Dollar Index Analysis: Wedge + Powell Outlook – June 25, 2025📉 Technical Outlook: Bearish Rising Wedge + Liquidity Sweep Setup
TVC:DXY The Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading within a rising wedge pattern, typically a bearish structure. We're anticipating a fake breakdown, potential sweep of the key demand zone, followed by a reversal move targeting key highs.
🔍 Key Technical Zones
📥 Demand Zone (Buy Area):
🔵 97.50 – 97.20 = Institutional accumulation + unfilled orders
🚫 Invalidation Level (Stop-Loss) :
❌ 96.70 = Clean break below confirms full bearish continuation
🎯 Target Projections (Upside Levels) :
TP1: 99.00
TP2: 100.00
TP3: 101.04 (HTF swing high liquidity cleanout)
🧠 Summary Setup :
Downtrend
Rising wedge formation
Sweep of 97.20 possible
Watch for fakeout & reversal play toward 101.04
🏛️ Fundamental Analysis – Powell’s Testimony Insights
Fed Chair Powell highlighted the following during his recent testimony:
🔄 “We’re not there yet on inflation” — Core services remain sticky
🛑 No immediate rate cuts — Growth is slowing but not crashing
🕰 Rate cuts likely postponed to Q4 2025
🔐 “Real rates are restrictive enough” = No more hikes expected
💡 Implication for DXY :
✅ Short-term bullish bias as higher U.S. yields remain attractive if rate cuts are delayed.
🌍 Macro Context Snapshot (as of June 25, 2025)
🇺🇸 US Disinflation: CPI & PCE easing, but not collapsing
🇪🇺 ECB Cut in June: Euro may weaken further
🇯🇵 BOJ Policy Unclear: USD/JPY likely volatile
🌐 Global Risk Appetite High: Volatility may return with geopolitical events
🔥 Watch This: Trade Tariff Narrative Heating Up
🚨 New U.S. Tariff Signals on Chinese tech and EU autos are resurfacing. This could:
Push inflation risk higher
Delay Fed’s easing timeline
Add support to USD short term as markets price in geopolitical tension and uncertainty
📌 Trading Strategy Recap :
Monitor wedge support near 97.20
Look for fakeout/sweep and bullish reversal
Target 99–101 zone on rebound
Stay alert to Powell/Fed rhetoric + tariff news
If you find this analysis helpful, Like, Comment, and Follow for more DXY, gold, and macro trades!
Market indices
Hidden bullish divergence Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI-Based) – Description
Hidden bullish divergence using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical signal that suggests the continuation of an existing uptrend. It occurs when the price makes a higher low, but the RSI makes a lower low. This pattern reveals that, despite a short-term pullback in price, the buying pressure (bullish momentum) is still strong beneath the surface.
Key Characteristics:
Price: Forms a higher low, indicating support and strength in the trend.
RSI: Forms a lower low, showing temporary weakness or an oversold condition.
Signal Type: Continuation (not reversal) – it suggests the uptrend is likely to resume.
Why It Matters:
RSI typically measures momentum. When RSI dips lower while price stays relatively strong, it shows that the market shook out weak hands but kept its bullish structure. This is a sign that buyers are still in control, and the pullback may offer a buying opportunity.
How to Use It:
Look for this setup during a pullback in an uptrend.
Confirm with trendlines, support zones, or volume.
Consider entering long trades when RSI starts to turn up from its low, confirming momentum is returning.
Summary:
Hidden bullish divergence (RSI):
Price: Higher low
RSI: Lower low
Implication: Trend likely to continue upward
BankNifty levels - Jun 26, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty levels - Jun 26, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
CAC40 corrective pullback support at 7480Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 7850
Resistance Level 2: 7930
Resistance Level 3: 7995
Support Level 1: 7480
Support Level 2: 7400
Support Level 3: 7330
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE uptrend pause capped at 8854The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 8695 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 8695 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
8854 – initial resistance
8900 – psychological and structural level
8960 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 8695 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
8640 – minor support
8600 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 8695. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq 100 Near Breakout – Eyes on 22,200 ResistanceThe Nasdaq 100 is approaching a critical technical level at 22,200. This resistance marks the upper boundary of recent consolidation and aligns with prior rejection zones. A clean break above this threshold could trigger a sharp upside move, possibly propelling the index into uncharted territory.
Geopolitical tensions have eased, and the dollar’s renewed weakness is supporting risk appetite, particularly in the tech-heavy Nasdaq. Strong earnings from key sectors are reinforcing bullish sentiment, with investors increasingly pricing in a favorable macro backdrop.
Technically, momentum is building. Price action has formed a series of higher lows, and buying pressure is intensifying near resistance. A breakout above 22,200 could ignite a strong rally, driven by stop orders and fresh bullish entries.
That said, traders should remain cautious. While the breakout setup is promising, a retracement toward support zones—such as 21,500 or the 20-day moving average—remains possible, especially if upcoming inflation or macro data disappoints.
For now, the 22,200 level remains the key to watch. A daily close above this level would shift the bias clearly higher, confirming breakout strength and potentially accelerating gains toward 22,800 or beyond.
US30: The bullish trend remains in progressUS30: The bullish trend remains in progress
On April 7, 2025, US30 hit its lowest point at approximately 36500. Since then, despite significant concerns regarding Trump's tariffs and the ongoing turmoil in the Middle East, all indices have been on the rise.
Overall the U.S. indicators are showing robust performance.
In a worst-case scenario, we might observe US30 to make a minor correction close to 42500 before it bounces further, potentially retesting the chart level that aligns with its all-time high price as well.
Key target levels: 44000 and 44970
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Why I’m Sitting Out: US30 Reaches Critical Range HighI’m currently keeping a close eye on the US30, along with the other major indices 🧐. What stands out the most right now is how overextended this rally has become across the board 📈.
The key concern here is that price has now pushed into a previous external range high, sweeping liquidity resting just above that level 💧. This area is a textbook zone where big money often steps in to offload positions — it’s the perfect place for institutions to find willing counterparties after prior accumulation 📍💼.
Given the aggressive nature of this move and how far price has stretched, I’m extremely hesitant to get involved at this stage 🚫. I have zero interest in buying into a market that’s trading at a premium and sitting at a potential reversal zone ⚠️.
The prudent move here is to wait for a retrace, followed by a bullish break in structure before considering re-entry 🔁📈. Sometimes, the most powerful edge in trading is knowing when not to trade — and for me, today is one of those days.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my current perspective on the market.
US30 Technical Outlook – 06/25/2025📍 US30 Technical Outlook – 06/25/2025
Big move! 🚀 Price broke out of the 42,054–42,100 consolidation and rallied aggressively into the key 43,100–43,150 resistance zone.
🧠 Key Observations:
Clean bullish breakout above 42,100 ✅
Price now sitting at 43,120–43,150 supply 🛑
EMAs sharply turned bullish (42,808 and 43,038 levels)
📊 Key Price Zones:
🔼 Major Resistance: 43,150 → 43,300
🔽 Support: 42,800 → 42,600 → 42,100
📈 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔹 Long Bias:
Pullback into 42,800–42,600 support
→ Look for bullish structure & continuation signals
→ Target: 43,150 → 43,300
🔻 Short Bias:
Look for strong rejection candles at 43,150–43,300
→ Intraday scalp short back toward 42,800
→ Break below 42,800 could target 42,600 or even 42,100
‼️ Momentum is clearly bullish for now, but this is a major supply zone so caution on chasing late longs.
Dow Jones breakout targets 44K and beyondThe Dow Jones is finally breaking out, and the chart suggests a 3 to 4 percent move higher is in play. We analyse the key patterns, trade setups, and risks ahead including market seasonality, war headlines, and economic data. Bitcoin, EURUSD, and Nasdaq also showing strength. Is this the start of a bigger rally?
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NIFTY INDIA DEFENCE SHOULD CORRECT TO FILL GAP.. CAUTIOUSThis is a technical analysis chart of the NIFTY IND Defence Index (1D timeframe),
📊 Current Market Status:
• Last Close: ₹8,752.95
• Day’s Change: -₹105.60 (▼1.19%)
• Day’s Range: ₹8,714.55 – ₹8,884.40
🟢 Uptrend Summary (Recent Past):
• Low: ₹5,632.70 (March 2025)
• High: ₹9,204.95 (recent peak)
• Gain: +₹2,688.55 (≈+30.76%)
🧭 Fibonacci Retracement Levels (from swing low to swing high):
• 0.236: ₹8,361.90
• 0.382: ₹7,840.35
• 0.5: ₹7,418.80
• 0.618: ₹6,997.30
• 0.786: ₹6,391.15
🔴 Bearish Signals:
1. Price rejection from top of upward channel
• Price has moved out of the rising red parallel channel.
• Currently testing support, and breakdown seems underway.
2. Break below dotted descending trendline
• Indicates short-term weakness.
3. Gap zone between ~₹7,840–₹7,418 could act as a demand/support zone, but also a magnet if breakdown accelerates.
4. Targeted Downside Projections:
• 1st Target: ₹7,884 (▼9.91% from peak)
• 2nd Target: ₹7,474 (▼14.18% from peak) — aligned near the 0.5 retracement level
🔵 Key Support Zones:
• ₹7,884.15 — Previous strong support zone
• ₹7,518.85–₹7,474.05 — Confluence of gap support and 50% Fibonacci
🔺 Resistance Levels (Upside Challenges):
• ₹9,204.95 — Recent peak (0% retracement)
• ₹9,311.35 — Upper projection/resistance
• ₹9,412.65 — Red dashed resistance line
• ₹9,832.90 — 0.382 projection from upward move
📉 Conclusion & Strategy Outlook:
🔻 Bearish Bias (Short-Term)
• Breakdown of trendline and channel signals a likely correction phase.
• Look for support at ₹7,884, and if breached, expect deeper correction to ₹7,474–7,518.
🔼 Reversal Confirmation (Bullish if):
• Price reclaims and sustains above ₹9,000, breaking past previous swing high.
✅ Action Points:
• Long Holders: Watch ₹8,360 (0.236 fib) — if broken, tighten stop-loss.
• Short Opportunities: Breakdown below ₹8,468 could trigger downside to ₹7,884 and ₹7,474.
• Fresh Entry (Positional Longs): Consider near ₹7,474–7,518 if price shows bullish reversal signals there.
DO YOUR OWN D/D
India Consumption Index starting a new phase of upward growth?Index Name: Nifty Consumption
Support: 11,250 - 11,000
Resistance: 12,000 - 12,250 - 12,500 - 12,750
Reason: On a daily chart basis, the Nifty Consumption Index has formed a trend reversal price pattern called an Inverted H&S, which indicates that in the coming days, we might witness a strong upside move in this sector. After being laggard for the last few months, it has now changed its trend from sideways to an uptrend.
Stocks from this index have already started showing an upside move.
Please note: This is only for study purposes before taking any financial decision; kindly consult with your financial advisor.
TIME FOR THE DOLLAR TO STRENGTHEN OR FURTHER WEAKNESS.So what are we lookin at? We have been looking at the weakest price in dollar yet.Yesterday we tested the yearly lows at 97.700 which we are using as current baseline. I will mark up that price range to use as our support. Geopolitical tensions are cooling off as Trump called for ceasefire between the two war torn nations but we still have lots of economic data flowing in. Most attention fall towards Fed chair Powell speech as this will shape up the direction of the dollar going forward as we head to a new month. Correction higher means USDJPY will rise as we are having a steady Yen currency. We saw the dollar fail to hold above 99.300 which is our nearest resistance level marked by a horizontal ray.So focus is on those two price levels so as to enable us find opportunities to trade.
Overlap resistance ahead?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 98.50
1st Support: 97.21
1st Resistance: 99.30
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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US30 on Track for 43KHappy Monday, traders.
Here’s my latest analysis and trade idea for US30. Since April 6th, US30 has been in a strong bull run, breaking above the descending weekly trend line while continuing to print higher highs and higher lows.
Although price action has shown some uncertainty since May 22nd, the bigger picture remains bullish it’s just noise. The trend is intact, and we’re now pushing back above the 50 EMA.
Currently, US30 is forming a wedge between two descending trendlines I’ve marked on the chart. I expect some consolidation within this structure, with a potential pullback into my entry zone.
From there, I’m anticipating another short-term push higher, with a target in the Golden Zone between 43,100 and 43,400 . My entry range is between 42,179 and 42,481 , with a stop-loss just below the current swing low at 41,980.
I expect this move to develop sometime within the next couple weeks.
What do you think will it play out? Let me know in the comments.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(25/06/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open slightly gap up near the 56,450 level. If the index sustains above 56,450, we may see a bullish continuation toward 56,550 and above. A move above the 56,550–56,600 zone can trigger further upside momentum with targets at 56,850, 56,950, and potentially 57,000+.
