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THE FEAR IS REAL. MAKE USE OF IT FOR THE LONG TERM!Disclaimer: The following article is not investment advice. It is solely prepared for educational purposes, specifically regarding the Indian markets and aimed at people interested in long-term investments. The numbers mentioned reflect the data available at the time of writing. Hello people, We are witnessing significant movements in the Indian markets, with news of small-cap stocks entering a ‘bear market’, mid-caps falling nearly 16%, and the major index, NIFTY 50, down about 11% since September. This has led to a decline in SIPs (by 109%) and raised questions about the resilience of common Indian equity investors. SMID stocks have performed the worst since the Covid crash, and various narratives are circulating, such as ‘BUY THE DIPS’ and others equally discouraging equity investment altogether. Regardless of these narratives, it is evident that during substantial declines or bear markets, even fundamentally strong stocks—those suitable for long-term investments—can be purchased at discounted prices. These are the stocks widely considered the right choice and can be made use of for this phase of the market according to proficient professionals. The question remains: which are they? This article highlights a few of these stocks based on my analysis. I share them to raise awareness, especially for those looking for such opportunities, but I am NOT advising you to buy them. What makes this content relevant is that it comes from someone who has been monitoring the market out of initiative, from a genuine interest over the past 3-4 years. So let's begin. My top pick stock ticking all the boxes is Mahanagar Gas . It has impressive financials and is a fundamentally strong mid-cap company. It's both a value stock and a good growth stock (two common investing styles are value investing and growth-based investing). The stock's P/E ratio is 12.6, indicating it might be undervalued. The current price is ₹1,343, and the intrinsic value (according to Screener) is ₹1,479. As a mid-cap stock, it holds significant growth potential with a medium risk level—lower than that of small caps. It’s currently priced at a 31% discount. Next I see Indus towers . Again good fundamentally, making it a good pick for long-term investors. As a large-cap stock, its growth potential is less than mid or small caps, but it’s still solid and carries lower risk of all. Its P/E ratio is 9.18, indicating potential undervaluation. However, one downside is that although its debt-to-equity ratio is 0.75 (which is good), its enterprise value exceeds the market cap, possibly suggesting high debt or overvaluation (which I doubt). Additionally, promoter holdings have decreased by 3% in the last quarter. Among the other options are Godawari Power and Andhra Petrochemicals . Godawari Power is a solid mid-cap stock, with one exception: its 10-year sales growth or compounded revenue growth does not exceed 10% over the last 10 years, a key criterion for long-term investments. However, its 7-year sales growth surpasses 10%, which is positive. With a P/E ratio of 14.5 and a 31% discount from its previous high, it seems undervalued and carries medium risk, with the potential for high growth. Last option is Andhra petrochemicals which unlike the others on this list, is a small-cap stock, making it suitable for those with a high-risk appetite. It has strong fundamentals and meets all the criteria required for long-term investment. The current price of ₹58.7 is below its book value of ₹64.8, and the intrinsic value is ₹154, indicating an attractive investment. It’s also interesting to note that when the price-to-book ratio is below 1 (P/BV < 1), it’s often considered an amazing deal .But again, this is a small-cap stock, so proceed with caution. Criteria Used All the stocks listed here have passed my evaluation based on four key areas required for a growing business: profitability, liquidity, leverage, and operational efficiency. Other factors considered include undervaluation, debt-to-equity ratio, and so on. Going forward, I am aware that there is a possibility of the markets falling further, which cannot be ignored. The narrative around March 20th and its significance in the market cycle is still present, and I would encourage caution. For those hesitant to invest now, I suggest keeping an eye on the charts. Wait for a solid bullish signal to appear, and confirm it with USOIL and USDINR charts. These are crucial for concluding about the trend of our markets. Additionally, perform a reality check on your investments: assess where your money is allocated, determine reasonable conservative targets, and evaluate the time frame for returns, apart from the projections made by portfolio managers and fund managers and their years of experiences too. Stats such as NIFTY MIDCAP 100 index giving negative returns from 2008 to 2014, is evident by directly observing the charts itself. I hope this information was valuable to you. Don't lose faith in the markets. Happy investing! “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy only when others are fearful.” – Warren Buffet
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by ThePassionate_investor
US100: Weekly Bullish, Short-Term Bearish—Two Key ScenariosThe US100 (Nasdaq) remains bullish on the higher (Weekly/Daily) timeframes, but short-term (4H/2H) indicators suggest a correction or pullback. This creates a split bias: either the market finds support and resumes the uptrend, or it breaks key levels and continues lower. • Support Zones: • 21,580–21,400 (immediate short-term supports) • 21,200–21,000 (major daily support, 100 SMA area) • Weekly Support extends down to ~19,500–21,000 on deeper pullbacks • Resistance Zones: • 21,900–22,000 (key intraday resistance + pivot) • 22,200–22,300 (recent peak & bearish order block) Scenarios • Scenario A (Bullish Continuation) • Look for price to hold 21,580–21,400 support and reclaim ~21,700–21,800 on higher timeframes. • Aggressive traders may front-run a bounce near 21,580 (tight stops below 21,530). • Conservative traders might wait for a Daily close above ~21,900 with momentum (RSI >50, bullish MACD). • Invalidation: A daily close below ~21,000 could trigger further downside. • Scenario B (Bearish Reversal / Deeper Correction) • If price fails at 21,700–21,900 or breaks below 21,580 decisively, watch for a move to 21,400 or even 21,000. • Aggressive shorts may enter on a retest of 21,700–21,800 (broken support → resistance) or a clean break below 21,580. • More conservative bears might wait for a Daily close under 21,000–21,200 and a confirmed downtrend on momentum indicators. • Invalidation: A strong 4H close back above 21,900–22,000 would weaken the bearish case. Risk Management / Disclaimer Use stops, manage position sizes, and monitor macro news. This post is for educational purposes only—not financial advice.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by EliteMarketAnalysis
$NIFTY in a bearish pattern but downturn still not completeThe international markets like ICMARKETS:STOXX50 and IG:HANGSENG are experiencing a positive momentum and 20-Day is above the 50-Day, 100-Day SMA and 200-Day SMA. This indicates a bullish momentum in European and Chinese stock market. In contrast Indian index NSE:NIFTY which was a favorite trade in 2023 and 2024 has been underperforming with all the SMA below the 200-Day SMA indicating a bearish pattern. In the chart we have plotted an upward sloping Fib retracement level with Covid Lows as the bottom and prior to Covid as the top. In this upward sloping FIB retracement levels, we see that the index has very much stayed within the upper and the lower bound of the upward sloe. The recent crash has also not violated the lower bound. But the NSE:NIFTY is 3.618 Fib Level which is exactly @ 22796. If index levels respect the FIB Channel then there is some more downside to the index left until it reaches 22000 at the bottom of the range. My opinion we should be long NSE:NIFTY @22000. What are your thoughts? Long NSE:NIFTY @ 22000 level.
NSE:NIFTY
by RabishankarBiswal
KBW Nasdaq Property & Casualty Index Quote | Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # KBW Nasdaq Property & Casualty Index Quote - Double Formation * (Area Of Value)) & Pattern Confirmation | Completed Survey * 012345 Wave Feature & Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * ((No trade)) | Inverted Pattern | Subdivision 2 * 0.5 Area Retracement Configuration | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) * ABC Flat Wave Feature & Entry Set Up At 1281.00 USD * 0.382 Retracement | Downtrend Continuation Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
NASDAQ:KPXShort
by TradePolitics
Nifty Market Update: Bears Are in Control – A Rough Ride Ahead?The Nifty closed at 22,795 this week, down by 134 points from the previous week’s close, with a high of 23,049 and a low of 22,720. The formation of a Gravestone Doji candle indicates that the market is firmly under the control of the bears, signaling potential weakness ahead. As forecasted last week, Nifty moved within the range of 23,450 to 22,400, aligning perfectly with my predictions. Looking ahead to next week, I expect Nifty to trade between the 23,300 to 22,250 range. While 22,300-22,400 offers a strong support zone, if the index slips below 22,250, it could test the WEMA100 at 22,050, which could offer some relief. Digging deeper, I analyzed the Nifty50 monthly chart from 2004 onwards and noticed a recurring pattern: whenever Nifty closes below the monthly EMA21, it tends to test the EMA50, which currently stands at 19,450. If this month’s close is below 22,400, we could be heading toward 19,450, so brace yourselves for what could be a bumpy ride ahead. On the international front, the S&P 500 is showing signs of forming a bearish M-pattern, a negative signal for the broader market. This is troubling news for Indian markets, which are already under pressure. From the current level of 6,013, a 1.5% correction could see the index testing support levels around 5,900. The battle between bears and bulls continues, but for now, I believe the bears still have the upper hand. Stay cautious and keep a close watch on market movements – volatility is here to stay!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Banknifty - Weekly view ( February Monthly Expiry Week )Shorting opportunity is risky as well as low for BankNifty in the upcoming week even though it is not looking bullish but due to uncertainty in BankNifty . Expecting high volatility and choppy moves throughout the week , the upcoming week is going to be a truncated week as well as a monthly expiry week, so one needs to be really cautious . Levels to watch for the upside side and downside are listed below: 
 .) Upon crossing the base of 49120 and 49350, we can expect momentum to continue upto 49800-50300 .) On the downside, the important support range is 49400-47937, and upon breaching this range, BankNifty can slip upto a very important short covering level of 47400-350, which can also be considered as a weekly low .
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by IshanMathur05
Down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last two weeks price action of SPX500USD followed exactly my outlook. On Monday February, 10 price closed above the low of previous Friday. And after a correction down it made a new ATH last Wednesday. After that it dropped. So I think next week we could see more downside to take the liquidity under the previous lows. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a correction up to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bearish to trade shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
3
NASDAQ - Short term downtrend.Bearish downtrend on the NASDAQ, targeting the Daily STL as nearest draw on liqudity. Expecting a retracement into the 4H BaG (Pink area) to then continue the current down-trend to sweep the liquidity at the daily STL. As we can see, the recent bullish expansion to the upside actually took Monthly liquidity which then saw a sharp reversal which has taken out most of the bullish orderflow created in the expansion to the upside, where we created bullish FVGs moving into the HTF areas of interest. Trend turned bearish after the M high was taken, and we have created Bearish BaG on the 4H moving away from the area, as well as a potential Daily FVG being created after Mondays open. The overall daily range for the year so far (2025) has been somewhat consolidatory, so im anticipating any move below the Daily STL we have as our target, to be a sweep and premium price action to then become our draw on liqudiity. Happy trading!
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by TuataraW20
US30What is US30? The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a stock market index that represents the performance of 30 large publicly traded companies in the United States. It is a price-weighted index, meaning that stocks with higher share prices have more influence on its movement. The US30 serves as a key indicator of the overall health and performance of the U.S. stock market and economy. SIR ,Jerome H. Powell serves as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, which is often referred to as "the Fed." He plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy decisions for the United States How Do Fed Monetary Policies Affect US30? The Federal Reserve's monetary policies significantly impact financial markets, including indices like US30. The primary tool used by the Fed to implement these policies is adjusting interest rates. (1)Interest Rates and Their Impact Raising Interest Rates: When inflation rises or economic growth becomes too rapid, increasing interest rates can help slow down economic activity by making borrowing more expensive. This typically leads to decreased spending and investment in stocks, potentially causing indices like US30 to decline. (2)Lowering Interest Rates: Conversely, when economic growth slows down or during periods of low inflation, reducing interest rates makes borrowing cheaper. This encourages spending and investment in stocks, potentially boosting indices like US30. (3)Market Sentiment: Changes in interest rates affect investor sentiment towards equities. Lower rates generally boost investor confidence by making it cheaper for companies to borrow money for expansion or investment. Economic Indicators: Since US30 reflects major U.S.-based corporations' performance across various sectors (e.g., technology and finance), changes in monetary policy can influence these sectors differently based on their reliance on borrowing costs. (3)Volatility: Adjustments in monetary policy can lead to increased volatility in financial markets as investors react quickly to potential shifts in economic conditions signaled by rate changes. In summary, Fed monetary policies directly influence how investors perceive risk and allocate capital between different asset classes such as bonds versus equities (like those tracked by US30). These perceptions drive market movements based on expectations about future economic conditions influenced by central bank actions
BLACKBULL:US30
by Shavyfxhub
UK100What is UK 100 (FTSE 100)? The UK 100, commonly referred to as the FTSE 100, is a stock market index that represents the performance of the largest publicly traded companies in the United Kingdom. some of the big names includes (1) ;AstraZeneca - Market Cap: £171.02 Billion AstraZeneca is global pharmaceutical company specializing in oncology, cardiovascular, renal, and respiratory diseases. (2)Shell - Market Cap: £161.21 Billion Shell is One of the world's leading energy companies involved in oil and gas exploration and renewable energy solutions. (3) HSBC Holdings - Market Cap: £148.05 Billion HSBC is a multinational banking and financial services organization with operations worldwide. (4) Unilever Group - Market Cap: £113.95 Billion Unilever group is A consumer goods company with brands across food, beverages, cleaning products, and personal care. (5)RELX Group (formerly Reed Elsevier) - Market Cap: £74.34 Billion Relex group is Known for its information-based analytics business serving legal professionals worldwide. (6) British American Tobacco - Market Cap: £71.05 Billion BAT is is multinational tobacco company with a diverse portfolio including cigarettes and vaping products. (7) Barclays. The index is calculated based on market capitalization; larger companies have more influence on its movements. The current Governor of the Bank of England is Andrew Bailey. He took office on March 16, 2020. THE Impact of Monetary Policies on FTSE 100 UK100 (1)Interest Rates: When interest rates rise, borrowing becomes more expensive for businesses and consumers. This can lead to reduced spending and slower economic growth, potentially causing stock prices to fall. Conversely, lower interest rates make borrowing cheaper and can boost economic activity by encouraging investment and consumption. (2)Quantitative Easing: This involves injecting money into the economy by buying government bonds or other securities from banks. It increases liquidity in financial markets but can also lead to inflationary pressures if not managed carefully. (3) Forward Guidance: The BoE uses forward guidance to communicate future policy intentions. If it signals potential rate hikes or tightening measures ahead due to inflation concerns or strong economic data, this could negatively impact stocks like those in the FTSE 100 by increasing borrowing costs. (4) Currency Fluctuations: A stronger pound sterling often results from tighter monetary policies (e.g., higher interest rates). While beneficial for imports and controlling inflation, it can make exports more expensive for British companies listed in international markets. (5)Market Sentiment: Positive monetary policy decisions that support growth without excessive inflation tend to boost investor confidence in stocks like those within the FTSE 100(UK100). Conversely, dovish policies signaling weaker economic conditions might reduce investor appetite for equities. In summary: Monetary policy decisions significantly influence stock market indices such as FTSE 100 through mechanisms like interest rates and quantitative easing. Andrew Bailey leads these efforts at BoE with a focus on maintaining price stability while supporting sustainable growth.. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH PLEASE!!!
FX:UK100
by Shavyfxhub
1