$TKA THYSSENKRUPP & IVECO—HIDDEN DEFENCE GEMS SHINEXETR:TKA THYSSENKRUPP & IVECO—HIDDEN DEFENCE GEMS SHINE
(1/9)
Good afternoon, Tradingview! Thyssenkrupp’s stock soared 20% this week—defence spending’s the buzz 📈🔥. Investors eye TKMS and Iveco’s IDV as undervalued stars. Let’s unpack this rally! 🚀
(2/9) – MARKET SURGE
• Thyssenkrupp: 20% spike Monday, 53% YTD 💥
• Iveco: 68% YTD—IDV’s 10% margin shines 📊
• Driver: Europe’s military budget boom
Defence cash is flipping the script—big gains!
(3/9) – DEFENCE PLAYS
• TKMS Spin-Off: Warship unit set for ‘25 🌍
• Iveco IDV: Defence arm spins out in ‘25 🚗
• BofA: TKMS worth half Thyssenkrupp’s cap 🌟
Hidden gems catching the spotlight!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT
• Defence P/E: 25.8x vs. 18x 3 yrs ago 📈
• Thyssenkrupp & Iveco: ~8x—bargains?
• Vs. Giants: Rheinmetall, BAE soar, but these lag
Value hunt’s on—undervalued or overhyped? 🌍
(5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Peace Talks: Ukraine deal softens demand? ⚠️
• Execution: Spin-offs need to deliver 🏛️
• Focus: Beyond big defence names risky 📉
Rally’s hot—can it hold the heat?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Thyssenkrupp: €16B+ TKMS backlog 🌟
• Iveco: IDV’s 10% profit margin 🔍
• Cash Flow: Thyssenkrupp hits €0-300M ‘25 🚦
Defence muscle’s flexing hard!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Thyssenkrupp’s steel drag, Iveco’s focus 💸
• Opportunities: EU budget hikes, spin-off buzz 🌍
Can these sleeper hits wake up big?
(8/9) –Thyssenkrupp & Iveco defence bets—your call?
1️⃣ Bullish—Spin-offs spark a surge.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s there, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Rally fades fast.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Thyssenkrupp’s 20% leap, Iveco’s IDV glow—defence cash ignites hidden plays 🌍🪙. Cheap vs. giants, but risks lurk. Gems or mirage?
Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL) 02/2025Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL) – Simple Breakdown
Vulcan Energy is working on a green way to produce lithium, which is super important for electric car batteries. Their Zero Carbon Lithium™ Project in Germany aims to extract lithium without harming the environment, using renewable energy.
Why It Could Be a Winner
✅ Huge Demand – More electric cars = more lithium needed!
✅ Eco-Friendly – Their method is cleaner than traditional mining, which could attract big investors.
✅ Strong EU Support – Europe wants its own lithium supply instead of relying on China or other countries.
Bottom Line: If Vulcan delivers on its promises, it could be a great long-term play. But there are risks, so keep an eye on how the project develops! 🚀
🔍 What’s Happening with the Stock?
Vulcan Energy (VUL) was in a long downtrend but made a strong recovery in early 2024.
After a sharp jump above 5 EUR, the price corrected back down to around 2.60 EUR.
📊 Key Levels to Watch
✅ Support (possible bounce zones):
2.50 EUR → The price could stabilize here.
2.00 EUR → If it drops further, this is the next big level.
🚀 Resistance (tough levels to break above):
3.50 – 3.80 EUR → If the price moves up, it might struggle here.
5.00 EUR → A strong resistance where many sold last time.
📉 or 📈? What’s More Likely?
🔹 Bullish (price going up): If the stock breaks above 3.00 EUR, it could quickly climb to 3.50–3.80 EUR.
🔹 Bearish (price going down): If 2.50 EUR doesn’t hold, the price could drop to 2.00 EUR.
💡 Conclusion: The stock is at a decision point. If it stays above 2.50 EUR, there’s a chance for a rebound. If it drops below, things could get shaky.
RHM buy the retracement (II)I believe good spots to enter will still appear on RHM. This is my plan at the moment, to enter on the .382 or .5 retracement of the last 5 waves.
Orange line represent previous retracement in logarithmic scale.
Of course, who knows where to top of this move up is. Let's see what happens!
BMW - 5 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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Rheinmetall - time for a correction after 10x ?Like many other big stocks RHM could have completed 5 waves up with gains of roughly 1000% in 3 years.
Considering their order backlog, a market cap of around 30 billion is not too unreasonable but the profit margins are still quite low. Demand for their products will remain high, the EU needs to invest in their military to be protected and independent.
So a correction to the 0.618 retracement would be healthy before this can move to 1000€ in the next few years.
TKA - 20 YEARS LOW - CONTRARIAN STORYThyssenkrupp: A Potential Contrarian Investment
Thyssenkrupp is indeed an interesting case for contrarian investors.
The German conglomerate has faced significant challenges in recent years, including restructuring, debt burdens, and operational issues.
This has led to a decline in its share price and a negative market sentiment.
Reasons Thyssenkrupp Could Be a Contrarian Investment
Deep Value Potential: Due to the company's struggles, its stock price has been significantly depressed. If Thyssenkrupp can successfully implement its restructuring plans and improve its financial performance, there's potential for significant upside.
Divestiture Plans: The company has been actively divesting non-core assets to reduce debt and focus on its core businesses. Successful execution of these plans can lead to a leaner, more profitable company.
Industrial Upcycle: A global economic recovery or an upcycle in industrial sectors could benefit Thyssenkrupp's core businesses, leading to increased revenue and profitability.
Technological Advancements: The company has been investing in technology and innovation. If these efforts bear fruit, it could position Thyssenkrupp as a leader in its industry.
Risks to Consider
Execution Risk: The success of Thyssenkrupp's turnaround plan depends on effective execution. If the company fails to meet its targets, the stock price could decline further.
Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could negatively impact Thyssenkrupp's business and financial performance.
Industry Challenges: The industrial sector faces various challenges, such as competition, rising costs, and regulatory hurdles.
What will it take to reach 1000€? Will we ever see it?Had an interesting conversation in the comments of my last RHM analysis - someone pointed out that they see €1,000 for this stock. Since I haven’t covered a broader timeframe yet, I figured it was time to take a look. And to my surprise, he wasn’t entirely wrong… well, kinda.
Let’s break it down. RHM has been in a long consolidation (highlighted in grey), so this recent push to the upside shouldn’t come as a shock to anyone. But here’s where it gets interesting: we overshot the green structure by a lot - and that’s okay. Structures are allowed to extend beyond their original targets under certain conditions.
First, we need a fakeout in the opposite direction - which we got, marked by the red dot. The next key factor? Where the chart turns. That’s why I placed a line called “The Ceiling” at the -1.236 Fibonacci. Here’s the rule: if price expands significantly beyond The Ceiling, the GKL (red box) becomes invalid, meaning we can no longer use it as a safe level for long entries due to the high risk of slicing straight through it.
So what’s the play? The next few days are crucial. If RHM turns up around till €820, everything stays healthy and within a controlled correction, setting up a prime long opportunity. But if we keep pushing higher, the risk of major downside increases exponentially. Trying to catch a falling knife at that point is a death wish - investors should allocate margin accordingly to avoid liquidation.
Porsche (PAH3): German Auto Industry under pressureLooking at Porsche on the monthly chart, we’re analysing its entire price history since becoming a publicly listed company in April 2001. After a massive rally to its peak at €160, the stock experienced a sharp decline back to its IPO levels. Since then, it has traded within a well-defined range between €94 (range high) and €35 (range low), with the mid-range around €65.
Each time the range low was reached, the price subsequently moved back toward the range high, demonstrating the typical characteristics of a range-bound market. Now that Porsche is back at the range low, coupled with the RSI at its second-lowest level ever, we see this as a strong opportunity to gain some exposure to the German automotive market.
Admittedly, the German auto industry is under pressure, with Porsche's deliveries to China down 29% year-over-year. Chinese EVs are currently outpacing German luxury cars in technology, making it difficult for Porsche to regain market share. However, this level represents one of the best opportunities for a swing trade.
If the range low is broken and prices drop to COVID-era levels, Porsche would face significant challenges, requiring major developments to recover. For now, we expect a move back toward the range high over time. While this is a long-term play given the monthly timeframe, it offers a promising swing trade setup.
Key Levels:
Range Low: €35
Mid-Range: €65
Hannover Rück / HNR1 / Symmetry and SeasonalityI am looking at that Chart again because i bought this stock on 14.10.2024.
Not the best trade so far, - but since this company give good dividents and can in my View seen as a value investment I dont give too much about the short term result and I am not worried.
On the chart I drew an arrow for the first strong move and copied tat arrow to start again from the low of the correction we are in right now. A 2nd dotted arrow I drew from the same starting point of observation to the highest point in the correction and again copied that arrow to project a price target for a potential next upmove.
Together with some fibonacci / percentages I marked a target area....
Seasonality analysis suggests that this move should come soon and then could (like the first strong upmove) reach a somewhat 10% gain for me (entered at 260 euro per share).
Maybe this makes sense for you ? Leave a comment and/or like.
Hope it helps to find a profitable entry in a good trade...
Cheers!
BMW - a possible end for this horrifying trend?I was a huge fan of the stock long time age because it was for me an extremely underrated stock which was very cheap compared to the earnings and I liked the fact that BMW could constantly increase their earnings each quarter a lot. I sold long time ago because it had to make a retracement for a new buying opportunity. And I personally think we are very close to a new entry of a long trend for the stock with a new ATH. Its because the stock does not really show signs for further retracements, because its slowly moving aside the same level between 75 -80 Euros since several weeks which shows theres not much downwards force anymore meaning sellers. Therefore the stock is very cheap valued again and from the chart it looks very good. In general I see a short trend incoming for American stocks and a long trend for European stocks.
Auto1: buying high and selling higher opportunityAuto1 is currently in a bullish trend, making it an attractive opportunity for momentum traders. The price action suggests a 'buy high, sell higher' scenario, where the stock's upward momentum could continue to deliver gains. Traders may consider entering now to capitalize on this trend, as the stock seems poised to reach new highs in the short to medium term. However, keeping an eye on key support and resistance levels will be crucial to managing risk effectively
FreseniusGood monthly setup for Fresenius. Broke up descending channel, then confirmed. Now we have beautiful monthly candle giving probabilities for an upside move (hopefully above 34.60). The 3 years distance from MA shows almost the same (broke up, retest, now moving).
Very clear Fibonacci resistances around 41-44. It seems to me a good defensive play for long term. It pays nice dividend as well.
Always do your own research!