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🇩🇪 Hypothetically LONG Hapag-Lloyd AG @ 151.2Shipping stocks globally have been getting roughed up a lot lately and XETR:HLAG is holding up better than many right now. While it's been in a general uptrend over the last 12 months, it’s the trading stats on it that sucked me in today. This one would have generated 27 buy signals over those 12 months, and all 27 would have closed profitably. A full 67% of those trades would have closed profitably in 1 trading day and only two would have taken more than 4 trading days to close. That's an average trade length of 2.3 days. That's pretty extraordinary for an entire year of trades. What is MOST extraordinary is the profitability of those trades. Now the stock has gained about 35% in the past year, so bear that in mind. But the AVERAGE gain on the 27 trades that took around 2.3 days to complete is 2.85%. That's 1.24% a day, or about 40x the average daily gain of the DAX 40 over the last 50 years and almost 30x the average daily return of the S&P 500 here in the US. And lest you assume that it's the result of one big trade, the largest single gain was 12% (in 9 days) but 15 of the 27 trades gained more than 2% and 7 of them were over 4%. These are absolutely stunning results for trades this short. So I realize I should have made this call right when the German market closed yesterday, but I originally wasn't going to do a foreign stock today. I just started poking around about 2 hours ago and this came on my radar screen and it took me a while to crunch the numbers. So I'll pretend I took the trade at the German market's close on Monday. If you REALLY want me to be honest, I can say I'd enter in the upcoming session if the price reaches 151.2 or less, but then if it doesn't I won't get to play out this trade for all of you. So I'm going to cheat just a little and assume I got in at the close, but I think there's a good chance it touches that level in the upcoming session anyway. Per my usual strategy, once I'm in I'll add at the close on any day it is still signaling "buy" and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
XETR:HLAGLong
by redwingcoach
Volkswagen - soon ready for the next bullish period (?)Today I will look at Volkswagen (VOW3). VW has had a very tough period especially with the transition to building electric cars and uncertainty especially with european legislation and market regulations. (not a complete fundamental analysis, please search for more fundamentals elsewhere!) My Elliott wave perspective tells me that we are closing in on a potential pivot point from where the share price could easily double and this could provide us with an excellent trading opportunity for the next years.
XETR:VOW3Long
by Staggi10
$TNIE // TONIE BOX Stock Bull SetupTonie BOX What’s it all about? tonies SE in November obtained a stock market listing via a SPAC transaction. While still relatively unknown in capital markets, its products, the audio player Toniebox and the complementary Tonies figurines, are very well known among kids aged 3 to 8. The business model of tonies is characterized by a lock-in of customers and positive network externalities: once the Toniebox has made its way into the children’s room, kids exert constant and irresistible pressure to acquire more content in the form of Tonies. And the more friends own a toniebox, the higher the value of the own toniebox, because the tonies can be swapped, traded, carried along to a visit or sleepover etc. As a result, tonies competitive position is almost untouchable once the installed base has reached critical mass, as in the DACH region. The rollout into other geographies is under way, and first results are very encouraging. Thus purely organic sales growth rates above 40% are highly plausible for the next years. We recommend to BUY with a price target of EUR 18.60, based on a DCF model. See the chart for easy to understand Channel, Elliott Waves and pattern with traceable target mentioned above
TRADEGATE:TNIELong
by Talisman_SurftribeTraders
NVIDIA (NVDA) - Daily ChartA breakout to new highs presents an excellent opportunity. This is one of my fundamental approaches to chart analysis. Why is that? In the market, there are both buyers and sellers. When the battle between buyers and sellers is evenly matched, the market enters a range-bound phase. A breakout to new highs signals that this balance of power has shifted decisively in favor of the buyers. Here’s why: until the breakout, both buyers and sellers could have been in profit or loss. However, the moment the price breaks to a new high, all buyers are in profit, while all sellers are in the red. Now, let’s consider the scenarios where the trend continues after the breakout versus when it struggles. What do you think? In my view, the support-resistance flip is crucial after a breakout. A support-resistance flip means that the previous high, which acted as resistance before the breakout, becomes a support level after the breakout. If this new support level holds and functions effectively, the support-resistance flip is successful, making it easier for the trend to continue. On the other hand, if the flip fails, it suggests that buying momentum has weakened, making a market reversal more likely and the trend continuation more difficult. So, what will happen with this stock? Let’s keep an eye on it and watch how it unfolds!
GETTEX:NVD
by masao_shindo
PAH3 - Opportunity to Buy a cheap Porsche? Stock - not a car :(GETTEX:PAH3 Quick Description of this stock: PAH3 is the ticker symbol for Porsche Automobil Holding SE (Porsche SE). Holding company that primarily owns a significant portion of Volkswagen Group's shares and exercises 53,3% of voting rights in Volkswagen. When you invest in PAH3 you are more exposed to Volkswagen's than Porsche AG's direct operations. These shares provide exposure to the broader automotive industry via VW's portfolio including Audi, Bentley, Lamborghini and others. _____________________________________________________________________________ Same as Porsche AG (P911) stock, we can see significant drop in price.. The highest point that price reached in 2024 was around 52.28 per share, with today's drop in price this marks 35.79% drop in 2024! As we can see on the chart ( I am using Monthly chart as this is a longterm investment and analysis) price is currently in the historic Demand Zone from where it bounced back up. Depending on how this monthly candle closes we may witness history repeat itself or we are going lower to the All-in Zone even better zone to invest. I called it All-in Zone as I think this stock is a great investment opportunity for those who wish to enter this market. You now have a chance to buy at price that we havent seen in 4 years! If we reach to the All-in Zone you will have a chance to buy this stock at a price that we havent seen since 2010 or even 2003 if we reach bottom of the zone. Nobody really knows what will happen with VW group and I am not here to make predictions or wild guesses. I just look at the chart and price history and look at where we might go next, I love technical analysis. So I started buying these stocks same as P911 each month... There is no guarantee for anything and this may be a really good opportunity. As there is big profit potential ! And if we go lower? You will just get a better average buy-in price. For those who are willing to take the risk and have some connection to the car industry - like me.. This may be a good investment in the long run. Also do not forget that owning this stocks Porsche will be paying you dividends once a year! Patience is the key! Play it smart!
GETTEX:PAH3Long
by Matko_MJ
P911 - Opportunity to Buy a cheap Porsche? Stock - not a car :( GETTEX:P911 We all know issues that VW group is currently facing so no point of writing about that. Lets look at some investment opportunities! Since the start of 2024 Porsche saw a nice move to the upside where price found resistance and since then.... since exactly 224 Days, price dropped -42.27%!!! Only in November price dropped -17,33%. While this may look bad, and in most cases is bad, there is money on the table for those who still havent invested in this stock. We do not know 100% what will happen with VW group and Porsche, too big to fail? I guess. There is no historic price action so we also dont know for how long this will keep on dropping and where is the actual bottom before reversing to the upside? Me personally, I started buying some of Porsche stocks each month. We know for certain it cant go bellow 0 (Absolute bottom). There is still room to drop , but there is also profit potential on the upside towards historic prices. For those who are willing to take the risk and have some connection to the car industry - Porsche in general, like me.. This may be a good investment in the long run. Also do not forget that owning this stocks Porsche will be paying you dividends once a year! Patience is the key! Play it smart!
GETTEX:P911Long
by Matko_MJ
1
#ADJ Adler Group S.A. - 7,600% ?#ADJ Adler Group S.A. - 7,600% ? I entered this trade because the ADJ stock chart showed significant potential for strong growth after a prolonged downtrend. The chart displays the formation of a reversal pattern (possibly a "double bottom" or a similar structure) and signs of increasing volume. Additionally, indicators suggest a shift in market sentiment: the histogram shows a reversal toward growth, and oscillators such as RSI and other metrics confirm that the price is moving out of the oversold zone. This suggests the likelihood of a correction to higher levels. The trade's goal is to capitalize on the potential for over 7,600% growth, which, according to technical analysis, could be achievable in the long term. ⚠️ All trading ideas are published with a time delay. If you want to follow the trading in real-time, please follow the link:
XETR:ADJLong
by S_CAPITAL
[Short-Term] Cameco is bouncing right now.. Pre-Recession?Good day, welcome to my analysis on GETTEX:CJ6 current standpoint from a technical view. Please be informed that this is just a short-term analysis, my long term analyses and fundamental analyses can be found here: Bullish on Cameco - Show will go on From Fibonacci retracement, we can see Cameco is bouncing around at fib 0 from November 15th indicating a possible movement of direction. A Fibonacci retracement from Nov. 19th to yesterday's high wick shows the current movement is between fib 0.2 and fib 0.6 (open to close) with today's wick (as of now) laying just above fib 0.7. Yes, these are pretty short term Fibonacci's, but considering Cameco is at its all-time high, no longer term analysis seems fitting for me. Now, here are the possibilities: Recession: Cameco may go into a short-term recession. I would put the maximum low at around fib 0.2 or the higher low / demand zone from November 20th, which would be €54 or €53 retrospectively. Uptrend: Cameco may continue its uptrend until it settles at a new All-Time High. No expected numbers from me. Update: While writing this, MT Newswire posted an article called “RBC Raises Price Target on Cameco to CA$90 From CA$75, ”. The possibility of a short-term recession is getting lower, through the uptrend Cameco had while I'm writing this. Anyway, I don't want to have such short term prognoses, therefore I will still be listing this as a neutral. I hope you've enjoyed this analysis, please read my longer term analyses on Cameco listed below. Have a pleasant day and may you never exit before the bull run begins. -- Henrik B.
