DXY Dollar Index Review: The US Dollar flexes its muscles again.
Chart analysis suggests a medium-term uptrend in the dollar index, signaling growing strength in the U.S. dollar. The current price range between 96 and 97 has effectively prevented further declines and has acted as a strong support and demand zone.
For any further downward move to occur, the price would first need to retest and break this zone—but only after a temporary rise and corrective upward movement, which may take some time to unfold.
Further analysis points to price stabilization in the medium term, with a potential for a sideways to upward trend developing within the 97 to 110 range.
In this scenario, three potential price targets can be outlined:
First and most probable target: 100.30 – 101.70
Second, possible target: 103.20 – 104.30
Third and final target: 107.10 – 110.10
Current price: 98.31
Stop loss: Below 95.90
Market indices
#Nifty - Levels for Aug 2025 Date: 09-08-2025
Nifty Current Price: 24363.3
Pivot Point: 24746 Support: 24412 Resistance: 25081
Upside Targets:
| Target | Price |
| ----------- | ---------|
| 🎯 Target 1 | ₹25335 |
| 🎯 Target 2 | ₹25589 |
| 🎯 Target 3 | ₹25905 |
| 🎯 Target 4 | ₹26221 |
Downside Targets:
| Target | Price |
| ----------- | ---------|
| 🎯 Target 1 | ₹24158 |
| 🎯 Target 2 | ₹23903 |
| 🎯 Target 3 | ₹23587 |
| 🎯 Target 4 | ₹23271 |
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Trading update on NASDAQ 100
MEGA Cycle ended?
Greetings, traders!
The markets are at a critical juncture, and it's essential to prepare for what could be a significant correction in the NASDAQ 100 and, by extension, the broader stock market. Here's my analysis and outlook based on current price action, key levels, and technical indicators.
Potential for a 21% Decline in the NASDAQ 100
As I highlighted in the attached daily and weekly charts:
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The NASDAQ has completed its five-wave impulsive structure, signaling the potential end of a major bullish cycle. We are now in the midst of a corrective phase, which appears to be unfolding in the form of an ABC correction. This correction suggests that Wave C, the final leg down, is still in progress, with room for further downside.
Break of Structure (BOS):
A Break of Structure has occurred, confirming the bearish sentiment. Coupled with the presence of an unfilled gap overhead, it's clear that sellers are currently in control.
Key Fibonacci Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 16,210 is a critical level to watch. A break below this support could open the door for a more extended drop to the 0.75 retracement at 13,200, representing a 21% decline from current levels.
Trendline at Risk:
The ascending trendline that has supported the NASDAQ since its 2022 lows is being tested. If this trendline breaks, it will likely trigger a cascade of selling pressure, accelerating the move to our projected downside targets.
Broader Market Implications
The NASDAQ often serves as a barometer for risk appetite in the financial markets. A sharp decline here could have ripple effects across other indices and sectors, particularly tech-heavy and growth-focused stocks. Watch for potential spillovers into the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, which could amplify market-wide volatility.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
Gap area near 21,600–21,800.
This zone is likely to act as a supply area if the market attempts any retracement.
Support:
16,210 (0.618 retracement) – Initial target and a potential temporary bounce zone.
13,200 (0.75 retracement) – Ultimate target if bearish momentum persists.
Trading Strategy
For traders looking to capitalize on this potential move:
Short Positions:
Consider shorting retracements into resistance zones like the gap area or the 0.25 Fibonacci level.
Use 16,210 as a primary profit target, with a portion of the trade left to run toward 13,200 if bearish momentum accelerates.
Risk Management:
The markets remain volatile, so ensure you have clear stop-losses in place to protect against unexpected reversals.
Watch for Confirmations:
Monitor volume spikes, candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), and breaks of key levels like the ascending trendline for additional entry confirmations.
Final Thoughts
The NASDAQ and broader markets are entering a critical phase. While the correction presents risks, it also provides opportunities for traders and investors who stay vigilant and disciplined.
Remember, patience and preparation are key to navigating volatile markets like these.
Stay sharp, stay informed, and trade smart.
Lord MEDZ
NASDAQ Index (US100 / NASDAQ) Analysis:The NASDAQ index has shown strong bullish momentum recently and is currently trading near a key resistance level at $23,500.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to break above $23,500 and selling pressure emerges, we could see a downward correction toward $23,310. A break below this level could extend the decline toward $23,000.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price successfully breaks and holds above $23,500, it could support further upside toward $23,600 as the first target. With continued bullish momentum, the price might reach $23,750.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 Reversal Confirmed: Is the Rally Over?The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) may have just hit its ceiling. In this video, I break down the technical evidence pointing to a confirmed reversal—including key candlestick formations and indicator signals that suggest the recent rally is losing steam.
The bearish engulfing candle on both the daily and weekly, along the monthly RSI divergence is signaling a deeper correction. Our initial target for this week is the previous high with a bounce for a much deeper correction which will be analyzed next week so stay tuned to all my updates and new publications. Thank you and have a great trading week. Cheers!!
