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Technical Analysis WeeklyStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 remains in a bearish market but has entered a correction following last week’s big turnaround. It is trading at 20,805, still below its 20-day VWAP of 21,478. The RSI at 43 suggests weak momentum, but not extreme oversold conditions. Support is in place at 19,120, while a breakout above resistance at 23,836 would be needed to challenge the current trend. UK 100 is in a bearish correction phase, hovering at 8,105 and just under the VWAP of 8,147. With an RSI of 42, momentum remains muted but no longer extremely weak. Support is seen at 7,428, and resistance looms at 8,865. Wall Street continues to correct within a broader bearish trend. It trades at 40,409, slightly below the VWAP of 40,734. RSI at 48 indicates neutral momentum, showing signs of consolidation. Key support is found at 37,241, while resistance stands at 44,228. Brent Crude is in a bearish impulsive move, with price down to 6,445, firmly beneath the VWAP of 6,895. RSI at 39 signals persistent bearish pressure. Immediate support lies at 5,964, and resistance caps upside potential way back up at 7,826. Gold continues to show strength, advancing in an impulsive bullish trend to yet more record highs. It trades at 3,231, above its VWAP of 3,084. The RSI at 69 places it just shy of overbought levels, suggesting momentum remains strong. Support rests at 2,921, while resistance is close at 3,231. EUR/USD is surging in a bullish impulsive phase, trading at 1.1392 and significantly above its VWAP of 1.0955. RSI is elevated at 75, indicating overbought territory and scope for some kind of consolidation. Support is located at 1.0543, and price is currently testing resistance at 1.1392. GBP/USD continues its impulsive bullish move, currently trading at 1.3130, just above the VWAP of 1.2940. RSI at 63 reflects solid bullish momentum. Support sits at 1.2733, while resistance coincides with the current high at 1.3130. USD/JPY is in a bearish impulsive move, trading at 142.73, beneath the VWAP of 147.65. The RSI at 34 suggests weakening momentum, close to oversold but not extreme. Support is nearby at 142.43, with resistance up at 153.06.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
NAS100 ICT Smart Money Concept Analysis | April 14, 2025🔍 Overview: This chart breaks down the NAS100 (US100 Cash CFD) price action using ICT and SMC principles. We've identified a clear market structure shift and multiple order blocks (OB), fair value gaps (FVG), and imbalance zones. 📌 Key Highlights: 4H 15MIN Order Block (OB): Price retraced to the 15-minute OB before showing bullish momentum. Market Structure Shift (MSS): MSS confirmed after price broke above the internal structure. Liquidity Sweep: Previous equal highs taken out, indicating a liquidity grab before potential reversal. Premium vs. Discount Zones: Price currently trading in a premium zone, close to a 15MIN supply OB. Confluence Zone: Multiple SMC elements align (OB + FVG + MSS), suggesting high probability setup. 📈 Expectations: Price may react to the current 15MIN supply zone and give a short opportunity targeting lower imbalance or internal structure lows. If broken cleanly, we could see continuation toward higher HTF targets. 💬 Feel free to comment your thoughts or questions below. Let's grow together, traders! #ICT #SMC #NAS100 #OrderBlocks #FVG #Liquidity #PriceAction #SmartMoney #TradingView #LasinsRaj #MarketStructure
FX:NAS100Short
by lasinsraj
US500 (S&P 500) Sell Limit Trade IdeaBearish Daily Signals Align with Key Resistance Levels 📅 Published: 14/04/2025 14:22 | ⏳ Expires: 15/04/2025 12:00 Market Outlook The US500 is showing signs of fatigue at higher levels. A Doji-style candle formed near the highs suggests indecision and potential reversal. Current levels are near the 50% Fibonacci pullback at 5485, an area that previously attracted selling pressure. The 20-day EMA at 5466 and the pivotal level at 5501 reinforce this as a strong resistance zone. With no major economic events in the next 24 hours, technicals are likely to dominate near-term price action. Trade Details Entry (Sell Limit): 5459 Stop Loss: 5611 (-152 pts) Take Profit: 5016 (+443 pts) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.91:1 Key Levels Resistance: R1: 5446 R2: 5501 (Pivotal Level) R3: 5600 Support: S1 : 5381 S2: 5280 S3: 5135 Technical & Sentiment Highlights ✅ Bearish Daily Signals – Doji candle and declining momentum suggest exhaustion at highs. ✅ EMA & Fibonacci Confluence – 5466 EMA + 5485 Fib zone aligning with resistance. ✅ High Reward Potential – Offers a strong 2.9:1 risk/reward ratio. ⚠️ No Major News Catalysts – Technicals expected to guide near-term direction. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Signal_Centre1
