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Nifty 50 Outlook and Derivatives Analysis — 04 Aug 2025 1. Market Snapshot — Nifty 50 on 01 Aug 2025 On Friday, 1 August 2025, the Nifty 50 opened at 24,734.90, surged to an intraday high of 24,784.15, hit a low of 24,535.05, and closed at 24,565.35 — a net decline of 203 points or approximately –0.82% from the prior close (~ 24,768.35). The session began cautiously, briefly challenging early resistances before turning lower amid broad profit-taking. Selling intensified in the latter half of the day, as weak global cues dragged indices, causing price to revisit intraday lows near 24,535. Despite bulls’ attempt to reclaim the 24,780–24,800 zone, they were swiftly pushed back. The closing fall erased mid-week gains, reflecting scattered sectoral weakness. Volume levels were steady but breadth remained negative, pointing to limited conviction from buyers. In summary, a mixed start followed by technical weakness allowed the index to close below the opening mark, reinforcing a mildly bearish bias ahead of the new trading week. 2. Top Gainers & Losers — 01 Aug 2025 (Nifty 50 Stocks) • Top Gainers: Clean Science (SCIEN), G R Infraprojects (GRINFRA), HDFC Bank (HDFCBANK), Vodafone Idea (IDEA), and Tata Motors (TATAMOTORS) were identified among Nifty 50’s top gainers based on high relative strength and trading momentum. Exact open prices or point-by-point moves were not disclosed in publicly available platforms. • Top Losers: Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddy’s, Adani Enterprises, Tata Steel, and Cipla were the largest decliners in the index, with losses ranging from –3% to –4.5% intraday. Sun Pharma led the downturn, falling approximately 4.5%, while Dr. Reddy’s and Tata Steel saw sharp cuts following weak results and sectoral headwinds. Overall, sectors like pharma, metals, auto, and IT weakened sharply, whereas only PSU banks, select infra names, and defense-heavyweights displayed relative resilience. No Nifty stock posted gains above +3%; FMCG and life insurance stocks provided only modest support. 3. Support & Resistance for 04 Aug 2025 — OI & Range Analysis • Max Call OI (Resistance): The ₹25,000 strike shows the highest open interest among call options for the upcoming weekly expiry, suggesting strong resistance and short interest around 24,900–25,000. • Max Put OI (Support): The ₹24,500 put strike has the largest position buildup, implying a solid floor near 24,500. • Trading Range: The implied trading band for Monday appears to be 24,500–25,000, within which price is expected to oscillate without fresh catalysts. A sustained break either below 24,500 (toward 24,200–24,300) or above 25,000 (toward 25,200–25,400) may reinforce directional momentum. 4. Technical Indicators & Timeframe Signals ▪ RSI (14 Day) RSI is hovering around 40–42, indicating mild bearish pressure but not deeply oversold—implying limited momentum left for a sharp bounce. ▪ MACD MACD remains negative with the MACD line below the signal line and shrinking red histogram bars, suggesting that while the downtrend persists, its momentum may be easing. ▪ Pivot Points (Classic Method) Calculated from the previous session’s high, low, and close: • Pivot ≈ 24,628, • R₁ ≈ 24,721, R₂ ≈ 24,877, • S₁ ≈ 24,472, S₂ ≈ 24,379. Notably, R₂ (~24,877) aligns closely with OI resistance; S₁ (~24,472) is just below the key 24,500 support. • A bullish demand zone exists around 24,500–24,550, where price consistently found buyers intraday—correlating with put OI at 24,500. • A bearish supply zone forms near 24,900–25,000, where intraday rallies repeatedly failed—reinforced by high call OI at the 25,000 strike. Traders may look for long entries near 24,550 with tight stops and consider trimming positions toward the high 24,900 levels. 5. Gann Outlook — Extended Support, Forecasted Resistance Using Gann’s classic rules and midpoint levels: • Midpoint of the 52 week range (≈ 26,277 high, ≈ 21,744 low) places a significant reference at ≈ 24,000, a level still respected as long as the index trades above it. • Gann’s square of nine and angle methods highlight 25,000–25,100 as a natural resistance band—coincidentally matching the options-derived resistance zone. • Downside remains capped near 24,000; below it, negative Gann-based extension targets emerge (e.g., approx. 