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DXY | Major Cycle Peak – Is the Dollar Losing Its Grip?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) appears to be following a well-defined historical cycle, marking major peaks approximately every 15–20 years. If history repeats, the 2022 peak near 114 could signal the beginning of a multi-year dollar decline, impacting global markets, commodities, and currency pairs like EUR/USD. Historical Peaks & Reversals Examining past DXY cycles, we see: 969 Peak (~120): Followed by a prolonged decline into the 1970s. 1985 Peak (~165): Marked by the Plaza Accord, triggering a sharp dollar downtrend. 2001 Peak (~120): Led to a multi-year decline as the Fed shifted policies. 2022 Peak (~114): The most recent high—could it mark the next major reversal? Each peak historically aligns with aggressive Fed tightening cycles, followed by a shift towards easing policies, leading to a weaker dollar. With U.S. interest rates expected to plateau or decline, this pattern suggests a potential long-term bearish trend for the dollar. Implications of a Weaker Dollar Bullish for EUR/USD – A declining DXY typically strengthens the euro. Boost for Commodities – Gold, oil, and other dollar-denominated assets could rally. Stronger Emerging Markets – A softer dollar eases financial conditions globally. With DXY showing signs of a historical cycle peak, investors and traders should watch for confirmation of a multi-year downtrend, potentially reshaping global markets.
TVC:DXYShort
by adiyatcoto
NAS100 Analysis: Reversal Predictions Based on Trading MathDear Trader, Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels. The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone. To increase the probability of these analysis, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns: Doji’s Hammer/Inverted Hammer Double/Triple Bottom/Top Shooting Star Morning Star Hanging Man I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future research. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
Bullish rebound?DAX40 (DE40) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 21,775.24 1st Support: 21,501.86 1st Resistance: 22,374.35 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by ICmarkets
NAS100 Analysis: Reversal Predictions Based on Trading MathDear Trader, Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels. The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). To increase the probability of these analysis, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns: Doji’s Hammer/Inverted Hammer Double/Triple Bottom/Top Shooting Star Morning Star Hanging Man I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future research. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
NIFTY IT: Is the Bounce Back on the Horizon?📈 NIFTY IT: Is the Bounce Back on the Horizon? 🚀 Current Market Price (CMP): 37,434 Stop Loss (SL): 35,700 Target 1: 38,733 Target 2: 40,527 📊 Market Overview: After a ~23% correction from its peak, the NIFTY IT index is showing signs of stabilization. The index has formed a small base on the daily chart and today breached a minor resistance, suggesting potential for a short-term upside. 💡 Key Insight: With April’s quarterly results on the horizon, the IT sector may experience increased trading activity, presenting short-term opportunities. ⚠️ Caution: The market remains volatile—smart position sizing and strict risk management are crucial for navigating current conditions. 📌 Disclaimer: Not a SEBI-registered advisor. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. #NIFTYIT #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingOpportunity #MarketUpdate #InvestSmart
NSE:CNXITLong
by satyam15
DXY DTF AnalysisDXY DTF Analysis DXY is currently in a downtrend, creating lower highs and lower lows. Price has recently broken below a minor key level at 103.300, followed by a retracement that targeted stop losses from sellers. This retracement has created liquidity at the liquidity zone, further validating the bearish sentiment. With the break below the minor support level, we are expecting the downtrend to continue. Outlook and Key Technical Levels : 🔹 Minor Key Support: 103.300 (Break below signals bearish continuation) 🔹 Minor Key Resistance: 103.090 (Retracement level for sell limit order entry) 🔹 Next Minor Support: 99.850 (Downside target for sellers) Fundamental Insight and Market Sentiment 📉 U.S. Dollar Weakness: The U.S. dollar has been under pressure recently due to growing concerns over tariffs, which have created uncertainty in the markets. This has fueled fears of a potential economic slowdown, with tariffs negatively impacting investor sentiment. The ongoing trade tensions and global uncertainties have resulted in a weaker outlook for the dollar, aligning with the technical breakdown in the DXY. 📈 Global Market Dynamics: Meanwhile, global risk sentiment remains mixed, with market participants seeking safer assets like gold, further weighing on the dollar. The negative impact from U.S. trade policies, combined with a shift in investor confidence, is contributing to a bearish outlook for the DXY. Given the technical setup and broader market sentiment, we are closely monitoring DXY for potential sell opportunities, especially if price retraces within the identified levels for a better entry point. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by RebornFXTrader
Nifty Analysis 03.04.2024​As of April 3, 2025, the Nifty 50 index is experiencing volatility influenced by recent geopolitical developments, particularly the announcement of new U.S. tariffs on Indian imports. On April 1, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump declared a 26% reciprocal tariff on imports from India, a move that has unsettled markets and is expected to pressure Indian equities. ​ In the trading session on April 1, 2025, the Nifty 50 declined by 0.25% to close at 23,468.8, reflecting investor concerns over the impending tariffs. Technology stocks, which derive significant revenue from the U.S., were notably impacted, with a 1.8% drop amid expectations of subdued earnings in the upcoming fiscal year. ​ Despite these challenges, the Nifty 50 showed resilience in March 2025, recording a 6.3% gain—the strongest monthly performance in 15 months. This rebound was driven by investor interest in undervalued stocks, renewed foreign inflows, and improving economic indicators. However, the recent tariff announcement poses new risks that could influence market performance in April. ​ Analysts suggest that the Nifty 50 may face headwinds in the near term due to the tariff situation and its potential impact on various sectors. Historical trends indicate that after a strong March performance, April often sees limited gains or negative returns. Investors are advised to monitor developments closely and consider sector-specific implications when making investment decision
NSE:NIFTY
by sr225406
SPX In Free Fall. How Much More Pain Do We Have Coming?Hey my fellow traders and followers, hope all is well with you and your trading? Let me shed some light on the dark times ahead. I know some of you are asking ; How much more pain do we have to endure? Well, I'm here to give my opinion on what I see in the daily SPX/USD chart. Like it or not we have another leg down to go. Sorry. We have on the chart a Head & Shoulder, or Inverted V pattern, Bearflag pattern after the first round of distribution. Second distribution will show in another leg down to 5343.4 area which will be our TP-1. TP-2 is ready for it?------ 4981 area. Long ways to go yet. I see this playing out until anywhere from April 23 to April 30th. Whether you want to believe this possibility or not, please be careful with your bias. Remember the Daily and Weekly are still bearish so understand the depth we can fall. My job is to tip you off on what is possible. Until next time please trade carefully if you choose as the market is in wide wide price swings that keep hitting retail trader's stops in both directions. If you are going to trade, trade the smaller TF's to avoid blowing up your account. Best of luck in all your trades. Cheers!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Trade-Farmer
SPX developing a wedge similar to 2022As I write this futures are sharply down to 5440 and ViX is at 40. I expect to see a short technical bounce to about 5550, being at major trendline. The wedge formation is similar to 2022. A breakout from Wedge would be sharp either way. If it holds at this level for a couple of weeks then I expect to see a bounce to 5775.I had said earlier in my vix analysis we are in 2022 mode. Market could see a relief rally only to realise that there are still many unknowns. The impact on labour market due to immigration policies, retaliation of other countries and negotiation results thereof, impact on consumer sentiments and extent of inflations due to tariff. Weakening of US dollar will only add to inflation pressure. Trump has only accelerated BRICS agenda of moving away from USD Citadel,Millennium and many other hedge fund are having liquidity problems and FED is been asked to setup a bailout fund for these crooks. They are the highest leveraged entities. A weaker market will precipitate another financial crisis. So far the financial sector hasn't been devalued liketh tech and semi's. I think their turn will come once the market have finished dealing with tech valuations. Once market gets this, it will see a sharp selloff, which is better than slow grind down over months as far as I am concerned When trump says, he doesn't care about the stock market, I think he knows it is overvalued, just like Warren Buffet did last year and sold off most his positions and now sitting on largest cash in history, waiting for it to come to his level of expectation which to to my mind cant be just 10% bat rather like 30% write off in the en, to entice savvy investors like Buffet and Michael Burry to re-enter and clean out the garbage investors like the hedge funds
SPREADEX:SPX
by krisoz
SPX has reached the top.SPX has reached the top. Based on a 3m period, SPX looks like it reached the top. Previous 3m candle closed below previous month. Signs of top, it can be fake-out but its near the RANGE (Red line) The G2S is in the bear market. The black indicator line is below the G2S (Blue Line) The 3m BREAKOUT indicator makes a lower high while price makes a higher high. 1 Year range looks very bullish, usually when you have a closed above the RANGE (Red line) its bullish, the price can go ballistic to the upside. This can be a fake-out too, we might have a big red candle at the end of the year. Time will tell, i don't trade SPX but if i will buy this stock, i will buy it at the RANGE (Green Line) or when its too close to it.
SP:SPXShort
by Theordertaker
S&P 500 on Edge: How Trump’s Tariffs Are Reshaping Market TrendsMarket Overview: The Shockwave of New Tariffs The S&P 500 is facing heightened volatility following former President Donald Trump’s newly proposed tariffs. Investors are grappling with concerns over economic growth, inflation, and potential trade retaliation. While markets initially showed resilience, the broader trend suggests growing unease as analysts dissect the long-term impact. Since the announcement, the S&P 500 has shown choppy movements, attempting to hold key support levels. However, increased selling pressure could signal deeper corrections ahead. Breaking Down the Tariffs: What’s at Stake? Trump’s tariff plan includes: • A 10% baseline tariff on all imported goods • A 25% tariff on automobile imports • Additional country-specific trade restrictions These policies aim to boost domestic manufacturing but risk disrupting global supply chains, impacting corporate profit margins, and inflating consumer prices. The biggest concern? Potential retaliatory tariffs from trade partners, which could escalate tensions and further pressure equities. Technical Analysis: S&P 500 at a Crossroads Key Support and Resistance Levels • Support: 5,000 (psychological level), 4,850 (50-day moving average) • Resistance: 5,200 (recent highs), 5,300 (all-time high zone) The S&P 500 recently tested its 50-day moving average, a critical indicator of short-term market sentiment. If selling pressure intensifies, a break below this level could lead to a deeper pullback toward 4,800. Momentum Indicators • RSI (Relative Strength Index): Hovering near 45, indicating neutral to slightly bearish momentum • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Shows a bearish crossover, suggesting potential downside pressure • Volume Trends: Increasing on red days, signaling distribution rather than accumulation The combination of technical weakness and fundamental uncertainty points to a cautious trading environment in the coming weeks. Sector Impact: Winners & Losers Winners ✔ Domestic Industrials & Manufacturing – Companies benefiting from protectionist policies may see increased demand. ✔ Defense & Aerospace – Historically resilient during geopolitical and economic uncertainty. ✔ Commodity Producers – Rising inflation could lift materials and energy stocks. Losers ❌ Technology & Semiconductors – Supply chain disruptions and higher import costs could weigh on margins. ❌ Automotive Industry – Higher tariffs on imported vehicles could hurt both manufacturers and consumers. ❌ Retail & Consumer Goods – Increased costs may be passed on to consumers, dampening demand. Investor Playbook: Navigating the Uncertainty Short-Term Strategies • Hedge with Volatility Plays: The VIX has been ticking higher, making it an attractive hedge against market swings. • Watch Key Support Levels: A break below 4,850 on the S&P 500 could signal further downside, while a bounce from current levels may present a short-term buying opportunity. • Sector Rotation: Shift focus to industries that historically perform well during protectionist policies, such as domestic manufacturing and commodities. Long-Term Outlook While the market is reacting negatively to tariff announcements, historical data suggests that initial sell-offs can eventually lead to stabilization as businesses adjust. However, if tariffs escalate into a full-scale trade war, expect prolonged market turbulence similar to the 2018 tariff battle with China. Final Thoughts The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture. If trade tensions escalate, expect increased volatility and further downside pressure. However, if negotiations ease concerns, markets could stabilize and resume their upward trajectory. For now, traders should proceed with caution, keep an eye on technical indicators, and be prepared for potential market shocks. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term correction or the beginning of a broader market shift. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock prices are subject to market risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SP:SPX
by Invest_MTS