Piraeus Financial Holdings SA Poised for a Potential Rebound -TAPiraeus Financial Holdings SA's recent price movements suggest the stock might be preparing for a positive turnaround, offering an intriguing opportunity for investors. Currently trading around €3.62, the stock finds itself at a critical support level that could act as a strong base for a potential rally.
One of the key indicators suggesting a possible rebound is the stock's position relative to the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Holding above this long-term trend line implies that the broader trend remains bullish, despite recent short-term volatility. Additionally, the shorter-term EMAs are showing signs of convergence, often a precursor to a breakout.
Volume analysis also paints a promising picture. Recent downtrends have been accompanied by high trading volumes, a sign that suggests strong buyer interest. This accumulation phase could signal that investors are taking advantage of lower prices, setting the stage for an upward movement.
Technical indicators further support this optimistic view. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is approaching a potential bullish crossover, hinting at a momentum shift. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 38, nearing oversold territory. A bounce from this level could indicate that selling pressure is fading, paving the way for buyers to step in.
Fibonacci retracement levels also show that the stock is navigating key support zones. A rebound from current levels could target the 0.618 and 0.5 retracement levels, providing a clear path to recovery if momentum shifts. Furthermore, pivot points highlight that a move above €3.624 could aim for resistance at €3.987, indicating a potential reversal pattern.
Overall, Piraeus Financial Holdings SA seems to be on the cusp of a potential upswing. If current support levels hold and buying interest continues to grow, a bullish shift may be imminent, offering investors a favorable risk-reward scenario in the coming days.
Support Levels:
The stock is currently at a critical support level around €3.62. If this support holds, it could act as a strong base for a potential rebound.
There's a significant Fibonacci support level at the 0.786 retracement level around €3.769, indicating that this price region is a crucial area of interest for buyers.
Moving Averages:
The stock is still above the 200-day EMA, a strong indication that the long-term trend remains positive. Historically, holding above the 200-day EMA suggests that the overall trend has room to move higher.
The convergence of the shorter-term EMAs (20, 50, 100) indicates that a consolidation phase might be ending, potentially leading to a breakout as market forces decide on the next direction.
Volume Analysis:
There have been a few spikes in volume during downward movements, indicating strong interest from buyers. High volume in this context often means that there is accumulation happening, a positive sign of potential price recovery.
MACD Indicator:
Although the MACD line is currently below the signal line, it's nearing a potential crossover. This suggests that momentum may soon shift from bearish to bullish, which could spark a rally.
A bullish crossover would reinforce the idea that the downtrend might be losing steam, with buyers ready to step in.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is around 38, suggesting that the stock is nearing oversold territory. This is often an indicator that a price reversal is on the horizon, providing a good buying opportunity for traders.
Fibonacci Levels:
The current price action is trading within important Fibonacci retracement levels, with the potential to move back towards the 0.618 and 0.5 levels if support holds. These levels could act as targets if the stock begins to move upwards, indicating that there's a strong base for recovery.
Pivot Points:
The stock is close to S2 (€3.624), and if it finds support here, a movement towards the pivot point or even R1 (€3.987) could be feasible. This would represent a bullish reversal pattern if confirmed by upcoming candles.
Positive Outlook Summary:
If the current support levels hold and there's a bullish crossover in the MACD, along with a bounce from the oversold RSI, there’s a strong chance that the stock may resume its upward trend. Traders could look for confirmation with increased buying volume or a close above the recent resistance levels to affirm a positive shift in market sentiment.
Alpha Bank Shows Impressive Performance Alpha Bank Shows Impressive Performance in the First Nine Months of 2024, with Positive Indicators Boosting Investor Confidence and Paving the Way for Upgraded Forecasts for the Rest of the Year.
Alpha Bank reported adjusted net profits of €666 million, showing a 16% annual increase, while net profits reached €489 million. The impressive increase in earnings per share to €0.27 highlights the bank's profitability, with a return on equity of 14.4%.
Net interest income showed a 2% annual increase, while fee income saw an impressive rise of 11%, reaching €306 million. This growth in fee income reflects the bank’s success in diversifying its revenue streams and expanding into payment and wealth management services.
The non-performing exposure (NPE) ratio stands at a low 4.6%, underscoring the resilience of the bank’s portfolio and prudent risk management. Meanwhile, the cost of risk has been significantly reduced to 63 basis points, contributing to the improvement in the bank’s asset quality.
The increase in loans by 8% and deposits by 10% reflects strong customer confidence and the continuous strengthening of the bank’s portfolio. Alpha Bank seems to be adapting exceptionally well to the increased market needs, especially in the business loan segment.
The bank’s balance sheet is well-structured to withstand interest rate reductions, with strong capital adequacy and a proper asset allocation. This provides stability and protection against potential market fluctuations, with minimal impact on net interest income.
The increased demand for business loans is reflected in a 67% rise in corporate loans since 2018, with Alpha Bank outperforming the sector average in loan growth. The positive trend in loan demand is expected to continue, offering further growth opportunities.
Alpha Bank holds a leading position in wealth management, with the largest mutual funds under management in Greece. The expected increase in fee income by 2026, particularly in the payments and wealth management sectors, supports the bank's strategy for revenue diversification.
The bank is on track for further growth in earnings per share, with an expected return reaching €0.35 by 2026, thanks to continuous improvements in operational efficiency and strong financial performance.
Alpha Bank’s capital adequacy is higher than the average of Greek banks, with a CET1 ratio of 15.5%, while over 30% of its market cap is expected to be distributed as dividends by 2026. This strong capital base enables management to reward shareholders while maintaining sufficient capital reserves.
Detailed Financial Data of Alpha Bank for the First Nine Months of 2024
Net Interest Income
Net interest income amounted to €1.243 billion for the first nine months of 2024, showing an annual increase of 2%. Despite stable interest income in recent quarters (€410 million in Q3 2024), the bank manages to maintain a steady income in its core area.
Fee Income
Fee income reached €306 million, up 11% compared to the same period in 2023. This increase confirms the effectiveness of the bank’s strategies to diversify its revenue sources, primarily through payment services and wealth management.
Trading and Other Income
Trading and other income saw an impressive 81% increase, reaching €95 million. This reflects the bank’s success in seizing opportunities in the markets and other investment activities.
Operating Income and Expenses
Operating income for the first nine months of 2024 amounted to €1.643 billion, up 6% compared to the previous year.
Total operating expenses remained steady at €627 million, with no change, indicating successful cost management despite increased activity. The combination of revenue growth and expense stability demonstrates the bank’s improved efficiency.
Pre-Provision Income
Pre-provision income increased by 11%, reaching €1.016 billion. This increase is particularly significant as it strengthens the bank’s resilience to potential risks and lays the groundwork for healthy growth.
