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US30 sellOverall Trend: The overall trend has been bullish, but there has been a breakout below the ascending trendline. The price is currently retracing towards support zones. Key Levels: Main Resistance: Range between 45,208 - 45,300 (upper red zone) Main Support: Range between 44,300 - 44,500 (lower red zone) Important Mid-Level: Around 44,866 Trading Scenario: After hitting resistance, the price has started a correction. The highlighted green area marks a potential entry zone. 📉 Trading Signal: 🔹 Enter Short Position: If the price pulls back to the 44,600 - 44,700 area and shows signs of bullish weakness, a short position could be considered. 🔹 Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone at 45,208 (e.g., around 45,300) 🔹 Take Profit: First level at 44,300 Second level at 43,663 (shown on the chart) Third level at 43,140 if the downtrend continues 🔹 Risk Management: The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade seems reasonable. Reassess the trade if the price breaks above 44,866. ✅ Conclusion: Currently expecting a bearish correction, but if reversal candles or weakness in sellers are observed at support levels, there might be a chance for a trend change.
DJ:DJIShort
by ehsancrypto72
Will Russia’s New Dawn Reshape Global Finance?As the Russo-Ukrainian War edges toward a hypothetical resolution, Russia stands poised for an economic renaissance that could redefine its place in the global arena. Retaining control over resource-laden regions like Crimea and Donbas, Russia secures access to coal, natural gas, and vital maritime routes—assets that promise a surge in national wealth. The potential lifting of U.S. sanctions further amplifies this prospect, reconnecting Russian enterprises to international markets and unleashing energy exports. Yet, this resurgence is shadowed by complexity: Russian oligarchs, architects of influence, are primed to extend their reach into these territories, striking resource deals with the U.S. at mutually beneficial rates. This presents a tantalizing yet treacherous frontier for investors—where opportunity dances with ethical and geopolitical uncertainties. The implications ripple outward, poised to recalibrate global economic currents. Lower commodity prices could ease inflationary pressures in the West, offering relief to consumers while challenging energy titans like Saudi Arabia and Canada to adapt. Foreign investors might find allure in Russia’s undervalued assets and a strengthening ruble, but caution is paramount. The oligarchs’ deft maneuvering—exploiting political leverage to secure advantageous contracts—casts an enigmatic shadow over this revival. Their pragmatic pivot toward U.S. partnerships hints at a new economic pragmatism, yet it prompts a deeper question: Can such arrangements endure, and at what cost to global stability? The stakes are high, and the outcomes remain tantalizingly uncertain. This unfolding scenario challenges us to ponder the broader horizon. How will investors weigh the promise of profit against the moral quandaries of engaging with a resurgent Russia? What might the global financial order become if Russia’s economic ascent gains momentum? The answers elude easy resolution, but the potential is undeniable—Russia’s trajectory could anchor or upend markets, depending on the world’s response. Herein lies the inspiration and the test: to navigate this landscape demands not just foresight, but a bold reckoning with the interplay of economics, ethics, and power.
RUS:IRUSLong
by UDIS_View
STOXX50 Maintains Bullish Momentum — Targeting $5,605ICMARKETS:STOXX50 remains within a well-defined ascending channel, with the price showing a rebound from the midline of the channel. This suggests a continuation of the broader uptrend, with the next potential target near 5,605, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. A minor pullback could present a potential entry opportunity if buyers maintain control. Confirmation through bullish candlestick patterns—such as bullish engulfing or hammer formations—may strengthen the bullish case and drive momentum toward the 5,605 level. A breakdown below the channel’s lower boundary would invalidate the bullish outlook and could indicate a potential shift in market direction. Monitoring how price reacts around the midline will be crucial for assessing continued bullish momentum. Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
ICMARKETS:STOXX50Long
by TrendDiva
My NQ Long Trade Idea 26/2/2025I am long on NQ but with a very small lot size because we have NVIDIA earnings coming up and I don't want to fall a victim to the nasty spike that's about to happen. I am going long on the NQ mainly because US stocks are well known to bounce back up. They are always likely to bounce back up than continue to fall down unless we are entering a recession and we are going through an AI bubble burst. I believe Tariffs are some-what bullish for stocks but nothing is clear yet. I believe the FED are going to surprise us in the next few weeks with a data that will be bullish for US economy. So this could be the bottom for the next few weeks and months I am not sure whatever I say is just speculation based on what the economy is doing. I will take the super safe trade style here. Trailing my SL whenever I enter into profit and I find a support on smaller timeframes.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by stingotho
