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FRA40 Trending Higher – Bullish Continuation Toward 8,445PEPPERSTONE:FRA40 is currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and has now pulled back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the 8,445 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀
PEPPERSTONE:FRA40Long
by DanieIM
1
USNAS100 Drops 800+ Points – Key Support Test Ahead!📉 USNAS100 Technical Analysis – February 28, 2025 📉 The price dropped over 800 points (-3.8%), exactly as we projected in yesterday’s bearish outlook . 📌 Key Event Today: Traders should watch for the Core PCE release, which could impact the market significantly. Additionally, any updates on Trump's tariffs or geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia could drive volatility. 🔍 Technical Outlook: Consolidation Zone: 20,670 – 20,550 until a breakout occurs. Bearish Continuation: A 4H candle close below 20,550 could accelerate downside momentum toward 20,330 – 20,130. Bullish Correction: A 4H close above 20,670 could push the price toward 20,810 – 20,990 as a potential retracement. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Resistance: 20,810 | 20,990 | 21,166 🔹 Pivot: 20,670 🔻 Support: 20,550 | 20,330 | 20,130 🚀 Will NAS100 hold this support, or is more downside coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Tariff Carnival with the U.S.: Chinese ReactionIon Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The recent decision by the United States to increase tariffs on Chinese products has reignited tensions in the trade relationship between the two powers. With Washington's intention to raise additional tariffs on products from China by up to 20%, Beijing is considering levies on agricultural and food exports from the United States. If unilateral measures persist, a firm and forceful response from Asia is likely to be triggered. Possible countermeasures include both the imposition of new tariffs and the implementation of non-tariff barriers, focusing on strategic sectors for the U.S. economy, such as agriculture and food. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce had already expressed its opposition to Washington's plans, arguing that these tariffs violate the rules established by the World Trade Organization (WTO) and jeopardize the multilateral trading system. The escalation follows a series of previous measures, in which the US government had announced an additional 10% surcharge on Chinese products, on top of a previously established 10%, in response to criticism of China's insufficient action to combat the entry of fentanyl into the United States. Previously, Beijing had responded to criticism that China had not taken sufficient action to combat the entry of fentanyl into the United States. Previously, Beijing responded to the first tariff measures applied by the US administration with tariffs ranging from 10% to 15% on certain products, along with new controls on exports of strategic minerals and an investigation against the technology giant Google (NASDAQ: GOOGL). The current scenario, can be defined as a “Tariff Carnival” , as it is only worth highlighting the volatility and risk involved in this trade dispute initiated by Trump with all the countries with which it maintains trade relations, whose effects could extend beyond the borders of the two largest economies in the world. Hang Seng Analysis In today's trading day, the retracement was not long in coming, closing the week with a bearish session, and continuing today's Asian trading day with a bearish closing. Although the trend is clearly bullish on a daily time frame, it can be seen that there has been a new bounce off the highs. In other words, after breaking new highs at 24,071.50 points the stock has corrected to an area just below the previous highs, in the body area. If the price action loses strength it could generate a bearish crossover that corrects the price in the direction of the previous price support zone at 19573 points. If the stock continues to beat the market strongly we will see a new attempt to pierce the highs. It should be noted that the RSI has marked excessive overbought at the time of the correction at 81.79% and the POC is located in the area of the previous impulse of 17,200 points. Therefore, a small price correction is quite foreseeable if these tariffs have a sufficient impact on the index's corporate results. In conclusion, the scenario is shaping up as a “Tariff Carnival” , where the escalation of protectionist measures and chain reactions could extend their effects beyond the two largest economies in the world, significantly impacting international trade and the stability of financial markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:HKINDLong
by ActivTrades
FTSE Bullish trend continuationThe FTSE 100 (UK100) index continues to trade within a prevailing long-term uptrend, indicating a bullish bias. However, near-term price action suggests potential volatility around key levels, requiring confirmation of directional momentum. Bullish Scenario: The key level to watch is 8708, which represents the bull flag breakout level. A successful retest and rebound from 8708 could reinforce the bullish outlook, targeting 8910 as the first upside resistance. Sustained momentum above 8910 could extend gains toward 8950, with 8990 acting as a longer-term resistance level. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown below 8708 on a daily close could signal weakness, leading to a deeper retracement. In this scenario, the next support levels to watch are 8680, followed by 8630, where buyers may attempt to regain control. Further downside pressure below 8630 could weaken the broader uptrend structure, increasing the risk of extended corrective moves. Conclusion: The FTSE 100 remains within a bullish trend, but short-term movements depend on price action around 8708. A successful retest and rebound would reaffirm the uptrend, while a confirmed breakdown could introduce further corrective downside risks. Traders should monitor price reactions at these key levels to assess momentum shifts. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off. The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors. Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth. This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before. Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year. In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs. Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot. Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach. This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 04.03.2025Monday’s session started on a positive note with a gap-up, as Nifty touched a high of 22,261.55 but failed to sustain and dropped to 22,004.70. It later recovered slightly, closing at 22,119.30, losing just 5 points from the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains negative, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) is now in oversold territory. Demand/Support Zones Near Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024) Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950 Supply/Resistance Zones Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 22,508.40 - 22,625.30 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 22,720.30 - 23,049.95 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 23,222 - 23,807.30 Outlook Nifty has declined 4,272 points (16%) in the last 5 months from its All-Time High of 26,277. The Daily 50 SMA is now oversold, which could lead to some buying near the 22,000 psychological level. However, multiple gaps and fresh supply zones on the Daily and Weekly charts indicate that any upside move is likely to face selling pressure at higher levels. A Sell-on-Rise strategy remains favorable until a strong reversal is confirmed.
NSE:NIFTY
by PriteshPalan
DAX 40 Hits New Record HighThe trading week kicks off with strong optimism in major global indices, with the DAX 40 in Frankfurt reaching a new record, rising over 3% and surpassing the 22,300-point mark. This outstanding performance is backed by investment fund prospects focused on defense and infrastructure projects, for which a plan worth nearly one trillion euros is under discussion. Some German companies linked to these sectors have even achieved double-digit gains, supporting the German index. On the geopolitical front, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has announced the development of a peace plan for Ukraine, following a tense meeting between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The goal of European powers is to maintain market stability and confidence, despite uncertainty stemming from negotiations with Washington and potential trade frictions. However, the threat of new U.S. tariffs remains one of the primary risk factors for the region. On the macroeconomic side, the eurozone inflation data —which stood at 2.4% annually in February, slightly above the 2.3% forecast— continues to support expectations of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank this week. While energy and services showed some moderation in their increases, the rise in unprocessed food (3.1%) and non-energy industrial goods (0.6%) suggests that price dynamics still require monitoring. In this context, core inflation fell to 2.6%, remaining above expectations but marking its lowest level since January 2022. In terms of immediate impact, the strength of the defense sector and infrastructure investments could sustain the bullish momentum in European equities. This scenario highlights the importance of coordination between European leaders and negotiations with the U.S., which will be crucial to supporting economic momentum and avoiding trade tensions. With this positive market environment at the start of the week, there are promising opportunities for European markets, as long as the key players strike a balance between defense spending ambitions, the geopolitical implications of the Ukraine peace plan, and the risks associated with U.S. trade policy. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by Pepperstone
US30 LongTarget at 45,273 have still not been met. Price has kept collecting orders at in order to reach that target. Two weeks ago we saw price tank heavily in an attempt to collect orders at an liquidity region. This region seems to be at 43,100 daily liquidity level. Price hit that daily level and then we saw a sudden surge of buy momentum, indicating that price is going high. Price has broken structure on the daily and 4 hour timeframes, indicating that price will continue going upwards. Due to the monthly and weekly candlestick closures, I can tell that price is due to retrace lower before going upwards. I expect price to retrace lower forming an obvious liquidity region before I buy.
FOREXCOM:US30Long
by allan_mwenja2000