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DOW JONES Bull Flag completed. Massive rally ahead.Dow Jones / US30 has completed a Channel Down on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. This pattern is nothing more than a Bull Flag based on September's similar structure that also hit the 0.5 Fib and 1day MA50 and bottomed. This time, the 1day RSI is also on a Rising Support. Both corrections took place after a +8.15% rise and September's then went on to rebound to the 1.5 Fib extension. Buy and target 46700. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TheCryptagon
NIFTY seems to turn BULLISHSince the post covid rally, the nifty has touched sky. Despite of recent bearish movement,it seems that NIFTY is preparing for next boom. As you can see since rally from 2020, Nifty has entered the 23 to 38% retracement only once ,and from there it took the grip. Now, the same scenario can followed, because it will come close 23% retracement level second time. Second, reason is the flag pattern being drawn by it in daily timeframe . Third, it is showing the old wolf wave pattern,which is again the bullish sign. Fourth, the RBI seems to ease the repo rate in near future. Well this were the key points.Thank you.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by VinayGawade
Nifty50 Falling Wedge: Short-Term Bounce or Bull Trap? Nifty50 is trading within a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish reversal structure. The daily candle has touched the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential bounce, and the RSI at 29 is deep in oversold territory. While the index continues to respect the downward channel, a short-term bounce of at least 1% is likely to fill the recent gap and test 22,800. However, a decisive breakout is uncertain, and this could turn into a bull trap rather than a sustained rally.
NSE:NIFTY
by VeerappaKaujageri
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar! 🔥 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness after breaching key support levels. With interest rate cuts on the horizon and a shift in economic policy, we may be entering a new phase for the dollar’s normalization. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Resistance: 107.5 (Immediate resistance) 🔹 Key Mid Support: 100.95 (Next major level) 🔹 Final Target: 94.8 (Major support & potential bottom) 📰 Fundamental Factors Driving the Move 💡 Trump’s Dollar Policy: Historically, Trump has favored a weaker dollar to boost exports. His recent remarks during the Executive Order signing on January 23, 2025, reinforce this stance, as he pushes for interest rate cuts and lower energy costs. Remarks by President Trump at Executive Order Signing (January 23, 2025): Q: Mr. President, you said earlier that you would like to see interest rates come down. THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. Q: How much would you like to see them come down? THE PRESIDENT: A lot. Q: And will you talk with Powell? THE PRESIDENT: I’d like to see them come down a lot, and oil prices will come down. And when oil prices come down, everything is going to be cheaper for the American people — and actually for the world — but for the American people. So, I’d like to see oil prices come down. Q: Are you worried that there’s too much going on at once if you’re trying to bring interest rates down and get the economy back going? THE PRESIDENT: No, no. It just works that way. I mean, it just economically works that way. When the oil comes down, it’ll bring down prices, then you won’t have inflation, and then the interest rates will come down. Q: You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you? THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. 📉 What’s Next for the Dollar? 🔸 If 100.95 breaks, we could see further downside, testing the 94.8 region. 🔸 A retest of resistance at 107.5 would be a key test before further declines. 🔸 The global macro environment (oil prices, inflation, and geopolitical shifts) will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory. 🌍 Economic & Geopolitical Impact Beyond monetary policy, Trump’s trade and labor policies are also playing a role in shaping the inflation outlook. His push for tariffs and tighter immigration policies has led to higher labor costs, causing short-term inflation. However, on the global stage, Trump's potential deal with Putin to resolve the Ukraine conflict could help ease inflation worldwide by stabilizing supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks. With Trump pushing for rate cuts, the Fed under pressure, and DXY losing momentum, could we see a full-scale dollar correction in 2025? Let’s discuss! ⏬ 📢 Follow for more macro insights & market analysis! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
TVC:DXYShort
by FX_Professor
USNAS100 Drops 500 Pip–Bearish Momentum Extends Below Key LevelsUSNAS100 Analysis – February 25, 2025 📉 Bearish Momentum Extends Below Key Levels USNAS100 has continued its downward trend as we anticipated in our previous idea , dropping 500 pip after failing to hold above 21,900. The price has now broken key support levels, confirming further bearish pressure. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 21,390, the downward momentum is likely to extend toward 21,166, with further downside targets at 20,987 and 20,667. A 4H close below 21,166 would accelerate the sell-off. 📈 Bullish Recovery: A potential rebound above 21,390 could lead to consolidation within the 21,390 - 21,807 range. However, a confirmed bullish breakout requires price stabilization above 21,807 for further upside movement. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Resistance: 21,390 | 21,807 | 22,100 🔹 Support: 21,166 | 20,987 | 20,667 📉 Directional Bias: The bearish trend remains active, with further declines expected unless 21,390 is reclaimed. A breakdown below 21,166 would reinforce downside pressure.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
S&P500 Bearish Strengthens Amid US-China Tech War EscalationMarket Overview: US-China Tech War Intensifies Amid Global Market Decline European and Global Market Outlook – February 25, 2025 A wave of risk sentiment is sweeping across Asian markets as tensions between the United States and China escalate. The U.S. has intensified its technology war with China, targeting sectors including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and aerospace. This geopolitical pressure is contributing to a broad risk-off sentiment across global financial markets. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 has confirmed its bearish momentum, despite cutting 2.3% since Last Friday as we mentioned , with the price stabilizing below the 6,010 level, reinforcing the likelihood of testing 5,979. A confirmed 4H or 1H candle close below 5,979 would validate a further bearish extension toward 5,920. Bullish Reversal Scenario: For the S&P 500 to shift towards a bullish structure, it must reclaim and break above the pivot zone (6,010 - 6,031). A successful breakout above this range could lead the index toward 6,068 and 6,102. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102 Pivot Zone: 6010 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920 Directional Bias: Bearish – The trend remains downward as long as the price continues to trade below 6,010. Breaking below 5,979 will open the door for further declines toward 5,920. ⚠️ Market Outlook: Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China could further fuel volatility in equity markets, with investors remaining cautious in response to ongoing economic and technological disputes.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
ASPI CSEDisclaimer; The information provided on this website does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other advice, and you should not treat any of the website’s content as such. We do not recommend buying, selling, or holding any stock. Nothing on this website should be taken as an offer to buy, sell or hold a stock. Conduct your due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. I do not accept any responsibility and will not be liable for the investment decisions you make based on the information provided on the website.
CSELK:ASIShort
by anuradha_godellawatte
4-hr German40: Further Drop to Attract Buyers at Cheaper Price The primary stock market index in Germany is undergoing a correction, mirroring the recent downturn in US markets. After rebounding from the critical 38% Fibonacci retracement level, it struggles to generate upward momentum, with the price remaining below the immediate support at the 23% Fibonacci level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has yet to signal an extremely oversold condition, suggesting that further downside movement remains likely. Given this technical setup, we anticipate an additional decline toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement, coinciding with the key support region around 22,000. This level presents an optimal entry point for our long positions, allowing us to limit potential drawdowns while improving our risk-to-reward ratio. To manage risk effectively, we will maintain our stop-loss (SL) at a standard distance of 1.5% from the entry price. For profit-taking, we aim for a target just below the previous high, around 22,800, ensuring a well-balanced trade setup.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by Trendsharks
Bollinger Bands: Basics and Breakout Strategy🔵 What are Bollinger Bands? Bollinger Bands are a popular technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s. They help traders analyze price volatility and potential price levels for buying or selling. The indicator consists of three lines plotted over a price chart: Middle Band: A simple moving average (SMA), typically set to a 20-period average. Upper Band: The middle band plus two standard deviations. Lower Band: The middle band minus two standard deviations. 🔵 How Are Bollinger Bands Calculated? Middle Band (MB): MB = 20-period SMA of the closing price. Upper Band (UB): UB = MB + (2 × standard deviation of the last 20 periods). Lower Band (LB): LB = MB - (2 × standard deviation of the last 20 periods). The bands expand when volatility increases and contract when volatility decreases. length = 20 basis = ta.sma(src, length) dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length) upper = basis + dev lower = basis - dev 🔵 How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading Bollinger Bands provide insights into market volatility and potential price reversals. Traders often use them to: Identify overbought (price near the upper band) and oversold (price near the lower band) conditions. Spot volatility contractions, which often precede significant price moves. Confirm trend strength and potential reversals. 🔵 Bollinger Bands Breakout Strategy One effective strategy involves preparing for breakouts when the upper and lower bands contract, indicating low price momentum. Strategy Steps: Identify Low Volatility Zones: Look for periods when the bands are close together, signaling a potential breakout. Prepare for a Breakout: Monitor price action as it approaches either the upper or lower band. Entry Signal: Enter a trade when the price closes above the upper band (for a long position) or below the lower band (for a short position). Stop Loss Placement: For long entries (break above upper band): Set stop loss at the lower band. For short entries (break below lower band): Set stop loss at the upper band. Profit Target: Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or close the position when price shows signs of reversal. Example Charts: 🔵 Final Thoughts This Bollinger Bands breakout strategy is simple yet effective. By recognizing periods of low volatility and preparing for breakouts, traders can capitalize on significant price movements. Always complement this strategy with proper risk management and confirmation indicators for optimal results. This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and traders are solely responsible for their own decisions and actions.
VANTAGE:SP500Education
by BigBeluga
16
US Tech 100 Volatility Alert Ahead of the Nvidia Earnings UpdateUS equity markets are starting to show some strain. On Monday, the US Tech 100 dropped 1.2%, bringing the decline since Friday to around 3.5%. The main catalyst seemed to be a reduction in long positioning in some key Magnificent Seven stocks ahead of AI bellwether Nvidia’s quarterly earnings update that is due out after the market close on Wednesday. These results are likely to be an important influence on sentiment towards the US Tech 100 across the rest of the week. Adding further emphasis is the fact that these are the first set of earnings from the company since Chinese start up DeepSeek emerged as a potential major disruptor in the AI space. Traders and investors are likely to be keen to gain insight into what impact, if any, this has had on the company’s ability to deliver on future revenue expectations. However, this may be only part of the story for the recent performance of technology stocks. President Trump and his team indicated on Monday that they are drawing up tougher versions of the current semiconductor restrictions in place on exports to China. They also stated that they have encouraged allies to do the same, in the latest attempt by the US to limit China’s ability to increase its technological progress. It seems that President Trump’s trade and tariff policies may be starting to increase volatility in US stock markets again after a brief respite since the start of February. Technical trends and reactions in price to potential support and resistance levels may also influence the direction of the Nasdaq 100 moving forward across the week. Technical Update: Support Pressured Ahead of Nvidia An important focus this week for the technology sector could be the Nvidia earnings, but even before this potentially important driver of future price trends, the US Tech 100 index has started to see price weakness emerge. The index does appear to be testing some potentially interesting support levels. How these levels are defended on a closing basis, into and after the Nvidia earnings, may provide an important insight into where the US Tech 100 may move next. Having posted a new intra-day all-time price high of 22226 on February 18th, the US Tech 100 index has seen selling pressure develop, a move that meant early February strength has failed to close above the previous 22142 December 16th all-time high. An inability of buyers to overcome such an important upside extreme on a closing basis especially if it is then followed by price declines, may suggest increased potential for a sentiment change, one that could even lead to further weakness. However, for this to happen, support levels must be broken on a closing basis to see this downside potential develop further. Looking at the above chart of the US Tech 100 index, the latest price weakness has now seen what might have been viewed as a potential support, marked by the Bollinger mid-average give way, which currently stands at 21694. While this is no guarantee of an extended phase of price weakness, Monday’s closing break under support marked by the February 10th low at 21344, may also indicate risks of a more extended phase of price weakness. If this is the case, price activity may move down towards 20477, which is the January 13th extreme and if this support was broken, declines could potentially move towards 20326, which is the 38% Fibonacci retracement of August/ December 2024 strength. What About Resistance? As we have said, reaction to Nvidia earnings may see increased price volatility, potentially even renewed upside, and traders must build that possibility into their trading strategy over coming sessions. With that in mind, what are the resistance levels that if broken might lead to a further phase of price strength? Initially traders might be focusing on the interim resistance marked by the mid-average, which currently stands at 21694. Closes above here, may lead to the suggestion that lower support levels are holding, which may open the potential for fresh strength to higher levels. While in the longer term, it may be the resistance marked by the February 18th all-time high at 22226 that needs to give way to suggest further price strength. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
1
US Wall St 30Dow Jones Market Analysis Introduction Hello dear traders! In this analysis, we will examine the status of the Dow Jones chart in the one-hour timeframe. Technical Analysis The Dow Jones chart is currently in a bearish phase, but it has provided us with a bullish confirmation. Based on this, we can hold a buy position (Buy Position) until the one-hour liquidity. Key Levels Liquidity 1H: 44662.2 Secret Order Block: 44792 Ideal Time to Buy with Confirmation: 43783 Conclusion My analysis is very simple and straightforward so that you can easily utilize it. Considering the mentioned key levels, you can make your trading decisions. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the cryptocurrency market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by fereydoon1199
US Wall St 30Hello dear traders! This is an updated analysis of Dow Jones. Please note that since you may not have enough information about smart money and liquidity, let me put it simply for you: Whenever this trend line breaks, you can set the stop loss above this trend line and determine your target based on your strategy. A scalper trader utilizes positions and always has a fixed risk to maintain a consistent outcome, and should never use unreasonable risk because the market is continuously changing. What matters is that we are winning. Yesterday, I was waiting for the price to reach the Secret Order Block zone, but when my trade entered a good profit, I closed it and didn't feel the need to hold the trade until the very end. So, this is the cleverness of a trader in how to use analysis to their advantage. The previous zone seemed to be ineffective for a significant drop, so I have replaced this updated analysis with the previous one. Key Points Resistance (1.H): 77943 Secret Order Block: 44994 Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
OANDA:US30USDShort
by fereydoon1199