Will DAX go for another all-time high?It seems that geopolitics are the key driving force of the MARKETSCOM:DE30 bulls. The current news on a possible end of the war in Ukraine is helping boost trader morale. Let's dig in! XETR:DAX What are your thoughts on this? 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DE30
by Marketscom
DOW pullback triggered by weak US consumer confidenceThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. The key trading level is at 42980, the previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43800 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average). This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⚡Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors driving DXY focus on U.S. economic conditions, Fed policy, and global currency dynamics. Interest Rates: U.S. Federal Reserve: Rates steady at 3-3.5%, down from 2024’s 4.5-5%. Fed officials stress data dependency, with no cuts signaled despite weak PMI (50.4) and jobless claims (219,000 vs. 215,000 forecast). Real yields (10-year Treasury at 3.8%, ~1% inflation-adjusted) support USD. Other Countries: ECB at 2.5%, BoJ at 0.25-0.5%, BoE at 4-4.5%—U.S. yield advantage persists, though narrowing. Impact: Bullish for DXY, tempered by global easing. Inflation: U.S.: PCE at 2.6% YoY (Jan 2025), above the Fed’s 2% target, with producer inflation hotter-than-expected (X posts). Inflation fears linger, supporting USD. Other Countries: Eurozone at 2.8%, Japan at 2.5%, UK at 2.5-3%—global inflation pressures USD rivals less. Impact: Bullish, as U.S. inflation sustains Fed hawkishness. Economic Growth: U.S.: Mixed signals—PMI at 50.4 (near stagnation), jobless claims up, but ADP jobs beat at 183,000 (Jan 2025). Tariffs add uncertainty. Other Countries: China at 4.5% (slowing), Eurozone at 1.2%, Japan at 1%—U.S. outperforms peers. Impact: Mildly bullish, U.S. resilience aids USD. Safe-Haven Flows: USD competes with JPY and CHF amid tariff risks and geopolitical flare-ups (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East). Recent yen strength (X posts) pressures DXY. Impact: Mildly bearish, global risk-off challenges USD dominance. Trade Balance: U.S. deficit persists, but Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) aim to bolster USD via trade shifts. Impact: Bullish long-term, short-term neutral. ⚡Macroeconomic Factors U.S.-focused with global context: U.S. Policy: Fed’s tighter stance vs. global easing (ECB, BoJ) favors USD. Trump’s tariff threats add volatility, potentially strengthening USD via trade protectionism. Global Growth: 3% (Morgan Stanley), with China slowing and Eurozone stagnant (PMI 46.2). U.S. relative strength supports DXY. Commodity Prices: Oil at $70.44 pressures import-heavy peers (Japan), mildly weakening JPY vs. USD. Currency Dynamics: Yen strength and EUR softness (EUR/USD below 1.0500) drag DXY lower recently, ⚡Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Hypothetical COT (mid-Feb 2025, CME): Large Speculators: Net long USD ~70,000 contracts (down from 80,000 post-110 peak), cooling after profit-taking. Commercial Hedgers: Net short USD ~80,000, hedging export exposure as tariffs loom. Open Interest: ~150,000 contracts, stable, reflecting U.S. trader engagement. Key Insight: Speculative longs suggest bullish bias, but moderation hints at consolidation. ⚡Market Sentiment Analysis Includes retail, institutional, and corporate traders: Retail Sentiment: U.S. retail traders likely 60% short DXY at 106.000 (hypothetical broker data), betting on yen/CHF gains. Contrarian upside risk if shorts unwind. Institutional Traders: U.S. funds (e.g., Citi, HSBC) mixed—bearish short-term (DXY to 96.87, Citi Hong Kong), bullish long-term (WalletInvestor to 119.193). Sentiment leans cautious. Corporate Traders: U.S. exporters hedge at 106.50-107.00, neutral as tariffs loom; European firms favor EUR weakness. Social Media (X): notes yen-driven DXY weakness, sees bearish momentum to 106.15—trending bearish. Broker Data: U.S. IG sentiment ~55% long—balanced positioning. ⚡Quantitative Analysis Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (106.30), 200-day SMA (105.50)—price below 50-day, above 200-day, neutral signal. RSI: 45 (daily), bearish momentum fading, room for reversal. Bollinger Bands: 105.80-106.80 range, 106.000 at midpoint—consolidation likely. Fibonacci: 38.2% retracement from 110.00-102.50 at 105.62—key support holds. Volatility Model: Implied volatility (1-month) at 7%, suggesting 0.75-point monthly range (±0.7%). ⚡Intermarket Analysis USD/JPY: At 150.00, yen strength pressures DXY; drop to 145 could accelerate declines. EUR/USD: Below 1.0500, EUR weakness supports DXY mildly. Gold: XAU/USD at 2940 (risk-off proxy) inversely pressures USD. Equities: S&P 500 range-bound (5960-6120) reflects stability, neutral for DXY. Bonds: U.S. 10-year yield at 3.8% vs. JGB at 0.9%—yield gap aids USD. ⚡News and Events Analysis Recent: Trump’s tariff threats (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China, Feb 