Nifty Analysis EOD – August 4, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 4, 2025 – Monday 🔴
A Monday full of mind games.
Nifty opened with a slight positive gap and immediately tested the TC of CPR, but that optimism didn’t last long — sharp rejection took it to day’s low (24,554). What followed was a rollercoaster: a 100-point recovery, a 50-point pullback — all within 10 minutes. This wild price action defined the rest of the day.
Throughout the session, Nifty remained trapped within the CPR zone. Both sides experienced multiple fakeouts, especially around initial balance (IB) zones. Even when prices nudged toward R1, repeated failed attempts to break above reflected the market’s indecisiveness. The day finally closed near the high, but conviction was still lacking.
Many option buyers likely struggled due to deceptive shadows and unexpected fractal breakouts. The entire price action stayed within Friday’s range — forming an Inside Bar structure on the daily chart. This suggests a potential range breakout trade tomorrow.
The market faced resistance near the Fibonacci 0.618–0.786 retracement of the prior fall — aligning with 24,740–24,780 zones. A close above 24,780 tomorrow could shift momentum back in the bulls’ favour. If not, bears still hold the upper ground.
📈 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📊 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,596.05
High: 24,736.25
Low: 24,554.00
Close: 24,722.75
Change: +157.40 (+0.64%)
Candle Type:
🟢 Bullish Marubozu-like — reflects a strong control by buyers after early weakness.
Structure Breakdown:
Real Body: 126.70 pts (Bullish)
Upper Wick: 13.50 pts (Minor resistance near close)
Lower Wick: 42.05 pts (Early dip got bought aggressively)
Key Insight:
Closed near the high of the day — positive bias for tomorrow
Inside Bar formed – Expect a breakout trade
24,780+ closing will turn sentiment bullish
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 209.36
IB Range: 115.95 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Summary:
🕚 11:30 AM – Long Entry → SL Hit
🕛 12:30 PM – Long Entry → SL Hit
🕐 13:10 PM – Short Entry → SL Hit
Tough day — strategy got chopped in noise-heavy moves.
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,780 ~ 24,795
24,860 ~ 24,880
Support Zones:
24,675 ~ 24,660
24,620
24,542 ~ 24,535
24,500
24,470 ~ 24,460
💭 Final Thoughts
"Markets love to test your patience before they reward your conviction."
Today was a lesson in restraint — avoid overtrading when structure lacks clarity. Inside bar gives us a clean slate for tomorrow. Let price lead.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Market indices
S&P 500 ETF & Index– Technicals Hint at a Possible Correction📉📊 S&P 500 ETF & Index at Resistance – Technicals Hint at a Possible Correction 🔍⚠️
Everything here is pure technicals— but sometimes, the market whispers loud and clear if you know how to listen. 🧠📐
The VOO ETF, which tracks the S&P 500 , has now reached the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, once again brushing against resistance near 590.85. This zone has consistently led to major pullbacks in the past.
On the right panel, the US500 Index mirrors this move—pushing toward all-time highs, right as broader sentiment turns euphoric. Technically, both charts are overextended and pressing into key zones.
👀 Potential Path:
🔻 Rejection from current zone ➝ Down toward 526.17, then 465.72 (green support channel)
🔁 Possible bounce after correction — trend still intact long term
And while we’re keeping it technical, it’s worth noting that the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) i s currently screaming “overvaluation.” This doesn't predict timing—but it adds macro context to an already overheated chart setup.
The lesson? Price respects structure. Whether or not the fundamentals are in agreement, the charts are warning that now may not be the time to chase.
History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. Stay sharp, stay technical. 🎯
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
ps. the beauty of these levels? Tight Stop loss- excellent R/R
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
DAX: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 23,755.89 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 23,976.72.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
$XLV vs $SPY at multi year low. Is more downside expected? In this space we talk a lot about the market outperformance and how this has resulted in indexes at ATH. The SP:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX and their corresponding ETFs: NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY have also made ATHs. But if peel under the surface we can observe that very few sectors have consistently outperformed the S&P 500. The Technology sector represented by AMEX:XLK has consistently outperformed the $SPY. The $XLK/ AMEX:SPY is in a upward channel depicted by the purple line. The SPDR select sector Technology sector has consistently increased its weightage on AMEX:SPY and the ratio $XLK/ AMEX:SPY is currently at 0.41 which is an ATH.
