Market indices
JM-CAPITAL US30 Analysis April 24After reaching an all-time high of 45,000, US30 experienced a pullback, retracing to the 61.8% Fibonacci level—aligning perfectly with a key support zone on the weekly timeframe and forming the third touchpoint on the ascending trendline.
With market sentiment beginning to ease around the tariff discussions, I’m taking a long position on US30. My stop loss is set just below the weekly candle and beneath the 61.8% Fibonacci level for added protection.
I plan to scale into the trade by adding positions on each corrective pullback in line with the bullish structure.
Wishing you all a profitable trading session. Stay sharp!
Bullish Continuation Setup Towards📈 US100 - Bullish Continuation Setup Towards 19,454.8 🚀
After a strong impulsive move, US100 is consolidating inside a rising channel, forming a classic bull flag structure. Price has respected multiple demand zones on the way up and currently sits just above the key support at 19,107.0. The bullish momentum is supported by a clean structure of higher highs and higher lows, and a breakout from the flag could trigger the next leg up toward the 138% Fibonacci extension level at 19,454.8.
As long as price holds above the 19,000–19,107 support zone, this scenario remains valid. Keep an eye on volume and a breakout candle for confirmation. 📊💥
US30 Bullish Setup: Buy the Dip Opportunity
The market recently broke structure to the upside, creating a higher high. Price is now retracing towards a key demand zone between 38,750 - 39,000, which aligns with previous structure and demand confluence.
I’m watching for bullish confirmations within this zone to enter long, targeting the upper imbalance/zone around 41,500 - 42,000.
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 38,750 - 39,000
Target: 41,500+
Invalidation: Clean break and close below 38,750
This setup presents a potential “buy the dip” opportunity, assuming bullish momentum holds after the retest.
DAX Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025- DAX broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 22500.00
DAX index is under the bullish pressure after it broke the resistance area between resistance level 21500.00 (top of the previous correction A) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward ABC wave (2) from March.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave (3) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily uptrend, DAX index can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 22500.00 (which stopped wave B of the earlier ABC wave (2)).
BankNifty level - Apr 25, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty Spot Daily Trend Analysis from April 25, 2025Technical Outlook:
Nifty Spot is approaching a potential resistance near the Gann 720° level at 24,539. A minor correction appears likely, and we are currently awaiting short signal confirmation from one of our proprietary indicators. Should a decline occur, the index may find support around the Sine Wave level of 23,398. A break below this level could suggest a continuation of the bearish momentum.
At present, most indicators are still trending upwards. However, the bar formations on the chart hint at a possible reversal. Once the MastersSignal confirms a short setup, we will reassess confluence around the Gann 720° value to strengthen conviction.
Disclaimer: This is my personal technical view. Traders should conduct their own analysis and implement strict risk management before initiating any trades.
Chinese Fear Head & Shoulders Pattern.Oh no! China's stock market is showing signs of a downturn!
The dreaded "head and shoulders" pattern is emerging, buyer volume is plummeting, and despondent sellers are circling like sharks!
Brace yourselves as the market takes a nosedive, plunging below the 1.13 Fibonacci level!
Get ready for some potential turbulence!
NIFTY 50 KEY LEVELS FOR 25/04/2025// The core idea behind this indicator was sparked by a simple but powerful clue:
// 👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
// From that point onward, everything—the logic, calculation method, and application—has been developed independently through my own analysis and experience.
// I am not a seller, and no one taught me this system. This method is a result of my own effort and refinement.
///////////////////// Explanation /////////////////////
// This trading system is designed to eliminate blind trades by offering confirmation-based entry and exit points.
///////////////////// Entry/Exit Strategy /////////////////////
// - Use the BLACK line for long trades, and the RED line for short trades, in line with confirmation from your trading plan.
// - Stop Loss:
// - For long trades: below the RED line.
// - For short trades: above the BLACK line.
// - Take Profit:
// - For long trades: target the next RED line above.
// - For short trades: target the next BLACK line below.
///////////////////// Recommended Timeframe /////////////////////
// Use on a 15-minute chart for best results.
///////////////////// Disclaimer /////////////////////
// This setup is shared purely for educational purposes.
// I am not responsible for any gains or losses that may result from its use.
// Always use your own judgment and risk management.
S&P500 INTRADAY resistance at 5510Stocks are pulling back after Wednesday’s rally, pressured by renewed trade tensions. China stated that no deal talks are underway, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed scepticism over resolving the trade dispute. US futures slipped, the dollar weakened, and gold rose as investors sought safety.
Jefferies strategist Christopher Wood warned that US equities, Treasuries, and the dollar may face further downside, noting the market has likely peaked. Deutsche Bank also trimmed its S&P 500 target, citing the negative impact of ongoing tariffs on US companies.
It’s a packed earnings day: PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble, and American Airlines report before the open, while Alphabet and Intel are set to release results after the close.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5510
Resistance Level 2: 5660
Resistance Level 3: 5790
Support Level 1: 5110
Support Level 2: 4950
Support Level 3: 4815
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones INTRADAY capped at 40954Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40954
Resistance Level 2: 41510
Resistance Level 3: 42216
Support Level 1: 39600
Support Level 2: 38534
Support Level 3: 37832
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Liquidity GrabGreetings Traders!
As we transition into the New York session, increased market volatility is expected. Currently, NAS100USD is showing signs of potential further bearish continuation. This outlook is supported by a draw on liquidity toward downside liquidity pools and a notable inefficiency—an unfilled gap left earlier in the week.
Key Observations:
1. Unfilled Gap – A Draw on Liquidity:
The market has left behind an inefficiency in the form of a price gap, which typically acts as a magnet for price. Although such inefficiencies are not always filled immediately, they often become targets for future price movement as the market seeks balance.
2. Reclaimed Order Block Breach – Engineered Liquidity:
Price has recently broken below a reclaimed order block that was serving as a temporary resistance zone. This indicates that the market was hunting for liquidity at a relatively premium price—above a key resistance level. The presence of relatively equal highs in this area further supports the notion that this was an engineered liquidity zone.
Engineered liquidity refers to zones designed by smart money to entice retail participation. Once sufficient liquidity is gathered, institutions then drive price through these zones to execute large sell orders at a premium.
3. Downside Targets – Liquidity Pools and Gaps:
With resistance now confirmed as engineered liquidity, smart money is likely to shift focus to the downside. Key targets include liquidity pools at lower price levels and the aforementioned inefficiency, which represents an area of fair value—ideal for profit-taking and potential continuation of institutional selling.
Trading Strategy:
Monitor price for confirmation within any short-term retracements. Selling opportunities aligned with institutional intent may present themselves as price gravitates toward the inefficiency and deeper liquidity zones.
Stay focused, remain patient, and ensure all trades align with your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
DAX: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 21,899.19 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 21,455.49..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 24, 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 24, 2025 🔴
Inside Bar Alert—Calm Before the Storm?
📊 Market Recap:
Nifty opened at 24,284, marking a Gap Down of 51 points (-0.21%) from the previous close. The day began on a surprisingly calm note, but that didn’t last long. Within just 15 minutes, Nifty spiked over 100 points, rushing toward PDH (Previous Day’s High)—only to reverse sharply in the next 15 minutes and create a new intraday low.
📉 This wild back-and-forth action in the first hour was nothing short of a nightmare for intraday traders—especially those trying to catch a trend early. If anything, scalpers might’ve had the best time, capitalizing on the swift movements in both directions.
For the remainder of the session, Nifty oscillated within the CPR zone, with a few false breakout candles that quickly retraced. The structure remained range-bound, indecisive, and tricky to navigate.
📅 Expiry Day Check: Deja Vu, Minus the Volatility
If we set aside the unusually directional move of April 17th expiry, today looked like a textbook expiry day, much like the past 10 before it:
Movement hugging VWAP
Small false breakouts on either side
No follow-through
Today’s range: 132 points
Avg range of last 10 expiries: 192 points
This time, however, the volatility was muted, despite early session fireworks.
🕯 Daily Candle Structure: Inside Bar + Shooting Star
On the Daily chart, today’s price action has formed a bearish Shooting Star–like candle, but here’s the kicker—it’s also an Inside Bar setup.
📌 What’s an Inside Bar?
An Inside Bar pattern occurs when today’s high and low are completely within yesterday’s range (the “mother bar”). This signals consolidation or indecision, and often precedes a strong breakout.
📖 How to trade it?
Wait for a decisive breakout above the mother bar high or below the mother bar low. Add confirmation with volume surge to gauge the strength of the breakout.
👉 Remember: The Inside Bar doesn’t predict direction—it just tells you a move is brewing.
📌 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 328.34
IB Range: 108.40 (Small IB)
Market Structure: Balanced
🎯 Trade Highlights:
No Trade Opportunity Presented — The structure didn’t offer any valid setups within strategy rules.
🧠 Index Performance Snapshot:
Nifty 50: -82 Points (-0.34%)
Bank Nifty: -168.65 Points (-0.30%)
Nifty 500: -57 Points (-0.26%)
Midcap: -71 Points (-0.13%)
Smallcap: -6 Points (-0.04%)
📌 Key Levels to Watch
📍 Resistance Zones:
24,330 ~ 24,360
24,480 ~ 24,540
24,800
📍 Support Zones:
24,190 ~ 24,225
23,950 ~ 24,000 (Immediate)
23,820
23,660 ~ 23,710
23,500
23,400 ~ 23,430
23,200 ~ 23,190
🧭 Final Thoughts:
"Inside Bars are like market whispers—subtle, quiet, but worth listening to. The next breakout might just surprise you."
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Option Insights – Trading the Greeks (Part 1 of 4): Delta Target# Option Insights – Trading the Greeks (Part 1 of 4)
## Delta Targeting
Options are often utilized by traders as a leveraged tool, akin to generating lottery tickets. By selecting the appropriate expiration time and strike price, it's possible to achieve significant leverage on an underlying asset, potentially yielding high profits in percentage terms, albeit with a low probability of occurrence.
However, trading options offers more than just directional bets on the underlying asset. Due to their dependence on various factors with distinct characteristics, option strategies enable flexible exposure management and innovative risk profiles.
To fully exploit the potential of options, risk factors are quantified using the **Greeks** – Greek letters (not all of them) that assess the sensitivity of option prices to changes in different risk factors ("primary Greeks") or second-order effects ("secondary Greeks").
### Primary Greeks:
- **Delta** – sensitivity to changes in the underlying price
- **Theta** – sensitivity to changes in time
- **Vega** – sensitivity to changes in implied volatility
- **Rho** – sensitivity to changes in interest rates
### Secondary Greeks:
- **Gamma** – rate of change of Delta with respect to the underlying
- **Vanna** – rate of change of Delta with respect to implied volatility
- **Charm** – rate of change of Delta with respect to time
- **Volga** – rate of change of Vega with respect to implied volatility
For trading purposes, **Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega** are the most critical Greeks.\
They are depicted in the introductory graphs for Call Options, showing their behavior as a function of the underlying price across various levels of implied volatility.
*(Graphs not shown here — you can add screenshots as image uploads if needed.)*
---
## Trading the Greeks: Delta
The art of trading options is fundamentally the art of managing an option portfolio by **trading the Greeks**. For short-term options (from same-day expiration, or 0DTE, up to about three months), **Delta** is the dominant risk factor. The influence of other Greeks is limited to a narrow range around the strike price — this range becomes even narrower as expiration approaches.
When managing an options position, **controlling Delta is the first and most critical step**.
- Delta values range from 0% to 100% for long calls and short puts
- From -100% to 0% for long puts and short calls
- Delta represents the participation rate of an option in the underlying asset’s price movement
Example:\
If an option has a Delta of 40% and the underlying asset moves by 10 points, the option’s price will typically move by approximately 4 points in the same direction.
Delta can also be loosely interpreted as the **implied probability** that the option will expire in the money — though this is only an approximation.
---
## Delta-Neutral Strategy
The most common Delta-targeting strategy is the **Delta-neutral strategy**.
It aims to hedge the Delta of an options position by taking an **offsetting position in a Delta-1 instrument**. These instruments replicate the price movements of the underlying asset (e.g., the underlying itself, ETFs, futures, or CFDs).
### Example:
- If an options position has a Delta of 40% and a notional exposure of 100 units
- → Take a short position in 40 units of the underlying (or equivalent Delta-1 instrument)
But:\
Delta is **not constant** — it evolves over time (**Charm**), with price changes (**Gamma**), and with changes in implied volatility (**Vanna**).\
This means the hedge must be **adjusted regularly** to maintain Delta neutrality.
Adjustments are typically:
- Made at discrete intervals (e.g., daily)
- Or when Delta changes by a set amount (e.g., more than 5%)
---
## Delta Target Strategy (More General)
The Delta-neutral strategy is a **specific case** of a broader **Delta target strategy**, where the Delta target is explicitly set to zero.
### Who uses Delta target strategies?
- Option **market makers** to hedge inventory
- Traders aiming to **isolate other risk factors** (e.g., volatility premium strategies like short strangles)
These traders seek to:
> **Capture the volatility premium** — the difference between implied volatility at entry and realized volatility after
Delta target strategies with **non-zero targets** are used for managing portfolio-level risk when options are used alongside other instruments.
---
## Why Adjust Delta Target Strategies?
The main reasons for adjusting:
- **Gamma (convexity)**: Delta changes as the underlying moves
- **Time decay**:
- For OTM options: Delta decreases (calls), increases (puts)
- For ITM options: Opposite behavior
- **Changes in implied volatility or skew**: also affect Delta
---
## Coming Up Next:
📘 *Part 2: The Concept of Convexity and the Role of Gamma in Managing Delta Target Strategies*
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How important is the time frame when you investWe’ve been discussing the possibility of a recession in the US for some time now, along with tariffs and the impact of Trump’s policies. This has led to declines of up to 25% in the US NASDAQ index, sparking panic among many investors. When investing for the long term, it’s important to be aware of where we are within the same time frame as our investment horizon—a 25% drop in the short term doesn’t necessarily have to be a concern for long-term investors.
In this case, we can see that the NASDAQ has established a massive uptrend over the years. As long as the main trend levels remain intact, we can’t even say the market is moving sideways. The market has provided one of the best opportunities to enter the NASDAQ, bouncing right off previous highs and demonstrating the strength of the trend.
By buying in the previous highs or near the long term trendline, means a very low risk with returns up to 30%.