Trading Idea - HELLABUY
Target: 62.00 EUR (32%)
Stop: 42.70 EUR
1.) H4 chart: Strong and fully intact uptrend since April 2020
2.) H4 chart: 3rd rejection on lower uptrend line
3.) D1 chart: still above the 200 daily EMA.
4.) Despite delivery bottlenecks for semiconductors, the first quarter was good for automotive suppliers. Regional focus could prove to be a burden, but the impact differs from company to company. Hella has one of the best results in the industry.
Trading Idea - #LufthansaSHORT
ENTRY: 10.72 EUR
TARGET: 7.30 EUR (+30%)
STOP: 13.09 EUR
1.) The LHA share price got rejected at the current resistance line (12.80 EUR)
2.) I see the actual fair price at the 2021 POC (9.00 EUR)
3.) In response to the airline's poor earnings forecast, there could be another relapse into the resistance zone. (7.00 EUR)
4.) The company has recently been supported by the strong cargo business and maintenance activities, while the passenger business continues to be awaited. Recapitalization remains a burden.
5.)The increasing consumption of cash will force the airline to take another corporate action. Despite the increasing pressure, the management is not sufficiently active to solve the problems in sales, financing and dealing with employees.
Lufthansa - Trrend reversalDears,
Lufthansa reversal trend is confirmed, support line at 5.6 played the role of support and reversal point, also long term resistance line in yellow was broken, retest successfully as support + Bullish engulfing for this month is to follow up.
Options are cheap at this level.
My target price is at around 9, where the next resistance is placed.
Let know your thourghts in the comment section.
Sam.
Disclaimer,
Not a financial advice, this is for personal use only. Publication is to share personal analysis and opportunities, please trade at your own risk.
Thank you,
Sam.
Bayer AG attempts a multi year bearish trend line breakOn daily time frame (left panel) the Ichimoku setup has turned absolutely Bullish. What's more, on back of another better than expected earnings reported today, the price action gave a buy signal and price started to attack a very long term trend line.
Funadmenytally all bad news had been discounted into price including Monsanto story, provisionings, etc., meanwhile the company has been delivering better results, beating analyst forecasts.
Looking at the weekly it has some more job to do technically, but once it establishes a long term uptrend, it will give us an extremely great upside.
From now on the recommendation is accumulate, and hold.
Is Siemens Energy building a base? Looks like some kind of base, but we need a bullish breakout and price action to confirm the idea. For now price is still in the thin Kumo, but holding nicely above Kijun Sen.
It is very simple: it needs a break and close above 24.45, where we have the very important weekly Kijun Sen too. Set an alert there.
Lufthansa buyLots of subjects and things to talk about, like climate change, politicians meeting each other in Scotland with no real results and Lufthansa just pronouncing that they are making profits again.
Technical analysis: Beginning of march 2021, a downtrend channel started, green is a very strong and solid support. RSI showing a bullish div, even tho we haven't a lower low, but it's quite on a similar level!
Breaking out of the downtrend channel is a strong signal. Hypothetically, we might get a Eve&Adam formation, but only if Lufthansa breaks the 9.11 ish level, then we definitely have more room to get up to 13.50 Euro. This would also line up with the 0,5 Fibs level, and my last target. But all this is just a hypothetical possibility, we do not try to predict the future, let's see what price action shows.
TOM / Q4 2021TOM continues it's way up.
Short-term
Considering the economy rise in general, TOM will continue it's way up to +-16.50, at least in as long as general economical situation will remain the same.
By looking at the recent trend of TOM, the reach of 16.50 may take longer than initially expected, but in reality it may perform even better than planned, considering the New Year boost, which comes very soon.
Mid-term
Speaking about the mid-term, the new e-cars market will add value, which is being strongly supported by the ecological initiatives and massive investments.
Very long-term
Many other stocks have skyrocketed after the lockdowns, and it may seem as if the current price is of TOM is also away higher than it should be if there was no COVID.
In fact, he white line in the chart, is a global trend of TOM for the whole period available.
This trend fits perfectly the prices of today, which means that the price level is at a quite safe level.
Other factors
Technological innovation, demand in mobility and ecological concerns/investments, are making the current price level pretty much realistic, or even under-evaluated.
Forecasts of housing prices in Europe are very bullish in the coming 1-3 years, which can be quite a reason to believe that current global trends will continues as well within the mentioned period.
Summary
TOM is being traded at a realistic price level, or even underestimated.
Both factors + global bully trend + tech demand + ecology = will keep rising the TOM value as well as many others on the market.
Forecast
TOM will reach 16.50 withing this year or earlier.
Basler - Bearish overreaction?Basler presented their figures yesterday, 4th November. Numbers were all in all strong. The demand side is solid, with orders seeming to lead to peak production at least until year's end. However, production capacity is limited by the general situation of limited and high priced raw materials. Especially the high rised material prices dampen the margin.
In a nutshell - pretty much the standard situation of companies within the comparable industry. The solid outlook being regarded, I consider the most recent down swing of currently -20% as a bearish overreaction.
From a technical perspective Basler has built a strong uptrend since Q1/2020. The most recent swing low @134.60 might be strong enough to hold.
1. part of the position - if triggered - will play the idea of bulls, taking advantage of the recent sell-off (would be a 23%-discount compared to 3th Nov).
Since the trend is strong and company/industry outlook solid, I guess Basler has a good chance to continue furthermore upwards, which will be played with the 2. part.
*** The analysis above is a personal one, and no advise. Make your own decisions ;) ***
Technical analysis update: BMW (1st November 2021)BMW continues to grow since 20th August 2021. It currently trades around 87.50 EUR per share. Technical factors are neutral to bullish and because of that we would like to set short-term price target of 90 EUR per share.
Technical analysis
RSI has bullish structure. We will watch it closely and we will look for eventual crossover above 70 points. We expect such phenomenon to be accompanied by further rise in price. MACD is also bullish, however, it loses its momentum. Stochastic is bullish too; and ADX contains very low value which suggests neutral trend. Because of that we would like to see another confirmation of uptrend by price taking out short-term resistance and then lower bound of upward moving channel.
Support and resistance
Short-term resistance sits at 89.50 EUR while short-term support sits at 86 EUR. Major resistance lies at 96.39 EUR.
Our last analysis on BMW from 10th May 2021:
Here we correctly predicted end of correction and eventual resumption of uptrend. We also set 90 EUR price target which was subsequently reached.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade. This content is not financial advice.
Teamviewer - buy the dip - at least 35% ROIDe ar traders and followers,
at the start of the week Morgan Stanley analyst George Webb downgraded the Teamviewer share from “Overweight” to “Equal-Weight” and lowered the target price from 48€ to 18.50€. According to the “Equal-Weight” rating the US Investment Bank expects an average total return on the share compared to other values observed by the Bank in the same industry. A period of between 12 and 18 months is used.
Should the next test of 13.5€ be confirmed as new support I assume that a trading range in the range of 13/14€ – 18/19€ will be formed for the next weeks.
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potential bull run to the Q3 earningsThe news are great, the fundamentals better than ever, but the stock is dropping.
WHY?
The big reason is, that big money wants to buy your share before the next bull run.
Therefore they try to push the price into liquidity zones where a lot of Stop/Losses are triggered.
250€ and 200€ are important Fibonacci targets which act like magnets.
Bull Case:
These are the current support zones.
If we assume that we have a finished Elliott Wave, than 250€ could be a support with the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracment.
This is the current Elliott Wave count, eventhough it's not quite perfect. Ignoring some minor flaws, it's still intact.
If we do a normal extention than we could have a first target nearby 600€ (700$) and 800€ (903$) for the long term.
(bear in mind that there could be an overthrow due to the hype in a parabolic movement)
Are 600€ even possible?
Fundamentally, Yes. Technically, Yes.
We had a 144% gain on the last run to the Q2 earnings which we need now for a 600€ target.
What are the risk?
If the Elliott Wave isn't correct, than we could drop even further to the bigger correction nearby 200€.
The current sentiment is extremely cautious due to the Evergrand situation. It's all about timing now if we hit the perfekt window.
PS: I'm just drawing lines. These charts are extremely speculativ. Do your own due dilligence!
BYD Elliot all time - now in A-B-CHello,
I've been watching BYD for quite a long time.
We've been through Elliot 1-5;A-C;1-5:
This suggests that this asset is riding those waves all day long.
My interpretation of the most recent price action:
We're now on the way from A to B and expecting to reach point C soon @Fibonacci 0.382 =(€27)
This level around 27€ would be my preferred long entry.
Currently we're at 32.15€ which might make a short position interesting: now to C is -16%
Finding a suitable stop loss is complicated though. I'd suggest 33.50€ as stop if you go short.
This is not financial advice.