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S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 5677.80 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 6107.47 on 2024-12-06 and the peak at 6150.07 on 2025-02-19, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased. While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue. A peak is formed in daily chart at 6150.05 on 02/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 6031.27, 5875.31, 5777.28 and minimum to Major Support (5677.80) is expected. Relative strength index (RSI) is 49. Supports and Resistances: 5568.78 5398.95 5194.10 5039.36 4944.41 4843.23 4662.99 4544.26 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by ForecastCity
17
Timing the FTSE’s PullbackNvidia has stormed back from its early February lows, rallying more than 20% to erase January’s sharp gap lower. But with the gap now closed, the stock has hit its first real test of resistance. DeepSeek Reaction: Panic Fades The initial sell-off was triggered by fears that DeepSeek’s AI breakthrough could loosen Nvidia’s grip on the industry. However, those concerns have since eased. While DeepSeek’s model offers cost advantages, it still relies on Nvidia’s GPUs, and overall AI accelerator demand remains strong. Nvidia’s software ecosystem remains a significant moat, making it difficult for the industry to shift away from its technology on a large scale. The broader takeaway? The market likely overreacted. The Technical Significance of Gaps Price gaps aren’t just voids on a chart—they represent key areas of supply and demand imbalance. When a stock gaps lower, it often creates a resistance zone as trapped buyers look to exit when price returns. After rallying back earlier this month, Nvidia finally posted its first red candle the moment the gap was filled, snapping a ten-session streak of higher closes. This suggests sellers are stepping in, and the battle over direction is heating up. Forward Scenarios: Breakout or Breakdown? Breaking Higher: If Nvidia can push beyond the gap close, the next resistance is the late January swing high—the level that triggered the breakdown. Above that, the major hurdle remains the double-top all-time highs from the turn of the year. Pulling Back: The rally to close the gap has formed a steep ascending trendline. A break below this could open the door for a deeper retracement, with the February swing lows as a key downside target. Given Nvidia’s multi-year uptrend, choppy consolidation phases like this are normal—but if support gives way, it could shift momentum in bears’ favour. Nvidia (NVDA) Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:UK100
by Capitalcom
DAX BUYRetesting NWOG and reclaiming a 30m +OB, then rebalancing a 30m +FVG while respecting it with candle bodies. Moving through a 30m +IFVG thus confirming that the extreme opposing pressure is no longer a concern. Bumping into a 30m -RB that is now facilitating a pullback. A 6m +OB has already been formed above the 30m +IFVG which adds to our bullish case. Liquidity has been taken on the 6m an hour ago leaving us still with some time to enter until the respective combustion phase is completed. All we need is a retest of the split (equilibrium) zone of the validation 2m range and a solid delivery candle above the zone. Right now, price decided to retrace a little bit deeper but the finger is already on the trigger, so to say. Our target is the open 30m -FVG overhead that sits within our major shooting range.
FPMARKETS:GER40Long
by skullp
1
NASDAQ 4 more months before next correction.Nasdaq (NDX) has been rising non-stop with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support since it first broke above it in March 13 2023, following the 2022 Inflation Crisis Bear Cycle. This continuous period of growth has been built on a prolonger Bearish Divergence based on the 1W RSI, which has been on Lower Highs since June 05 2023. It is not the first time in recent history that the index has seen this pattern, as in the last 10 years we have had 2 periods of similar growth. The 2014 - 2015 phase came to a sudden end in the first week of January 2016 after having marginally topped above the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. The 1W RSI Bearish Divergence eventually kicked in and the price dipped below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), while an RSI below 40.00 formed the bottom. Similarly, the 2018 - 2019 phase got hammered in early February 2020 after topping very close to the 4.0 Fib ext, again sharply declining below the 1W MA100, finding support exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). We need to point out that this was a (technically) exaggerated price collapse though due to the COVID lockdowns. As mentioned above, we are facing again an RSI Bearish Divergence and if the price action follows the previous two periods that both, amazingly enough, lasted for 742 days (106 weeks) from the first RSI High, we should be expecting a technical peak around June 23 2025 (exactly 4 months from now) near a 4.0 Fibonacci extension at 23500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Dips 1.69% The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies across various industries except transportation and utilities, faced a notable downturn in Monday’s premarket session. Despite a positive movement in U.S. equity futures, the index saw a 1.69% decline, with its 1-month low serving as a critical support level. A break below this level could see the Dow finding support around the $42,000 region. Technical Analysis The Dow Jones (^DJI) is currently hovering near its 1-month low, which is acting as a key support zone. If the index fails to hold this level, it could face further downside pressure, potentially testing the $42,000 mark as the next major support. The overall sentiment in the stock market remains cautious, with investors monitoring upcoming economic reports and corporate earnings that could influence market direction. Meanwhile, the broader market selloff has had a ripple effect, with the Nasdaq falling 2.5% on Friday, marking its worst weekly decline in three months. The S&P 500 also erased its February gains, while the Dow dropped nearly 750 points over the past week. The weakness in equities has largely been driven by concerns over slowing economic activity, disappointing PMI data, and rising inflation expectations. Economic Uncertainty & Corporate Earnings The broader stock market has been navigating economic uncertainty, with recent data signaling potential challenges. A disappointing services sector report from S&P Global’s PMI survey and a surge in inflation expectations from the University of Michigan’s consumer survey contributed to market jitters. Investors are now turning their attention to **this week’s key economic data releases, including: - Thursday: Second estimate of U.S. Q4 GDP from the Commerce Department - Friday: PCE price index data (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis These reports will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, particularly with **inflation and economic growth concerns** taking center stage. Market Reaction: A Positive Start to the Trading Day? Despite the premarket dip in the Dow, U.S. equity futures suggest a potential recovery: - S&P 500 futures indicate a 32-point gain at the opening bell - Dow Jones futures suggest a 297-point advance - Nasdaq futures are up 93 points, driven by premarket activity in Nvidia, Tesla (TSLA), and Intel (INTC) Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up 1.4% after Warren Buffett’s investment firm reported its third consecutive year of record profits, with a staggering $334.2 billion cash reserve. Conclusion The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to face uncertainty amid economic headwinds and a volatile earnings season. While support at the 1-month low remains crucial, a break below could lead to a test of the $42,000 level. The upcoming economic data and Nvidia’s earnings report will be critical in determining whether the market can regain momentum or if further downside risks persist.
TVC:DJILong
by DEXWireNews
Is it time to buy the US dollar?With US inflation rising, the US economy performing well, and rates higher for longer (well, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Fed hike rates by the end of 2025), the USD continues to be an obvious buy. The TVC:DXY is currently testing key horizontal support (previously resistance) and is nearing the weekly moving averages. This could be the time to buy the dollar. I'm personally looking to short OANDA:EURUSD OANDA:GBPUSD and OANDA:NZDUSD and buy OANDA:USDCAD and OANDA:USDCHF