But the same cannot be told about the SPDR Healthcare Sector. The ratio between $XLV/ AMEX:SPY is making multi year low. With the ratio currently at 0.21 it is approaching its multi-year lows of 0.1975. The ratio was so low last in Sept 2000. Hence the question comes what should we expect the AMEX:XLV which is making new lows against the AMEX:SPY ? Will we visit the lows of 0.1975? If it happens then can we expect a upward momentum from his double bottom situation?
In my estimate in this bull market and Tech sector outperforming the AMEX:XLV will make new lows vs AMEX:SPY and the ratio will revisit the 2000 lows. But if on the macro front we have weak jobs numbers and recession risk rising then the AMEX:XLV can in fact draw inflows and outperform the index. Hence my estimate $XLV/ AMEX:SPY will sweep the multi-year low and then bounce back into 2026.
Verdict: Still more downside possible in $XLK/$SPY. Go long AMEX:XLV when the ratio is @ 0.1975 and into 2026.
DAX Futures Rebound Amid Shifting US Economic SentimentThe DAX futures are showing a more optimistic tone today, shifting from concerns over weak US labor market data—which initially signaled economic trouble—to a more hopeful outlook that this might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates, a move that investors see as positive. This shift in sentiment has provided some reassurance as the new week begins.
Following a brief decline on Friday, the market experienced a rebound today, supported by a weekly demand zone. We’re now watching for a retest of key levels within this zone, which could serve as a potential entry point for long positions, aiming for a continuation of the upward momentum driven by the weekly support area.
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US30 TRADE IDEA 4 AUGUST 2025The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is showing signs of a near-term bearish bias after breaking down from its rising daily channel and rejecting at the 44,700–45,100 supply zone, which coincides with a key former support level now acting as resistance. From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, this zone represents a recent order block where institutional selling pressure originated, making it a high-probability area to look for short entries if price retests with bearish confirmation, such as a daily bearish engulfing candle, a long rejection wick, or a clear lower-high formation. The first major downside target lies around 43,062, aligning with an intermediate demand zone, with an extended target toward 42,500, where deeper demand and prior consolidation converge. Stops should be placed above 45,150 to invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, if price drops into the 42,800–43,000 demand zone and shows strong bullish reversal patterns, there is scope for a tactical countertrend long back toward 44,700–45,100, provided that geopolitical and macro conditions turn supportive. Fundamentally, the market remains caught between optimism over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year and uncertainty stemming from the Fed’s cautious, data-dependent stance. Geopolitical risks—particularly heightened tensions in the Middle East and ongoing U.S.–China trade friction—are adding to volatility and could weigh on global risk sentiment, especially if oil prices spike and inflation concerns reemerge. These risks, combined with political uncertainty in the U.S., favor selling into rallies until there is a clear shift in macro direction. Key events to monitor include upcoming Fed communications, developments in Middle East conflicts, and any major U.S.–China trade headlines, all of which could either reinforce the short bias or trigger a sentiment-driven reversal. For now, the preferred approach is to sell into strength near the supply zone with defined risk, manage positions closely around the 43,000 demand area, and remain flexible to flip bias if price action and fundamentals align for a reversal.
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is now in a range-bound environment, currently trading at 23,630, below its VWAP of 24,150 and close to StdDev #2 Lower. RSI at 43 reflects weakening momentum. Support lies at 23,630 and resistance is seen at 24,740
UK 100 continues its bullish trend, undergoing a small pullback. Price is at 9,102, just above its VWAP at 9059. RSI at 61 indicates steady bullish interest. Support is at 8,906 and resistance is at 9,212
Wall Street remains bullish but is now in a corrective phase. Price has dropped to 43,786, below its VWAP of 44,407. The RSI of 43 highlights growing downside pressure. Support is at 43,580, and resistance is at 45,253.
Brent Crude continues in a choppy range, albeit with lower volatility, trading at 6,932, right at its VWAP. The RSI at 50 confirms the lack of directional bias. Support sits at 6,631 and resistance at 7,198.