However, if Bank Nifty fails to hold above 56,450 and starts trading below 56,400, a short opportunity could arise. In that case, downside targets would be 56,250, 56,150, and 56,050. The 56,050 level will act as strong support for today's session, and only a break below this may invite a deeper correction.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/06/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 25,250 level, signaling early bullish strength. If the index sustains above the 25,250–25,300 zone after opening, we could see a continuation of the upward momentum toward the next resistance levels at 25,350, 25,400, and possibly 25,450+. However, if it fails to hold above 25,250 and slips back into the 25,100–25,050 zone, there could be selling pressure. A break below 25,050 may drag Nifty further down to 24,950. If 24,950 breaks, then a short trade could trigger, with targets at 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750. The key levels to watch today are 25,250 on the upside and 24,950 on the downside.
#Nifty directions and levels for June 25:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for June 25:
Market Overview
The global market is showing bullish sentiment, while our local market is still maintaining a moderately bullish bias.
However, Gift Nifty is indicating a positive start of 103 points today.
So, what can we expect today?
Once again, the same thing happened in the previous session — even though the market started with a positive bias, it couldn't sustain.
Structurally, we are still in a range-bound market,
so even if the market opens positive, we can expect a correction at some point.
Let’s look at the chart for more clarity.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty appear to be showing a similar structure.
Current View
The current structure suggests that even if the market opens with a gap-up, it may not sustain.
If the initial market declines and consolidates around the 78% Fibonacci level, then we can expect the correction to continue.
On the other hand, if the decline sees a solid pullback around 24,968, then we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 61% in the minor swing.
Alternate View
Structurally, the probability of a rally continuation is low,
which means we won’t get a bullish signal unless the price breaks above the 78%,level.
If it does break, we can expect a rally, though some rejections may occur along the way.
#Banknifty directions and levels for June 25:Current View
The current structure suggests that even if the market opens with a gap-up, it may not sustain.
If the initial market declines and consolidates around the 78% Fibonacci level, then we can expect the correction to continue.
On the other hand, if the decline sees a solid pullback around 50%, then we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 61% in the minor swing.
Alternate View
Structurally, the probability of a rally continuation is low,
which means we won’t get a bullish signal unless the price breaks above the 56736)level.
If it does break, we can expect a rally, though some rejections may occur along the way.
“GER40 Heist in Progress – Bearish Blueprint Deployed!”🦹♂️💼 “Operation: Black Forest Heist” – DAX Day/Swing Trade Plan 💼🦹♀️
📍Thief Trading Style | CFD Tactical Chart Blueprint | GER40 Recon Mission
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Movers, Risk Raiders & Precision Planners 🧠💸,
Suit up for a clean-cut operation on the Germany 40 (GER40) Index! 🎯
With our sharp-edged Thief Trading blueprint 🔪, we’re scanning for a potential bearish trap—market’s heating up with oversold setups and momentum cracks near key resistance. Watch for the green MA zone—we suspect it's where bullish imposters hide. 🕵️♂️📉
🔓 Entry Plan
“The vault’s cracking... get ready!”
Wait for price to breach the ATR Line (23000.0). Once the level is crossed cleanly, it’s go-time:
🧨 Use Sell Stop orders just under the breakout
🎣 Or hunt pullback setups on 15m/30m charts with Sell Limit entries at resistance
🔐 Stop-Loss Strategy
Keep it tight. Protect your loot.
🚧 Place SL around swing high/low on the 4H chart (e.g. 23400.0)
⚖️ Adapt SL based on lot size, risk appetite, and number of entries
🎯 Target Zone
Mission Objective: 22600.0
Or exit earlier if the security alarm (price action shift) starts ringing. Don't get greedy—get out smart. 💼🚪💨
📉 Market Outlook:
Current trend: Neutral but suspiciously wobbly – early signs of bearish dominance. 🐻
This trade aligns with multiple signals:
📊 Technical: Consolidation near highs
💼 Fundamental: Macro & news risks
🧠 Sentiment: Crowd leaning long = opportunity for reversal
📰 Caution Note – News Events = Laser Tripwires
Stay sharp during releases!
Avoid new setups when big headlines drop
Use trailing stops to secure gains on running trades
Position smart, manage tighter, act quicker 🕶️
💥 Smash that Boost Button if this plan sharpens your edge or adds value to your mission! 💥
Together, we move like shadows and strike like lightning—Thief Traders never miss a clean setup.⚔️🕵️♀️
Stay tuned for the next raid… the market’s full of opportunities waiting to be unlocked. 🗝️🚀