GETTEX:CJ6
by henriklmao
#MBG Rebound from Key Support Level of Mercedes-Benz Group AG I decided to enter a long position based on the following reasons: Key Support Zone: The price has reached a strong horizontal level around €52, which historically served as a significant support. It is expected that this level might once again act as a reversal point. Oversold Conditions: The current downward movement appears sharp, which could indicate temporary oversold conditions and the possibility of a corrective rebound. Historical Bounce from the Level: The chart shows that the price has repeatedly bounced off this level in the past, creating good entry points for long positions. Anticipation of a Reversal Candle: There is a possibility of a reversal candlestick pattern forming soon (e.g., a pin bar or engulfing pattern), which would confirm my strategy. Medium-term Growth Potential: If the level holds, the price could return to the upper boundary of the range (around €79), making the trade potentially profitable. Risks: If the level breaks downward, it may signal the need to reassess the position and limit losses. ⚠️ All trading ideas are published with a time delay. If you want to follow the trading in real-time, please follow the link:
XETR:MBGLong
by S_CAPITAL
Bullish on Cameco - Show will go onGood evening everyone, today we will be talking about Cameco, again. I still stand to my previous analyses of Cameco (Linked below), regarding its long term potential. Cameco kind of became my favourite stock to analyse now… At least one of the few ones I regularly post on. Anyway, the more well known indicators like the MACD and Bollinger Bands signal a bullish outlook , as well as some new ones I read into recently. The Lorentzian Classification and Euclidean Distance Prediction machine learning based indicators, which read into historical candle chart patterns to determine a future outlook by probability, blah blah — Don't want to get into the science behind too much, as this is beautifully described in other publications and definitely not an easy topic. I've back tested both the LC and EDP indicators (Through Replay Trading) and found especially the Lorentzian to be really valuable in this stock. The Lorentzian Classification shows a confidence of 8 , which is high, and the Euclidean shows a good near future outlook. The overall technical and analyst rating by Trading View is also a strong buy. I modified the Euclidean script a little, to predict the next two candles, so please don't worry about my chart looking so different. Yes, Cameco is scratching its all-time high right now, but I still think Cameco will surpass it by lots. They raised their 2024 production outlook and maintain strong cash flow projections, even though their Q3 EPS came in at a loss. And they recovered from their 7.6% drop on November 7th it recovered in three hours. This time, I sadly have no price predictions for you, just my current take on Cameco Don't forget to read my previous long-term analysis of GETTEX:CJ6 which still applies fully. I hope you have a wonderful day. I would kindly ask you, to share suggestions and your own thoughts in the comments. Thank you and may your levers never be knocked out! -- Henrik B.