S&PS&P 500 waiting for overbought of 240 min. If it pass 6427 net resistance is about 6615. at this resistance there is a chance to drop 1 oversold of timeframe 240 min. however, it is on a long up trend, which the mid period target is 6952 (2-4 months). however, during this period it may go direcly to 6952 or down for 1 oversold of timeframe day or 240 min is OK. Note that the very importance supporting line,which should not be lower is at 4841. if it not fall below this point. S&P still on the uptrend.
Dow Jones Index (US30 / Dow Jones) Analysis:The Dow Jones index is currently moving sideways and is trading near the $44,000 level.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If selling pressure leads to a break below the $43,800 area, the index may drop to test the $43,300 level, which is considered a critical support in the short term.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
The price may test PDL (Previous Day Low) at $43,800 as a support zone and bounce upward. If the index breaks and holds above $44,100, this could lead to a continuation toward $44,520, and then to $45,000, a key resistance zone.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
US500 Short Setup: Bearish Momentum Toward 6205Currently holding a short position on the US500 from the 6358 level, based on Smart Money Concepts. Price has tapped into a premium zone within a higher time frame supply area, showing clear signs of distribution. Liquidity has been swept above recent highs, and a shift in market structure confirms bearish intent. I’m targeting the 6205 level, expecting a rapid downside move in the very short term as smart money drives price toward discounted levels.
DXY Poised for Bullish Expansion After Accumulation PhaseThe DXY appears to be completing a corrective phase, transitioning into a potential accumulation zone. Price action shows signs of compression, reduced volatility, and higher lows, suggesting that sellers are losing momentum while buyers begin to absorb liquidity.
This behavior often precedes an expansion phase. If current structure holds, we may soon see a bullish breakout, with price aiming to reclaim previous highs or key resistance levels. A confirmed breakout above the immediate consolidation range could provide a strong signal for long setups.
I'm watching for:
A clear break and retest of local resistance
Bullish confirmation via volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD crossover)
Continuation patterns (flags or bullish order blocks)
As always, risk management is key. This is not financial advice — trade according to your plan.
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US100 - Bullish trajectory to fill the inbalance zones!Over the past week, the US Tech 100 (US100) experienced a sharp decline, dropping into a significant support zone. During this bearish move, several fair value gaps (FVGs) formed on both the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, which remain unfilled. Currently, price action is retracing upward, aiming to fill these imbalances. The structure of the market suggests that both bullish and bearish scenarios are in play, depending on how price reacts to key levels marked by these FVGs and Fibonacci retracement zones.
Bearish Resistance
The first major area of resistance is located around the $23,160 level, which has just been tapped. This zone presents a strong potential turning point due to the confluence of a 1-hour and a 4-hour fair value gap, which perfectly align with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden pocket. This cluster of technical signals increases the probability that this level will act as a strong supply zone, potentially initiating a rejection back toward the lower support area.
Bullish Support
On the downside, a key level to watch is around $22,900. This zone marks a 4-hour FVG that was formed during the recent upward move. Importantly, this area also coincides with the golden pocket from that very same leg up, offering a compelling confluence for bullish support. If price revisits this level, it may act as a strong demand zone, providing a springboard for the next leg higher, particularly if buyers step in aggressively to defend it.
Bullish Trajectory
If support at $22,900 holds, the bullish trajectory suggests a possible continuation toward the $23,400 region. This upper target contains a large overlapping 1-hour and 4-hour FVG that remains unfilled. Historically, price tends to revisit and fill such imbalances before choosing a definitive direction. A bounce from the lower support zone and a successful break of the $23,160 resistance could pave the way for a clean move toward this higher target, completing the FVG fill sequence.
Final Thoughts
The US100 is currently navigating a key technical crossroads. With multiple unfilled fair value gaps and well-aligned Fibonacci levels on both the upside and downside, the next few sessions will be critical in determining short-term direction. If the $23,160 resistance continues to hold, a pullback to $22,900 could offer a high-probability long setup, while a clean break above this resistance opens the door to filling the higher FVGs.
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USNAS100 Volatile – Key Level at 23440 in FocusUSNAS100 – Market Overview
The indices market remains highly volatile following the latest developments regarding the Federal Reserve Chairman.
The situation remains tense, with the possibility of one rate cut this year still on the table.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 23440 will keep bullish momentum intact, targeting the All-Time High (ATH) at 23690, with further potential toward 23870.
Bearish Scenario:
A 1H close below 23430 would shift the bias to bearish, targeting 23295, and possibly lower.
Resistance: 23570 – 23690 – 23870
Support: 23295 – 23180 – 23045
#NIFTY_MID_SELECT - 400 POINTS SWING ON CARDS?Date: 28-07-2025
#Midcap - Current Price: 12898.95
Pivot Point: 12905.825 Support: 12763.711 Resistance: 13048.719
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 13133.222
Target 2: 13217.725
Target 3: 13334.688
Target 4: 13451.650
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 12678.818
Target 2: 12593.925
Target 3: 12476.963
Target 4: 12360.000
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Aug ~12th UpEssentially, the resistance below has turned into a huge wall of support.
Going to need a few days to consolidate, but the ingredients are there and ready to cook. Maybe not exactly on the 12th. Expect rally to last until early Sept. once it starts.
Not giving any start or SL because I suck at technical analysis. You do you.