Impairment Losses
Impairment losses decreased by 20%, amounting to €173 million. This reduction is very positive, reflecting the improvement in the bank’s portfolio quality and reduced need for provisions against bad loans.
Profit Before Tax
Profit before tax amounted to €838 million, marking a significant increase of 18% compared to the same period last year. This increase reflects the positive impact of cost management and increased revenues.
Net Profit After Tax
Net profit after tax amounted to €489 million, showing a slight decrease of 2% compared to 2023. Although this decrease might seem negative, it is offset by the increase in adjusted net profits.
Adjusted Net Profit After Tax
Adjusted net profit after tax increased by 16%, reaching €666 million. This increase reflects the bank's strong financial performance and positive results without the impact of extraordinary expenses or other adjustments.
Alpha Bank Shares Show Several Positive Indicators According to Analysts:
Undervalued Market Price: Alpha Bank shares are trading at levels significantly below their estimated fair value, with a 55.5% discount. This means it offers substantial value for investors seeking to benefit from its potential future appreciation.
Earnings Growth Forecast: Alpha Bank’s earnings are forecasted to grow at an annual rate of 18.2%, significantly exceeding both the market average and savings rates. Additionally, historical data show a 25.5% annual growth in earnings over the past five years.
Analysts’ Consensus for an Upward Trend: Analysts are optimistic and agree that Alpha Bank’s stock price will rise by around 49.2% over the next year. This reflects market confidence in the company’s potential.
Valuation Based on Price-to-Book Ratio (PB): The price-to-book ratio for Alpha Bank shares is at 0.5x, indicating that the market values the stock at a very low level compared to its net book value. This suggests the stock could be a good buying opportunity relative to its sector.
Strong Financial Health: Alpha Bank shows adequate deposit levels and healthy loan levels, with an appropriate loan-to-deposit ratio of 70%. Although non-performing loans are at 3.8%, this percentage is not high enough to pose a risk, and the company has sufficient provisions for bad loans.
Expected Revenue Growth: Although the forecasted annual revenue growth is 7.9%, this rate is positive for the company’s growth prospects, surpassing the market forecast (5.1%).
Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of Alpha Bank’s stock shows a strong upward trend, supported by various indicators and support and resistance levels.
Moving Averages (EMA)
The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) for 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods indicate an upward trend, with the stock trading above all these levels, signaling strong bullish momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI is at 80.72, indicating that the stock is in the overbought zone. While this suggests high demand and bullish momentum, it also poses a risk for a possible correction.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD line (0.0359) is above the signal line (0.0278), indicating an upward trend. The positive value of the Histogram (0.0081) further reinforces the bullish trend.
Trading Volume
Volume is on an upward trend, with a total volume of 1.777 million. The increase in volume supports the upward movement, as it indicates growing investor interest in buying the stock.
Fibonacci Levels
The Fibonacci levels confirm support and resistance points:
0.618 level at 1.4680 serves as support.
Level 1 at 1.4960 also acts as a significant support level.
Support and Resistance Levels
R1 (Resistance 1): 1.5495, which has been exceeded, with the current stock price slightly above this level.
R2 (Resistance 2): 1.5795, which could act as a point of slowing the upward trend.
S1 (Support 1): 1.4275, providing fundamental support in case of a correction.
Potential Setbacks for METLEN LSE Listing and Investor SentimentI am revising my estimate for the performance of METLEN's stock, as information suggests a potential delay in its listing on the LSE . Although the company's nine-month results are particularly positive, this uncertainty may impact future returns.
METLEN's turnover increased by 3%, reaching €4,203 million, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) grew by 6% to €763 million. Net profits rose by 4% to €482 million, with earnings per share amounting to €3.49. Despite investments, the net debt ratio remained stable at 2.05x EBITDA.
Regarding the rumors of Mr. Mytilineos's potential involvement with Hellenic Petroleum (ELPE), I refer you to the Prime Minister's statement: "It is not patriotic to import natural gas and oil from abroad when we can exploit domestic energy sources."
Finally, it is now certain that the government will impose a windfall tax on the excess profits of energy companies, a development expected to negatively affect METLEN's stock performance. While this decision aims to boost public revenues, it creates uncertainty for foreign institutional investors, who may reconsider their positions in the Greek energy market due to exposure to unpredictable tax burdens. This could make attracting substantial investment capital in the energy sector more challenging.
TARGET PRICE: 28.26
Technical Analysis Confirms Titan’s Bullish TrendTitan continues to attract the interest of both investors and the broader market, showcasing an impressive performance on stock exchanges and reporting strong financial results for the first nine months of 2024. With its stock price closing at €39.80, marking a 2.71% increase, the company confirms its robust momentum.
Technical Analysis: Steady Upward Momentum
The technical outlook of Titan’s stock highlights a solidifying upward trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) across various timeframes (20, 50, 100, and 200 days) support the positive perspective. The current stock price is notably above these averages (EMA 20: €36.44, EMA 50: €34.68, EMA 100: €33.15, EMA 200: €30.41), indicating strong buying activity.
The MACD indicator (12, 26, 9) reinforces this momentum, with a positive divergence between the MACD Line (1.582) and the Signal Line (1.151) and a Histogram value of 0.4312. Pivot Points also indicate the stock approaching the first resistance level (R1: €41.25), with strong potential to breach higher levels (R2: €43.80) if the upward momentum persists.
Key Moving Averages (EMAs)
The EMA indicators signal a clear upward trend:
EMA 20: €36.44
EMA 50: €34.68
EMA 100: €33.15
EMA 200: €30.41
The stock price remains substantially above all these averages, underscoring the strength of its long-term bullish trajectory.
MACD (12, 26, 9)
The MACD indicator confirms the upward dynamics:
MACD Line: 1.582
Signal Line: 1.151
Histogram: 0.4312
This positive divergence suggests sustained buyer interest.
Pivot Points and Key Levels
Pivot Point calculations outline support and resistance levels as follows:
R1: €41.25
R2: €43.80
S1: €34.25
S2: €29.80
The proximity of the price to the first resistance level (R1) signals a potential breakout towards higher levels if the upward momentum continues.
Titan Cement’s technical outlook reveals strong upward momentum, supported by moving averages and MACD. The stock’s position relative to Pivot Points suggests increased demand, potentially targeting the €41.25 level.
Strong 9-Month Financial Results
Titan Group reported positive results for the first nine months of 2024, with all geographic sectors contributing to growth. Sales increased by 4.9% to €1.985 billion, while EBITDA rose by 14.6%, reaching €455 million. Improved selling prices, enhanced operational efficiency, and reduced fuel costs boosted profit margins.
Notably, net profits rose by 20% to €238 million, while earnings per share stood at €3.19. S&P’s credit rating upgrade to “BB+” and the reduction of the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio to 1.1x underscore the company’s financial stability.
Strategic Initiatives and Growth
The Group continues to invest in strategic initiatives with a focus on sustainable growth. The acquisition of quarries and concrete plants enhances production capacity. Simultaneously, the advancement of the carbon capture project IFESTOS in Greece highlights the Group’s commitment to environmental sustainability.
The planned listing of Titan America’s operations on the New York Stock Exchange, expected in Q1 2025, is set to further boost the company’s expansion strategy in the U.S.
Outlook: Robust Performance Amid Challenges
Despite global economic challenges, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties, Titan Group remains focused on growth. Demand for cement is expected to remain strong, especially in the U.S. and Europe, driven by public infrastructure projects and private investments.
In Greece, the economy shows resilience, with private sector investments and EU funds fueling growth. Meanwhile, Balkan countries and Egypt display mixed results, with long-term prospects depending on local economic stability.
Titan’s stock appears attractive for investors seeking stable returns in a high-uncertainty environment. With strong technical and fundamental indicators, a potential breakout above €41.25 could pave the way for further gains. The anticipated Wall Street listing and commitment to sustainable development enhance the stock’s long-term value.
Titan is poised to continue its growth trajectory, supported by strong performance, green development strategies, and international opportunities. With current dynamics, 2024 is shaping up to be a milestone year for the Group in both sales and profitability.
Eurobank Holdings: Technically Weak with Pressure on Stock PriceEurobank Holdings' stock presents a negative technical picture as it hovers near recent lows, showing signs of weakening. The stock price stands at €2.496, recording a marginal decline (-0.28%), while technical data indicates limited chances of recovery.
Technical Analysis Overview
Moving Averages (EMA 20/50/100/200) suggest a stabilizing trend with downward prospects.
EMA 20 is at €2.492, EMA 50 at €2.500, and EMA 100 at €2.500, forming a strong resistance level that prevents upward movement.
EMA 200 at €2.491 is being heavily tested as a support level.
Technical Indicators:
MACD is negative (-0.0058), confirming weak stock momentum.
RSI at 47.47 indicates neutrality, with a lack of strength to surpass the critical 50-level.
Fibonacci Levels & Resistance-Support Points:
The stock fails to hold above the 0.236 Fibonacci level (€2.496), with the next support at €2.470.
The Pivot Point resistance (€2.512) has been tested but not successfully surpassed.
Volume Analysis:
Trading volume stands at 14.12 million shares, with increased selling pressure on downward moves, reflecting investor caution.
If selling pressure persists, a potential drop to S1 (€2.452) cannot be ruled out.
Key Technical Weaknesses
Price Weakness & Lack of Recovery Potential:
The stock price is currently at €2.492, down -0.20%.
Despite previous recovery attempts, it has failed to sustain higher levels and now moves near its daily lows.
Moving Averages Indicate Downward Bias:
EMA 20 (€2.492) closely aligns with the current price, signaling weak short-term bullish momentum.
EMA 50 and EMA 100 (€2.500) act as resistance, indicating potential failure to move higher.
EMA 200 (€2.491) provides temporary support, but the price seems likely to break below it.
MACD Shows Negative Momentum:
MACD at -0.0058, below its signal (-0.0082), suggests continued downward pressure.
The positive histogram is minimal (0.0024), reflecting weak buying interest.
RSI Indicates Weak Upward Momentum:
RSI at 47.47, below the neutral 50-level, shows sellers still dominate.
The RSI-based MA (39.14) suggests the stock was recently in oversold territory but lacks strong upside movement.
Fibonacci & Key Support-Resistance Levels:
The stock failed to maintain the 0.236 Fibonacci level (€2.496), showing an inability to recover.
Key support at €2.470, with a possible decline to lower levels if selling pressure persists.
Pivot Point resistance at €2.512 remains challenging to break.
Volume Confirms Selling Pressure:
Trading volume of 14.12M suggests increased selling on downward movements, indicating that sellers are in control.
Bearish Technical Outlook
Eurobank Holdings' technical outlook remains weak, with the price moving below significant resistance levels and indicators suggesting limited upside potential. The stock's inability to break above €2.500 and persistent pressure below moving averages signal a potential continuation of the downward trend, especially if it breaks below €2.470.
OPAP: A Safe Bet in Uncertain MarketsOPAP: A Safe Bet in Uncertain Markets - OPAP Delivers Stability, Dividends, and Buybacks
By Konstantinos Gougakis – April 8, 2025, 09:47
When international markets swing to the rhythm of uncertainty, geopolitical instability, and interest rates going up and down like an elevator, investors stop looking for the next unicorn. They look for stocks that offer stability, transparency, dividends, and solid prospects. They look for “corner store” stocks—established, reliable players. And one of the most prominent examples on the Greek market is, without a doubt, OPAP.
OPAP has consistently shown it can perform even in times of crisis. It has strong liquidity, solid operating performance, investments that pay off, a digital transformation well underway, and—most importantly—a strategy that doesn’t shift with the wind. Now, it’s adding another key strength to its arsenal: a new two-year share buyback program.
The program covers up to 5% of its share capital, with a proposed buyback range between €0.30 and €25 per share. That gives OPAP a flexible tool it can activate only when the Board of Directors sees it as the best available value move. This isn’t for show—it’s a deliberate, targeted action to benefit shareholders.
To put it simply: when a company buys back its own shares, fewer shares remain in the market. So, for those holding on, the value of each share goes up. It’s a clear sign of confidence in the business and a “thank you” to long-term investors. In uncertain times, moves like this matter.
And OPAP isn’t stopping there. Its 2024 financials exceeded expectations:
Net operating profits of €828 million
Profit margin of 36%
11.5% GGR growth in Q4
Citi called the results “outstanding,” while J.P. Morgan and AXIA Ventures raised their price targets and issued new buy recommendations.
OPAP is also making steady digital progress. Its online platform accounts for 31% of GGR, and the Opap Store app saw average spend per visit grow from €27 to €35 in a year. Joker is hitting record numbers, Eurojackpot made history with over 1 million players, and scratch card revenue now makes up 12.2% of the lottery portfolio.
The company is also refinancing €390 million in loans, securing stability through 2032. With €490 million in cash reserves by the end of 2024, OPAP is well-positioned to invest and continue supporting both dividends and share buybacks.
The new dividend of €0.80 per share (4.7% yield) will be paid in May, while a €150 million buyback has already been completed, aimed at canceling shares. The new buyback is another part of OPAP’s value-return strategy—not flashy, just effective.
