SPY: Breakout Brewing?📍SPX500 | Triangle Compression Before Breakout?
SPX500 is currently coiling into a symmetrical triangle on the 5-min chart, suggesting a volatility expansion is imminent.
🔍 Fibonacci Levels in Play:
Key Support: 5,419 – 5,428 (0.5 to 0.618 retracement)
Breakout Target: 5,482.83 (Fib 1.382)
Higher Projections: 5,499.94 (1.618), 5,516.82 (1.854)
📈 Probabilities:
Bullish Breakout → 5,455 / 5,483 = 65%
Sideways Chop in 5,420–5,440 range = 20%
Bearish Fade < 5,419 = 15%
🚨 Watching for confirmation above 5,434 with volume for long entry.
This setup aligns with our high-probability DSS framework for intraday signals. Mark your levels. Monitor the breakout.
🧠 Discipline is your alpha.
📊 Chart by: Wavervanir International LLC
#SPX500 #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #TrianglePattern #BreakoutStrategy #SmartMoney #QuantEdge #Wavervanir #MarketUpdate #DayTrading #DSS #SP500
Market indices
US500 (S&P): Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
Relief Rally: A chance to take profits?If we are in a historic crash/correction/recession/whatever, we need to use these relief rallies to take some profits AND dump some of our low-quality speculative positions.
IF WE GET TO TARGET TOMORROW, I'm unloading some of my baggage. Time to give the hot potatoes to someone else.
Bullish IntradayPrice made a higher high at 99.836, breaking the previous lower high. This suggests a potential shift in structure to bullish. Buy Stops Above Highs: The high at 99.836 likely took out buy stops from traders expecting a breakout above 100.000. ICT emphasizes that smart money often hunts liquidity above equal highs or below equal lows. Bearish Order Block: The green box around 99.750–99.800 (before the drop to 99.500) acts as a bearish order block. This is a zone where institutional selling occurred, leading to the sharp decline. Price briefly retested this zone before rejecting it, confirming its significance. Last scenario would be, Pullback and Reversal: A likely ICT setup would be a pullback to the 99.650 pivot or the 99.500 bullish order block, followed by a move higher to target liquidity above 100.000.
UNCONFIRMED VIEW - NDXGood Morning Everyone,
Hope all is well. NDX is looking toppy throughout the last week. Lets break it down.
We had a nice strong bullish movement April 7th. This led to a bloom in the market and some nice green rallies. We have only had "1" confirmed support throughout this rally and "1" confirmed resistance.
We have a double top that has formed, you can see this in the two yellow circles. The trend itself is starting to top out on RSI & volume is decreasing. This is all signalling that a path down to find a new support is coming.
Right now I hold 0 of anything. I sold my portfolio this morning and am waiting for re-entry. Yes this was a bit early as I have not confirmed a 2nd resistance however I am playing safe right now.
Enjoy!
#16 April Nifty50 trade zone
#Nifty50
99% working trading plan
👉Gap up open 23418 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 23482, 23640
👉Gap up open 23418 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23262, 23188
👉Gap down open 23262 above 15m hold after positive trade target 23418 , 23482
👉Gap down open 23262 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23188, 23084
💫big gapdown open 23188 above hold 1st positive trade view
💫big Gapup opening 23482 below nigetive trade view
📌 Trade plan for education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
More education following me
DXY Forms a Contracting Triangle: Awaiting BreakoutDXY Forms a Contracting Triangle: Awaiting Breakout
On the 60-minute chart, DXY has developed a contracting triangle, which is typically a trend continuation pattern, suggesting a potential downward move.
However, since this consolidation is taking time and DXY’s price action remains complex, movement in either direction is possible.
The breakout will ultimately determine the next price direction, but based on current conditions, an upward move seems more likely in the near future.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
us30 longKey Observations:
Strong Bullish Momentum (Preceding the current candle):
There was a significant bullish move leading up to 15:00, with large green candles pushing price from around 40,570 to 40,770.
This sharp upward move could be news-driven or reacting to a key level.
Current Candle Showing Rejection:
The latest 5-minute candle (red) shows a possible rejection at resistance around 40,780–40,790, where price has wicked to the upside but closed lower.
Indicates possible profit-taking or short-term reversal.
Overbought on Stochastic:
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 3) is at 86.07 and 90.67 — in the overbought zone.
Suggests potential for pullback or sideways movement unless momentum continues.
Resistance & Support Levels:
Resistance Zone: ~40,780–40,788 (previous highs + possible supply zone).
Support Zone: ~40,571 (previous consolidation area and marked SL level).
If price breaks below ~40,690 with volume, watch for a dip toward 40,570 or 40,513.
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway.
I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain:
Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted)
Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action
selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist)
I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
Bullish??? That was all very sudden, is it over now?The market correction really seamed to be an over reaction. I am hopeful that the worst is behind us, at least for the meantime.
maybe this will be closer to 2018 correction and we just keep grinding higher for the rest of the year. I suppose anything is possible.
-Everyone got way to bearish to quick - Spidey senses going off!
-we never copy and paste last cycle to the next, but people have such a recency bias, sometimes its all they can see ( I may know from experience)
- hopefully bullish
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT ) Technical Analysis Summary
Daily Chart:
• Trend: Recent strong rejection from the 36893 zone followed by a sharp V-reversal; currently recovering, but still under prior highs.
• MACD: Deeply negative but showing signs of reversal (momentum slowing).
• RSI: At 46.22 — mid-range, suggesting room to go higher.
• Bias: Recovery from oversold — bullish short-term momentum within a larger corrective phase.
15-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Strong impulse move up from 37092 area to 40395.
• MACD: Positive cross and momentum flattening — indicating potential short-term consolidation or continuation.
• RSI: 45.36 — still not overbought. Room to push higher.
• Bias: Bullish continuation with potential pullback entries.
3-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Recent micro consolidation with minor pullbacks.
• MACD: Near zero but ticking up, signaling possible small continuation wave.
• RSI: 45.87 — similar mid-range, no bearish divergence.
• Bias: Short-term bullish scalp opportunity.
⸻
Fundamental Outlook (Macro Context)
• Recent Fed tone remains data-dependent, but no immediate rate hike expectations.
• Inflation cooling and market anticipating a potential rate cut later this year supports equities.
• US earnings season began; early sentiment is optimistic.
• Risk-on sentiment may support indices like US30 to grind higher short-term.
⸻
Trade Idea: Long Position
Entry:
Buy Limit @ 40220
• Just below current price, near recent minor support and EMA bounce zone (15M + 3M confluence).
Stop Loss:
SL @ 39870
• Below minor support & key structure zone on 15M chart.
Take Profit:
TP @ 40990
• Next resistance based on Daily chart supply zone and prior rejection area.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
How to Trade the Tariff Turmoil: Markets Now Move on HeadlinesMarkets in 2025 have become increasingly unpredictable, largely driven by one factor: tariffs. President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy has shaken investor confidence and turned global markets into a rollercoaster. The key to navigating this new environment? Understand that markets are no longer just reacting to economic data—they’re reacting to headlines.
The biggest shock came on April 2, when Trump announced a 145% tariff on all Chinese imports and “reciprocal” tariffs on dozens of other countries. The reaction was immediate: the S&P 500 dropped nearly 15% at its lowest point that week, and investors rushed to sell risk assets. Days later, markets sharply reversed after Trump temporarily suspended some tariffs. That sparked a rally—tech stocks soared, Apple rose 5%, and the Nasdaq gained over 2%.
But the relief was short-lived. Conflicting messages and partial rollbacks continued to send markets up and down. Earlier, on March 4, tariffs were placed on Canada and Mexico, while China’s rates were doubled. These moves led to more selling in stocks and a spike in demand for bonds. By mid-April, exemptions for electronics boosted tech names again, but overall market sentiment remained fragile.
How to Trade This New Market
The main lesson for traders and investors is clear:
We’re now in a headline-driven market. Traditional strategies that rely solely on fundamentals or economic cycles are being overshadowed by sudden political developments. Here’s how to adapt:
Stay Nimble and News-Aware
Be ready for fast moves. Market direction can flip in minutes based on a single press conference or tweet. Have alerts set for major geopolitical and tariff-related headlines. Reduce position sizes during uncertainty and avoid holding large trades through major announcements.
Rethink Your Safe Havens
The U.S. dollar is no longer acting like the safe haven it used to be. With rising fiscal concerns and volatile trade policy, investors are shifting toward alternatives. Gold and the Swiss franc (CHF) have become more reliable options during risk-off moments. If uncertainty spikes, these assets may offer better protection than the dollar.
Focus on Sectors Sensitive to Policy
Tech stocks have been among the most affected. Tariff exemptions caused sharp rallies, while new restrictions triggered big drops. If you trade sectors like tech, consumer goods, or industrials, stay especially alert for trade-related headlines.
Bottom line: In 2025, geopolitics is moving markets more than ever. The old playbook needs updating. By staying flexible, tracking headlines, and turning to traditional safe havens like gold and CHF, traders can better navigate the noise—and find opportunity in the chaos.
NASDAQ Best 2 Places For Buy Cleared Now , Don`t Miss It !Here is my opinion on NASDAQ And for who want to buy it , here is my best 2 places for buy , First One if we have a 4H Closure Above This Strong Res that pushed the prices yesterday 500 pips , and second place will be the support that clear in the chart , but i prefer the first one cuz it will be a strong confirmation if we have a good closure above .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.