Market indices
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Liquidity GrabGreetings Traders!
As we transition into the New York session, increased market volatility is expected. Currently, NAS100USD is showing signs of potential further bearish continuation. This outlook is supported by a draw on liquidity toward downside liquidity pools and a notable inefficiency—an unfilled gap left earlier in the week.
Key Observations:
1. Unfilled Gap – A Draw on Liquidity:
The market has left behind an inefficiency in the form of a price gap, which typically acts as a magnet for price. Although such inefficiencies are not always filled immediately, they often become targets for future price movement as the market seeks balance.
2. Reclaimed Order Block Breach – Engineered Liquidity:
Price has recently broken below a reclaimed order block that was serving as a temporary resistance zone. This indicates that the market was hunting for liquidity at a relatively premium price—above a key resistance level. The presence of relatively equal highs in this area further supports the notion that this was an engineered liquidity zone.
Engineered liquidity refers to zones designed by smart money to entice retail participation. Once sufficient liquidity is gathered, institutions then drive price through these zones to execute large sell orders at a premium.
3. Downside Targets – Liquidity Pools and Gaps:
With resistance now confirmed as engineered liquidity, smart money is likely to shift focus to the downside. Key targets include liquidity pools at lower price levels and the aforementioned inefficiency, which represents an area of fair value—ideal for profit-taking and potential continuation of institutional selling.
Trading Strategy:
Monitor price for confirmation within any short-term retracements. Selling opportunities aligned with institutional intent may present themselves as price gravitates toward the inefficiency and deeper liquidity zones.
Stay focused, remain patient, and ensure all trades align with your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
DAX Wave Analysis – 24 April 2025- DAX broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 22500.00
DAX index is under the bullish pressure after it broke the resistance area between resistance level 21500.00 (top of the previous correction A) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward ABC wave (2) from March.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave (3) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily uptrend, DAX index can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 22500.00 (which stopped wave B of the earlier ABC wave (2)).
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18880
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18510
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19050
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18500
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18500 – Major support / Key level
➗ 18900 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18500 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 4 Swing Retest
• 18900 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18500 – Equal lows
• 19050 – Equal highs
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
S&P 500 Ready for another leg lower ?S&P recovering back to an area where is flipped back and forth after the drop yesterday ( Ellipse on chart ).
Negative China headlines in the background from earlier this morning , but US traders choosing to ignore them early on .
There's good volume and resistance up here ( blue line)- and in the absence of any positive news on tariffs it looks like it should move lower this afternoon .
Sell at current levels 5370
Stop at 5410
Target 5295
E
How important is the time frame when you investWe’ve been discussing the possibility of a recession in the US for some time now, along with tariffs and the impact of Trump’s policies. This has led to declines of up to 25% in the US NASDAQ index, sparking panic among many investors. When investing for the long term, it’s important to be aware of where we are within the same time frame as our investment horizon—a 25% drop in the short term doesn’t necessarily have to be a concern for long-term investors.
In this case, we can see that the NASDAQ has established a massive uptrend over the years. As long as the main trend levels remain intact, we can’t even say the market is moving sideways. The market has provided one of the best opportunities to enter the NASDAQ, bouncing right off previous highs and demonstrating the strength of the trend.
By buying in the previous highs or near the long term trendline, means a very low risk with returns up to 30%.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
ALERT: EUR Broke Out of Long-term Downtrend Vs Currency Basket This is the aggregate EUR index against several currencies called EXY (like DXY)
Large downtrend from 2008 was breached this quarter to the upside.
The first trigger of trend weakness occurred in the summer of 2017
when EUR index crossed over mid-line and for the rest of time
the price has remained there.
In 2021, the price has shown a false break to the upside but failed to progress further.
That top is the nearest target for the price at 123, which will book +9% profit.
The next barrier is located at the top of 2014 of 140 with +24% gain.
