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$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
SP:SPX
by TazmanianTrader
Rebound lik a champ, monitor the vol c if the guests left early?Hello everyone! How was your zentradingstrategy? Hope everyone embrace with the retracement. Sell on news? or Buy the dip? What did we noticed on yesterday news? pfft..Distraction, distraction... but here you go for today 😂😂😂: www.tradingview.com **Shares in Hong Kong surged 520 points or 2.3% to 23,555 on Wednesday, shifting from a weak session the day before amid robust gains across all sectors.** Look at the HSI D Chart - posted 25Feb2025 - 26Feb2025 at point of writing; the index seems doing quite well since open this morning, trying to stay above the support level 22990. Yesterday trading volume: finance.yahoo.com Date Volume Feb 26, 2025 Feb 25, 2025 4,449,800,000 Feb 24, 2025 5,264,600,000 Look at the 4H chart PEPPERSTONE:HK50 The last Oct Hi @ 23241 has been broken hence retracement is not a surprised! MACD - last marked WAS deadcross and curving down as marked in YELLOW. After 8 bars-it reversed as marked in GREEN. KDJ - WAS at bearish zone curving down; and now reversed and turned bullish in green zone. BB - now moving above the mid line of BB from yesterday ranging within the mid-line. 22990 resistance level now reversed as SUPPORT level. Hopefully the retracement is completed. Let's monitor especially the volume see if this is just a rehearsal. Today Trade Plan: 23150-23670 (ahemmm...trust you can do the math 😂) Buy into support : 23150 -23175 (TP :23600-23630) Sell at resistance : 23465-23670 (TP : 23450-23500) Monitor the 1H,4H movement with confirmation using MACD & KDJ indicator. Set your tf, have your entry and exit plan! Pay attention to the Goldencross/DeadCross; practice makes perfect. Let's follow our own strategy and zen with 📙 and 🍵. Happy Trading everyone! Reminder : start to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point. HKEX:2800 - 22.90-22.82 if it happens to retrace back to this level, otherwise anytime NOW is entry point! It's confirmed by the 200MA (above in W chart) ; also the W chart MACD GoldenCross. Cross-check it; if need helps let us know. HKEX:2823 - 13.17-14.75 can start to open position and start accumulate, is allowed to wait for confirmation once it breaks 14.75 level. But you will be getting at higher cost... HKEX:2801 HKEX:3067 ** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea or need help! 😍 **
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by ChenQianYu
Elliott Wave View: Bearish Sequence in Nifty Favors DownsideShort Term Elliott Wave View in Nifty shows an incomplete bearish sequence from 9.27.2024 high. Decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 9.27.2024 high, wave ((A)) ended at 23263.15 on 11.21.2024 low and wave ((B)) rally ended at 24857.75 on 12.5.2024 high. The extreme target lower for wave ((C)) is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((A)). This area comes at 19964 – 21842. Wave ((C)) is currently in progress with subdivision as an impulse Elliott Wave. Down from wave ((B)), wave (1) ended at 22786.9 and wave (2) rally ended at 23807.3 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave (1), wave A ended at 23632.45 and wave B ended at 23222. Wave C higher ended at 23808.27 which completed wave (2) in higher degree. The Index has resumed lower in wave (3). Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 22798.35 and wave 2 ended at 23235.5. The Index resumed lower in wave 3. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 22725.45 and wave ((ii)) ended at 23049.95. Near term, while below 23808.27, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
NSE:NIFTY
by Elliottwave-Forecast
JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend., driven by several key factors. ➜Fundamental Analysis 1. Economic Indicators: Japan's economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace, driven by domestic demand and exports. 2. Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained an accommodative monetary policy stance, with negative interest rates and quantitative easing. 3. Corporate Earnings: Japanese corporate earnings have been improving, driven by strong export growth and domestic demand. ➜➜Macroeconomic Factors 1. Inflation: Japan's inflation rate remains low, at around 0.5%. 2. Interest Rates: The BOJ's negative interest rate policy has helped to keep borrowing costs low. 3. GDP Growth: Japan's GDP growth is expected to be around 1.5% in 2023. ➜➜COT Data 1. Non-Commercial Traders: These traders hold a net long position in JP225 futures, with 52.3% of open interest. 2. Commercial Traders: Commercial traders hold a net short position in JP225 futures, with 47.7% of open interest. ➜➜Market Sentiment Analysis 1. Bullish Sentiment: 53.2% of investors are bullish on JP225. 2. Bearish Sentiment: 46.8% of investors are bearish on JP225. ➜➜Positioning Analysis 1. Long Positions: 56.1% of investors are holding long positions in JP225. 2. Short Positions: 43.9% of investors are holding short positions in JP225. ➜➜Quantitative Analysis 1. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 55.6, indicating a neutral market sentiment. ➜➜Intermarket Analysis 1. Correlation with Other Markets: JP225 has a positive correlation with other Asian markets, such as the Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite. 2. Commodity Prices: JP225 has a positive correlation with commodity prices, such as copper and oil. ➜➜News and Events Analysis 1. BOJ Meetings: The BOJ's monetary policy decisions can impact JP225. 2. Japanese Elections: Japanese elections can impact JP225, depending on the outcome. ➜➜Next Trend Move Based on the analysis, the next trend move for JP225 is likely to be bullish, with a potential target of 40,500. ➜➜Future Prediction Based on the analysis, the future prediction for JP225 is bullish, with a potential target of 42,500 in the upcoming months. ➜➜Overall Summary Outlook JP225 is expected to remain in a bullish trend, driven by improving corporate earnings, a moderate economic growth outlook, and accommodative monetary policy. However, investors should remain cautious of potential market volatility and economic uncertainties. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
ICMARKETS:JP225Short
by Thief_Trader
#015 Trust The Process SG30SGD Buy 1127SGT 24022025Buying at the rebound of the major trendline. Currently, my PNL is at -9.66R floating plus confirmed and exited orders. Let's go. Shall come back later. --- Consistency. What if I randomly took buy and sell positions? Would I still be able to be a consistent loser? While waiting for orders to come in at 1am just now(I work as a food delivery rider), I was thinking about my soccer betting stint. My father and I we were betting on our own accounts, and we both encountered similar situations. Using our own strategies, we both found short term consecutive successes which ended up being losers where we lost everything in our account. I even recorded the bets I took, and some key stats like odds, winrate between the home and away team, and both teams previous track records. Here's the key thing that I am thinking about that is related to my trading question above. Since soccer betting has different elements from trading. 1 - 3 way bets 2 - Unfavourable RRR Could I, find a way to balance the elements to be more like trading?(For another time, I think I know what I could do. But, we have to first figure out about how to be a consistent loser, first, while randomly taking buy and sell positions.) Assuming that trading is a 50 50 game(which my past 9 years plus of trading data suggests otherwise), then, if I were to take trades randomly, I would eventually reach 50 50 winrate, assuming I have taken into account the spread and commission. Currently, I am taking trades with good intentions. Good intentions means, taking trades in the direction of the trend, and if price is in a range, I take positions at key S&R levels where price previously turned at. What if I threw it all to the wind? Even winds have patterns. So, is it truly random? Are my buys and sells truly random? Or is it who I am that is causing a pattern to form, that helped me be consistently losing, regardless of the randomness I thought I am bringing to the table? Now, what If i remove myself and input a true random number generator? Too much thoughts. As of now, I know I am consistently losing. Now I learn to embrace it and use it in my favour in 2025. Navin from Urban Forex says, "Do you want to be right, or do you want to make money?" Currently, I am stuck at the level of having to mind-F myself into believing that my intentions are good and beneficial, in order for me to take the correct trades that would cause me to lose money consistently in the long run so that I could take the opposite is true trades on my money making accounts which I must not let my immune system know, exists because if my immune system knows the eyes exists aka the real money making account, then, I would begin to self sabotage. But, what if I let the immune system believe that the eyes has always been around(which is true) and that the immune system has gotten a concussion and forgotten past memories such as the eyes existing, which, I mean, would be me taking "random" trades since I would lose in the end, and then, taking the opposing positions on my real money making account? 1155SGT 24022025 Anyway, I am losing money now consistently, losing half the account already, now I am sitting on 50k capital or so, from my initial 100k capital. I risk 5k per trade, so, now my realised plus unrealised PNL sits at -10R, so all is good. Don't think of techniques, those are bullshit meant to trap you. And youtubers use those fanciful, beautiful, colourful techniques, asking you to balance on a tight rope while walking in the air between two cliffs which if you fall off from, would spell D_E_A_D. And guess what? Most people fall off that tight rope act. And most of them die. What you want to do is to prepare a parachute, which would catch you when you fall. And with this backup, you could be 放肆(fang4 si4), reckless, wanton, with, because you know you will fall, that's why you dare to do such ridiculous acts on the tight rope. If falling is your intention and you have to fall in order to escape, then, get yourself a parachute(real real money making account on the side. Eyes, without letting the immune system aka body know, exists.), and start behaving crazily, because falling is the only way for you to be successful and escape. 1204SGT 24022025
OANDA:SG30SGDLong
by goh8888lester
SPX Targets Being Hit - More Downside Ahead?SPX & NDX Targets Hit – But More Downside Ahead? | SPX Market Analysis 26 Feb 2025 Is the bear move done, or do we have more downside left? Honestly, who cares when you have a solid process? The bear swing is rolling along nicely, with the first SPX and NDX tranches hitting profit targets. For now, price action is still making lower highs and lower lows, so I’m staying in the bear camp a little longer. But before I think about flipping to bullish trades, I want to see price climb above 5970 and start forming a V-pattern back into the prior range. That said, new trades will be on pause for a few days because my lovely wife has surprised me with a trip to The Lakes! A bit of fresh air, hiking, and spotty internet means I’ll be taking a conservative approach for the rest of the week—but that doesn’t mean I won’t be keeping an eye on things. Let’s break it down. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: The bear swing remains in play, and first targets have been cashed out on both SPX and NDX income swings. Right now, price action continues to show lower highs and lower lows, which keeps me leaning bearish. 📌 Key Market Levels: ✅ SPX breakout target: 5820 – still room for downside ✅ NDX has surpassed multiple breakout targets we discussed in our Fast Forward Mentoring ✅ VIX remains under 20, suggesting no major crash yet, but continued selling is possible For me to flip bullish, I’d want to see: 📌 SPX reclaiming 5970+ 📌 A V-pattern developing back into the prior range 📌 Confirmation that downside momentum is slowing Another reason I’m not rushing into new positions—aside from waiting for confirmation—is that I’ll be in and out of internet connection this week thanks to my wife’s surprise hiking trip to The Lakes! That means I’ll be keeping a more conservative approach, locking in profits where I can and not forcing any trades while I’m away. For now, the plan stays the same: ride the bear swing, cash out at targets, and wait for the next confirmed move before flipping bullish. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2008, Volkswagen briefly became the most valuable company in the world when a short squeeze sent its stock price soaring 400% in just two days—forcing hedge funds to take billions in losses. 💡 The Lesson? Just because a stock (or market) is moving down doesn’t mean it won’t snap violently back up. That’s why having a trade plan is critical—so you’re never caught off guard.
USI:ADDShort
by MrPhilNewton
SPX Distribution day? I made an analysis on the SPX chart, and will be cautious about the latest index movement. I’ve been studying the SPX chart since the bull run began in October 2023, and the recent daily candlestick action with rising volume is concerning. Over the last 1.5 years, I identified five major distribution days. In the previous four, we didn’t see a follow-up surge in volume despite the price dropping below the 50-day SMA, nor did we see divergences in S5FI (S&P 500 trading above their 50-day simple moving average) or S5TH (S&P 500 trading above their 200-day SMA). However, from late December until now, SPX hasn’t made a higher high and seems stuck in a range. Over the last four sessions, all red candles showed increasing volume, each surpassing the 50-day average volume. I also see a divergence in S5FI and S5TH since September, which could signal either a simple bull-run pullback or a larger correction. For now, I’m sitting on cash, monitoring potential catalysts, and ready to initiate a small short position if more bearish signals appear.
SP:SPXShort
by Matthew852
S&P 500 Market Discourse: A Resilient Ascent Toward 6125 Appears It is becoming increasingly evident that the S&P 500 has delineated a formidable bottom, laying the groundwork for an impending resurgence of bullish momentum. A confluence of technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors suggests the index is poised for an elegant ascent, with 6125 emerging as a plausible target in the forthcoming horizon. The recent retracement, though disconcerting to the unseasoned observer, bears the hallmarks of a market in the throes of recalibration rather than capitulation. Price action has exhibited a graceful reverence for established support structures, while diminishing sell-side velocity intimates a waning bearish resolve. Such behavior is quintessentially indicative of an impending reversal, as astute market participants gradually reassert their influence. Technically, the landscape is increasingly conducive to a bullish revival. Momentum oscillators, having languished in oversold extremities, now signal the nascent stirrings of upward impetus. Volume dynamics further reinforce this narrative, as the tapering of distribution suggests an ebbing tide of pessimism. Notably, harmonic price structures and Fibonacci retracement confluences lend credence to the hypothesis that the recent nadir represents a durable cyclical inflection point. From a fundamental vantage, the market’s capacity to endure macroeconomic vicissitudes and adapt to shifting monetary postures exemplifies its inherent fortitude. Corporate earnings have displayed an admirable resilience, while liquidity conditions, though fluid, remain sufficiently accommodative to sustain risk assets. As sentiment steadies and capital migrates back to equities, the gravitational pull toward higher valuations is likely to accelerate. In summation, the prevailing evidence suggests that the S&P 500 has gracefully navigated its corrective phase and now stands on the precipice of a renewed ascent. Absent an exogenous shock of profound magnitude, the index appears destined to reclaim lost ground, with 6125 serving as a beacon for the ensuing bullish expedition.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by MarkLeRoy
1
NASDAQ Three conditions met for strong BUYNasdaq is trading inside a Channel Up in 2025 and today the price reached its bottom. At the same time it marginally crossed under the MA100 (1d), making today's low the best technical buy opportunity since January 27th. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 22370 (+6.92% rise like the previous two bullish waves). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) got oversold on the same level as the Jan 27th low. Overall, an oversold RSI on Nasdaq's last 6 month price action, has been a great buy opportunity. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingBrokersView
DOW JONES Bull Flag completed. Massive rally ahead.Dow Jones / US30 has completed a Channel Down on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. This pattern is nothing more than a Bull Flag based on September's similar structure that also hit the 0.5 Fib and 1day MA50 and bottomed. This time, the 1day RSI is also on a Rising Support. Both corrections took place after a +8.15% rise and September's then went on to rebound to the 1.5 Fib extension. Buy and target 46700. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TheCryptagon