23,800). Conversely, a hold above 24,500 could lead to a rebound toward 25,200–25,600, consistent with Gann-era time cycles and chart patterns. Conclusion & Trading Outlook As Nifty opens on 04 August 2025, it is snugly contained within a 24,500–25,000 trading channel. The index is attempting to stabilize near 24,565, down ~0.82% from Friday, while technical momentum tools (RSI, MACD) remain subdued. Support at ≈ 24,500 is anchored by strong put writing and order block demand; resistance at ≈ 25,000 is buttressed by call OI, pivot calculations, and Gann psychological significance. With no breakout signals yet, expect range bound trading: dips should find support near 24,500, and rallies are likely to stall near 24,900–25,000 unless global triggers emerge. A breakdown below 24,500 may lead to 24,200–24,300; a clean break above 25,000 on volume could open pathways toward 25,200–25,400. Suggested strategy: • Consider shorts near 24,900–25,000 with tight stops just above 25,050. • Explore longs near 24,500–24,550, with stops sub 24,450 targeting 24,700–24,800. Traders should remain focussed on cues from U.S. markets, currency moves, FII flows, and commodity cycles—these often influence directional biases in the early part of each week. For now, the bias remains cautiously bearish, though technical oversold signals plus firming near term support may offer a tradable rebound setup if news flows improve. Conclusion- Disclosure: The publisher of this idea is not a SEBI registered analyst. The information shared here is solely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The publisher does not endorse social media shares on any platform.
NSE:NIFTY
by shvishal
Anticipating DJIOn the daily timeframe, the current position of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is projected to follow one of three possible scenarios: Scenario 1 (Black Label): DJI is currently in the process of forming Wave iv of Wave , implying that any short-term rebound is likely to be limited. The index may test the resistance area between 43,953–44,142, but remains vulnerable to further downside correction thereafter. Scenario 2 (Red Label): In this scenario, Wave 4 is considered complete, allowing DJI to resume its upward momentum. A breakout would signal the start of Wave 5, targeting the 45,324–46,465 range for a potential new higher high. Scenario 3 (Blue Label): Here, DJI is assumed to be in the midst of Wave 4 of Wave (5). A corrective move is expected first, potentially revisiting the support zone around 42,262–43,028, before continuing its bullish trend to form a new higher high.
TVC:DJI
by herdityawicaksana
NIFTY Toot Sakta Hai?! | US-Russia War Impact ExplainedHey traders, Serious geopolitical tension is brewing between the U.S. and Russia, and if things escalate, we could see a major shake-up in global markets — including our very own Nifty 50. Here’s my view: 🔹 24,500 is the immediate level to watch. If this breaks down with volume, 24,000 is next, and things could get ugly quickly. 🔻 In a worst-case escalation, Nifty may drop all the way to 23,500 – 21,000. Yes — that deep. And it won’t be a straight line. 💡 My trading strategy? I’m avoiding heavy longs Hedging with puts Staying in cash or safe sectors Watching global cues, especially crude oil and the India VIX 📉 Protect capital first — opportunities will come later. Like, comment your view, and don’t forget to subscribe for more real-time market updates. Stay sharp, stay safe! #Nifty #StockMarketIndia #USRussiaWar #Geopolitics #NiftyAnalysis #TradingStrategy
NSE:NIFTY
by abhisheksinghchauhan
Dow Jones August GameplanNow that the first trading day of August has printed, can one reliably forecast the possible month based on just the first day? I am inclined to believe that one can with a small amount of accuracy. Not perfect. There are two types of monthly cycles when the first traded day is a bearish candle right from the open of the month. Type 1 is a bearish trending cycle that trends lower and lower. It is then followed up by small number of bullish pullbacks halfway through the month before rolling back over and closing near the lows. Type 2, more common, is when the first traded day is bearish right from the get-go as well, trades lower but reverses near the beginning of the month before trading higher than the open and forming a bullish bar. So, in my opinion, there are only two probably outcomes for August. Type 1: Type 2:
TVC:DJIShort
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
1
What the Next CPI Print Could Do to the S&P500What the Next CPI Print Could Do to the S&P500 A technical and macro setup ahead of the inflation release Next week’s CPI report could be one of the most important data points of the quarter, not just for the Fed, but for traders watching the S&P500 (SPX) at these elevated levels. We’ve seen inflation data act like a volatility trigger in recent months, especially when it diverges from market expectations. And with the S&P flirting with key resistance, the stage is set for either a breakout or a reversal. Let’s break down both the macro implications and the technical chart setup heading into the release. Why CPI Matters? If headline CPI comes in hot, markets may price in fewer Fed cuts this year. Yields spike and SPX often reacts with a sharp pullback. If inflation cools faster than expected, the Fed may stay dovish. That typically gives SPX and risk assets broadly room to breathe higher. Current expectations: - Headline CPI: 3.2 percent - Core CPI: 3.4 percent Anything above those numbers is risk-off. Anything below supports the soft landing narrative. Technical Setup on SPX On the 4H and daily chart, here’s what we’re seeing: - Price hovering around a key resistance zone between 5,660 and 5,680 - Rising wedge structure starting to form, typically a bearish sign near market tops - Bearish RSI divergence on 1D chart - Volume has been declining on recent pushes higher, showing lack of conviction Key Levels - Support: 5,615 and 5,575 - Breakout Target (if CPI is dovish): 5,750 to 5,770 - Downside Target (if CPI surprises hot): 5,500 to 5,480 Watch for a volatility spike on the release and be cautious about chasing the first move. My Play I’m personally staying flat heading into the data. Too much chop, not enough conviction. But I’ll be watching for: - A false breakout trap above 5,680 followed by reversal as a possible short setup - Or a clear retest and hold above 5,700 with volume, which may confirm further upside CPI has become the new FOMC. Be patient and reactive, not predictive. Final Thought CPI prints used to be background noise. Not anymore. This one matters, and SPX is sitting in a technical pressure cooker. Whatever side you lean toward, come in with a plan and don’t trade the first candle.
FX:SPX500
by Farzadvajihi
1
#DAXDate: 01-08-2025 #DAX Current Price: 23680 Pivot Point: 24193.295 Support: 23822.409 Resistance:24566.692 Upside Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 24882.344 🎯 Target 2: 25197.995 🎯 Target 3: 25574.758 🎯 Target 4: 25951.520 Downside Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 23505.502 🎯 Target 2: 23188.595 🎯 Target 3: 22811.833 🎯 Target 4: 22435.070 #TradingView #Nifty #BankNifty #DJI #NDQ #SENSEX #DAX #USOIL #GOLD #SILVER #BHEL #HUDCO #LT #LTF #ABB #DIXON #SIEMENS #BALKRISIND #MRF #DIVISLAB #MARUTI #HAL #SHREECEM #JSWSTEEL #MPHASIS #NATIONALUM #BALRAMCHIN #TRIVENI #USDINR #EURUSD #USDJPY #SOLANA #ETHEREUM #BTCUSD #MATICUSDT #XRPUSDT #Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTA #TradingView #PivotPoints #SupportResistance
XETR:DAX
by Abc_trades
Russell2000 Key Trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 2194 Resistance Level 2: 2210 Resistance Level 3: 2227 Support Level 1: 2154 Support Level 2: 2135 Support Level 3: 2113 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US2000
by TradeNation
Stoxx50 sideways consolidation continuesKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5464 Resistance Level 2: 5500 Resistance Level 3: 5580 Support Level 1: 5152 Support Level 2: 5097 Support Level 3: 5044 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:STOXX50
by TradeNation
FTSE oversold bounce backThe FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 9026 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 9026 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 9170 – initial resistance 9208 – psychological and structural level 9245 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 9026 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 8990 – minor support 8950 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9026. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
DXY for this week Technical Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders with Neckline Retest Current Market Situation The chart shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern. The neckline has been broken to the upside, providing a strong signal for potential continued bullish momentum. The price is currently in the neckline retest phase, a critical area to confirm the bullish trend before further upward movement. Key Zones Retest Zone (Pullback): 98.300 – 98.700, an important support area. Demand Zone: If price dips further, an additional support zone lies between 97.500 – 97.000. Monthly Trendline: Offers long-term structural support, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Potential Scenarios ✅ Bullish Scenario (Preferred): If the price holds above the retest zone and neckline: Target 1: 101.000 Target 2: 102.500 – 103.500 ⚠ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation): A break below 97.000 invalidates the bullish scenario and opens the door for deeper downside movement. Conclusion The market shows strong bullish potential after confirming the neckline retest. 97.000 is the key invalidation level for the bullish setup. Price action around the retest zone and demand area should be monitored closely before entering trades. ⚠️ Trade at your own risk – We are not responsible for any losses.
