ASML Swing Trade - ShortFor my first trade of the year, I will take a stab at ASML.
The share has failed to break through an established resistance (red line), and MACD and price action suggest a bearish move. My profit target is 608, close to the next support I identified (green line). My stop will be just over the resistance line, resulting in a 2R target for this trade.
Happy New Year, fellow traders! Let's go!
Heineken Missing Right Shoulder Bullish div on 1D MSR bullish div
Bullish div on 6 indicators I check:
MACD-H EFI mLines ATR price div EFI ATR div Stoch RSI
V1 buy trigger as well, and turning up now, impuls on 4H chart even green
Even V1 buy trigger on weekly, and diverging bottom on weekly as well.
TP1
70,89
TP2:
71,66
Entry:
69,1
SL
68,04
Trade #00005
[GLE] French Bank StockFirst time I am really interested by a banking stock and even more on this one after the 2008 crisis.
Here I want to see a big breakout of the weekly resistance level, this can then lead to a huge rally for the up side with 50€ as big target.
We have to manage the trade in case the break doesn't happen and we see some reversal short ... then a short swing can become a great idea
Great Trade !
[SAF] French Stock ReversalOn this very strong French Stock I waited this level for a long time and it has been my main profit level from years ago. Now I am looking for a corrective move to then enter back on it for the long terme.
I am now trying to play the short side of the correction on the TLB anticipation. This is my first entry and try, let's see next week if I have to adapt and modify my entry point to re-enter later ... strong conviction on this one.
Great Trade !
ALFEN in 600% rally to 60 euro? ** investment opportunity - European stock! **
A focus on European stocks for a change. The US stock market is becoming increasingly overbought with opportunities few and far between for long term investors. A look overseas provides some attractive opportunities.
As Europe transitions towards greener electricity generation so does the demand for infrastructure. One such company seeking to meet that demand is Netherlands based company ALFEN, which:
“engages in the development, production, and sale of products, systems and services related to the electricity grid. It focuses on smart grid solutions, electronic vehicle charging equipment, and energy storage systems for businesses.”
The TA:
On the above 4 day chart price action has corrected 90% since August 2022, a number of reasons now exist to consider an investment in this micro stock. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Price action on legacy support (see monthly chart below).
3) Regular bullish divergence. Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action.
4) The 60 euro range is 1st significant resistance upon legacy support confirmation.
Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure.
It is probable? No.
Ww
Type: Investment
Risk: You decide
Timeframe for long: Remainder of 2024
Return: 500-600%
Stop loss: Elsewhere
Monthly support
ASML RISING: Weekly MACD cross up, daily EMA 34/20 cross up.After a clear double bottom AND ASML being the MOST OVERSOLD EVER in the history of this stock, we have a nice +/- 10% upside opportunity on the swing up, with very attractive risk reward ratio (depending on where you anchor your stops but I leave that to you).
Daily chart has showed us a lot of bullish divergence over the past weeks and it's clear traders have been loading up on cheap ASML shares while this unique opportunity presented itself and this has slowly exhausted the sellers over the past month, making it ripe for a jump.
ASML is ready for a major run up. What I like about this setup is that even if I am wrong about the mid-long term of this move. I capitalize on the short term momentum of the move with minimal exposure to risk.
This stock is volatile and I take that into consideration when trading it.
I am no expert and none of this is advice, just sharing how I see things, trade at your own risk.
Wish you good luck and good fortune!
ASML range bound in from 620 to 670. ASML has biggest volume at range 645 to 665. I posit that until ASML can break 675 we won't see the next level. Given the news that Biden won't levy strict tarrifs on TSMC, this is positive for ASML as well and I think in December we will see ASMl go above 700. Let's wait for the reversal confirmation though.
Little bull call spread on StellantisI believe we are in the end of an accumulation. We had bad news lately about this company and his CEO. I don't want to own the stock, specially in this part of the economic cycle. This is purely a speculative trade.
There is a divergence in the awesome oscillator marking a possible end of the bear trend and right after, a period of low volatility characteristic of accumulations as we can see in the multiple historical volatility oscillator below. A spring a few days ago confirmed there were strong buyers. Now we are against the trendline.
So, I believe it's cheap (from ~€25 went down to ~€12,50) and it should make a bullish move shortly.
Strategy: Bull call spread
Expiration: 17 JAN 2025 (45 days to expiration)
Legs = +2 calls 13 and -2 calls 14
Premium = 0.27 * 100 stocks * 2 q per leg = €54
Max gain= €146
Risk / Reward = 2.7
Commissions= €1.5 (only open)
Break-even = From 13.27 (lower call + premium)
Historical Volatility (45 days) = 35,85%
Implicit Volatility = ~31%
In English: If the underlying (the stock) arrives at 13.27 I start earning money. If it gets to 14 or if it surpasses this price, I get to the max reward. I can lose at the most €54 + commisions even if the stock goes to €1.
The blue lines in the chart represent Breakeven, Max reward price and Expiration so I can follow the underlying. Now it's time to follow the DOM for each option.
I hope this process of thought helps you in your trades, specially if you are now to options.
Ready to take off.I think NYSE:STLA is ready to take off. From May 2024, NYSE:STLA has break though the first channel which was oscillating from end of July. The second channel is from end of April. NYSE:STLA is close to break through it. And lastly the thirds channel which is from first of October.
It also reached its bottom at 11.73 ( lowest level from November 2020).
I think we will have a slow run.
Bullish on this one.
I set my sell limit at 11 euros.
PROSUS is one of the most interesting EU stocks (+30%)🟢 PROSUS is one of the most interesting EU stocks (+30%)
EURONEXT:PRX is one of the most interesting stocks in the EU, investing in small projects with large potential and also some consolidated projects like tencent.
✅ What pattern is unfolding in EURONEXT:PRX ?
PRX traded over a previous resistance level (big blue line) and now we are see a pullback to the previous resistance.
💰 How to trade this chart pattern?
Buying near the blue support is a very good idea because you can have a potential of up 6 times your risk (30% benefits vs 5% risk)
If not, buying over the next green resistance could be a nice option because is a signal of bullish sentiment and then we will not see the price near the blue line. If you buy there, adjust the stop!
🛡️ The risk management strategy
As we have done in so many previous ideas, remember you can split the position in 2.
- 50% of the position in a take profits, at least, as large as your stop loss (adapt SL and this 1st TP to local supports/resistance levels). In this case, a 7% TP for 5% SL (see the chart)
- 50% of the position to a price as large as the previous pattern, which would mean a profit of 30%.
✴️ ENJOY AND FOLLOW for more 😊