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UNPOPULAR REALISTIC OPINION ON UBISOFT - THE WORST IS BEHIND USIs Ubisoft the most hated stock on the market right now? Both sentiment and price action seems to have gone in extremely negative territory. The herd seems to have chosen Ubisoft as this year's scapegoat for hate. Nevertheless, a more realistic and positive outlook exists, for investors looking for value, Ubisoft now seems primed for UPSIDE. In this post I like to explain why. Ubisoft dropped another 17% today as of writing this post, trading at 9.45 euros per share. This capitulation comes after the postponement of AC Shadows release, objectively speaking a solid and wise decision given the backlash about the pre-footage and allowing Ubisoft to make significant changes in making the release a success. Technically speaking, Ubisoft is in a great value for money area : - Monthly RSI sitting at oversold (never happened before) - Mothly RSI making new lows, with price making higher lows (= hidden bullish divergence) - UBI sitting slightly below the bottom support of it's historic upward price channel -- A low that in my opinion can easily be reclaimed as support - Monthly MACD bearish momentum weakening, signaling strength despite relentless bearish price action - Lots of horizontal support close to current price (green horizontal lines) - Blue line covers a scenario I see developing over the next few weeks (reclaim of bottom channel support - purple line; followed by reclaim of bottom falling wedge - black line), trade sideways and slightly up to eventually break bullish out of the falling wedge). Additionally, and fundamentally speaking, investors seem to forget the massive catalog that Ubisoft has in terms of games, a catalog universally available for purchase, promoted by discounts making buyers tempted to stock up, that will always result in revenue, potentially being underestimated by the market. Earnings might not be so bad? Fundamentally I believe Ubisoft is set for an epic comeback, one way or another, a management shift or a surprising good release or sales results of existing catalog could trigger a relief rally turning in continued upside. The bears have been in control for too long and are too confident it sure seems. All opinions welcome; I'm not a financial advisor and am simply sharing my thoughts from an investor perspective. Thanks for reading!
EURONEXT:UBILong
by Wikimax
1
LVMH: New horizons in sight!The LVMH stock is undergoing a correction phase, with the possibility of further declines into the €560 - €525 support zone. This level is marked as a strong long-term buy opportunity for investors, and price recovery is expected from this zone. Should this correction unfold as anticipated, the stock could rally to €624 and beyond, with potential targets at €733 and €900+ in the longer term. The €560 - €525 zone represents a key area of interest for long-term positions. This zone is supported by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and historical price action, making it a high-probability level where buyers are likely to step in. This area is highlighted as the "Best Long-Term Buy Zone", offering an ideal entry point for those looking to accumulate LVMH shares for a potential rebound. Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. I look forward to reading your thoughts. Best regards, Mattner No investment advice
EURONEXT:MCLong
by MattnerFuture
4
Fugro - Touch down, in UptrendInteresting Fugro opportunity. 1. Trendlines 2. Financials 3. Advises 4. Taking Positions 1. Trendlines Bottom trendlines upwards (5Year), and top trendline downwards (10 Year) are crossing each other this week. - The next 1-2 weeks is going to be an important in which direction the share will develop. - Last 4 - 5 years minor trend line is trending up. Indicating most likely an upward trend following the latest trend and signals. - The strong down trend line range from 10+ years breach needs to be confirmed. This was tested the last week and the result looks promissing for an upward trend. This test is the 3th time in the last year, and it's still holding exactly at the time it's crossing the lines. Uptrend movements Following past trendlines the potential for the coming 2-3 months can be 'quickly' reached at a stock price of 25,50 for new trend up tests. The potential here is around 20% depending on the moment you step in. If this share is going up, probably you'll be to late. The trends up have shown big investors know where to step in at important moments. Take position with a good stop-loss. 2. Financials - The last 5 year revenue and earning have shown an interesting upwards trend. Not placing al the numbers here. But it's going from a negative to positive an a straight and strong line each year. - After a period where Fugro had to take it's time to make the business capable for a healthy future, 2024 was the fist year (after 5) to provide shareholders with Dividend (1,91%). - Dept has been decreased with 50% the last 5 years and remains steady. - Free Cash flow and equivelents is showing an healthy trend up. 3. Advises - 7 analyst giving a strong buy advise with an avarage price target of 31,28 in 1 year. There are not any other advises then strong buy. -The forecast for the coming 5 years is almost a double in revenue and earnings per share. - The previous high at 25,50 (about 20%) can be reached in a couple of months and will be tested. 4. Taking Position I have taken position at 20,04, but with a share price of 20,94 it's still worth the risk. If you are in doubt place a stop - loss. There is great potential in this stock ============ What's in my mind in general what is Fugro about. - Deepsea mining investigations is good for Fugro. This is an hot toppic in the world. If US and Europe, Etc wants to be "less depending" on china's mining operations i.e. on Cobalt. there needs to happening something. And this is happening now.. - Fugro had broughtened it's market with Windmills and onshore activities . Making the risk for depending on orders in a specific marked lower.
EURONEXT:FURLong
by Erwin00NL
Ubisoft: Guillemot's terrible Fall in Disgrace Ubisoft is recently facing a series of challenges. Along with other video game companies such as Epic Games and Electronic Arts, Ubisoft has been the subject of a complaint by the European Consumers' Organization (BEUC). The complaint alleges that these companies mislead gamers, especially children, by selling virtual currencies in games, leading to excessive spending and hiding the real cost of digital items. BEUC urges regulators to take action against these practices. Video Games Europe, which represents the companies singled out, defends these practices, assuring that they comply with European laws and the PEGI Code of Conduct. At the same time, Ubisoft faces a fall in the value of its shares after the very disappointing reception of “Star Wars Outlaws”, failing to meet investors' expectations, compared to games from other houses such as “Space Marine 2: Warhammer 40k” which sold more than 400,000 copies in the month of release. The game, which was key to the company's financial recovery after four years of negative cash flows, received a low user score on Metacritic, which has caused Ubisoft's stock to hit its lowest level since 2015. This is on top of the poor reception of another recent release, “Xdefiant,” negatively impacting sales expectations. The long-awaited “Skull & Bones,” which relied on French government subsidies and resulted in another broken title, also passed without much fanfare. One of the keys to their fall from grace is the replication of the “Assasin's Creed” model in everything they have done and the franchise's extension of that model of stretching the model until it no longer works. These failures are only a reflection of an overly commercialized and repetitive model where consumers of video games barely have to think and repeat mechanics over and over again, and all video games generate the idea of playing the same video game over and over again. The insertion of absurd mechanics without utility has been another of the failures of the latest Starwars game, which have finally disappointed players despite being a franchise that in “theory” should sell by itself due to its renown. In the midst of these difficulties, and a complaint requesting his resignation as CEO, the Guillemot family, founder of Ubisoft, is considering buying the entire company to avoid selling it to third parties. Despite rumors of interest from firms such as Blackstone Inc. and KKR & Co, the Guillemots plan to maintain control to avoid a hostile takeover. They currently own 15.9% of the shares and 22.3% with voting rights, and are looking to partner with a private equity firm to acquire the remainder. These moves reflect the family's strategy to retain control of Ubisoft at a time of significant challenges. If we look at the UBI.FR chart it shows us the commented a continued slump since July 2018, a recovery zone in December 2021 and since then the firm has not stopped falling in results. If we look at the economic data the 2018 profit peak was given by an increase in gross and net profit higher than the previous year (+139.452M). From there, although the company has had a high profit decline and in 2021 presented a balance in positive, returning again to present the following years losses. This 2024 , the company presented a balance in the first part of the year positive (+157.8M) compared to a terrible 2023 in results (-494.2M). And seeing the current news about the current games, it is foreseeable a continuation of the fall if the data of the new games do not present better sales results, which could make the company fall to the zone of 10 euros per share or even end up being taken off the stock exchange or acquired by another market giant interested in its products as could be Microsoft. Microsoft must wait at least until 2033 to be able to acquire Ubisoft because during the merger of Activision, Blizzard and King, within the structural measures proposed by Microsoft's lawyers to comply with British antitrust regulations, it highlighted its promise not to buy Ubisoft, following the CMA's approval of Microsoft. Therefore, in the short term, it only seems viable for Ubisoft to be acquired by other competitors or to be taken out of the market, if it continues to be negative. Ion Jauregui - Analyst Activtrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
EURONEXT:UBIShort
by ActivTrades
4
e-Learning with the TradingMasteryHub - Growth is "simple"🚀 Welcome to the TradingMasteryHub Education Series! 📚 Looking to unlock consistent growth in your trading? Today, we’re diving into a powerful yet straightforward formula that many overlook. Growth isn’t magic; it’s a process that involves discipline, patience, and following a few key principles. Let’s explore seven strategies that can lead you to consistent success. 1. Get Rid of the Idea that You Can Calculate Profit It’s time to rethink profit calculation. Many traders rely on risk/reward (R/R) ratios to estimate their potential profits, but the truth is, you can’t predict how far the market will go or how volatile it’ll be on the way. Setting a profit target can actually work against you. Your brain becomes fixated on that goal, which can cause you to make irrational decisions, like holding on too long when the market is telling you to exit. It’s more likely that you’ll lose out by not taking profits before reaching your target than by missing an extended move. Instead of trying to calculate profit, focus on managing your trades as they unfold. No one knows where the market will go, but you can follow the price action and let it lead you to bigger gains than you initially expected. 2. Always Use a Stop Loss The stop-loss order is your best friend in trading because it’s the only thing you can control. A stop loss does more than protect your capital—it measures your discipline and ability to stick to a plan. It helps you stay aligned with your risk tolerance (what I like to call your “bud meter”). Set your stop loss at significant areas in the market. The best place to put it? Where you’d place the opposite trade. For example, if you’re buying, put the stop loss where a sell order would make sense in the current market context. This prevents you from being stopped out prematurely and ensures you stay on the right side of the momentum. 3. Add to Your Winners, Cut the Losers Adding to winners is a game-changer. Most traders fade out of winning trades too quickly because they fear giving back profits. But by adding to positions that are moving in your favor, you’re compounding your success. Don’t worry about getting in at a higher price—if the market is showing strength, it’s a sign to follow. Let’s look at how most traders handle a winning trade: - They take small profits at 1:1 R/R ratio, move their stop loss, and try to let the rest run. - But in doing so, they lock in limited gains and miss out on the bigger move. Now, here’s what the top 10% of traders do: - Instead of scaling out, they add to their winners at each significant level. - By adding small positions as the market runs, they compound their gains, allowing the trade to grow much larger than initially estimated. This approach not only maximizes your gains but also lowers your risk on each successive entry. 4. Only Trade in Trend Direction Trading with the trend is like surfing—catching the wave takes you much farther than paddling against it. In bull markets, overhead resistance zones are often broken, just like support levels in bear markets. These trends are driven by large institutional players, like hedge funds and banks. Retail traders only make up a small fraction of the market, so swimming against these currents is a losing game. About 20% of trading days in major indices are strong trending days where the market moves in one direction all day long. To take full advantage of these days, you need to add to your winning trades as the trend progresses. 5. Seek the "Brain Pain"—It’s a Sign of Growth Your brain is wired to avoid pain at all costs, and this can be detrimental to your trading. Most traders scale out of winning positions too soon because their subconscious is trying to protect them from the fear of losing profits. On the flip side, they’ll add to losing positions, convincing themselves that they’re getting a “discount,” even when the market shows otherwise. To become a winning trader, you need to train yourself to embrace discomfort. This means adding to your winning trades, using stop losses that you can stomach, and cutting losses as soon as your brain starts to rationalize bad decisions. Losing should never bother you—it’s part of the game. What matters is your overall growth and consistency, not avoiding pain in individual trades. 6. Don’t Do What 90% of Traders Do—Be the 10% Want to be in the top 10%? It’s simple: avoid the mistakes of the 90%. Here’s how: - Always set a stop loss. - Add to your winners, don’t fade out. - Cut losses before they snowball. - Trade the market, not your account—don’t take revenge trades to “get even.” Focus on what the market is showing you, not what your account balance says. The market doesn’t care about your profit target. It only cares about price movement, so align yourself with it. 7. Analyze Your Trades, Not Just Your Results The best way to grow as a trader is through post-trade analysis. Screenshot your charts, mark your entries, stop losses, and exits, and review them daily. This helps you identify both technical and psychological weaknesses in your trading. Think of it this way: if you had a business partner who consistently made poor decisions, you’d fire them eventually. Be your own business partner, and change your behavior if it’s not delivering results. 🔚 Conclusion and Recommendation Growth in trading is a simple formula: get rid of fixed profit targets, control your risk with stop losses, add to winners, and cut your losers. Follow the trend, embrace discomfort, and don’t fall into the traps that 90% of traders do. Analyze your trades with an honest eye, and over time, you’ll see steady growth. Success in trading isn’t about perfection—it’s about discipline, consistency, and continual learning. --- 🔥 Can’t Get Enough? Don’t Miss Out! Subscribe, share, and engage with us in the comments. This is the start of a supportive trading community—built by traders, for traders! 🚀 Join us on the journey to market mastery, where we grow, learn, and succeed together. 💪 💡 What You'll Learn: - Essential growth strategies in trading - The psychological edge to outperform others - Practical tools for trading success - And much more!... Best wishes, TradingMasteryHub
EURONEXT:RMSEducation
by TradingMasteryHub
1
LVMH: Bullish: Butterfly detected.LVMH: Bullish: Butterfly detected. The price could go down to the PRZ zone indicated on the right chart: 512 to start, then 388 if the Double top plays its role. This will therefore be a very interesting entry point for investors. Below: Some information about LVMH. LVMH (Louis Vuitton Moët Hennessy) is today the world leader in luxury and one of the largest French companies. Here’s a look at where LVMH stands today: Recent Financial Performance LVMH recently announced its third-quarter 2023 results, which missed analysts’ expectations This announcement caused a significant drop in the stock price, which is down more than 20% from its record highs Market Position Despite these mixed results, LVMH remains the world’s largest luxury company, with a portfolio of iconic brands including Louis Vuitton, Dior, Givenchy, Kenzo, Moët & Chandon and many others Structure and Values LVMH is a family-owned group founded in 1987. Its primary mission is to ensure the long-term development of each of its houses, while preserving their identity and autonomy. The group emphasizes creativity, innovation and excellence in all its products and services. Corporate Strategy LVMH's strategy is based on the vertical integration of its value chain, from raw material sourcing to selective distribution. This approach aims to ensure the excellence and sustainability of its products. Social and Environmental Responsibility LVMH is increasingly committed to ethical, social and environmental initiatives. The group places emphasis on adopting and promoting honest behavior in all its actions and relationships. Future Outlook Despite recent challenges, LVMH remains a solid company with long-term growth potential. , like any company in the luxury sector, it is sensitive to global economic fluctuations and changes in consumer habits.
EURONEXT:MCLong
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
TOTAL - BREAK OF THE 63 ? After closing the session on Monday 26.08 up 1.13%, the share is now on a key level. What's more, the downtrend line was broken yesterday. The 63 level, which has acted as resistance for several sessions now, is once again under attack by investors. This level is also the one most traded by investors since the April-August period, with a POC of volume present on the 63€ level. Despite fears about the end of the transit agreement providing for the delivery of Russian gas to Europe via Ukraine, which still represented 15 billion cubic meters (Bcm) last year. TOTAL has many reasons to be optimistic for the coming months/years. Clearly, a break of 63€ would push the price towards 64.50€, as a first target for closing the gap between August 8 and 9. 70.11€ will remain the ultimate target for buyers, but they will need to be patient and relentless to reach this level before the end of the year. Maxime Dominguez - Analyst at ActivTrades. The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has no been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such is to be considered to be a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
EURONEXT:TTELong
by ActivTrades
MC LVMH - Louis Voutton - DONT MISS IT - Long/buy IdeaDear traders, Id like to share this idea in order to take long positions, basically the price has already rebounded from 610, it is in a long term bullish correction patterm. In my humble opinion, it is a good option taking a buying position now, there is too much correlation with China as more than 30% of LVMH earnings come from this region and latelly chinese markets have shown a litte improvement therefore would be good for LVMH (Pay attention in the next quaterly earnings figures :) ) Additionally Macd already crossed over in a very oversold area which is a nice signal to reinforce this buying idea. best,
EURONEXT:MCLong
by FITINTRADE