Review and plan for 29th April 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results analysis.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
KFin Technologies LtdCompany Snapshot:
Sector: Financial Services (Mutual Fund Services, RTA)
Market Cap: ₹21,000 Cr
Current Price: ₹1,239.20
Debt-to-Equity: 0.06 (very low)
ROE: 39% | ROCE: 49%
Financial Highlights:
Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): ~22%
Profit Growth (3Y CAGR): ~32%
EBITDA Margin: ~48%
P/E Ratio: ~35x (TTM)
Industry Avg P/E: ~30-32x
Recent Price Action:
Stock broke out sharply in April 2025.
Support: ₹1,180 | Resistance: ₹1,300
RSI near 70 (mildly overbought, but momentum strong).
Key Strengths:
Dominant RTA player with 70%+ MF asset share.
Consistent cash flows and expanding international footprint.
High operating leverage driving margin expansion.
Key Risks:
Regulatory changes (SEBI reforms) could pressure fees.
High client concentration risk with top AMCs.
Valuation & Recommendation:
DCF Estimated Fair Value: ₹1,280–₹1,350
Recommendation: BUY on Dips / Accumulate
12-month Target Price: ₹1,320
Investment Horizon: 1–2 years
📈 Verdict: Strong business fundamentals, steady growth, and low debt make KFin Technologies attractive for long-term investors. Minor corrections can offer better entry points.
For Education Purposes only
[TechnoFunda]IDFC FIRST BANK – DEEP DIVE INTO MULTI-YEAR SUPPORTTECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Ascending broadening channel structure
– Since the Aug-20 low (~₹15) price has traced a steady up-sloping trendline, touching in Mar-21, Feb-22 and now Apr-25
– Parallel resistance capped rallies in Feb-18 and Sep-23, defining a ~₹80–100 supply zone
– Channel slope averages ~30% annualized gains from support to resistance
EMA confluence and momentum
– April formed a bullish engulfing candle that closed above the 50 EMA (₹63.8), signalling renewed buyer conviction
Elliott-style wave count
– Wave 1: Aug-20 to Feb-23 advance into channel top (₹100)
– Wave 2: Feb-23 to Apr-25 retrace back to support/200 EMA (₹55)
– Wave 3 (projected): expected to carry price toward channel top again, targeting ₹95–100
Measured-move & targets
– Channel height (~₹85–15 = ₹70) added to support gives a potential target near ₹125 – bullish scenario only on a clean break above channel resistance
– Shorter-term target zone: ₹75 (minor swing highs) → ₹85 (channel midline)
Risk management
– Invalidation: monthly close below ₹55 erodes the uptrend and negates wave-count
– Use a stop 1.5× ATR below the Apr-25 low (₹50) for defined risk
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
Revenue & earnings trajectory
– Quarterly revenue up from ~₹40 B in 2020 to ₹113 B in Q1 ’25, reflecting strong loan book growth and fee income diversification
– Net income swung from losses in 2018–19 to a peak of ~₹12 B in 2023, and stays positive at ₹3 B in the latest quarter
Asset-quality improvement
– GNPA ratio down from ~2.2% in 2020 to ~1.3% in Q1 ’25; PCR steadily rising above 75%
– Slippages have trended lower quarter-on-quarter, supporting margin stability
Margin & capital metrics
– Net interest margin at ~4.2%, above industry average, driven by retail and SME lending
– CET-1 ratio comfortably above 13% with Tier-1 capital buffer, enabling healthy credit growth
Valuation & catalysts
– Trades at ~0.4× book value and 10× trailing P/E vs sector averages of 1.5× and 15× respectively
– Potential rerating catalysts: continued NIM expansion, sustained reduction in credit cost, digital customer growth
MACRO & SENTIMENT CONTEXT:
- RBI rate cycle poised for cuts in H2 ’25, which could support credit demand
- Bank Nifty outperforming broader markets; institutional flows have rotated into midcap banks
- Relative strength vs Nifty: RSI on a monthly sits near 50, rising from oversold – room to run before overbought
TRADING PLAN:
- Enter partial long near current price (₹66–70)
- Add on break above ₹75 with conviction
- Targets: ₹75 → ₹85 → ₹95–100 (channel top)
- Stop-loss: ₹50–55 zone (monthly close basis)
- Trail stops above each new swing low to lock in profits as price advances
HDFC BANK 1M HDFC Bank appears to be forming a double bottom pattern, indicating the potential for a breakout above the ₹2,200 level in the future.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in the stock market involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with a certified financial advisor or conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Stock market investments are subject to market risks; read all related documents carefully.
