Future of Tencent ?Yes like many investors, I too did not like what I had read thus far about Tencent and it subsidiaries. Article here
Will it follow the fate of Baba where share price plunged more than 30% from its peak ?
I suspect more volatility ahead for HK and China Tech companies and movement in Nasdaq could also have an impact on its share price. Now with the 1400 stimulus in the hands of the US citizens, would this 100 over billion dollars be pour into the market ?
If yes, then we could potentially see a spike up soon and high tide rises all vessels and that would help the HK and China shares as well.
So, for those who bought at a high price and feel you do not want to stomach further risks, then you may want to cut loss and buy back when it is cheaper. I own Tencent along with many other companies with some in the red as I bought at higher prices but overall portfolio still in the green.
I am also taking partial profits for some stocks that have gone up quite a fair bit over the last 2 months. My short term trades have not been too good as well leading to some losses. So, I am taking a short break from trading and focusing on reviewing my portfolio.
I could be taking some short positions to take advantage of the market volatility and I would post soon if I encounter any interesting company.
Till then, stay safe, always use a stop loss, allocate proper capital and understand that market does not move in a linear fashion but series of ups and downs. It is what you do with your mind during this downtime that sustain you to go forward. For Tencent and Baba which I owned both companies, I find their business model are still intact and thus the recent selldown would be a good opportunity for me to accumulate its shares. But that is imo and I do not represent the majority so take a pinch of what I do and do your own due diligence.
Using triangle patterns to tradeIf you dislike using fraction to do your charts as I have shown here , how about the world of shapes ?
One of the most common methods that traders used is triangle shapes pattern in charting.
So, in Haitong Securities, we can see that it has been on a down trend since it hit 27 in Apr 2015.
Now, it is reaching the apex of the triangle and you can see the price range that it is trading each day is also getting tighter and narrower.
OK, think of the price action as a spring coil trapped inside this triangle container! As it is being squeezed towards the end, it gets tighter and it has to breakout. The question is UP or down ?
Why stressed yourself to answer the question now when it is still far away from the apex ? Wait and wait some more.
Now, must it reach the apex of the triangle before it breaks out ? Of course not! Again, like fractions, using shapes like triangle patterns is a GUIDE not a certainty. It jolly well can break out today, tomorrow with a parabolic 90 degree. See the 3 orange circles!
Also, note, each time , the spikes get shorter and shorter as it comes closer to the apex of the triangle (being squeezed inside).
So, when friends asked you , can I buy Haitong Securities ? What do you say ?
Wait - that's my answer ( of coz yours can differ).
Why wait ?
Well, based on charts (not considering company fundamentals and other economic reasons), it has yet to break out of the triangle or break down the support line at 6.39. Since I am not keen to short stocks , that means I am buying only. And now would not be a good timing to go long.
So, does that mean we must wait till 2022 for the answer? Well, it is a GUIDE. It can be shorter or takes longer than that for the breakout. So, buying now will carry higher risks since you are paying at a higher price.
And is this triangle patterns in charting more powerful than fractions ? That is for you to decide....
GEELY AUTO NEXT MOVEAn unknown friend asked me to put a chart on 'GEELY AUTO'
I can read any chart using NEO wave technique and able to plot the next move with timing.
Most important is I refuse to use any indicators rather HATE all kind of nonsense which will not give you any FORECAST.
ENJOY trade well
SELVAM.B.
Engineer ,,Trader,,,Analyst
Eyeing up BYD againOne of my favourite stocks, BYD, has corrected quite sharply due to a pullback in China stocks due to stimulus ending - over 40% from the top. I believe we are forming at least an interim bottom and now's a good time to add to the position. BYD is a profitable electric car company with huge potential which is still valued far less than the likes of TESLA. It should continue to ride the EV wave as soon as the correction in Chinese stocks are finished. Unless of course, the wider market experiences a correction.