GETTEX:CJ6Long
by henriklmao
2
Mercedes-Benz group AG- An opportunity to buy/Average down.Hello, Today we will be looking at a buy opportunity from Mercedes solely using the tools available on Tradingview. Mercedes-Benz Group AG engages in the business of manufacturing and distributing premium cars. It operates through the following segments: Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Mobility. The Mercedes-Benz Cars segment includes the brands Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, and Mercedes-EQ. All this is found in overview section www.tradingview.com TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data) Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The stock has corrected and is at the bottom of a flat pattern Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- The indicator is confirming purchase. Zero crossover on MACD soon. (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- Future wave as shown Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price EUR 76 (A good stock to buy/average down) Key highlights from the Mercedes-Benz Group's Q3 2024 interim report Revenue: €34.5 billion in Q3 2024, a 7% decrease compared to Q3 2023. For the first nine months, revenue totalled €107.14 billion, down by 5%. Net Profit: €1.7 billion in Q3, down by 54%, and €7.7 billion over nine months, a 31% reduction. Mercedes-Benz Cars: Unit sales were down by 1% to 503,600 vehicles in Q3. Electrified vehicle sales fell by 15%, and BEV sales dropped by 31%. Mercedes-Benz Vans: Sales declined by 13% to 91,100 units in Q3. Electrified van sales also decreased by 31%. Mercedes-Benz Mobility: New financing and leasing contracts fell by 14% compared to Q3 2023 R&D expenditure increased by 13% to €2.9 billion in Q3, with a focus on digitalization and electrification Company highlights can be found on the statements section or the news flow section www.tradingview.com Next earnings report date: February 13, 2025 (Q4 report 2024) The next earnings date can be found for each company www.tradingview.com Opportunities Mercedes-Benz is a globally recognized and respected brand in premium and luxury automobiles, giving it some resilience against fluctuations in car sales. The company’s strong focus on research and development, especially in electric powertrains, positions it well for growth as clean-air regulations continue to tighten worldwide. Management’s long-term goals for return on sales indicate that there is opportunity for further growth, suggesting potential upside to valuation. Risks to consider The global premium car market is highly competitive, and consumers have many choices, making it easy for them to switch between brands. The auto industry faces increasing global overcapacity, leading to pricing pressure. Given its capital-intensive nature, achieving strong economic returns over a 10-year period remains challenging. While Mercedes has maintained good union relations with its German workforce, union influence is substantial, with employees electing half of the supervisory board members. This strong union presence can limit profit margins due to wage demands during prosperous times and work rules that reduce flexibility in manufacturing. Our recommendation Since November 2021, Mercedes-Benz stock has traded in a sideways range between EUR 52 and EUR 76. Despite this, the company remains a globally recognized premium and luxury brand. This positioning continues to provide resilience against high sales fluctuations, making it a standout in the competitive global luxury car market. Mercedes-Benz Cars continue to face weaker macroeconomic conditions and fierce competition, mainly in Asia. The company is actively undertaking a share buyback. In Q4 2024 the Mercedes-Benz Group opened Europe’s first battery recycling factory in Kuppenheim, southern Germany. Valuable, limited raw materials such as lithium, nickel and cobalt can be recovered and are to be used to manufacture new battery cells for Mercedes-Benz vehicles. This buyback, along with the company’s strong positioning and stock’s trading range, presents a potential buying opportunity with a target price of EUR 76 despite the weak Q3 results. Our recommendation is buy/Average down. Mercedes-Benz’s commitment to research and development, particularly in electric powertrains, positions it advantageously for growth amid tightening clean-air regulations worldwide. Goodluck & all the best.
XETR:MBGLong
by thesharkke
9
Flatexdegiro AG: A Leading European Online BrokerOverview FlatexDEGIRO AG, a European online brokerage leader, stands out for its scalable business model and significant market potential. With over 2.8 million customers, FlatexDEGIRO is one of the largest online brokers in Europe. This report outlines the potential investment upside, the reasons for past stock declines, the unique aspects of its business model, and future growth prospects. The stock offers an opportunity to achieve 3x to 5x returns over the next three to five years. Investment Thesis 1. Scalable Business Model: FlatexDEGIRO’s online brokerage platform benefits significantly from economies of scale. Expanding customer numbers has a limited impact on the platform's operational costs while significantly enhancing profitability. This scalability, combined with rising trading activity, positions the company for substantial bottom-line growth. With appropriate operational improvements, FlatexDEGIRO can leverage its customer base more effectively. 2. Market Consolidation in European Brokerage: The European brokerage market is consolidating, with smaller players being acquired or exiting due to rising regulatory costs and competitive pressure. This environment allows larger players like FlatexDEGIRO to acquire market share cost-effectively. This consolidation could reduce competition, giving dominant players a stronger hold over pricing, customer engagement, and regulatory adaptations. 3. Activist Shareholder Influence: Bernd Förtsch, the founder and major shareholder of FlatexDEGIRO, has recently taken a more active role in reshaping the company's governance, including advocating for changes to the supervisory board and executive management. This activism suggests a potential shift towards more disciplined cost management and a renewed focus on growth. With better management of operational costs, FlatexDEGIRO has room to improve profit margins. 4. Re-engaging Dormant Customers: Approximately 1.3 million of FlatexDEGIRO's 2.8 million customers are relatively inactive in trading. Increasing engagement within this subset through targeted communication and trading ideas could enhance transaction-based revenue without a corresponding increase in marketing expenditure. 5. Minimal Regulatory Exposure in Order Flow: Unlike some peers, FlatexDEGIRO has no dependency on "order flow" revenue (payments for order flow, or PFOF). This reduces regulatory risk since PFOF is under scrutiny by European regulators. As such, FlatexDEGIRO’s revenue stream remains resilient to regulatory shifts, positioning it as a potentially safer choice in a tightening regulatory environment. Risks and Challenges 1. Regulatory Environment: The European financial sector faces increasing regulatory scrutiny, driving up compliance costs. Although larger players like FlatexDEGIRO may benefit from this trend by acquiring smaller firms unable to bear these costs, regulation may still weigh on profitability and limit operational flexibility. 2. Past Operational Inefficiencies: Historical mismanagement, such as high executive compensation packages (e.g., €28 million for the executive board in one year with €72 million in annual profit), has negatively impacted FlatexDEGIRO’s profitability. While these issues may be addressed by the founder’s renewed involvement, any lingering inefficiencies could delay or diminish the expected upside potential. 3. Customer Reactivation Efforts: Although reactivating inactive customers could provide significant upside, there is no guarantee that these customers will respond positively to engagement efforts. The competitive landscape and shifting customer preferences could impact how effectively FlatexDEGIRO reactivates its customer base. Financial Position and Growth Potential • Strong Cash Position and Debt-Free Status: FlatexDEGIRO’s solid balance sheet, with no debt and considerable cash reserves, supports potential investments in marketing, acquisitions, and product improvements without raising additional capital. • Valuation Upside: With disciplined cost management and strategic acquisitions, FlatexDEGIRO is positioned to multiply its revenue and profit. I think the stock has potential for a 3x to 5x increase in value within three to five years, primarily through a combination of market expansion, increased trading activity, and operational efficiency gains. Conclusion FlatexDEGIRO presents a compelling investment opportunity with potential for good returns due to its scalable model, strategic positioning in a consolidating market, and recent shareholder activism. The company’s minimal exposure to regulatory risks associated with order flow payments, coupled with a favorable balance sheet, makes it well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the European online brokerage sector. While regulatory changes and customer engagement efforts pose risks, the company’s upside potential makes it an attractive candidate for investors with a moderate risk tolerance and a long-term view. This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always do your own research or consult a financial professional before making investment decisions.
XETR:FTKLong
by marc_kober
Energy Stock Surge? ENI S.P.A Bullish Breakout IncomingENI S.P.A, a leading global oil company, is currently trading at $14.18 , demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the weekly chart. Our proprietary W.ARITAs indicator reveals a significant buildup in bullish momentum, suggesting an imminent breakout from the well-defined inverted head and shoulders pattern . This pattern, widely recognized as a reversal signal, aligns with ENI’s recent strategic moves, including its expansion in Alaska and increased shareholder rewards through a $2 billion share buyback . These developments underscore the company’s robust financial health and its commitment to growth and investor value, which are likely to fuel further stock appreciation. Key Technical Levels: Order Box (OB) Target 1: $18.05 - $19.62 Order Box (OB) Target 2: $23.18 - $24.29 Given the current bullish setup, these targets reflect potential zones for profit-taking, with the first Order Box (OB Target 1) offering a conservative target range and OB Target 2 representing an extended bullish goal. With supportive corporate actions and technical strength, ENI is well-positioned for growth, making it a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure in the energy sector. Keep an eye on the weekly close to confirm the breakout from the inverted head and shoulders pattern for confirmation of further upside potential. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
GETTEX:ENILong
by insidermike