Get started

Market indices

India vs ChinaYear to date, NIFTY has underperformed China - but not recently. Nifty outperformed HSCEI by nearly 20% pts between mid-Mar to mid-Apr and the over the last 2 months, gave back nearly half of these gains! What happened next? The pullback appears to be a "flag" pattern - typically a bullish continuation - if this breakout holds (stays above 2.9 for NIFTY/HSCEI), Then the measuring implication is a whopping 3.5 - an outperformance of 18-20% pts. Long Nifty/ HSCEI, currently ay 2.95; stops at 2.85
NSE:NIFTYLong
by IronFlyLtd
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 04/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 25500 zone. This places it right around the consolidation zone seen in the previous sessions, between 25400 and 25550. If Nifty sustains above 25550, it may trigger a fresh upward move with immediate targets at 25600, 25650, and potentially 25750+. This breakout level should be watched closely for bullish confirmation before entering long positions. However, if the index fails to hold above the consolidation zone and slips below 25400, it could open the door for a downside move. A short opportunity may arise below 25400, targeting levels at 25350, 25300, and 25250. This would indicate a breakdown from the consolidation and suggest renewed selling pressure. Traders should remain cautious within the consolidation range and act only on confirmed breakout or breakdown levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 22,509.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 22,150.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 23,264.68 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(04/07/2025)Bank Nifty will open with a gap-up near the 56950 zone, placing it close to an immediate resistance area. If the index sustains above the 57050–57100 level, it indicates bullish strength and could trigger a further upward move toward 57250, 57350, and potentially 57450+. This level acts as a breakout zone for upside momentum. On the other hand, if the price faces resistance around 56950–57000 and starts reversing, a short opportunity opens below 56950–56900, with targets placed at 56750, 56650, and 56550. In case Bank Nifty falls further and breaches the 56450 mark, it may signal a strong breakdown and continuation of the downtrend, leading to lower targets around 56250, 56150, and 56050. However, if the index takes support at the 56650–56600 zone and shows signs of reversal, it can provide a buying opportunity for a bounce back toward 56750, 56850, and 56950. Overall, the day’s strategy should be reactive to these key levels, with trades initiated only upon proper price action confirmation. Use trailing stop-loss to protect profits and exit partially at key target levels.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
S&P 500 ($SPX) Nests Upward in Strong RallySince bottoming out on April 7, 2025, following the tariff war selloff, the S&P 500 (SPX) has sustained a robust rally. The Index is reaching new all-time highs in a clear Elliott Wave impulsive structure. Technical analysis, particularly momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), shows no divergence at the latest peak. This indicates sustained bullish momentum and suggests the rally remains within the third wave of the Elliott Wave sequence. From the April 7 low, wave 1 concluded at 5968.6. A corrective wave 2 followed which ended at 5767.41. The index has since nested higher within wave 3, demonstrating strong upward momentum. Breaking down the substructure of wave 3, the hourly chart below reveals that wave ((i)) peaked at 6059.4. The subsequent pullback in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag pattern. Wave (a) declined to 5963.21, and wave (b) rebounded to 6050.83. Wave (c) concluded at 5941.4, completing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree. The index has since resumed its ascent in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) reached 215.08 and a minor pullback in wave (ii) ended at 6177.97. The SPX is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with potential pullbacks finding support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing against the 5941.4 level, setting the stage for further gains. This analysis underscores the index’s bullish outlook, supported by technical indicators and Elliott Wave structure, as it navigates higher within this impulsive cycle.
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Morning -- ☀️☀️☀️ What an amazing last full week of June that was as we pulled out of corrective territory and onto new ATHs with the SP:SPX body of its weekly candle moving +3.41% -- bottom to top. The weekly move open-to-close was +$98.40 as that is how I gauge my volatility metrics. This in comparison is closest in value to IV entering the week as it was stating an implied move of +/-$102.08, which was a volatility read of 16.34% -- As you see in reflection of the weekly chart below and within daily candle structure, price action moved upwards all week surpassing quarterly marks. This in turn is raising short-term volatility and lowering monthly averages as we rotate higher. Here is the weekly price action of the TVC:VIX from a 5m perspective. This is showing the EOW trend break upwards drilling the indices back down -- A healthy pullback after being seemingly over-extended. This happened during the news cycle release of the U.S. and Canada reciprocal tariff disagreement. Hopefully this settles over the weekend and we rotate higher into the 4th of July week. Now looking towards this holiday week -- We have the SP:SPX IV (13.29%) after melting during the ATHs move previously -3.09% -- This places IV on the sliding yearly spectrum at the 39% down range showing increasing discount in yearly value. Remember, If you form option positions IV affects VEGA 1% at a time and the algos bid down IV in contracting markets as they rotate higher. HV10 (12.46%) has hinged down and still is contractive per IV prediction but, increasing in comparison with a ' strength of IV ' now showing 94% entering this week. As the TVC:VIX has closed at $16.32 -- I believe that there is still a little room to extend potentially upwards to the HV10 weekly range of $6253.59. Currently, the SP:SPX YTD return is +4.96% with weekly momentum pointing up and room for volatility to still decrease. If this mark is reached it would put the YTD return at +6.52%. Very feasible and realistic being halfway through the year and going into the 4th of July 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 Watch as we climb the wall of worries around us. This would in turn decrease short-term volatility more maybe even to a bottoming point and IV would melt during the rotation upwards with the VIX slowly grinding down. Come back next week as we review what happened within the implied ranges posted and overlook the volatility potentially bottoming and looking towards a VIX spike in the near future. Remember to know your ABCs and stay hedged against your bias! CHEERS!
CBOE:VIXLong
by splitmyIVandmelt
2
USA Economy Long-Term Outlook:The long-term outlook for the U.S. economy , as of mid-2025, is characterized by several key factors and some uncertainty, particularly around tariffs and monetary policy. GDP Growth: The U.S. economy experienced a contraction in Q1 2025 (down 0.2-0.5% GDP), the first in three years, partly due to a surge in imports and a sharp cutback in consumer spending. Economists anticipate a bounce back in Q2 2025 (forecasted at 3% growth). However, the overall expectation for 2025 is for growth to decelerate significantly (e.g., Vanguard projects 1.5% GDP growth for year-end 2025, EY forecasts 1.5%, Trading Economics 1.7%, J.P. Morgan 2.1%). The second half of 2025 is expected to see a "pronounced demand cliff" due to front-loaded purchases ahead of anticipated trade restrictions. Inflation: Tariffs are a significant factor impacting inflation. CPI growth is expected to average around 2.9% in 2025 and potentially accelerate to 3.2% in 2026, moderating to around 2.3% by 2029 (Deloitte). Core PCE inflation is expected to climb to the 2.8-3.0% range year-over-year in Q3 2025 - Q3 2026 as tariffs filter through the economy (University of Michigan). The Federal Reserve is closely watching tariff-induced price spikes. Interest Rates/Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve is likely on hold with interest rates for now, but two more rate cuts are anticipated later in 2025 if the labor market remains stable (Vanguard). Some forecasts suggest the Fed will resume cutting rates in July 2025, reaching a terminal range of 3.25-3.5% by mid-2026 (University of Michigan). However, the uncertainty around tariffs and their impact on inflation could influence the Fed's decisions. Labor Market: The labor market has been cooling but remains stable. The unemployment rate is expected to increase throughout 2025, potentially reaching 4.3% (Morningstar), 4.7% (Vanguard), or even 4.8% by year-end (EY). Job gains are predicted to decelerate significantly in the second half of 2025 due to tariffs. Tariffs: Tariffs are a major source of uncertainty. While some recent de-escalation in trade policy with China has led to positive revisions in the outlook, the long-term impact of tariffs remains a concern, with potential to lower GDP growth, raise inflation, and weaken the labor market. The expectation is that tariffs will be at least modestly higher than at the start of 2025. In essence, the long-term economic forecast for the USA suggests continued growth, but at a more moderate pace than recent years, with ongoing vigilance required for inflation and labor market dynamics, heavily influenced by evolving tariff policies.
SP:SPX
by ITManager_US
China50 to find sellers at current swing high?CHN50 - 24h expiry Selling posted close to the previous high of 13800. 13868 has been pivotal. Bespoke resistance is located at 13800. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. We look for a temporary move higher. We look to Sell at 13795 (stop at 13875) Our profit targets will be 13555 and 13505 Resistance: 13699 / 13760 / 13800 Support: 13600 / 13510 / 13431 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:CN50USDShort
by OANDA
1
BIST30 (USD) Monthly: Head & Shoulders Confirmed? Neckline RetesType: Bearish The Turkish Stock Market (BIST30 or XU030), when viewed in US Dollar terms on the monthly chart, presents a textbook Head and Shoulders (H&S) topping pattern. We can observe the Left Shoulder, a higher Head, and a lower Right Shoulder, indicating waning bullish momentum at the peak of what has been a significant rally. The fact that this pattern is forming on the monthly timeframe underscores its long-term significance, suggesting a major structural shift rather than just a short-term correction. The Neckline Break & Retest: Crucially, the BIST30 (USD) has recently broken below its multi-month neckline, a key support level that connected the lows between the shoulders and the head. This breakdown served as the initial confirmation of the H&S pattern. What we are witnessing now is the classic retest of this broken neckline. Price has rallied back towards this former support, which now acts as strong overhead resistance. This retest often provides a 'last kiss goodbye' before the larger bearish move unfolds. The market's reaction at this retest level will be paramount. A strong rejection from the neckline, potentially accompanied by increasing bearish volume or bearish candlestick formations on lower timeframes (e.g., weekly), would further validate the H&S breakdown and strengthen the bearish outlook. Potential Price Target: Based on the classic H&S methodology, we can project a potential price target. By measuring the vertical distance from the peak of the 'Head' to the neckline and projecting it downwards from the breakdown point, we derive a preliminary bearish target around 220 USD for BIST30 (XU030)
BIST:XU030Short
by synsvki
1
US100 rises sharply, with further upside target of 23,000At this stage, US100 continues to ride a dominant ascending channel structure, maintaining a consistent bullish structure supported by strong fundamentals as well as technical positioning. The current price action reflects a high-confidence trend environment, underpinned by steady economic resilience in the U.S. tech sector and growing investor optimism surrounding AI-driven growth and corporate earnings. This alignment between structure and sentiment reinforces the strength of the current trend. What’s especially encouraging is how the price has remained in the upper half of the ascending channel. Every corrective move has been shallow and absorbed quickly as well. This kind of behavior is exactly what you want to see in a strong trend. From a structural perspective, the recent break of the prior swing high confirmed a bullish break of structure (BOS), reinforcing the broader uptrend. That’s a meaningful move, not just technically, but also psychologically, as it validates that bullish momentum remains intact and market participants are still positioning for higher levels. No signs of weakness are showing up yet. If anything, the structure is intact and there’s no evidence of a shift in momentum. This makes it a good opportunity for traders who are "late to the party" to consider entering, as the trend still looks strong and continuation is likely. As for upside targets, the 23,000 level is a natural extension. It aligns with the middle of the channel and fits within the current rate of expansion. If we don’t see any warning signs (like impulsive bearish candles), this target remains both technically justified and psychologically relevant. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TrendDiva
25
Dow Jones in Long-Term Fibonacci Channel📈 Dow Jones Weekly | Fibonacci Channel in Play Since 2020 The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been trending within a well-defined Fibonacci channel on the weekly timeframe since the 2020 lows. 🔹 The price has consistently respected the Fibonacci levels as tilted support and resistance lines—a technical behavior that adds weight to this structure. 🔹 Three major horizontal support/resistance zones are clearly active and validated multiple times (highlighted on the chart). 🔹 Currently, the index is approaching the upper boundary of the downtrend resistance. 📌 The setup suggests it's only a matter of time before we retest this dynamic resistance zone, with potential rejection or breakout to follow. 🎯 Target zone around 45,000 as marked—aligning with previous highs and the upper resistance confluence. Stay tuned—momentum is building. #DowJones #DJI #FibonacciChannel #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #StockMarket #Resistance #Support #Trendlines #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #US30 #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
DJ:DJILong
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName
Could we see the price rise from here?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance. Pivot: 97.10 1st Support: 96.70 1st Resistance: 97.77 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
Nonfarm Payroll and some other news 03.07.2025Nonfarm Payrolls surprisingly turned out to be moderate. These are excellent arguments for the Fed not to touch the rate, since labor market is their main mandate along with inflation. At the same time, stock market is showing steady growth and overheating in some places. What should the US economy be saved from by lowering the Fed rate? From Trump's future decisions, or create an influx of liquidity for a good picture so that Trump can further report on GDP growth? These questions should be asked by engaged Fed chairman. At 5:00 PM, an interesting ISM services report was released: the growth of new orders against background of falling employment immediately makes us wonder why then such a level of applications to Nonfarm. The answer is simple, Elon Musk fired a lot of employees during his short career in the White House.
SP:SPX
by Aleksey_Ponomarev_2022