Could the price rise from here?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 43,908.34
1st Support: 43,228.22
1st Resistance: 44,759.62
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Market indices
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 17thIn the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty moved with ups and downs. Structurally, the sentiment still remains the same.
Even if the market opens with a gap-up, we can expect some rejection near immediate resistance.
So, my expectation is that the market may behave similarly to the previous session.
If it starts with a pullback, we may see rejection afterward.
On the other hand, if it starts with a decline, we can expect a pullback later.
The key point to note is that clear directional moves are likely only if a strong candle forms after consolidation.
Nifty levels - Jul 18, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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If Mother Line Support will hold, we might see a C&H formation. Although we saw a negative closing today, the chart suggests that if Mother line support will hold we might see a reversal and a Cup and Handle Formation in the near future. Cup and Handle formation is a great pattern which can help us reach the previous high and surpass it. If it happens or not only time can tell.
Supports For Nifty right now remain at: 25035, 24930 (Important Mother Line Support of Daily chart), 24759 and 24503. If 24503 is broken then there will be overall weakness in the market and we can see Nifty plummeting to 24097 (Father Line Support of Daily chart). Just below 24907 there will also be the mid channel support of 23929. (Just in case we reach there).
Resistances For Nifty Remain at: 25248, 25400, 25613 and 25915 seems to be the channel top as of now.
Nifty is delicately placed and the support of 24930 and Resistance of 25248 are the key levels to be watched. Above 25248 Bulls become strong. Below 24930 Bears become strong. Right now we are in no man's land with shadow of the candle slightly negative. If we see a bounce tomorrow or from the Mother line the shadow will has potential to turn positive later in the day tomorrow or next week.
Short term Outlook: Neutral to negative.
Medium Term Outlook: Neutral to Positive.
Long Term Outlook: Positive.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
BankNifty levels - Jul 18, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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NAS 100 Potential PullbackHi there,
NAS100 has the potential to drop as it keeps testing the resistance zone in the range of 23100. This looks more like bull exhaustion than a reversal. The 22695.50 is the target for a bias of 22499.12
The overall bigger trend is bullish, with price highs aiming as far as 23717.44, 24837.28, and 26222.31, making this a potentially massive bullish trend, and it will take time to reach those highs.
Happy Trading, 🌟
K.
DXY Outlook: Bullish Move Fueled by Fundamentals & GeopoliticsTechnical Analysis (4H Chart & Broader Context) 📈🕓
The DXY 4H chart shows a clear bullish trend 🚀, with higher highs and higher lows since early July. DXY has caught a strong bid, breaking above short-term resistance near 98.40 and now eyeing the previous swing high 🎯. This matches the consensus among analysts: DXY remains in a bullish structure, with momentum supported by both technicals and macro factors.
Key resistance: Next upside target is the previous high (around 99.60 on the chart), with further resistance at the psychological 100 level 🏁.
Support: Immediate support at 98.20, then 97.60 🛡️.
Momentum: Strong bullish candles and no major bearish reversal signals on the 4H. Some analysts note positioning is stretched, so a short-term pullback or consolidation is possible before more upside (IG).
Fundamental Analysis 💹🌍
Why is DXY rallying?
Fed Policy & US Data: The US economy is resilient 💪, with robust services data, strong retail sales, and a recent uptick in core inflation. The Fed is less dovish, with markets now expecting a slower pace of rate cuts 🏦.
Interest Rate Differentials: The US keeps a yield advantage as the Fed is less aggressive in cutting rates compared to the ECB and BoJ, especially with Europe and Japan facing weaker growth and possible further easing 🌐.
Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing trade tensions (Trump’s tariff threats) and global uncertainty (including Middle East risks) are driving safe-haven flows into the dollar 🛡️🌏. DXY typically strengthens during periods of geopolitical stress.
Positioning: CFTC data shows USD long positioning at multi-month highs, which could mean the market is crowded and vulnerable to short-term corrections ⚠️ (IG).
Trade Idea (Bullish Bias, Targeting Previous High) 💡💵
Setup:
Bias: Bullish, in line with the prevailing trend and macro backdrop 🟢.
Entry: Consider buying on a minor pullback to the 98.20–98.40 support zone, or on a confirmed breakout above the recent high 🛒.
Target: Previous swing high near 99.60, with a stretch target at 100.00 🎯.
Stop: Below 97.60 (recent swing low/support) ⛔.
Risk Factors:
Overbought positioning could trigger a short-term pullback ⚠️.
Any dovish surprise from the Fed or rapid de-escalation in global tensions could cap further gains 🕊️.
