NQ short follow upfirst post was ahhh, this chart is more detailed
from pervious point, momentum fading to the upside
Market indices
US 100 - At a Critical Crossroads The US 100 index shows intriguing price action as it navigates key technical levels. Currently trading at 18,967.2 , the market has formed a clear double top pattern at the resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion in the uptrend.
Key Technical Observations:
The chart reveals strong resistance near recent highs around 19,024.3 , with price struggling to break through this ceiling. Below current levels, we spot a double bottom formation that previously provided support, creating an interesting tension between these patterns.
Notable price levels include:
- Resistance: 19,024.3 (double top confirmation)
- Support: 18,961.7 (recent swing low)
- Critical zone: The weakened gap that remains to be filled below current prices
Market Dynamics:
The minimal +0.02% change indicates indecision at these levels. The presence of liquidity pools both above and below suggests potential for volatility when either side gives way.
Trading Considerations:
A break above the double top resistance could signal continuation of the uptrend, while failure to hold current levels may see price test lower supports to fill the gap. The tight range between 18,961.7 and 19,024.3 suggests an impending volatility expansion.
The market appears to be at an inflection point where the next directional move could be significant. Traders should watch for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or breakdown below support before committing to positions.
Final Note: This technical setup presents clear risk/reward opportunities, but requires confirmation before acting. The double top pattern would only be validated by a break below the interim support levels.
Disclaimer: Market conditions can change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should be verified with additional indicators. Always use proper risk management.
US30We can attempt to buy US30 from specified level as it make HL , also there is no bearish divergence occur indicate that it moves upward.
BankNifty levels - Apr 21, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - Apr 21, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
DAX INTRADAY decision point at 21520The DAX40 continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which was subsequently rejected near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 21,520.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A failure to break above 21,520, followed by renewed selling pressure, would likely confirm a bearish reversal, with downside targets at:
20,333 – Near-term support
19,557 – Medium-term support
18,780 – Long-term support level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly above 21,520 on a daily basis, the bearish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend gains toward:
21,880 – Immediate resistance
22,330 – Major upside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bearish below 21,520, with rallies into that level offering potential short opportunities. A daily close above 21,520, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bullish continuation toward higher resistance levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nifty 50 Trendline Breakout – Retest Buy Setup📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry (Buy) Zone:
Buy on retest: Around 23,750–23,850 (previous resistance and breakout zone).
Aggressive buy: Market price at 23,849, but risk-reward is slightly unfavorable here.
🎯 Target (Short-term Swing):
Target 1: 24,200 (minor resistance)
Target 2: 24,800 (next major swing high zone)
🛑 Stoploss:
Conservative: Below 23,000 (safe below breakout and 50 EMA)
Aggressive: Below 23,200
for educational purposes only
US30/ Dow jonesConsidering the high that was hit during London session, I’m waiting to see what happens during the New York session. If that high breaks, I’ll look to buy; if not, I’ll be selling.
Smart Traders Watch the Fed — Smarter Ones Watch the DollarHello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I decided to talk about the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) — because so many people have been asking me:
“How do you predict the Fed’s moves, and how do they affect deflationary assets like BTC?”
My last idea was about BTC, where I explained why I believe a major bull run is coming — and part of that is because the Fed might soon shift back to QE.
But if you're trying to predict QE...
The first thing you need to watch is the U.S. Dollar Index, which reflects the strength of the U.S. Dollar.
So let’s break it all down:
🔍 Part 1: What Does the Fed Actually Do?
The Fed isn’t just a printer — it’s the U.S. central bank, and it has a dual mandate:
✅ Keep prices stable (control inflation)
✅ Promote maximum employment
That means the Fed doesn’t just want growth — it wants sustainable growth. No crazy inflation, no deep recession. Balance is key.
🧰 How Does the Fed Do It?
Through Monetary Policy, which is basically the toolkit used to control liquidity, interest rates, and economic behavior (like how much people borrow, spend, or save).
Let’s break down the main tools:
1️⃣ Federal Funds Rate
This is the most powerful tool the Fed has.
It’s the rate banks use to lend to each other overnight.
If the Fed raises the rate:
→ Loans get expensive
→ Spending slows
→ Inflation drops
→ But markets can crash
If the Fed cuts the rate:
→ Loans get cheaper
→ Demand rises
→ Growth accelerates
→ But inflation can surge
2️⃣ Open Market Operations (OMO)
This is how the Fed injects or removes liquidity using bonds.
Buys bonds → Injects money → 🟩 QE (Quantitative Easing)
Sells bonds / lets them expire → Removes money → 🟥 QT (Quantitative Tightening)
3️⃣ Reserve Requirements
This used to be a big deal — the % banks had to hold in reserves.
But since 2020, it's set to 0%.
4️⃣ Discount Rate
The interest rate the Fed charges banks directly.
A change here sends a strong signal to the markets.
Sometimes the Fed also works in sync with the U.S. government — using fiscal support like:
💸 Stimulus checks
🏢 Corporate bailouts
🧾 Tax relief packages
📈 So... Why Does the Dollar Index (DXY) Matter?
There’s a very clear inverse correlation between the DXY and BTC.
When the dollar gets stronger (DXY pumps), BTC usually dumps.
Why? Because rising DXY often means:
🔺 The Fed is raising rates
🔺 Liquidity is being pulled out
🔺 QT is in play
Let me show you some real chart examples:
📉 July 2014 — DXY pumped → BTC dumped hard
DXY Chart:
BTC Chart:
➡️ Just a 28% DXY pump → 80% BTC crash. Ouch.
📈 2017 — DXY dropped → BTC entered full bull market
DXY Chart:
BTC Chart:
➡️ A 15% DXY drop → Bitcoin bull run of a lifetime.
Now here’s the good news 👇
DXY is starting to look very bearish on the chart:
Combine that with the Fed shifting to QE, and guess what?
We're likely entering the early stages of another bull market.
If you read my last BTC idea, you already know what I’m expecting...
🚀 A massive run is just around the corner.
I hope you found this idea useful, and as always —
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
US30 Long 15 & 5 min
BLACKBULL:US30
We can see 2 relatively equal lows, which to my opinion may get swept to fill the fair value gap below, and then react to the point that we sweep the swing high
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
☄️ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18600
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18400
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
———
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
• 3245 – Equal highs
———
🩸No rush. Only precision.
Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force.
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
☄️ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18700
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18400
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
• 3245 – Equal highs
———
🩸No rush. Only precision.
Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force.
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
$NDX and the Wedge of Death. It sounds like a rather cheesy Indiana Jones movie but we can clearly see a few things on the NASDAQ:NDX Chart that stick out like a sore Thumb.
While we do have bullish looking activity on the lower time frames the fact of the matter is the NASDAQ:NDX is Bear Flagging once again and flirting with disaster near the lower break of the flag trendline.
It may well be recovering at the Trendline but for the moment we need to play this out by the numbers. Any break below the bear flag will result in a rather large flush into the Market Maker's Target of 14,058.33.
Every Index and most of the Mag 8 are printing Death Crosses on the Daily. While we tend to recover from these steep sell off's, there always comes a time or two that we keep on selling.
Be safe and follow the Market Maker.
SXXP (STOXX 600) - Europe Intraday (April 127 2025)STOXX 600 - Intraday Setup
April 17 2025
Decision making - using 15minutes candles & candle pattern formation
Meaning "Long Trade" = Market expected to move up
Meaning "Short Trade" = Market expected to move down
Meaning "PDH" = Previous day High
Meaning "PDL" = Previous day Low
mins = minutes
Long Trade scenario1:
1st criteria: Market must sustain above = 508.50
2nd criteria: Market has to break above = 509.10
Target = 515.30
Stop loss = 507.00
Long Trade scenario2:
1st criteria: Market must sustain above = 501.20
2nd criteria: Market has to break above = 501.75
Target = 507
Stop loss = 501.20
Short Trade scenario:
1st criteria: Market must sustain below = 501.80
2nd criteria: Market has to break below = 501.15
Target = 497.30
Stop loss = 503.20
Wishing you the very best and a safe trading.
Regards,
Uday
Disclaimer: I am not a registered analyst. The above information is only for educational purpose based on my years of experience. Please consult a financial advisor before investing.
FTSE 100 H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe FTSE 100 (UK100) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 8,141.11 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 7,802.66 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 8,540.98 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Despite long-term support, the dollar is eyeing deeper watersAlthough the US Dollar (USD) Index has connected with a monthly support area between 98.72 and 99.67, April’s lower low at 99.01 reached levels not seen since early 2022 and price crossing below the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at 101.91 potentially questions this support zone.
Bolstering the likelihood of additional downside in the USD are the daily and H4 charts. The former exhibits scope to reach support at 98.58 (and formed a Death Cross ), while the latter completed a bearish pennant pattern (ruptured the lower boundary), extended from 100.64 and 99.01. As you can see, H4 action is currently retesting the underside of the breached pattern’s border.
In view of the above technical surroundings, USD shorts could have some gas left in the tank.
US30 BUY NOW!!!!!!!!US30 created a double bottom on the 2h chart price have already made a retest off the neckline region am in again on buys holding to see price arrive at the POC level
JOIN AND ENJOY........
USDX-BUY strategy 6 hourly chart Line Brk (2)The USDX is poised to correct, I feel. we are oversold, and it means we may be seeing a return back towards 101.50-101.75 area. this suggest all USD based currencies will correct one way or another.
Strategy BUY @ 99.30-99.80 and take profit near 101.50.
Nasdaq analysis: 17-APRIL-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
BAnkniftyIndian market is continuously ready to make a new high. Will banknifty make a new high. As axis bank and hdfc bank is ATH. Or it will curse down.
Could be a good time to build a longer term SPX long Potentially good reward:risk here for investors / longer timeframe swing traders or position traders
Last week was a big test for the SPX index - it tested two crucial supports
1) Retest of the 2022 highs
2) Retest of the major trendline which has held the trend for around 2.5 years now
It looks like buyers came in strong at support giving us a big bullish candle - likely forming a capitulation low.
Major pullbacks like these come only a few times a year - and if managed well can be good R:R trades.
For investors/position traders:
If the low from last week holds, any pullbacks into 5250 or lower seem like a good time to add - for a longer term hold for a few months or even a few quarters.
For traders wanting to see some clear momentum first:
The most important resistance up above is the 5600-5800 area & the 20w ema (which aligns with it currently). You might want wait for a clean reclaim of this resistance first. For investors, you could think of adding to your buys once this resistance is reclaimed strongly.
TLDR;
SPX might have capitulated
This is a decent area to start buying for a longer term hold - targeting the prior highs first and holding some into price discovery
Invalidation: if a weekly candle closes below the recent low
When to observe PA closely: test of the 5600-5800 resistance / 20w ema