SPX Fractal Expansion: New Highs Ahead Despite FearAs of April 14, 2025, the CBOE:SPX is exhibiting a clear fractal expansion, suggesting the beginning of a new bullish leg. The recent correction, which caused widespread panic, appears to have completed a fractal cycle reset, with price respecting historical support near 4704 and forming a new fractal edge around 5300. Despite the fear-driven selloff, momentum indicators like RSI and MACD show signs of bottoming, and volume surged on rebound days, confirming strong institutional buying. The price is now testing temporary resistance at 5878, with a path open to reclaim all-time highs (6100+). Global & Technical Tailwinds Technical momentum is recovering across timeframes, with positive divergence on stochastic oscillators. Breadth is improving: More stocks are participating in the rally, reflecting internal strength. Sentiment has flipped: The VIX has cooled from panic levels (above 45), and investor fear is easing. Macro support: Inflation is declining, and central banks are signaling potential rate cuts by late 2025. Earnings outlook remains solid, and analysts forecast SPX to end 2025 around 6500–7100. 🔍Conclusion The SPX is carving out a fractal mirror of past bullish reversals, reinforced by strong macro and technical context. Barring unexpected shocks, the index is likely to break above resistance and push toward new highs, even as residual fear lingers. The setup favors buying dips within this emerging structure.
SP:SPXLong
by insidermike
Update to Dow Jones Industrials Time At Mode Back in 2015 I had published a chart with annual data for the Dow Jones Industrials. I will provide a link at the bottom. The research for this patterning is something I did myself by hand using pencil and paper back in the 1980's. These patterns show up in all time frames. There is plenty of room to enhance the research on this technique and a group of us gather in the chat rooms here at TradingView to discuss new trades that set up and point out when trades expire. Notice how these two grey boxes (which are both 50% drops in price) that expand wider in time from the 1960's to the 1980's and the 2000-2010's had a multi-year trend, followed by a monster crash (1987 was 40% and 2000 was 37%) and then just two+ years later there was a secondary bear market of 20% in 1990 and 22% in 2022. Keep in mind this is just for the DJ:DJI and not the Nasdaq Composite or S&P500 which were greater corrections. The 11-year time frame of the 1999-2011 pattern allows for an 11-year rally from 2012 (which was year 1 of the 11-year rally) shows that time expired. As you can see from the 1943-1962 trend, a smaller 5-year mode formed at the end of the 20 year trend and then the market peaked in 1972-1973 when time expired for the second, smaller mode. I had to reconstruct this chart after the data for the previous chart changed symbol. See the link below to see the original. I look forward to your additional research onto this pattern and its implications to the idea that we are in a similar period to 1993-1994 with rally years of 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 ahead of us. All the best, Tim October 19, 2024 3:31PM EST
TVC:DJI
by timwest
14
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NSE:NIFTY
by armaanchudiwala
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce backMarkets Overview – Monday US Open Trump Tariffs: Trump says tariffs on phones, computers, and other consumer tech are still on the table, calling the weekend exemption just a "procedural step." Tech Rally: Despite that, tech stocks are up Apple and Nvidia leading on hopes the delay gives room for a better long-term trade deal. Futures & Gold: US equity futures are pointing higher. Gold hit a new record as investors seek safe-haven assets. FX Moves: The dollar is down for a fifth straight day, with the euro is surging, it is thefastest rally vs USD in 15 yearsas, traders eye a move toward $1.20. Earnings Outlook: Q1 earnings season kicks into gear this week. Citigroup and Morgan Stanley lowered their S&P 500 earnings forecasts, citing tariff concerns and broader economic headwinds. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5509 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5787 Support Level 1: 5110 Support Level 2: 4947 Support Level 3: 4816 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
