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up move expected. Nifty Expiry Day: Focus Above 24000 for Upside Potential Key Observations: A decisive break above this level could open doors for further upside. Intraday Targets: Target 1: 24082 Target 2: 24140 Final Target: 24240 Trading Strategy: Bullish Bias: Maintain a bullish bias if Nifty sustains above 24000 throughout the day. Entry: Consider entering long positions above with a stop-loss below . Risk Management: Implement strict risk management rules, such as position sizing and trailing stops, to protect capital. Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading in the stock market involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Im_Inferno
Nikkei 225 Shaken by the BOJ and the FedAsian markets experienced a session of high volatility, impacted by the monetary policy decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ), along with the growing political uncertainty derived from Donald Trump's presidential campaign. The declines were led by technology sectors, while Japanese stock markets managed to trim some of their initial losses. Fed Cools Expectations The Fed met expectations by cutting rates by 25 basis points, but generated surprise by projecting a slower pace of cuts by 2025. This triggered a massive sell-off in risk assets, with the Nasdaq Composite leading the losses (-3.6%), its worst day in five months. This implied tightening hit the Asian technology sector in particular, which is sensitive to interest rate changes. The Bank of Japan and the Yen In Japan, the Nikkei 225 and the TOPIX started the session with declines of more than -1%, but closed with more moderate declines of -0.5%. The partial recovery came after the BOJ decided to keep interest rates unchanged. The BOJ reiterated its caution regarding the economic outlook and indicated that inflation could pick up in 2025, remaining close to its 2% target. Although some investors had expected a rate hike in December, the decision to keep policy steady boosted export sectors, driven by the depreciation of the yen following the announcement. Trump Adds Uncertainty Nervousness was also fueled by political tensions in the U.S., as Donald Trump doubled down on his protectionist rhetoric and his election campaign continues to generate uncertainty about global trade relations. Effects on Other Asian Markets - South Korea: The KOSPI retreated 1.7%, with declines in technology giants such as SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. - China: The CSI 300 (-0.4%) and the Shanghai Composite (-0.7%) moderated losses on optimism about higher fiscal spending in 2025. - Australia: The ASX 200 led regional decliners with a decline of 1.8%. Perspective Overview. The combination of a tighter Fed and a cautious BOJ has added to uncertainty in Asian markets. While the stronger dollar and tightening global financial conditions are pressuring markets in the region, the weaker yen could provide some relief to Japanese exports in the near term. Attention now turns to the future decisions of major central banks, especially in the context of an increasingly fragile global economy. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:JP225Short
by ActivTrades
Potential bullish rise?S&P500 (US500) has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 38.3% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 5,868.52 1st Support: 5,788.39 1st Resistance: 5,930.95 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce?UK100 has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 8,062.33 1st Support: 7,995.40 1st Resistance: 8,178.42 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:UK100Long
by ICmarkets
DAX // Possible start of the CountertrendThe daily trend still holds at all-time highs and beyond every measurable target, but H4 has already turned south. The last clear breakout is on H1 at the countertrend line break, and the market crossed it by a couple of pips. Not significant, but still a close below the trigger level. The position should be closely watched at the daily impulse base. Either to close the trade, or to add to it. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by TheMarketFlow
How to Identify Market Downtrends Without Fundamentals🔍 A Fundamental Perspective On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to a range of 4.25%–4.5%. However, their guidance suggested a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025, with projections of only two reductions instead of four as previously expected. This cautious stance, driven by lingering inflation concerns and a resilient labor market, triggered a sharp market sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plummeted over 1,100 points, recording its steepest single-day drop since 1974. 🔍 Market Breadth: A Technical Perspective If you’re not tracking fundamental events, Market Breadth indicators can offer valuable insights into market trends and the health of the index. 1️⃣ US30 Market Breadth EMA 20 The histogram bars in yellow reflect the number range of stocks in the DJIA with strong uptrends. Recently, the height of these bars has been steadily declining, signaling that fewer stocks are maintaining bullish trends. 2️⃣ Market Breadth MACD Conversely, the red line of the MACD indicator, which represents stocks in a strong downtrend, has been rising. This divergence indicates that bearish momentum is building across the market. 3️⃣ Market Breadth EMA Alignment The red line crossing above the green line in this indicator confirms a strong downtrend, providing additional evidence of bearish dominance. 📈 Price Action Analysis The price has broken below the ascending channel, which further supports the bearish case. Combining this with signals from the Market Breadth indicators strengthens the probability of a sustained downtrend in the DJIA. ✅ Key Takeaway By analyzing Market Breadth and combining technical indicators, you can gauge the market's strength even if you're not following the fundamentals. As DJIA breaks below critical technical levels, traders should exercise caution and watch for further confirmation of bearish trends.
TVC:DJIEducation
by Investic_analytics
Save Millions by Monitoring Your Portfolio with the VIXGreetings Everyone, Let’s face it: trading is hard. You’ve done your research—checked and triple-checked everything. The fundamentals of the company? Solid. The option chain? Looks great. The volume? Perfect. You’ve been patient, waiting for that perfect breakout, confirming the validity of the support level on the retest. Confidently, you hit “buy,” and for a moment, you breathe a sigh of relief. This trade will work out… right? But just a few days later, horror sets in. One single wick—just one—obliterates your positions. Thousands of dollars gone. Your carefully constructed trades set ablaze by volatility you didn’t see coming. Enter the Volatility Index (VIX) The VIX, often called the “Fear Index,” is a real-time pulse of the broader market, derived from the S&P 500 options market. Unlike your standard indicators, the VIX offers insights into market volatility and trader sentiment. It tends to move inversely to the market—when fear is high, the VIX spikes, and when confidence reigns, the VIX calms down, often reverting to its historical average (a concept known as mean reversion). What Makes the VIX So Powerful? 1. A Market Barometer The VIX is like a weather forecast for traders. Here’s what the levels mean: • VIX Below 20: Markets are stable, with low volatility expected. Ideal conditions for trend-following strategies. • VIX Above 30: High volatility is brewing. Risk-on positions could be in jeopardy, and hedging becomes critical. 2. Real-Time Sentiment The VIX is calculated minute-by-minute from SPX options, capturing real-time expectations of market volatility over the next 30 days. This means you don’t just rely on hindsight—you get a forward-looking view. How to Use the VIX in Your Trading Strategy 1. Portfolio Risk Management Use the VIX as an early warning system. Spikes in the VIX can signal when to reduce your exposure to equities or risky positions. For example: • High VIX (>30): Consider hedging with options, selling high-beta stocks, or adding defensive assets. • Low VIX (<20): A good environment for taking calculated risks or riding existing trends. 2. Timing Your Trades • Mean Reversion Opportunities: If the VIX spikes to extremes, it often reverts to its average (~20). This can signal an opportunity to go long on stocks after the panic subsides. • Avoid Complacency: When the VIX is at historic lows, the market may be overly complacent. Watch for potential pullbacks or corrections. Why Does This Matter? Because volatility can destroy your portfolio if you’re not prepared. The VIX allows you to anticipate market conditions, adjust your risk exposure, and stay one step ahead of the next move. It’s not just about finding the perfect trade setup—it’s about understanding the environment in which you’re trading. The VIX gives you that critical context, turning the market from a chaotic gamble into a manageable system. My Strategy: As of late, I have been taking a trend trading approach to monitoring the VIX (fear index) Is the price ranging or Is it trending? If it’s trending I ask myself what direction is it trending in —- is it a bullish trend or a bearish trend? From there I can monitor closely daily or every couple days to see how it’s developing. This indicator helps 1. Reduce Trading Anxiety 2. Helps me deleverage sometimes just at the nick of time 3. Keeps me objective. Final Thoughts The next time you are making a decision about a trade, realize that your ticker does not exist in a vacuum. Thanks for checking out my post please leave a like! Thanks, CL
TVC:VIXEducation
by coilemard
US Index Bullish after the FOMC Fed rate Cut off to 4.5US index bulish after the FOMC Fed rate cut. Now the Price is still at 108.133 and the last resistance was break on the current level and wait for the confirmations The next level will be 109.156 and 109.954. The USD positive impact will have a negative impact on major pairs and gold; be careful when opening the trades. *Note: When the USD idex is strongly bullish and sentiments also show the data will impact after the gold bullish recovery.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by Bloom_Forex_Official
us100 LONGus100 LONG 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by RODDYTRADING
DXY ANALYSISWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in DXY's price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #DXY 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
TVC:DXYShort
by TradeTacticsreal
DXY (THE DOLLAR INDEX)1. If the Dollar Breaks Out Above Resistance This scenario indicates bullish momentum, meaning the dollar could strengthen further. Implications: Continuation of Uptrend: Breaking resistance often signals strong buying interest or positive sentiment. Next Target: The price may move toward the next resistance level or a new high. Market Sentiment: This could result from strong economic data, higher interest rate expectations, or geopolitical factors favoring the dollar. Traders’ Actions: Enter long (buy) positions after confirming the breakout. Set stop-loss orders just below the breakout level to manage risk. --- 2. If the Dollar Fails to Break Resistance This scenario indicates a potential reversal or consolidation below the resistance level. Implications: Reversal to Downtrend: Failure to break resistance often signals profit-taking or bearish sentiment. Support Retest: The price might fall to test lower support levels. Market Sentiment: This could occur due to weak economic data, dovish central bank policies, or stronger foreign currencies. Traders’ Actions: Consider short (sell) positions if rejection at resistance is confirmed. Monitor for bearish patterns (e.g., double top or bearish engulfing candles). --- Confirmation is Key Volume Analysis: A breakout with high volume is more reliable, while rejection with high selling volume confirms resistance. Economic Data Events: Major announcements like interest rate decisions or employment data can influence the direction. Would you like help with specific dollar pairs or technical analysis?
TVC:DXY
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Short to support area 5846.5.Colleagues, I assume that price is completing a five-wave upward movement. I believe that the price may reach the resistance area of 6181.6 then I will consider only downward movement in correction to the area of 5846.5. It is possible that the price will immediately start moving towards this area, but this is a more risky plan. Still, I would like to see the completion of all waves “5” in one place! Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Hellena_Trade
17
New Setup: QQQ Update"Courage is resistance to fear, mastery of fear, not absence of fear." QQQ: Only 6% of stocks are trading above it's 5-day average. Also the last time we saw such extreme levels lately was back on Aug 5th and Apr 15th. If you take a look at the QQQ chart, April 15th did continue to pull back like the SPY, but on Aug 5th it quickly bounced. So for right now the name of the game is to hold tight and be patient. Wait until I see the Markets start to get ready to close above its daily 5sma before looking for new setups.
INDEX:NCFD
by StockHunter88
Possible Cypher bullish pattern for Dow?Hi Guys, The US 30 has been getting sold off from its most recent high and there has been minimal to no interest for any support thus far. Currently it is testing the 50DMA and close to daily support level., where we may see a small bounce up to lower time frame resistance levels. A break and close below the 50DMA and further a break below support opens the door for the Dow to head to the FVG below, and a test of the 100DMA and a very obvious demand zone where a bullish move looks inevitable. If price does move to that area then there will also be the entry point for a bullish cypher pattern with excellent fib ratios. All in all nice confluence at the cypher entry point if price can get there. Daily RSI is currently not yet in oversold but could end up being so if we move down to the cypher entry zone, which will add to confluence. Furtermore, if the Dow can rally from there back up to the high then there could again be strong selling pressure at the 2.0 retracement of the bear market high to low located at around 45300 level. ( Dow did not quite hit that level on this swing lower and RSI was not in overbought albeit showing clear divergence)) Two potential huge risk to reward trades if price reaches these levels. Safe Trading all
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by elyask120