DAX INTRADAY important support at 21118The DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing short term uptrend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which subsequently spiked above near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 21,532.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A corrective pullback “Gap Close” to 21,532, followed by renewed buying pressure, would likely confirm a bullish reversal, with upside targets at:
22,276 – Near-term resistance
22,657 – Medium-term resistance
22,903 – Long-term resistance level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly below 21,532 on a daily basis, the bullish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend corrective pullback toward:
21,118 – Immediate support
20,800 – Major downside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bullish above 21,532, with rallies from that level offering potential long opportunities. A daily close below 21,532, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bearish continuation toward lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100USD: Reclaimed Order Block Signals Further DownsideGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe a momentary shift into bearish institutional order flow, confirmed by the formation of successive lower lows. This structural development signals the potential for continued downside movement.
Key Observations:
Bearish Institutional Order Flow:
The consistent break of lows supports a bearish bias, providing a framework for seeking short opportunities in alignment with institutional intent.
Confluent Bearish Arrays:
Key bearish arrays—including the mitigation block and a reclaimed order block—are currently aligned. These zones, if respected, could serve as strong resistance and provide high-probability entry areas for short positions.
Trading Strategy:
Should price retrace into these arrays and provide confirmation, we can look to enter sell positions with the expectation of further downside aligned with the prevailing order flow.
Stay disciplined, remain patient, and trade only with confirmation.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
US30 Rejected at Resistance – 24/04/2025 🧨 US30 Rejected at Resistance – 24/04/2025 🧨
📉 False Break Above 40k – Sellers Step In!
Price failed to sustain above the 40,000 psychological level and got rejected near 40,360, confirming that sellers are still active around the key 40,701 zone. We’re seeing a lower high forming after that pop 🚨.
🔍 Key Observations:
❌ Rejection at 40,360
📉 Lower high structure forming
🔻 Weak bounce and now pulling back under 39,500
📍 Support around 38,955 - watch closely
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Bears in control short-term
⚠️ Watch 38,955 zone — if that breaks → 38,250 / 37,000 in play
💥 Short entries valid below 39,200 with tight risk
🚀 Bulls need a reclaim above 40,000 to regain control
🧠 Psych Tip: Don't FOMO into longs yet — wait for a reclaim or break structure short.
Technical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 18,758.52
Value Area Low (VAL): Approx. 18,259.03
Point of Control (POC):
Recent Session POC: 18,758.52
Previous Session POC: 18,259.03
High-volume nodes: Clustered around 18,600–18,750 – area of high interest and possible re-accumulation.
Low-volume gaps: Below 18,300 – could act as fast-move zones on breakdown.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters:
Above 18,800 (recent swing high).
Below 18,250 (previous swing low).
Absorption Zones (Delta Volume Focus):
Strong absorption around 18,580–18,600; price has consolidated here indicating order filling.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
High-volume swing low: 18,259.03 (POC) – strong buying response seen post drop.
High-volume swing high: 18,758.52 – rejection seen here on low follow-through.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently Range-bound (CVD not showing clear accumulation/distribution trend).
ADX Strength:
ADX ≈ 18–20: Suggests weakening trend; possible sideways movement.
DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms indecision.
CVD Confirmation:
CVD flattening at resistance suggests equal pressure from buyers and sellers.
No strong rising or falling trend in CVD; supports ranging bias.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 18,259.03
Previous swing low/absorption: 18,300
Resistance:
VAH: 18,758.52
Rejection level: 18,800
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Lows: 18,259
Key Retracement Levels:
1/3 retrace from recent high: ~18,430
1/2 retrace: ~18,500
2/3 retrace: ~18,580
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Range-bound (confirmed by ADX near 20 and mixed CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Bearish rejection at VAH zone.
Potential descending channel forming from highs.
Fake-out above 18,750 followed by rejection – possible liquidity grab.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: Near 18,300–18,350 (absorption + VAL zone)
Targets:
T1: 18,580
T2: 18,750
Stop-Loss: Below 18,250
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: Near 18,750–18,800 (rejection area)
Target:
T1: 18,300
Stop-Loss: Above 18,850
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade for optimal drawdown management.
NIFTY SHORT SETTING UPSimilar to my previous post on BN, Nifty is now setting up for a short trade.
Notice that the index is struggling to make fresh highs.
Notice the Lower Highs being formed.
In my analysis, if we get a negative candle closing below 24,250 it can lead to short covering and we can have a snap back to the mean.
This is again a Mean Reversion set up that I'm targeting similar to BN.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Another Gap to Watch
US30 is on its way to fill the gap up that was formed 2 days ago.
It looks like the market will reach a gap opening level soon.
I expect a bearish movement at least to 39285
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US100 Triangle Squeeze – Breakout or Fakeout?Hey Traders,
Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, squeezing between rising support and descending resistance.
Two potential bullish scenarios on watch:
🔹 Scenario 1:
Breakout above triangle resistance with confirmation → Potential rally toward the 19,200–19,600 zone.
🔹 Scenario 2:
Short-term rejection at resistance → Pullback to triangle support or the 18,370 level → Then bounce for continuation to the upside.
If the triangle breaks to the downside, I’ll be watching the 18,000 and 17,600 demand zones for a potential reaction.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,800 / 19,200 / 19,600
Support: 18,370 / 18,000 / 17,600
⚠️ Not financial advice – just sharing market insights.
– Mr. Wolf 🐺
#US100 #NAS100 #DowJones #Indices #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView
US500 Day Trade Setup: Liquidity Pools, Gaps & What’s Next?The US500 (S&P 500) 4-hour chart recently showed a gap up, followed by a strong move into the previous range highs. This price action likely triggered buy stops and tapped into buy-side liquidity above the prior swing highs. After this liquidity sweep, the market has pulled back and is now consolidating just above a visible gap, which sits slightly below the current price level.
From a Wyckoff perspective, this resembles an upthrust after distribution, where price runs stops above resistance before reversing. The current pullback suggests a potential test of the gap area, which often acts as a magnet for price, especially if there’s unmitigated liquidity left behind.
Using ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts, the recent move above the range high can be seen as a raid on buy-side liquidity, followed by a retracement. The gap below current price represents an imbalance, and ICT traders often look for price to revisit such inefficiencies before resuming the trend.
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Backdrop
Recent data shows the S&P 500 has experienced a sharp correction in April, with a monthly drop of about 5.75% from the previous month, but it remains up 6.8% year-over-year (YCharts). The market has been volatile, with sentiment shifting due to macroeconomic concerns, including renewed trade tensions (notably new tariffs), a mixed earnings season, and questions about the Federal Reserve’s next moves (IG).
Wall Street analysts have recently revised their year-end targets lower, citing increased risks from tariffs and slowing earnings growth (Yahoo Finance). The VIX is elevated (28.45), and the put/call ratio is above 1, indicating heightened hedging and caution among market participants (YCharts).
🏦 Wyckoff & ICT Concepts in Play
🏗️ Wyckoff: The recent rally into the highs and subsequent pullback fits the upthrust after distribution narrative. If the market fails to reclaim the highs, a move back into the gap (potentially as a sign of weakness) is likely.
💧 ICT: The gap below current price is a clear area of interest. If price trades down to fill this gap, watch for a reaction—either a bounce (if demand steps in) or a continuation lower if the gap fails to hold.
💡 Day Trade Idea (Not Intra-day)
Scenario: If price trades down to fill the gap just below the current level (around 5,300–5,320), monitor for a bullish reaction (such as a strong daily close, a bullish order block, or a clear rejection wick).
Trade Plan:
🕵️♂️ Wait for price to fill the gap and show a bullish daily signal.
🎯 Enter a day trade long at the next day’s open if confirmation is present (e.g., a bullish daily candle close or a break above the previous day’s high).
🛑 Place a stop loss just below the gap or the most recent swing low.
📈 Target the previous high near 5,400 for a day trade, or consider scaling out if momentum continues.
Alternative: If price fails to hold the gap and closes below it on the daily chart, consider a day trade short the following day, targeting the next liquidity pool below (e.g., 5,200).
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should do your own research or consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/04/2025Gap down opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 24200 level. 24200-24300 levels are the consolidation zone for the today's session. Strong upside rally expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 24300 level. Any downside only expected below 24200 level. Downside 24000 level will act as a strong support for today's session.