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingWithMohamad
DOLLAR INDEX DXYThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a measure of the value of the United States dollar (USD) relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies. It reflects how strong or weak the dollar is compared to these currencies collectively. The index was created by the Federal Reserve in 1973 The six currencies included in the basket and their approximate weightings are: Euro (EUR): 57.6% Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6% British Pound Sterling (GBP): 11.9% Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1% Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2% Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6% The DXY is calculated as a weighted geometric average of the dollar's exchange rates against these currencies. When the dollar strengthens against this basket, the index rises; when it weakens, the index falls. The index is widely used by traders, investors, and economists to gauge the overall strength of the U.S. dollar in global currency markets and to inform trading and economic decisions. In essence, the Dollar Index provides a standardized barometer of the U.S. dollar's value against its major international trading partners' currencies. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 98.684 of August 1, Friday market close. July saw the DXY record its first monthly gain in 2025 (rising nearly 1%) as a a result of the demand floor on ascending trendline acting as dynamic support .but selling has resumed at the start of August on ADP data report, the current supply roof presents resistance to upswing capping gains on economic outlook and immigration enforcement concern. Key Fundamental Drivers (August 2025): Fed Policy & Inflation: The Federal Reserve kept rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in July, but persistent inflation (core PCE up to 2.8% YoY in June) and the impact of new U.S. tariffs are keeping rate cuts on hold for now. Tariffs & Trade Policy: Fresh, globally-applied U.S. tariffs announced at the end of July have heightened risk aversion, helped the dollar find support, and stirred inflation concerns—as import price increases feed into core inflation data. Interest Rate Differentials: While the Fed holds rates high, other central banks (especially the ECB and BOE) are signaling further easing. The resulting policy divergence still gives the dollar some support, but large inflows into alternative markets (e.g., eurozone equities, gold, yen) have also pressured the greenback. Safe-Haven Flows: Risk-off sentiment amid trade tension and global policy uncertainty continues to prompt investors to seek the relative safety of the dollar, limiting its downside. Composition: The DXY measures the value of USD relative to a basket of currencies: euro (57.6%), yen (13.6%), pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). The path ahead depends on upcoming U.S. inflation prints, additional Fed commentary, and how global markets react to ongoing trade disputes and central bank moves. Longer term, The DXY remains under pressure at the start of August 2025 but is showing tentative signs of stabilization just below the key 100 mark. The trend will hinge on Fed policy, global inflation data, and the impact of new tariffs on both inflation and global risk appetite. If buying breaks and close above weekly resistance roof then 104-103 can be reclaimed. trading is 100% probability ,manage your risk and know that any key level can fail. #dollar #dxy #money #eurusd #gbpusd #audusd #usdjpy
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
Nifty August TDX Levels -Observation: The month has erupted with a bearish undertone, casting shadows over the market’s horizon. It’s a turbulent start, fraught with uncertainty . Bulls: Despite the indicators flashing oversold, there’s a flicker of hope—a glimmer that a resilient bullish pattern might awaken on a smaller time frame. Yet, patience is vital; we must wait for that decisive moment when the market reveals a clear bullish formation before boldly stepping in. Bears: Since the dawn of last month, relentless downward momentum has engulfed the markets . Now, only a tentative pullback, should tempt us to initiate fresh short positions, for the risk-reward landscape remains perilous and unkind. Conclusion: The true opportunities lie at the crucial junctures—those key Support and Resistance levels, pausing points within the intricate dance of Time Cycles. It is only when these points are reached that we should reassess with clarity and resolve. The probability of an Impulsive wave surging forth is high; the current Corrective wave has hit its targets, yet its story remains unfinished—setting the stage for a potential dramatic turn in the market’s saga. For sharper insight and a more profound understanding, I urge you to view the chart through the hourly lens. Only then can the full emotional weight and strategic clarity of these movements come into focus.
NSE:NIFTY
by nakuna