NVIDIA (NVDA) - Daily ChartA breakout to new highs presents an excellent opportunity.
This is one of my fundamental approaches to chart analysis.
Why is that? In the market, there are both buyers and sellers.
When the battle between buyers and sellers is evenly matched, the market enters a range-bound phase.
A breakout to new highs signals that this balance of power has shifted decisively in favor of the buyers.
Here’s why: until the breakout, both buyers and sellers could have been in profit or loss.
However, the moment the price breaks to a new high, all buyers are in profit, while all sellers are in the red.
Now, let’s consider the scenarios where the trend continues after the breakout versus when it struggles.
What do you think?
In my view, the support-resistance flip is crucial after a breakout.
A support-resistance flip means that the previous high, which acted as resistance before the breakout, becomes a support level after the breakout.
If this new support level holds and functions effectively, the support-resistance flip is successful, making it easier for the trend to continue.
On the other hand, if the flip fails, it suggests that buying momentum has weakened, making a market reversal more likely and the trend continuation more difficult.
So, what will happen with this stock?
Let’s keep an eye on it and watch how it unfolds!
PAH3 - Opportunity to Buy a cheap Porsche? Stock - not a car :(GETTEX:PAH3
Quick Description of this stock:
PAH3 is the ticker symbol for Porsche Automobil Holding SE (Porsche SE). Holding company that primarily owns a significant portion of Volkswagen Group's shares and exercises 53,3% of voting rights in Volkswagen.
When you invest in PAH3 you are more exposed to Volkswagen's than Porsche AG's direct operations. These shares provide exposure to the broader automotive industry via VW's portfolio including Audi, Bentley, Lamborghini and others.
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Same as Porsche AG (P911) stock, we can see significant drop in price.. The highest point that price reached in 2024 was around 52.28 per share, with today's drop in price this marks 35.79% drop in 2024!
As we can see on the chart ( I am using Monthly chart as this is a longterm investment and analysis) price is currently in the historic Demand Zone from where it bounced back up. Depending on how this monthly candle closes we may witness history repeat itself or we are going lower to the All-in Zone even better zone to invest.
I called it All-in Zone as I think this stock is a great investment opportunity for those who wish to enter this market. You now have a chance to buy at price that we havent seen in 4 years! If we reach to the All-in Zone you will have a chance to buy this stock at a price that we havent seen since 2010 or even 2003 if we reach bottom of the zone.
Nobody really knows what will happen with VW group and I am not here to make predictions or wild guesses. I just look at the chart and price history and look at where we might go next, I love technical analysis.
So I started buying these stocks same as P911 each month... There is no guarantee for anything and this may be a really good opportunity. As there is big profit potential ! And if we go lower? You will just get a better average buy-in price.
For those who are willing to take the risk and have some connection to the car industry - like me.. This may be a good investment in the long run.
Also do not forget that owning this stocks Porsche will be paying you dividends once a year!
Patience is the key! Play it smart!
P911 - Opportunity to Buy a cheap Porsche? Stock - not a car :( GETTEX:P911
We all know issues that VW group is currently facing so no point of writing about that. Lets look at some investment opportunities!
Since the start of 2024 Porsche saw a nice move to the upside where price found resistance and since then.... since exactly 224 Days, price dropped -42.27%!!! Only in November price dropped -17,33%.
While this may look bad, and in most cases is bad, there is money on the table for those who still havent invested in this stock.
We do not know 100% what will happen with VW group and Porsche, too big to fail? I guess.
There is no historic price action so we also dont know for how long this will keep on dropping and where is the actual bottom before reversing to the upside?
Me personally, I started buying some of Porsche stocks each month. We know for certain it cant go bellow 0 (Absolute bottom). There is still room to drop , but there is also profit potential on the upside towards historic prices.
For those who are willing to take the risk and have some connection to the car industry - Porsche in general, like me.. This may be a good investment in the long run.
Also do not forget that owning this stocks Porsche will be paying you dividends once a year!
Patience is the key! Play it smart!
#ADJ Adler Group S.A. - 7,600% ?#ADJ Adler Group S.A. - 7,600% ?
I entered this trade because the ADJ stock chart showed significant potential for strong growth after a prolonged downtrend. The chart displays the formation of a reversal pattern (possibly a "double bottom" or a similar structure) and signs of increasing volume. Additionally, indicators suggest a shift in market sentiment: the histogram shows a reversal toward growth, and oscillators such as RSI and other metrics confirm that the price is moving out of the oversold zone. This suggests the likelihood of a correction to higher levels.
The trade's goal is to capitalize on the potential for over 7,600% growth, which, according to technical analysis, could be achievable in the long term.
⚠️ All trading ideas are published with a time delay. If you want to follow the trading in real-time, please follow the link:
[Short-Term] Cameco is bouncing right now.. Pre-Recession?Good day, welcome to my analysis on GETTEX:CJ6 current standpoint from a technical view.
Please be informed that this is just a short-term analysis, my long term analyses and fundamental analyses can be found here:
Bullish on Cameco - Show will go on
From Fibonacci retracement, we can see Cameco is bouncing around at fib 0 from November 15th indicating a possible movement of direction.
A Fibonacci retracement from Nov. 19th to yesterday's high wick shows the current movement is between fib 0.2 and fib 0.6 (open to close) with today's wick (as of now) laying just above fib 0.7.
Yes, these are pretty short term Fibonacci's, but considering Cameco is at its all-time high, no longer term analysis seems fitting for me.
Now, here are the possibilities:
Recession:
Cameco may go into a short-term recession. I would put the maximum low at around fib 0.2 or the higher low / demand zone from November 20th, which would be €54 or €53 retrospectively.
Uptrend:
Cameco may continue its uptrend until it settles at a new All-Time High. No expected numbers from me.
Update:
While writing this, MT Newswire posted an article called “RBC Raises Price Target on Cameco to CA$90 From CA$75, ”. The possibility of a short-term recession is getting lower, through the uptrend Cameco had while I'm writing this. Anyway, I don't want to have such short term prognoses, therefore I will still be listing this as a neutral.
I hope you've enjoyed this analysis, please read my longer term analyses on Cameco listed below.
Have a pleasant day and may you never exit before the bull run begins.
-- Henrik B.
#MBG Rebound from Key Support Level of Mercedes-Benz Group AG I decided to enter a long position based on the following reasons:
Key Support Zone: The price has reached a strong horizontal level around €52, which historically served as a significant support. It is expected that this level might once again act as a reversal point.
Oversold Conditions: The current downward movement appears sharp, which could indicate temporary oversold conditions and the possibility of a corrective rebound.
Historical Bounce from the Level: The chart shows that the price has repeatedly bounced off this level in the past, creating good entry points for long positions.
Anticipation of a Reversal Candle: There is a possibility of a reversal candlestick pattern forming soon (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing pattern), which would confirm my strategy.
Medium-term Growth Potential: If the level holds, the price could return to the upper boundary of the range (around €79), making the trade potentially profitable.
Risks: If the level breaks downward, it may signal the need to reassess the position and limit losses.
⚠️ All trading ideas are published with a time delay. If you want to follow the trading in real-time, please follow the link:
Bullish on Cameco - Show will go onGood evening everyone, today we will be talking about Cameco, again.
I still stand to my previous analyses of Cameco (Linked below), regarding its long term potential. Cameco kind of became my favourite stock to analyse now… At least one of the few ones I regularly post on.
Anyway, the more well known indicators like the MACD and Bollinger Bands signal a bullish outlook , as well as some new ones I read into recently.
The Lorentzian Classification and Euclidean Distance Prediction machine learning based indicators, which read into historical candle chart patterns to determine a future outlook by probability, blah blah — Don't want to get into the science behind too much, as this is beautifully described in other publications and definitely not an easy topic.
I've back tested both the LC and EDP indicators (Through Replay Trading) and found especially the Lorentzian to be really valuable in this stock. The Lorentzian Classification shows a confidence of 8 , which is high, and the Euclidean shows a good near future outlook.
The overall technical and analyst rating by Trading View is also a strong buy.
I modified the Euclidean script a little, to predict the next two candles, so please don't worry about my chart looking so different.
Yes, Cameco is scratching its all-time high right now, but I still think Cameco will surpass it by lots. They raised their 2024 production outlook and maintain strong cash flow projections, even though their Q3 EPS came in at a loss. And they recovered from their 7.6% drop on November 7th it recovered in three hours.
This time, I sadly have no price predictions for you, just my current take on Cameco
Don't forget to read my previous long-term analysis of GETTEX:CJ6 which still applies fully.
I hope you have a wonderful day. I would kindly ask you, to share suggestions and your own thoughts in the comments. Thank you and may your levers never be knocked out!
-- Henrik B.
Mercedes-Benz group AG- An opportunity to buy/Average down.Hello,
Today we will be looking at a buy opportunity from Mercedes solely using the tools available on Tradingview.
Mercedes-Benz Group AG engages in the business of manufacturing and distributing premium cars. It operates through the following segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Mobility. The Mercedes-Benz Cars segment includes the brands Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, and Mercedes-EQ. All this is found in overview section www.tradingview.com
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist
Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)
Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The stock has corrected and is at the bottom of a flat pattern
Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- The indicator is confirming purchase. Zero crossover on MACD soon. (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling
Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- Future wave as shown
Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price EUR 76 (A good stock to buy/average down)
Key highlights from the Mercedes-Benz Group's Q3 2024 interim report
Revenue: €34.5 billion in Q3 2024, a 7% decrease compared to Q3 2023. For the first nine months, revenue totalled €107.14 billion, down by 5%.
Net Profit: €1.7 billion in Q3, down by 54%, and €7.7 billion over nine months, a 31% reduction.
Mercedes-Benz Cars: Unit sales were down by 1% to 503,600 vehicles in Q3. Electrified vehicle sales fell by 15%, and BEV sales dropped by 31%.
Mercedes-Benz Vans: Sales declined by 13% to 91,100 units in Q3. Electrified van sales also decreased by 31%.
Mercedes-Benz Mobility: New financing and leasing contracts fell by 14% compared to Q3 2023
R&D expenditure increased by 13% to €2.9 billion in Q3, with a focus on digitalization and electrification
Company highlights can be found on the statements section or the news flow section www.tradingview.com
Next earnings report date: February 13, 2025 (Q4 report 2024) The next earnings date can be found for each company www.tradingview.com
Opportunities
Mercedes-Benz is a globally recognized and respected brand in premium and luxury automobiles, giving it some resilience against fluctuations in car sales.
The company’s strong focus on research and development, especially in electric powertrains, positions it well for growth as clean-air regulations continue to tighten worldwide.
Management’s long-term goals for return on sales indicate that there is opportunity for further growth, suggesting potential upside to valuation.
Risks to consider
The global premium car market is highly competitive, and consumers have many choices, making it easy for them to switch between brands.
The auto industry faces increasing global overcapacity, leading to pricing pressure. Given its capital-intensive nature, achieving strong economic returns over a 10-year period remains challenging.
While Mercedes has maintained good union relations with its German workforce, union influence is substantial, with employees electing half of the supervisory board members. This strong union presence can limit profit margins due to wage demands during prosperous times and work rules that reduce flexibility in manufacturing.
Our recommendation
Since November 2021, Mercedes-Benz stock has traded in a sideways range between EUR 52 and EUR 76. Despite this, the company remains a globally recognized premium and luxury brand. This positioning continues to provide resilience against high sales fluctuations, making it a standout in the competitive global luxury car market. Mercedes-Benz Cars continue to face weaker macroeconomic conditions and fierce competition, mainly in Asia. The company is actively undertaking a share buyback. In Q4 2024 the Mercedes-Benz Group opened Europe’s first battery recycling factory in Kuppenheim, southern Germany. Valuable, limited raw materials such as lithium, nickel and cobalt can be recovered and are to be used to manufacture new battery cells for Mercedes-Benz vehicles. This buyback, along with the company’s strong positioning and stock’s trading range, presents a potential buying opportunity with a target price of EUR 76 despite the weak Q3 results. Our recommendation is buy/Average down. Mercedes-Benz’s commitment to research and development, particularly in electric powertrains, positions it advantageously for growth amid tightening clean-air regulations worldwide.
Goodluck & all the best.
Flatexdegiro AG: A Leading European Online BrokerOverview
FlatexDEGIRO AG, a European online brokerage leader, stands out for its scalable business model and significant market potential. With over 2.8 million customers, FlatexDEGIRO is one of the largest online brokers in Europe. This report outlines the potential investment upside, the reasons for past stock declines, the unique aspects of its business model, and future growth prospects. The stock offers an opportunity to achieve 3x to 5x returns over the next three to five years.
Investment Thesis
1. Scalable Business Model: FlatexDEGIRO’s online brokerage platform benefits significantly from economies of scale. Expanding customer numbers has a limited impact on the platform's operational costs while significantly enhancing profitability. This scalability, combined with rising trading activity, positions the company for substantial bottom-line growth. With appropriate operational improvements, FlatexDEGIRO can leverage its customer base more effectively.
2. Market Consolidation in European Brokerage: The European brokerage market is consolidating, with smaller players being acquired or exiting due to rising regulatory costs and competitive pressure. This environment allows larger players like FlatexDEGIRO to acquire market share cost-effectively. This consolidation could reduce competition, giving dominant players a stronger hold over pricing, customer engagement, and regulatory adaptations.
3. Activist Shareholder Influence: Bernd Förtsch, the founder and major shareholder of FlatexDEGIRO, has recently taken a more active role in reshaping the company's governance, including advocating for changes to the supervisory board and executive management. This activism suggests a potential shift towards more disciplined cost management and a renewed focus on growth. With better management of operational costs, FlatexDEGIRO has room to improve profit margins.
4. Re-engaging Dormant Customers: Approximately 1.3 million of FlatexDEGIRO's 2.8 million customers are relatively inactive in trading. Increasing engagement within this subset through targeted communication and trading ideas could enhance transaction-based revenue without a corresponding increase in marketing expenditure.
5. Minimal Regulatory Exposure in Order Flow: Unlike some peers, FlatexDEGIRO has no dependency on "order flow" revenue (payments for order flow, or PFOF). This reduces regulatory risk since PFOF is under scrutiny by European regulators. As such, FlatexDEGIRO’s revenue stream remains resilient to regulatory shifts, positioning it as a potentially safer choice in a tightening regulatory environment.
Risks and Challenges
1. Regulatory Environment: The European financial sector faces increasing regulatory scrutiny, driving up compliance costs. Although larger players like FlatexDEGIRO may benefit from this trend by acquiring smaller firms unable to bear these costs, regulation may still weigh on profitability and limit operational flexibility.
2. Past Operational Inefficiencies: Historical mismanagement, such as high executive compensation packages (e.g., €28 million for the executive board in one year with €72 million in annual profit), has negatively impacted FlatexDEGIRO’s profitability. While these issues may be addressed by the founder’s renewed involvement, any lingering inefficiencies could delay or diminish the expected upside potential.
3. Customer Reactivation Efforts: Although reactivating inactive customers could provide significant upside, there is no guarantee that these customers will respond positively to engagement efforts. The competitive landscape and shifting customer preferences could impact how effectively FlatexDEGIRO reactivates its customer base.
Financial Position and Growth Potential
• Strong Cash Position and Debt-Free Status: FlatexDEGIRO’s solid balance sheet, with no debt and considerable cash reserves, supports potential investments in marketing, acquisitions, and product improvements without raising additional capital.
• Valuation Upside: With disciplined cost management and strategic acquisitions, FlatexDEGIRO is positioned to multiply its revenue and profit. I think the stock has potential for a 3x to 5x increase in value within three to five years, primarily through a combination of market expansion, increased trading activity, and operational efficiency gains.
Conclusion
FlatexDEGIRO presents a compelling investment opportunity with potential for good returns due to its scalable model, strategic positioning in a consolidating market, and recent shareholder activism. The company’s minimal exposure to regulatory risks associated with order flow payments, coupled with a favorable balance sheet, makes it well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the European online brokerage sector. While regulatory changes and customer engagement efforts pose risks, the company’s upside potential makes it an attractive candidate for investors with a moderate risk tolerance and a long-term view.
This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always do your own research or consult a financial professional before making investment decisions.
Another European stock in trouble? Double top on #LOREAL #LOR
seems to be in progress
and a further weakening of the eurozone
By the time this massive double top has confirmed with a breakout
a 1/3 of the stocks's value would have been shed
Ultimately if we get a major downturn
Loreal could be down to 150 zone
Energy Stock Surge? ENI S.P.A Bullish Breakout IncomingENI S.P.A, a leading global oil company, is currently trading at $14.18 , demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the weekly chart. Our proprietary W.ARITAs indicator reveals a significant buildup in bullish momentum, suggesting an imminent breakout from the well-defined inverted head and shoulders pattern .
This pattern, widely recognized as a reversal signal, aligns with ENI’s recent strategic moves, including its expansion in Alaska and increased shareholder rewards through a $2 billion share buyback . These developments underscore the company’s robust financial health and its commitment to growth and investor value, which are likely to fuel further stock appreciation.
Key Technical Levels:
Order Box (OB) Target 1: $18.05 - $19.62
Order Box (OB) Target 2: $23.18 - $24.29
Given the current bullish setup, these targets reflect potential zones for profit-taking, with the first Order Box (OB Target 1) offering a conservative target range and OB Target 2 representing an extended bullish goal.
With supportive corporate actions and technical strength, ENI is well-positioned for growth, making it a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure in the energy sector. Keep an eye on the weekly close to confirm the breakout from the inverted head and shoulders pattern for confirmation of further upside potential.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
Volkswagen and the Crisis of the Automotive Industry in EuropeVolkswagen's recent action, with proposals to close up to three factories in Germany and the possible reduction of global wages by 10%, highlights a critical situation in the European automotive industry. Although expected, this measure reflects the challenge the sector is facing due to the passivity and lack of strategic response from European institutions. Volkswagen is taking drastic measures to ensure its profitability and competitiveness in the face of a global crisis in the sector. However, these cuts also expose a larger problem: the lack of supportive policies on the part of the European Union to maintain the competitiveness of its own companies in a challenging global market.
Europe's Inaction at a Key Competitiveness Moment
European passivity is perceived not only as a lack of response to the automotive sector, but as a reflection of an industrial policy that has lagged behind in a context of accelerating energy change. China, for example, has implemented extensive support programs for its automotive industry, focusing on innovations in electric vehicles and the production of strategic metals, such as rare earths. The energy transition in Europe, on the other hand, has included environmental constraints and penalties that could further harm local companies.
Starting January 1, 2025, Europe will impose fines on automakers that fail to meet certain emissions limits, a move that, without an adequate back-up plan, could exacerbate the financial problems of companies such as Volkswagen, Mercedes and Stellantis.
While environmental sustainability is paramount, these restrictions could be stifling the industry's ability to respond at a critical time.
Urgency of a Rescue and Competitiveness Plan
The automotive sector has historically been an economic pillar in Europe, generating employment and contributing significantly to the GDP of several countries in the region. However, without a change in approach that allows for greater competitiveness in a global environment, the industry could suffer irreparable losses. Instead of tariffs or restrictive measures against international competitors, a comprehensive plan is needed to boost the competitiveness of European companies at home and abroad.
A first step in this direction could be the removal or relaxation of certain restrictions, such as a ban on internal combustion engines from 2035, allowing a more gradual transition to more sustainable alternatives. It is also crucial to facilitate the exploitation of resources such as rare earths to ensure an adequate supply of key materials in the electric vehicle production chain.
Responsibility and Immediate Action by European Leaders
The outcry from Volkswagen and other key players in the sector represents an urgent wake-up call to the European institutions. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, along with other leaders, must take immediate action to prevent further deterioration of the automotive industry. It is time to convene an emergency summit, where key players in the sector can discuss and design an effective plan to rescue and support the industry. This plan should include not only investments, but also a clear support policy to maintain jobs and promote innovation.
The current scenario of uncertainty and tension in the negotiations between Volkswagen and the unions represents only the tip of the iceberg. If Europe fails to act, this crisis could spread to other economic sectors, generating a chain of negative effects that would seriously affect the European economy as a whole.
Technical aspect
Volkswagen (Ticker AT: VOW3.GE) has currently been unwinding a cycle closure initiated in 2020. Since March 2021 the company has been consistently losing value, down approximately -65.5%. Since August 6 the company has been moving in a range between €99.26 and its all-time low of €87.50. It is currently located in an area testing the lows and if it manages to sustain the value could move again to the 100 euros area to test possible perforations of the bearish channel. Given the evolution of the automotive company's drift, it will not be unusual to see a continuation of the channel towards lower prices if it pierces the current support. The downward pressure is relatively strong, even though the company is trying to remain in a price zone close to 90 euros per share. The checkpoint is fragmented because in August this year its strong zone was around 120 euros per share and the current POC is above 114 euros. The RSI is slightly oversold at 46.15%. We will have to see the factors related to the company to see if the RSI advances with more downward pressure or on the contrary corrects.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Deutsche Bank (DBK): Earnings beat but loan losses double We missed the optimal entry for Deutsche Bank (DBK), but the analysis was accurate overall. The earnings report showed some resilience with a revenue increase of 5.2% year-over-year, reaching €7.50 billion, slightly above analyst expectations of €7.30 billion. The stock reacted with a modest dip, but nothing significant. However, Deutsche Bank reported a notable rise in loan losses, which doubled to €494 million in Q3 2024 compared to €245 million a year ago, aligning closely with the €482 million forecasted by analysts.
From a technical standpoint, our primary count still appears valid, though it’s a bit on the lower side. This could indicate that wave 3 might not be the longest wave in this count, which is atypical but possible as long as it’s not the shortest.
We’re targeting a potential endpoint for wave 5 within the HTF resistance zone, aligning with the 50-61.8% Fibonacci extension level, where we could look for a long position if the setup confirms. We will continue to monitor DBK closely as this potential target level nears and adjust accordingly.
Deutsche Bank AG to 21 EuroDespite the chaos with Credit Suisse European banks in General are printing some excellent setups. What is the reason for this? No idea.
On the above 2-month chart:
1) A strong buy signal (not shown) prints with price action breakout from resistance that has been active since 2007.
2) Regular bullish divergence. No less than eight oscillators this time. Four to five oscillators printing on this time frame is incredibly powerful but eight?!
3) Inverse head and shoulders pattern. Confirmation is price action closing above 10.50 and staying there or above for a week or two. On confirmation a target of 21 euro should be expected.
4) The yellow line is the 21/2-month EMA. Notice the first attempt to hold as support has failed? (Orange arrow). This was the first attempt to hold as support since July 2005. Confirmation of support is price action at 10.50 and above by the month of May.
5) Almost EVERY idea on tradingview is 'short' / Bearish! Ww is the 5%. What in?
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Investment
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Don’t know.
Return: 110%
Stop loss: 7.20
TUI stock can be considered contrarian Recent Performance: TUI's share price has been volatile, especially due to the COVID-19 pandemic. While the stock has recovered somewhat, it still hasn't reached its pre-pandemic levels. This underperformance relative to the broader market can make it a contrarian pick.
Industry Sentiment: The travel and tourism industry, which TUI is a major player in, has faced significant challenges in recent years. Negative sentiment surrounding the industry can lead to a pessimistic outlook on TUI stock, making it a contrarian choice for investors who believe in the long-term recovery of the sector.
Valuation: Some analysts argue that TUI's current valuation may be undervalued, especially considering its strong brand, diversified business model, and potential for growth. If the market sentiment towards the company improves, the stock price could rise significantly.
Potential for Recovery: As the global economy recovers from the pandemic and travel restrictions ease, TUI is well-positioned to benefit from increased demand for leisure travel. This potential for recovery can make the stock an attractive contrarian investment for those who believe in the long-term prospects of the company.