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Trading a Pause in the Price Action Some candlestick patterns shout their intentions, while others quietly mark a pause before the next move. The Doji falls into the latter category—it doesn’t tell you which way the market is going next, but it does highlight a moment of indecision that often precedes a meaningful move. While traders sometimes mistake it for a reversal signal, the real significance of a Doji comes when price decisively breaks beyond its range. Let’s explore what a Doji represents, why its range is key and how traders can use it in different market conditions. What Is a Doji? A standard Doji forms when a market opens and closes at or very near the same price. This creates a candle with a thin or non-existent body and wicks on either side, showing that price moved up and down during the session but failed to establish a clear direction by the close. The key takeaway? A Doji does not indicate a directional bias—it simply reflects the natural market cycle between indecision and decisive direction. It tells us that neither buyers nor sellers had the upper hand during that period. Standard Doji Pattern Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Doji’s Range: Why It’s Important Rather than trading the Doji itself, the focus should be on its high and low. When price breaks and closes beyond the Doji’s range, that’s when a potential trade setup forms: • A close above the Doji’s high suggests buyers have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further upside. • A close below the Doji’s low signals sellers are in charge, making downside continuation more probable. This makes the Doji a pattern that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. It provides a forward-looking view, allowing traders to anticipate where momentum might emerge. A single Doji can be significant, but clusters of Doji candles—where price hesitates over multiple sessions—can create even stronger setups, particularly when they resolve with a decisive breakout. Doji’s Range Becomes Significant Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Doji Breakout Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results How to Use the Doji in Trading The Doji pattern works across all timeframes, from intraday charts to daily and even weekly price action. Looking at USD/JPY on the daily timeframe (see chart below), four Doji formations highlight how the pattern plays out in real-world trading: USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Pattern 1 (Monday, 25th November 2024): A Doji formed, followed by a strong break below its range, leading to a clear move lower. Patterns 2 & 3 (Early December 2024): Two Doji candles appeared close together, forming a Doji cluster. This hesitation phase was followed by a steady directional move higher. Pattern 4 (Early February 2025): The initial break below the Doji’s range led to a short-lived move lower. However, price then pulled back, retested the Doji, and only after that retest did a more sustained downside move develop. These examples show that the Doji is not a trading signal in isolation—it needs a decisive break to confirm the next move. Trading the Doji Breakout If a trader is looking to enter based on a Doji setup, they should consider the following: • Wait for Confirmation – The most important factor is the breakout. A Doji on its own is just indecision; it’s the next candle that provides the real clue. • Identify the Key Level – The high and low of the Doji form a mini-range. A close outside this range is the real signal. • Manage Risk Properly – A common approach is to place a stop-loss just beyond the opposite side of the Doji’s range. Because Doji candles highlight hesitation, they often form at key support or resistance levels. When price is already in an established trend, a Doji can act as a temporary pause before continuation. Summary: The Doji is a pause in price action, not a guarantee of reversal or continuation. The real significance lies in how price reacts after the Doji forms—a decisive break and close beyond its range is the key trigger. While traders often focus on patterns that appear to provide clear direction, the Doji offers something different—it marks the moment before clarity emerges. Whether it leads to a breakout, a trend continuation, or a reversal depends entirely on the price action that follows. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 26 Mar 2025 You know that scene in every action movie where someone’s finger hovers over the big red button… and they don’t press it? That’s me right now. Because once again, sitting back and waiting for a cleaner entry zone is paying off. SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band – like a polite tap on the shoulder – but hasn’t turned with any conviction. No pulse bars. No reversal. Just a stall. And that, my friend, is where we earn our edge – not by reacting early, but by knowing when not to act at all. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Markets don’t always reward the busy. Sometimes, the biggest wins come from doing… nothing. And today is one of those days. 