NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, it got bullish pressure but not yet to take rocket flight, came back to pick more orders, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Market indices
NQ sell of from 15VN. (5 min is the actual chart)Tradingview will only allow a 15min chart not a 5 min chart.
But this is a 5min trade.
OR broke to the lows, 5 of the top weighted stocks are down on the day with META reluctontly moving lower.
A re test of VN of 15mins should see a rejection towards the lows, enough to cover the short. If not then price should just rip through without giving an entry.
Nifty 50 review as the new FY started As disclosed, in the chart drawings zones shown,clearly indicates that the BMI Nifty 50 has managed to bounce from the Jan month important zones.
Now, the nifty is trying to challange the bullish zone resitance once again. It will be interesting now to see, the near future.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
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☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18300
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
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Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
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🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
• 3245 – Equal highs
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🩸No rush. Only precision.
Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force.
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
NASDAQ Uprun ExpectedThe NASDAQ remains volatile, but has not yet undercut its lows from the beginning of the month. The correction since the explosive rise from the yearly lows remains within limits, and the market was able to recover quickly and significantly from today's lows.
We are therefore optimistic, at least in the short term, and are taking the long position shown up to the open gap.
DOW/US30Team, time to go long DOW/US30
yesterday the market disappointed on the FED decision,
i just cant believe the FED compare the inflation in 2020-2021 that is where the COVID and lock down. And compare to 2024. he should have cut the interest rate to ease the market.
Given the fact the market is dropping 1000 points, i expect we should have some recover at least 200-300 points medium
Target 1 at 39225
Target 2 at 39335-39420
Target 3 at 39560-39670
We should see the market pump in 2-3 hour time frame or recover.
stuck between 2 trend lines!Boost and follow for more 🔥SPX is holding trend support, resistance = support is also showing up. push higher into trend resistance can happen from here.
maybe we get a break of the trend resistance sometimes in the next few weeks.. this seems like a choppy week with no crazy moves
chart request from @sweatytrigger
Detailed Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Index – 4-Hour TimefrWhat triggered the recent movements?
As per analyst analysis, since February 20, 2025, the S&P 500 Index began a gradual decline, forming a clear downtrend that resulted in a total drop of approximately 21.14%. This sharp retreat was primarily driven by mounting investor concerns over President Donald Trump's foreign trade policies, particularly the increased tariffs on several countries, which led to widespread fear and uncertainty in financial markets, concerns about a potential global recession, slowing international trade, weakened economic growth and resurgence of inflationary pressure.
After reaching the key support level at 4798.58, its lowest point since January 2024, the index saw a brief consolidation phase, before a major market-moving development occurred: the announcement of a 90-day suspension of tariffs on selected countries by the U.S. President.
As per analyst interpretation, this event acted as a turning point, triggering a sharp rally of nearly 10% in a single session, which effectively broke the downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe and led to the formation of a new high (2), surpassing the last corrective peak (1). This confirmed a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart.
What’s next on the 4-hour chart?
Although the index has shifted into an upward trajectory, a short-term pullback appears more likely at this stage, especially following the failure of trough (3) to break above the previous peak (2) at 5487 – a sign of weak bullish momentum.
If the price breaks below the 5107.40 level, a further decline toward the 4948.10 support level is expected. This level could serve as a potential rebound zone, where bullish traders might regain control and resume the uptrend, possibly retargeting the 5487 peak.
When is the bullish scenario invalidated?
According to analysts, the current bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price breaks below 4798.58 and confirms a 4-hour candle close beneath it. This would strongly indicate a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish, prompting a reassessment of the medium-term trend.
Important Note:
This analysis strictly reflects price action and technical patterns on the 4-hour timeframe only.
NAS100 Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 18,546.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 18,341.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Egypt’s Sovereign Debt: A High-Yield Opportunity for InvestorsEmerging markets often present a delicate balance of risk and reward, and Egypt’s sovereign debt market is no exception. In recent years, Egypt has undergone significant economic reforms, positioning its government bonds as an attractive option for yield-hungry investors. With double-digit yields and a stabilizing economic backdrop, Egypt’s bonds offer a compelling case for those willing to navigate the associated risks. This article explores why Egypt’s sovereign debt is worth considering in 2025.
Attractive Yields Amid Market Shifts
Egypt currently has 18 outstanding sovereign bond issuances in foreign currencies—16 in U.S. dollars and 2 in euros. These bonds have recently caught investors’ attention due to their elevated yields, which have climbed into double-digit territory. For instance, a dollar-denominated bond maturing in 2029 offers a yield of 10.2%, while its euro-denominated counterpart yields 9.6%. These figures reflect a notable increase from earlier levels of 8–9%, driven by recent political uncertainties in the region. For investors seeking high returns, these yields are hard to ignore, especially especially in comparison to other emerging markets with similar credit ratings.
A Stable Rating with Room for Growth
Egypt’s sovereign credit rating stands at B with a stable outlook, as reaffirmed in November 2024 when it was upgraded from B- to B. This rating reflects a cautious optimism about the country’s economic trajectory, though it is constrained by persistent inflationary pressures. Inflation in Egypt currently sits at 13.6% as of March 2025, a significant improvement from peaks of 24–27% in previous years. However, this rate remains higher than in peer countries with a B rating, limiting further upgrades for now. If inflation were to fall to 5% or below, a rating improvement could unlock additional upside for bond prices.
Economic Reforms Bolster Confidence
Several factors underpin the appeal of Egypt’s bonds beyond their yields. First, the country has embarked on a privatization drive, moving away from its historically military-dominated economy. Post-Arab Spring, many enterprises were state-controlled with tax privileges, but recent reforms aim to transfer these assets into private hands. A notable example is the 2024 IPO of United Bank of Egypt, where the central bank sold a 30% stake, signaling a commitment to reducing state ownership.
