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Nas100/US100 Short Setup based on Fundamentals Hello everyone. We have seen the Nasdaq form a new local top at the 22k area and is now heading back down. There are many reasons why price is falling but remember this only a temporary sell off as the master trend on the highest time frame is up not down. Today (Friday 20th June) is OPEX. $6.6 Trillion of options are set to expire today and the Max Pain level is 21,500. Price could drive there to render most options worthless. Institutions and hedge funds have increasingly added short positions or are sitting on the side lines. Indicating lack of buying from the larger players for the time being. Buying volume is lower than the selling volume at the top of this rally. We have 2 weeks roughly until trump tarrifs are implemented and not many trade deals have been made. Iran-Israel conflict with a possible US involvement. FED is leaning towards a more hawkish approach due to tarrifs but says the US economy is still growing. How I am looking at this for the near future. In the chart I have marked my entry, My SL, My Max TP and where I would take partials on the way down. I may also even scale in more if I see the opportunity. Thanks for reading.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by JohnDeMelon
S&P500 calm reaction to geopolitical riskGeopolitics: The US launched airstrikes on Iran, raising global tensions. Iran has vowed to retaliate, and Israel isn’t backing down. Trump warned of more action if Iran doesn’t make peace. The US issued a global travel alert, airlines are avoiding the Gulf, and Japanese banks may pull staff from the region. Oil is in focus, especially with tankers avoiding the Strait of Hormuz. Markets: Reactions were calm overall. The US dollar gained, oil prices rose briefly, and stock futures were mixed as investors waited to see what Iran does next. Corporate News: BNY Mellon is reportedly in talks to merge with Northern Trust, which could lead to a major deal in the banking sector. Tesla launched its first robotaxi service in part of Austin, aiming to spark new growth after a sales slump. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6018 Resistance Level 2: 6043 Resistance Level 3: 6070 Support Level 1: 5910 Support Level 2: 5870 Support Level 3: 5845 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 23, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 23, 2025 – Monday 🔴 👊 Tug of War Between Optimism and Pessimism Nifty opened with a sharp 140-point gap-down, weighed by geopolitical tensions and negative news cues. The mood was clearly pessimistic — yet, from the deep low of 24,824.85, bulls made a bold comeback. What followed was a classic textbook reversal:Price clawed back up, cutting through multiple key resistances — S1, VWAP, CDH, CPR BC, and Central CPR — before kissing the CPR TC, where it marked the day high at 25,057. This level acted as a supply zone and pushed Nifty back down toward the CPR BC, where it managed to close above the open — a quiet victory for the bulls, even in a red session overall. The level 24,825 has now proven itself once again — the market’s respect for this support zone grows stronger with every bounce. Today’s candle was a spinning top-style doji and also formed an inside bar, with all movement inside Friday’s wide-range candle (352 pts). Despite a smaller 232-point range today, this still requires caution — inside bars after large-range candles often result in false breakouts, especially amid macro noise. 📌 When the world looks bearish, and the chart looks bullish — trust your system.And that’s exactly what I did today — sticking to the Gladiator Strategy, a simple, disciplined intraday price action-based option buying framework. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,939.75 High: 25,057.00 Low: 24,824.85 Close: 24,971.90 Change: −140.50 (−0.56%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 32.15 pts (small green body) Upper Wick: 85.10 pts Lower Wick: 114.90 pts 🔍 Interpretation Despite a lower close than Friday, it was a green-bodied candle (close > open). Long lower wick shows strong buying near 24,825. Long upper wick signals resistance near 25,050–25,060. 🕯 Candle Type 📍 Spinning Top with Long Wicks — Sign of indecision, but slight bullish bias due to buying off the lows. 📌 Key Insight Support at 24,825 holds strong. Upper rejection near 25,050 indicates tight overhead pressure. Watch closely: Break above 25,060 → May trigger bullish continuation. Break below 24,820 → Could open downside to 24,735–24,660 zone. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 254.95 IB Range: 163.25 → Medium IB Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced Trades Triggered: 🟢 10:14 AM – Long Trade → ✅ Target Achieved (Trailing Exit, R:R 1:4.51) 🔴 2:16 PM – Short Signal → ❌ Discarded (RR not favorable) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 24,980 ~ 25,000 25,060 ~ 25,080 25,125 ~ 25,150 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,285 Support Levels 24,965 24,894 ~ 24,882 24,825 24,800 ~ 24,768 24,735 ~ 24,725 💭 Final Thoughts Markets are currently walking a tightrope — with bearish headlines on one side and bullish price action on the other.The Gladiator approach today helped sidestep the noise and focus on what matters: price structure and clean levels. 📌 Trade the chart, not the news. And when in doubt — zoom out. 🧠 “Uncertainty is the playground of the disciplined.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
SPX500: Bearish Momentum Below 5966, Bullish Recovery Above 6010SPX500 – Technical Overview SPX500 is currently exhibiting bearish momentum, largely driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East, which are contributing to heightened market volatility. At present, the price is approaching the pivot level at 5966. A confirmed 1-hour candle close below this level would likely reinforce the bearish bias, targeting 5938, and potentially extending the decline toward 5902 and 5858. However, if the price stabilizes above 5990, we may see a retest of the 6010 resistance. A breakout above this level would shift the momentum toward the upside, with further targets at 6041 and 6098. Key Levels • Pivot: 5966 • Support: 5938, 5902, 5858 • Resistance: 6010, 6041, 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
2
Nifty levels - Jun 24, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
US30 next target releasedNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis. Steps to follow: Analyze yourself. Take the position with SL and Take Profits. Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :) Get the result. I will update the trade every day. Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger! Good trades, Traders! The golden bear
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by thegoldenbear
BankNifty levels - Jun 24, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders, DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers. With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392). There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach. Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week. Until the next update, wish you many pips!
