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POWER OF MAJOR INDICES...TAKE EMOTIONS OUTHello hello TradingView community! JosePips here just wanted to create a video for you guys on the power of the major indices and how we can use them as a compass and gauge for our trading overall and use it as a compass to tell us the direction of the market and be able to help us digest which opportunities are in the markets for us! They are a very powerful tool to use as confluence whether you are trading stocks, currencies, futures etc. so be able to use to gauge where the market is at and help us decide which market opportunities are best for us to take and where the probability is highest for us to trade. Which as traders...probability is the name of the game! Hope you guys get some nuggets from this and as always have a blessed rest of your week! Cheers!
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by JosePips
US Dollar Weakens: Hedge Funds Shift to Short PositionsThe U.S. dollar, long considered a bastion of stability, is facing a significant shift in sentiment as hedge funds begin to adopt a bearish stance. This reversal, marking a notable change since the period following Donald Trump's election, is driven by a complex interplay of economic uncertainties and evolving market expectations. Factors Driving the Bearish Turn: • Shifting Federal Reserve Expectations: o A key driver of this bearish sentiment is the evolving outlook on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Initially, expectations of a strong dollar were bolstered by projections of limited Fed rate cuts. However, growing concerns about the fragility of the U.S. economy have led to increased expectations of multiple rate reductions. This shift in expectations weakens the dollar's appeal. • Economic Uncertainty and Trade Policies: o Concerns surrounding potential trade wars and the impact of certain economic policies are also weighing on the dollar. Uncertainty about future trade relations and their potential impact on U.S. economic growth is creating apprehension among hedge fund managers. o The impacts of possible public sector job cuts, and restrictive immigration policies, are also adding to the economic uncertainty. • Data from the CFTC: o Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reveals a clear trend. Speculative traders have moved from holding significant long-dollar positions to net short positions, indicating a substantial shift in market sentiment. • Global Economic Factors: o The relative strength of other global economies also plays a role. If other global economies are showing signs of stronger growth, that can also put downward pressure on the dollar. Implications of a Weaker Dollar: • Impact on Global Trade: o A weaker dollar can have significant implications for global trade, potentially making U.S. exports more competitive while increasing the cost of imports. • Inflationary Pressures: o A depreciating dollar can also contribute to inflationary pressures within the U.S. as import prices rise. • Investment Flows: o Changes in the dollar's value can influence international investment flows, as investors adjust their portfolios in response to currency fluctuations. Market Analysis: • Analysts are closely monitoring these developments, with some revising their dollar forecasts downward. The shift in hedge fund positioning underscores the growing uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economic outlook. • It is important to understand that the currency markets are very dynamic, and things can change rapidly. • The effects of political events, and world wide economic changes can have very large effects on the dollar. In essence, the shift in hedge fund sentiment reflects a growing recognition of the complex economic challenges facing the U.S. As these challenges unfold, the dollar's trajectory will remain a key focus for investors and policymakers alike.
TVC:DXY
by bryandowningqln
NASDAQ 100 INDEX BREAKDOWN FROM A 100% TECHNICAL VIEWPOINTHello everybody JosePips here hope you are all having an amazing week so far! I wanted to come on here and make a post for the Nasdaq 100 index from a 100% technical analysis perspective. There has been SO MUCH talk around the stock market and the indices lately (frankly mostly emotional) & I wanted to come on here and share my outlook and the technical outlook for you guys so you can actually gain some insight not from an emotional perspective but from a technical/subjective viewpoint. Hope you guys enjoy this video and find some value in it and can use it in your trading & investing. Please boost this post and comment if you enjoy and see you in the next one! Cheers!
