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Market Year Wrap With Gary Thomson: 2024 Market Insights & 2025 Market Year Wrap With Gary Thomson: 2024 Market Insights & 2025 Outlook As we approach the close of 2024, it’s time to reflect on results and think of potential opportunities for the year ahead. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he sums up the key market trends that shaped 2024 and provides insights on what to expect in 2025. - Inflation and Interest Rates - Forex Market Trends - Commodity Markets - Stock Market Highlights - 2025 Outlook 🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
FXOPEN:DXY
by FXOpen
1
Why I see US 30 more bearish currently!!Hello guys, ** Today all had great bullish effect apart from that index. ** The index already slipped down a strong uptrend and retraced to and then went down from it (the long purple line) ** The index should go above the light purple downtrend line above 44340 (my Fib level too) to break that bearish wave and go up, but till now it can not! once it will close a 4h candle on, will turn the index to bullish ** There is still in yellow rectangle so strong support area where the last big bullish wave started from and I see that the index intends to revisit that area again at 43810 to gain back the buying power. My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:US30Short
by moustafa_marei
US30 Continues to Fall. Likely to go to 43360 US30 Retested upper supports at 0500 and 0600 Hours. At that point we were looking for entries on an intraday short. Which we took. US30 is currently Falling and will likely hit 43369 area before looking to return bullish as the Dow Jones continues to show signs of weakness. If you are already in a short you can hold it. If you want to get in on an entry price is quickly approaching a week support line at 43800. If it breaks this support, look for a retest for a clean entry. If you are waiting for the Bullish trend we will be waiting at least 5 trading days at this point. Let me know your thoughts!
OANDA:US30USDShort
by leslyjeanbaptiste
My new target for DAX!Hello guys, Dax is planning still to go up and broke the downtrend line and my target is on the chart! My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by moustafa_marei
US30 Buy Or Sell Depending of Price ActionKey Observations: Downtrend and Fibonacci Retracement: The chart is in a clear downtrend, indicated by lower highs and lower lows. A Fibonacci retracement tool is applied to the recent downtrend. The price appears to have retraced to the 50% level (44,062.63) and faced resistance, failing to break above the 61.8% level (44,299.10). Bollinger Bands: The price is testing the lower Bollinger Band, which could indicate oversold conditions in the short term. A potential bounce back to the mean (middle Bollinger Band) could occur unless there’s continued bearish momentum. Key Levels: Support Level: Around the 0.382 Fibonacci level (43,828.18), which is acting as a current support. Resistance Zone: Between the 50% (44,062.63) and 61.8% (44,299.10) Fibonacci levels. The price is also far from the major resistance level at 44,460.85. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI appears to be near the oversold region (below 30), suggesting a potential reversal or relief rally in the short term. MACD: The MACD histogram is showing bearish momentum, but the bars are becoming smaller, hinting at a possible loss of selling pressure. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Case (Relief Rally): If the price holds above the 0.382 Fibonacci support level (43,828.18), it could bounce back to retest the middle Bollinger Band and possibly the 44,062.63 level. A break above 44,062.63 could target the 61.8% level (44,299.10). Bearish Case (Continuation): If the price breaks below 43,828.18, further downside could target the next major support, likely below 43,700. The continuation of bearish momentum is supported by the MACD still being below the signal line. Recommendation: Short-Term Traders: Watch for a reaction at the current support level. If the RSI starts to rise and the price bounces off the Bollinger Band, a short-term buy may be possible. Trend Traders: Wait for confirmation of a break below the 0.382 level or a rejection at the 50% retracement to follow the downtrend. Risk Management: Use stop losses, especially near the Fibonacci levels, as they act as pivot zones. Do not risk more than 1% of your account per trade.
EIGHTCAP:US30
by Nozuk
SPX500 Update ideaAs you know, most of the recent market growth has been due to the excessive growth of a limited number of companies, and this will certainly pose a risk to the entire market. Personally, I study market sentiment and the S&P 500 index before buying stocks. On the S&P 500 chart, after the 6030 level was broken and the pullback to it and having a trigger to enter, I started buying, but contrary to expectations, everything did not go well yesterday and the market showed that it does not have enough strength to grow. Based on my strategy, I will have to exit again. I will be in out to break the 6100 level. Good luck.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by pardis
Fri 2024 12 13 Long||| Stats ||| Stats Week: ** Mid Month Turn, ** US CPI: 14:30, - as expected, ** Thu EU GC 14:15:, - reduced as expected, ** Mon Morning rule, - yes, ** Tue return to W1 trend and not a W1 trend change, - yes Stats Month: ** Christmas Rally - start Mid Nov. - yes bottom ** Christmas Rally - US election year, start Dec. - yes Stats Year: ** US Election, ||| Trade Taken ||| Trade Taken: ** Time frame: * H3 ** Time: * 03pm, Set-Up: ** Trigger for trade: * Momentum Long, * Mon Morning rule, * Tue return to W1 trend - UP, * Senti, - P16, ** Mom Width: * 6 candles - med/strong, ** Mom Type: * 3rd directional - risk at last Mom turn, Risk Reward: ** Risk: * last Mom Turn, ** Target: * R 1:1 as at ATH,
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by ErPat
The booze seems quite strong; the hungover continue aft party!FX:HKG33 hello everyone TGIF! Trade plan for today before end of the week. It continues to dance btw range as shown in chart : 19800 - 20500 (1h Chart) To trade using smaller range tf. For the week it's still a small gain. Shorted earlier hoping to take some profit for 🎄 weekend meals. ☺ Again to set your SL/TP level. 4H Chart The 4h chart showing the index is still on the bearish zone. Happy Trading and have a good weekend everyone! while waiting toTP let's continue to zen with 📙 and 🍵!
FX:HKG33Short
by ChenQianYu
Trading the Santa Rally: How to Ride the Supposed Year-End SurgeThe Santa Rally — a festive event characterized by silent nights and active markets. Every December, traders whisper about it with a mix of excitement and skepticism. But what exactly is this supposed year-end market surge? Is it a gift from the markets or just a glittery myth? Let’s unwrap the truth. 🎅 What Is the Santa Rally? The Santa Rally refers to the tendency for stock markets to rise during the last few trading days of December and sometimes even the first few days of January. It’s like a financial advent calendar, but instead of dark chocolate, traders hope for green candles. The origins of this term aren’t entirely clear, but the event is widely observed. Analysts cite everything from holiday cheer to quarter-end, year-end portfolio adjustments as possible reasons. But beware — like a wrongly wrapped gift, the rally doesn’t always deliver what you expect. 🎄 Fact or Festive Fiction? The Numbers Don’t Lie (Mostly): Historical data does show that markets have a knack to perform well during the Santa Rally window. For instance, the S&P 500 SPX has delivered positive returns in about 75% of the observed periods since 1950. That’s better odds than guessing who’s going to win the “Ugly Sweater Contest” at the office. Not Guaranteed: However, let’s not confuse correlation with causation. While historical trends are nice to know, the market isn’t obliged to follow tradition. Geopolitical events, Fed decisions, or even a rogue tweet can easily knock this rally off course (especially now with the returning President-elect). 🚀 Why Does the Santa Rally Happen? 1️⃣ Holiday Cheer : Investors, like everyone else, might be more optimistic during the holidays, leading to increased buying momentum. After all, not many things can say “joy to the world” like a bullish portfolio. 2️⃣ Tax-Loss Harvesting : Fund managers sell off losing positions in early December to offset gains for tax purposes. By the end of the month, they’re reinvesting, potentially pushing prices higher. 3️⃣ Low Liquidity : With many big players sipping mezcal espresso martinis on the Amalfi coast, trading volumes drop. Lower liquidity can amplify price movements, making small buying pressure feel like a full-blown rally. 4️⃣ New Year Optimism : Who doesn’t love a fresh start? Many traders sign off for the quarter on a positive, upbeat note and begin setting up positions for the year ahead, adding to upward swings. ⛄️ The Myth-Busting Clause While these factors seem plausible, not every Santa Rally is a blockbuster. For example, in years of significant economic uncertainty or bearish sentiment, the holiday spirit alone isn’t enough to lift the market. 🌟 How to Trade the Santa Rally (Without Getting Grinched) 1️⃣ Set Realistic Expectations : Don’t expect a moonshot. The Santa Rally is more of a sleigh ride than a rocket launch. Focus on small, tactical trades instead of betting the farm on a rally (and yes, crypto included). 2️⃣ Watch Key Sectors : Historically, consumer discretionary and tech stocks often perform well during this period. Consider these areas, but always do your due diligence. 3️⃣ Manage Your Risk : With low liquidity, volatility can spike unexpectedly. Tighten your stop-losses and avoid overleveraging — Santa doesn’t cover margin calls. 4️⃣ Keep an Eye on Macro Events : Is the Fed hinting at rate cuts (hint: yes it is )? Is inflation stealing the spotlight (hint: yes it is )? These can overshadow any seasonal trends. ☄️ Crypto and Forex: Does Santa Visit Here Too? The Santa Rally isn’t exclusive to stocks. Forex markets can also see year-end movements as hedge funds, banks and other institutional traders close out currency positions. Meanwhile, traders in the crypto market have gotten used to living in heightened volatility not just during the holidays but at any time of the year. More recently, Donald Trump’s win was a major catalyst for an absolute beast of an updraft. 🎁 Closing Thoughts: Naughty or Nice? The Santa Rally is a fascinating mix of tradition, psychology, and market mechanics. While it’s fun to believe in a market jolly, it’s better to stay prepared for anything out of the ordinary. So, are you betting on a rally this year, or are you staying on the sidelines? Let’s discuss — drop your thoughts in the comments below and tell us how you’re planning to trade the year-end rush! 🎅📈
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
9
BANKNIFTY 55000 NEXT WEEK?This chart represents the #BankNifty Index on a 30-minute timeframe. The image illustrates a breakout scenario from a consolidation phase (highlighted in yellow) following a descending trendline. The breakout is confirmed by a sharp upward price movement backed by increasing volume, indicating strong bullish momentum. The green zone marks the potential upside levels between 53,890 and 54,870, calculated using Fibonacci extensions. The bullish target points to the 161.8% level around 54,870. The red zone highlights the invalidation level for the bullish view, set at 53,100 on a closing basis. A close below this level would signal a potential reversal or further downside pressure. The chart also incorporates key Fibonacci retracement levels, where the 100% level at 53,888 acts as immediate resistance. The current price of 53,630.55 trades above critical retracement zones, providing further confidence in a bullish continuation. Traders should monitor price action near resistance and support zones and confirm with volume spikes for entry or exit signals. A sustained move above the resistance may fuel further gains toward the targets, while a breakdown below the invalidation level could invite bearish sentiment.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by TheSnop
USNAS100/ Decline from NEW HIGHTechnical Analysis The Nasdaq is currently attempting to rise above its previous resistance level of 21,770. If successful, it is expected to reach a new high of 21,900 before initiating a gradual decline. After peaking at 21,900, the index is projected to step down, revisiting the 21,770 level. A break below this point may lead to further declines, with targets at 21,620, 21,535, and eventually 21,420. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21420 Resistance Levels: 21770, 21880, 22000 Support Levels: 21,675, 21,535, 21420
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1