DXY going downDXY is ready for a leg down, after bear div and topping within projected time on Daily. On 4H it's building up to a nice #SBS shape, where we can expect a move down. 4H time projection says downwards into start of, or mid, February.
Market indices
Dow Jones INTRADAY bearish below 42375Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42375
Resistance Level 2: 42846
Resistance Level 3: 43288
Support Level 1: 40560
Support Level 2: 40000
Support Level 3: 39637
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P INTRADAY bearish below 5636President Donald Trump imposed the highest U.S. tariffs in a century, aiming to reshape the global economy. This move triggered threats of retaliation and a sharp market selloff worldwide. Stock markets reacted quickly and negatively. U.S. equity futures dropped as investors worried about corporate earnings. European and Asian stocks also declined. The dollar fell to a five-month low, while investors sought safety in Treasury bonds, and the yen strengthened.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5636
Resistance Level 2: 5713
Resistance Level 3: 5790
Support Level 1: 5413
Support Level 2: 5262
Support Level 3: 5200
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NQ: An ongoing storm after tariffs came into effect!Good day!
Finally tariffs are on! A response from worldwide is imminently expected.
NQ and all US equities, US dollar and Bonds and anything from US are in a free fall!
A definition of a self-inflicted destruction!
Anyhow...Today's plan: A shy bounce (23.6 Fib) during Asian session. Price created a bearish flag that is already broken. A retest around 38.2 fib (19115) is possible if Service data is inline.
Otherwise, price will continue the down move.
DXY just broke below the 1W MA200 after 6 months!The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) broke today below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since the week of September 30 2024). By doing so, it has almost hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up.
The last contact with the 1W MA200 initiated a massive Bullish Leg two weeks after, so it would be an encouraging development if the candle holds here or better yet even close above the 1W MA200.
If it does, we expect a new strong Bullish Leg to start, targeting initially at least the 0.786 horizontal (blue) Fibonacci level at 108.000.
If not, the 2-year Support Zone is the last defense, with 99.600 as its lowest level (the July 10 2023 Low). Below that, a multi-year downtrend for DXY awaits.
Notice however, the incredible 1W RSI symmetry between selling sequences. Since January 2023, we've had two -54.50% declines. Right now, the current decline since January 2025 is exactly at -54.50%. If DXY rebounds here, it will confirm this amazing symmetry.
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DAX The technical analysis of the DAX suggests a bearish pressure that, if confirmed, could push the market toward the target of 19,828 points. Here are some aspects to consider:
Support and Resistance Levels:
The target of 19,828 might represent an important psychological or technical support level.
If the price falls below intermediate support levels, the bearish objective becomes more plausible.
Patterns and Formations:
The formation of bearish patterns (such as an inverted head and shoulders or a prolonged decline in highs) reinforces the idea of a continuing downtrend.
Volume and Indicator Convergence:
An increase in volume during the downtrend confirms the sellers' interest.
help determine whether the bearish momentum is running out or if there is room for further corrections.
Risk Management:
It is essential to set appropriate stop losses to protect against sudden reversals.
Monitoring price action around key levels can provide useful signals to adjust the strategy.
In summary, if the intermediate supports do not hold and selling pressure continues, the DAX could indeed move toward the target of 19,828 points. However, as always, it is important to remain vigilant and use proper risk management.
dxy is going to bearsh this weekThe H4 Timeframe is bearish because now it is creating Lowerlow and Lowerhigh
Nifty Vs EM & ACWIComparision of Nifty price performance with emerging markets & All country world index
4-hr SMI20: 300 points Drop on The RadarThe Swiss stock market index is mirroring its global counterparts, such as Germany 40 and US100, experiencing a sharp decline following the announcement of new tariffs by the Trump administration yesterday.
In response, we placed a sell order at 12,350, aiming to profit from the prevailing risk-off sentiment. Investors are offloading stocks, shifting towards safe-haven assets due to increasing market uncertainty.
From a technical standpoint, a death cross has emerged—historically a strong bearish signal. Additionally, two consecutive Fibonacci retracement levels, which typically provide solid support, have failed to hold. Given this, we anticipate further downside toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which often serves as final support.
Therefore, our take-profit (TP) is set at 12,000, aligning with this level. For risk management, we have a stop-loss (SL) positioned 2% above our entry price, ensuring a controlled risk-reward ratio.
With fundamentals and technicals aligned, we expect continued downward momentum in the Swiss stock market index in the short to mid-term.
1-week US30: Could the Dow Jones Drop another 2000 PointsWe’re analyzing the weekly chart to grasp the broader market trend. Over the past three years, the US30 index has surged by 17,000 points, often resembling a nearly straight upward trajectory. However, multiple technical and fundamental factors now suggest a potential downward correction.
From a fundamental standpoint, increasing tariffs imposed by the U.S. administration are fueling investor uncertainty, prompting a market sell-off. The prevailing risk-off sentiment is pushing investors away from stocks and into traditional safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen and Gold.
From a technical perspective, the US30 has formed a double top pattern, a classic bearish signal. Additionally, the 23% Fibonacci retracement level, which initially acted as support, has failed, with prices now breaking below.
Given this setup, we are initiating a direct sell order at 41,000, with a stop-loss (SL) 2% above this level. Our take-profit (TP) target is set at 39,000, aligning with the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, which historically serves as strong support.
This strategic positioning reflects the heightened volatility and the likelihood of a further market decline in the short to mid-term.
SP500, DowJones & Nasdaq Daily Trade SetupsIn this update we review the recent price action in the SP500, DowJones & Nasdaq and identify the next high-probability trade setups and price targets. To review today's video analysis, click here!
DeGRAM | DXY dollar in the turbulence zoneDXY is in a descending channel under the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel.
After breaking the trend line, the chart went sharply lower amid the announcement of trade duties, after which it formed a gap.
On the main timeframes indicators have gone into the oversold zone.
We expect that the index will seek to close the gap after testing the lower boundary of the channel.
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DAX bearish. Expecting 10% declineBased on trends, EW, volume, RSI it seems realistic to have DAX declining by 10% from here before finalizing the uptrend starting end of May.
Nifty levels - Apr 04, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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NIFTY 50 NIFTY 50 INDEX
- Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves
- Break of Structure
- S / R Level
- Change of Characteristics
- Fibonacci Level - 38.20% / 50.00%
BankNifty levels - Apr 04, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nasdaq Short: wave 3 of 3Hi all, as I am super busy with work, I will only be posting this as reference. All the equity markets should be going into wave 3 of 3 also. Stop above wave 2 of 3 high.
Sorry for not responding for the rest of the week.
Good luck!
DAX40 INTRADAY corrective pullback capped at 22144The DAX 40 remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action suggesting an oversold bounce rather than a structural reversal.
Key Levels & Scenarios
Resistance: 22144 (previous intraday consolidation zone)
A bearish rejection from this level could resume downside momentum.
Support targets: 21544, followed by 21300 and 21000 over a longer timeframe.
Bullish Breakout Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 22144 with a daily close above this level would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Upside targets: 22385 (next resistance), followed by 22685.
Indicators & Market Sentiment
RSI suggests the market was oversold, leading to the current bounce.
Volume analysis indicates weak bullish momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias unless 22144 is breached.
Conclusion
The prevailing bearish trend remains intact unless DAX 40 breaks and holds above 22144. Traders should watch for bearish rejection at this level for downside continuation or a daily close above 22144 for a shift to bullish momentum.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical Outlook
NAS100 is currently in a corrective phase, trading at $18,900, with bearish momentum suggesting a potential move toward the $18,300 support level in the coming week. If this level holds, a rebound could push the index back up toward $20,300, creating a temporary recovery phase.
However, if the price struggles at $20,300 and fails to sustain bullish momentum, it would confirm the formation of a descending channel, reinforcing the broader downtrend. In this scenario, NAS100 could extend its decline toward $16,100, where the price may find support.
Key structural levels to watch:
Support Levels: $18,300 → $16,100 → $14,600 (Major support from 2021)
Resistance Levels: $20,300 → $16,000 (Resistance from 2023)
If the index reaches $16,100, this could serve as a critical level where a strong reaction may occur, as it aligns with historical price zones and previous sell-off extensions. The $14,600 support from 2021 remains a last defense level, potentially preventing deeper declines.
Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations at key levels to assess whether the index is setting up for a reversal or further downside continuation.
"DXY/Dollar Index" Bull Money Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.100) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
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📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.500) Scalping/Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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"DXY/Dollar Index" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
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Post-Trump Dump: Bear Bias ValidatedPost-Trump Dump: Bear Bias Validated | SPX Analysis 03 April 2025
Well, we’re officially post-Trump-dump, and the market’s not exactly throwing a parade about it.
Futures have dropped nearly 200 points and are camped out near the lows as I write this. It’s shaping up to be one of those "big gap, big drama" mornings – the kind that rewards patience and punishes panic.
And while every headline’s now spinning a narrative about tariffs, Trump, and trade wars…
Our community was already leaning in the right direction:
Buy the rumour, sell the news. ✔️
No surprise here.
My discretionary override to stay bearish below 5700 is paying off.
No whim. Just discipline.
So, what’s next?
Simple. Stick to the plan.
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Market Cracks, But I’m Not Calling a Collapse
Let’s get this out of the way first:
I don’t think this is the Big One.
No market apocalypse. No Armageddon. No bunker required.
This looks more like a tariff reset than total collapse - a sharp repricing, not a system failure.
But that doesn’t mean there’s no money to be made.
Far from it.
Here’s what I’m doing right now:
Bearish swings are active and in profit below 5700.
Aggressive add-ins under 5500 using:
Pulse bars
10-min Tag ‘n Turn setups
GEX flip has slid to 5640, but I’m still anchored at 5700.
Why? Because a few ticks don’t warrant overcomplicating.
I’ll reassess GEX levels at the open for any spicy shifts.
And importantly…
My bull swing hedge might finally be worth something - giving me room to de-risk last week’s exposure while continuing to profit on the downside.
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🎯 Expert Insights – Don’t Change the Plan for Clickbait
Here’s what most traders get wrong on days like this:
❌ They abandon their bias because of headlines.
❌ They tinker with rules based on GEX micro-movements.
❌ They overreact to volatility instead of letting price confirm action.
What I’ve learned (the hard way, years ago):
✅ Structure matters more than spin.
If you had your levels mapped, this wasn’t a surprise.
✅ Your plan is only as good as your commitment to it.
Today is just another reason why I remain bearish until 5700 breaks.
✅ Reacting emotionally to news is a rookie mistake.
Today’s dump was just a fast-forward to what was already brewing.
🧠 Fun Fact
In 2018, when Trump first tweeted about tariffs, the market dropped over 1,100 points in a single session - then rebounded completely within 3 weeks.
Moral of the story?
Markets overreact. Patterns don’t.
Your job is to follow the pattern – not the press conference.
---
Video & Audio Podcast
On Main Blog
Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
---
p.s.Want to Stay Calm in Market Chaos?
Today proves the value of:
✅ A mechanical strategy
✅ A clear structure
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Understanding Market Downturns: How to Navigate the StormLately, the markets have been in a downtrend, leaving many traders and investors wondering what comes next. Whether it’s stocks, crypto, or other financial assets, downturns are an inevitable part of the game. While they can be unsettling, they also present opportunities—if you know how to navigate them.
Market declines happen for many reasons: economic slowdowns, geopolitical tensions, changes in interest rates, or even shifts in investor sentiment. Regardless of the cause, understanding the different types of market downturns, their impact, and the right strategies to handle them is key to making informed decisions.
So, let’s break down market downturns, how they unfold, and what you can do to stay ahead.
📊 DOWNTURN #1: Down -2% — A Ripple of Volatility
A -2% drop is like a minor speed bump—annoying but not alarming. These small dips are common and often part of natural market fluctuations.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Typically short-lived and often recovers quickly.
• Can be triggered by minor news events, investor sentiment shifts, or profit-taking.
• Provides opportunities to enter positions at a slightly better price.
💡 Strategy:
• If you're a long-term investor, ignore these small movements. They are normal.
• If you're a trader, these dips can be buying opportunities in an uptrend.
________________________________________
🔄 DOWNTURN #2: Down -5% — The Pullback Perspective
A 5% decline is often called a pullback—a temporary market retreat within an ongoing trend.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Pullbacks often occur after strong rallies as the market cools off.
• Typically seen as healthy corrections in an overall uptrend.
• Not necessarily a signal of long-term weakness.
💡 Strategy:
• Long-term investors should hold steady and potentially add to positions.
• Swing traders may look for a bounce at key support levels (moving averages, previous highs/lows).
________________________________________
🛑 DOWNTURN #3: Down -10% — Entering Correction Territory
When a market drops 10% from its recent high, it officially enters correction territory.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Often caused by changes in economic outlook, inflation concerns, or major geopolitical events.
• Moving averages may start crossing downward, signaling caution.
• Momentum shifts, and bearish traders begin to take control.
💡 Strategy:
• If you’re a long-term investor, consider rebalancing your portfolio or hedging with defensive assets.
• Traders may look for short opportunities or play reversals at support levels.
• Be cautious with leverage—downturns can accelerate quickly.
________________________________________
🐻 DOWNTURN #4: Down -20% — The Bear Market Looms
A 20% drop or more marks a bear market, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Confidence is shaken; investors turn risk-averse.
• Defensive sectors (utilities, consumer staples, healthcare) tend to outperform.
• Market psychology shifts from "buying the dip" to "protecting capital."
💡 Strategy:
• Consider defensive positions, hedging strategies, or increasing cash reserves.
• Avoid high-risk assets—stocks with weak fundamentals often fall the hardest.
• If you’re a trader, look for short-selling opportunities or inverse ETFs.
________________________________________
⚠️ DOWNTURN #5: Down -50% — The Market Crash Crisis
A 50% market decline is rare but catastrophic, often fueled by deep economic crises.
Historical Examples:
• 2008 Financial Crisis: Banks collapsed, and global markets fell over 50%.
• Dot-Com Bubble (2000): Tech stocks crashed after unsustainable hype.
• Oil Crisis (1973-74): Economic stagnation and inflation led to severe losses.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Panic selling dominates the market.
• Fear-driven liquidation leads to extreme undervaluation.
• Long-term recovery often follows—but timing is uncertain.
💡 Strategy:
• If you have cash reserves, these moments present once-in-a-decade buying opportunities (but patience is needed).
• Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) can be effective for long-term investors.
• Traders should expect extreme volatility—both to the downside and in sharp relief rallies.
________________________________________
🌧️ DOWNTURN #6: Prolonged Downside — The Economic Depression
Unlike a crash, a depression is a long-term, sustained downturn that deeply affects the economy.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Prolonged recession, lasting years rather than months.
• Unemployment soars, economic activity collapses.
• Investor confidence remains low for an extended period.
Historical Example: The Great Depression (1930s)
• U.S. unemployment hit 25%.
• Stock markets stayed depressed for a decade.
• Industrial production and wages plummeted.
💡 Strategy:
• Preservation of capital is key—cash, gold, and defensive assets become crucial.
• Income-producing investments (dividend stocks, bonds) provide stability.
• Patience is essential; full recovery can take years.
________________________________________
🧭 Conclusion: Navigating Market Downturns Like a Pro
Downturns are an inevitable part of investing and trading. While they can be unsettling, being informed and prepared is the key to staying ahead.
✅ Key Takeaways:
• Minor dips (-2% to -5%) are normal and often present opportunities.
• Corrections (-10%) require caution, but markets usually recover.
• Bear markets (-20%) signal broader economic concerns—risk management is crucial.
• Crashes (-50%) are rare but can create massive buying opportunities for long-term investors.
• Depressions are the most severe and require a long-term, defensive approach.
No matter the downturn, the key is to stay calm, adjust your strategy, and use market cycles to your advantage.
With the right approach, you won’t just survive market downturns—you’ll thrive in the long run. 🚀
BUY NIFTY 23200 CE 9TH APRIL @ 190 - 195 | NIFTY LONG TRADENIFTY 23200 CE 9TH APRIL EXP
NIFTY OPTIONS BUYING TRADE
Hi Traders,
Nifty looks good to buy and currently trading near support levels. We anticipate an upside movement from here and one can consider buying the 23200 CE (Call Option) with a 9TH April 2025 expiry in the price range of 190 - 195.
Target levels: 250, 290
Stop Loss (SL): ₹160
Regards,
OptionsDaddy Research Team