Gold continues to consolidate in a broad triangle pattern - keeping it in a neutral range, with price at 3,357, nearly equal to its VWAP. The RSI at 53 shows a balanced outlook. Support is at 3,280 and resistance at 3,416.
EUR/USD holds a bullish trend but is correcting. The pair trades at 1.1565, slightly below the VWAP of 1.1635. RSI at 45 reflects subdued buying pressure. Support is at 1.1435 and resistance at 1.1834.
GBP/USD has potentially entered a new bearish trend in a quick reversal from the prior uptrend. It trades at 1.3275, below the VWAP of 1.3404. The RSI of 36 signals fresh bearish momentum. Support is at 1.3204 and resistance at 1.3604.
USD/JPY remains neutral and in a range phase but is possibly building a new uptrend with its recent drop back from range resistance. Price is 147.95, aligned with the VWAP. RSI at 53 suggests a balanced tone. Support is near 145.95 and resistance stands at 149.88.
Netherlands Indice NL25 will hit 900.000 this weekOANDA:NL25EUR Long trade, with my back testing of this strategy, NL25EUR need to touch 9000.00
This is good trade, don't overload your risk like Greedy, be disciplined trader.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
US Stocks on Watch as Momentum ShiftsAfter a resilient summer run, US equities are now facing a new wave of pressure. Friday’s slide was more than just a reaction to headlines, it may be the first sign of a deeper shift in sentiment.
Jobs Data Disappoints as Tariff Tensions Rise
Friday’s US jobs report was a jolt. Just 73,000 nonfarm payrolls were added in July, well short of the 110,000 expected. But the real gut punch came from the revisions. June’s figure was slashed from 147,000 to just 14,000 and May’s total was lowered by another 125,000. Taken together, that is over a quarter of a million fewer jobs than previously reported. The softening labour market has now pushed the probability of a September rate cut to 66%, as traders start to price in a more cautious Fed response.
If that was not enough, President Trump added fresh fuel to the fire by announcing a new round of tariff hikes. Imports from Canada will now face a 35% levy, up from 25%, while goods routed through third countries to avoid duties will be hit with a 40% charge. These measures come at a time when the global economy is already under strain, and investors wasted no time in pulling back. Tech and financials bore the brunt, with Amazon and JPMorgan among the hardest hit.
Short Term Momentum Breaks Down
Last week’s price action marked a clear change in tone. The S&P 500 attempted to break to fresh highs on Thursday but was met with a wave of selling on increased volume, forming a bearish engulfing candle. That move was followed by a sharp decline on Friday after the jobs data landed. This two-day drop, coming on elevated volume, stands out as a clean reversal in short term momentum and is most visible on the hourly chart.
That kind of shift raises an important question about timeframes. If you're a short-term trader focused on hourly candles and below, you will likely be watching for bearish continuation patterns. That could mean looking for brief pauses in the selling, flags or consolidations, before another leg lower.
Longer term traders will be reading the chart differently. While short term momentum has clearly turned, the longer-term structure is still intact. The market is now pulling back into a key zone of former resistance from earlier in the year. This cluster of highs, once broken, now acts as support, and just so happens to line up with the 50-day moving average. For those taking a wider lens, this is the kind of area where trend followers could look to reload.
US500 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
US500 Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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Heist Alert: Dow 30 Bullish Surge Incoming – Lock In Targets🦹♂️💎 “US30 Gold Vault Heist” – Thief’s Bullish Break-In Plan! 🚨📈
(Brought to you by Thief Trader – Layered Entry. Zero Mercy. Big Bags.)
🌍 Welcome to the Heist Floor, Global Market Bandits!
🎯 US30 is the next vault on the hitlist – and we’re going in loud but calculated.
💣 The Setup: Bullish Raid in Progress!
The Thief has eyes on Wall Street's armored vault — US30 Index — gearing up for a multi-layered bullish assault.
💼 Using limit orders like C4 on the door hinges, we’re stacking precise entries for maximum loot extraction. This isn’t gambling — this is organized market crime.
🔓 Entry Protocol – Any Price Level Is Breachable
🪜 Layered Limit Orders: Entry at any market level, multiple orders spread like a thief’s toolkit.
No sniper candle required — we work the shadows and stack with precision.
