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75: Douglas AG: Is it Time to Accumulate at Current Prices?Douglas, the parfumerie chain, has experienced a significant decline in its stock price since its initial public offering (IPO). With the stock now trading around 50% lower than its IPO price, it appears to be approaching a potential accumulation zone between the price range of 20 and 15 euros. This analysis explores the possibility of this price level being an attractive opportunity for accumulation, provided that market participants agree with this valuation. Technical Analysis: - Douglas stock has experienced a sharp decline since its IPO, forming a clear downtrend pattern on the charts. - The stock is currently approaching a critical support level in the range of 20 to 15 euros, where it has historically found buying interest. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator suggests that the stock is approaching oversold conditions, indicating potential exhaustion in selling pressure. Fundamental Analysis: - Despite the recent struggles in its stock price, Douglas remains a prominent player in the parfumerie industry, with a significant presence across Europe. - The IPO proceeds were primarily intended to reduce the company's debt burden, indicating a strategic move towards financial stability. - Douglas has outlined plans for expansion and modernization, which could potentially drive future growth and value creation. Market Sentiment: - The current sentiment towards Douglas stock appears negative due to the substantial decline post-IPO. - However, there may be a shift in sentiment if market participants perceive the current price level as attractive for accumulation. - Dealer activity and institutional investor sentiment will be crucial in determining whether the stock finds support in the indicated price range. The recent decline in Douglas stock price post-IPO presents a potential opportunity for accumulation, with the stock nearing a key support level between 20 and 15 euros. However, investor sentiment and dealer activity will play a vital role in confirming whether this price range indeed serves as a favorable accumulation zone. Traders and investors should closely monitor price action and market dynamics before making any investment decisions regarding Douglas stock.
XETR:DOU
by Soldi75
SID Potential Breakout State Bank of India $GETTEX:SIDSID Potential Breakout Analysis GETTEX:SID is showing signs of a potential breakout based on technical analysis, indicating a favorable moment to explore investing in the State Bank of India (SBI). Why State Bank of India (SBI)? State Bank of India (SBI), as one of the largest and most reputable banks in India, offers a compelling investment opportunity for various reasons: Market Presence: SBI's extensive network and dominant market position in the Indian banking sector provide stability and potential growth opportunities for investors. Financial Performance: The bank's solid financial performance, robust asset quality, and prudent risk management practices make it a reliable choice for long-term investments. Economic Growth: With India's economy poised for continued expansion, SBI stands to benefit from increased banking services demand, infrastructure development, and financial inclusion initiatives. Key Reasons to Consider State Bank of India: Diversified Portfolio: SBI offers a wide range of banking products and services catering to diverse customer segments, enhancing revenue streams and mitigating risks. Digital Transformation: SBI's focus on digital innovation and technology integration positions it well to adapt to changing market dynamics and meet customer expectations effectively. Government Backing: As a government-owned bank, SBI enjoys implicit support, adding a layer of stability and credibility to its operations. Exploring investment opportunities in the State Bank of India could offer a blend of stability, growth potential, and exposure to India's thriving economy. Keep an eye on GETTEX:SID for further indications of a breakout to make well-informed investment decisions.
GETTEX:SIDLong
by holacarlosmartinez
Deutsche Bank: Next Big Leap Ahead? Starting our analysis for the Deutsche Bank chart at the Corona low of $4.45, we have since seen an uptrend developing with a Wave (1) and already a Wave (2), placing us in the overarching Wave (3). Within this Wave (3), we're looking for potential entry points. We've also developed Waves 1 and 2 and are currently, as seen on the 4-hour chart. We want to enter at the end of this coming wave ((iv)). We expect to reach between 38% and 50% retracement, with the possibility of hitting 61.8%, but not much lower, as we would need to invalidate the scenario if the price falls into the level of Wave 1 for an extended period. Looking upward, we set our target at a minimum of €16.16, which corresponds to the 161.8% extension. The chart clearly shows that we are experiencing lower highs and equal or lower lows. Thus, we believe there will be a downturn before the price moves higher. Our entry zone is at $11.37, with our stop-loss just above $10, but also just below the invalidation zone.
