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TUI stock can be considered contrarian Recent Performance: TUI's share price has been volatile, especially due to the COVID-19 pandemic. While the stock has recovered somewhat, it still hasn't reached its pre-pandemic levels. This underperformance relative to the broader market can make it a contrarian pick. Industry Sentiment: The travel and tourism industry, which TUI is a major player in, has faced significant challenges in recent years. Negative sentiment surrounding the industry can lead to a pessimistic outlook on TUI stock, making it a contrarian choice for investors who believe in the long-term recovery of the sector.   Valuation: Some analysts argue that TUI's current valuation may be undervalued, especially considering its strong brand, diversified business model, and potential for growth. If the market sentiment towards the company improves, the stock price could rise significantly. Potential for Recovery: As the global economy recovers from the pandemic and travel restrictions ease, TUI is well-positioned to benefit from increased demand for leisure travel. This potential for recovery can make the stock an attractive contrarian investment for those who believe in the long-term prospects of the company.
XETR:TUI1
by StockBlog
BUYS ON BMW ABOVE 82 EUR💡 Today we analyze BMW BMW is a solid company that has shown resilience. Currently, the price is around 74 euros, and a good entry point would be after breaking the downward trendline and key resistance, about 82 euros. It’s important to wait for confirmation of a daily close. 1. Operational strength: BMW remains a leader in the luxury automotive market. 2. Electric expansion: Strong investment in electric and autonomous vehicles. 3. Technical opportunity: Breaking resistance could signal a potential recovery. 4. Risks: Inflation and consumer demand may affect future sales. This analysis is not an investment recommendation.
XETR:BMWLong
by AnalisisDeBolsaDiario
BMW (BMW): Navigating Through Uncertainty in the Auto MarketThe German automotive industry is currently facing significant challenges, from rising production costs and the transition to electric vehicles to increased competition from China. Despite these hurdles, we believe that most of the negative factors are already priced into the market. From a technical perspective, we’re zooming out to get a broader view of BMW. Ignoring the COVID-19 dip, BMW has been ranging between 55€ and 113€ for an extended period. We anticipate that this range will continue, as markets tend to range 70% of the time. Right now, BMW is at a critical level, either bottoming out for the fourth time or, more likely, preparing to break below and collect the sell-side liquidity that has accumulated over the past three years. Our plan is simple: We’re monitoring this closely, with alerts set to notify us if the stock dips below this level. Should this occur, we’re looking at a potential entry near 62€. We will update you with our strategy once this scenario unfolds.
XETR:BMWLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Volkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile): The automotiVolkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile): The automotive industry is undergoing a transition to electric vehicles. These companies hold strong positions, but they need to successfully navigate this transformation against competitors like Tesla and Polestar (lol). Rewards Trading at 79.2% below estimate of its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 6.14% per year Earnings grew by 24.2% over the past year Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Risk Analysis Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow Dividend of 9.77% is not well covered by free cash flows
XETR:VOW3Long
by Maximus20000
Volkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile)Volkswagen, Stellantis, BMW, Mercedes (automobile): The automotive industry is undergoing a transition to electric vehicles. These companies hold strong positions, but they need to successfully navigate this transformation against competitors like Tesla and Polestar (lol). Trading at 43.1% below estimate of its fair value Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Risk Analysis Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow Dividend of 7.95% is not well covered by free cash flows
XETR:BMWLong
by Maximus20000
Mercedes-Benz cuts forecasts due to weakness in ChinaMercedes-Benz shares fell more than 7% after announcing a cut in its profit forecast due to economic weakness in China. The company adjusted its adjusted return on sales forecast for its auto division to between 7.5% and 8.5%, down from the previous range of 10%-11%. The slowdown in consumption and problems in the Chinese real estate sector have reduced demand for luxury cars, affecting the automaker's sales. Mercedes also warned that pricing pressure will continue during the second half of the year, which could further deteriorate its results. The forecast cut is in line with the trend seen at other manufacturers such as BMW and Volkswagen, which have also seen weaker demand. Although some adjustment was expected, the magnitude of the warning has been larger than expected, affecting sentiment towards the brand. Since April 2024, Mercedes-Benz shares have fallen 29.85%. However, in the last nine days it has recovered 8.73%. Balance sheets for the last three years show a weakening in its profits since 2021. In addition, increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers, which are expanding into Europe, has increased the pressure on German manufacturers. Chinese consumers are opting for local brands that offer more tailored products and better value for money. In terms of technical analysis, Mercedes-Benz shares are in a rebound on key support dating back to February 2021. If the upcoming financial results do not meet expectations, there is a risk that this support around €50.63 could be broken, which could exacerbate the company's downtrend. Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
XETR:MBGShort
by ActivTrades
Cameco may grow 8.74% in the next five daysHey, welcome to another analysis of GETTEX:CJ6 by me. The focus of this analysis is solely on Short-Term growth. If you like to see my Long-Term take on the Stock, look at my previous fundamental analysis: From my last analysis, Cameco sadly missed my previous Short-Term goal by roughly 2.0%, only gaining about 8.6% after my analysis. This was due to Cameco not hitting my “Definite Buy” line, which I used as reference. If it had hit the line, Cameco would have probably risen up to more than €40.00. Now, here is my more conservative analysis of the next five bar potential. Cameco has an 8.74% growth potential in the next 5 bars (7 days) according to my analysis, to Fibonacci(0), located at the upper POI (Point of interest, in this case resistance line). This would throw the Stock at €39.135, before it will likely regress a little bit. By extending the Fibonacci from the last lower POI (in this case support) we can see that there's an optimistic potential of getting to the “Maximum Target line”, which would mean a growth of about 10% to €40.158. In terms of risk management, I would not recommend leverage above 10, as Cameco's support is set at €30.2, 16.65% down from current price, causing a total loss. I hope you liked my analysis, I would kindly ask you, to share suggestions and your own thoughts in the comments. Thank you! -- Henrik B.
GETTEX:CJ6Long
by henriklmao
2
UniCredit and Commerzbank: The Challenge of the European Megaban UniCredit SPA (Ticker AT: CRDI.IT) has taken a significant step by acquiring a 9% stake in Commerzbank AG (CBK.GE), sparking speculation about a possible merger between the two European giants. This move marks a milestone in UniCredit's ambition to consolidate its presence in the European banking market. Commerzbank’s shares have risen by more than 18% since the news, reflecting market optimism about a potential consolidation. Key Obstacles to the Merger: 1. Resistance from the German Government: The German state, which holds a 12% stake in Commerzbank, might insist on maintaining a national listing and a supervisory board in Germany due to the bank's strategic importance to the German economy. 2. German Unions: Unions in Germany may strongly oppose the merger, concerned about potential layoffs and the shift of power from Frankfurt to Milan. 3. Deutsche Bank's Interest: There is a possibility that Deutsche Bank, Germany's largest bank, could revive its interest in Commerzbank, further complicating the situation. 4. Shareholder Concerns: UniCredit's shareholders, who have seen a 230% increase in their earnings over the past three years, may fear that a merger could impact profitability, even though UniCredit has promised to maintain a 15% return on investment. Despite these challenges, UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel is determined to push forward with his ambitious consolidation plans, which could significantly transform the banking sector in Europe. Technical Analysis: Looking at the chart, Commerzbank AG experienced a slowdown in its rise at the end of May, reaching €15,825. After some attempts to recover at the end of July, the stock showed an upward gap, potentially signaling another attempt to reach its historical highs. Meanwhile, UniCredit had a relatively consistent rise until July, reaching €39,330, when its price fell, but it is in the process of recovering towards its highs with current support at €35,615. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
XETR:CBK
by ActivTrades
Deutsche Bank (DBK): A Perfect Reversal?Our analysis on Deutsche Bank (DBK) dates back to June, but we've continued to monitor the stock closely for you. We saw that DBK respected the last possible level within our targeted area, which was aligned with the level of Wave 1. Typically, for a Wave 4, we don't want to see the asset linger too long in this area, but in the case of DBK, it only dipped into it briefly before reversing, showing a strong and positive reaction. We now anticipate a surge above the Wave 3 level, which would also push the stock above the trend channel. Such a conclusion to this cycle would be a very bullish sign, likely leading to a deeper pullback in the overarching Wave (2). At that point, we would definitely consider buying shares as the setup looks promising for long-term gains.
XETR:DBKLong
by freeguy_by_wmc