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25 March Nifty50 #Nifty50 99% working trading plan Gap up open 23708 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 23823, 23913 Gap up open 23708 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23612,23548 Gap down open 23612 above 15m hold after positive trade target 23708, 23823 Gap down open 23612 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23548 💫big gapdown open 23548 above hold 1st positive trade view 💫big Gapup opening 23823 below nigetive trade view 📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade More education following me
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily Nifty opened Gap up +150 points again following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 23708 and closing at 23658 (+1.5%). Price Action : - Bullish Nifty closed 1.5% in positive. Consequtive 6 days green candle and closing above 10,20,50 nad 200 dEMA Candle Pattern: - Bullish Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside. Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish 10dEMA 22979 20dEMA 22848 50dEMA 23036 200dEMA 23399 EMA Trend: Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA, Daily MA suggests Strong Buy Hourly suggests Strong Buy 15mins Suggests Strong Buy The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 71.5 - Just Over Bought Momentum gaining towards Upside Support/Resistance Levels: Major Support 23300-500 Immediate Support 22600 Immediate Resistance 22750 Major Resistance 24000 Trend: Short Term Trend is Bullish Daily Options Activity: Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw some unwinding with huge Unwinding at 23600-500 highest - Support Highest PE OI was at 23300, highest Put addition seen at 23500 followed by 23600 - support PCR is 1.2 indicating Bullishness Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 32.5%/67.5% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish Change in Futures OI: FII Future positions saw littl3 addition in longs +2K with shorts unchanged -Bullish Nifty Futures price was higher by 01.5% and 12.5 %OI Increase indicating Long Additions Observation: Nifty looks strong above 23550 forming daily positive green candles, closing above 10,20,50, 200dEMA and RSI just in overbought zone Overall Trend: Sentiment is very Positive Outlook for Next Session: Nifty looks strong around 23600, might consolidate above 23550 before another upmove to 24000 Approach & Strategy: Long with 22850 as SL in April contract, continue with SL 23500 My Trades & Positions: Long in 23200CE April, closed and moved to 23600CE April
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sandeep_CA
USTEC (NASDAQ 100) Analysis – 30M Timeframe 1️⃣ Market Structure & Current Position Current Price: 19,758 Recent Swing Low: 19,200 (March 14) Recent Swing High: 19,900 (March 20) Key Observations: The market is ranging between 19,200 – 19,900. Breakout above 19,900 could trigger a strong rally due to thin liquidity above. If rejected, price could retest 19,600 or 19,200 before resuming upside. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels (Support & Resistance) Support Zones (Demand Areas) 19,600 – 19,650 → High volume node, key retest level. 19,200 – 19,250 → Major liquidity zone, potential bounce area. Resistance Zones (Supply Areas) 19,900 – 19,950 → Immediate resistance, key breakout level. 20,400 – 20,450 → Fibonacci 1.618 extension. 20,850 – 20,900 → Fibonacci 2.618 extension, potential exhaustion zone. 📌 Gann Confluence Levels: 19,800 – 19,850 → 1/8th division of the last major range. 20,250 – 20,300 → 2/8th division, possible reaction point. 3️⃣ Probable Scenarios & Probability (%) 📈 Bullish Scenario (70% Probability) Break & Retest of 19,900 → Target 20,400 – 20,850. Confirmation: Volume spike above 19,950 & bullish close on H4. Wave 3 of Elliott Cycle could push price to 20,900 if momentum is strong. 📉 Bearish Scenario (30% Probability) Rejection at 19,900 → Drop to 19,600, possibly 19,200. Confirmation: Bearish engulfing candle below 19,750 & increase in sell-side liquidity. If 19,200 breaks, expect deeper pullback to 18,900 – 18,800. 4️⃣ Conclusion & Trading Strategy 🎯 Bias: Bullish above 19,900, cautious if rejected. ✅ Long Entries: Break & Retest of 19,900 → TP1: 20,400, TP2: 20,850, TP3: 21,300 Aggressive Buy: Bounce from 19,600 with strong bullish rejection. ❌ Short Entries: Rejection from 19,900 → Target 19,600 & 19,200. Aggressive Short: If price fails to break 19,750 with increasing sell volume. 🎯 Stop Loss Levels: For Longs: Below 19,500. For Shorts: Above 20,600. 🚀 Final Thoughts If USTEC clears 19,900 with volume, we could see an explosive move to 20,400 – 20,850. If rejected, price may revisit 19,600 – 19,200 before another breakout attempt.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by MAKFX21
