Nifty goes into consolidation mode to end the month at 25500.Today Nifty went into consolidation mode searching for the supports nearby after a massive upward run in the last week. Even though we saw Nift climbing down 120 points today the closing above 25500 is a good sign. It was a volatile day where Nifty made a high of 25669 and a low of 25473 moving 200 points down. But recovered a bit to close at 25517.
The Supports for Nifty remain at: 25450, 25321 (Mother line Support), 25133 (Mid-channel support). If that is broken the Nifty may fall further towards 24976 or 24956 (Which is the Father line support). Channel bottom seems to be at 24657. If we get a closing below this zone we will comment about further supports on the down side.
The Resistance for Nifty remain at: 24539, 24596, 25665 and finally 25712. (25712 seems to be the channel and trend top. Once Nifty closes above this zone we will be able to comment about further levels on the upside.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investmentย inย equity.
Market indices
NAS100 - The stock market is breaking the ceiling!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term channels. If it does not increase and corrects towards different zone, it is possible to buy the index near the reward.
Following a strong rally in U.S.equities, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both achieved new all-time highs on Friday. It marks the first time since February that the S&P 500 has surpassed its previous peak, while the Nasdaq entered fresh price territory for the first time since December.
Despite ongoing market focus on economic data and the Federal Reserveโs interest rate policy path, the simultaneous surge in both indices reflects a renewed appetite for risk in the stock marketโan appetite that has been accelerating since mid-April, especially in tech stocks.
In contrast, the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap U.S. companies, still remains significantly below its prior high. To return to its October levels, it would need to rise over 13.5%. However, Fridayโs 1.7% gain suggests capital is beginning to flow more broadly into underrepresented sectors.
Analysts argue that a strong breakout in the Russell 2000 could signal a broader rotation toward increased risk-takingโpossibly driven by optimism over future rate cuts, easing inflation, and improved business conditions in the second half of the year.
Now that the S&P 500 has reached new highs and the Nasdaq has joined in, attention turns to the Russell 2000. If it begins to accelerate upward, markets could enter a new phase of sustained bullish momentum.
Following a week focused on gauging U.S. consumer spending strength, the upcoming holiday-shortened week (due to Independence Day) will shift attention to key employment and economic activity data.
On Tuesday, markets await the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS job openings report. Wednesday will spotlight the ADP private employment report, and Thursdayโone day earlier than usual due to the holidayโwill see the release of several crucial figures, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index.
Currently, investor reaction to Donald Trumpโs tariff commentary has been minimal. Market participants largely believe that any new tariffs would have limited inflationary effects and that significant retaliation from trade partners is unlikely.
Fridayโs PCE report painted a complex picture of the U.S. economy. On one hand, inflation remains above ideal levels; on the other, household spending is showing signs of fatigueโa combination that presents challenges for policymakers.
Inflation-adjusted personal consumption fell by 0.3%, marking the first decline since the start of the year and indicating a gradual erosion of domestic demand. While wages continue to rise, their impact has been offset by declining overall income and reduced government support. To maintain their lifestyle, households have dipped into their savings, driving the personal savings rate down to 4.5%โits lowest level this year.
On the inflation front, the core PCE price indexโthe Fedโs preferred inflation gaugeโrose 2.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations. Monthly inflation also increased by 0.2%. Although these figures appear somewhat restrained, they remain above the Fedโs 2% target, with persistent price pressures in servicesโparticularly non-housing servicesโstill evident.
Altogether, the data suggest the U.S. economy faces a troubling divergence: weakening household income and consumption could slow growth, while sticky inflation in the services sectorโespecially under a potential Trump tariff scenarioโcould limit the Federal Reserveโs ability to cut interest rates.
Weekly Outlook. Dollar Strength๐ Economic Outlook โ 2025-06-30 ๐น RSI Divergence and Dollar Strength ๐ข Summary
A bearish divergence in the RSI combined with strong U.S. fundamentals suggests continued upward pressure on the Dollar Index (DXY). This trend may persist, particularly if upcoming economic data supports current expectations. ๐ Technical Insight
RSI Divergence Observed
On the DXY chart, we observe a hidden bullish divergence in the RSI, where price makes a higher low while RSI makes a lower low.
This pattern suggests potential continuation of the uptrend despite short-term corrections.
๐งฎ Fundamental Overview
ADP Employment Report (Wednesday)
Expected stronger results could support the dollarโs bullish trend through next week.
Watch for surprise upside in employment numbers.
NFP Index
Currently above 100, indicating a healthy U.S. economy.
Even if it reaches 120 as expected, the impact may be muted due to prior pricing-in by the market.
