Market indices
DOW?
Hi,
Abit over the top with all the negative news..
But..
I have a strong believe that something is cooking. I am bullish bias till 90 days.. hahaha
I will not think that person had learned his lesson.. that tariff / policies will impact financial market.
I hope it will fly. reason:- bad apples had been removed.. squeeze some juice time
Choose your best entry setup.
Not your guru,
DXY Squeeze Incoming? Watch 99.00 ReactionFundamental Analysis:
The TVC:DXY has weakened as recent data shows GDP growth slowing to 2.4%, inflation cooling to 2.4%, and unemployment rising to 4.2%, increasing expectations of potential Fed rate cuts despite rates holding at 4.5%. Investor confidence has also dropped, with consumer sentiment at 50.8, and the trade deficit still wide at $123B, signaling softer economic momentum.
📉 Projection: Continued soft data could keep the dollar under pressure unless the Fed reinforces a hawkish stance.
⚠️ Risk Level: A strong upside surprise in inflation or employment data could reverse sentiment and push DXY higher abruptly.
Technical Analysis:
DXY is currently hovering around 99.65, just above a key support zone near 99.00 (PWL), where a potential liquidity grab may occur. The RSI is near 30, signaling oversold conditions, which often precede a short-term bounce.
📈 Projection: If price holds above 99.00, a rebound toward the 100.91 gap and possibly 103.19 (PWH) is likely.
⚠️ Risk Level: A clean break below 99.00 would invalidate the bullish setup and open the way to 97.50–98.00.
Should we be concerned about the death cross ?So, we are at the death cross again? Should we panic? Should we sell ? What if recession is coming? Ohhhhh noo!!!!!
Stop worrying so much and most importantly, stop reading the damn news , especially the headlines that are meant to create more fear than anything! Of course, they want you to sell, how else can the algo traders, big boys scoop up the prices cheap.
It is like displaying thunders and lightning across the sky, gloomy and dark clouds to make you believe it is going to rain, a heavy thunderstorm.
We were in a bear market on 7th Apr where prices drop below 20% from the peak. However, it quickly bounced up within the next two days, especially 9th Apr where there is a 90 days pause on tariffs imposed.
So, technically we are still in a BULL market lah, guys. Focus on the chart not the emotions of the people who are sold daily by social media, influencers with benefits and whoever that wants you to believe their side of the story.
Until we enter into a bear market, we should not speculate too much nor read into the future with too much gloom and doom. I am quite confident the tariff matter will subside and blown away over time just like the real war between Ukraine and Russia (over 3 years and still fighting but who covers the news now, it is STALE and no longer sensational). Any papers or social media that gives that "expert view" on tariffs will be rewarded with likes and traffic volume, much to the content creators delight.
Stay calm, guys! In the short term, market is volatile like a voting machine but in the long term, it is a weighing machine and history has shown us over the past century or so, the market is going up.
Going in and out of the market or TIMING the market - leave that to the experts or professional traders. Your heart and mine cannot take it. Over the long term, you will be rewarded for staying in the market. Just look at Warren Buffett, many a times he bought something, the stock might goes down 10-20% or more, does he panic and starts selling? No, his biggest strength is his patience , one attributes that we all can learn from him.
Go for a run, swim or hit the gym if you are too glued to the news. Stay healthy and ensure you have a balance, diversified portfolio to protect yourself.
Bullish rise?UK100 has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 7,969.75
1st Support: 7,696.99
1st Resistance: 8,465.81
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LONG NIFTYBased on recent price action if Nifty 50 hold 22350-22450 range then we can expect the market to Rally further one can enter a buy position above 22505-22535 which can give immediate move to 22600-22700 break above this will take nifty to the levels mentioned in the charts these are positional levels and not intraday
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/04/2025Nifty will open gap up in today's session. Expected opening above 23050 level. After opening if it's sustain above this level then possible short upside rally upto 23300+ level in opening session. 23300 level will act as an immediate resistance. Expected reversal from this level. Any further upside rally only possible above this level. Major downside expected if nifty starts trading below 23000 level in today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(15/04/2025)Today will be gap up opening in banknifty. Expected opening near 51500 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 51550 level then possible further upside rally of 400-500+ points in index. Any downside possible below 51450 level. Downside 51050 level will act as a strong support for today's session. Now any major downside only expected after breakdown of this support zone.
$SPX - Recap of April 14 2025So if you just read SPY - this is just a copy and paste because of course we had almost identical price action here. Today, Monday April 14th we opened with a gap UP to the 30min 200MA and we also gapped right to the top of the bear gap (always considered resistance and strengthened by the downward momentum of the 30min 200.
We did see resistance with those combined bearish levels and we brought is back down to the middle, closed the gap from open and took it back to the 30min 200MA and got pushed back at close.
This chart setup was bearish today - even though we closed green - how? The 30in 200MA pointing down. The bear gap under that. And the 35EMA trading Under the 30min 200MA.
It was an easy trading day and just looking at the momentum you could feel that price was going to stay in the center of the implied move. At least I mentioned that in last night’s video.
Excellent day. How did you guys do??
US30 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 40693.92, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 39359.24, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 42215.43, which is a swing high resistance level.
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US30 WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅DOW JONES is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 41,000
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 40,000
SHORT🔥
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NAS100 Rebound Setup – Bulls Gaining Strength Again?The NAS100 has bounced strongly from the high-volume demand zone (16,700 – 17,800) highlighted by LuxAlgo's Supply and Demand indicator. The current price is consolidating near 18,700, building momentum for a potential breakout.
Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 16,700 – 17,800 (high buy interest)
Support Level: 17,828.9
Resistance 1: 20,350.6 (first upside target)
Major Supply Zone: 21,775.4 (big decision point for bulls)
Bullish Outlook:
Price has reclaimed the 17,828.9 support and is forming higher lows.
A strong break above 19,000 could send price to test 20,350, then possibly 21,775.
Green arrows show the bullish potential if price holds above support.
Bearish Risk:
A breakdown below 17,828.9 could signal a return to the demand zone.
Watch for rejection candlesticks or divergence signals near resistance.
Volume Profile Insight:
LuxAlgo's visible range shows strong buyer interest below 18,000, indicating institutions may be accumulating positions.
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Trade Idea: Look for a confirmed breakout above recent highs near 18,800 for long entries. Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to 17,800 for better risk-reward.
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What’s your take on NAS100? Will buyers push it to 20K+ or is this just a trap rally? Share your thoughts below!
#NASDAQ #US100 #NAS100 #IndexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #ForexAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup
Fool Me Once, Fool Me Twice!What a week, our last idea had a neutral stance and correctly so, volatility was extreme. We did know a bottom of sort was in the making or at least temporarily...now the bounce and where to?
If you have not already realised, any ideas other than Trump caused the recent world mayhem, then you are in denial. Any little respect for this Trump quickly evaporated this week as he reversed his lunacy for 90 days pause..make no mistake, the writing is on the wall now, the markets have shown their hands.
He is merely an actor, it's all a theatre and by design...some well informed individuals made a killing on puts and calls the past two weeks at the mass expense of everyone else.
This rally is a rally to sell, expect a push up to 41700-41900 area, no doubt the game has changed, markets topped with a double top back in January, we have only had the first minor wave 1 down and wave 2 up is in progress and to be followed by a severe wave 3 down...rallies are now sold.
Expect a recession declaration in 3-6 months, expect mass fiat printing to come as a wrecking ball takes apart a market that was priced for perfection...what took a few years to build can be taken out completely in a few short weeks, we were there in 2008.
Gold and especially silver were hammered last week, gold quickly shrugged off the fall and a quick minor wave 4 down has been left for dust in a powerful wave 5 up...this wave, very strong, I expect another week or so of rally before topping out, perhaps U.S $3400-500...silver is an economic precious metal and tied to the coming collapse...but it will bottom out and outperform gold in the end.
Summing up: expect a further rally in the Dow to conclude later next week, Gold to soar and top out also...Gold will have a big correction looming, wave 4 down which could last months, thereafter a rally of historic proportions which will align with QE and systemic failures.
Don't be on the wrong side of whats coming, ignore the mainstream media mouth pieces and trust nothing, especially politicians and banks.
Appreciate a thumbs up, God Bless you all and good trading!
VIX drop before the next ZOOM upWhat we experienced last week was absolutely insane in terms of volatility. The beauty of all of this is that it's still a trend and many of these spikes are quite predictable. We all knew about the days the tariffs that were going to hit, right? Why didn't you get into UVIX when I called this out days in advance. It's fine, you will have another shot! Actually, we're in line for many many more spikes which is the great thing. Volatility is your friend!
I'll be posting weekly and will be giving away a Free trading alert that has been backtested for the last 3 years over the next week. 2025 will be awesome!
Expect VIX to drop a bit more, great to get in on the SVIX and then let's analyze the next trend and take on UVIX on the upside! This is so easy....
Last Week’s FX Recap: April 7–11 (Zone Reactions & Trade Notes)📈 Weekly Forex Recap – Market Reactions & Lessons (Apr 7–11)
Last week there were about +320 pips of reaction potential (excluding Gold, which I was completely off on). There were multiple opportunities to capture solid intraday or swing setups.
3 out of 6 weekly targets were hit.
5 out of 6 trend biases were either accurate or neutral —meaning no major misreads, aside from one or two volatile zones. The only pair that really got me was Gold.
Let’s run it back real quick:
✅ AUDJPY
Bearish bias accurate.
30 pip reaction off zone with just 1 pip drawdown.
Weekly target hit.
✅ NZDJPY
Bearish bias accurate.
Weekly target hit, though price never reached the watch zone.
No setup triggered, but direction was respected.
⚠️ EURUSD
Range-bound bias played out majority of the week.
Gave about 90–100 pip drop from the hot zone mentioned.
Weekly target came close but didn’t hit.
⚠️ GOLD
Watch zone completely failed.
Short-term bounce gave 480 pip reaction—but that volatility was tough to catch cleanly.
Directional bias wasn’t helpful here. Gold was chaos.
✅ EURGBP
Cleanest setup of the week.
Bias was bullish, price tapped the buy zone and ran 100 pips.
Weekly target hit. Textbook move.
⚠️ GBPUSD
Consolidation-heavy.
Watch zone gave 100 pip reaction, but weekly target didn’t hit.
Bias was unclear—no real conviction either way.
📉 Total Zone Reaction Potential: 320 pips
🎯 Weekly Targets Hit: 3/6
📊 Trend Accuracy: 50% (3 clear hits, 2 neutral, 1 miss)
But that’s done now.
Whether you hit it last week or fumbled the ball, let it go.
We trade forward. Eyes up. Mind clear.
Time to dive into the new week.
Let’s get it. 👊
The Effect of US Tariff Exemptions on EGX30.EGX30 stock stabilized in a consolidation zone, failing to breach the 29991 support line. Despite breaking the 30041 support line to the downside, it corrected its upward trajectory between the 30529 support line and the 31302 resistance line, reflecting the bulls' dominance over the bears. This is because Egypt agreed to work towards a package of $7.5 billion in direct Qatari investments, according to a joint statement released by the Egyptian president's office on Monday. In addition, Egypt is pushing ahead with efforts to secure funding from Gulf neighbors and foreign partners as it seeks to tackle heavy foreign debts and a gaping budget deficit.