And the market is responding: three top international firms have upgraded their forecasts, calling OPAP attractively priced with strong upside potential. With an EV/EBITDA ratio of 7.1x for 2026, OPAP is seen as a solid, low-risk investment with dependable returns.
Bottom line: OPAP doesn’t make promises—it delivers. In stormy seas, some look for lighthouses. Like it or not, OPAP has become one of them.
Bullish Momentum with Overbought SignΤechnical Analysis Report: Bullish Momentum with Overbought Signals
JUMBO: Shareholder Update on Q1 2025 Sales Performance
The JUMBO Group, staying true to its commitment to investors and consumers, is releasing today the latest figures regarding March sales and overall performance for the first quarter of 2025.
The recent global trade turbulence, sparked by a new wave of tariff conflicts, is reshaping international commerce, creating an unpredictable environment and heightening mid-term uncertainty.
Sales Overview
JUMBO Group's sales for March 2025 decreased by approximately -2% compared to the same month last year. This decline is largely attributed to seasonality in Greece and Cyprus, as Carnival was celebrated on March 2 this year, versus March 17 in 2024.
In contrast, total Q1 2025 sales for the Group increased by approximately +8% year-on-year.
Additionally, sales during the first 15 days of April suggest a rebound in growth pace, following the temporary disruption in March caused by earlier seasonal demand for Carnival-related products.
Key Context
The Group highlights to its shareholders that the current volatility in global trade makes it nearly impossible to reliably plan for costs and inventory—especially for businesses with significant import/export operations.
One of the few short-term positives is the favorable exchange rate trends and the notable drop in global oil prices.
More detailed information—and potentially a first management outlook on the Group’s 2025 financials—will be shared in the annual financial results for FY 2024, scheduled for release on April 28, 2025.
Sales by Country
Greece
In March 2025, net sales of the parent company (excluding intercompany transactions) fell by about -7% year-on-year.
For Q1 2025 overall, net sales rose approximately +10% compared to the same period last year.
Cyprus
Sales in Cyprus stores declined -8% in March 2025 compared to the previous year.
However, Q1 2025 sales were up around +6% year-on-year.
Bulgaria
Sales in Bulgaria were up by about +4% in March 2025 year-on-year.
Overall Q1 sales in the country increased by approximately +2%.
Romania
Sales from both physical stores and the e-shop rose by roughly +12% in March 2025.
Q1 sales in Romania were up by about +6% compared to the same period last year.
Store Network
As of March 31, 2025, the JUMBO Group operated 89 stores:
53 in Greece
6 in Cyprus
10 in Bulgaria
20 in Romania
The Group also operates e-shops in Greece, Cyprus, and Romania.
Through partnerships, JUMBO-branded stores are present in 7 additional countries—Albania, Kosovo, Serbia, North Macedonia, Bosnia, Montenegro, and Israel—with a total of 40 partner-operated stores. Notably, the Group opened its third large-format JUMBO store in Israel in early April.
Technical Analysis Report
As of the latest trading session, the stock is showing strong bullish momentum, with multiple technical indicators supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
🔹 Price Action
The stock is currently trading at €26.08, having formed a strong recovery from the recent low of €23.06. The price has now surpassed previous resistance levels, nearing the recent high at €25.86, which may act as a short-term resistance.
🔹 Fibonacci Retracement Levels
A Fibonacci retracement applied from the low of €23.06 to the high of €25.86 highlights key support zones:
23.6% level: €25.20
38.2% level: €24.80
50.0% level: €24.46
61.8% level: €24.13
78.6% level: €23.66
These levels serve as potential support in case of a pullback.
🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
The stock is trading above all major EMAs, which is a clear bullish signal:
EMA 20: €25.65
EMA 50: €25.25
EMA 100: €25.10
EMA 200: €25.35
This crossover pattern confirms strong upward momentum and a likely trend continuation.
🔹 MACD Indicator
MACD Line: 0.2102
Signal Line: 0.2064
Histogram: 0.0039
The MACD is slightly above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum, though the small histogram suggests this strength is moderate.
🔹 Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Current RSI: 72.12
RSI Moving Average: 64.38
The RSI is currently above 70, placing the stock in overbought territory. This could indicate a potential short-term consolidation or correction, though not necessarily a trend reversal.
The technical indicators collectively suggest a bullish outlook. However, with the RSI entering overbought levels, traders should be cautious of a possible pullback toward support zones at €25.20 or €24.80. A breakout above €25.86 could signal further upside potential.
Jefferies: Maintains "Buy" Rating with a €6.25 Target PriceJefferies: Piraeus' Acquisition of National Insurance Boosts Profitability and Capital Position – Maintains "Buy" Rating with a €6.25 Target Price
The acquisition of 90% of National Insurance by Piraeus Bank for €540 million is a highly strategic move that, according to Jefferies' analysis, will significantly enhance the bank's profitability and overall financial position.
A Deal That Strengthens Piraeus – “Buy” Rating Maintained
Jefferies estimates that the National Insurance acquisition diversifies Piraeus' revenue streams and strengthens its fee income sector, bringing it closer to leading European banking institutions.
The investment firm maintains its “buy” rating for Piraeus Bank, setting a €6.25 price target, confirming its confidence in the bank’s prospects following this strategic move.
Profitability & Return on Equity Boost
This transaction is expected to increase earnings per share (EPS) by approximately 5%, while return on tangible book value (RoaTBV) is projected to rise by 100 basis points (bp). At the same time, Piraeus continues to target a cost-to-core-income ratio of around 35% for the 2025-2027 period, maintaining strong operational efficiency.
Positive Capital Impact – Danish Compromise Implementation
The acquisition will impact Piraeus’ total capital ratio by 150 basis points, reducing it from 20% to over 18.5% in 2025. However, the bank plans to apply the Danish Compromise, which, if implemented, would reduce the impact by 50 basis points, keeping the net effect at 100 basis points.
Importantly, the CET1 ratio is expected to remain above 13% throughout the 2025-2027 business plan, while the dividend distribution policy at 50% of profits remains unchanged.
National Insurance: A Leading Player in the Greek Market
National Insurance is the top insurance company in Greece, with 15.8% growth in gross written premiums (GWP) in 2024, surpassing the market average of 8.7%. The company is expected to maintain a 14.6% market share in 2024, with 17% in life insurance and 11% in general insurance.
With total assets of €4 billion and equity of €400 million, National Insurance reported normalized net earnings of €100 million in 2023. Its extensive network of corporate and affiliated insurance agencies generates a significant portion of its revenue.
Strong Growth in the Bancassurance Market
Piraeus Bank expects the Greek insurance market to continue expanding, with gross written premiums rising to €7 billion from €5.5 billion by the end of 2024.
In Bancassurance, a key strategic sector for Piraeus, the market size is projected to grow from €1.4 billion to €2 billion, highlighting the increasing significance of bank-led insurance services in Greece.
End of the Sharp Decline? A Signal for a Eurobank Rebound
The Eurobank Holdings stock appears to have reached critical support levels, suggesting that the sharp decline of recent sessions may be nearing its end. With the price approaching the EMA 100 & 200 (2.394 and 2.288, respectively), there is an increased likelihood of a technical rebound as selling pressure may be subsiding at these levels.
The RSI (40.21) indicates that the stock is close to oversold territory, which has historically led to upward movements. Meanwhile, the MACD, although still in negative territory, shows signs of stabilization, suggesting that the downward momentum may be weakening.
If the stock manages to hold above the 2.394 level, an immediate rebound toward resistance at 2.459 – 2.483 is the most probable scenario. However, if these levels are broken downward, there is a risk of testing the 2.288 support zone.
The next trading session will be crucial, as a strong buying reaction could signal the end of the correction and put the stock back on an upward trajectory.
Eurobank: Risks from Interest Rate DependenceEurobank: Risks from Interest Rate Dependence – Losing Ground to Competitors – (Morgan Stanley Analysis)
Eurobank, although still one of the strongest Greek banks, is facing challenges that could impact its growth trajectory and attractiveness to investors. According to the latest Morgan Stanley report, the bank has been downgraded from Overweight to Equal-weight, reflecting concerns about its prospects compared to its competitors in the Greek banking sector.
Downgrade and Limited Upside Potential
Eurobank, which was previously considered one of the most robust Greek banks, has lost its privileged position as analysts have downgraded its stock. The new price target set by Morgan Stanley is €3.18, slightly up from €2.77, but with a lower profit potential compared to other Greek banks such as Piraeus and Alpha Bank, which maintain higher upside potential. This development indicates that, despite its positive financial results, Eurobank does not offer the same investment appeal as its competitors.
Lower Return on Equity
One of the key issues affecting Eurobank’s investment position is its performance relative to its competitors. Its Return on Tangible Equity (ROTE) is estimated at 15.4% for 2025 and 14.8% for 2026, slightly lower than National Bank of Greece (15.1%) and Piraeus Bank (13.7%). While these numbers are strong in absolute terms, they highlight that Eurobank does not have the same profit growth potential as other Greek banks.
Limited Loan Growth and Lower Net Interest Income
Eurobank is experiencing moderate loan growth, with an estimated increase of 4.9% in 2025 and 2.8% in 2026, compared to 7.5%-8% for Piraeus Bank. This means that Eurobank may not benefit as much from Greece’s economic recovery and rising investment activity in the country. Additionally, its Net Interest Income (NII) is expected to reach €2.5 billion in 2025, marking only a small increase, which limits the bank’s ability to achieve higher profitability.
Interest Rate Risks and Capital Reserves
Another concern for Eurobank is its sensitivity to interest rate cuts. The Greek banking market is highly dependent on ECB interest rates, and a potential reduction in these rates could negatively impact the bank’s interest income. Furthermore, although its capital position is adequate, it is not as strong as its competitors. Its CET1 ratio is expected to be 16.8% in 2026, lower than National Bank of Greece (17.8%).
Although Eurobank remains one of the top Greek banks, it faces significant challenges that limit its growth potential. The downgrade of its stock, lower growth dynamics, and sensitivity to interest rate changes make it a less attractive investment choice compared to Piraeus and Alpha Bank. If the bank fails to achieve higher loan growth and improve its profitability, it may lose ground to its competitors, limiting its stock’s upside potential.
Position trade with 30%+ upside potentialWith OBV nearing ATH, a decent earnings report and a breakout from a descending triangle, EXAE seems like the perfect candidate for an easy 30% profit. Entry at €4.45 and price target at €5.90. Based on market conditions when stock price will reach our take profit target, we will reconsider whether closing the position (or part of it) is the best choice or if letting it run is the better strategy. With resistance at €5.8, support at €4.29 and a breakout at €4.45, the target is set at €5.90+. When conducting an analysis with Fibonacci levels, €5.20 and €5.80 are considered as the next resistance levels (or price targets).
intracom 4hChart Analysis - Intracom Holdings (CR)
The chart illustrates the following:
Double Bottom Formation: A clear double bottom pattern has been formed, with the price breaking above the neckline around €3.00. This breakout signals potential further upside.
Uptrend Confirmation: After breaking the neckline, the price has continued upward, reaching the resistance zone at €3.12. This movement aligns with the typical progression of a double bottom pattern.
Support and Resistance:
Support: The neckline area around €3.00 now acts as a strong support level.
Resistance: The price faces short-term resistance at €3.12. A breakout above this level could trigger additional upside momentum.
Outlook: As long as the €3.00 support holds and the €3.12 resistance is broken, the next target is projected around €3.25, with a potential final target at €3.50.
Technical Indicators:
The breakout is supported by positive momentum.
Trendlines indicate a continuation of the upward trend.
Titan Cement: Impressive its progress in 2024Titan Cement (TITC) Group, the Titan of the Athens Stock Exchange, which was the first stock I bought as an investor in 1987, ended 2024 with a shower of new historical highs in its share value.
The group posted record sales in the nine-month period at 1.984 billion euros, up by +4.9% compared to the corresponding period last year. At the same time, it posted a strong increase of +14.6% in EBITDA profits, closing at 454.5 million euros, from 396.7 million euros in the nine-month period last year, while it also had a significant increase of +20.3%, to 237.8 million euros, from 197.6 million euros, in net profitability.
In 2025, we will also have the listing of Titan America on the New York Stock Exchange, thus giving significant goodwill to the group, while the raising of several hundred million dollars will further lower the already “wonderful” net debt / EBITDA ratio, which at the end of last September was at 1.10x.
From a diagrammatic point of view, the stock is moving within the strongly upward “S” channel governed by the two pivots of 2019. Here it is clearly visible that the stock has now taken an upward slope towards 44 euros, with a possible development of breaking the four-year channel with a move towards 48 to 50 euros.
GEK Terna: Profitability will be beyond expectationsGEK Terna (GEKTERNA), the national champion in the infrastructure and concessions sector, will appear even stronger in 2025, with Attiki Odos and Egnatia Odos starting to fill its coffers.
Of great interest is the analysis by Eurobank Equities, which predicts the group's revenues to increase from 2.96 billion euros in 2024 to 3.3 billion euros in 2025 and 3.6 billion euros in 2026, with its profitability, however, "breaking them". Specifically, EBITDA profits are expected to increase by +38%, from 452.4 million euros in 2024 to 623.8 million euros (!) in 2025 and to 692.5 million euros in 2026. euros in 2026.
The concessions sector is expected to be the spearhead of the group for the coming years, an element that would easily lead the management to decide to list it on the Stock Exchange. A sector that is expected to bring operating profits of more than 480 to 500 million euros (!).
In the long-term diagrammatic analysis, we have a strong upward channel “D”, which has governed the share price since January 2016. An 8-year formation that pushes the share higher and higher, breaking through the gates of 7.56 euros, 10.18 euros, 14.18 euros and is now approaching 20.25 euros, which will lead to 24.70 euros.
Cenergy Holdings:The incredible growth story extends beyond 2030In the case of Cenergy Holdings (CENER), words are unnecessary.
The growth story of this group is incredible and extends beyond 2030. The comparison of this year's nine months with last year is characteristic, with the percentage figures having escaped, such as the +44% in EBITDA from 137 million euros to 196.8 million euros and the more than doubling in pre-tax profits of 123 million euros from 60.1 million euros and after-tax profits of 100.26 million euros from 47.16 million euros, reminiscent more of an IT company than a giant industrial group.
So in this group that is going to reach 400 million euros in operating profits in the next two years, before even putting the new Hellenic Cables factory in the US into full operation, the long-term chart of the stock shows a strong upward trend.
The stock, taking prices within the “W” channel, has broken resistances such as those at 3.465 euros, 7.20 euros and around 10.18 euros, in order to continue towards 12.80 euros. The extension of this pattern gives prices even above 14 euros.
Profile Software: DORA and lightning speed at 6.20 eurosProfile Software (PROF) has been hitting new all-time highs in its share price for six consecutive years. Nothing in its fundamental development indicates that it will miss the rendezvous of the all-time highs in 2025, 2026, 2027,…
It is perhaps the only stock on the Hellenic Stock Exchange that has not fallen below the Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) index in the last seven years, which uses the volume-weighted average price (VWAP).
This index shows that wherever a medium-term investor bought the stock within the 80-day range represented by each printed candlestick, he would come out a winner.
So Profile, with its backlog of projects of 120 million euros in combination with recurring revenues, without entering into any new agreements in the coming years, will generate 10 million euros of net cash annually, which means that by 2027 the group will have a fund of 30 million euros, where if we add the current 10 million euros, we go to 40 million euros.
That is 1/3 of the current capitalization and this without hypothetically the group having income from new agreements for 3 years. We are talking about such a strong package that it can easily cover even an acquisition of more than 60 million euros, thus radically changing all the data of the sizes that we know.
The diagrammatic analysis of the share gives, through the upward channel “Q”, a price forecast for 2025 that reaches 7.24 to 8.04 euros. The stock has developed peculiar triangular formations in an upward direction since 2019, mainly after formations of stabilization and upward division and escape to higher price levels.
Most recently, in the long-term chart of 80-day candlestick prices, the upward breakdown occurred at 1.846 euros and spread to 4.64 euros. Now, this level has been bypassed upwards and the spread to new unexplored price levels extends to 8.04 euros or +55% from current price levels. In fact, due to the strong slope, the movement from 5.30 to 6 euros will be lightning fast, that is, in a short period of time.
A movement that is very likely to be brought to us by … DORA (Digital Operational Resilience Act). The regulation is a modern EU law to strengthen the digital resilience of financial institutions, in view of the growing challenges in the digital world and given the high need to shield banks from cyberattacks.
The rest coming soon.
Motor Oil Q3 - 9M Performance ReviewMotor Oil has reported its financial results for the first nine months of 2024, revealing a significant drop in net profitability. The company faced pressures due to global energy instability, geopolitical tensions, and a catastrophic fire at its refinery in Kalamaki, Corinth.
Significant Profit Decline
Motor Oil’s financial data showed a 68.9% reduction in net profits, amounting to €224.05 million, down from €717.25 million in the same period of 2023. The third quarter was particularly unfavorable, recording net losses of €137.9 million, offsetting positive performances in the earlier part of the year.
This decline in profitability was attributed to:
Reduced refining margins
Increased operating costs due to the refinery fire
Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, which heightened energy market volatility and disrupted operations
Stable Revenues but Lower EBITDA
Revenue for the nine months reached €9.368 billion, a marginal decline of 6% compared to €9.968 billion in the same period in 2023. However, EBITDA dropped by 34% to €768 million, reflecting lower efficiency in refinery operations and reduced product margins.
Notable changes in product margins:
Jet Fuel margins decreased from $31.6/bbl in Q3 2023 to $15.7/bbl in Q3 2024.
Increased Investments and Negative Cash Flow
Despite challenges, Motor Oil maintained its investment strategy:
Capital expenditures (Capex) rose to €298 million in 2024, compared to €246 million in 2023, underscoring its commitment to clean energy and sustainable development.
However, free cash flows turned negative at -€129 million, a stark contrast to the positive €746 million in 2023. Net debt also increased to €1.836 billion from €1.518 billion at the end of 2023, due to higher investments and liquidity pressures.
Extraordinary Refinery Taxation
The company’s tax obligations have been affected by new policies:
In July 2024, Law 5122/2024 introduced a temporary solidarity contribution of 33% on taxable profits exceeding 20% of the average taxable profits for the 2018-2021 period, as defined by EU Regulation 1854/2022.
The Pillar II Global Tax initiative mandates a 15% minimum tax rate for multinational enterprises with annual revenues above €750 million, effective from January 2024. While this affects Motor Oil’s activities in the UAE, Croatia, and Cyprus, the impact is expected to be minimal.
Dividend Distributions
Motor Oil continues its tradition of rewarding shareholders:
For 2023, a total gross dividend of €199.41 million (€1.80 per share) was approved and distributed in two phases.
An interim dividend of €0.30 per share was declared for 2024, payable on January 3, 2025.
Risk Management and Corporate Governance
Amid geopolitical tensions and economic instability, Motor Oil has strengthened its risk management framework:
Three Lines of Defense Model:
Operational units assess and manage risks.
Risk Management and Compliance Units provide oversight and guidance.
The Internal Audit Unit independently evaluates the system’s effectiveness.
Financial risks, including commodity price, currency exchange, and interest rate fluctuations, are managed using financial derivatives.
Additionally, the company remains committed to transitioning to clean energy and sustainable practices, integrating Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria into decision-making processes.
Challenges and Resilience
Motor Oil has faced significant challenges in 2024, including:
Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.
Fluctuations in energy prices and exchange rates.
The decline in Brent crude prices from $87/bbl in Q3 2023 to $80/bbl in Q3 2024.
Recent developments include:
Competition Fine: A €9.2 million fine from the Hellenic Competition Commission, contested by the company.
Fire Incident: A fire on September 17, 2024, reduced refinery capacity to 65-80%. Repairs are underway, with full capacity expected by Q3 2025.
Leadership Changes: Following the passing of Chairman Vardis I. Vardinogiannis, the Board appointed Ioannis V. Vardinogiannis as Chairman and Georgios Prousanidis as Vice Chairman.
Outlook
Motor Oil remains focused on adapting to evolving market conditions, maintaining its resilience and commitment to long-term sustainability and growth. While 2024 has been marked by challenges, the company’s strategic direction and robust risk management frameworks position it for recovery and continued success.
The Risky Strategy of Vassilakis: Aegean’s Profit Decline The Bold but Risky Strategy of Vassilakis: Aegean’s Profit Decline and the Volotea Acquisition
Aegean's nine-month financial results for 2024 confirmed a worrisome trend that had begun to surface on the stock market, revealing a significant deterioration in the company's financials. The 3% drop in revenue and a 23% decline in post-tax profits compared to the same period last year underscore the financial pressure facing the company.
This downward trend is also reflected in Aegean’s stock, which has plummeted by 26.22% over the past six months, showing losses of 13.14% since the start of the year. These developments intensify investor pessimism, with the stock nearing its 52-week low.
Despite these challenges, Aegean made a bold yet potentially risky move by acquiring a 13% stake in Volotea, one of Europe’s top low-cost carriers. This €100 million investment could be seen as Aegean’s attempt to strengthen its position in the European market and increase its international presence. However, given the current negative financial state, the investment appears risky, particularly considering the challenges the company is already facing.
Mr. Vassilakis, Aegean's chairman, continues to pursue investments despite the company’s financial difficulties, a strategy that could lead to further risks. Aegean is facing a decline in efficiency and a serious drop in key financial metrics. Especially concerning is the EBITDA, which dropped by 10%, indicating reduced operational profitability and raising doubts about the long-term viability of this strategy.
The decision to allocate such a large capital amount for an acquisition amid falling profits leaves room for questioning the appropriateness of this move in the current economic climate.
Looking ahead to the year’s end, prospects appear bleak, as the company’s financial trajectory suggests potentially greater losses. The negative growth rate in critical indicators suggests that challenges will persist, casting doubt on the profitability of the Volotea acquisition at this stage.
This acquisition could only be successful if Aegean manages to reverse its negative course and capitalize on its investment in Volotea, but current signs leave little room for optimism. The combination of financial challenges and high acquisition costs may confront Aegean's management with tough decisions.
Key financial results for Aegean for Q3 and the nine months of 2024:
Third Quarter 2024 compared to 2023:
Revenue: €630.8 million (down 3% from €653.6 million in 2023)
EBITDA: €182.3 million (down 20% from €227.9 million in 2023)
Earnings before interest and taxes: €136.1 million (down 27% from €186.2 million in 2023)
Earnings before taxes: €138.8 million (down 18% from €168.8 million in 2023)
Net profit after taxes: €108.3 million (down 19% from €133.6 million in 2023)
Nine Months 2024 compared to 2023:
Revenue: €1,379.9 million (up 4% from €1,331.7 million in 2023)
EBITDA: €329.9 million (down 10% from €367.4 million in 2023)
Earnings before interest and taxes: €199.5 million (down 21% from €253.7 million in 2023)
Earnings before taxes: €170.4 million (down 22% from €217.5 million in 2023)
Net profit after taxes: €132.0 million (down 23% from €170.7 million in 2023)
ELLKTOR’s Strategic Share Buyback: Boosting ConfidenceELLKTOR’s Strategic Share Buyback: Boosting Confidence in Long-Term Value
ELLKTOR has recently taken a decisive step to support its stock, highlighting transparency and reliability. On November 7, 2024, the company purchased 20,000 shares at €1.7222 each, for a total transaction of €34,443.24. This strategic move brings its total share buyback to 40,000 shares, accounting for 0.011% of its total share capital.
Demonstrating Confidence in Underlying Value
The decision underscores management’s belief that the stock is trading well below its intrinsic value, reinforcing ELLKTOR’s image as a company that understands its potential and invests in its growth. This action aims to inspire confidence among shareholders and the broader market.
Approval and Execution
This share buyback program was approved during the Annual General Meeting on June 22, 2023, and ratified by the Board of Directors on September 14, 2023. The transaction was executed through Optima Bank S.A., one of ELLKTOR’s trusted financial partners.
Valuation Insights
ELLKTOR’s assets reflect an attractive valuation of approximately €1.2 billion, suggesting a significant underestimation of its market price. The company boasts cash reserves of €700 million, providing a robust foundation for future growth and financial stability. Additionally, Elector, under the Vardinogiannis family’s control, is valued at €200 million, while concessions like Moreas, the Rio-Antirrio Bridge, Olympia Odos, and Aegean Motorways exceed €200 million in total value.
The company is set to receive €80 million from Attiki Odos, with another €80 million pending from the sale of Aktor. These inflows bolster ELLKTOR’s already solid financial position, emphasizing its substantial intrinsic value.
Stock Performance: A Potential Investment Opportunity
Despite these favorable indicators, ELLKTOR’s stock remains heavily discounted. This misalignment between its market price and true value presents an intriguing investment opportunity. The company’s strategic buyback demonstrates its confidence in future growth, signaling to investors that the current stock price may not reflect its genuine potential.
Shareholder Dynamics and Market Impact
A key reason for ELLKTOR’s exclusion from MSCI indices is the limited stock float due to significant shareholder concentration. Notably, Dutch company REGGEBORGH INVEST B.V. holds 48.155% (167,672,350 shares), MOTOR OIL (HELLAS) S.A. holds 26.882% (93,600,000 shares), and Atlas NV owns 9.798% (34,114,860 shares), leaving only 15.165% in the hands of smaller investors.
Even with its MSCI removal, these major shareholders continue to show strong strategic commitment. This backing could support future stock price movements, especially as market distortions eventually correct themselves.
Looking Ahead
With the release of nine-month financial results on the horizon, analysts and investors will gain a clearer picture of ELLKTOR’s financial performance and potential. The expectation is that the stock will begin to reflect its true value, drawing the investor attention it warrants.
ELLKTOR’s strategic buyback is more than just a corporate maneuver; it’s a testament to the company’s unwavering belief in its future and intrinsic value. As the market recalibrates to recognize these strengths, ELLKTOR stands poised for potential upward momentum, making it an intriguing option for value-focused investors.
Intracom Holdings (INTRK) - Falling Wedge Pattern with Bullish PIntracom Holdings (INTRK) - Falling Wedge Pattern with Bullish Potential
The chart for Intracom Holdings (INTRK) is showing a "Falling Wedge Pattern," typically signaling a potential trend reversal to the upside. This pattern, along with the following technical indicators, supports a bullish outlook:
Falling Wedge Formation: The converging trendlines suggest decreasing downward momentum, forming a possible base.
Bullish RSI Divergence: There's a bullish divergence in the RSI, often indicating weakening bearish strength and a potential reversal.
Breakout Opportunity: If the price breaks above the upper wedge line with increased volume, a strong upward movement could follow.
Target: A successful breakout from the Falling Wedge could push the price toward the 4 EUR level, as indicated by the yellow projection line on the chart.
HELLENiQ ENERGY: Warnings and a negative Scenario HELLENiQ ENERGY is at a critical turning point, as its stock has shown a concerning trend over the past few months, with future prospects looking bleak. This issue was highlighted in previous analyses, such as the one from Goldman Sachs in August, which warned of a looming decline. Now, a new analysis from Morgan Stanley confirms and expands these concerns, lowering the target price and reinforcing the negative outlook for the company.
The negative Scenario of €4.5
According to Morgan Stanley's recent report, HELLENiQ ENERGY faces serious challenges, with analysts predicting a worst-case scenario where the stock price could drop to €4.5. This extremely negative forecast is based on reduced refining margins and unfavorable macroeconomic conditions affecting the fuel market. Specifically, declining commodity prices and increased capital costs are creating significant problems for the company, which seems unable to meet market demands.
Morgan Stanley's analysis specifically highlights the Q3 financial results, predicting consolidated EBITDA to reach €158 million, compared to €179 million in Q2. This decline, along with a solidarity tax of €173 million, leads to net losses of €144 million, painting a worrying picture for the company's future profitability.
Goldman Sachs' Warning in August: Who Listened Then?
This is not the first time analysts have warned about HELLENiQ ENERGY’s poor performance. As early as August, Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock, recommending a sale and setting a target price of €7.7. In our August 30 article, we highlighted the management’s inability to effectively handle the challenges facing the company. We warned back then about management’s weaknesses and lack of strategic planning, but few heeded our alerts.
Today, these concerns are being dramatically confirmed. The poor handling of investments, such as the one in Elpedison, which has not yielded a single euro in dividends despite a €500 million investment, is a prime example of the company’s inability to diversify and develop profitable activities.
Internal Revelations: Lack of Strategic Planning
Concerns over the management of HELLENiQ ENERGY deepened further after comments from the CEO during a recent general assembly. The CEO publicly admitted the lack of clarity in the company’s strategic direction, reinforcing the perception of leadership unable to guide the company through a tough market. These remarks, which were overheard due to a power outage leaving microphones open, underscore the vagueness and indecisiveness of the leadership.
The fact that the investment in Elpedison has not delivered expected returns raises additional concerns about the company’s long-term strategy. The lack of clear objectives and inconsistencies in investment choices confirm the reservations of minor shareholders, who question whether the current leadership can improve the company’s performance.
Market Challenges and Lack of Leadership
HELLENiQ ENERGY’s volatile stock performance is not solely due to external pressures, such as reduced refining profit margins or fluctuations in fuel prices. Many investors believe that management’s inability to quickly adapt and make decisions that would enhance the company’s competitiveness is a major cause of the stock’s decline.
The company continues to face issues in the petrochemical sector, despite some positive developments in the Renewable Energy sector. Even the positive cash flows are not enough to reassure markets, as increased capital costs and a lack of vision in strategic planning create a negative atmosphere around the company.
Minor Shareholders' Reaction and the Risks of a Decline
Minor shareholders are in a difficult position, seeing the stock price fall and uncertainty increase. The recent Goldman Sachs evaluation, recommending the sale of the stock, confirms their fears about the company’s poor performance. The lack of transparency and ambiguities in the management’s statements only worsen the uncertainty and intensify pressures on the stock.
The situation demands careful monitoring from minor shareholders, who may need to reassess their investment strategy, considering the negative forecasts and the lack of confidence in the company’s leadership.
A Bleak Outlook for HELLENiQ ENERGY
HELLENiQ ENERGY faces serious challenges that threaten its long-term viability. The lack of strategic direction, problems in investments, and increased market pressures create a grim outlook for the company’s stock. Morgan Stanley’s negative assessment reinforces earlier warnings from Goldman Sachs.
If the company does not make immediate changes and develop a clear and realistic strategic plan, its prospects remain bleak. Minor shareholders have every reason to be concerned, as the downward trend appears to be continuing, validating those who previously warned of the need for decisive change in the management and strategic direction of HELLENiQ ENERGY.
INTRALOT S.A. (INLOT) - Weekly Chart: Cup and Handle Pattern ForINTRALOT S.A. (INLOT) - Weekly Chart: Cup and Handle Pattern Formation
This chart showcases a classic Cup and Handle pattern forming on the weekly timeframe for Intralot S.A. (INLOT). The price successfully tested the resistance zone between €1.20 and €1.30, but is currently retracing to the support area around €1.06. A further pullback towards the €0.85-€0.90 range is possible if the correction deepens. However, a strong breakout above the current resistance could trigger a bullish continuation towards the €1.60+ levels, aligning with the pattern’s projected target. The yellow highlighted area marks key support and resistance zones, while the red zone shows potential downside risks if the pullback extends.
INLOTAnalysis:
Cup and Handle Formation:
The chart displays a rounded formation resembling a cup, starting around mid-2017 and completing in mid-2023. The "handle" seems to be forming in 2024.
This pattern is common in technical analysis and can signal a continuation of the upward trend if the handle breaks out to the upside.
Key Levels:
There’s a marked resistance level around €1.35, which has been tested several times.
A crucial support zone is seen near €0.85 to €1. If this breaks, the chart indicates a possible drop to lower levels.
Potential Targets:
The yellow arrow indicates a bullish outlook, where a breakout above the €1.35 resistance could potentially lead to a rally towards the €2.50 region. This projection is based on the height of the "cup."
Conversely, a breakdown below the support zone could lead to a significant decline.
Risk and Reward Zones:
The red and green shaded areas on the right side of the chart outline possible risk and reward zones, with the red area representing the downside risk and the green area indicating the potential upside if the price breaks out.
Suggested TradingView Description:
The Intralot (INLOT) chart showcases a classic "Cup and Handle" formation, indicating a potential bullish breakout with a target near €2.50 if the €1.35 resistance is cleared. However, the support zone around €0.85 - €1 needs to hold to avoid a downside move. Monitoring the handle formation for breakout confirmation.