"I try to share an overview of the data a day in advance to give you a general perspective."
๐ดRemember, the long-term outlook for the dollar is bearish.๐ด
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY togetherโบ๏ธ
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 96.706 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 96.819.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
โค๏ธSending you lots of Love and Hugsโค๏ธ
FTSE100 oversold rally testing resistance at 8820The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 8695 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 8695 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
8820 โ initial resistance
8855 โ psychological and structural level
8900 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 8695 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
8640 โ minor support
8600 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 8695. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?The DAX (GER30) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 24,077.90 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 23,850.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and a Fibonacci confluence zone identified by the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements.
Take profit is at 24,369.51 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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GOLD/SIlver Ratio Signals Risk On Gold/Silver ratio represents the appetite for risk
Stronger gold means risk off and vice versa
In spring, the ratio had hit the target for leg 2 (blue) within
large consolidation that took over 4 years to emerge
It travelled the equal distance of leg 1 (blue) and then reversed.
The next step might be the continuation to the downside for the ratio.
The minimum target is to hit the bottom of red leg 1 at 63.
The next target is located at the distance of the red leg 1 subtracted from the peak of blue leg 2. It was set at 43.
Both downside targets are within historical range.
Gold/Copper ratio shows same dynamics of "Risk-On" attitude on the market.
JPY225, LONG POSITION ๐ Trade Rationale โ Long on JPY225
At the time of entry, JPY225 was trading near the top of the volume profile, a location that often signals potential reversal. However, the order flow and structure pointed to continuation, not rejection.
๐ DOM Insight
The DOM showed more passive buy orders (bids) than sell orders (asks), especially stacked near and below current price. This indicated strong underlying demand, with little resistance above โ a sign the market was supported and had room to rise.
๐ Footprint Confirmation
There were no signs of buyer exhaustion:
Aggressive buyers continued lifting the offer with no stalling.
No large buy imbalances were getting absorbed.
Delta remained healthy and supportive of higher prices.
โ
Conclusion
With the DOM padded below, the footprint showing no fatigue, and structure supporting upward movement, the long trade aligned with buyer control and suggested continuation through highs, not a reversal.
ibb.co
ibb.co
dom and footprint at time of trade
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(30/06/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open on a flat note near the 57,400 zone, with price action currently hovering around a key resistance level of 57,450. If Bank Nifty sustains and breaks above this resistance zone of 57,450โ57,500, a bullish breakout is likely. Traders can consider buying CE options in the 57,550โ57,600 range with potential targets at 57,750, 57,850, and 57,950+. This move would signal continued upward momentum in the index.
However, if the price faces rejection from this resistance and slips below 57,450, a short-term reversal is possible. In that case, traders may look for PE opportunities in the 57,400โ57,450 zone with targets at 57,250, 57,150, and 57,050. The lower support level remains around 57,050, which should act as a key zone for reversal or bounce-back scenarios.
Can You Rob JP225 Profits with This Thief Trading Trick?๐ Master the Nikkei Heist: Your Ticket to Epic Profits! ๐
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Stay Sharp ๐: Set a chart alert to catch the breakout signal as it happens!
๐ Stop Loss: Protect Your Treasure!
Buy Stop Strategy ๐: Hold off on setting your stop loss until the breakout confirms. Place it at the 4H timeframe recent/swing low (37,200) for swing trades.
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๐ฏ Target: Grab the Gold and Go!
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๐ Why the Nikkeiโs Ready to Run
The JP225/Nikkei Index CFD is roaring bullish, driven by:
๐ Macro & Fundamental Insights: Dive into global economic trends, COT reports, and intermarket dynamics for the full scoop.
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US500/SPX500 Heist Plan: Grab the Index CFD Loot!Greetings, Profit Pirates! ๐
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Entry ๐
The vaultโs cracked open! ๐ฆ Snatch the bullish loot at the current priceโthe heist is on! For precision, place Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe for pullback entries, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low.
Stop Loss ๐
๐ Set your Thief SL at the recent swing low (5640) on a 4H timeframe for day trades.๐ Adjust SL based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders.
Target ๐ฏ
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US500/SPX500 Market Intel ๐
The Index CFD is riding a bullish surge, ๐ fueled by key drivers. Dive into fundamentals, macroeconomics, COT reports, geopolitical news, sentiment, intermarket analysis, index-specific insights, positioning, and future trend targets for the full picture. ๐check
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Look into it{
"alerts": [
{
"name": "US30 Bull Break",
"condition": {
"symbol": "US30",
"operator": "crossing",
"value": 43950
},
"message": "๐ US30 Breakout Alert: Price crossed above 43,950. Watch for BUY setup targeting 44,100.",
"actions":
},
{
"name": "US30 Bear Rejection",
"condition": {
"symbol": "US30",
"operator": "crossing_down",
"value": 43800
},
"message": "๐ US30 Bearish Rejection: Price fell below 43,800. Watch for SELL setup toward 43,400 OB.",
"actions":
}
]
}
Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100 Comprehensive Market Analysis: NAS100
1. Monthly Timeframe (The Long-Term "Big Picture")
Observation: The chart displays an incredibly powerful and long-standing uptrend. The price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
Candlestick Analysis: The most recent candles are strong, long-bodied bullish (green) candles. There are no significant bearish reversal patterns present whatsoever. This is a picture of strength.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is trading far above the Kumo (Cloud), which is wide and bullish (green). The Tenkan-sen is far above the Kijun-sen, and the Chikou Span is in open space high above the price action from 26 periods ago. This is a textbook example of a very strong, healthy bull market.
Conclusion (Monthly): The long-term outlook is unequivocally Bullish.
2. Weekly Timeframe (The Dominant Trend)
Observation: The strength seen on the monthly chart is confirmed here. The trend is clearly defined and moving from the lower-left to the upper-right.
Heikin Ashi Interpretation: If we were to view this with Heikin Ashi, this chart would show a long sequence of green candles, with most of them having no lower wicks, which, according to your lesson, signifies a very strong and healthy uptrend.
Ichimoku Analysis: All five Ichimoku components are in perfect bullish alignment. The price is above the Tenkan-sen, which is above the Kijun-sen, and all are far above the Kumo. This confirms the trend is not only bullish but also has strong momentum.
Conclusion (Weekly): The dominant trend is Strongly Bullish.
3. Daily Timeframe (The Trading Trend)
Observation: The chart shows a clear uptrend. The most recent price action shows a slight pullback or pause after making a new high.
Candlestick Analysis: The last few candles are smaller and show some indecision (like Spinning Tops), which is very common after a strong upward move. This is more likely a "breather" or consolidation rather than a reversal. There are no major bearish reversal patterns like a Bearish Engulfing or Evening Star.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is pulling back towards the Tenkan-sen, which is the first line of dynamic support. As long as the price holds above the Kijun-sen, the bullish trend is considered fully intact.
Conclusion (Daily): The trend is Bullish, currently in a minor pullback. The overall structure remains strong.
4. 4-Hour and 1-Hour Timeframes (The Intraday Trend)
Observation: These charts give a clearer view of the minor pullback seen on the daily chart. Here, the price action is moving sideways to slightly down.
Candlestick Analysis: We can see a few Long Upper Shadow candles near the recent top, which confirms the lesson that sellers stepped in to cause this short-term pause. However, there is no strong follow-through yet from the bears.
Ichimoku Analysis: On the 4H chart, the price is testing the Kijun-sen as support. This is a critical level. If it holds, the uptrend is likely to resume. If it breaks below, the correction could deepen, with the Kumo cloud being the next major support zone.
Conclusion (4H & 1H): The short-term momentum is corrective/sideways within a larger bullish trend.
5. Lower Timeframes (30M, 15M, 5M)
Observation: These charts show the corrective price action most clearly, appearing as a short-term downtrend.
Context is Key: Based on the overwhelming strength of the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts, this downtrend on the lower timeframes must be interpreted as counter-trend noise. It is a pullback, not a reversal of the major trend.
Harmonic Potential: This pullback could be forming the BC leg of a bullish ABCD pattern, or the AB leg of a bullish Gartley or Bat pattern, where traders would look for a buying opportunity at a key Fibonacci retracement level below.
Overall Synthesis and Final Conclusion
By performing a correct, top-down analysis of the NAS100 charts, the conclusion is the complete opposite of my previous mistaken analysis.
Long-Term (Monthly/Weekly): The market is in a powerful, secular bull market.
Medium-Term (Daily): The primary trend is up, but the market is taking a healthy and expected pause or pullback.
Short-Term (Intraday): The market is currently in a corrective phase.
Final Outlook: The multi-timeframe analysis is in strong alignment. The overwhelming evidence suggests that the primary trend for NAS100 is strongly Bullish. The current downward price action on the lower timeframes is very likely a temporary correction. Traders who align with the dominant trend would view this dip as a potential buying opportunity as the price approaches key support levels (like the Kijun-sen on the 4H/Daily chart), anticipating a resumption of the main uptrend.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
US500 Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,165.52.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,451.04 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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