23-25) fuel risk-off, pressuring DXY via yen strength (X posts). Weak U.S. PMI and jobless claims offset by PCE at 2.6% (Jan 2025). Upcoming: U.S. PCE data (Feb 28) critical—hotter data could lift DXY, softer data bearish. Fed rhetoric pending. Impact: Bearish near-term from risk-off, bullish potential from Fed stance. ⚡Overall Summary Outlook DXY at 106.000 balances U.S. resilience (Fed policy, inflation) against global risk-off pressures (tariffs, yen strength). Fundamentals favor USD long-term, but macro risks and sentiment (retail shorts, X bearishness) suggest near-term softness. COT shows cautious longs, quant signals consolidation, and intermarket flows (gold rise, yen strength) lean bearish. Short-term dip to 105.50-105.91 likely, medium-term range-bound with a bullish tilt if Fed holds firm. ⚡Future Prediction Bullish Case: DXY to 108.00-110.00 by Q2 2025 if PCE/Fed bolster USD, tariffs lift trade flows, and risk-on resumes. Bearish Case: Drop to 103.50-105.00 if yen/CHF surge, tariffs falter, or Fed dovishness emerges. Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 105.50, then bullish to 108.00 by mid-2025, driven by Fed policy divergence. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
S&P500 - we have the buyers rejecting the sell off , chasing ATHHi guys we would be taking a look into the S&P500 after a strong resistance showed by the buyers who denied the sell off, below find detailed technical analysis. The strong ascending channel gives us the following uptrend perspective This performance reflects a robust upward trend, with the index showing resilience despite recent market fluctuations. A notable aspect of this rally is the broadening market participation. While technology giants previously led the charge, 2025 has seen a shift. The healthcare sector has risen 7.1% year-to-date, and consumer staples have surged 8.3%, indicating a defensive investment strategy by investors. This diversification suggests a healthier market foundation, reducing reliance on a few large-cap stocks. From a technical perspective, the S&P 500's position near its all-time high is a positive indicator. Historically, investing at market highs has not precluded further gains. Data from 1950 to 2023 shows that even when investments were made at all-time highs, returns over one, two, and three-year periods were close to the average return of the index. This historical resilience suggests that the current levels may serve as a foundation for continued upward momentum. In summary, the S&P 500's approach to its all-time high, combined with broad sector participation and supportive historical data, paints a positive technical picture. While market dynamics are subject to change, the current indicators support a favorable outlook for the index's continued performance. Entry: 5,995 Target: 6,130 SL: 5,850
SP:SPXLong
by DG55Capital
US30FU- Small sell opportunities setting upHello, Another easy future to trade on Trade Nation is the US30FU. US30FU is the ticker symbol for the "Wall Street 30 - Rolling Future," which is essentially a futures contract tracking the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (often abbreviated as "US30"). In other words, it's a derivative instrument that lets traders speculate on or hedge against movements in the US stock market index. The chart above shows that the future is forming a corrective pattern (Expanding triangle). This provides us with a clear trade direction both when the price is coming down or going up. From the current point, look for sell positions to the trendline at the bottom. We shall then look for buy positions to the top again. Zero crossover on the MACD will confirm the small sell setup. You can have your stop loss above the previous top. Good luck & happy trading
TRADENATION:US30FUShort
by thesharkke
SAHAM INDONESIA JATUH SEJATUH - JATUH NYA ? IDX30 ANALISAIDX30 WILL PLUNGE TO ITS LOWEST POINT!! BEWARE!! ⚠️📉 Narrative: The Indonesian stock market, particularly IDX30, is under massive pressure and is preparing for a deeper decline! With increasing global and domestic economic uncertainty, investors must be extra cautious about the potential sharp correction in the market. Factors Driving IDX30 Down: Global Economic Uncertainty 🌍🔥 With the threat of a recession in major economies, China's economic slowdown, and commodity price volatility, Indonesia's market is also affected. Foreign investors have started pulling funds from emerging markets, including Indonesia. Inflationary Pressure & Interest Rate Policy 💰📉 Although Bank Indonesia has maintained interest rates, inflationary pressure remains high. If the Fed delays rate cuts, foreign capital outflows may continue, further weakening IDX30. Rupiah Weakening & Real Sector Struggles 📉💵 A continuously weakening Rupiah poses a serious threat to IDX30-listed companies with USD-denominated debt. Additionally, declining consumer purchasing power is hurting business growth in the consumer and manufacturing sectors. Massive Sell-off by Institutional Investors 🚨 Data shows a significant outflow of foreign funds from Indonesia’s capital markets. Large-scale sell-offs by institutional investors could accelerate the decline in IDX30 stock prices to key support levels.
IDX:IDX30Short
by degentor
CAC INTRADAY Uptrend continuation pattern breakout? The CAC (F40) equity index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the rising support trendline zone. The key trading level is at 8060 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 8060 level could target the upside resistance at 81960 followed by the 8220 and 8277 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 8060 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 8038 support level followed by 7980. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:F40
by TradeNation
Measured Moves: Understanding Harmonic SimplicityFew tools in trading are forward-looking and adapt to current volatility, Measured Moves do. Unlike traditional indicators, Measured moves offer a structured way to project price targets and turning points with no lag. Let’s take a deep dive into the harmonic simplicity of the measure move and look at how it can be applied to real-world market conditions. What Are Measured Moves? A measured move is a price projection technique that assumes market swings tend to repeat in a proportional manner. By taking the length of a prior move and projecting it forward, traders can identify potential areas where price might react, either as a turning point or a continuation zone. This makes measured moves one of the few truly predictive tools in technical analysis—offering guidance without the lag that comes with moving averages or oscillators. Beyond their predictive nature, measured moves are inherently adaptive. Markets move through phases of expansion and contraction, meaning fixed-length indicators can become unreliable when volatility shifts. Measured moves, by definition, adjust to the prevailing market conditions, making them particularly effective in dynamic environments. Example: DXY Daily Candle Charts Measured Move DXY Daily Candle Charts: Measured Moves Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Timing Profit-Taking with Measured Moves One of the most effective uses of measured moves is in setting profit targets. In trending markets, traders often struggle with the decision of when to exit—too early and they leave gains on the table, too late and they risk giving back profits. A measured move provides a logical framework for identifying where price may run out of steam. The process is straightforward: take the length of a completed impulse move and project it from the swing low (in an uptrend) or swing high (in a downtrend) of a subsequent pullback. If price approaches this level and momentum starts to fade, it suggests a natural area for taking profits. This method ensures that you don’t rely solely on intuition or arbitrary levels but instead use market-driven symmetry to guide exits. Example: FTSE 100 Breakout on Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Entering Two-Legged Pullbacks Measured moves are also very useful for timing entries in corrective pullbacks—especially in two-legged retracements, which are common in trending markets. Price rarely moves in a straight line; instead, pullbacks often develop in two distinct waves or A,B,C,D pattern before resuming the dominant trend. This pattern can be frustrating for traders who enter too early, only to see price dip lower before the trend continues. By measuring the size of the first pullback and projecting it forward, traders can anticipate the likely endpoint of the second leg. When price reaches this level and starts to stabilise, it provides a higher-probability entry for traders looking to trade with the trend. This technique works particularly well when combined with broader support or resistance levels, reinforcing key zones where buying or selling pressure may return. Example: Gold Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Combining Measured Moves with Candle Patterns Measured moves provide price-based structure, but confirmation from price action can refine entries and exits even further. Candlestick patterns help traders gauge sentiment at key measured move levels, offering a layer of confirmation before taking action. For profit-taking, if price reaches a measured move projection and forms a reversal pattern—such as a shooting star in an uptrend or a hammer in a downtrend—it strengthens the case for locking in gains. Conversely, for entries, a two-legged pullback that completes at a measured move level becomes even more compelling when a bullish engulfing pattern or pin bar forms, signalling potential trend continuation. By combining measured moves with candlestick confirmation, you avoid acting on rigid projections alone. Instead, you can use price action cues to validate measured move levels, improving decision-making and reducing false signals. Summary: Measured moves provide a structured, adaptable approach to navigating price action. Whether used for profit-taking or timing pullback entries, their ability to adjust to volatility and offer forward-looking projections makes them a valuable tool in a trader’s arsenal. When combined with candlestick patterns, they become even more effective, offering both precision and confirmation in a market that thrives on uncertainty. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:UK100Education
by Capitalcom
DOW JONES Cup and Handle completed and eyes a new ATH.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Inside this pattern, four Cup and Handle (C&H) formations have occurred with the most recent one, about to complete its Handle this week. All such C&H patterns, rebounded to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back. As a result, our Target before May remains 46400. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TradingShot
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