top is in for the dxygm, this idea has been in the works for years, ever since we topped out 3 years ago. there has been quite a bit of variations of this idea, but this one right here has been my primary idea for a very long time. initially i imagined the dxy coming up to 111-113 before topping out, and i reckon it still can, but the worst is behind us, relatively speaking. --- if my count here is correct, the dxy will begin extending down into wave c into the last days of 2025 where a major low will be put in place . this will create a hyper-parabolic bull phase for risk assets, in conjunction with declining rates. --- if you've been waiting for a signal to buy alts this is your signal. 🌙 --- ps. view my private idea from last year via: 🌙
TVC:DXYShort
by notoriousbids
US30 Trade Update – 14/04/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 14/04/2025 🚨 📈 Dow Jones Back in Bull Mode! US30 has surged back above 40,600 and is now approaching the key resistance at 40,860. Bulls are pressing higher, but price is now near a critical decision point. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ Strong recovery from 36,743 support ✅ Higher highs + bullish EMA crossover 🔺 Resistance ahead at 40,860 → 41,200 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔹 Long above 40,860 → Target 41,200 🔻 Short only if price rejects 40,860 & drops below 40,450 🔹 Wait for breakout confirmation — no rush! ⚠️ Momentum favors bulls, but 40,860 is the gatekeeper. Let price prove itself.
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
The Art of Doing Nothing: Why Tape Watchers Beat Impulse TradersLess is more. In this Idea we dig into the trading philosophy where less action means more traction. It’s the dispute between the chart readers and the button clickers. Some swear by this: the smartest trading strategy sometimes involves sitting on your hands and embracing the sweet, underrated beauty of doing absolutely nothing. The Italians figured this out ages ago—they call it Dolce Far Niente , the sweetness of doing nothing. But can a trader really get away with just kicking back and waiting while sipping espresso (or the mezcal martini type if you got your Patagonia vest)? Actually, yes—and it often pays better than impulsive clicks. Let’s talk about why chart-watching and tape-reading often outsmart trigger-happy trading. 🤷‍♂️ Doing Nothing Is Harder Than It Looks First off, let’s acknowledge something painfully true: not trading is tough. Seriously tough. Trading never sleeps, notifications flash at you like slot machines. Headlines constantly scream about massive opportunities you're missing — Tesla's NASDAQ:TSLA latest rally or gold’s OANDA:XAUUSD record-breaking surge powered by tariff jitters. The pressure to click, buy, sell, or do something—anything!—can be overwhelming. It’s why there’s something called a heatmap — because it’s hot, hot, hot! But here’s the secret: successful traders know that impulse trading isn't a strategy; it's just financial caffeine. Instead, chart watchers—the cool-headed crowd who sit back, patiently observing price movements, market structure, and volume flow—tend to win the marathon, while impulse traders burn out in the sprint. 🌸 The Dolce Far Niente Method Ever watched an old Italian movie? There's usually a scene featuring someone lounging effortlessly, soaking in life’s beauty without lifting a finger—this is Dolce Far Niente. In trading terms, it’s the act of patiently waiting, savoring the calm between trades, watching your charts like an old-school tape reader that would make Jesse Livermore proud. (“A prudent speculator never argues with the tape. Markets are never wrong, opinions often are.”) A good setup is worth the wait. Instead of diving into trades, relax, observe, and let opportunities come to you. Because the reality is, not every candlestick needs your immediate response. Markets don’t reward hyperactivity; they reward patience and calculated action. 🤩 Tape Reading vs. Trading: The Difference Between Winning and Clicking The lost art of tape reading, as hedge fund guru Paul Tudor Jones calls it, is about carefully tracking price action, volume, and market sentiment. It’s far less exciting than rapid-fire day trading but potentially more rewarding. “When it comes to trading macro,” Tudor Jones says, “you cannot rely solely on fundamentals; you have to be a tape reader, which is something of a lost art form. Learning when to sit quietly (doing nothing) and when to strike decisively is the hallmark of trading mastery. ✋ Real Traders Don’t Chase—They Anticipate Waiting isn’t passive. It’s actually active restraint—a calculated choice to do nothing until the odds tip decidedly in your favor. Let’s be clear: chart watchers aren’t asleep at the wheel; they're carefully steering clear of trouble until clear setups emerge. The result? Better entry points, clearer risk-reward ratios, and fewer sleepless nights worrying about impulsive mistakes. “The trick in investing is just to sit there and watch pitch after pitch go by and wait for the one right in your sweet spot. And if people are yelling, ‘Swing, you bum!,’ ignore them.” Bonus points if you know who said that! So, next time your finger hovers over that "buy" or "sell" button, ask yourself if you’re trading strategically or just for the dopamine hit. Remember the Italian saying, take a breath, embrace the tranquility, and let patience become your trading superpower. Let us know in the comments: Are you team “click less, wait more,” or do you find yourself riding the impulse wave fairly frequently?
