TLS LONGBREAKOUT
Major up
Current down
Broke on the upside with volume spike. Took position $4.38.
gap filled far from breakout candle close.
RRR 1:2
Entry $4.38
TP $4.51
SL $4.30
LIKE
1) Breakout happen near EMA. might provide good RRR.
2) Reduce position sizing after that from 100% to 60% after observing that theres no follow through.
DISLIKE
1) On hindsight, it does look like a marginal breakout candle formation. (not long enough)
2) Chase trade due to fear of missing out. broke at 4.36 and yet brought at 4.38 (Fear of loss missing out)
3) not confident in the followup move candle came back down to test EMA. The followup momentum dint happen
NCM bullish outlookI am looking at Livermore Cylinder pattern playing out. Recent bullish divergence indicates there is lot of potential of support from the trend line. RSI is oversold and other indicators give signs of rebound.
DYOR and trade at own risk.
EVN hold $4.50 target but longer journeyPull back met at $3.76-$3.72 ✅
Inverse head and shoulders forming with an ascending neck line
Possible sideways chop in Gold or slow rise of Gold.
Debt Ceiling should get approved if not Gold will spike and thus EVN
Until Fed officially pauses rate then Gold to spike past previous highs
EVN to pull back possibly to $3.60 before ranging back up to $4.50
Still holding conviction on EVN $4.50 and beyond if the gold Thesis plays out.
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Critical Support Level for LKELake Resources presents a promising opportunity with low risk and high potential for rewards. At present, the stock appears to be consolidating around the 60 1/2 cents range, potentially indicating a bottoming out of prices. However, we should also note that the downtrend line, as depicted by the chart's line, is currently descending into the price action.
Confirmation of a bullish trend will occur when we see a break above this descending line. It is noteworthy that there are several similarities between the charts of Lake Resources and Core Lithium. We recommend setting a stop loss just below the 60 cent mark for this trade, as it appears to be a key level of support and resistance for the stock.
Strong result and reasonable valuation Westpac shares bucked the trend amongst its banking peers rising after revealing its half-year result for the first half of the 2023 financial year. Cash earnings came in at $4,001m which rose +22% from last year benefiting from higher interest rates and making progress to become a simpler, stronger bank with disciplined cost and margin management providing $1 billion of in cost savings.
Interim dividend came in at 70 cents per share, up +15% from last year, and a 61% payout ratio to further strengthen their balance sheet.
We welcome Westpac’s result which was in-line with market expectations and with a conservative view anticipate loan business and margins to tighten slightly given the slowdown in the housing market due to rising interest rates. Westpac as still trades at a reasonable multiple compared to other big four banks’ forecasted to pay out a 6.5% dividend (taking a prudent approach of assuming no dividend growth from here).
Read more at: research.blackbull.com
XRF Heading lowerUsing Volume Profile analysis to show where the XRF price can be heading after such a great run in April.
During consolidation period followed by a move higher, the price pulled back toward the previous Point of Control (POS) before the position was defended and price bounced off before moving higher.
Prior to the big move up on 14-Apr, the POC was clearly building around the 1 - 1.03 level. If it falls below the 1.15 level which happens to be the 0.618 Fib level as well, it will most likely fall back to around the 1.00 level as there is a low volume profile region below 1.15.
My expectation is that this position around 1.00 will be defended as the fundamentals for the company remains strong. This could also be a good entry point for those who missed the initial run up.
QBE Weekly Divergence possible bollinger band reversalQBE weekly divergence
Its important to maintain some level of impartiality when looking at charts... i.e. what's happening right now
I've held this as a long term position play but it looks like there are some crack appearing which may signal a few months of consolidation
Typically divergence leads to the price coming back to at least the 50ma area
While I'm not going to trade this as I'm long and I do not short stocks, I thought it was interesting
Look for pull back to $3.76 consiolidatePull back to $3.76 Look to entry at these levels after confirmation of points below ( one scenario)
1. as. strength wanes
2. Dollar has a slight rally up and then EVN back down to consolidate
3. then Debt Ceiling anxiety brings gold price up
4. Debt increased to $$$ >34Trillion - Dollar looses more purchasing power - USD down $1.00??- ZIRP - rates down, down
5. EVN goes up with TVC:GOLD up
6. Target $3.76
7. React to any other narratives -if trend still is our friend then next target $4.45 (Fib Ret 31.8)
CAY (ASX) bullish set upAlthough CAY ( ASX) is an information driven asset awaiting mining license, there is some bullish structure.
Currently the price is sitting at 0.045 this is insider price purchase and is holding steady.
After a large break to 0.078C currently price is forming a descending wedge on the daily / weekly.
If price can break-out and hold the daily 50ema: Potentially could see price go to 0.095.
- Remember currently nothing has been confirmed.
1 - We are awaiting break-out of wedge / 2 - and hold of daily 50 EMA.
- This is simply just a watch and wait strategy as there is good up-side potential on CAY if a breakout is confirmed and could potentially mean a mining license is close / if the structure is to complete.
Newcrest Miningat last: Newcrest now out of falling wedge.
Wonderfull On Balanced Volume.
Now, up to old highs- roundabout 40 Aussie Dollars.
Shares - ASX - Paladin. Ascending triangle get longShares ASX - Paladin. Paladin appears to be bottoming out. Possible double bottom. So we have a reversal pattern as a starting point. We then started forming an ascending triangle with resistance at 0.66. RSI on the triangle is stronger suggesting the triangle should breakout to the upside. We have a dragonfly doji recently also suggesting bullish price action.
RSI is higher as the triangle forms.
Volume is low as the pattern forms especially on the sells.
STO has dropped to 14 on the recent low so it is primed for a bounce.
Entry. More risk adverse traders would enter on the break up of the 0.66 range. Less risk adverse traders enter at the bottom of the ascending triangle. Pretty much now. I bought now.
Target 1 is 0.75.
Stop loss 0.57.
Current price is 0.615.
MNS reached bottom?Looks like we have bottomed on MNS.ASX. We have gone more than 50% drop, so we should be expecting a major reversal. I see a butterfly pattern playing out too. We are also a major support area from end of 2020. First target 0.235, second target 0.28 and final target 0.345.
Trade at own risk and DYOR.
ASX.GNG GR Engineering FirmWest Australian based engineering firm designing and constructing mine processing facilities for some of Australia's biggest mining companie s.
Huge growth potential shown in the 1W chart.
ST
from here we should rely on support around the 1.60 area.
I think we should swing somewhere in the region of 2.00 which is the 0.382 retracement of wave a-c
NMT things are looking upThis picture tells a lot. For the sake of simplifying the chart I have removed money flow which is also positive (as of the last few days).
If you look at extreme volume over the last few months, it has always occurred at the topside of a mean - that is, distribution. The downtrend abated on the 20th March (with supporting volume on the 17th and 20th enough to arrest the decline). This was extreme volume at the bottom side of a mean - so something has shifted. The grey Stochastics showed some trading interest from this which then peaked on the 14th April and there was no follow through on the longer term stochastic (in blue). Heavy supporting volume arrived on Wed 26th in the same buy zone as the 17th March. Due to the last couple of days, I'll go on a limb and say this stock is now being supported at these levels (Accumulation).
Some more obvious things to think about:
The downtrend has abated with a basing pattern underway. The first run out of the block on the 20th March received little long term support but you often see that after a downward trend. There's now a positive divergence on the fast Stochastic from March 17th.
There's no heavy supply until 80c.
A break of 65c would be very constructive.
NB: this is not to be construed as financial advice. This is very early days in a potential turnaround.