XETR:DBKLong
by stromm
1
SONAE: Fundamental figures too good to overlook. Time to buy?Fundamental Analysis EBITDA: +7.2% YoY (to €990M in 2023) Margin: 11.8% (-0.2 points YoY) Net Income Group Share = 357 (+6.3% YoY) PER: 1680 / 357 = 4.71 (heavily undervalued considering below data and historical PERs) Net Gearing (Net Debt To Equity Ratio, ): 526/3462 = 0.15 (15%, Prudent) Total Debt To Equity Ratio: 5383 / 3462 = 1.55 (around 1 to 1.5 is healthy according to British Business Bank's article "Debt to equity ratios for healthy businesses") Current ratio: 2010/2502= 0.80 (not healthy and almost unchanged with respect to 2022, see next line. According to Wall Street Prep, 1.5 to 3.0 is healthy) Net Debt to Ebitda = 526 / 990 = 0.53 Working Capital = -1220M€, keeps being negative. Very interesting article from eFinanceManagement explains the Advantages of Negative Working Capital for a cash-rich company whose operating cycle is fast (it may mean that they can bargain very well with their suppliers who provide the funds and the flexible time limit to pay). Prev Current ratio (2022): 1938/2465 = 0.79 Proposed dividend for 2023: 0.05639€ EPS = 357M€ / 2000M = 0.18€/share (ATH?) Current dividend yield = 6.19% Dividend Payout Ratio = x 100 = 31% Free cash flow Dividend payout ratio = x 100 = 60% Technical Analysis There was a disjoint channel happening since July 2022 on the Daily Graph in which the share price dropped out in the lower end in December 2023. Since the company has very good fundamentals, the possibility of an inverse H&S could be around the corner, having an interesting point of entry at 0.78-0.81. However, the share price is already heavily undervalued considering the fundamental analysis previously done. The daily RSI (14) bounced back in March 2023 from below 30 directly to the upper band at 70 indicating the possibility of a continuation of share price upward movement up to +20%. Therefore, it is up to the investor to decide whether at current prices (0.85-0.88€) is already worth the risk (if the 0.78€ ever gets touched and then bounces back up, the drawdown risk would be -11.4%). Finally, it is expected that on May the company will pay the dividend. Therefore, the share price may re-adjust its value upwards in April before the dividend is paid and the share price is subsequently slashed down again. Have a great week ahead.
GETTEX:YSONLong
by alexinve
A clear buy if it stays more than 2 weeks above EUR 25 ps.Fundamentals for European shopping mall REITs have improved dramatically and they are coming out of a 9 year old long bear market, now appearing to break out out a consolidation pattern formed in the past 3 years. What initially started as revenue cannibalization and retail death due to e-commerce was followed by COVID, and then a perfect storm of higher interest rates, lower consumer disposable income due to increased electricity prices, and portfolio mark-downs. Though revenue cannibalization from e-commerce still persists, operators have re-shifted their portfolios more towards services, capitalizing on good locations, good infrastructure and parking opportunities. With interest rates having stabilized (for now at least) and consumer spending recovering due to wage increases and lower electricity prices, and the most leveraged REITs having successfully conluded deleverating operations, the massively marked down valuations of European REITs are set for a rebound. This rebound has already started in some of Klepierre's peers, such as Mercialys, Olav Thon Gruppen, Unibail Rodamco Westfield, and NEPI Rockastle, which for the last two weeks have consistently held prices above breakout levels. Priced at just 9.4x current year earnings with large potential for earnings upgrades, this is definely one to watch.
GETTEX:KPRLong
by Aeolusinvestor
European Defence Industry : just the initiation of a major bull Given NATO admonition to political leaders to prepare for possible confrontation with Russia in 5 years and the deterioration of the situation in Ukraine, the EU has decided a massive plan of arm production where states are the customers of defense companies. defence-industry-space.ec.europa.eu The SIPRI Arms Industry Database lists all major producers www.sipri.org We selected SAAB LEONARDO (Finmeccanicca) RHEINMETALL SAFRAN AIRBUS HENSOLDT KONGSBERG Needless to say, our portfolio of these stocks looks very bullish Performance since October 2023 is greater than that of the Seven Magnificent
SLong
by FRED-RABEMAN
1
Changes in the EU's Green Deal could spur growth for VolkswagenVolkswagen’s shares have been on a downward trajectory for about three years now, dropping by more than 50%. However, after finding a bottom (presumably) in October 2023, the company’s stock has been ticking higher and forming an upward-sloping channel. While it is yet to be seen whether these shares have really bottomed out, certain developments might boost the company’s outlook going forward. Due to mounting protests from farmers and others, discussions about the European Union’s Green Deal and its feasibility have emerged recently. It is becoming increasingly apparent that ambitious plans might not be achievable within the initial deadline set in the deal. Furthermore, the question of the cost of achieving these goals has become a major subject of talks among members of the European Parliament. So far, European lawmakers have scrapped some of the initial rules, mainly affecting the agricultural sector. Nevertheless, it is possible that phasing out of combustion engine cars and reducing emissions will undergo a similar reassessment that could positively affect European carmakers, including Volkswagen, which is somewhat behind in electrifying its fleet compared to its competitors. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Volkswagen stock. Currently, the price is trading near the lower bound of the upward-sloping channel that acts as a support. If this support holds, it will be positive for the stock in the short term. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Slightly bearish Weekly time frame = Neutral *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
XETR:VOW3
by Tradersweekly
6