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Risk-on Risk-off Market Snapshot, 01/11/2024The market has shifted to a clear risk-off sentiment, with investors moving into safe-haven assets amid mounting global uncertainties. Safe havens like the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and gold are experiencing increased demand, reflecting heightened caution. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, are driving this shift, while recent central bank statements signal a focus on economic stability rather than aggressive growth. Equities and riskier assets, including high-yield currencies and speculative investments, are seeing reduced interest as investors prioritize stability and capital preservation in this more conservative market climate​ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by AfreeBit
2024-10-31 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - October is behind us and markets closed at the monthly lows. Clear sell signal going into November, since this is an amazing bear breakout. Markets are now in search for a intermediate bottom to form a proper channel. Most markets are also at bigger support and we can expect some more sideways to up movement before we get another impulse. That does not mean we can’t print another huge down day on Friday and have the pullback next week. dax xetra comment: Monthly chart shows a rejection at the top of multiple patterns and odds favor more downside over the next 1-2 months to have something of a pullback in this bubble. Weekly 20ema is around 18800, so only 200 points lower, which is reasonable to hit over the next days but we can’t expect that ema to be broken too easily. My rough target for November is 18000-18500. Daily chart shows huge bear gap bars and market needs some sideways to up movement soon. current market cycle: trading range - bull trend is over. key levels: 18900 - 19400 bull case: Bulls running for the exits and want to take profits before they are gone. 19000 is a decent target for market to take a breather and move sideways to up. Targets for bulls are gap close to 19270, which is also the daily 20ema. 19400 is far but could happend. I can’t imagine anything above that for now. 18900 has to hold, otherwise we see a flush down to ~18340, which is the 50% pullback. Invalidation is below 19000. bear case: Bears are in full control of the market after 3 huge selling days. Volume is increasing and xetra has not touched the 1h 20ema since Tuesday. Bears can view this leg down as w1, which already had 3 nested legs down (1 per last 3 days). Some pullback and sideways movement is expected. If bears can keep this below 19300, that would show strength and w3 would accelerate down in that case, since bulls had no better relief. Next target is 18900 and below that is 18800 (weekly 20ema), below that is nothing until 18400. Invalidation is above 19300. short term: Bearish but more cautious and only selling pullbacks again. 18900/19000 should be bigger support. Expecting two more legs down in November, rough target is 18000. medium-long term: Will update this over the weekend. current swing trade: None trade of the day: ~19170 was rejected many times and bears had enough chances to get on the short train. 19000 was obvious support and one should have covered there.
XETR:DAXShort
by priceactiontds
FIIs continue to weigh in on Nifty Index. Unblemished sell off from FIIs has dampened the festive mood of investors in the Indian markets. Looks like there was not much support for DIIs today as Retails investors might be busy with Diwali festival so FIIs today had a clear upper hand. There are signs of bottom formation and Higher high higher low pattern is formed on Nifty. Unless we have a closing below 24172 or 24069 levels, I think the things will hold. If we get a closing below 24K bears and FIIs can push Nifty further down to 23.8K or 23.2K levels. Thus supports for Nifty are at 24172, 24142 and 24069 levels. Resistances for Nifty remains at 24242, 24370, 24395, 24505, 24601, 24702 and finally 24811 levels. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
DOW JONES: Bottom of the Channel Up.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.00, MACD = 51.000, ADX = 21.000) as it almost hit the bottom of the Channel Up pattern. It is about to form a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe, which will be the first since August 8th that was technically the bottom of July's correction and start of the current Channel Up. We expect the bottom to be priced either today or tomorrow and the RR is good enough to buy. We aim for the 1.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 44,000), which priced the previous two HH. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
1
MY NAS100 LONG IDEA 31/10/2024Direction: Long SL: 1950-1966 Indicators: 1. MA (20,50,100,200) 2. Trendline - Algo 3. Support and Resistance 4. Fib Level 5. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools Technical: 1. MA 20 still above 100 and 200 so I believe we still have room for bull run. 2. Red trendline was broken so we have a price drop but I also see a possibility for the price to and breakthrough the green trendline. 3. Price is dropping to a Support zone and I have a confirmation on Tradingcentral tool on MT5. 4. FIB level at golden zone. 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE but price is bouncing off of the support area at the moment. Fundamental and economic: 1. US economic data is looking good we had a bunch of data that negatively impacted the prices but I think these are good retracement opportunities. 2. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of 5 "bullish" on Nasdaq. 3. We are in Q4 and usually this is where we find good setups for long run.