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
24
NASDAQ Trump's 2 TRADE WARS are identical! What you need to knowNASDAQ (NDX) had a massive bullish reversal 1W candle last week as, despite a Lower Low opening, the intra-week rebound surpassed the opening of the previous week. The sell-off reached almost as low as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) , which has been the Support level of the late 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom and has been untouched for more than 2 year. This is not the first time we see this pattern. In an interesting twist of events, we saw the exact same formation during Trump's 1st Trade War, which bottomed on the week of December 24 2018, near the 1W MA200 as well and exactly on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the Top. The similarities don't stop there as both Trade War periods were manifested within Megaphone patterns. Their sell-off/ Bearish Leg was -25% (now) and -23% (2018) respectively, while the set-up leading to those Megaphones was a +103.50% and +113.50% Bull Cycle respectively. Also both sell-offs got an oversold (30.00 or lower) 1W RSI bottom. So, since NDX has currently completed a -25% correction near the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fib with the 1W RSI bouncing off the oversold barrier, it is very likely that we've formed the pattern's bottom, especially if the global fundamentals point towards trade deals. If this Low remains intact, we expect a similar +35% short-term Top at 22500 within a 3-4 month period and then long-term rally near the -0.382 Fibonacci extension at 29000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
1
Why the current section is important Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- It is not easy to explain everything with just chart analysis. Therefore, it is true that interpretation of various issues is necessary. However, I am only explaining the chart. The reason is that interpretation of various issues other than the chart is not easy for individual investors. - (NAS100USD 1W chart) In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart. If not, there is a high possibility of continuing the downtrend. Therefore, if the price is maintained above 18693.7, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will continue. However, this is a medium- to long-term perspective. - (1D chart) In the short term, the price should be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart. In that sense, we can see that the current price position is an important section. However, in order to continue the short-term upward trend, it should rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. In that sense, the support around 19848.3 is an important key point. - Currently, the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought section. Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it is expected to show a downward trend in the end. Therefore, if it is not supported near 19848.3, I think you should prepare for a decline. At this time, you should check whether it can be supported near 18428.8 and rise. The reason is that the HA-Low indicator of the 1D chart is formed. - The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin Ashi chart. The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point section. Therefore, if it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, then that is the time to buy. If it falls without being supported by the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a countermeasure for this. However, there is a difference between a downward trend following the HA-Low indicator and a simple downward trend. A stepwise decline following the HA-Low indicator is likely to eventually form a bottom section. The next volatility period is expected to be around April 29th. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
OANDA:NAS100USD
by readCrypto