(Use the 15m-1H TF to tighten your strike zone.)
🛑 Stop Loss – The Getaway Hatch
📍 SL parked at 43300.0 – if the mission fails, we vanish clean.
No chasing losses — the next heist awaits.
📈 Take Profit – The Loot Vault
🎯 Target: 45600
That’s the gold room, the top floor, the getaway car location.
Use trailing SLs to secure the bag mid-run if resistance agents start showing up.
🧠 Behind the Heist – What’s Fueling This Move?
Global risk-on tone? ✅
Dow futures resilience? ✅
Thief’s sentiment meter flashing GREEN? ✅
Index rebalancing & sector flow favoring bulls? ✅
We don’t just trade the chart. We rob the macro narrative.
🚫 News Caution – No Sudden Sirens
Avoid entering during red folder data drops or FOMC speeches.
Stay ghosted. Let the volatility settle, then strike. 🕵️♂️
💥 Smash the BOOST Button 💖 If You’re With the Crew!
Let’s run this like a proper cartel of information — share it, save it, tag your trader circle.
Every like supports the next robbery plan.
No signals. No fluff. Just pure market exploitation.
📌 Disclaimer: Educational analysis only. No financial advice. Manage your risk like a true thief — never expose the whole bag.
💼📊 Thief Trader Out — More heist maps coming soon.
🔐 Rob Smart. Stack Heavy. Run Fast. 🦹♂️💸📈
KSE 100 Index Analysis The KSE 100 | 04-08-2025KSE 100 Index Analysis | 04-08-2025
The KSE 100 index is behaving as predicted. Today's session has unlocked a new immediate target of 144,900. The index is heading towards the intermediate target of 142,840. The ultimate target remains 151,600 before any major pullbacks. We maintain our stance that the index is always long.
Key Levels
- *Immediate Target*: 144,900
- *Intermediate Target*: 142,840
- *Ultimate Target*: 151,600
Market Stance
- Long-term bullish outlook maintained.
Dow Jones Index (US30) Technical Analysis:The Dow Jones Index has bounced from the 43,350 support after a sharp decline, currently trading near 44,000, testing nearby resistance.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to break above 44,200 and selling pressure resumes, a drop below 43,800 could push the index back toward the 43,350 support area.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the index breaks and holds above 44,200, the bullish move may continue toward 44,700, with further potential toward the 45,150 resistance zone.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
Rob the Rally SPX500: Enter Before Resistance Catches You🦹♂️💎 “SPX500 Vault Breach – Layered Robbery in Progress!” 💼📈
(Thief Trader's Multi-Limit Entry Bullish Blueprint – No Mercy, Just Money)
📍Asset: SPX500 / US500
🎯Plan: Bullish Heist
🧠Style: Layered Limit Orders | Thief Strategy Entry | Zero Mercy Execution
📈Target: 6600.00
🛑Stop Loss: 6200.00
💣Entry: Any level — thieves adapt, not wait!
🌍 Welcome to the Global Robbery Room, Traders!
It’s your boy Thief Trader, back in the vault with another plan to crack the SPX500 like a safe on Wall Street. This one’s for the bold bulls who like to rob with precision, not permission. 🎯💰
💼 The Setup – High Stakes, High Floors
SPX500 is lining up for a classic breakout breach. This isn’t just technical — it’s tactical warfare. Market noise? Ignore it. We operate on strategy and steel nerves. 🧠🔫
🔥 Entry Protocol – Layer Up or Miss Out
🧱 Multiple limit orders across price zones — like planting C4 charges on every door.
🎯 Enter wherever price dips — don’t wait for permission from retail traders.
🎯 No fixed entry — this is Thief Layering: get in where you fit in.
🚪 Escape Plan – Stop Loss Strategy
📍 SL: 6200.00
Why? That’s where the guards start showing up. If price drops below, we vanish.
💡 Be flexible — smart robbers don’t get caught, they regroup.
💎 Target Loot – The Golden Zone
📍 Primary TP: 6600.00
Once we breach the 6500+ resistance, it's a moonwalk. Lock gains or trail with confidence.
📢 Warning for Scalpers & Swing Thieves Alike:
Only play Long-side. Don’t try to rob both ends — that’s suicide.
Big wallet? Scale heavy. Small bag? Layer light but tight.
Always use trailing stops — never trust the market with your escape bag. 🎒💸
📊 Thief Intel – Why We’re Bullish
✅ Index rotation favors large-cap strength
✅ Macro sentiment + institutional bias points UP
✅ No bearish COT signals in sight
✅ Fed tone & economic backdrop: neutral to supportive
This isn’t hopium. It’s strategy.
🚨 NEWS FLASH – Stay Stealthy!
Do NOT enter during economic bombs 💣 (NFP, CPI, Fed minutes, etc.)
Market noise kills precision. We only move in silence and with SLs trailing tight.
💬 Smash that BOOST 💖 if you’re riding with the Thief Army.
Share this plan, spread the word, and let’s rob the markets the smart way.
📢 Tag your crew, stack your layers, and let’s hit 6600 like pros.
📌Disclaimer: Not financial advice — this is a market operation plan for educational use. Trade at your own risk. Smart thieves plan exits before entries. 💼📉📈
🦹♂️ Thief Trader out.
💸 Rob smart. Rob clean. Rob global.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Technical Analysis:The DXY is currently moving sideways near the 98.65 support zone after a sharp drop from the 100.25 resistance, which marked last week’s high.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 98.65 and holds, a continuation toward 97.90 is likely, with potential to reach the 97.50 support area.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price reclaims 99.00 and confirms support above it, we could see a retest of the 99.50–100.25 resistance zone, which remains key in the short term.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 | 1H Bullish Continuation Setup – Aug 4, 2025Here’s a complete **TradingView trade description** for your NAS100 setup based on the chart you shared — using Smart Money Concepts, market structure, and intraday context:
---
**NAS100 | 1H Bullish Continuation Setup – Aug 4, 2025**
### 🔹 Market Bias:
* **Daily**: Bearish
* **4H**: Bearish
* **1H**: Bullish structure forming
* **15min**: Bullish BOS + internal structure break
---
### 🧠 Trade Narrative (SMC-Based):
Price created a **liquidity sweep + slight CHoCH** on the 15min inside a discount zone. After the sweep, we saw strong bullish displacement on the 1H, shifting momentum temporarily back to buyers.
We've now returned to the **origin of the impulsive move (POI)** and are looking for **continuation into premium**, targeting the nearest inefficiency + supply zone above.
Entry taken from a refined OB with **Buy Limit at 22,949.6**, aligned with:
* Internal liquidity resting below
* 50% of the bullish candle
* Structure support formed after BOS
---
### 📌 Entry Criteria:
* **Buy Limit**: 22,949.6
* **SL**: Below recent low / zone invalidation (e.g., below 22,922.4)
* **TP1**: 23,056.6 (1H imbalance + prior S/R flip)
* **Extended TP**: 23,122.7 (origin of H4 supply zone)
* **RR**: \~3.2R to TP1
🛑 Before entry: Wait for **LQ grab + internal confirmation** (e.g., M5 rejection wick or engulfing).
---
### 🧩 Confluences:
* ✅ Internal liquidity sweep
* ✅ BOS + CHoCH (15M + 1H structure)
* ✅ Entry refined to OB with imbalance
* ✅ Targeting clean inefficiency + unmitigated supply
* ✅ Volume and momentum shift support continuation
---
**⚠️ Invalidation**: Clean break below 22,922.4 structure + bearish engulfing = setup no longer valid.
---
Good comeback candle by Nifty today. Nifty fought back against the Tariff odds today and gained 157.4 points. The combination of Friday's candle and today's candle are forming a Bullish Harami kind of pattern. Harami in Japanese means pregnant woman. Usually this is a Bullish pattern but it requires a follow up positive candle in its support. So if we get a positive candle tomorrow then we can consider Friday's low as a good temporary support.
Supports for Nifty currently remain at: 24482 (Important Trend line resistance), 24317, 24186 (Father line support on daily chart), The zone between 23932 (final support, below this level Bears can take total control of the index).
Resistances for Nifty currently remain at: 24802, 24906 (Mother line resistance on daily chart), 25007, 25249-25346 (Important trend line resistance zone, a closing above 25346 will give control of the index to Bulls).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.