In summary: The DXY’s bullish trend is underpinned by resilient US data, a hawkish Fed, and global risk aversion. Your bullish bias is well-supported, with the previous high as a logical target. Watch for short-term pullbacks, but the broader trend remains up unless key support is lost. 🚦
AUS200/ASX200 - ANOTHER DAY TO MAKE THEM PAYTeam, we have successfully SHORT AUS200 last week and kill them with our ACTIVE TRADER COMMUNITY.
Time to have another short at this current price level 8609-8626 ranges
DO NOT FEAR - DOUBLE THE SHORT AT 8642-56 - KILL them
Our first target range at 8586-72 - take 60% profit and bring stop loss to BE
2nd target at 8562-45
NOTE: Next week, we expect the market to be volatile, so be careful with your trade.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/07/2025Opening Expectation: Slight Gap-Up Around 25200
Nifty is likely to open slightly gap-up near the 25200 level, showing early signs of strength. If the index manages to sustain above the 25250 level, we may see a continuation of the upward momentum with targets around 25350, 25400, and 25450+. This zone marks the upper resistance, and a breakout with strong volume could push prices into a bullish trend for the session.
On the other hand, if Nifty faces rejection around 25250–25200 and begins to slide, a short opportunity opens up with downside targets at 25150, 25100, and 25050. Sustained weakness below these levels could intensify selling pressure. However, in case the index reverses and bounces from the 25050–25100 zone, a quick intraday long trade can be considered toward 25150, 25200, and 25250+.
Today’s bias remains slightly positive, but the session may remain volatile between key levels. Traders should focus on price action around the 25250 resistance and use trailing stop losses with strict risk control.
Dont predict&anticipate the market - ask indicators for hints! Hello everyone! how was the HSI trade so far?
Apologies for not updating as I was allowing myself to take a pause journaling my trade also to pay attention on my own personal growth journey. However, am continue to trade HSI in sustainable and profitable way and have had trying and test using different combination of indicators that bring quite positive results since.
Sharing this with anyone that reading this.
Please note that this is just for my own experiences and please DYODD.
For Swing Trade Test: (some steps to consider for entry set up - setting your time frame)
E.g using 1H Chart - 14Jul2025 23:00
MACD - entering the above zero line - it breaks above zero level on the next candle. Turned bullish confirmation.
Using Ichimoku Cloud for trend confirmation.
Once the MA9>MA26 the blue line crosses above red line (circled in white). This is a bullish confirmation and it is trading above green cloud.
You may pay attention to set your entry point.
Set Up : on the next candle open - you may open Long position - 24204.90 Set SL with R/R Ratio 1:1 or 1:1.1-1.25 (or in accordance to your risk appetite or carry out backtest and to be realistic)
Taking Profit : You may pay attention to be more aggressive to TP only when the MACD is forming DeadCross i.e 16Jul2025 11:00 (using the same timeframe chart).
For the reversed side it's the same methodology. But it's recommended to Short if and only if when the candles are closed below cloud + MACD is on the bearish zone.
So, in this case, I will not open short position as it's not the normal underlying HSI trading hour, so we wait till the underlying normal trading hour commence.
Today HK50 PEPPERSTONE:HK50 open at 24567, you may decide if you would to short and setting SL and TP.
From chart, you may open short position with R/R : 1.1.1 (TP : 24:400; SL : 24772) Entry: 24596 (the next hour candle at 10:00, of course you may cross check with shorter time frame to 'catch the high' 😂)
Trade for profit requires persistency and consistence.
There is quite a wide range to trade in between the movement.
Buy into Support Sell at resistance.
Set your TP/SL & protect your capital.
at point of writing ✍️: the Index uptrend mode is on track.
currently on D Chart -
🗝️ Resistance Level : 24600-24700
🗝️ Support Level : 24370-24400
🗝️ Strong Support Level : 24030-24300
Higher Hi🚩point marked in Chart
21May2025 -23909
11June2025 -24430
25June2025 -24531
16Jul2025 - 24842
?? ??2025 - 25907 Target
Opinion: continue Bullish and shall breaks the recent Hi of 24900 and target could break 25200-25750 pretty soon (the Gravity Line upper band).
The Index is now on the intermediate bullish trend (not far off from Gravity line and not yet touch the Gravity Upper band or beyond for D chart) - Shall publish this indicator.
From previous posts:-
W Chart:- HSI continues its Bullish mode with strong pullback! Recovery could expected to see in end Jun - early Jul'25.
14Jul2025 -
at point of writing ✍️:
Perhaps it shouldn't been said as recovery but continue the uptrend.
As we can notice from the latest chart it seems to continue its uptrend momentum even MACD have had curving down after deadcross formed 12May25.
The MACD signal line staying above zero level.
Continue the Long call for HSI with the forecast and repetitive of history the next 4-6 weeks might be a good profit to hold Long position.
🚨However, please take note that the index is moving beyond the Gravity upper brand on W chart which we should monitor closely to TP and enter again for healthy retracement.
🎯 Reminder: For long term (6-18 months) continue to accumulate China & HKG for the potential upside for the year! All retracement is a good entry point. Again, everything is impermanence. Manage your risk, position sizing. Take only the risk that you can afford.
For HSI HSI:HSI
Recent Hi : 16Jul2025 - 24867.81 (trying to test the resistance at 19March2025@24874)- this ¬6.58pts seems took quite a while to break. Let's be patience.
🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone.
Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets.
If you don't know how or where, you may ask Deepseek/Chatgpt for most reputable Trading courses nearest to you.
Let's follow your own zentradingstrategy , continue to trade; a strategy is a raft—cross the river, but do not carry it on your back forever — Stay flexible. No method is permanent. Adapt, let go, grow.
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[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/07/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open slightly gap-up near the 57100 zone. This level is a key intraday pivot. If the index sustains above 57100, it could trigger upward momentum toward the next resistance levels at 57250, 57350, and potentially 57450+. A move beyond 57550 will likely strengthen the bullish sentiment and may stretch the rally further toward 57750, 57850, and 57950+.
On the downside, if Bank Nifty fails to hold 57050–57100 and slips below 56950–56900, it may invite selling pressure, with potential downside targets at 56750, 56650, and 56550. This zone acts as short-term support, and failure to hold here could lead to further weakness.
Overall, Bank Nifty is currently in a range with bullish bias above 57100.
DXY: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 98.243 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 98.078..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NASDAQ 100: AI Momentum and Resilient Earnings Drive New HighsThe NASDAQ 100 continues its strong uptrend 📈, recently breaking to new highs after a period of consolidation. The rally is broad-based but remains led by heavyweight tech names and AI-related stocks 🤖.
Key Fundamental Drivers:
AI & Tech Growth 🤖💡: The biggest catalyst is the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence and digital transformation. Companies in the index, especially the “Magnificent Seven” (like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple), are seeing robust earnings growth and strong investor demand for AI exposure. Global IT spending is projected to grow by over 9% in 2025, with AI spending up nearly 30% year-on-year.
Earnings Resilience 💪💰: Despite high interest rates and inflation, tech companies have adapted well, maintaining strong margins and growth. The sector is expected to remain a top performer through 2025.
Fed Policy & Rate Expectations 🏦🔮: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pause or even cuts in US interest rates later in 2025, which is bullish for growth stocks and tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ 100.
Geopolitical & Macro Factors:
Reduced Uncertainty 🌏🕊️: The market has absorbed major geopolitical shocks (such as the Israel-Iran conflict and US-China trade tensions), and the resolution or de-escalation of these risks has reduced uncertainty, supporting risk assets.
US Election & Policy 🇺🇸🗳️: The outcome of the US election and expectations for stable or pro-business policies have also contributed to positive sentiment.
Global Supply Chains & Resilience 🌐🔗: While some risks remain (e.g., cyber threats, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions), the tech sector’s global reach and adaptability have helped it weather these challenges.
Why is it rallying now?
AI optimism and strong tech earnings are the main drivers 🤖💹.
Expectations of easier Fed policy and a resilient US economy are fueling risk appetite 🏦📈.
Geopolitical risks have eased or are being priced in, allowing investors to focus on growth 🌍🕊️.
Summary:
The NASDAQ 100’s rally is powered by AI-driven tech growth 🤖, resilient earnings 💪, and easing macro/geopolitical risks 🌏. The index remains a global leader as investors bet on the next wave of technology and digital innovation 🚀.
Analysis on SET INDEX: Time to BetHey yo,
Today, SET index create the very strong rejection bar.
As a result, the overall momentum become upward despite being downtrend.
As i analyzed down into the smaller timeframe,
I think how they would behave can be decided into 2 cases.
First, can stay above 1095, it would likely hit the 1140 target. if broken, next target 1193
Second, cannot stay above 1095, it would go back to create sub-second leg around 1065.
Then if can hold at the level, it would go to 1140 too.
This is personal opinion. Dont take it too serious.
Best Regards,
TraderPP,
Dow Jones H1 | Approaching a pullback resistanceThe Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 44,308.44 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 44,450.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 44,074.17 which is a swing-low support.
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US Dollar Index (DXY) - 4 Hour Chart4-hour performance of the US Dollar Index (DXY) from CAPITALCOM, showing a current value of 98.040 with a 0.23% increase (+0.222). The chart includes recent buy and sell signals at 98.094 and 98.040, respectively, with a highlighted resistance zone around 98.706-99.000 and a support zone around 97.291-98.040. The timeframe covers data from early July to mid-August 2025.