FTSE 100The FTSE 100, like its global peers, has been caught in the crosswinds of rising volatility over the past fortnight. Let’s break down the key levels to watch, the indicators helping to make sense of the current backdrop, and how the recent sell-off has played out beneath the surface at the sector level. Daily Timeframe: Shift in Momentum The sharp sell-off on Friday 4th April marked a clear turning point in the momentum dynamics for the FTSE 100. The index cut cleanly through its 200-day moving average, and the rebound that followed has been weak in comparison. The bounce recaptured less than half the ground lost, which tells us that dominant momentum on the daily chart now tilts firmly in favour of the bears. It’s worth anchoring a VWAP to the March highs. This gives us a running view of how short-term bullish momentum is faring relative to the longer-term downtrend—and helps frame any intraday strength in the broader context of a weakening trend. UK100 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Sector Snapshot: Rotation to Safety There’s been a marked shift in sector leadership recently, with risk-on areas falling out of favour and defensives starting to find their feet. Energy, Healthcare and Materials have led the downside. These are typically sectors that perform when investors are in a more optimistic mood, so the move away from them hints at rising caution across the board. In contrast, Utilities, Consumer Staples and Real Estate have all shown resilience. As the outlook for rates softens and the broader environment becomes more risk-off, capital is rotating into more stable, yield-oriented sectors—suggesting investors are starting to prioritise defence over growth. 1 Month UK Sector Snapshot Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Hourly Timeframe: Trading the Inflection Points Zooming in to the hourly chart, the previous week’s high and low stand out as key levels to work with. They now serve as clear reference points for support and resistance, helping to shape short-term swing setups. Market harmonics can also offer a useful guide here. Taking the low-to-high move from Wednesday’s recovery and projecting that from Thursday’s swing low creates a potential reversal area. This projection lines up with the anchored VWAP from the daily timeframe, giving us a neat confluence zone where a short-term reversal could take shape. UK100 Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:UK100
by Capitalcom
Bank Nifty Weekly Analysis: Key Levels & Trend OutlookWeekly Recap: Bank Nifty opened last week with a gap-down at 49,336.10, plunging 2,166.6 points or -4.21%. However, it recovered over the course of the week and eventually settled at 51,002.35, registering a modest weekly decline of -0.97%. Key Weekly Levels for Next Week Price Action Pivot Zone: The crucial range to watch for potential reversals or trend continuation is 50,860 to 51,115 Support & Resistance Levels: Support Levels: S1: 50,487 S2: 50,103 S3: 59,650 Resistance Levels: R1: 51,560 R2: 52,011 R3: 52,577 Market Outlook: Bullish Scenario: If Bank Nifty sustains above 51,115, it could see buying interest, potentially pushing towards R1 at 51,560 and higher levels. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 50,860 could trigger further downside pressure, targeting S1 at 50,487 and lower support levels. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis: Key Levels & Trend OutlookWeekly Recap: Last week, Nifty opened with a gap-down at 21,758.40, dropping 1,146.05 points or 5%. However, it witnessed a recovery during the week and eventually closed at 22,828.55, marking a marginal decline of 0.33% from the previous week's close. Key Weekly Levels for Next Week Price Action Pivot Zone: The crucial zone to watch for any potential reversals or trend continuation is between 22,754 and 22,941. Support & Resistance Levels: Support Levels: S1: 22,429 S2: 22,126 S3: 21,766 Resistance Levels: R1: 23,236 R2: 23,547 R3: 24,005 Market Outlook: Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 22,941 could attract buyers, driving Nifty towards R1 at 23,236 and possibly higher. Bearish Scenario: If 22,754 fails to hold, the market could witness further selling, driving Nifty towards S1 at 22,429 and possibly lower. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:NIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
How far could the USD fall?.. WATCH THE DOLLAR INDEXThe dollar is declining as US uncertainty continues and cash moves out of the US. I personally think the dollar will bounce, but how far could it fall in the meantime... Price is testing the previous monthly horizontal resistance as support and the monthly 100 SMA. The dollar may find a bottom here. From 98 to 100 on TVC:DXY Price may reach the monthly bullish channel support. There will likely be technical buyers in this area. From 95 to 96 on TICKMILL:DXY Good luck!