TVC:DXYLong
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
$US30 DOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORMDOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORM (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview! The Dow Jones is the cool-headed cousin—less wild than Nasdaq’s growth party 📈🔥. Blue-chip stability shines, even as inflation bites—let’s unpack it! 🚀 (2/9) – WHY SO CALM? • Makeup: 30 big, steady names—Walmart, Goldman 💥 • Price-Weighted: High flyers lead, not tech zingers 📊 • Edge: Less sway from growth stock swings Dow’s the tortoise—slow and steady wins? (3/9) – RECENT VIBES • Feb 22: 1.7% dip—support at 43,400 holds 🌍 • VIX: Stays chill—Nasdaq would’ve freaked 🚗 • CPI Hit: 400-point drop, 300 back—meh 🌟 Stability’s the Dow’s secret sauce! (4/9) – SECTOR SNAP • Vs. Nasdaq: Tech’s jittery—Dow’s diversified 📈 • Volatility: ~15-20% vs. Nasdaq’s 25-30% • Champs: Blue-chips buffer the chaos Steadier ship—less Nasdaq nuttiness! 🌍 (5/9) – INFLATION RIPPLES • CPI Spike: 3% YoY—400-point jolt ⚠️ • Fed: No rush to cut—rates sting 🏛️ • X Buzz: Tariffs, inflation spook recovery 📉 Even the Dow feels the heat—but shrugs! (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Stability: Blue-chip backbone holds firm 🌟 • Dividends: Cash flows steady the ship 🔍 • Mix: Less tech tantrums—broad base 🚦 Dow’s the rock in choppy waters! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Inflation nicks costs—ouch 💸 • Opportunities: Safety shines if tech flops 🌍 Can Dow dodge the inflation blues? (8/9) – Dow’s steady play—what’s your vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—Stability’s golden. 2️⃣ Neutral—Holds, but inflation looms. 3️⃣ Bearish—Growth wins anyway. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY Dow’s less jittery—blue-chips cushion the storm 🌍🪙. Inflation’s a nag, but stability rules. Rock or relic?
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by DCAChampion
DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 106.618. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 107.382. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
SPX Finally Moves, Will 6000 Hold?SPX Finally Moves – But Will 6000 Hold? | SPX Market Analysis 24 Feb 2025 Last week’s market action was like watching a cat decide whether to jump off a shelf—hesitation, commitment, regret, and then chaos. SPX pushed through the bull trigger on Wednesday, only to whip back through the hedge & bear trigger, finally showing some real movement on Friday. But before we get too excited, SPX is still stuck inside a larger range, with 6000 as the next key battleground. Will we see a range breakout or another rejection? Let’s dive in. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: SPX Moves – But Is It Just Another Range Play? Last week gave us plenty of action, but SPX hasn’t truly escaped its larger range yet. 📌 What happened last week? SPX broke the bull trigger on Wednesday 🚀 Immediately flipped back through the hedge & bear trigger 🤦‍♂️ Friday’s move finally opened things up 🔓 Now, we’re eying 6000 as the next decision point. 📌 Two potential setups: ✅ Range Reversal – Price rejects 6000 and moves back inside the range ✅ Breakout Trade – SPX clears 6000, confirming a new leg up Either way, I’ll be watching closely for the next trade setup. VIX Says ‘No Crash… Yet’ 📉 The volatility index (VIX) remains below 20, meaning: No imminent crash signals 🛑 Fear is elevated but not panicking Still room for surprises, but not full-blown chaos (yet!) If VIX jumps past 20 and keeps climbing, then we’ll talk about more extreme downside risk. Overnight Futures – A Small Bounce, But No Turn Yet 🌅 Futures are slightly green, but they don’t confirm: A major bullish turn ❌ A full-blown breakdown ❌ Right now, it’s more noise than signal. What’s Next? 📌 I remain bearish on my income swing trades 📉 📌 Waiting for confirmation—either: Bullish reversal (v-shaped price action shift) 🔄 Bearish breakdown (clean range break below 6000) 🚨 For now, it’s another waiting game—but one that could pay off big when the next major move arrives. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2010, the Flash Crash wiped out nearly $1 trillion in market value in just 36 minutes, only to recover almost entirely by the end of the day. The culprit? A single trader’s algorithm running wild. 💡 The Lesson? Sometimes, market chaos isn’t about fundamentals—it’s just a rogue algorithm losing its mind.
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
2
FTSE INTRADAY support at 8608The FTSE (UK100) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The key trading level is at 8608, which is the 21st February swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 8608 level could target the upside resistance at 8740 followed by the 8790 and 8850 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 8608 support and a daily close below that level could trigger a further retracement and a retest of 8564 support level followed by 8500. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation