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US500: Rebound Setup After Sharp Pullback – Key Support HoldingUS500 has experienced a strong corrective move after an extended bullish run but is now showing signs of stabilizing near a key support area. This zone aligns with both technical retracement levels and the market's reaction to fundamental shifts—particularly the dovish repricing of the Fed following weak US jobs data. Technical Analysis (4H Chart) Pattern: After a strong uptrend, price faced a steep correction, forming a potential short-term reversal setup. Current Level: 6,235, holding above the 6,217 support zone. Key Support Levels: 6,217 (immediate support; key defense zone for bulls). 6,171 (38.2% retracement, secondary support if deeper pullback occurs). Resistance Levels: 6,272 (23.6% retracement and initial resistance). 6,360 (upper resistance zone and retest of recent breakdown). 6,429/6,436 (recent high and target if bullish momentum resumes). Projection: A rebound from current levels could push US500 back toward 6,360–6,430 if support holds. Fundamental Analysis Bias: Neutral-to-bullish as macro drivers favor a recovery from pullback. Key Fundamentals: Fed Policy: Weak US jobs (+73K) and downward revisions have solidified rate cut expectations (~75% probability in September), boosting equity sentiment. Inflation: Market awaits US CPI; softer data would further support equities. Tariffs: While Trump’s tariffs create a medium-term risk for earnings, immediate Fed easing bets outweigh these concerns. Risk Sentiment: Global risk remains supported by lower yields and optimism about Fed easing. Risks: Hot US CPI could reverse cut expectations, pressuring equities. Geopolitical risks or tariff escalation could trigger renewed selling. Key Events: US CPI and PPI. Fed speeches and rate expectations. Earnings reports from key US companies. Leader/Lagger Dynamics US500 is a leader, driving global risk sentiment and influencing risk-sensitive assets like AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and JPY crosses. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints US500 is neutral-to-bullish, stabilizing at key support (6,217) after a sharp correction. Fed cut expectations and risk-on sentiment support the upside scenario, targeting 6,360–6,430 if US CPI aligns with softer inflation. However, a hot CPI print could invalidate this rebound and trigger another leg lower.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by ultreosforex
USD Re-Tests a Familiar Area of SupportBack in April the US Dollar was dropping like a rock. While the sell-off in stocks had stalled by the time we got to Easter, the bearish trend in USD was in full-force, going along with a strong breakout in Gold and many major FX pairs. But it was the low on Easter Monday that finally stalled matters for a bit. That price came in right around the 98.00 level, and led to four weeks of strength, including through the May FOMC rate decision, all the way until the 102-handle came into play. That's where the music stopped for the USD rally in Q2, and sellers went back for another push down to fresh lows that ultimately showed with a fresh three-year-low on day one of Q3. Since then, however, bears have been stalled and there's a couple of different supporting backdrops there, such as the oversold readings that had shown on both the daily and the weekly as we came into Q3, or the falling wedge formation that had built as sellers remained really aggressive at highs or tests of resistance while less so around lows or tests of support. And it's not like July was all that bullish of a month for the USD as we heard Trump continue to press his desire for low rates, including threats to fire FOMC Chair Jerome Powell. And at this stage, markets are pricing in a rate cut in September, along with another by the end of the year and possibly two. So expectations on rates are really low yet, on a relative basis, the USD has held up somewhat well. At this point we're at another major test with the USD re-testing that same spot of support that had come into play in April, around the 98.00 handle in DXY. There's more context for support in the USD down to around 97.60, which helps to create a zone. For USD-weakness, I still think GBP/USD remains as attractive, but for USD-strength, EUR/USD could be an interesting case given the Fibonacci resistance that's started to show there. - js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
USNAS100 Gains on Tariff Exemption Hopes – 23690 in SightUSNAS100 – Market Overview Tech shares lift Wall St futures on tariff exemption hopes U.S. stock index futures rose on Thursday as optimism grows that major tech companies may be exempt from President Trump’s latest tariffs on chip imports, supporting continued strength in the tech sector. Technical Outlook USNAS100 has gained nearly +400 points since yesterday, maintaining strong bullish momentum. As long as the price holds above 23440, the uptrend is expected to continue toward 23690, with potential to extend to 23870. However, a 1H close below 23440 would suggest weakening momentum and could trigger a correction toward 23295. Resistance: 23690 – 23870 Support: 23295 – 23045
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
DowJones oversold bounce back supported at 44020Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 44708 Resistance Level 2: 44925 Resistance Level 3: 44128 Support Level 1: 44020 Support Level 2: 44760 Support Level 3: 43477 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Technical Analysis of US100 on TradingView A trader is analyzing the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) using a 4-hour chart on TradingView. The chart displays a clear upward channel, with price action bouncing off the lower boundary and heading toward the upper trendline. A blue arrow indicates a bullish prediction, anticipating further upward movement. Support and resistance zones are highlighted, and the setup suggests a continuation of the bullish trend. 📊 Chart Overview: Timeframe: 4-hour (H4) Instrument: US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) Platform: TradingView via Capital.com Date/Time in Chart: 25th August, 10:00 (likely UTC) --- 📈 Trend Analysis: The price is moving within an upward parallel channel, indicating a strong bullish trend. The chart shows multiple touches of both the upper and lower bounds of the channel, confirming its validity. --- 🟩 Support and Resistance: Support Zone: Around 22,850–23,050 (highlighted by the green rectangular box). Price bounced sharply from this area, showing buyers are defending it. Resistance Area (Projected): Upper bound of the channel, which aligns with the 24,000 level. --- 🕊️ Current Market Behavior: The price recently bounced off the lower channel boundary and the key support zone. A strong bullish candle broke through a mini pullback area, suggesting momentum is favoring buyers. The blue arrow indicates an expected continuation upward toward the upper resistance line. --- 📌 Technical Implications: Bullish Bias: As long as price remains inside the channel and above the support zone, the bullish trend is intact. A retest of the upper channel line (~24,000) is a realistic target if momentum continues. Invalidation Level: A clean break below the support zone (~22,850) and out of the channel could shift sentiment to bearish. --- ✅ Possible Trade Idea (for Educational Purposes): Entry: Around 23,400–23,500 (already in motion) Target: 23,900–24,000 (upper channel line) Stop-loss: Below 22,850 (beneath the support zone)
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TRADE_WITH_VISION
S&P 500 Futures Hold Ground After Tariffs Take EffectS&P 500 Futures Rise After New Tariffs Kick In President Trump's sweeping tariffs officially took effect just after midnight, escalating trade tensions with dozens of countries. While negotiations are ongoing behind the scenes to secure exemptions and reduce tariff rates, market reactions are already underway. Technical Outlook S&P 500 Futures continue to show bullish momentum as long as price trades above 6289, with the potential to retest the All-Time High (ATH). To confirm a move toward 6453, price must close above 6437 on the 1H chart. 🔻 However, if the price stabilizes below 6389, a correction toward 6365 becomes more likely. Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance: 6424 – 6453 🔹 Support: 6365 – 6341
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
Learning#05 : Decoding Highs and Lows📚 Learning#05 : Decoding Highs and Lows - A Trader’s Guide to Reading the Market - Simple Yet Important If the market were a book, the trend would be its storyline — and as traders, our job is to read that story without skipping pages. Trading with the trend puts the odds in your favor because you’re flowing with the market’s natural momentum, not fighting it. Whether it’s an uptrend, downtrend, or a sideways grind, spotting it early gives you a big edge in deciding when to enter, when to exit, and when to simply step aside. One of the simplest yet most reliable ways to read that story? 👉 Story of Highs and Lows Let’s break it down. 📚 Understanding Highs and Lows in Trading In technical analysis, highs and lows are the market’s way of leaving breadcrumbs. A high is a peak before the market pulls back. A low is a trough before the market bounces. Track these points over time and you start to see patterns that reveal the market’s mood — bullish, bearish, or indecisive. This isn’t about guessing; it’s about observing price action as it is. 📌 The Four Key Building Blocks of Market Structure 1️⃣ Higher Highs (HH) Each new high is higher than the one before.Paired with higher lows, this signals an uptrend. Buyers are in control, and demand is pushing price upward. Example: Nifty rallies from 22,000 to 22,200, pulls back to 22,100, and then rallies to 22,350. That second high (22,350) is higher than the first, confirming bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Higher Lows (HL) Each pullback low is higher than the last.This tells you that sellers tried to push the market down — but buyers stepped in sooner this time, showing strength. HLs often precede trend continuation and give great spots for entering long positions with tight risk. 3️⃣ Lower Lows (LL) Each new low is lower than the previous one.Paired with lower highs, this marks a downtrend. Selling pressure is in charge, and rallies are being sold into. 4️⃣ Lower Highs (LH) Each bounce high is lower than the last.This shows weakening buying pressure and often leads to another push lower. Think of it like climbing stairs vs. walking down a hill: 📌 HH + HL = Stairs up → Bull trend. 📌 LL + LH = Hill down → Bear trend. 📈 HH+HL : Bullish Setup : 📉 LL+LH : Bearish Setup : 📌 Why It Matters for Traders Price action is the most honest information in the market — no lag, no magic, no guesswork. HH/HL → Bulls in control → Look for long setups. LL/LH → Bears in control → Look for short setups. Spotting these patterns on the fly means you can align with the dominant side instead of fighting it. 🧩 Combining HH & LL With Other Tools 📏 Fibonacci Retracements Once you’ve identified the trend: In an uptrend, draw Fibonacci from the latest HL to HH for pullback buying zones. In a downtrend, draw from the latest LH to LL to find shorting opportunities. ⛰️ Fractals for Clarity Fractals help pinpoint swing highs and lows without guesswork. I personally track HH/HL/LL/LH on a 1-minute chart for intraday trading — this keeps me in sync with the micro-trend while avoiding sideways traps. 🔀 Trendlines & VWAP Trendlines show the bigger path, VWAP confirms intraday balance. When HH or LL aligns with these, you’ve got high-confluence setups. 🥷 Kiran’s Approach For intraday, I start by mapping the structure: HH, HL, LL, LH. This gives me the immediate trend bias and alerts me to potential reversals early. I track them on a 1-min chart, combine with Fibonacci and trendlines, and trail stops as the structure unfolds. It’s simple, visual, and keeps me out of bad trades and warns me to stay out of a sideways market situation, too. 🔑 Key Takeaway Market structure is like a language — HH, HL, LL, and LH are its alphabet. Once you learn to read it, you’ll never trade blind again. 💡 “Trade what you see, not what you think. The chart always whispers first — you just have to listen.” Start marking highs and lows on your chart tomorrow. Watch the story unfold. Trade in sync, and you’ll notice your entries become sharper, your exits cleaner, and your confidence higher. See you in the next one — and until then: Keep it simple. Trade with structure. Trust the levels. — Kiran Zatakia
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by kzatakia