Nifty may form inverse Head & Shoulder patternNifty may form inverse Head & Shoulder pattern. This is one of the sign of early revetsal
Market indices
Most Depressing Chart EverThis chart is what I would consider the worse case scenario. Sideways action until we hit the Great Depression trend line. The two previous lost years are a little over 16 years long from start to break out. This shows an example of we were to complete that same pattern. We are long overdue for a correction and this would bring us back to reality.
“DJIA Rally Continues, but Caution Is Advised for the Next Move”The current strengthening of the DJIA is estimated to be part of wave iv of wave (iii). Pay close attention to the potential short-term upside, as the index may retest the 42,230–42,716 area.
DJI - channel retest, hidden bearish divergenceI think DJI will retest the broken channel at 0.5 fib retracement and will be rejected from it. There is also 4h hidden bearish divergence (1d on US30). I expect SPX and NDX to fall simultaneously with DJI.
The possibility of the upward correction ending and the decline Considering the zone marked on the chart and considering that the price has seen a lower low, it seems that the upward correction in the price will end soon and we should wait for a new downward movement. Targets and stop loss of my position are marked on the chart.
Rebound Failed, market will be driven by news events next week(The following is merely a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.)
From Monday to Wednesday this week, the Nasdaq continued last week's rebound and reached the initial rebound target of 20,256, as previously mentioned. However, on Wednesday, the price began to pull back and filled Monday’s gap.
With U.S. tariffs set to take effect on April 2, the market is facing increased short-term uncertainty. On Friday, the bears encountered no resistance and drove the market down rapidly. The market is currently highly focused on tariff-related news, and without positive developments, prices may continue to decline. Once the uncertainty surrounding the tariffs is resolved, it will be important to monitor market sentiment and further developments.
For next week's trading, patience is key—waiting for more updates on tariffs and the potential market bottom. If positive news emerges after April 2, a V-shaped rebound remains possible.
From a technical perspective, since the market failed to break out effectively this week, the current market structure has broken below the long-term uptrend line that has been in place since 2023 on the weekly chart! Therefore, technically speaking, there is still significant downside potential. However, after several consecutive weeks of decline, prices are in an oversold state, making shorting at these levels relatively risky.
For short positions, it may be preferable to wait for a rebound to the 19,974–20,257 range before considering shorting opportunities based on further news developments. If the bears remain in control, prices should stay below 20,361. Otherwise, a breakout above 20,715, 21,098, and 21,370 could occur.
For long positions, it may be best to wait until the tariff-related news is fully priced in before making further observations. It would be prudent to confirm signals on the 4-hour chart before considering any long positions.
SPX Intraday WedgieSPX threw a wedgie intraday, expected more of a bounce when it broke out, I guess there's no bounce when the algos are shut off.
Also, futures broke support after hours. (ES1! is SPX futures, I plot it all the time.)
I don't recommend going long until after the tariff announcements. This market is super sketchy now.
Dow heading below $40k?Based on two important measured moves -- the double top AND the bear flag -- they both point to below $39k. If so, then I would not be surprised to see the 382 Fibonacci level around 36K-37k get tagged.
us30This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView
nas updateThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView
Realtime markups: Indices tailspin to the weekly range lowsAfter rejecting the weekly highs aggressively on Wednesday, we had a clear run toward the low of the same weekly range candle's low. I believe this low will be hit before anything else.
We will see what the Monday open sequence looks like. See you then 🫡
NQ - a short upward movementGiven the LV filling up and the FVG remaining on the high timeframe, as well as the SMT between NQ and SPX, we can expect the price to make a short move upwards to clear the liquidity.
Bulls shouldnt fight this fallI have explained everything on the chart....can't be bullish for the time being, except for some rallies in a downfall....Whales will step where JPow said the famous words, Inflation is no longer transitory....Honestly the sooner we get here, the better....but it could take a few weeks or by the middle of this year.....if the market goes again back up for a double top, the fall will be even more painful.....but markets are all about creating maximum pain for bulls and bears....
Wall Street sellWe hit the Wall Street sell signal with our friends in the sales channel and so far we have achieved the target of one to nine.
@SEED_G88
The Close 3-2818 monthly ma being at 535 on spy makes me feel like a flush to there on Monday is quite possible. The C wave idea is being negated as of now in favor of another 5 wave move to 535.
NASDAQ Will the disappointing PCE today form a Double Bottom?Nasdaq is on a strong 3 day correction that has almost erased the recovery attempt since the March 11th low.
That was a higher Low inside the 8 month Channel Up and the current correction may be a bottom formation attempt like September 6th 2024.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy before the closing market price.
Targets:
1. 23350 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) illustrates the similarities with July-September 2024 in a much better way. Strong indication that the Channel Up is attempting to price a bottom.
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S&P500 Huge retest of former Channel Down.S&P500 / US500 took a big hit today following the higher than expected PCE, causing a price rejection on the 4hour MA50.
So far however the drop stopped exactly at the top of the former Channel Down of February-March.
With the 4hour RSI on the same level as March 10th, if this level holds, it will be a huge retest buy signal and will start a new bullish wave.
Based on this, we'd expect the 1day MA50 to be targeted at 5,850.
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AUS200 - time to double up Team, with the AUS200
hold tight for monday recovery
as the DOW - NAS expect to recover as closing time will likely push the AUS200 for monday recovery.
NAS - time to go longTeam, i wish i could show you my real account
time to go long on NAS - double bottom - retested
looking at 90-150 points recover
DOW-US30 time to go long on DOWTeam, i wish i could show you my real account
time to go long on DOW - double bottom - retested
looking at 120-200 points recover
IXIC Down leg to 15700IMHO,
I see the Nasdaq dropping to 15700 during the current down leg.
Bear flag has been broken.
DXY LONG/BUYBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bullish sentiment prevails.
The Index to watch next week: FMCG IndexThe index that is trying to break out and one needs to watch the next week seems to be the FMCG Index.
The FMCG index is currently facing the Mother line resistance. If the index can overcome the Mother line resistance which is at 53619 there is a chance that this index in the near future can go on to its net resistance levels which are at 54203, 55259 or even 56230. A closing above 56230 or the Father line and the trend line near by in a few weeks or the next quarter can lead the index to gain some previous levels like 57K, 58K or even 59K. The support for FMCG index is currently at 52656, 51508 and 50176.
To know more about supports, Resistances, investing in stocks based on sector index, Trend lines Parallel Channels, Mother, Father and small Child Theory, Behavioural finance, Fundamental analysis, Technical analysis, Profit booking etc. Read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. It is as on date one of the highest rated books on Amazon. The paperback version and Kindle can be bought through Amazon. You can also contact me to buy the same.
Now if this breakout actually happens in the Nifty FMCG index the some of the stocks that composites the FMCG index will be the beneficiaries. Some might benefit more some might benefit less and some might not benefit but for index to move upward the stocks composing it have to perform well. To know which stocks will do better than others we will have to look at their individual charts. The stocks which make the Nifty FMCG index are Tata Consumer, Britannia, Radico Khaitan, Godrej Consumer Products, UBL, Dabur, United Spirits, Nestle, Colgate, Marico, PGHH, Dabur, Balrampur Chini, Hindustan Unilever, Varun Bevreges and ITC. The Index Can Perform if the majority constituents or the stocks with heavy weightage perform. Some of these stocks can perform others might not. Choose wisely after consulting your investment advisor, studying fundamentals and Technicals of each company.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