NLong
by stingotho
2
Wave 4 nearing the end 5703 to 5696 wave 5 5935 plusThe chart posted is the cash sp 500 .I sold longs the other day small gain then moved to a 90 to 100 long puts in the money and sold for a nice gain at 4;15 pm as the min abc down was formed . since then we broke hard the timing from july 16 called for a top and drop . so now what is that the TOP TOP I have an issue with it as it was a low bull sediment and A high short term put.call I see this decline as wave ABC down for wave 4 and should hold 5703 to 5696 and then Turn up We are how ever being held back until the new moon at 8.47 am We should see a very strong move in the direction up to see a print min target 5935 to as high as 6118 with 6012 as the most likely price I will how ever be selling LONGs at 5921 and up and buying in the money puts at these prices . Best of trades WAVETIMER 2024 was a great year again $$$ 43 winning trades flat 8 loss 9
TVC:SPX
by wavetimer
1
Bearish US30 Butterfly Pattern Understanding the Pullback of US30 Butterfly Pattern In the world of trading, understanding different chart patterns is crucial for making informed decisions. One such pattern is the butterfly pattern, which is currently evident in the US30 market. Traders have observed a pullback in the US30 butterfly pattern from level 1.276 to a lower level. This pullback indicates a potential shift in market momentum, prompting traders to re-evaluate their positions and consider new trading strategies. The possible target of the seller butterfly is at the level 1 Fibonacci, which serves as a key support and resistance level. Traders should closely monitor the price action around this level to gauge the strength of the selling/buying pressure and assess the potential for downward/upward trend.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by SEYED98
1
SPx / Critical Levels to Watch for Bullish or Bearish MomentumS&P 500 Index Technical Analysis: To initiate a downside move, the price needs to stabilize below 5,863. However, any quick break above 5,863 would likely propel the price towards 5,891. Bearish Scenario: Stability below 5,863 would open the path to 5,824 and 5,803. A 4-hour candle close below 5,781 would activate a stronger bearish zone, allowing for further declines. Bullish Scenario: A successful breakout above 5,863 would signal potential for a move to 5,891. A further break above 5,891 would confirm the bullish trend, with an extended target of 5,939. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5863 Resistance Levels: 5891, 5939 Support Levels: 5824, 5803, 5781 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5863 Bullish above 5863 and 5891
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 / Key Levels for Breakout from Consolidation ZoneUS30 Technical Analysis Following the retest at 42,450, the price has dropped approximately 500 points as anticipated. Currently, US30 is expected to consolidate between 41,970 and 42,130 until a breakout occurs. Bearish Scenario: The price needs to break 41960 and stabilize under it to continue the bearish side toward 41740 and 41560 Bullish scenario: any breaking above 42130 will support the bullish trend to get 42290 and 42450 Key Levels: Pivot Point: 41970 Resistance Levels: 42130, 42290, 42450 Support Levels: 41750, 41560, 41350 Trend Outlook: - Bearish by stability below 41970 - Bullish by stability above 42130 - Consolidation 41970 and 42130
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
"US100 Bearish Bat Pattern Signals Potential Trend ReversalIn the US100 market, a Bearish Bat pattern has formed, signaling a potential trend reversal. This harmonic pattern typically suggests that an upward trend may be losing momentum, opening up the possibility of a downturn. The Bearish Bat consists of four legs labeled as X-A, A-B, B-C, and C-D, where each segment aligns with specific Fibonacci retracement and extension levels. When the D point completes near the 88.6% retracement of the X-A leg, it acts as a potential reversal zone (PRZ), indicating that sellers may enter the market, leading to a bearish shift in price. Traders often watch for confirmation at this PRZ to initiate short positions, setting stop losses just beyond point D.
UShort
by iphtikhar
2
NQ is losing momentun and going redHello traders, As you can see The Nasdaq is starting to lose momentum after being bullish for several days. This is because NQ came back from strong levels, the daily 20.790 and the weekly 20.296. From a 1H chart point of view, the price made a beautiful pull back on the weekly getting strong momentum then was rejected downward looking for the next daily level of 19.973 giving us a beautiful short trade. If price hit the daily level and gets rejected, look for a pullback then go long searching the next daily level 20.144. But if price breaks the daily 19.973, wait for a pull back then go short searching the next weekly 19.760. Good luck everyone and Happy trading!
NShort
by YMtradingsystem