SPX500 24/3/2025 Sideways to up pullback phase Last Friday's candlestick closed as a bull bar near its high. The market opened lower but lacked follow-through selling and traded sideways to up for the rest of the day. In our last report, we said that traders would see if the bears could create a strong bear bar, or if the market would open lower but lack follow-through selling, like Thursday. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The next targets for the bulls are the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. The market has formed 3 pushes up (including today's gap up) with the first two legs being the Mar 17 and Mar 19 high. If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 24). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They were not able to create follow-through selling on Mar 18 and Mar 21. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the 20-day and the breakout point - Jan 13 low. If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase. For now, the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling). Odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
Pre-dump Stop Hunt Seems Likely HereMy previous forecast into the high of the rally was for a capitulation from the high, no major retracement in the drop and then once we broke the low - slam to 5500. This trade went well in the first stages. Top where it was expected. Sell off in the style expected. New low as expected - but there has yet to be a big follow through. This failed follow through (even although we are still sitting at the lows right now) makes me worry about the different trap variants of the break I expect. Here's the setup I am looking at. It's a bullish butterfly-like pattern off the high. I say butterfly-like because it doesn't perfectly fit the rules. C is a new high, for one. But I find this general M type of shape is useful for spotting lows or breaks. I tend to bracket all these things under a "butterfly". I know it's a misterm as per the books, but it serves the purpose I am using it for. Three main things can happen off a butterfly decision. One is the 1.61 breaks and we slam to 2.20. This was the OG forecast of 5500. This is the rarer of the outcomes but it happens so fast there's not time to deal with it - which is why I planned and positioned for this into the rally high. Second thing that can happen it a low. Butterfly can work. All can be well with the world. For a few reasons I don't think that's happening but it's a risk to be aware of. This could be a low. Finally, we have the dead cat and break pattern - the one that is the primary plan for now if we make the bounce. Here's an example of one of those. Notice how this trades under the support and then puts in a series of small spike out candles - then it makes the bull trap. Stalls a while and then the next break is the actionable one. Look at this little zone - we game this zone on both sides before the move. These look similar. If the break does not come now I think we'll see a bull trap atypical to the previous ones in that is moderately breaks the lower highs we've seen in all the previous rallies. Giving bears good reason to puke their positions and bulls good reason to think the low is in. Barcode there for a while and then setup the bigger trade. Ideally here I'd like to make a little money in the rally. Use this to bankroll my speculative OTM puts. Breaks lower are liable to cause an instant pivot to the plan for the run away break - but this bull trap move would be far more befitting of a pre-crash move I think. It really does feel a little too easy right now. Would be so many fewer bears if we made that little spike and stuck stubbornly at the high of it for a while. I've been hitting every rally in SPX since 6150. Done a lot of offloading of my positions yesterday and anything I am holding I have hedged with 580 calls. We may be very close, within months, of a real break - but we might have a big distraction rally to come first. No one has called me names for being a bear of late ... concerning. A good bounce would fix that.
SP:SPXLong
by holeyprofit
2
US 500 Index – A Deeper Rally or Retreat?The US 500 rallied 0.8% last week to close at 5666 and in doing so managed to lock in its first up week since early February. The bounce also brought some joy to those dip buyers that had to endure watching the index move into correction territory (10% drop from 6144 high) the previous week when it touched a 6-month low at 5505 on March 13th. Looking forward, it is probably still way too early to say that the selling and rotation away from US stocks into other global indices is over, although what we can say is that traders have taken a pause for reflection ahead of what could be a volatile finish to the end of the first quarter of 2025. Afterall, sentiment towards stocks in the US 500, especially the technology sector, remains fragile. In the week ahead traders are likely to be focused on the finer details of President Trump’s plan for reciprocal tariffs, which are due to hit all countries, including long-time US allies, on April 2nd. The breadth of these tariffs and the extent of retaliatory measures, particularly from China and the EU, are likely to have knock on implications for US economic growth, inflation and consumer confidence (see below) , all of which are key factors that may impact future corporate earnings and the direction of the US 500 across the week. Economic Data: Monday: 1345 GMT US Preliminary PMI Surveys Tuesday: 1400 GMT US Consumer Confidence Friday: 1230 GMT US PCE Index (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) Solid Footing: The US 500 has opened the week on a more solid footing after a weekend report on Bloomberg suggested President Trump’s wave of tariffs are to be more targeted than the all-out assault he has touted on social media over the last few weeks. However, this is yet to be confirmed, and while not the worst-case scenario, it would still be an escalation of the current trade wars and may still result in retaliatory measures from those countries that are hit the hardest. It could also mean traders need to be on Trump social media watch again in the early part of this week. Technical Update: A Question of Fibonacci Retracements The US 500 index encountered an aggressive sell-off of 10.4% from the February 2025 all-time high at 6144 to its March low of 5505, from which attempts to bounce have materialised. This low was important from a technical perspective because the sell off tested a possible support level, marked by a Fibonacci retracement. In the case of the US 500 index, it was the 50% level of the April 2024 to February 2025 advance which stands at 5533 (see chart above). Using Fibonacci Retracements: Fibonacci retracements are useful as they can highlight potential support levels when any price weakness is seen and potential resistance levels when any price strength is seen. Closing breaks below retracement support or above retracement resistance can suggest the possibility of a more extended price move in the direction of the break. We recently published a report on how to use Fibonacci retracements in greater detail, so please take a look at our timeline to read this. Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels Offering Any Insight into Recent US 500 Index Moves? Having already rallied following tests of the 5533 retracement level, this has been confirmed as a support focus moving forward. While closing breaks are not a guarantee of further price declines, with much still dependent on future price trends and sentiment across the trading week, it may well be closes below this level that expose the potential for deeper declines. If this were to happen, downside potential may then shift towards retracement support at the 61.8% level, which stands at 5389 as you can see on the chart above. Fibonacci Resistance Focus: We can also run Fibonacci retracements on the February to March phase of weakness to provide potential resistance levels to focus on in case there is an extension of the recent rally. The 38.2% retracement of the February to March decline stands at 5750 and this is a level that might need to be monitored. If this 5750 level were to be broken on a closing basis, it may be possible to see a more extended phase of price strength which could could skew the focus for traders towards resistance at 5825, which is the higher 50% retracement level, may be even 5900, which is the 61.8% retracement. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
Dow Jones Industrial Average ($US30): Market Mover or Stumbling?(1/9) Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️ Dow Jones Industrial Average ( BLACKBULL:US30 ): Market Mover or Stumbling Block? With the Dow at $42,407.80, is this blue-chip index a steady climber or a shaky step? Let’s chart the course! 🔍 (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊 • Current Price: $ 42,407.80 as of Mar 24, 2025 💰 • Recent Move: Up 0.8% from $41,985.35 on Mar 21, per data 📏 • Sector Trend: Mixed with tech, aerospace gains 🌟 It’s a bumpy climb—let’s see what’s driving it! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Composition: 30 U.S. blue-chip firms, all sectors but transport, utilities 🏆 • Trend: Volatile but up 1.2% weekly as of Mar 21, per data ⏰ • Sentiment: Cautious optimism amid trade tensions 🎯 Firm but tested by macro winds! 📊 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • Fed Update: Rates steady, economic uncertainty up, per data 🌍 • Sector Gains: Boeing up 7% on Air Force deal, per data 📋 • Market Reaction: Dow up after tariff reprieve hopes 💡 Navigating a stormy market! 🌪️ (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Trade Tensions: U.S.-China tariffs spark inflation fears 🔍 • Economic Slowdown: Consumer sentiment at 2022 lows 📉 • Policy Shifts: Trump tariffs add uncertainty ❄️ It’s a rocky path—watch the curves! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Blue-Chip Base: 30 industry leaders 🥇 • Sector Gains: Tech, aerospace lift index 📊 • Resilience: Up 12.7% from 52-week low 🔧 Got a sturdy engine under the hood! 🏦 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Volatility, 5.9% off peak 📉 • Opportunities: Rate cut hopes, tech rebound 📈 Can it climb higher or stall out? 🤔 (8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢 Dow at $42,407.80—your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: $44,000+ soon, rally resumes 🐂 • Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️ • Bearish: $40,000 looms, correction deepens 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 Dow’s $42,407.80 price shows cautious gains 📈, but volatility’s in the air 🌿. Dips are our DCA fuel 💰—buy low, ride high! Gem or bust?
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by DCAChampion
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777 Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5777 Resistance Level 2: 5844 Resistance Level 3: 5872-5920 Support Level 1: 5604 Support Level 2: 5539 Support Level 3: 5500 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 retains its bullish trend and impulsive stance, trading near 22,954 just above the 20‐day VWAP of 22,900. An RSI of 54 suggests neutral momentum, which continues to show bearish divergence. If the index slips, 22,375 could serve as near‐term support, while a decisive break above 23,473 may open further upside. UK 100 has flipped into a neutral/sideways trend, consolidating after the Jan-Feb rally, quoted at 8,659 just below the 20‐day VWAP of 8,681. The RSI at 49 indicates muted momentum. 8,494 marks notable support if selling accelerates; on the upside, a move beyond 8,868 could signal renewed strength. Wall Street upholds its bearish momentum but a rally of the lows puts it into a correction, currently at 42,310, hovering around the 20‐day VWAP of 42,180. With an RSI of 48, the index isn’t oversold but still faces downside pressure. Key support appears near 40,700, and any rebound may encounter resistance around 43,619. Brent Crude continues its bearish trajectory in a corrective phase at 7,210, above the 20‐day VWAP of 7,068 but overshadowed by a broader downtrend. The RSI at 52 signals mild momentum. Sellers are eyeing 6,850 support for another leg lower; any bounce could stall at 7,287. Gold remains firmly bullish and impulsive, hovering at 3,030 just off record highs and well above the 20‐day VWAP of 2,956. An RSI reading of 67 points to strong positive momentum. Should a pullback occur, 2,836 could offer support; otherwise, clearing 3,076 might extend the rally. EUR/USD holds a bullish and impulsive posture, quoted at 1.0840, holding above the 20‐day VWAP of 1.0720 during a brief consolidation. The RSI at 60 leans constructive, though not overbought. 1.0515 is nearest support, while pushing through 1.1077 opens room for continued gains. GBP/USD sustains its bullish tone in an impulsive move, trading around 1.2968—clearing the 20‐day VWAP of 1.2840. With the RSI at 63, upside momentum remains intact but off recent overbought levels. The pair’s support sits at 1.2690, and a break above 1.3091 could spark further advances. USD/JPY stays bearish but has entered a correction, printing 149.55 slightly above its 20‐day VWAP of 149.20. The RSI of 50 indicates neutral momentum. A dip below 146.99 may reinforce the downtrend, whereas moving beyond 150.57 would challenge the current bearish bias.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
S&P 500 Setting Up for a Breakout – But Not Before One More TrapAs I’ve said before, the FOREXCOM:SPX500 is a key reference for my crypto trading . That’s why I sat down and took a closer look at the chart – and I’m now ready to place a limit order , based on what I’m seeing. I believe we’re still in a correction phase , and it’s far from over . However, I think it’s realistic that we’ll see a move toward $5,832 next week . Before that happens, I expect either today’s Monday Low or next week’s Previous Weekly Low to get swept, ideally triggering a dip into the 12-hour Fair Value Gap just below. That’s where I see my entry zone forming. It’s also the exact area where Wave B overshoots the starting point of Wave ABC, making it a clean Flat correction pattern, with Wave C completing to the downside before we get a solid move upward. I’m setting my stop-loss below the $5,500 low. If this setup plays out, I expect the S&P to push toward $5,832 , and after that, I’m anticipating a larger correction that could take the index back down to $5,500 or even $5,450 over the coming weeks. Timing remains unclear for that move after, but the structure is here , and I’m looking forward to seeing how it plays out.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
NQ: Weekly/Daily AnalysisGood Week and Day! Finally, buyers showed up late Friday and market opened with a gap up. Both Asian and European sessions continued the move up. We should expect NY session to continue up. Few notes here: 1- As I mentioned it few times now, this is not "buy the dip", this is just to allow large hands to clear their positions. The chart identifies the VA area to sell. 2- The ST/MT/LT outlooks for all US Equities is Sell. Unless, major change happens to US policy (i.e., tariffs, bullying) which it has 0.0001% chance! The self-inflicted destruction is so amazing! Three months ago, US economy was almost the only solid economy worldwide! 3- April 2nd: tariffs come into effect. 3- Money is fleeing US market towards BRICS and European Markets. So, for this week, price will continue up until 20500-20700 area. We have key economic data to fuel the move up. But it won't change anything fundamentally. The damage is structural. So good news is good news for Equities, but bad news it will be neutral.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by OTM-Fadhl
Considering Long Positions for S&P 500 Amid Market Uncertainty - Key Insights: Though the S&P 500 is in a corrective phase, signs of potential bullish reversals present opportunities for long positions. Monitor economic reports and geopolitical events closely, as these are likely to influence market movements. - Price Targets: Next week, we suggest the following targets: - T1: 5700 - T2: 5750 - Stop Levels: - S1: 5600 - S2: 5582 - Recent Performance: The S&P 500 concluded the week marginally above its starting point, revealing market volatility and potential for both upward and downward adjustments. Indicators show both consolidation and opportunities for a rebound. - Expert Analysis: Despite feeling overvalued, analysts are observing mixed signals with both bearish and bullish possibilities. There's a heightened focus on inflation indicators and central bank policies, crucial for future market direction, alongside a performance gap favoring value stocks. - News Impact: Recent tech sector sell-offs, especially in semiconductors and Tesla, suggest challenges face growth sectors. Geopolitical factors, including recently announced tariffs by President Trump, could further heighten volatility. Upcoming consumer confidence and GDP revisions are key reports to watch, possibly influencing next week's market tone.
CBOE:SPXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Stay Neutral on 10-Year Treasury as Market Uncertainty Looms - Key Insights: The 10-Year Treasury yield is at a critical juncture amid ongoing market uncertainty. With central banks selling US Treasuries, yields are volatile. Analysts recommend maintaining a neutral stance, suggesting that holding onto bonds and cash is prudent in the face of unpredictable market corrections and potential equity retracement. - Price Targets: Next week targets for 10-Year Treasury yield are set cautiously due to market conditions. T1 is projected at 4.30, and T2 at 4.35, reflecting resistance levels. Stop levels are placed conservatively at S1 at 4.20 and S2 at 4.15, expecting potential pullbacks. - Recent Performance: The 10-Year has experienced price fluctuations due to central banks selling off treasuries, impacting yields. Despite initial increases, resistance has been detected, aligning with historical retracement levels, and signaling a potential shift towards lower yields. - Expert Analysis: Analysts from Morgan Stanley, Citi, and Goldman Sachs emphasize a neutral approach, urging investors to focus on cash and bonds. This advice stems from concerns over inflated equity valuations and the ramifications of rising interest rates that might dampen stock market performance. - News Impact: Recent talks of reciprocal tariffs by the US administration could lead to shifts in trade patterns, affecting the US dollar and treasury yields. The Federal Reserve's plan to adjust security redemption caps underscores liquidity concerns. Against this backdrop, investing in bonds, gold, and cash is recommended, resonating with the market's cautious sentiment.
TVC:TNX
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Looking for a minimum of ES 5850In the days to come our initial pattern off the recent has the high probability to get into the 5850 area. Here I will be looking for a pullback. If this pullback can be viewed as corrective in it's structure then I expect the subdivisions and pathway on my ES4Hr chart should follow suit. However, if the pullback turns out to be impulsive, I will be looking for follow through for either Minor B having completed early, or the alternate wave (iv). If that sort of price action were to materialize, it's Friday's low of 5651.25 that must support any drop if we're to continue to subdivide higher and have this minor B take more time.
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
4
Nasdaq daily time frame , Re-tesing the resistance NASDAQ (US Tech 100) 4H Analysis – Bullish Recovery in Progress Market Structure & Trend Analysis: The chart shows a strong downtrend, with price breaking below a rising channel earlier this month. However, a bullish breakout from the falling wedge is now in play, indicating a potential trend reversal or retracement. The price is approaching the 20,250 - 20,532 resistance zone, marked by previous support-turned-resistance. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate resistance: 20,250 – 20,532 (previous support now acting as resistance). Support zone: 19,921 – 19,500, where recent demand was seen. Volume & RSI Analysis: Volume is rising, confirming buying interest. RSI at 64.48, showing bullish momentum but nearing overbought conditions. Trade Considerations: 📈 Bullish Bias: If price breaks above 20,532, it could push towards 20,750+. 📉 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from resistance may lead to a pullback toward 19,921 support. ⚠️ Wait for confirmation: Either a breakout above 20,532 or a pullback for a better entry.
IG:NASDAQLong
by Forexbeats
Why I Took the L (and Feel Great About It)Why I Took the L (and Feel Great About It) | SPX Analysis 24 Mar 2025 The markets are meandering again, and I’m starting to feel like a one-man tribute band for “Brimful of Asha” on repeat. Another grindy week, another re-run of the up-a-bit, down-a-bit SPX drama. Today’s vibe? Picture those magnificent men in their flying machines… looping up diddely up-up and down diddely down-down with zero destination in sight. The overnight futures opened with some energy - but landed us smack back into the call wall zone at 5700/5720. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands are pinching tighter than my jeans post-Christmas, confirming what we already know: this market’s stuck in a range. But here's the thing… I’m not stressing it. I’ve seen this dance before. And I know exactly what I’m waiting for. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Another week, another range, and here I am again – sipping coffee, muttering to myself like a budget oracle, watching SPX push a few points higher and thinking… "Didn’t we just do this yesterday?" The overnight futures gapped higher, but the market basically landed us right back into the same call wall we’ve been dancing with all week – 5700/5720. It’s like déjà vu… but with less excitement. And don’t even get me started on the Bollinger Bands. They’re pinching so tightly now you could use them as a tourniquet. Yes, we’re consolidating. Yes, we already knew that. But now it’s like the market is actively mocking us. 🎯 So what’s changed? Nothing. The plan remains exactly the same: Wait for a breakout-pullback – either direction. Don’t force trades. Stay sharp, but don’t get twitchy. Friday’s rally? It messed with the last of my bear swings, and instead of dragging the positions out like a bad soap opera, I just let them expire and took the loss. Not because I had to. But because they were irritating me. Sometimes, the smartest move is not about managing the trade – it’s about managing the trader. I cleared the decks, reset the headspace, and now I’m ready for what comes next. So here we are: Bullish trigger is still 5720+ Bearish trigger stays below 5605 Everything in between is just noise. And yeah, I’m still leaning bearish, but I’m not forcing it. We’ve seen this pattern before – the grind, the stall, the fakeout. And when the real move comes? That’s when I’ll strike. Until then, it’s back to the charts, back to the tea, and back to waiting with the quiet smugness of someone who knows patience pays better than panic. Let’s see if today delivers… or if we’re just rolling the same episode again. --- Fun Fact 📢 In 1997, when the VIX dropped below 10, traders called it "nap time." The market stayed so calm for so long, many option traders took part-time jobs just to stay busy - including one notorious story of a floor trader who moonlighted as a nightclub bouncer. 💡Lesson? When volatility vanishes, don’t force action – prepare for the return of chaos.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton