Trading spx with ict conceptsTook my trade after i saw a rejection from the 8:30 open and on the 1min we had a change of character and a 1 min fvg being respected.15:18by AFXTrades0
DXY to 80? ...Tariffs the First Domino in a Multi-Year Collapse?This is a pure technical walkthrough of the U.S. Dollar Index—no fluff, no indicators, no fundamentals. Just market structure, smart money, and liquidity concepts. Back on January 14th , I posted about a potential 20%+ drop in the DXY — you can view it here . This video builds on that thesis and walks you through the full technical story from 1986 to today , including accumulation cycles, yearly trap zones, and my long-term target of 80. Am I crazy? Maybe. Let's see if I can convince you to be crazy too 😜 There is a video breakdown above, and a written breakdown below. Here are timestamps if you want to jump around the video: 00:00 – The Case for $80: Not as Crazy as It Sounds 02:30 – The 0.786 Curse: Why the Dollar Keeps Faking Out 06:15 – How Smart Money Really Moves: The 4-Phase Playbook 12:30 – The Trap Is Set: Yearly Highs as Liquidity Bait 20:00 – Inside the Mind of the Market: 2010–2025 Unpacked 25:00 – The Bear Channel No One’s Talking About 36:00 – The First Domino: Is the Dollar’s Slide Just Beginning? 👇 If you're a visual learner, scroll down—each chart tells part of the story. Chart: Monthly View – Three Highs, .786 Retraces, and Trendline Breaks History doesn’t repeat, but it sure rhymes. Each major DXY rally has formed a sequence of three swing highs right after a break of trendline structure. In both instances, price retraced to the .786 level on the yearly closes—an often overlooked fib level that institutional players respect. We’re now sitting at a high again. You’ll notice price has already reversed from that zone. That doesn’t guarantee a collapse, but when we line it up with other confluences (next charts), the probability of a deeper markdown becomes hard to ignore. I'd also like to note that all of the highlighted moves, are 2-3 year trend runs. Which means if we are bearish, this could be the exact start of a 2-3 bear market. Market Phases Since 1986 This chart illustrates how DXY has moved through repeating cycles of: 🟡 Accumulation: Smart money building positions quietly. 🔵 Markup: Price accelerates with buy orders + media hype. 🟣 Distribution: Smart money sells to latecomers. 🔴 Markdown: Public panic → smart money reloads. If we are indeed entering another markdown phase, this would align perfectly with the pattern seen over the past 40 years. You’ll also notice the "Point of Control" (POC) zones—volume-based magnets that price often returns to. These spots often act as the origin of the move, and as such, they make for strong targets and areas of interest. Liquidity Zones and Stop Loss Traps This is where it gets juicy. The majority of breakout traders placed long entries at the blue lines—above swing highs, thinking resistance was broken. But what’s under those highs? Stop loss clusters. Institutions use these areas as liquidity harvests. Several key levels are marked as “OPEN” in this chart, meaning price has yet to return to sweep those orders. That’s why I’m expecting price to begin seeking out that liquidity over the coming months. There's also an imbalance gap (thin price action) around the 85–86 zone. If price falls into that trap door, there’s nothing to stop it until the 80s. The 2025 Outlook Here’s how I’m approaching this year: ✅ Bearish bias under 105 🎯 Targets at 100, 95, and 90 🚪 Trap door under 86 if volume is thin Price is currently stuck under the recent point of control and showing signs of distribution. If that level continues to hold as resistance, we could see a multi-leg push downward, with the 100 and 95 zones acting as check-in points. If we break under the 90s and enter the imbalance zone, 80 becomes more than just possible—it becomes probable. 🗣️ Let’s Sharpen Together Do you see this unfolding the same way? Do you disagree with the 80 target? Drop a comment with your view or share your own markup—this is why we trade! Stay safe, ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinions. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade money you can’t afford to lose. 39:48by elevatedinvestor2
Still below 23400 ! As per our plan every rise is being sold till it sustained above 23400 hence we will stand by our analysis of selling the rise and unless it sustains itself above 23400 the trend will not be changed so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.by Wealthcam2
The Trade War Strikes Back: Market Reeling from Trump’s Tariff MThe markets are not taking Trump’s new round of tariffs lightly. As the S&P 500 dips sharply, investors are reacting to the growing tension between the U.S. and China over trade policy. The new tariffs have ignited fears of a prolonged trade war, sending shockwaves through tech-heavy sectors and dragging major names like NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:AAPL , and NASDAQ:AMZN deep into the red. 📉 What we're seeing: SP500 is breaking recent support with heavy volume. Tech sector is leading the sell-off, especially chipmakers and global exporters. Uncertainty is pushing investors toward safety, further increasing volatility. 🧠 Key takeaway: This is more than a dip—it’s policy risk priced in real time. Until there's clarity, traders should prepare for more erratic moves. Short-term sentiment has clearly flipped bearish. 💬 Are you buying the fear or staying out of the storm?by SmartSignalss3
SPX bottoming- Next Legup going to get ParabolicThe SPX has completed its correction within a falling wedge pattern and is now poised for a breakout and a parabolic move, with expectations of reaching new highs moving forward.Longby coding_thoughts3
US30 - LongAfter yesterday's news, price has now dumped and retesting lows from a few weeks ago. We will wait to see if buyers can come back in the market and push price back up to fill the gap.Longby ApexAlgoTradingUpdated 2
Opening (IRA): SPX May 16th 5130/5160/5850/5880 Iron Condor... for a 10.20 credit. Comments: High IVR/IV >21. Hesitant to add more long delta here, so going delta neutral in SPX and structuring the trade such that I receive one-third the width of the wings (30) in credit. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 19.80 Max Profit: 10.20 ROC at Max: 51.52% 50% Max: 5.10 ROC at 50% Max: 25.8% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, rolling down oppositional side on side test, but won't hesitate to take profit quickly if IV crushes in dramatically post "Liberation Day."by NaughtyPinesUpdated 0
Be careful of the bottom callers todayto me this bounce is part of a B wave and a last leg down should complete tomorrow. 10:34by rsitrades1
Aggressive 0 DTE PUT spreadPlaying the bounce / recovery on a big drop for SPX today, short term 0 DTE. -5400 +5395 15% gain in premium Longby leongaban110
NYA THE ONLY BULLISH WAVE COUNT 4th WAVE TRIANGLE on NEWSThe chart posted is that of the NYSE NYA this is the only Elliot wave Structure that is BULLISH I have now moved into calls in the SPY 540 and QQQ calls 450 dec 2026 . This is a HIGH RISK TRADE BUT I AM WILLING TO TAKE A 25 % position the sp cash was at 5415and qqq were at BEST at 452 put call above 1 and vix above 28.5 the fear greed was at 9 best of trades WAVETIMER by wavetimer112
S&P 30m 50day SMA chart predictorUsing this simple 50sma on a 30min chart one can see when to go long or short trading Bove or below that line respectively. I Learned from Trader Brian Jones on twitter. He’s a beast!!!by getyler550
S&P500 - Downtrend - Support Level 5259Based on my chart, SP:SPX showing downtrend with a Strong Support Level of 5259. If it fails to hold this level, I won't be surprised to see SP:SPX at 4759. Considering the factors Technical (Indicators showing bearish trend) & Fundamental (Tariffs, earnings, Fed's negative data etc.) Shortby rockingtoor2
My Opinion About Small Account 9-5These points come from my heart, I sometimes get overwhelmed by not having money and come with such stress to the markets and end up losing, not focusing on what is clear to see because I would be already overwhelmed. I hope we find some healing and pray for patience, things will be ok soon.Long19:52by TheDemoTrader_SA0
DXYDXY will initially move slightly bullish before returning to its correct bearish directionShortby professionalgoldtraderUpdated 3
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels. First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here. However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesn’t hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it. Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, there’s a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel. This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXYShortby professionalgoldtraderUpdated 8
nas100 tariffsbearish level 1 selling momentum tarrifs use proper risk managementShortby JOURNEY_OF-A_TRADER_8883
Trade war impact on Nasdaq 100Trade wars are escalating, and this time the United States is in conflict with nearly every major economy. In this video, I explain why this shift could have a massive impact on global markets and what it means for traders right now. I walk through the historical parallels from 95 years ago, when similar tariffs deepened the Great Depression and led to an 80 percent drop in the Dow Jones. A decade later, World War II followed. While no one wants to see that repeated, economic tension is clearly building. We take a closer look at the Nasdaq 100, which is now trading below its 200-day moving average. I explain why the technical setup suggests further downside and how traders might look to short into rallies rather than chase the current move. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such informationShort03:47by ThinkMarkets4
4 April Nifty50 important level & trading zone #Nifty50 99% working trading plan 👆Gap up open 23273 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 23332, 23393 👆Gap up open 23273 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23192, 23113 👆Gap down open 23192 above 15m hold after positive trade target 23273, 23332 👆Gap down open 23192 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23113, 23063 💫big gapdown open 23113 above hold 1st positive trade view 💫big Gapup opening 23332 below nigetive trade view 📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade More education following me by mayuraj_8202223
Trade War PerspectiveSure, tune in to your favorite youtube finance doomer or the news, and it will sound like the end of the world has arrived. I personally feel like this tariff crisis is cover to air out all the dirty laundry that's been hidden the last few years. The AI bubble, the stimmy repayment, the imaginary gold, the "forgot how to grow economy" (credit that last one to Eurodollar University), etc etc. Take a look at this chart. If this is "the end" we have BARELY begun the descent. These types of corrections happen routinely. The point is, don't panic. STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY and don't get emotional. Good luck out there. Don't get flushed down the tariff toilet.by MonsterStockPicks4
DXY Chart SummaryEh bro, this chart showing two roads for Dollar Index lah. If price can break above that 100 level ah, then maybe will fly up to 92-94 area (last resistance zone). But if kena reject at 100, then jialat, price can drop back down to 110 area again. So now hor, this green box is the decision point — break or reject. Wait for clear move first, don’t simply jump in." by Greenfireforex2
Strong Buying Zone with Confident The Green 4h Zone Acts as Strong Buying Zone. The Blue Zone POC/IC (Point Of Interest or Institutional Candle) is weak Support now since it been tested before. The Fresh Zone is the Green 4h which acts as Decent Support Zone. We have two Scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly Within Green Buying Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of green Buying Zone. Both indicate Buyers Stepping in strongly. Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF. Regards, Take care.by FaisalzorUpdated 1
Exit while you canThere will most likely be a market halt some time this week and next week. Watch out. Cash is king!Shortby cannukville1
3/4/25 Trump Reciprocal Tariffs Yesterday's candlestick opened lower but reversed to close as a big bull bar in its upper half with a prominent tail above. However, the market traded significantly lower after the market closed. The market will open lower than the March 13 low today. Again, the bulls hope buyers are below the gap down, similar to March 31st and yesterday April 2nd. They want any follow-through selling to be limited, and the market to trade up after that. The bears hope to get follow-through selling after a brief pullback. They want the market to close near its low. Usually, when the market is opening significantly lower, which means that there are a lot of sell orders at the open. The market makers have to quote a price they are willing to buy for the stocks that they are trading. Usually, that price is near the day's low. So, at the open, if you are buying stocks that are gapping down, you are buying with the market maker. After the market opens, if there is no fresh selling, the market may then slowly float up, letting the market maker slowly clear off their position (remember, they bought at the open, buying when everyone has put an order to sell at the open). However, if there is fresh selling, the market then may continue to sell off after a brief pullback. If this is the case, then it can be a bearish day. The reason is that the market maker has been caught long at the open, and the fresh selling continues to push prices past their entry. The next price they would want to buy would be much lower. So if there are fresh large selling orders in the respective stocks after the market opens, the market makers would bid a lot lower so that they are not run over by a freight train. For today, traders will see if buyers will buy the gap down open like they did on March 31st and April 2nd. Or will the market form a brief pullback, and then continue to selloff into the close? If this is the case, the market may not be in a good place moving forward. by Tech_Trader880