Second, Egypt’s international reserves have grown impressively, rising from $12 billion in 2024 to $45 billion currently. This bolstered reserve position enhances the country’s ability to service its external debt, reducing default risk for bondholders. Additionally, Egypt has adhered to an IMF-backed economic recovery program, which includes maintaining a flexible exchange rate. For over a year, the central bank has refrained from currency interventions, allowing market forces to determine the Egyptian pound’s value-a key IMF condition that has strengthened investor confidence.
Inflation and Interest Rate Dynamics
Inflation, though still high at 13.6%, has been trending downward from its 2023–2024 highs of 24–27%. The central bank forecasts further declines, potentially accompanied by a reduction in the key interest rate. Lower rates could spur deposit growth in Egyptian banks, with funds likely flowing into government securities. This dynamic could drive up bond prices in 2025, offering capital gains on top of the already attractive yields. For investors holding bonds at current levels (e.g., 10.5% yield), this presents a dual opportunity for income and price appreciation.
Risks to Consider
Despite the positive developments, investing in Egypt’s sovereign debt is not without risks. There are three primary concerns stand out to note:
High Key Interest Rates: If the central bank struggles to lower rates, the government’s borrowing costs will remain elevated, straining its ability to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio (currently at 86%, down from 91% last year).
Currency Policy Reversal: A return to a fixed exchange rate regime could signal economic distress, deterring foreign investors and weakening reserves.
Geopolitical and Tourism Risks: Egypt’s economy relies heavily on tourism and Suez Canal revenues. Any regional conflict or global downturn could disrupt these income streams, impacting fiscal stability.
Comparative Appeal
When benchmarked against other B-rated sovereigns, Egypt’s bonds appear undervalued. For comparison, Cameroon, also rated B, offers an 11% yield for bonds maturing in 2031, while Armenia (B+) yields 6.7% for a similar duration. Egypt’s higher yield relative to its rating, combined with its reform momentum, makes it a standout choice. Investors may find greater comfort in Egypt’s economic trajectory compared to less familiar markets like Cameroon.
Conclusion
Egypt’s sovereign bonds offer a rare combination of high yields and improving fundamentals, making them a compelling option for emerging market investors in 2025. The country’s privatization efforts, growing reserves, and IMF-backed reforms provide a solid foundation, while declining inflation and potential rate cuts could further boost bond prices. However, risks tied to interest rates, currency policy, and regional stability warrant careful consideration. For those seeking yield in a volatile global environment, Egypt’s debt market presents a balanced opportunity worth exploring.
Dow INTRADAY key resistance at 41333Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41333
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 39220
Support Level 2: 37554
Support Level 3: 36620
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P INTRADAY key resistance at 5509
Donald Trump said there was “big progress” in trade talks with Japan, easing fears of higher tariffs. This boosted the Nikkei 225, as traders grew less concerned about U.S. pressure for a stronger yen.
Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures pointed to a rebound after Wednesday’s selloff. The drop was sparked by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who struck a cautious tone on tariffs and signaled no rush to cut rates, disappointing markets looking for quicker support.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5509
Resistance Level 2: 5660
Resistance Level 3: 5787
Support Level 1: 5110
Support Level 2: 4947
Support Level 3: 4816
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NIFTY 50 4hr analysis (bullish) (16/04/2025)Welcome back folks
havent been posting lately because of the hectic schedule,
the analysis is based majorly on the current emotions of the speculators that is relief bullish rally
- possible gap up tomorrow, if market makers decide to book profits tomorrow then its blood bath again imo
- either a follow up range or breakout above marked figures in the chart is expected
- i personally believe to not overthink this and be a part of the crowd and hope for the latter
trade cautiously, i wont be posting index charts anytime soon now, only stocks if schedule allows me
feel free to chat with me in the comments
US exceptionalism is overwhat if te era of us exceptionalism is over.
The dollar will still be reserve curency but demand will be serverly cut, faith in the us fails and the dollar reprices back to where it was.
right now not looking great. im not call for death of the dollar just a repice back to normality
Dxy looks ike it could jsut sweep all the way back
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 17 April 2025
- Dow Jones reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 38500.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 40815,00 (former strong support from the start of March), 20-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last month.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous minor correction (iv) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 38500.00.
US 100 - At a Critical Crossroads The US 100 index shows intriguing price action as it navigates key technical levels. Currently trading at 18,967.2 , the market has formed a clear double top pattern at the resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion in the uptrend.
Key Technical Observations:
The chart reveals strong resistance near recent highs around 19,024.3 , with price struggling to break through this ceiling. Below current levels, we spot a double bottom formation that previously provided support, creating an interesting tension between these patterns.
Notable price levels include:
- Resistance: 19,024.3 (double top confirmation)
- Support: 18,961.7 (recent swing low)
- Critical zone: The weakened gap that remains to be filled below current prices
Market Dynamics:
The minimal +0.02% change indicates indecision at these levels. The presence of liquidity pools both above and below suggests potential for volatility when either side gives way.
Trading Considerations:
A break above the double top resistance could signal continuation of the uptrend, while failure to hold current levels may see price test lower supports to fill the gap. The tight range between 18,961.7 and 19,024.3 suggests an impending volatility expansion.
The market appears to be at an inflection point where the next directional move could be significant. Traders should watch for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or breakdown below support before committing to positions.
Final Note: This technical setup presents clear risk/reward opportunities, but requires confirmation before acting. The double top pattern would only be validated by a break below the interim support levels.
Disclaimer: Market conditions can change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should be verified with additional indicators. Always use proper risk management.