TVC:DXYLong
by FundedTraderMarkets
4
NAS100 | Intraday buy setupTimeframe: M15 🔸 Bias: Short-term bullish (scalp to premium zone) Price just tapped into a fresh M15 demand zone following a strong impulsive leg and is now showing early signs of a reaction (entry model confirmation ✅). Liquidity has been taken beneath the short-term low, and I'm now looking for a short-term push back into the premium supply area near 21,800. 🧩 Confluences: Bullish BOS + Demand zone reaction Liquidity sweep below Asian session low Entry model + candle shift on M15 Potential reversal from discount → premium 🎯 Target: 21,800 zone ❌ Invalidation: Clean break & hold below 21,675 ⏳ Type: Intraday scalp / short-term swing “Risk managed. Liquidity collected. Now we let price tell the rest of the story.” 🚀
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by sam_trades_smc
What to Expect From FOMC and the Market’s Reaction to It? With tariffs and Middle East escalation in focus, central banks have somewhat fallen to the backstage recently. But today’s FOMC meeting might change that. The federal funds rate upper band is most likely to stay at 4.50% with a unanimous vote. However, today’s focus will not be on the interest rate itself but rather on the dot plot and updated economic forecasts. Inflation continues to move closer to the 2% target, but that trend may have shifted with the latest CPI report. Although recent inflation data came in better than expected, inflation appears to be flattening above 2% and could start rising again in the near future. Last week’s CPI and Core CPI reports showed early signs of this, and the upcoming PCE and Core PCE data could confirm those signals. Why is inflation still low despite tariffs? The main reason is frontloading. U.S. consumers and firms frontloaded many goods, especially durable good, ahead of the tariff hikes. Now, with tariffs in effect, consumption has slowed, and many firms are holding elevated inventory levels. In this environment, firms are reluctant to raise prices due to lower demand and high stockpiles. This suppressive effect is expected to gradually fade, allowing prices to rise. For that reason, the Fed is unlikely to begin rate cuts prematurely. Inflation could make a peak in the last quarter of 2025 or the first quarter of 2026 in our view. But the possible oil price spike due to Iran – Israel war could change this projection. At the March FOMC meeting when the economic projections were last updated, some of the tariff impacts were already incorporated. Inflation and unemployment were revised higher, while GDP was revised lower. Despite this, the Fed maintained its forecast of two rate cuts for both 2025 and 2026. However, since March, newly announced tariffs have been more extensive than expected. Some board members including Jerome Powell stated that. As a result, a similar adjustment to the forecasts may occur today: higher inflation and unemployment, lower GDP. Accordingly, the dot plot could show only one rate cut for 2025 and three for 2026. Why would the Fed cut more in 2026? Because the tariff impact is expected to be a one-time shock, not a structural shift. Once the effects wear off, the Fed could ease more. But there are some risks to that. According to some new research and New York FED President Williams, not only long term inflation expectations needs to be anchored, rather the “whole curve” So during a possible inflation peak came with tariff effects, FED could not cut repeatedly and should closely watch the effects on short-term inflation expectations. The main focus of today’s FOMC will be on the economic forecasts and the dot plot. If the new projections reflect only one cut for 2025, this would be bullish for the dollar. If the 2026 projection also shows only two cuts, that would be even more bullish. On the other hand, if the current forecast of two cuts in both 2025 and 2026 remains unchanged, the reaction could be slightly dovish for the dollar. During the post-meeting press conference, Chair Powell is likely to focus on uncertainties related to tariffs and energy prices, especially given the rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Powell may downplay the hawkish tone of the dot plot during the conference, potentially reducing the overall market impact. With all this in mind, the dollar index could either break out of the descending wedge formation on the hourly chart or continue drifting toward the lower boundary. Holding above the 99 level could be key for short-term price action.
TVC:DXY
by ftdsystem
Dollar Monthly CLS I Model 1 I Reversal I DOBHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
TVC:DXYLong
by David_Perk
15
FTSE pivotal level at 8854The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 8695 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 8695 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 8854 – initial resistance 8900 – psychological and structural level 8960 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 8695 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 8640 – minor support 8600 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 8695. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
NAS100 - Will the stock market continue to rise?!The index is trading in its short-term descending channel on the four-hour timeframe between EMA200 and EMA50. If there is no re-up and the channel is broken, I expect a correction to form, the target of which can be the bottom of the descending channel. If the channel top is broken, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded in the Nasdaq index. It is better to wait for confirmation in case of a breakdown in order to control the risk further. Over the past week, the Nasdaq has managed to stay within a stable range, especially despite geopolitical pressures, mixed signals from the Federal Reserve, and some concerns in the semiconductor sector. This stability is largely due to the strong fundamentals of large technology companies, the reduction in distribution days (selling pressure) in the market, and renewed expectations of interest rate cuts later in the year. At a structural level, the number of distribution days, which indicate selling pressure from large institutions, has reached a relatively low number of 3 days in the Nasdaq over the past month. This is a sign of the weakness of heavy selling at price peaks and the market's willingness to maintain long positions. Unlike trends seen in previous years, this time the market has shown no signs of widespread divergence or fundamental weakness, even despite strong inflation data or concerns about new trade restrictions with China. This trend is largely supported by the stellar performance of companies such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple and other major players in the artificial intelligence and technology sectors. Revenue growth, increased investment in AI infrastructure, as well as the return of institutional investors’ confidence in technology stocks, have led the Nasdaq to record significant returns since the beginning of 2025. Analysts from major financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, while warning of potential selling pressure on the index, remain positive about continued growth, of course, assuming that economic data does not deviate from the expected path. However, some risks are clearly visible in the trading week ahead. The most important of them is the possibility of geopolitical tensions again affecting the market. In recent days, oil prices have risen and financial markets have experienced moments of fear after tensions in the Middle East escalated and the US political response to Iran and Israel's moves. Although the Nasdaq was able to withstand these fluctuations, the market remains very sensitive to energy price spikes and their impact on inflation. Important data in the coming week could also determine the market's direction. The release of the Core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, as well as data on unemployment insurance claims, both play a key role in the interest rate outlook. If inflation data is lower than expected, the likelihood that the Fed will start cutting rates in September or November increases, which would be a bullish stimulus for the stock market and especially the Nasdaq. On the other hand, potential pressure on the semiconductor group - especially if new restrictions on technology exports to China are imposed - could disrupt the market trend. Last Friday, just one news report on the possibility of restricting exports of advanced chipsets caused the Nasdaq to fall by more than 0.6%. If this trend becomes official US government policy, it could cause a correction in stocks of companies such as Nvidia, AMD and ASML, which are heavy weights in the Nasdaq index. In addition to these factors, next week will also see the release of quarterly reports from major companies such as Micron, FedEx and Nike. The results of these reports, especially in the area of ​​sales and cost forecasts, could affect economic growth expectations. If the figures are better than expected, the Nasdaq could move towards new highs. However, if the data is released, the market could enter a short-term correction phase. In terms of correlation with monetary policy, the Nasdaq index has become more sensitive than ever to interest rates and cash flows. The dollar price, real interest rates, and the direction of Treasury bonds all now have a direct impact on the valuation of technology companies. As a result, any change in the path of monetary tightening or easing is immediately reflected in the Nasdaq’s performance. However, analysts believe that the market will remain in a “wait and see” phase until the official data is released in July. In summary, the Nasdaq index is currently in a situation where its fundamentals are supported by the profitability of large technology companies, the easing of institutional selling pressure, and the possibility of a rate cut. At the same time, the market remains highly sensitive to major geopolitical news, trade policy, and economic data. As a result, the week ahead can be considered a “two-sided” period, where opportunities and threats are in a delicate balance, and only economic data and quarterly results can tip the balance in the direction of an increase or a correction.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Cup of the Morning for DXYThe TVC:DXY seems to be forming a Cup and Handle Pattern on the 1Hr Chart! Cup and Handle pattern is considered a strong Reversal Pattern where we should expect Bullishness for the USD. After the 2nd or Equal High to the 1st was formed, Price made a Retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci level and found Support to the begin forming the "Handle" or Consolidation Phase of the Pattern. Price must Break and Close above the "Brim" or Equal Highs of the Cup @ 99.113 to Confirm the pattern! Once confirmed, we can then look for price on DXY to rise up to the next level of Resistance in the 99.6 area!
TVC:DXYLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
DXY Bullish Reversal & Cup Formation The DXY (US Dollar Index) is exhibiting a strong bullish reversal pattern, with multiple technical signals suggesting upward momentum: 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary: ✅ Support Holding Strong: Price has respected the horizontal support zone around 98.00–98.50 on multiple occasions (highlighted by orange circles and green arrows), forming a solid base. ✅ Breakout from Downtrend: A clear breakout above two descending trendlines (black and blue) indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. ✅ Cup Pattern Formation ☕: A textbook Cup pattern is visible, where price formed a rounded bottom — a bullish continuation formation. The handle is minor and price has broken above the neckline (around 99.00), signaling a potential continuation toward the target. ✅ Bullish Target 🎯: Based on the cup pattern and prior resistance, the projected target is around 101.846, aligning with previous major resistance. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Support Zone: 98.00 – 98.50 Immediate Resistance: 99.50 – 100.00 Major Resistance/Target: 101.846 🧭 Outlook: As long as the price remains above the 98.50 zone, the bullish scenario remains intact. The cup breakout indicates strong buying pressure, and momentum could push DXY toward the 101.846 target in the coming sessions.
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight