Bullish Breakout & Retest Setup - Great R:R Opportunity!- There's a **downtrend line** that got broken to the upside (marked with an arrow).
- After the breakout, price made a **small pullback** and seems to be finding support around the previous breakout zone.
- You're showing a **long setup** with a favourable risk/reward (small stop-loss area, large target zone).
- The oscillator below (maybe Wave Oscillator or Awesome Oscillator?) shows **momentum shifting**, which supports the bullish idea.
**Summary:**
✔ Breakout of a downtrend
✔ Retest and bounce
✔ Positive momentum building
Summary:
We have a clean bullish breakout from a short-term downtrend, followed by a textbook retest and bounce. Momentum indicators are shifting positively, suggesting a potential strong upside move.
Setup Details:
Entry: Current price (~25.60) after breakout and retest.
Stop-loss: Just below the retest low (~24.80).
Target: Major resistance zone around (~29.50 - 30.00).
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:4 — excellent potential!
Technical Factors:
✅ Breakout of downtrend line
✅ Successful retest with bullish reaction
✅ Increasing positive momentum (oscillator turning green)
✅ Strong horizontal support below
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This is NOT financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately!
COMI needs to break out of the channel to reach the next target.The price is currently facing channel resistance at 79.8. If it breaks above this level, the initial target is the strong resistance at 84. From 84, the price might pull back to retest the 79.8 level. If 79.8 holds as support and buying pressure is strong, the subsequent target would be 96.
RAYA HOLDING: Bullish Rebound or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch!RAYA HOLDING (EGX) is at a crucial decision point!
Trading near key support at 2.22 - 2.39 EGP, with a chance to rebound within the long-term bullish channel.
Breakout above 2.40 could lead to TP1 at 2.9 and TP2 at 3.45 🚀.
Bearish case? A breakdown below 2.1 could trigger further downside.
📊 RSI & Stoch RSI hint at potential momentum shift—what’s your take? Let’s discuss!
long for 1 Year investor (EGX:SUGR)Delta Sugar Company (EGX:SUGR)
On 23th April 2025 close at 47.17 EGP/Share
Overview
Delta Sugar Company engages in the manufacture and sale of sugar beets in Egypt. The company was founded in 1978.
📊 Financial Snapshot
✅ Strengths:
• EPS (Trailing): 7.60 → Solid earnings power.
• PE Ratio: 6.22 → Undervalued vs. market.
• Book Value/Share: 23.71 EGP → P/B ratio ≈ 2 → Moderately priced on asset basis.
• Strong ROE: 39.38%
• ROIC: 22.22% → Efficient capital use.
• Net cash position: +557.5 million → No leverage risk, ample liquidity.
⚠️ Weaknesses
• Free Cash Flow (FCF): -181.79 million EGP → Negative FCF raises sustainability concerns
• Operating Cash Flow (OCF): -38.57 million EGP → Core operations not currently cash generative
Fair Value Estimates:
• Cairo Financial Holding: 71.80 EGP
• Ostoul Securities Brokerage
• Sector-based Book Value Multiple 76.58 EGP/Share
• Sector-based PE Multiple 98.069 EGP/Share
📐 Technical Analysis
• Pattern Analysis: Currently forming a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish signal.
• Elliott Wave Target (TP1): 94 EGP/share, as illustrated.
#COPR Egyptian stock#COPR time frame 1 DAY
created a bullish Gartley pattern
Entry level at 0.358 to 0.33
Stop loss 0.31 ( loss may go to up 11% )
First target at 0.455 to 0.485 ( with profit around 32% )
Second target 0.544 to 0.656 ( with profit around 55% )
Third target 0.617 ( with profit 70% )
Hight expectation with stop loss more than 11%
the positive thing here is MACD created a positive diversion with low volume at last 3 weeks .
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
CIRA EDU | Breakout Brewing After Rate Cut – Eyes on 16.80 EGP! CIRA is showing early signs of a bullish reversal just as Egypt's Central Bank slashes bond interest rates by 2.5%. With a fresh MACD bullish crossover and rising momentum, the stock is pushing off key support and aiming for the top of the Ichimoku cloud.
Momentum: Price just broke out of a short-term consolidation zone
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is trying to break upward but still under the cloud → neutral to mildly bullish
Stochastic RSI: Entering overbought territory (above 80)
RSI: Around 42–43 → still has upside room
MACD: Gave a bullish crossover, histogram flipped green → early bullish signal
🟢 Entry: 14.40 EGP
🎯 TP Levels: 15.45 / 16.4
🔻 SL: 13.3
The education sector tends to thrive in lower rate environments, and with strong dividend growth and improving EBITDA, CIRA could be a hidden gem for short- to medium-term traders.
long for smart money and long investors up to April 2026Credit Agricole Egypt (EGX:CIEB) is currently fundamentally undervalued with a strong balance sheet and net cash position of 55.72 billion or 44.58 per share.
Wyckoff Analysis for EGX:CIEB
Using the Wyckoff Method, we analyze smart money accumulation and potential future price action.
Accumulation Zones (Smart Money Entry Points)
Primary Accumulation Zone: 19–18 EGP
Secondary Accumulation Zone: 13.50–14.60 EGP
Supporting Evidence:
Strong Support Level at ~17.1 EGP – Confirmed as a previous accumulation zone.
Extremely Low P/E (2.9) – Undervaluation likely attracted institutional buying.
Price Decline (-14.99% over 52W) – Classic Wyckoff accumulation behavior.
Smart Money Entry Below 20.0 EGP – Likely near the Last Point of Support (LPS) before markup.
🚀 Distribution Phase Projection (Future Exit Zone)
Per Wyckoff theory, smart money may begin distributing shares near fair value, estimated at:
Fair Value (FV) = EPS × P/E → 6.24 × (5–6) = 32.1~38.52 EGP
Investment Thesis (if suitable for your portfolio):
• ✅ Very low PE & high ROE
• ✅ Strong dividend yield (17.2%)
• ✅ Healthy balance sheet with large net cash
• ⚠️ Risks: Market liquidity, FX/capital controls, macro instability in Egypt
EGX:ASCM Long Call ... EGX:ASCM
For fellow traders evaluating a long position, here’s the reasoning behind the setup:
Falling wedge breakout: The price has successfully broken out of a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern. Additionally, the breakout level has been retested, confirming it as a solid support zone.
88% retracement: The asset has retraced 88% from its recent bottom, aligning with typical wave 2 behavior in a larger motive wave. This deep pullback strengthens the likelihood of an upcoming impulsive move.
RSI confirmation: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is forming higher lows, indicating weakening bearish momentum and increasing buying pressure.
Monitoring volume and key resistance levels could help refine the entry strategy. Let me know if you’d like to expand on any specific details! EGX:ASCM
ETRC_strong investment opportunityEgyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS)
Company Overview:
Egyptian Transport and Commercial Services Company S.A.E. (EGX:ETRS) is an Egyptian logistics provider offering a wide range of professional and cost-effective logistic services. The company was established in 1973 and is listed on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX).
Investment Highlights:
• Significant Undervaluation: Trading at EGP 5.90, below fair value of EGP 9.10 (54.2% upside)
• Exceptional Financial Strength: Low P/E ratio, strong profit margin, minimal debt
• Positive Technical Outlook: Bullish trend in Elliott Wave and Wyckoff analysis
• Favorable Risk-Reward Profile: Upside potential (54.2%) outweighs downside risks (15-20%)
• Strong Sector Outlook: Egyptian transportation and logistics sector projected to grow at 7% CAGR.
Fair Value Range
• Ostoul Securities Brokerag Conservative Fair Value: EGP 7.82 (+32.5% upside)
• DCF Fair Value: EGP 7.6 (+28.2% upside)
• Optimistic Fair Value: EGP 11.00 (+86.4% upside)
• Cairo Financial Holding Research Fair Value: EGP 9.5 (+61% upside)
Base Case on the above Fair Value: EGP 9.10 (+54.2% upside)
ETRS is Financial Health and is considered a strong investment opportunity based on
Fundamentals:
• Low P/E ratio of 4.17
• High profit margin of 30.83%
• ROE: 45.14%
• Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09
• EV/EBITDA: 4.06 (Undervalued)
• P/FCF: 23.02 (Suggests weaker cash flow compared to earnings)
Technical analysis:
Based on my analysis average accumulation price:4.30 EGP by Smart Money Holdings
According to Wyckoff theory, smart money typically begins distribution likely begin distribution in the 8.50-9.50 EGP range the price approaches fair value.
• Primary Support: 5.00-5.20 EGP (previous resistance turned support)
• Secondary Support: 4.80 EGP (entry point)
• Strong Support: 4.30-4.60 EGP (previous accumulation zone)
• Elliott Wave Theory Analysis Wave 5 Scenario: If in early Wave 5, we would expect a final push upward with a price target of approximately 7.50-9.00 EGP forecast Oct.2025
• Long-term (12+ months) target is +11.00 EGP
#ATQA - Egyptian stock#ATQA timeframe 1 hour
Created a bearish Gartley pattern
Sell point around 10.00
Stop loss / reentry 10.20 (estimated loss -1.65%)
First target at 9.60 (estimated profit 4.20%)
Second target 9.25 (estimated profit up to 7.70%)
NOTE: this data according to timeframe 1 hour.
NOTE: stock remains positive for long term.
It's not an advice for investing, only my vision according to the data on chart.
Please consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck.
DIGITIZE EGX | Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels & Trading StratDIGITIZE FOR INVESTMENT AND TECHNOLOGY (EGX) is currently trading at EGP 3.00, showing signs of consolidation within a descending triangle pattern. The price is attempting to break out from a downtrend, with Ichimoku cloud resistance and key support levels in play.
In this analysis, I outline a Stop-Loss & Take-Profit strategy to navigate the next move efficiently.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
EGP 3.60 → First target
EGP 3.90 → Second target
EGP 4.90 - 5.00 → Strong breakout potential
🔹 Key Support Levels:
EGP 2.75 → Near-term support
EGP 2.30 - 2.40 → Strong support zone
Entry: Buy after a confirmed breakout above EGP 3.20
Take-Profit 1: EGP 3.60
Take-Profit 2: EGP 3.90
Take-Profit 3: EGP 4.90 - 5.00
Stop-Loss: Below EGP 2.75
tweezers magnet = trend shift Hello Traders,
i love this price action when i see it especially on the big frames when it happens it confirms the buy or the sell option and give me more confident in my trade you will the last 3 candles first 2 was bearish and the last one turns bullish again with another day in green
*conclusion :
im going long from here to the 6.1 target this is more than 60% in profits
good luck
#LUTS Egyptian stock#LUTS time frame 1 DAY
Created a bearish Gartley pattern
Sell point around 0.74
Stop loss / reentry 0.77 ( estimated loss -4% )
First target at 0.683 ( estimated profit 8% )
Second target 0.628 ( estimated profit up to 15% )
Although all indicators is positive but the prices at sell point according to bearish Gartley pattern ( prices at 0.886 FIP ) , also there is negative diversion on RSI time frame 15m , may tha support or idea
any way if prices closed daily uber 0.77 with volume at least 40 M shares , re bay .
the profit in this case is saving your invest from losses up to 13% .
in case the prices still rises then re entry for targets 2.75 , 2.83 , 2.93 up to 3.11.
NOTE : this data according to time frame 1 DAY
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck
PHGC - Egyptian stock#PHGC timeframe 1 DAY
Created a bearish Gartley pattern
Sell point around 1.48 ( PRICE NOW 1.50 )
Stop loss / reentry 1.574 (estimated loss -6.35%)
First target at 1.267 (estimated profit 14.40%)
Second target 1.077 (estimated profit up to 27.63%)
NOTE: this data according to timeframe 1 DAY.
It's not an advice for investing, only my vision according to the data on chart.
Please consult your account manager before investing.
Thanks and good luck.
COMI Egypt can exceed 104 in 6 monthsWeekly chart,
The stock EGX:COMI has formed a symmetrical triangle chart pattern, and crossed the Resistance line R.
One more week above R, to confirm, the target will be 104.3 - passing through several resistance levels as shown on the chart.
A new entry (buy) can be made immediately before confirmation with higher risk, and consider a stop loss below 76.0
Technical indicators RSI and MACD are positive.
NOTE: Keep a near Profit Protection/ Stop Loss level.
#EFIH Egyptian stock#EFIH time frame 1 DAY
Created Gartley Bullish pattern ,
Entry level at 18.65 to 18.45
Stop loss 17.45 ( estimated loss - 7.20% )
First target at 20.66 ( estimated profit 10% )
Second target 22.50 ( estimated profit 21% )
Third target 24 ( with profit 28% )
MACD show positive diversion that is may support our idea
NOTE : this data according to time frame I DAY , it`s may take period up to 3 months to achieve targets , you must study well the Alternative opportunities before invest in this stock .
In addition EGX30 is negative.
Its not an advice for investing only my vision according to the data on chart
Please consult your account manager before investing
Thanks and good luck