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SPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed DecisionSPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed Decision Futures tied to the S&P 500 are slightly higher as traders appear to be shrugging off Middle East tensions, viewing the situation as contained for now. However, geopolitical uncertainty remains a risk, and attention is shifting toward upcoming Fed commentary and policy direction. Technical Outlook: The index may pull back toward 5989 and 5966. A break below 5966 opens the path toward 5938, with an extended target at 5902. However, a 1H close above 6010 would signal renewed bullish momentum toward 6041. Key Levels: • Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143 • Support: 5966, 5938, 5902
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
NAS100 - Priming to SHORTDear Friends in Trading, How I see it, Rising Wedge - Bullish Exhaustion Pattern "SHORT" Targets: 1] 20740.00 2] 20200.00 Fundamentally: If I was an institutional Invester and/or hedge fund manager with 100's of millions in US stocks. Considering the geopolitical tensions at the moment. I will move the largest percentage of my portfolio to safe haven $-bonds and/or commodities like GOLD. But that's just me... I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight. Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by ANROC
3
NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. If it does not rise again above the broken trend line, I expect a correction. If the index returns above the broken trend line, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded on the Nasdaq. It is better to wait for confirmation on the breakout in order to control further risk. Last week, U.S. stock markets—particularly the Nasdaq index—experienced significant volatility, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors: • A reduction in trade tensions due to ongoing U.S.-China negotiations • The release of inflation indicators • Heightened geopolitical tensions According to Politico, as G7 leaders meet in Canada, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran will top the agenda. Politico reported that leaders of the free world have gathered in the Rocky Mountains to discuss the very real threat of a full-scale war in the Middle East. The initial sessions of the G7 summit will take place in Kananaskis, where the worsening Israel-Iran conflict will be the primary focus. Donald Trump, who in recent days has fueled tensions through social media, is now expected to join discussions aimed at de-escalation. On the economic front, lower-than-expected inflation in May could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than markets had previously anticipated. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation rose 2.4% in May compared to a year earlier. Housing costs were identified as the primary driver of this inflation, while price increases in categories most affected by high tariffs were not as pronounced as economists had expected. So far this year, the Fed has refrained from cutting its benchmark interest rate, citing concerns that tariffs might push consumer prices higher. While the likelihood of a rate cut at this week’s meeting remains low, the latest report could ease some of these worries and accelerate the timeline for potential cuts. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that a growing group of President Trump’s advisers is urging him to consider Besant for the Fed chair position. Jerome Powell’s current term extends until May 2026, and he was originally nominated by Trump in November 2017. Other names reportedly under consideration include Kevin Warsh (considered a favored candidate), Kevin Hassett (head of the White House National Economic Council), Christopher Waller (a current Fed board member), and David Malpass (former World Bank president). After a week dominated by U.S. inflation data, investor attention in the coming days will shift toward central bank decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates. The trading week kicks off Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an initial snapshot of the industrial sector in New York. Later that day, the Bank of Japan will announce its first interest rate decision, an event that could shape Asian market trends and the yen’s valuation. On Tuesday, May’s U.S. retail sales data will be released—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness in this report could bolster expectations for rate cuts. Wednesday will be the focal point of the week, as the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. While markets have already priced in a pause in tightening, investors will scrutinize Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the likelihood of rate cuts in the months ahead. Additionally, data on May housing starts and weekly jobless claims will also be released that day. On Thursday, with U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth, attention will turn to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Changes in tone or interest rates from these key European central banks could influence currency market volatility. Finally, the week will conclude Friday with the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index—a leading indicator closely watched by traders for insights into the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. East.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Opportunities abound if you are open mindedRead latest article here I have covered my regrets for missing this stock here and here From this article , you can see that resellers are investing/buying up these limited edition plush toys and selling online at a profits. See, you need not be dabbling in the stock market to make money. These resellers neither manufacture nor market these toys but were sharp and fast enough to catch the trend. Risks - if they bought too many and the trend dies down or the profits start to come down, they stand to lose as well since they need to first cough out capital to purchase these toys. I am of the opinion that the stock market is created equally for both the rich and poor to have a stake in the game. That is why if you are an employee earning a fixed salary, learning to trade/invest is no longer a luxury unless you have a huge inheritance, strike lottery or simply not interested in making money. Since Dec 2020, Pop Mart has gained 286% returns for the shareholders who ride through the lows of less than 10 dollars in its darkest moments during 2023/2024. In comparison, the same amount of money invested in the SPX will gives you less than 70% returns. Pop Mart gains is 4x more than passive investing in SPX. Congrats to those who had longed it and are laughing to the bank. For those like me who missed it, no point crying over spilled milk. There are abundant opportunities, just keep an open mind, if the fundamentals are ok, nibble a bit and see how it goes. All you need is 1-2 multibagger in your portfolio
SP:SPXLong
by dchua1969
US100Correlation Between US100 (Nasdaq 100), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Bond Prices 1. Relationship Between 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield and Bond Prices Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When the 10-year Treasury yield rises, bond prices fall, and vice versa. This is because the fixed coupon payments become less attractive when yields increase, causing existing bond prices to drop to offer comparable yields to new issues. Current Data (June 13, 2025): 10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.40%, with the bond price near 98.81 (below par), reflecting recent yield increases. Term Premium: The term premium on the 10-year Treasury has risen sharply since early April 2025, reaching the highest level in over a decade. This premium compensates investors for risks that short-term yields may not evolve as expected, keeping long-term yields elevated and bond prices suppressed. 2. US100 (Nasdaq 100) and 10-Year Treasury Yield Correlation Negative Correlation Generally Observed: The Nasdaq 100 (US100), a tech-heavy equity index, often shows a negative correlation with 10-year Treasury yields. When yields rise, borrowing costs increase, discount rates for future earnings rise, and equities—especially growth stocks—tend to decline. Conversely, falling yields often boost equities. Recent Trends: In 2025, rising yields have put pressure on equities, including the Nasdaq 100, as investors demand higher returns from riskier assets. However, periods of yield stabilization or decline can support equity rallies. Risk Sentiment: The correlation can vary with market sentiment; during risk-off episodes, both equities and bond yields may fall as investors flock to safety. 3. US100 and Bond Prices Indirect Relationship via Yields: Since bond prices move inversely to yields, and yields often move inversely to equities, bond prices and equities like US100 often show a positive correlation in risk-off environments (both falling) and a negative correlation in risk-on environments (equities rising, bond prices falling). Safe-Haven Demand: In times of market stress, investors may sell equities and buy bonds, pushing bond prices up and yields down, while equities like US100 decline. 4. Yield Curve and Market Implications The US yield curve has steepened recently, with the 10-year yield (~4.40%) above the 2-year yield (~3.95%), reflecting expectations of higher long-term inflation and growth risks. A steepening curve can signal improving growth prospects but also higher financing costs, which can weigh on tech stocks in the US100. Conclusion The 10-year Treasury yield and bond prices move inversely, with recent yield increases pushing bond prices below par. The Nasdaq 100 (US100) typically moves inversely to 10-year yields, as higher yields raise borrowing costs and discount rates, pressuring growth stocks. The relationship between US100 and bond prices depends on market risk sentiment: in risk-off periods, bond prices rise while equities fall; in risk-on periods, the opposite occurs. The current steepening yield curve and elevated term premium suggest ongoing volatility and cautious investor positioning affecting both bonds and equities. #NAS100 #DOLLAR
MARKETSCOM:US100
by Shavyfxhub
This weeks #US30 outlook. High Probability Trade Zones A. Short Setup – Fade the Grind Into Resistance Zone: 42,900–43,200 (confluence of R1, previous highs, sell rejection zone). Trigger: Slow grind + bearish engulfing / break of structure on 15M–30M. Stop: Above 43,250 Target: 42,400 > 42,150 > 41,800 B. Long Setup – 4H Breaker Block Retest Zone: 42,050–42,200 (OB + support + 30M demand) Trigger: Sweep of 42,000, followed by bullish engulfing or displacement candle Stop: Below 41,770 Target: 42,600 > 42,900 > 43,193 C. High-Risk Fade Long – Deep Discount Sweep Zone: 41,750–41,800 (S1 proximity, previous accumulation base) Trigger: Wipeout + bullish PA on 15M with volume spike Stop: 41,670 Target: 42,200 > 42,500
EIGHTCAP:US30
by RANDYGLASS53
FTSE100 bullish sideways consolidation above 8800Trend Overview: The FTSE100 equity index remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher. Key Technical Levels: Support: 8800 (primary pivot), followed by 8760 and 8700 Resistance: 8940 (initial), then 8977 and 9010 Technical Outlook: A pullback to the 8800 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 8940, 8977, and ultimately 9010. Conversely, a daily close below 8800 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 8760 and 8700 as downside levels. Conclusion: FTSE100 maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 8800 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 8940 area. A breakdown below 8800, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
US100 - Trading within a bearish parallel channel!Introduction The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel to the downside, consistently finding support along the lower trendline and facing resistance near the upper boundary. This structure has led to a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Most recently, price action broke market structure, and we now anticipate a reaction near a high-confluence resistance area. Parallel Channel A distinct parallel channel has been developing on the US100 over the past several days on the 1H timeframe. During last night's move, the price touched the lower boundary of the channel and has been trending upward since. After breaking above the midline at $21,640, momentum suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel around $21,830. FVG During the most recent downward move, the US100 created a significant 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), stretching from $21,775 to $21,840. This zone represents a key imbalance that could generate a strong reaction to the downside if price revisits it. Conclusion Given the break in structure on the 1H timeframe, short-term upward moves are likely to face resistance. The confluence between the upper boundary of the parallel channel and the 1H FVG creates a high-probability area for price rejection, making it a critical level to watch for potential downside pressure. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Youriverse
21
S&P 500 Index.4H CHART PATTERN.the S&P 500 Index (4H timeframe), it appears you're using a combination of Ichimoku Cloud, trend channels, and support/resistance zones to project downside targets. Here's the breakdown of your marked targets: 📉 Bearish Targets: 1. Target 1: Around 5,500 2. Target 2: Around 5,200 3. Target 3: Around 4,950–4,900 --- 🔍 Technical Observations: Price has broken below the upward trend channel. It's entering the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling potential consolidation or bearish pressure. The large blue downward arrow indicates a bearish expectation, possibly tied to macro/fundamental concerns or technical reversal patterns. The grey resistance block near 5,960–6,000 suggests failed breakout/retest. --- 📌 Summary: If current bearish momentum continues: ✅ Immediate Target: 5,500 (first major support) ⚠ Medium Target: 5,200 🔻 Final Target Zone: 4,900–4,950 (strong previous support and fib zone) Let me know if you want stop-loss ideas, confluence indicators, or entry strategy breakdowns!
SP:SPXShort
by RSI_Trading_point
16
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsBank Nifty ended the week at 55,527.35 with a loss of -1.86% Key Levels for the Upcoming Week 🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone: The critical range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation is 55,410 to 55,645 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels: Support Levels: S1: 55,058 S2: 54,588 S3: 54,119 Resistance Levels: R1: 56,000 R2: 56,474 R3: 56,947 Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 55,645 could trigger buying momentum, potentially driving Bank Nifty towards R1 (56,000) and beyond. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 55,410, selling pressure may increase, pulling it towards S1 (55,058) and lower levels. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
Could the DXY reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 97.71 1st Support: 94.66 1st Resistance: 101.87 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 24,718.60 with a rejection of (-1.14%) If Nifty sustains below 24,641, selling pressure may increase. However, a move above 24,798 could restore bullish momentum. Key Levels for the Upcoming Week 🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone: The crucial range to watch for potential trend reversals or continuation is 24,641 -24,798. 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels: Support: S1: 24,407 S2: 24,094 S3: 23,570 Resistance: R1: 25,035 R2: 25,352 R3: 25,888 Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 24,791 could attract buying momentum, driving Nifty towards R1 (25,035) and beyond. ❌ Bearish Scenario: A drop below 24,641 may trigger selling pressure, pushing Nifty towards S1 (24,407) or lower. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:NIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
DAX H4 I Bullish Bounce OfBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 23,196.26, a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 23,655.66, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 22,911.69, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:GER30Long
by Tradu
KSE 100 | Shooting Star Candle FormationThe KSE-100 index weekly chart shows a strong uptrend that has recently started to face some signs of exhaustion. After a sustained bullish rally, the index is encountering resistance near the 126,700 level, forming a Shooting Star candlestick — a bearish reversal signal — indicating potential selling pressure at the top. Additionally, there's a clear volume decline during the recent uptrend, suggesting weakening momentum and possible buyer fatigue. The key short-term support lies near 115,000, aligned with the 20-week EMA. A break below this level may trigger further downside correction. Overall, while the longer-term trend remains bullish, caution is advised as bearish reversal signals are emerging; a corrective phase may unfold if support levels fail to hold.
PSX:KSE100Short
by mbaberhanif
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/06/2025Today, a slightly gap-up opening is expected in Nifty near the 24,735 level. If Nifty sustains above the 24,750–24,800 zone after the opening, it may lead to a continuation of the upside move toward 24,850, 24,900, and potentially 24,950+ during the day. This zone can attract intraday buying interest, especially if supported by volume and momentum. However, any rally approaching the 24,950 level should be watched cautiously, as it may act as a reversal zone, triggering profit booking or intraday resistance. On the other hand, if Nifty fails to hold 24,700 levels and starts drifting lower, fresh selling pressure could emerge, pushing the index toward 24,650, 24,600, and even 24,550 during the session.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/06/2025)Today, a slightly gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 55,550–55,600 zone. If Bank Nifty sustains above this zone, it may attempt an upside move toward 55,750, 55,850, and potentially 55,950+ levels during the session. If Bank Nifty starts trading above 56,050, a further bullish rally can be seen, taking it higher toward the 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+ zones. On the downside, if Bank Nifty slips below the 55,450–55,400 zone, it may face further selling pressure, leading to a possible move toward 55,250, 55,150, and 55,050 levels.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo