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IS THE BOTTOM CONFIRMED?? XIAOMIXiaomi after the stock plummet almost 70% from the all-time high due to the debt crisis in china back in 2021. I personally expect some kind of bounce back from this level and if the coming earning report turn positive the bounce will be massive Along with the bounce of other Chinese stocks like BABA,DIDI,NIO,XPENG. in My opinion Xiaomi will do the same... But advisedly, enter with the small position first because the stock is in the downtrend. **Not financial advice**
HKEX:1810Long
by aryoTraderX
Forward looking telco player Read latest article here We have heard quite a fair bit about the upcoming 5G technology and how it is going to help us in terms of fast downloading , thus saving time,etc. We are now living in a connected world where speed truly matters. More storage space, faster downloading, clearer image, etc. We want it and and we want it now. That's the stressful part of instant gratification. It becomes like a vicious cycle where customers demand faster turnaround and suppliers are competing with one another to churn out the next high speed device to counteract with its competition. According to techrepublic.com, the top 3 countries with the most 5G networks are South Korea with 85 cities, China with 57 cities and US with 50 cities. I believe the next decade we are going to witness a vast improvement in our communication and information sending and receiving. The more advanced this technology becomes, the more I wonder if bricks and mortar business will have its footings , one decade from now ? How will the economy be like ?
HKEX:728Long
by dchua1969
Be greedy when others are fearfulIf this last line of defence is also taken out by this week, then we can see the price possibly heading further south towards 120 level (though I think is quite unlikely). From its peak at 453.70, we have witnessed how this stock tumbled down almost 60% to its current price of 194. Please do not ask me should you sell or buy as I do not know your objectives nor strategy. As a long term investor, I am thrilled for 2 reasons. One, the central government moves seen by many global investors as a hard hit is really not in the eyes of the middle income people in China. The severe downfall of the Education sector was a crude wake up call to many other players who wondered when will the next industry be hit ? So , panic selling and fearmongers are spreading rumours to encourage weak hearted traders to let go of their shares. Of course, the weak companies will suffer as we see these tuition operators that make millions and billions are now worth much lesser of its valuations than its glory days. The entire business model - from profit to non-profit will affect the share price drastically! However, the fundamentally strong companies , like Meituan will be able to withstand though it also has its fair share of whipping from the government. A more fairer wage model was proposed for the deliverymen, one that created millions of jobs including in the rural areas. The central government does not want capital growth at the expense of its people. We know how tough the job of these deliverymen are. So. let the selling pressure quiets down a bit more and I will be watching like a hawk to average down. Do not copy my model if you are not sure what you are doing. Speak to your Adviser and get professional advice.
HKEX:3690
by dchua1969
XPENG -updateXPENG (9868) plunged last week and reached the HKD87.6 support that we talked about last week. It then craved a lower low before settling at HKD102.60 on Friday. With the latest price action, a close above HKD115.90 could trigger a near term rebound towards the HKD143 resistance. Bear in mind, price action as been creating lower lows and lower highs since Dec 2021, hence any rebound could be limited with traders are trading with the wind on their faces. Hence a close below HKD100 psychological support could provide short selling opportunity with a retest of HKD71.80 support or beyond.
HKEX:9868
by Boring_Trader
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HKEX:700
by Sunstorminvest
Rainy weather , best to eat steamboat with family !The weather has been raining for the past few days here in SG and we were told that this pattern might continue ........ And to many Chinese, they love to eat steamboat ! And one popular restaurant serving steamboat that offers excellent customer service and wide variety of food is Haidilao. If you have been to any of their outlets here , it is not surprising to queue for more than a hour before you can get a table. Of course now they are affected by the COvid and how many patrons allowed per table. Hopefully, with the vaccination rates going up and eventually economy picking up, more people will return to the norm and go eat their favourite steamboat ! The chart shows a double bottom pattern within the channel but I am not nibbling prematurely as it could possibly have another leg down. So, I will wait patiently for it to breakout first .........
HKEX:6862
by dchua1969
XIAOMI.....At the end of the down-trend?Hello Traders, XIAOMI, the Chinese smartphone maker, is showing weakness since weeks. The stock has fallen down to 12,74 HK$, and it seems there is no „tomorrow“ for XIAOMI! But, is this the truth? Let's check the stock. Arguing that the rise from 8,28 to 35,90 HK$ was a complete impulsive move, the correction is a wave 2 of „intermediate degree“! That means, most of the gains have blown away, and the bears took control of the stock. Sentiment is so negative against XIAOMI (and most of Chinese stocks), that it is hard to believe it could get better. But that is often the key to rising price for stocks. The advance from the low @ 8,28 – 35,90 HK$ took 495 days; the decline is now at 425 days, with the low @ 12,74 HK$! Note the open gap-down left from March 3-4: This could be an „exhausting-gap“, that only appears at the end of a trend. So, if this gap should be closed, and the low @ 12,74 is valid, the trend could have changed to the upside! But this call is a „is a tender flower“! Means, watch the low with Argus-eyes. A break of this low should have tremendous impact on the stock! But let's get positive! If this gap should be closed, the next short-term target is @15 HK$ and above up to 16,50-17,58 HK$! But this could be a hard way to go. So, I will try to update the chart in the coming 1-2 weeks and hopefully the stock is performing well positive! Have a great Sunday..... Ruebennase Feel free to ask or comment! Trading this analysis is at your own risk!
HKEX:1810
by ruebennase
XPENG -updateXPENG (9868) plunged and hit first downside objective HKD103.4, as anticipated last week. As price action showing lower lows and lower highs since January 2022, EMA10-EMA20 and MACD showing bearish crossovers, there is a possibility of Xpeng reaching HKD87.6 support. This level is Fibonacci Extension 1.618 levels, derived from high of HKD161.8 and low of HKD115.9. In contrasts, a daily close above HKD143 provide short term relief rally with upside resistance seen at HKD161.8 and HKD177.3.
HKEX:9868
by Boring_Trader
Is the Evergrande crisis over?The looming collapse of China Evergrande Group (HKG:3333), the world’s most indebted property developer, has roiled financial markets for months, threatening a contagion with far-reaching implications on China and the wider economy. In the early months since Evergrande’s financial crisis came to light, Beijing stayed mum on the issue, although the People’s Bank of China pumped billions of yuan in liquidity in what was seen as an attempt to quell liquidity concerns. Over this time, Evergrande’s stock price slipped 95%, from ~25HKD to ~1.5HKD, where it has stagnated for all of 2022. Evergrande’s massive debt pileup Evergrande, once China’s second-largest real estate developer, is drowning in more than $300 billion in debts to suppliers, contractors, creditors and investors. The company’s crisis partly stemmed from the introduction of Beijing’s "three red lines" rule in 2020 that made it harder for developers to seek bank financing to fund their projects. Another Lehman Brothers moment The large exposure of Chinese banks like Minsheng Bank, Ping An Bank and Everbright Bank to Evergrande prompted many financial watchers to predict that Evergrande's debt crisis could extend beyond China’s property and financial markets, warning that it could spill over to the global markets similar to the Lehman Brothers collapse that resulted in the 2008 global financial crisis. These fears intensified as Evergrande missed payments on a number of onshore bonds. The world’s three major credit rating agencies have already declared the developer to be in default after missing on its bond interest payments late last year. However, some analysts have played down concerns of Evergrande being the next “Lehman moment,” as they expect Beijing’s policymakers to prevent the crisis from being a systemic risk. Beijing steps in to limit fallout To minimize the potential impact of Evergrande’s looming collapse, Beijing has stepped up its efforts, but without a state-led bailout in sight. Back in October, the Chinese central bank said the risk of Evergrande’s liabilities spilling over to the country’s financial sector is "controllable,” while confirming reports that relevant government agencies and local governments have been carrying out risk disposal and resolution work to mitigate a potential contagion. In recent weeks, a number of news outlets reported that some banks in China have lowered mortgage rates, offered subsidies and allowed developers to access their funds on escrow in an attempt to revive the housing market. Beijing also started urging state-owned developers to acquire some projects of troubled builders to help ease the sector’s liquidity crunch. Fitch Ratings recently said Chinese developers are poised to see more small-scale mergers and acquisitions and the impact on buyers’ leverage are predicted to be small "as they select projects with promising returns." Light at the end of the tunnel It may take months or years for the property sector to recover as developers continue to struggle with a cash crunch that prevents them from meeting their debt obligations. However, with Beijing’s subtle approach in reviving the property market, Evergrande’s recovery may be drawing near. In February, new home prices in 100 cities in China rose for the first time in two months, further recovering from the slump in November when prices contracted for the first time since 2015. Policy reforms could encourage home-buying this year as the government included the healthy development of the real estate sector in its government work report unveiled by Premier Li Keqiang over the weekend. Li said authorities will seek to promote the commercial housing market and stabilize house prices this year. Foreign investors that purchase bonds and other securities from Chinese builders should closely monitor developments surrounding Beijing’s policies for the sector.
HKEX:3333
by BlackBull_Markets
XPENGXPENG (9868) price action favors the short sellers. This because EMA10-EMA20 and MACD showing deadly crosses, a bearish sign. In addition, it also forms higher highs and higher lows since Dec 2021. Hence it is likely to further extend its downtrend and present short selling opportunities once HKD115.9 level broke thru. First downside objective is HKD103.4 while second downside objective is HKD87.6. Both levels are Fibonacci Extension 1.272 and 1.618 levels respectively, derived from high of HKD161.8 and low of HKD115.9. In contrasts, a daily close above HKD143 provide short term relief rally with upside resistance seen at HKD161.8 and HKD177.3.
HKEX:9868
by Boring_Trader