📍 SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band ⏸️ But instead of turning sharply, price paused 🚫 No bearish pulse bars yet – which means no confirmed reversal We’re in “hover mode”. Which, translated to trader speak, means: "Don’t be clever. Just wait." 🎯 I’m staying bullish above 5700  🧭 But I’m not placing blind trades just to feel productive. If price breaks and holds above 5700, I’ll consider scaling in for a bullish continuation. If we slip back below 5700, I’ll reassess for bearish setups and pulse bar confirmation. But until then? My finger’s off the button. Why? Because I know this pattern. The tag-with-no-turn often just means we’re not done yet. The trend might still have gas in the tank, or it’s winding up for a more dramatic move later. Either way, I’m not front-running it. And honestly? Watching others flinch and overtrade while I sip tea and wait is one of life’s great pleasures. 😎 --- Fun Fact 📢 In 2006, someone accidentally sold 610,000 shares of a stock instead of 1. 💡 This infamous “fat-finger trade” cost Mizuho Securities $225 million in one afternoon — and became one of the most expensive typos in trading history. Moral of the story? In trading – as in typing – sometimes doing nothing is smarter than doing something fast.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Intraday Buy Opportunity: US500Intraday Idea - We look to Buy TRADENATION:US500 at 5735 Technical View Trades at the highest level in 12 days The rally has posted a correction count on the intraday chart An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning Bespoke support is located at 5735 Previous resistance, now becomes support at 5725 Stop: 5695 Target: 5867 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by Signal_Centre1
CAC40 INTRADAY Bullish sideways consolidation The CAC 40 Equity Index remains in a prevailing uptrend, with recent intraday price action indicating a corrective pullback toward a key support level. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: 7967 (critical level), 7893, 7778 Resistance Levels: 8160, 8270, 8344 Bullish Scenario: A bullish bounce from the 7967 support level, previously a resistance zone, could trigger renewed buying momentum. If confirmed, the next upside targets are set at 8160, 8270, and 8344 over a longer timeframe. Bearish Scenario: A daily close below 7967 would weaken the bullish outlook, potentially leading to a further retracement toward 7893, with an extended decline targeting 7778. Conclusion: The overall market sentiment remains bullish, but the 7967 level is a pivotal support zone. A successful retest and rebound from this level could drive the next leg higher, whereas a confirmed breakdown would shift the outlook to bearish, favoring deeper corrections. Traders should monitor price action closely around these levels for confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:F40
by TradeNation
FTSE INTRADAY bullish ahead of UK Spring StatementThe FTSE 100 equity index is exhibiting bullish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective sideways consolidation, potentially forming a Bullish Flag continuation pattern, which typically precedes a continuation of the upward momentum. Key Trading Levels: Support Level: The critical support level to watch is 8,594, marking the previous consolidation price range. Upside Targets: A corrective pullback from current levels, followed by a bullish bounce from the 8,596 level, could pave the way for an upward move toward the next resistance levels at 8,729, followed by 8,798 and 8,853 over a longer timeframe. Alternative Bearish Scenario: A confirmed loss of support at 8,594, with a daily close below this level, would invalidate the bullish outlook. In such a case, the index could experience further retracement, with potential downside targets at 8,539 and 8,465. Conclusion: While the current sentiment remains bullish, traders should closely monitor the 8,594 support level. A successful bounce could reaffirm the bullish momentum, targeting higher resistance levels. Conversely, a break and close below this support would signal a shift in sentiment, suggesting a deeper corrective move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
BankNifty levels - Mar 27, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - Mar 27, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
UK Inflation DeclinesUK Inflation Declines Today, the latest UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were released. According to ForexFactory: The actual annual CPI came in at 2.8%, Analysts had expected it to remain at the previous level of 3.0%. As a result, the British pound weakened, and a slight spike in volatility was observed on the FTSE 100 stock index chart (UK 100 on FXOpen) Technical Analysis of FTSE 100 In early March, bearish activity (indicated by an arrow) led to a break of the support level around 8757, which then acted as resistance. However, as soon as bears pushed the price below the February low, bulls stepped in. Currently, the UK stock index chart is forming a narrowing triangle, which can be interpreted as a sign of equilibrium between supply and demand. However, this pattern will eventually be broken. It is possible that the release of significant news—such as developments in international trade tariffs—could disrupt the balance of supply and demand, triggering a trend movement for the FTSE 100 index (UK 100 on FXOpen). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:UK100
by FXOpen
1
US Dollar's Worst Month Since 2023: DXY Faces Make-or-Break The greenback ends Q1 under pressure as soft inflation data, central bank divergence, and rising risk appetite weigh on the long-term outlook. 📉 A Fragile Finish to Q1 for the Dollar As we close out March and head into Q2, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is on track for its worst monthly performance since December 2023, erasing nearly half of its four-month rally. From a high of 110.00 in January 2025, the index has dropped to a recent low of 102.84, highlighting growing fragility in the dollar's long-term structure. The 7.2% slide since the start of the year reflects shifting expectations around Federal Reserve policy, global interest rate convergence, and an increase in risk-on sentiment. With the DXY trading around 103.80 at the time of writing, bulls are struggling to reclaim momentum above the critical 104.00 barrier—a zone that has served as both support and resistance over the last eight months. 🔍 What's Driving the Weakness? Several fundamental forces have contributed to the dollar's Q1 decline: 📉 1. Cooling Inflation and Dovish Fed Signals February and March inflation prints came in softer than expected, leading markets to price in rate cuts sooner than the Fed's official guidance. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has maintained a cautious tone, but recent FOMC minutes and commentary from regional presidents suggest that a mid-year rate cut is increasingly likely—a development that undermines the dollar's yield advantage. 🌍 2. Global Central Bank Catch-Up The European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) have recently resisted premature rate cut expectations, with hawkish commentary supporting their respective currencies. Meanwhile, Japan's move away from the ultra-loose monetary policy has lifted the yen, reducing the dollar's appeal as a carry-trade favourite. 💹 3. Equities, Risk-On Sentiment, and Gold Strength The S&P 500's record highs, strong demand for emerging markets, and gold's breakout to new all-time highs are clear indicators of a market rotating into risk assets and inflation hedges—further weakening safe-haven demand for the dollar. 📊 Technical Analysis: 104.00 Is the Line in the Sand The DXY's decline from 110.00 has retraced 50% of the four-month rally, with a firm low found at 102.84 earlier this month. While that level has provided near-term support, upside momentum remains capped below 104.00, a multi-month resistance level that must be reclaimed to reestablish bullish control. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 104.00 – Multi-month pivot zone, critical for trend shift 104.46 – Minor breakout level; confirmation of bullish continuation 105.96 – Short-term upside target if 104.46 is cleared 🔻 Key Support Zones: 103.58–103.25 – Minor support zone just below current levels 102.84 – March low; major near-term support 102.39–102.00 – Final downside target if 102.84 fails A break below 102.84 could accelerate bearish momentum into the 102.00 psychological level, especially if April's macro data confirms a slowing US economy or rising expectations for rate cuts. 🧭 April's Outlook: All Eyes on 104.00 The month of April will be pivotal in shaping the medium- to long-term outlook for the dollar. Key catalysts to watch include: March jobs report (NFP) – Signs of labour market cooling will intensify rate cut bets. Core PCE inflation – The Fed's preferred inflation gauge could confirm the disinflation trend. Geopolitical developments – Ongoing tensions in the Red Sea, Taiwan, and Ukraine could spark temporary safe-haven flows, but may not be enough to reverse the downtrend. Unless the DXY can close April above 104.46, it risks confirming a longer-term bearish reversal, which could open the door to sub-100 scenarios later in the year—especially if US macro data continues to soften and global rate differentials tighten further. 🔄 Scenarios to Watch: Bulls Need a Breakout 📈 Bullish Scenario: Price holds above 103.25, reclaims 104.00, and breaks 104.46 Momentum builds toward 105.96 April data surprises to the upside, delaying Fed cuts 📉 Bearish Scenario: Rejection at 104.00, breakdown below 102.84 Push into 102.00 support zone or lower April macro data reinforces dovish narrative, equity strength continues ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Cautious Tone, Technical Pressure The US dollar is ending Q1 under clear technical and fundamental pressure, with the DXY sitting at a critical inflection point. While the March low at 102.84 may hold in the short term, failure to break above 104.00–104.46 will leave the index vulnerable to further downside. With central bank divergence fading and risk appetite on the rise, the greenback's role as a defensive play is weakening. Unless April delivers a surprise upside catalyst, the path of least resistance appears to remain lower.
TVC:DXY
by Rotuma
Nifty 50–1H Chart Analysis Using Volume Profile & Gann High Low1. Key Observations (Volume & Gann Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights POC (Recent Session): 23,338.85 – strong volume concentration suggesting a key decision level. POC (Previous Structure): 22,478.95 – deep value zone indicating prior accumulation and demand interest. Value Area High (VAH): Approx. 23,700 – marked rejection zone; price failed to sustain above. Value Area Low (VAL): Near 22,800 – critical demand support zone based on historical value range. b) Gann High-Low Signals Gann Pivot High: 23,800 zone – aligns with current range high; failed breakout attempt signals potential reversal. Gann Pivot Low: Around 22,400 – multiple tests show significant buyer defense, acting as strong base. c) Liquidity Zones Liquidity Trap Above 23,700–23,800: Fake breakout potential, possible stop-run for late buyers. Liquidity Pool Below 22,800–22,400: Where institutions likely absorbed selling pressure during consolidation. d) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows Volume Swing High: 23,700–23,800 – top volume spike and seller reaction. Volume Swing Low: 22,478.95 – high volume area supporting prior reversal, now key demand level. 2. Support & Resistance Levels Support Levels (Volume-Based) 23,338.85 (Recent POC – watch for retest) 22,800 (VAL – volume support & midpoint consolidation) 22,478.95 (POC from prior zone – major demand) Resistance Levels (Gann-Based) 23,700–23,800 (Range high + Gann pivot) 23,600 (upper channel boundary – supply zone) 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Overall Trend Direction Bullish to Neutral – recent sharp rally has entered a distribution phase near highs, with weakening momentum. Potential transition into range-bound behavior or pullback toward lower POC zones. b) Notable Structural Patterns Rising Wedge/Channel Breakdown: Price beginning to pull back from upper channel. Fakeout Above Range High: Failure to sustain above 23,800 confirms bearish intent. Symmetrical Channel Forming: Indicates possible corrective move ahead. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Setup Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300 (POC retest + prior demand) Target 1 (T1): 23,600 (upper consolidation zone) Target 2 (T2): 23,800 (range high retest) Stop Loss (SL): 23,050 (below channel midline) Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5 Position Size: Risk 1–2% of capital b) Bearish Setup Entry Zone: 23,600–23,700 (supply zone + failed breakout) Target 1 (T1): 22,800 (VAL and lower boundary) Stop Loss (SL): 23,850 (above fakeout high) Risk-Reward: ~1:2 Position Size: Risk 1–2% of capital
NSE:NIFTY
by ProspireWealth
1
Russell 2000 H1 | Approaching pullback supportRussell 2000 (US2000) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 2,087.22 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 2,065.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 2,131.72 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US2000Long
by FXCM
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bullish bounceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 20,090.40 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 19,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 21,044.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Long
by FXCM
26/3/25 Bulls Need Follow-through, or Stall at 20-Day EMA? The market tested the 20-day EMA and the January 13 low in the last 2 trading days. In our last report, we said the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling) and the odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback testing the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. They got what they wanted. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The market has formed 3 pushes up, therefore a wedge (Mar 17, Mar 19, and Mar 15). If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 25) after that, forming a larger double top bear flag. The bulls must continue creating follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of testing the March 3 high (start of the bear channel). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to show that they are back in control. They want the 20-day EMA and the Jan 13 low to act as resistance. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. For now, traders will see if the bulls can continue to create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA, or will the market stall around the current levels instead? If there is a pullback, traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the current leg high (now Mar 25) and the strength of the retest. If it is weak and is a lower high, another sideways to down leg to retest the March 13 low will increase. For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. But the wedge pattern is increasing the odds of a small pullback.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
levels to watch out In my post from last year, I highlighted the potential for a market top and a correction in both the index and most of the Nifty50 stocks. My initial target was around 21,800, which the market hit as expected, and we also saw a bounce from those levels, just as I predicted. However, if those levels are breached, the decline could accelerate, bringing the market down to 19,000. I closed my short positions around those levels and will look to re-enter shorts. A break and sustained close above 24,150 would signal the end of this correction, possibly pushing the market to new highs in the coming weeks.
NSE:NIFTY
by Shivkumar600
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5830.Colleagues, the previous forecast is not canceled, but I decided to update it a bit in the form of a new forecast. I have set the target a little closer, so that I don't have to wait too long. I believe that the price will continue its upward movement and will reach the area of 5830. It is quite possible that the price will correct to the area of 5597, completing the wave “2” of small order. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
18