TVC:DXYLong
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
FTSE INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 8224The FTSE 100 Index remains in a bearish structure, with recent price action confirming a break below the prior consolidation zone, indicating potential for further downside. Key Resistance: 8224 – former support turned resistance, aligning with the intraday consolidation area. Support Levels: 7760 – near-term target if bearish momentum continues 7645 and 7522 – medium to long-term downside objectives An oversold bounce may occur, but unless price breaks and closes above 8224 on the daily chart, the bearish outlook remains intact. Conversely, a confirmed breakout above 8224 would invalidate the bearish bias and open the path to test 8305, with 8460 as a secondary resistance. Conclusion The FTSE bias is bearish below 8224. Watch for a rejection at that level to confirm downside continuation. A daily close above 8224 would shift the outlook to bullish. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
Nikkei preparing for its next BIG leg down to 29,330?From the last UPDATE - The Nikkei formed an extensive Rectangle Formation with an M Formation in the interim. We then had a large correction which has now resulted in a somewhat recovery. However, is the recovery on the way or are we just waiting for the next big down leg on the markets. Let's look at the fundamentals first 1. 📉 Profit-Taking After Record Highs Investors are cashing in after Nikkei hit all-time highs in March. 2. 💴 Stronger Yen Pressures Exporters A rising yen hurts Japanese exporters like Toyota and Sony. 3. 🏦 BOJ Policy Shift Fears Markets worry the Bank of Japan will tighten policy further after ending negative rates. 4. 🌍 Global Risk-Off Sentiment Tensions in the Middle East and weak global data make investors nervous. 5. 📊 Overbought Technicals Charts show the index was overbought — a correction is natural. M Formation Price<20 and 200 Target 29,330 Let's see if this one plays out as I don't think we are out of the doldrums yet. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:JP225Short
by Timonrosso
Tariff Exemptions Stir the Bounce | SPX Analysis 14 April 2025It’s Monday… and the markets are once again dancing like a puppet on a tweet-fuelled string. One minute, tariff fears. The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.” Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened. SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400 bull trigger, and if you’ve been following the last few newsletters, you’ll know that’s a big one. We’ve mapped it. We’ve rejected it. Now we’re staring it down… again. --- The 5400 Line Returns Let’s back up. 5400 has been my bull/bear trigger for weeks. When we’re below it, I’m hunting bear swings. Above? I start reassessing bullish setups, GEX bulls-eye trades, and pullback long entries. This week, the GEX flip is also sitting around 5400. That’s no coincidence. It’s now more than just a price level – It’s the emotional fault line between headline-driven panic and headline-driven hope. So… do we flip bullish? Not so fast. Strategy: Structure First, Narrative Second Just because futures are up doesn’t mean momentum is back. We’ve seen far too many fakeouts, tweet-spikes, and algorithm blinks to trust the first move on a Monday. That’s why my plan is simple this week: ✔️ 5400 is still the decision line ✔️ No aggressive trades until price confirms ✔️ Will adapt only if structure shifts – not just sentiment This week isn’t about swinging for the fences. It’s about precision. Patience. And setup clarity. Behind the Charts: Tinkering, Rebuilding, Refining While the markets work out their next identity crisis, I’m taking the time to: Optimise my new charting layout Tweak + update my indicator codebases Re-align my tools for speed and efficiency Because if the market wants to act like a circus, I’ll tighten the tent and sharpen the knives. --- Expert Insight – Don’t Rush the Flip Common mistake: Flipping long just because futures are green. Fix: Use anchored levels like 5400 as your decision points – and only flip bias when structure confirms. GEX flips, pulse bars, and price action matter. Tweets do not. --- Fun Fact Did you know? In 2023–2024, over 60% of intraday SPX rallies over 1.5% failed to hold past 2 days when triggered by political headlines. Translation? Headline rallies are easy to sell into – unless they’re confirmed by price.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton