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10yr TreasuryGoing into NFP, before a POTUS election and FOMC guidance next week, the 10yr has been quite a moving train these last few weeks. There are too many gaps to be filled to call any lower pricing target. With the November contract taking over volume yesterday we may see some calming down while the fundamentals reveal themselves these next few business days. I'm sure most new home buyers or potential buyers would appreciate some retracement on this run since it will reduce the 30yr mortgage rate. For some USDA purchasers the 5yr may also hold some relevancy. Also, as a side note the 10yr has either dipped (.2% to .5%) or went sideways when reading the last 5yrs of price action (Oct31st-Nov25th zone).
TVC:TNXShort
by j_nathan
PROGRESS ON THE NASDAQ SHORTSNAS100 4H - Who watched this weeks Sunday Sessions video? If you did then you would know that I was looking to short this market this week and as you can see price has played out exactly as we had predicted. A huge well done to anyone who got themselves in shorts this week with this market, I feel this bearish pressure is going to be here to stay, we may see some sort of correction initially before a further down move. Now that price has broken structure on the 4H timeframe to the downside we have higher timeframe confluence to suggest further bearish structure, we should now be looking for areas of Supply to add to our shorts from. The best thing we can do is look at the previous impulsive wave that broke the structure for areas of Supply, this is where price will pullback up and into to set a lower high before the new lower low.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Lukegforex
1
US100 Trade Log - NFP + Bad Apple EarningsTrade Log (31/10/2024) - US100 Short Setup 1. Context: The setup is influenced by multiple bearish factors: - Recent Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data indicating weaker-than-expected job growth. - Bad earnings report from Apple, adding to negative market sentiment. - Formation of a bearish wedge pattern on the charts. - 1H timeframe shows a short signal within a Fair Value Gap (FVG) acting as a supply zone. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:2 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Entry confirmation: Enter short when price retraces into the 1H FVG and shows bearish signals, such as a reversal candle or rejection wick. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss above the upper boundary of the 1H FVG to protect against false breakouts. - Set take-profit at twice the stop-loss distance for a 1:2 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Monitor market reactions closely to any follow-up reports or news related to major tech stocks. - Be prepared for increased volatility around NFP data and Apple’s impact on broader tech sentiment.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Fondera-Trading
DAX to attract sellers at market price?GER40 - Intraday 4 negative daily performances in succession. Short term bias has turned negative. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 19161. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. 20 4hour EMA is at 19235. We look to Sell at 19215 (stop at 19315) Our profit targets will be 18965 and 18905 Resistance: 19100 / 19200 / 19300 Support: 19003 / 18900 / 18800 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
NAS100USDNAS100USD, analysis 1. **Support and Resistance Zones**: - The chart shows two key levels: 20,683.1 as resistance and 19,645.2 as support. Price is currently below the resistance at 20,683.1 and appears to be testing lower levels, which may indicate selling pressure. 2. **Price Action**: - The recent decline from the 20,683.1 level suggests that the NAS100 may be experiencing a pullback or reversal in the short term. If price fails to sustain above the 20,016 level (where it’s currently hovering), it could continue toward the lower support at 19,645.2. 3. **Trend**: - The overall trend leading up to this point appears bullish, with the price making higher highs and higher lows. However, a failure to break above the recent high could signal a potential reversal or a more significant correction. 4. **Potential Trade Setup**: - **Sell Signal**: If price fails to hold above 20,016 and shows signs of bearish continuation, a short position targeting the 19,645.2 support level could be considered. - **Buy Signal**: If price finds support at or above 20,016, shows signs of a reversal, and moves back towards 20,683.1, it may signal a continuation of the uptrend, suggesting a potential buy. Suggested Approach Consider monitoring price action around the 20,016 level. A confirmed break below could favor a short position, while support around this level might favor a long position targeting the resistance near 20,683.1. Remember to set a stop-loss in line with your risk tolerance and to manage your position carefully.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by TheRaccoontrader
SPX: Critical Levels and Volatility Ahead Amid Key Data ReleasesTechnical Analysis The price is likely to attempt a retest around 5,761 or 5,781, after which a renewed bearish trend could push it toward 5,675 and 5,643. Bearish Scenario: Consistent stability below 5,781 may lead to a downward move targeting 5,732. A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close below 5,732 could activate the next bearish zone. Bullish Scenario: Should the price stabilize above 5,746, some bullish momentum may emerge toward 5,781. However, a reversal with stability above 5,803 would signal potential movement upwards, with targets at 5,824 and 5,850. Further Bearish Continuation: For a deeper decline, the price should establish stability below 5,732 and 5,715, paving the way for a drop toward 5,675. Today’s market is expected to be highly volatile due to the release of the NFP, Unemployment Rate data, and earnings reports, which will likely have a strong impact on indices. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5748 Resistance Levels: 5781, 5803, 5824 Support Levels: 5709, 5675, 5643 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
USNAS100 / NFP With bearish volatility Technically : The price has dropped precisely as anticipated. It is now expected to reach 19860, with a stabilization below 20008 level likely extending the decline toward 19740. Bearish Scenario: While trading below 20000, the price may attempt to reach 19860 and 19740. A break below 19740 would pave the way for further declines toward 19520. Bullish Scenario: Stabilization above 20020 would open the path to 20240. Further strength above this level could create a bullish zone targeting 20420. Today’s market is expected to be highly volatile due to the release of the NFP, Unemployment Rate data, and earnings reports, which will likely have a strong impact on indices. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20020 Resistance Levels: 20125, 20240, 20330 Support Levels: 19860, 19740, 19520 Trend outlook: - Bullish above 20125 - Bearish below 20020 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
US100 Trade LogTrade Setup (30/10/2024) - US100 Long on 1H FVG with Market Open Liquidity Grab 1. Setup: Enter long within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) if there is a wick rejection signal on market open, suggesting a liquidity grab. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:2 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Confirmation: Look for a sharp wick into the FVG at market open, showing a liquidity grab and immediate recovery back into the zone. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss just below the wick low to protect against further downside. - Set take-profit at twice the stop-loss distance, aiming for a 1:2 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Be mindful of volatility and spreads at market open. - Ensure wick rejection confirms strong demand within the FVG before entering. This setup aims to capture upside momentum following a liquidity grab at market open, using the 1H FVG as a support zone for entry.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Fondera-Trading
3
US30: Volatile Day Ahead with Key Levels in FocusUS30 Technical Analysis The price has reached our previously highlighted support level at 41,745, bouncing back toward resistance. Currently, as long as trading remains below 41,970, we anticipate a downward trajectory toward 41,750, with further decline potential to 41,560 if breached. Additionally, news events are adding pressure to the outlook. Bearish Scenario: Sustained trading below 41,970 may drive the price lower toward 41,750, and ultimately to 41,560. Bullish Scenario: A break above 42,130 could reinforce a bullish trend, pushing prices to 42,290 and potentially to 42,450. Today’s market is expected to be highly volatile due to the release of the NFP, Unemployment Rate data, and earnings reports, which will likely have a strong impact on indices. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 41970 Resistance Levels: 42130, 42290, 42450 Support Levels: 41750, 41560, 41350 Trend Outlook: - Bearish by stability below 41970 and 41740 - Bullish by stability above 42130 - Consolidation 41970 and 41750 previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
NAS100 Daily outlook | Bias BullishI was looking for Nas100 characteristics around elections on a daily timeframe. I found some similarities: 2016 Market Top (4906) was 34 bars before the E-day, it never came back to the same levels. 2020 Market Top (12467, 2.54x) was 44 bars before the E-day, it broke down these levels in Jun-Dec 2022. 2024 Market Top (20758, 1.665x) was 83 bars before the E-day. Last Friday before the election seems important in both (16/20) cases as it became a major support for the next cycle. IMO, Friday would be bearish but S1(19600), and S2(19290) seem like important levels for the uptrend to sustain, Friday should not go beyond S1. With a bullish Bias, I would wait for Friday to close and then like to do either of the following: Instant order on green candle close with stoploss on S2 Buy Stop on the market top break with SL under S1 Would love to know what you think.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by hunainbinsajid
1
Sensex Support and Resistance Levels for Better Trading DecisiI’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for Sensex, designed to help traders make informed decisions. These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points. Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence. Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by Prabhu2020
FTSE Index Rebounds from Near Three-Month LowFTSE Index Rebounds from Near Three-Month Low The chart for the British FTSE 100 index (UK 100 on FXOpen) illustrates: → Indicated by the red arrow: Yesterday, the index fell below the 8100 level for the first time since early August, driven by bearish sentiment in the U.S. stock market following reports from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META), as we noted previously. → Indicated by the blue arrow: Today, the FTSE 100 is rebounding on the back of local economic data releases, including UK housing prices, which, according to Trading Economics, grew less than expected. Technical analysis of the FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen) suggests that the UK stock market may be entering a downtrend, as: → It’s plausible that the market has been in a period of consolidation since September, forming a narrowing triangle pattern between the Support and Resistance lines. → An attempted bullish breakout of the Resistance line in late October failed to trigger an uptrend, while the bearish breach of the Support line appears more substantial. → The arrows indicate that today’s uptick may simply be a bounce from the lower boundary of a descending channel. What’s next? Given the correlation with the U.S. stock market, traders will likely focus on today’s key U.S. employment report due at 15:30 GMT+3, which could provide critical signals on interest rate prospects ahead of next week’s Fed meeting. As long as the FTSE 100 index price (UK 100 on FXOpen) remains below the 8220 breakout level for the Support line, it appears the bears retain greater control. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:UK100
by FXOpen
2
MIDCAP NIFTY S/R for 4/11/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
N
by zenthosh