FX:NAS100Long
by JosePips
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway. I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain: Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted) Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist) I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
SP:SPXShort
by merchtank19
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (The Return)After my 1 month ban from tradingview I am resuming my commentary on my eternal bullish stance for the NAS100. Despite my absence, my strategy has not changed and will remain so until the Monthly starts creating LH's to LL's. With that being said here is my current outlook on the NAS100: 1. Weekly currently at HL 2. H7 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session 3. H1 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session. What does this mean for me? Well, since I am taking my HL's and exiting on my HH's (trend move), I am aware that today's move only produced a daily LH and as such signals continued consolidation on the lower to mid hour timeframes...This allowed me to TP at the end of today's session and now I have to wait for the retracement to be over and the new lows completed so that I can enter on the next round of HL's on my larger timeframes. As I have always mentioned, to understand this requires constant practice, consistency and patience...so give yourself time and do not rush. Any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to produce the HL on the larger timeframes...Case in point... 4 weeks worth of selling on the H1 only managed to create a HL on the weekly timeframe...leaving the market still in trend for the HLs to another ATH in the future. Have a great week. #oneauberstrategy #auberstrategy #whywewait #zigzagtheory #patience #aubersystem
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
USD INDEXPrice is currently in wave 4 of C, with the correction likely ending around 101.500. Expect a rebound towards 105.20 before the downtrend continues. From there, we should see a resumption of the bearish momentum, pushing price towards the 101.500 level. Keep an eye on price action around 101.500 for confirmation of the Wave 5 completion. A strong bullish candle or a break above a minor resistance level in that area would signal a good entry point for a long position, targeting 105.20. However, be prepared to cut losses if the level fails to hold and price breaks lower. Conservative traders might wait for a confirmed rejection at 105.20 before entering short positions, aiming for the 98.00 target. Trade safe and manage your risk.
TVC:DXYLong
by Ibrahim1984
DJI CHART UPDATEDJI, TRENDS AND HORIZONTAL TRADING TARGETS MARKED There is a neat area around the 42k mark and specifically the 41.8k mark. RSI and Trends point that the next move might be a sharp down move, however, it falls right to a trend, which then rises to a rejection trend, the rejection trend aligns with horizontal support and takes it up and out with potentially as high as 55k, but more likely it looks like 47k, and then a retracement which would then take it higher to around that 70k (74K) mark, However, this move would be highly dependent on the path it takes, Which usually drops it to around 63k, which then takes it upwards to the 145k mark. Again, this is a LONG way out and you'll need new charts by that point in time. In the near future, you need to know that indicators on the long term charts and short term charts are overvalued and falling towards support meaning that looks like a better than average opportunity to buy the dip. Thanks, my dog is trying to eat my food as I type so I'll keep this short. Good luck, follow the trends and price targets and ignore the orange guideline because the further it gets from the source, the less accurate it will become requiring you to readjust your trends and lines.
TVC:DJILong
by nicktussing77
DXY March 23 Analysis and 24 IdeaDXY March 24 Price parent bias is bear Price is Discount M/W/D Previous session Premium and discount on the daily range No News March 23 Analysis I suspect that Price is gravitating to the buy stop target noted and the daily SIBI is search of higher prices at the beginning of the week, and celebrate Price did. Wicking to the March 6 buy stop. On the daily range Price is coming up to the 50 level. Price in a Premium took session buy stops, lowered to equal sell stops in a discount in London, then rallied to March 6 buy stops and up into the Daily BISI. Great delivery. Premium to discount to Premium. Expanded higher creating equal highs in Asia, to retrace, consolidate in London, to reverse in NY and close consolidating in a premium. *Note the event horizon is to the sell side March 24 Idea I would like to see Price come down in Asia and London to the 50 maybe take the equal sell stops at the .618 and could rally for higher prices in NY. I consider that until Asia delivers all above could change. I also consider that no news today or tomorrow could create high resistance days, stay sharp.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
NAS100NAS100, also known as the Nasdaq-100 Index, is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. It is heavily weighted toward technology stocks, making it a popular choice for traders and investors who focus on the tech sector. Key Features of NAS100: • Composition: Includes major companies like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and Tesla. • Volatility: Tends to be more volatile than other indices, offering high-risk, high-reward opportunities. • Tech Dominance: Heavily influenced by the technology sector, making it sensitive to innovation trends and economic conditions. • Trading Hours: The Nasdaq market operates from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM (ET), but NAS100 futures trade nearly 24/7. Why Traders Like NAS100? • Strong Growth Potential: Tech companies often outperform the broader market. • Liquidity: High trading volume ensures tight spreads and smooth execution. • Good for Day Trading & Swing Trading: Due to frequent price movements.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Short
by HavalMamar
2
Nasdaq - The Most Decisive Point Ever!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) might break below all structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After breaking above the major channel resistance trendline just a couple of months ago, the Nasdaq is now being dominated by bears and starting to break everything back to the downside. So far we didn't see any confirmation but the next couple of days will decide just everything. Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
35
NAS100 I Potential Gap Fill and More Growth to 21,000Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by BKTradingAcademy