expected to open strong but watch for follow-through near the key zones. Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation around 56900–57100 for direction clarity.
US500 evening analysisMy primary count of bullish price action since 7 April 2025 low sees regular flat (regular flat A, zigzag B, impulse C), impulse C with ending diagonal 5 of (5).
Median line (red line) of pitchfork was never tagged, implies price action eventually returning to origin (5098.6).
Ending diagonal invalid above 6307.2, bears with high reward, low risk opportunity.
Dollar holds steady uptrend despite Trump’s tariff threats.
President Trump announced a 30% tariff on imports from both the EU and Mexico, a hike from the 20% previously imposed on the EU in April. He also warned that if no agreement is reached on the Ukraine war within 50 days, countries trading with Russia could face a 100% tariff.
Meanwhile, market volatility is being amplified by speculation over Fed Chair Powell’s potential dismissal, as attacks against him intensify from Trump and his allies. Deutsche Bank warned that Powell’s removal could trigger sharp swings in both the dollar and bond markets.
DXY has extended its two-week rally after testing the recent low, approaching the 98.00 threshold. The index remains within the ascending channel, indicating the potential continuation of bullish momentum. If DXY breaches above the resistance at 98.25, the index could gain upward momentum toward 98.60. Conversely, if DXY breaks below the support at 97.60, the index may retreat to 97.00.
Bullish rise?GER40 has reacted off the support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,135.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 23,928.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 24,624.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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DOW (DJI) -- Preparing For The Next Big Move?Hello Traders!
The chart of the DOW is really quite incredible... Recently price formed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which led to a nice nearly to the all time high. Furthermore price looks to be consolidating in a Bullish Pennant just below the all time high resistance level.
The reason the Pennant below resistance is so significant is because this signals that investors are likely preparing to drive price higher to new highs. Think about it like a fighter resting before the next big fight.
Triple Top: In addition to the pennant price has now hit this resistance level for the 3rd time. The more times price hits a level typically the weaker it gets. After the 3rd hit the chance of a breakout increases dramatically.
In Summary: The "Triple Top" in conjunction with the "Bullish Pennant" means that there is undoubtedly a very high probability that price will breakout and make new all time highs.
This post is primarily meant to be educational vs a trade idea. Its charts like this that invigorate my technical analysis side and I hope it does for you as well.
Best of luck on your trading journey!
Bullish bounce off pullback resistance?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 44,312.73
1st Support: 44,212.79
1st Resistance: 44,554.09
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