Relief Rally: A chance to take profits?If we are in a historic crash/correction/recession/whatever, we need to use these relief rallies to take some profits AND dump some of our low-quality speculative positions.
IF WE GET TO TARGET TOMORROW, I'm unloading some of my baggage. Time to give the hot potatoes to someone else.
Market indices
Bullish IntradayPrice made a higher high at 99.836, breaking the previous lower high. This suggests a potential shift in structure to bullish. Buy Stops Above Highs: The high at 99.836 likely took out buy stops from traders expecting a breakout above 100.000. ICT emphasizes that smart money often hunts liquidity above equal highs or below equal lows. Bearish Order Block: The green box around 99.750–99.800 (before the drop to 99.500) acts as a bearish order block. This is a zone where institutional selling occurred, leading to the sharp decline. Price briefly retested this zone before rejecting it, confirming its significance. Last scenario would be, Pullback and Reversal: A likely ICT setup would be a pullback to the 99.650 pivot or the 99.500 bullish order block, followed by a move higher to target liquidity above 100.000.
UNCONFIRMED VIEW - NDXGood Morning Everyone,
Hope all is well. NDX is looking toppy throughout the last week. Lets break it down.
We had a nice strong bullish movement April 7th. This led to a bloom in the market and some nice green rallies. We have only had "1" confirmed support throughout this rally and "1" confirmed resistance.
We have a double top that has formed, you can see this in the two yellow circles. The trend itself is starting to top out on RSI & volume is decreasing. This is all signalling that a path down to find a new support is coming.
Right now I hold 0 of anything. I sold my portfolio this morning and am waiting for re-entry. Yes this was a bit early as I have not confirmed a 2nd resistance however I am playing safe right now.
Enjoy!
#16 April Nifty50 trade zone
#Nifty50
99% working trading plan
👉Gap up open 23418 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 23482, 23640
👉Gap up open 23418 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23262, 23188
👉Gap down open 23262 above 15m hold after positive trade target 23418 , 23482
👉Gap down open 23262 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23188, 23084
💫big gapdown open 23188 above hold 1st positive trade view
💫big Gapup opening 23482 below nigetive trade view
📌 Trade plan for education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
More education following me
DXY Forms a Contracting Triangle: Awaiting BreakoutDXY Forms a Contracting Triangle: Awaiting Breakout
On the 60-minute chart, DXY has developed a contracting triangle, which is typically a trend continuation pattern, suggesting a potential downward move.
However, since this consolidation is taking time and DXY’s price action remains complex, movement in either direction is possible.
The breakout will ultimately determine the next price direction, but based on current conditions, an upward move seems more likely in the near future.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
us30 longKey Observations:
Strong Bullish Momentum (Preceding the current candle):
There was a significant bullish move leading up to 15:00, with large green candles pushing price from around 40,570 to 40,770.
This sharp upward move could be news-driven or reacting to a key level.
Current Candle Showing Rejection:
The latest 5-minute candle (red) shows a possible rejection at resistance around 40,780–40,790, where price has wicked to the upside but closed lower.
Indicates possible profit-taking or short-term reversal.
Overbought on Stochastic:
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 3) is at 86.07 and 90.67 — in the overbought zone.
Suggests potential for pullback or sideways movement unless momentum continues.
Resistance & Support Levels:
Resistance Zone: ~40,780–40,788 (previous highs + possible supply zone).
Support Zone: ~40,571 (previous consolidation area and marked SL level).
If price breaks below ~40,690 with volume, watch for a dip toward 40,570 or 40,513.
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway.
I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain:
Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted)
Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action
selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist)
I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
Bullish??? That was all very sudden, is it over now?The market correction really seamed to be an over reaction. I am hopeful that the worst is behind us, at least for the meantime.
maybe this will be closer to 2018 correction and we just keep grinding higher for the rest of the year. I suppose anything is possible.
-Everyone got way to bearish to quick - Spidey senses going off!
-we never copy and paste last cycle to the next, but people have such a recency bias, sometimes its all they can see ( I may know from experience)
- hopefully bullish
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT ) Technical Analysis Summary
Daily Chart:
• Trend: Recent strong rejection from the 36893 zone followed by a sharp V-reversal; currently recovering, but still under prior highs.
• MACD: Deeply negative but showing signs of reversal (momentum slowing).
• RSI: At 46.22 — mid-range, suggesting room to go higher.
• Bias: Recovery from oversold — bullish short-term momentum within a larger corrective phase.
15-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Strong impulse move up from 37092 area to 40395.
• MACD: Positive cross and momentum flattening — indicating potential short-term consolidation or continuation.
• RSI: 45.36 — still not overbought. Room to push higher.
• Bias: Bullish continuation with potential pullback entries.
3-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Recent micro consolidation with minor pullbacks.
• MACD: Near zero but ticking up, signaling possible small continuation wave.
• RSI: 45.87 — similar mid-range, no bearish divergence.
• Bias: Short-term bullish scalp opportunity.
⸻
Fundamental Outlook (Macro Context)
• Recent Fed tone remains data-dependent, but no immediate rate hike expectations.
• Inflation cooling and market anticipating a potential rate cut later this year supports equities.
• US earnings season began; early sentiment is optimistic.
• Risk-on sentiment may support indices like US30 to grind higher short-term.
⸻
Trade Idea: Long Position
Entry:
Buy Limit @ 40220
• Just below current price, near recent minor support and EMA bounce zone (15M + 3M confluence).
Stop Loss:
SL @ 39870
• Below minor support & key structure zone on 15M chart.
Take Profit:
TP @ 40990
• Next resistance based on Daily chart supply zone and prior rejection area.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
How to Trade the Tariff Turmoil: Markets Now Move on HeadlinesMarkets in 2025 have become increasingly unpredictable, largely driven by one factor: tariffs. President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy has shaken investor confidence and turned global markets into a rollercoaster. The key to navigating this new environment? Understand that markets are no longer just reacting to economic data—they’re reacting to headlines.
The biggest shock came on April 2, when Trump announced a 145% tariff on all Chinese imports and “reciprocal” tariffs on dozens of other countries. The reaction was immediate: the S&P 500 dropped nearly 15% at its lowest point that week, and investors rushed to sell risk assets. Days later, markets sharply reversed after Trump temporarily suspended some tariffs. That sparked a rally—tech stocks soared, Apple rose 5%, and the Nasdaq gained over 2%.
But the relief was short-lived. Conflicting messages and partial rollbacks continued to send markets up and down. Earlier, on March 4, tariffs were placed on Canada and Mexico, while China’s rates were doubled. These moves led to more selling in stocks and a spike in demand for bonds. By mid-April, exemptions for electronics boosted tech names again, but overall market sentiment remained fragile.
How to Trade This New Market
The main lesson for traders and investors is clear:
We’re now in a headline-driven market. Traditional strategies that rely solely on fundamentals or economic cycles are being overshadowed by sudden political developments. Here’s how to adapt:
Stay Nimble and News-Aware
Be ready for fast moves. Market direction can flip in minutes based on a single press conference or tweet. Have alerts set for major geopolitical and tariff-related headlines. Reduce position sizes during uncertainty and avoid holding large trades through major announcements.
Rethink Your Safe Havens
The U.S. dollar is no longer acting like the safe haven it used to be. With rising fiscal concerns and volatile trade policy, investors are shifting toward alternatives. Gold and the Swiss franc (CHF) have become more reliable options during risk-off moments. If uncertainty spikes, these assets may offer better protection than the dollar.
Focus on Sectors Sensitive to Policy
Tech stocks have been among the most affected. Tariff exemptions caused sharp rallies, while new restrictions triggered big drops. If you trade sectors like tech, consumer goods, or industrials, stay especially alert for trade-related headlines.
Bottom line: In 2025, geopolitics is moving markets more than ever. The old playbook needs updating. By staying flexible, tracking headlines, and turning to traditional safe havens like gold and CHF, traders can better navigate the noise—and find opportunity in the chaos.
NASDAQ Best 2 Places For Buy Cleared Now , Don`t Miss It !Here is my opinion on NASDAQ And for who want to buy it , here is my best 2 places for buy , First One if we have a 4H Closure Above This Strong Res that pushed the prices yesterday 500 pips , and second place will be the support that clear in the chart , but i prefer the first one cuz it will be a strong confirmation if we have a good closure above .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Planning to short a little higher. I made a full pivot on my bear position while we were 6% down on the day into the end of last week, switching to long positioning at 5150 and adding a couple times once the first resis levels broke, now I'm starting to get ready to try to position short again into a move a little higher (5550 or so).
My bias at this point is fairly neutral. As a trader, it really doesn't matter which way the market goes. One could equally make the polarised case for us to trend up 1000 points or down 1000 points. Many people think I want to be a bear for the sake of being a bear, but those 1000 points pay the exact same. I'd opt for the one with no systemic risk.
After all, the money I make I keep in banks and brokerages. Nicer to know they'll be okay.
But markets are not a place for preference. Heading into 5550 is where we have another window of risk for the bear setup.
We took a large position (relative to typical exposure) betting 4% long on SPX at 5150 with 100 points stop. Banked on this for 300 points. With the added positions this was a bit over 15%. Basically, we made as much as a non leveraged long would make trading from the absolute low to a retest of the high.
Still currently have some light exposure betting on 5550 hitting.
If and when we get there, we'll cycle some of our long profits back to shorts. Even inside of a bull market case I could make a reasonable case for 5000 retesting.
And if we're actually inside a bear market, then we've just been through the eye of the storm.
Over the last few days I've not done much. Caught up on work outside the market (or related to work I do based on the market that isn't trading). Caught up on sleep (because I slept very rarely through March / early April).
Whatever way it goes, I think we're going to be back to being super active some time in the next few days.
For now, locking in the profits. Through this year the market has made over 50% worth of swings when you add them all up. We caught a lot of them. Covering multiple years of the standard expected gains for the style and low risk setting used. My priority is keeping that.
But I can see myself repositioning as a bear in the coming days.
I'm undecided of how deep a bear move I'd be targeting. But I do strongly suspect I'll be a short 5550 if it trades.
Nifty Bank Index Chart Observations:
Pattern:
Price has been forming lower highs, suggesting a descending trendline resistance.
There's a visible breakout attempt above this trendline now.
Support Zone:
Strong demand zone between 46,800 – 48,000, which was respected multiple times.
Indicators:
RSI is near the overbought zone, but not showing divergence.
Volume has spiked on the breakout – bullish confirmation.
Heikin Ashi candles are strongly green – good momentum.
✅ Bullish Scenario (If breakout holds):
Entry Zone: On retest of the breakout trendline (around 51,500–52,000).
Target Levels:
Short-term: 53,500
Medium-term: 55,000–56,000
Stop Loss: Below 50,500
❌ Bearish Scenario (If breakout fails):
Invalidation Level: If it closes back below the trendline with high volume.
Re-entry zone: Watch the 48,000 support area again.
Short Target (if breakdown from support): 46,000–45,000
Swing Traders: Wait for a pullback toward the trendline and enter on bullish confirmation.
Positional Traders: Enter partially now, add more on pullback confirmation.
Risk Management: Keep positions light until breakout is fully confirmed.
Dow Jones INTRADAY resistance at 41333Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41333
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 39220
Support Level 2: 37554
Support Level 3: 36620
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 INTRADAY sideways consolidationThe Trump administration is moving ahead with tariff plans on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, launching Commerce Department probes. In response, China has ordered its airlines to halt new Boeing jet deliveries, escalating trade tensions.
Despite the trade war, markets are getting a lift after Trump suggested a possible pause on auto tariffs and suspended some consumer electronics tariffs.
Japan will meet with the U.S. this week to discuss trade. The talks will test whether close allies like Japan get more favourable treatment.
Earnings in Focus:
Citigroup and Bank of America report today, following a strong quarter for equity trading across the sector.
Johnson & Johnson and United Airlines are also set to report.
Oil Market:
The International Energy Agency has cut its 2024 oil demand forecast due to trade-related slowdowns and sees a potential supply surplus through 2026.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5509
Resistance Level 2: 5660
Resistance Level 3: 5787
Support Level 1: 5110
Support Level 2: 4947
Support Level 3: 4816
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.