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Porsche (PAH3): German Auto Industry under pressureLooking at Porsche on the monthly chart, we’re analysing its entire price history since becoming a publicly listed company in April 2001. After a massive rally to its peak at €160, the stock experienced a sharp decline back to its IPO levels. Since then, it has traded within a well-defined range between €94 (range high) and €35 (range low), with the mid-range around €65. Each time the range low was reached, the price subsequently moved back toward the range high, demonstrating the typical characteristics of a range-bound market. Now that Porsche is back at the range low, coupled with the RSI at its second-lowest level ever, we see this as a strong opportunity to gain some exposure to the German automotive market. Admittedly, the German auto industry is under pressure, with Porsche's deliveries to China down 29% year-over-year. Chinese EVs are currently outpacing German luxury cars in technology, making it difficult for Porsche to regain market share. However, this level represents one of the best opportunities for a swing trade. If the range low is broken and prices drop to COVID-era levels, Porsche would face significant challenges, requiring major developments to recover. For now, we expect a move back toward the range high over time. While this is a long-term play given the monthly timeframe, it offers a promising swing trade setup. Key Levels: Range Low: €35 Mid-Range: €65
FWB:PAH3Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
Hannover Rück / HNR1 / Symmetry and SeasonalityI am looking at that Chart again because i bought this stock on 14.10.2024. Not the best trade so far, - but since this company give good dividents and can in my View seen as a value investment I dont give too much about the short term result and I am not worried. On the chart I drew an arrow for the first strong move and copied tat arrow to start again from the low of the correction we are in right now. A 2nd dotted arrow I drew from the same starting point of observation to the highest point in the correction and again copied that arrow to project a price target for a potential next upmove. Together with some fibonacci / percentages I marked a target area.... Seasonality analysis suggests that this move should come soon and then could (like the first strong upmove) reach a somewhat 10% gain for me (entered at 260 euro per share). Maybe this makes sense for you ? Leave a comment and/or like. Hope it helps to find a profitable entry in a good trade... Cheers!
XETR:HNR1Long
by ernstschwarz
BMW - a possible end for this horrifying trend?I was a huge fan of the stock long time age because it was for me an extremely underrated stock which was very cheap compared to the earnings and I liked the fact that BMW could constantly increase their earnings each quarter a lot. I sold long time ago because it had to make a retracement for a new buying opportunity. And I personally think we are very close to a new entry of a long trend for the stock with a new ATH. Its because the stock does not really show signs for further retracements, because its slowly moving aside the same level between 75 -80 Euros since several weeks which shows theres not much downwards force anymore meaning sellers. Therefore the stock is very cheap valued again and from the chart it looks very good. In general I see a short trend incoming for American stocks and a long trend for European stocks.
XETR:BMWLong
by bullishnr1
Auto1: buying high and selling higher opportunityAuto1 is currently in a bullish trend, making it an attractive opportunity for momentum traders. The price action suggests a 'buy high, sell higher' scenario, where the stock's upward momentum could continue to deliver gains. Traders may consider entering now to capitalize on this trend, as the stock seems poised to reach new highs in the short to medium term. However, keeping an eye on key support and resistance levels will be crucial to managing risk effectively
XETR:AG1Long
by paisakkaran
Adidias - more downside awaiting (?)I chose to present the chart as log scale to show more clearly the sub-waves of the white impulse count. Without that the impulsive structure of the waves wouldn´t be easy to see. My main scenario is that Adidas will become cheaper in the foreseeable future as market price broke the structure indicated by going below the white "IV". Also, the current uptrend on the weekly doesn´t look bullish at all as it is lacking impulsive price behaviour. The indicators also suggest that the stock topped a while ago and we can see a bearish cross on the MACD and different kinds of divergences on the RSI. My alternative suggests that the wave V is not finished. (light blue count) However, I do not like the deep retracement for the wave 4 in that case and that is why it only my alternative.
XETR:ADSShort
by Staggi10
[PAH] Porsche Holding SE | 2025 Update - Entry rejectedHello, quick update on the potential reversal trade for : Assuming that the fundamentals were checked and the Idea was to be contrarian to the overall negative sentiment towards Porsche Holding SE: ***Info to the video and the comment on the Euro-Dollar : First thing coming to mind is that, Porsche 'would profit' as an exporteur from a declining Euro. However, Porsche Holding SE as a german car manufacturer is affected from the same negative fundamentals (i.e. difficult success to energy, inflation of raw materials, rekt consumer...) that are leading to a certain decline of its native currency. More on that in my idea.
XETR:PAH3Short
by OiconomiX_io
Bayer stock : Contrarian storyBayer stock might be considered a contrarian investment: Legal overhang from Monsanto acquisition: The ongoing litigation related to the Roundup herbicide has created significant uncertainty and negatively impacted Bayer's stock price. A contrarian investor might see this as an overreaction and believe the company's long-term value will prevail. Undervalued compared to peers: Some analysts believe Bayer is undervalued compared to its competitors in the pharmaceutical and agricultural industries. This could present an opportunity for contrarian investors who believe the market has overcorrected. Potential for turnaround: Bayer has faced challenges in recent years, but the company is taking steps to address its issues, including restructuring and focusing on innovation. A contrarian investor might bet on the success of these efforts and a future rebound in the stock price. Risks to consider: Uncertainty about the outcome of the Roundup litigation: The potential financial impact of ongoing and future lawsuits remains a significant risk for Bayer. Challenges in the pharmaceutical and agricultural industries: Bayer faces competition and other challenges in its core business segments. Execution risk: There's no guarantee that Bayer's restructuring and innovation efforts will be successful.
XETR:BAYNLong
by StockBlog
SAPSAP - Monthly from the beginning year 94 - Strong uptrend since '22. A few companies determine the performance of the German DAX. One of these "tanks" is SAP. The chart seems to be on its way to 310.80 EUR per share, a Fibonacci-Extension in green. This level represents the end of Cycle wave III in green. After that the chart should form in three waves a 23.6-% correction in total as a flat. In the chart you see the volume which is decreasing over a long time period. So the actually reached higher highs are formed with lower and lower volume. Furthermore, the MACD is mentioned. This index forms typical negative values within a wave 2 which is an ABC-correction of the direction of the trend wave. Its extreme value reaches the MACD always in the C-wave of the ABC-correction. Look in the chart, please. There are two results.
XETR:SAPLong
by armandogui