Japan 225 Unwind Pauses at Known SupportThe Japan 225 contract has spent the past three sessions partially unwinding the sharp rally sparked by Japan’s trade agreement with the United States last week, leaving price resting on a known support level. Near-term price action may determine whether bullish or bearish setups hold the upper hand.
If price holds 40162, longs could be established above with a stop beneath for protection, targeting a move back to last week’s high of 42070. Alternatively, a break and hold beneath 40162 would flip the setup, allowing shorts to be established below with a stop above for protection. Uptrend support sits today at 40000, making that an obvious target.
Momentum indicators remain mildly bullish despite the pullback, favouring upside over downside. However, with this setup, price action should carry more weight.
Good luck!
DS
Market indices
US Dollar Index (DXY) - 4 Hour Chart4-hour chart from CAPITALCOM displays the recent performance of the US Dollar Index (DXY), showing a current value of 98.190 with a slight decline of 0.009 (-0.01%). The chart highlights key price levels, including a recent sell signal at 98.189 and a buy signal at 98.243, with a resistance zone marked between 98.195 and 98.479. The index has experienced fluctuations, with notable drops and recoveries, and is currently trending near the 98.190 level as of July 29, 2025.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 29/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down today, continuing its bearish momentum seen in recent sessions. The index is now trading well below the key resistance zone of 24,750–24,800, with a visible weakness on the chart.
A short opportunity may arise if Nifty stays below the 24,750–24,700 zone. Any pullback toward this level may face selling pressure, and fresh shorts can be considered with downside targets of 24,600, 24,550, and 24,500-.
If the index breaks below the 24,450 level, the selling momentum may intensify, targeting 24,350, 24,300, and 24,250- levels intraday. This level marks a critical support, and traders should closely monitor price action here.
On the other hand, a reversal can only be expected if Nifty reclaims the 24,750–24,800 zone with strength. In that case, a bounce toward 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+ is possible, but the reversal is only valid if strong bullish price action sustains above 24,800.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(29/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down, continuing its downside pressure from the previous sessions. The index is now hovering near an important support zone around 56,050–55,950.
If Bank Nifty sustains above the 56,050–56,100 zone after the gap-down open, a reversal rally can be seen with potential upside targets of 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+. This zone may offer a low-risk long opportunity, provided price action confirms strength.
However, if Bank Nifty remains below 56,050 and especially breaches 55,950, fresh short positions can be initiated with downside targets of 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-. A close below this support zone can accelerate the selling momentum further.
The market remains in a bearish tone unless a clear reversal structure forms above 56,050.
IS A HIGHER LOW SECURED ON THE DXY? LET'S FIND OUTIn this weekend analysis, I am still paying attention to the higher time frame downtrend on the dollar index while acknowledging the higher low support on the daily chart forming an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. On the 4H and lower timeframes we have a strong ceiling made up of the 200SMA and 50SMA resistance level and need to break through from the 20SMA Line in the sand support. This weeks trade plan and thesis is for price to hold above the 20 SMA on the 4H timeframe expecting a potential dip to the zone of 97.128 (liquidity zone) and then bounce up to a weekly target of 97.7. This Thesis is INVALIDATED if a candle opens and closes below 97.015. I wish everyone a great trading week. Thank for supporting my publications and trade ideas. Cheers!!!
Bullish bounce off overlap support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 44,596.08
1st Support: 44,267.57
1st Resistance: 45,106.42
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DXY LOCAL SHORT|
✅DXY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 98.948
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 98.451
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPX Elliot Wave Count, Wykoff DistributionBased off the HTF elliot wave count aligning and in confluence with a HTF Wykoff distribution. With the top coming in between 6600-7000ish around September 2025 till January 2026. Further confluence with trendline, fibonnacci time and fibonnaci trend and extension.
ASX200 to find support at current market price?ASX200 - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
20 1day EMA is at 8619.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
Our outlook is bullish.
We look to Buy at 8621 (stop at 8573)
Our profit targets will be 8764 and 8794
Resistance: 8670 / 8694 / 8749
Support: 8610 / 8570 / 8524
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NASDAQ Channel Up to be rejected soon.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the start of the month. The primary Support level has been the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which hasn't closed a 4H candle below it since July 14.
Right now the index is on its latest Bullish Leg, which can technically extend by +2.35% (max such Leg within the Channel Up).
We expect a rejection targeting the 4H MA50 again at 23200, which would represent a -1.25% decline, the weakest such Bearish Leg we had within the Channel Up.
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SPX500USD | Bulls Lose Steam at 6,424.5 ResistanceThe S&P 500 Index showed strong bullish momentum but is now pulling back after tagging resistance at 6,424.5. Price is currently hovering near 6,374.6, where previous structure may act as support.
Support at: 6,374.6 / 6,340.0 🔽
Resistance at: 6,424.5 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Bounce from 6,374.6 and reclaim of 6,424.5 signals continuation.
🔽 Bearish: Break below 6,374.6 exposes 6,340.0 and lower zones.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
USD Rallies into a Major Week - Fed, PCE, NFP on the WayReversals of long-term moves can be tough to work with, especially for shorter-term traders.
While fundamentals are important for shaping future price moves and technicals are key for explaining past moves, while also allowing for strategy and risk management, it's sentiment and positioning that probably matter more.
Because if any and everyone in the world that wants to be long already is, well it doesn't matter how positive the news is if there's simply nobody left to buy. And if there's no influx of fresh demand, and only incoming supply, well, then price can drop, even on good news. And at that point, a heavy one-sided market will take notice of falling prices even in the face of good news, when price should be going up, and they'll be disconcerted to hold long positions, which can lead to even more supply, more selling, and in-turn, lower prices.
As the old saying goes, if a market doesn't rally on good news, well then look out below.
This shows in various ways on varying time frames in numerous markets but from a longer-term perspective, that shifting trend is akin to turning a cruise ship in the middle of the ocean - it's not going to happen suddenly. It takes time, it takes shifting, and it takes the slow grind of late-to-the-trend bulls turning into ahead-of-the-curve sellers.
This is what allows for the build of wedges, just as I had looked at earlier in the month in both USD and EUR/USD. Bulls suddenly get shy as prices approaches highs, although they remain aggressive on pullbacks and tests of support. This leads to a weaker trendline atop the move and, eventually, unless buyers get motivated to punch up to higher-highs with a new breakout, that motive for profit taking can soon take over.
In the USD, the sell-off in the first half of this year was a grinding matter, and the polar opposite of the trend that had held in DXY as we came into 2025. But, now the question is whether resilient US data leads to profit taking from bears and as we saw again last week, sellers have been showing lacking motivation at tests of lows or around support.
The big question for this week is whether we see that shift take-hold on a larger basis. We've seen sellers getting shy around lows, but are buyers ready to punch up to fresh highs in the USD? There's certainly ample potential for motivation as given the economic calendar with FOMC, Core PCE and NFP in the final three days of this week. - js
SPX....what goes up, must go downThis is long overdue. SPX has just crossed 9SMA, next 50SMA then 200SMA. Won't be surprised if it knocks each very soon. This will be a big week and tariffs are going to start hitting; even though this was mostly artificial and Americans are paying 90% of it! When in doubt, sell and park in money market! The next dip will hit hard and deep. Don't let the small wins overshadow the deep issues in the economy. Overpriced market and many lagging indicators will soon hit and default rates that are coming out are scary! Stay safe and don't get emotional over any stock. If it dips, you can always buy it cheaper.
US100 (NASDAQ 100 Index) – Breakout with Clear Upside ProjectionUS100 has broken out cleanly above the key resistance at 22,097.1, indicating bullish continuation. The breakout is supported by strong upward momentum, targeting the next key level around 23,441.9, as illustrated by the projected range.
Support at: 22,097.1 🔽 | 20,750.0 🔽
Resistance at: 23,441.9 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Sustained price action above 22,097.1 keeps the bullish breakout valid, aiming toward 23,441.9.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 22,097.1 would invalidate the breakout, possibly pulling price toward 20,750.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
UK100 | Price Pulls Back After Testing 9,179.72 ResistanceThe FTSE 100 recently tagged 9,179.72, a fresh high, before pulling back slightly. Price remains above the 21-period SMA (blue), indicating the uptrend is still intact, though short-term weakness is surfacing. Immediate support sits at 9,036.17.
Support at: 9,036.17 / 8,889.95 🔽
Resistance at: 9,179.72 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Bounce off the 21 SMA and reclaim 9,179.72 confirms continuation.
🔽 Bearish: Break below 9,036.17 opens room to 8,889.95.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US30: : Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 44,802.50 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 44,914.32 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY: USD Flexes Muscle - Pairs SlideFriday, July 25, 2025
The foreign exchange markets are experiencing a pronounced USD bullish session this morning, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) showing robust gains of +0.35% while simultaneously pressuring all major currency pairs into negative territory. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is bearing the brunt of this dollar strength, currently registering losses between -0.4% to -0.66% across JPY pairs. This market behavior suggests traders should pay particularly close attention to DXY dynamics, as its movements will likely dictate price action across all major currency pairs in today's session.
Technical Perspective: DXY at Critical Inflection Point
A detailed examination of the Dollar Index reveals several compelling technical factors that market participants should consider:
1. Weekly Demand Zone Reaction
- The DXY has demonstrated a strong rejection from a significant weekly demand area
- The subsequent bullish spike indicates potential continuation of upward momentum
- This price action suggests institutional buyers are defending this key level
2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights
Non-commercial traders (typically hedge funds and speculators) have increased their positions from a bottom level not seen since June 2021 meanwhile the Commercial traders (often corporations hedging FX exposure) show opposing extreme positioning. This stark divergence between trader categories often precedes significant market moves
3. Seasonal Patterns Favor USD Strength
- Historical seasonal analysis indicates the current period typically supports dollar appreciation
- The combination of technical and seasonal factors creates a potentially powerful bullish setup
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DXY at Its Most Critical Level of 2025 — Will the 100 Bank LevelThe Dollar Index (DXY), just like several other majors, is approaching a very important level. We’re now near the 100 mark, which is not only a psychological level — but also a key institutional (bank) level.
There’s also a gap zone left behind that price is about to fill. I believe the index will stay in a range over the next 1–2 days as it waits for critical data later this week — especially Wednesday’s announcements and Friday’s NFP report, which could set the tone for what’s next.
Based on current market sentiment, Trump’s remarks, Powell’s upcoming speech, and broader macro factors, I believe DXY has the potential to break above 100 and move toward 102–104, if that level is broken cleanly.
Let’s also not forget — price bounced from a monthly demand block near 96, and we’re seeing weak support across majors like EUR and Gold. That adds confluence for potential dollar strength.
📌 What do you think — is dollar strength just around the corner?
🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.