Good quality stock which has completed technical set upTechnicals
The stock has corrected from covid market rally
Pre covid, the stock used to trade at higher PE, which is expected from good quality stock with max historical PE ( pre covid) in the range of 70-80
Currently the stock is at PE of 56, which shows good upward potential.
A contraction in price volatility is observed along with contaction in volume.
In the final move, you can see price is tightening even further, and trend is almost horizontal , which shows good support.
OMX25 market is starting to lift as well. The stock, even though a good quality one - rises and falls with market. So, I would not call it leader, but more of an influencer. So, keep an eye on market move
However, no shakeouts has been observed yet. so be careful before taking the big positions.
Remember, the key is to be "the last weak buyer" , so your stop losses are not triggered.
Fundamentals
The stock has unique cell counting product, witch significant market share, 30 % upwards gross margin and double digit CAGR and 15% plus ROIC. Which is decent enough for European market.
Royal Unibrew in a downtrendConsider selling me down a bit to reduce risk or to set a stop loss.
The stock is in a downtrend from my April 23. Support around 440 and 400. Price momentum indicators predominantly on sell.
Short pos. 1.49% current, but were until 7.11.23 over 3% for a period (1). That might then indicate that the shorter don't think we're going much further down.
The falling price is related to disappointing results. Refers to Jyske Bank (2) in Danish.
Fundamentally, there is an overemphasis on purchases. Refers to Trading View and Yahoo Finance.
Remember you must do your own research and assessment before buying and selling.
(1) www.finanstilsynet.dk
(2) www.jyskebank.dk
Alignment of technical and fundamental analysisOMXCOP:CBRAIN
cBrain is a software solution company based in Denmark. The company provides solutions to governments and communes for administration and governance.
Here is a fun fact, Denmark is one of the top countries in digital governence in the world. cBrain has collaborated with Danish government and build their software solutions from the ground up, so you can imagine how good and relevant their product can be.
The software, known as "F2" does ...
As far as I know, there are very few competitors who can play at their level. The company operates in one of the larget addressable market "Digital governance"..
So, how does the financial look?
There revenue has almost double every 3 to 4 years since 2013
Why?
There are quite a for such a fantastic performance.
1. Unique position in market
- Their software is built from the ground up in collaboration with danish government. That means their products are highly relevant. they onboarded at least 50 different departments so far..
- Traditional software take (delivery and cash flow).. they invested heavily initially, but then the product was developed it offered based on subscription.
- There is an interesting video from Management of the company, where the CEO XXX talks about the similarities between various governments.
- He says that they have talked with governments of various countries and found out that they more or less operate the same. That opens up a whole new export market at another level.
- The software industry is not so much capital intensive, so ultimately it leads to high-profit margin.
- Looking at annual reports their client countries are a good mix or developed as well as emerging economies and they have not had any difficulties in collecting cash.
The governments will continue to operate that means an almost predictable and recurring stream of revenue.
cBrain started exporting their solutions and since then their export has only grown. Now they make up of 48% of revenue, which points towards broader customer base.
The company is also introducing new software F2 for climate, adding another product to income stream.
In conclusion, cBrain has a strong cash flow and balance sheet and because of its unique position in market it is only bound to grow.
That is all about fundamental analysis
Technical Analysis :
Remember, you are not the only one who can read the annual reports and conclude this. That brings us to another dimention of investing "timing". All stocks go through 4 phase,..
As of not cBrain stock has rallied very high, beating the market average during post covid rally. This is one of the indicators of "leading stocks" in stock market, where during the bull run they often beat the market.
However, such stocks are bound to correct as well, which it has now. After a period of 6 month consolidation, it has broken out of consolidation with high "volume" and "tennis ball" price action. Hence a great opportunity to invest.
Novo is still in an ascending trendMy post is primarily a technical analysis. It is important you understand a technical analysis is a forecast and has a probability, and not a statement that it will be absolutely certain.
Fundamental analysts (25) have on Trading View a price target of 1020. There is a wide spread, but most are positive about the stock.
Novo is still in an ascending trend as evidenced by the price movements and the moving averages.
The price has broken through the resistance at 966, where there is support now.
There are two REC, where the big one has an object about 1050 and the small an object about 1030.
There is a poor correlation between price peaks and volume peaks. This weakens the trend.
RSI just over 50. RSI and OBV do not go up as the price from the beginning of February.
From mid-February, the price has divergences to the stochastic oscillator %D.
The sum of oscillators and moving averages is from one day to a month on purchase.
Considering the stock technically positive for a medium length of time, one to 6 months.
Disclaimer: I hold a position in the stock.
Remember you need do your own research and assessment before buying and selling.
Sources: Trading View
Clear VCP with confirmation volumesVCP pattern observed with confirmation of volumes.
Enter with long position.
Improved technical and fundamentalsThe stock is in its own universe i.e. un correlated with market.
Fundamentally the company has manageable debt, sufficient EBIT, decent PE and bright future.
Technically it shows the end of downtrend, confirmation of the same and VCP.
It is highly illiquid, hence aim to quickly get in and get out.
Possibility to go long if it takes out high from the latest big-bullish candle.