3 key reasons why the U.S. dollar is losing value📉 According to J.P. Morgan, here are 3 key reasons why the U.S. dollar is losing value:
1️⃣ Oil and energy deals are now being done in other currencies
2️⃣ U.S. banks are excluded from new global payment systems
3️⃣ Countries are reducing their USD reserves
The world is slowly shifting away from dollar dependence...
#USD #DollarDecline #JPMorgan #ForexNews #DeDollarization #OilTrade #CurrencyShift #GlobalEconomy #SmartMoney #FXForever #MarketUpdate #ForexTraders #USDBreakdown #EconomicTrends #GlobalFinance
Market indices
Bullish continuation?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 6,127.80
1st Support: 5,785.00
1st Resistance: 6,428.64
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NASDAQ Potential Bearish Reversal Analysis NASDAQ Potential Bearish Reversal Analysis 🧠🔻
The chart illustrates a potential bearish setup forming after a recent uptrend in NASDAQ. Let's break it down professionally:
🔍 Technical Overview:
Ascending Trendline Break ✅
Price had been respecting a steady ascending trendline.
A break below this trendline indicates a possible momentum shift from bullish to bearish.
Bearish Pattern Formation 🔷
A bearish flag/pennant-like formation can be observed after the sharp rise.
This consolidation followed by a breakdown could be a continuation pattern, hinting at further downside.
Resistance Rejection 🔴
A red arrow marks a clear rejection from the resistance zone near 22,800 USD.
Strong wick rejections and bearish candles suggest selling pressure at that level.
Support Turned Resistance (SUPPOT 🛑)
The previously broken support zone is now acting as resistance (note: "SUPPOT" appears misspelled—should be "SUPPORT").
Bearish Target Zone 🎯
The chart marks a "TAEGET" zone (should be "TARGET") near the 21,900 – 22,000 USD range.
This aligns with prior consolidation and demand zones, making it a likely area for price to retrace.
📌 Key Zones:
Resistance (Rejection Area): 22,800 USD
Current Price: 22,739.7 USD
Bearish Target Zone: 21,900 – 22,000 USD
⚠️ Conclusion:
The market shows signs of a bearish reversal with a confirmed trendline break, resistance rejection, and bearish pattern formation. If the price fails to reclaim the 22,800 level, there’s a high probability of downward continuation toward the 22,000 target.
US100/Analysis *📊 US100 (NAS100) – 4H Analysis & Trade Signal*
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*🔎 Chart Observation:*
- *Current Price:* 22,764
- *Structure:* Market rejected downside strongly with a *Bull Wick* (demand zone reaction).
- *RSI (14):* 60.38
- Momentum is rising again, just under overbought.
- *Bearish divergence* still visible, but price is defending structure.
---
*📌 Key Levels:*
- *Support:* 22,715
- *Resistance:* 22,865 → 23,000
- *Strong Bullish Zone:* 22,720–22,750
---
*📈 Trade Idea: BUY Setup*
- *Entry:* 22,760–22,770
- *SL:* 22,690 (below wick)
- *TP1:* 22,865
- *TP2:* 23,000
- *TP3 (optional):* 23,150 if breakout occurs
---
*🧠 Smart Money View:*
- Likely a *liquidity sweep* below wick zone.
- Demand zone got respected → smart money possibly reloading longs.
- If next candle closes bullish, more confirmation for continuation.
Dow Jones H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Dow Jones 30 (US30) could fall towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 44,437.85 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 43,850.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 45,046.46 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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#Banknifty directions and levels for July 7th: as per the wave theory, the pullback is a three-wave structure, so I'm expecting some consolidation within the range. This is my first variation (current view). On the other hand, if the decline has a solid structure and breaks the immediate support level, we can expect correction continuation. If this happens, then it could be a C or 3rd wave of the correction. This is my alternate view.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 7th:"Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 7th:
Market Overview
Global markets have a bullish sentiment, while our local markets are showing a moderately bearish sentiment. Gift Nifty is indicating a negative start of around 30 points today.
So, what can we expect today?
The higher degrees are showing bullish sentiment; however, the lower degree is showing moderately bearish sentiment. However, both Nifty and Bank Nifty were closed in the mid-range of the swing. Therefore, until breaking either to the upside or downside of the range, we cannot get any clear direction. If it breaks, we can follow that direction.
My expectation is that, as per the wave theory, the pullback is a three-wave structure, so I'm expecting some consolidation within the range. This is my first variation (current view). On the other hand, if the decline has a solid structure and breaks the immediate support level, we can expect correction continuation. If this happens, then it could be a C or 3rd wave of the correction. This is my alternate view."
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/07/2025Nifty is expected to open flat near the 25450–25500 zone, which lies close to an important decision area. If Nifty manages to sustain above the 25550 level, we can expect bullish momentum to resume with upside targets of 25600, 25650, and possibly 25750+. This level marks a potential breakout zone, and holding above it could bring back buyers’ interest.
On the downside, a breakdown below 25450 may trigger fresh selling pressure, leading to downside targets of 25350, 25300, and 25250. The 25450 level has acted as both a support and resistance in recent sessions, making it a key pivot point for intraday direction.
Traders should be patient and wait for a clear breakout or breakdown above or below these levels. Volatility may be witnessed around the opening range, so it's advisable to trade with strict stop losses and manage risk through partial profit booking near targets.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat near the 57000 mark, which coincides with a crucial resistance level. If the index manages to sustain above the 57050–57100 zone, it may trigger bullish momentum, pushing prices toward immediate targets of 57250, 57350, and potentially 57450+. This breakout zone holds significance as it marks a clear shift in sentiment from recent downtrends to potential reversal.
On the downside, if Bank Nifty faces rejection from current levels and slips below the 56900–56950 zone, it may indicate fresh weakness. In such a scenario, we can expect downward movement with targets at 56750, 56650, and 56550. The 56900 level will act as a short-term support, and a breakdown below it may resume the bearish momentum from the past sessions.
Traders should be cautious near the 57000–57050 zone and wait for a clear directional move. Whichever side breaks first, the movement is likely to gain momentum, so manage positions with strict stop losses and partial booking at each target.
US DOLLAR ANALYSIS !!The US Dollar has broken below its ascending channel structure. The Ichimoku Cloud is now serving as a resistance zone, suggesting ongoing bearish pressure. If the retest of the broken pattern holds, further downside movement is likely.
Given the usual inverse relationship between the US Dollar and the cryptocurrency market, this development could carry notable implications for crypto traders.
Stay alert!
ASX200- Swing Trade Plan - SELLThe ASX200 has reached last year's high, and bulls have attempted to push the price higher, and we have seen a failure for demand on the weekly for the last two weekly candles.
Seasonality - Risk off.
Price is reached MM3 pivot.
If support is breached on the hourly -8592 and the hourly candle closes, and the next candle restest this area then the trade plan is to short.
Targeting - WKM1 - 8506.
EGX 30🔍 Technical Analysis Summary:
📍 Sell Entry Point:
Price: 33,196.164
This level represents a potential reversal zone after testing a strong resistance area. Signs of buyer exhaustion suggest a possible downward move.
📍 Stop Loss (SL):
Level: 33,707.466
Positioned above a key resistance zone (highlighted in red). If price breaks above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
📍 Target Levels (Take Profit):
Target 1 (T1): 31,693.736
A well-established support level tested multiple times. A likely bounce zone.
Target 2 (T2): 31,300.428
A deeper support area. This level offers a more extended profit target if bearish momentum continues.
📈 Price Action & Trend Insight:
The recent movement shows a temporary bullish correction, but momentum is fading near the resistance zone between 33,472 – 33,707.
A possible double-top pattern has formed, indicating weakness in buying pressure.
If the price breaks below 32,900, this could trigger accelerated selling toward T1 and T2.
📌 Additional Notes:
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Risk (SL to Entry): ~510 points
Reward to T1: ~1,500 points
Reward to T2: ~1,900 points
This offers a favorable risk/reward setup for short sellers.
✅ Candlestick Behavior:
Reversal candles appear near the resistance area, confirming possible trend exhaustion.
📊 Conclusion:
This setup indicates a high-probability short trade below 33,200, with confirmation needed through price weakness.
A strict stop loss at 33,707 should be maintained to manage risk effectively.
DOLLAR INDEX The dxy is the measure of the united state dollar relative to basket of six majors foreign currencies, it was originally developed by U.S Federal Reserve in 1973 to provide a trade -weighted average value of the dollar against global currencies.
the six currencies are EURO 57%,JPY 13.6%,GBP 11.9%,CAD 9.1% SEK 4.2% CHF 3.6%
The index rises when the dollar strengthens against these currencies and falls when it weakens ,its used to gauge the overall strength of the us dollar in the global market.
US10Y
THE US10Y ,the treasury note yield is the interest rate the U.S government pays to borrow money for 10 years ,it serves as a crucial benchmark for other interest rates and is a key indicator of the investor sentiment about the economy, in context it reflects the return an investor expect for lending money to the U.S. government for a decade .
the interest is paid semi annually at a fixed coupon rate and the yield moves inversely to bond price; when bond price fall the yield rises, and vice versa .
this have a direct effect on borrowing cost across the economy ,including mortgage rates and corporate loans .
when yield is rising investor optimism is high about the economic growth and inflation ,while failing yield indicates economic caution and recession fear and concern
technical interpretation of the monthly chart
the dxy is in buy back position on ascending trendline line ,but price remains below supply roof and if we get monthly retest of broken demand floor we could see price selling off.
trading is 100% probability.
DOLLAR INDEX TRADING CHEACK LIST.
The dxy is the measure of the united state dollar relative to basket of six majors foreign currencies, it was originally developed by U.S Federal Reserve in 1973 to provide a trade -weighted average value of the dollar against global currencies.
the six currencies are EURO 57%,JPY 13.6%,GBP 11.9%,CAD 9.1% SEK 4.2% CHF 3.6%
The index rises when the dollar strengthens against these currencies and falls when it weakens ,its used to gauge the overall strength of the us dollar in the global market.
US10Y
THE US10Y ,the treasury note yield is the interest rate the U.S government pays to borrow money for 10 years ,it serves as a crucial benchmark for other interest rates and is a key indicator of the investor sentiment about the economy, in context it reflects the return an investor expect for lending money to the U.S. government for a decade .
the interest is paid semi annually at a fixed coupon rate and the yield moves inversely to bond price; when bond price fall the yield rises, and vice versa .
this have a direct effect on borrowing cost across the economy ,including mortgage rates and corporate loans .
when yield is rising investor optimism is high about the economic growth and inflation ,while failing yield indicates economic caution and recession fear and concern
technical interpretation of the monthly chart
the dxy is in buy back position on ascending trendline line ,but price remains below supply roof and if we get monthly retest of broken demand floor we could see price selling off.
trading is 100% probability.
NAS100 High-Risk Momentum Play with Potential H&S SetupNAS100 is hovering near all-time highs. While a retest of the weekly trendline remains likely, this idea aims to ride the current bullish momentum. The plan anticipates a short-term pullback to recent lows to potentially form a head and shoulders pattern before a move lower toward the weekly trendline. This is a high-risk setup I’d typically avoid, but the strong bullish weekly close adds some weight. Two entries provided - one with a tighter TP for a quicker reaction.
Tariff and oil volatility converge on July 9 Tuesday, July 9 marks a key deadline for two major market-moving events.
Tuesday is the official deadline for U.S.–EU trade negotiations. While a full deal is off the table, the EU hopes to secure a last-minute "agreement in principle" to avoid a threatened 50% U.S. tariff on some European exports.
President Trump’s history of moving deadlines adds uncertainty. Traders might like to watch for sharp intraday moves in EUR/USD and European equities tied to tariff risk.
OPEC’s International Seminar also kicks off on the 9th in Vienna. Energy ministers and CEOs from BP, Shell, and others will speak on oil supply, investment, and long-term strategy.
Crude has been volatile in July, and any signs of supply shifts or policy changes could drive WTI and Brent in either direction.
Little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD went higher then expected (wavecount updated).
If this is correct, then next week we could see a little more upside for this pair.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for price come into the Daily bullish FVG's to trade longs again. At the moment price is too high to trade.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave