NIFTY S/R for 25/4/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market indices
Dollar False-break or break down????
1. **Entry:**
- Wait for confirmed false break below weekly deviation channel ( Short)
- Enter long after price reclaims support and shows bullish reversal (long)
- Alternative: Short on confirmed breakdown below channel with follow-through
2. **Stop Loss:**
- False break long: Below recent swing low
- Confirmed breakdown short: Above broken support level
3. **Take Profit:**
- False break long: Previous resistance or mean deviation line
- Breakdown short: Next major support level or extension of channel height
4. **Key Confirmations:**
- Candle patterns daily and weekly
- Weekly close position relative to deviation channel
- Follow-through in subsequent weekly candle
- Correlation check with major pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD)
5. **Management:**
- Give trade room to develop (weekly timeframe requires patience)
- Scale in to reduce risk
- Scale out at significant levels
Nifty movement this weekThe arrow in the image points to a potential upward movement of the NIFTY index after it bounced off a support level. To provide detailed resistance and support levels specifically for this indicated movement, we need to analyze the chart around that area.
Based on the provided chart:
Support:
The most immediate support that facilitated the bounce is around the 23,800 level. This is where the price found buying interest and reversed its downward trend.
A further significant support level can be seen near 23,600. This level acted as resistance previously and now could act as support.
Resistance:
The immediate resistance that the price might encounter as it moves upwards is around the 24,200 level. This level aligns with a previous swing high and could present a hurdle for further upward movement.
A more significant resistance zone appears to be around the 24,500 - 24,600 area. This zone has acted as a strong resistance in the past, as indicated by the horizontal lines on the chart.
Therefore, for the upward movement indicated by the arrow:
Immediate Support: ₹23,800
Next Support: ₹23,600
Immediate Resistance: ₹24,200
Stronger Resistance Zone: ₹24,500 - ₹24,600
It's important to remember that these levels are based on the information visible in this specific chart and market conditions can change.
RUSSEL / IWM IDEAovernight bounce off 15m demand im sized im very lightly due to it being an over night trade (I have a high loosing percentage trading Asia Session.) Simple play if volatility can kick in towards London/NY session. No PT if this starts working, I will just let it run until 5m structure is broken.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(25/04/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in index near 55500 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading above 55550 level then expected upside rally of 400-500+ points in opening session. This upside rally can extends for further upto 56450+ level in case banknifty gives breakout of 56050 level. Any downside only expected below 55450 level. Downside 55050 level will act as a important support for today's session.
US30?
Hi,
Discussion with Treasury Sec & Finance Minister KATO...
BESSET: Please don't sell our bonds anymore.
KATO: No will have to sell.. our Yen is weak
If we don't sell.. anyone else would..
BESSET: We will maintain interest rates as is.. what say you?
KATO: Okay... but you will inform us when you make changes
BESSET : ( *wink*)...
So that is the made up conversation. Do you think it's a possibility?
But biz is biz...
Japan would balance it's treasury.. It will sell as balancing act. That's my my 2c.
IF Yen is weak by another 5-10% (up on USDJPY).. Kato will not hesitate to unload again
Hehe.. This is just a story.
All the best
For now, I think Japan.. halting it's selling.. US30 up 10% (my prediction to 44000 for now)
SPX on threshold of bullish breakout? I am cautiously bullishNations may be lining up to kiss Trump's a??? but SPX has come to kiss a confluence of trendline resistance as well as POC
Also markets we approaching month end. You only need to look at the past month ends and see what happens to the price, yes they tend to reverse very often if not always, specially if the prices are below 200 ema as it is now.
I would be watching how the market behaves next week. Soft economic data are pointing to weaker economy and the underlying problem of highly leveraged Hedge Funds remain. I wonder if they begin to deleverage some more at this level.
Any future decline would be a good entry point
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels.
Current Situation:
The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement.
Potential Bullish Scenario:
A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322.
Conclusion:
The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) AnalysisDXY, or the U.S. Dollar Index, is an index that measures the value of the American dollar against major currencies such as the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), and Swiss Franc (CHF). An increase in the DXY indicates that the dollar has strengthened against these currencies; a decrease signifies that it has weakened. This index is susceptible to global economic outlook, interest rates, and geopolitical developments.
In the past, with Donald Trump's rise to the presidency, expectations of rising inflation in the markets had strengthened. This had caused the DXY to rise from the 100 level to 109. However, the tariffs implemented by Trump and the trade wars he initiated weakened the dollar in the long run, leading to a downward trend in the DXY.
As of today, the DXY has technically reached an important support level. At the same time, major currencies forming the index, such as GBP, EUR, and JPY, are trading at resistance points. This situation increases the likelihood of the dollar reacting from this level. If the support level is maintained, we may see an upward movement in the DXY. Conversely, if the support is broken, a deeper downward movement in the dollar index may begin.
DXYThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a downward trend as institutional investors continue to prioritize selling over buying. This sentiment is reflected in the increasing number of sell orders compared to buy orders.
Key Observations:
- DXY price action indicates a bearish trend.
- Institutional investors are adding more sells than buys, contributing to the downward pressure.
Trading Implications:
- Short positions may be favored given the prevailing bearish sentiment.
- Traders should monitor key support levels for potential breakouts or reversals.
Option Insights – Trading the Greeks (Part 2 of 4):Gamma Effects# Option Insights – Trading the Greeks (Part 2 of 4)
## Option Convexity and Gamma Effects
### Gamma – The Convexity of Options
Gamma measures how much the Delta of an option changes in response to movements in the underlying asset’s price. Mathematically, it is the second derivative of the option’s value with respect to the price of the underlying. In simpler terms, Gamma quantifies the curvature—or convexity—of the option’s price sensitivity.
- Positive Gamma: Accelerating Delta as the underlying moves.
- Negative Gamma: Decelerating Delta as the underlying moves.
This convexity becomes especially important for traders managing exposure. A directional trader might seek:
- Positive Gamma near anticipated breakouts to increase exposure during favorable moves.
- Negative Gamma in areas where they want to taper exposure, such as in covered call setups (where the short call reduces gains as price rises).
---
## Gamma and Delta Hedging
Traders who Delta hedge their option positions using the underlying (or a Delta-1 instrument) face the reality of nonlinearity: Delta changes as the market moves, and Gamma determines how fast.
In practice, this means hedgers must adjust frequently to maintain a neutral Delta—Gamma tells them how often and how aggressively.
---
## Hedging a Position with Positive Gamma
When hedging and holding positive Gamma:
- If the underlying price rises → Delta increases → Sell the underlying.
- If the underlying price falls → Delta decreases → Buy the underlying.
This results in countercyclical trading, i.e., trading against the market trend.
**Advantages:**
- Potentially dampens volatility.
- Allows for limit order execution (e.g., sell at offer when price rises), capturing bid-offer spreads.
- Automated or semi-automated setups possible.
---
## Hedging a Position with Negative Gamma
With hedging and holding negative Gamma, the adjustments are procyclical:
- Price rises → Delta drops → Buy more underlying.
- Price falls → Delta rises → Sell more underlying.
**This means:**
- You're chasing the market, increasing exposure in the direction of the move.
- You likely cross the spread to ensure execution (lifting the offer or hitting the bid).
- This behavior tends to amplify volatility and incurs transaction costs.
---
## Summary: Gamma's Impact on Hedging
- Long Gamma → Hedge countercyclically, dampen market movements, and potentially profit from spreads.
- Short Gamma → Hedge pro-cyclically, amplify market movements, and pay the spread.
This distinction underscores a critical point: hedging Delta is not just about neutralizing exposure—it’s about managing how that exposure evolves, which is precisely what Gamma represents.
---
## Can You Hedge Delta Without Gamma Risk?
**In theory?** Yes.
**In practice?** Not really.
Hedging an option (a nonlinear instrument) with the underlying (a linear one) means you’re using a linear approximation of a curved payoff structure. This hedge is only locally accurate—it must be rebalanced frequently to remain effective.
While it’s theoretically possible to hedge both Delta and Gamma using other options, this introduces complexity:
- Other Greeks (like Theta and Vega) enter the equation.
- Option hedges are often illiquid, expensive, or difficult to scale.
For most traders, hedging Delta with the underlying remains the simplest, most liquid, and most cost-effective approach—despite the need for Gamma-based adjustments.
---
## Gamma Trading & Gamma Scalping
Even in non-directional strategies, Gamma has value.
Gamma scalping involves actively trading the underlying around an options position to exploit short-term price swings:
- You buy low and sell high as the underlying fluctuates,
- Profiting from volatility, not direction.
This is a powerful technique for monetizing Gamma, particularly when implied volatility is elevated relative to realized moves.
---
## Coming Up Next:
📘 Part 3: Gamma Scalping – Monetizing Convexity Through Active Hedging
by parsifaltrading
BANKNIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 25/04/2025// The core idea behind this indicator was sparked by a simple but powerful clue:
// 👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
// From that point onward, everything—the logic, calculation method, and application—has been developed independently through my own analysis and experience.
// I am not a seller, and no one taught me this system. This method is a result of my own effort and refinement.
///////////////////// Explanation /////////////////////
// This trading system is designed to eliminate blind trades by offering confirmation-based entry and exit points.
///////////////////// Entry/Exit Strategy /////////////////////
// - Use the BLACK line for long trades, and the RED line for short trades, in line with confirmation from your trading plan.
// - Stop Loss:
// - For long trades: below the RED line.
// - For short trades: above the BLACK line.
// - Take Profit:
// - For long trades: target the next RED line above.
// - For short trades: target the next BLACK line below.
///////////////////// Recommended Timeframe /////////////////////
// Use on a 15-minute chart for best results.
///////////////////// Disclaimer /////////////////////
// This setup is shared purely for educational purposes.
// I am not responsible for any gains or losses that may result from its use.
// Always use your own judgment and risk management.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2 RRX2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
US2000 / RUSSELL2000 Index Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the US2000 / RUSSELL2000 Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red zone area. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (1960) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (1840) Day / Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 2100 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸US2000 / RUSSELL2000 Index Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bullish trend.., driven by several key factors.☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
"STOXX50/EURO50" Index Market Money Heist (Day / Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "STOXX50/EURO50" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (4500) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (4800) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 4200 (or) Escape Before the Target
"STOXX50/EURO50" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Trade Idea: US30 Short (SELL STOP)1. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
• Trend: Still overall bullish long-term, but in a short-term pullback phase after peaking.
• MACD: Bearish crossover with widening histogram — indicating continued downside momentum.
• RSI: At 45.05 — neutral-bearish, room to fall to oversold.
• Price: Strong reaction at ~37675.05 area, bounced back to ~39562, forming a potential lower high.
15-Min Chart
• MACD: Recently crossed bearish after a sharp rally.
• Price Action: Approaching resistance zone (~39562), failed to make a new high.
• RSI: 44.78 — leaning bearish, but not oversold yet.
3-Min Chart
• MACD: Just flipped bullish but weak — suggesting possible micro pullback before continuation.
• RSI: 48.82 — very neutral, no extreme condition.
⸻
2. Fundamental Context (as of April 2025)
• Recent sharp pullback from all-time highs hints at risk-off sentiment returning.
• Likely driven by Fed rate uncertainty, inflationary stickiness, or geopolitical jitters.
• Earnings season volatility could also play a role.
• No strong bullish macro catalyst to support a fresh rally continuation yet.
⸻
3. Trade Setup: SHORT Position
Bias: SHORT
Reason: Price hit resistance at 39562, confirmed by 15M MACD cross and RSI weakness. Daily still bearish momentum. No major bullish catalyst.
⸻
ENTRY:
39550 (near current resistance, confirmed failure to break higher)
STOP LOSS (SL):
39800 (above recent minor high, above 15M key level)
TAKE PROFIT (TP):
38900 — Minor support zone, clean level from 15M + previous consolidation area
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Make US(and USD) weak again, and short DXY 99,358Hey traders, this is a fundamentally and technically based idea. I´m expecting a weakening of USD due to actual US goverment policy. Important weekly lenel 100,600 was broken and holding. If you decide to trade this idea, you can enter now at current price 99,358 and hold till profit lines. TP your trade partially. You can consider averaging at 100,600 instead of cutloss after the reaction. Wish you good luck.