Reliance: Shattered the previous resistance of 1310Reliance: Shattered the previous resistance of 1310.
Closed above 200 SMA ,a big positive .
Already in a Buy trajectory.
MACD is fantastic
Next resistance levels are visible on the Screen.( Red bands)
( Not a Buy / Sell Recommendation
Do your own due diligence ,Market is subject to risks, This is my own view and for learning only .)
Automotive Stampings Breaks Out: Analysts See Bright Upside AheaAutomotive Stampings Breaks Out: Analysts See Bright Upside Ahead Automotive Stampings Breaks Out: Analysts See Bright Upside AheadAutomotive Stampings Breaks Out: Analysts See Bright Upside AheadAutomotive Stampings Breaks Out: Analysts See Bright Upside AheadAutomotive Stampings Breaks Out: Analysts See Bright Upside AheadAutomotive Stampings Breaks Out: Analysts See Bright Upside AheadAutomotive Stampings Breaks Out: Analysts See Bright Upside Ahead
titan up side titan up side
Current Price: ₹3,365.20 (as of April 25, 2025).
Average Target Price: ₹3,859.14, indicating an upside potential of 14.68%.
Broker Recommendations: Multiple analysts have given buy ratings, with target prices ranging from ₹3,689.71 to ₹4,300.
Recent Performance: Titan has shown steady revenue growth, particularly in its jewelry segment, driven by festive demand and higher gold price
IT Stock Wipro Ltd. trading near good SupportSince 2001, Wipro Ltd has been moving within a three-part divided parallel channel. The monthly chart highlights a major polarity zone, suggesting that the stock is currently near a significant support level. On the daily timeframe, Wipro is also forming a rising wedge pattern, with the price hovering around another strong support zone.
INFY - Infosys Ltd (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionINFY - Infosys Ltd (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.83
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 1480
Entry limit ~ 1455 to 1435 (Avg. - 1445) on April 28, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 1485 (+2.77%; +40 points)
2. Target limit ~ 1530 (+5.88%; +85 points)
Stop order limit ~ 1415 (-2.08%; -30 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Tejas Networks Ltd – A Golden Opportunity After 57% Correction! 📖 Detailed Description & Analysis:
Tejas Networks, a leader in the telecom and network solutions space, witnessed a major correction of around 57% from its all-time high of ₹1,495, recently hitting a low of ₹650.
After sweeping the monthly low (a strong technical sign of liquidity grab), the stock created a higher high formation on the chart — a clear indication that buyers are stepping back in.
However, today, due to Q4 results, the stock dropped sharply by around 10.5%, now trading near ₹770.
👉 Important: Such results-driven drops are often short-lived if the overall technical structure is strong — and here, it is offering a golden buying opportunity for those who understand price action deeply.
Stock Overview:
All-Time High: ₹1,495
Recent Low: ₹650
Correction from Top: ~57%
📍 Entry Strategy:
Best Buying Zone: ₹689 – ₹645 (Ideal for better Risk-Reward)
Aggressive Players: Can start partial buying at current levels (around ₹770) with a proper stop-loss.
🛡️ Stop-Loss:
If price closes below the recent low (₹650) — exit the trade.
(This would mean price creating a fresh new low.)
🎯 Profit Targets:
Target 1: ₹870
Target 2: ₹975
Target 3: ₹1,150
👉 Short-term to Medium-term positional players can look to ride the move with partial profit booking at each target!
📈 Technical Highlights:
✅ Strong Higher High formation after major correction
✅ Tapped and bounced from the monthly demand zone
✅ Risk-Reward setup looking extremely favorable
✅ The 10% drop is not structural weakness — but a temporary reaction to earnings.
📢 Don’t Miss Out!
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👍 Drop a like if you found this helpful and leave a comment with your thoughts!
💬 Let’s chat in the comment section. See you there! 🚀📊
Thanks for your support! 🙏
⚡ Key Reminder:
Always use proper position sizing and risk management. No trade is guaranteed — but following the right setups consistently gives you the winning edge! 🧠💥
we are waiitng for long on wipro at 200 level we can go long if we got entry @200 level in wipro
with stoploss of 170 level
buy side entry only @200 level
stoploss 170
1st target - 320
2nd target - 500+
note: do not entry on cmp because our stoploss will be bigger here and target will be small so we must have to wait for best entry on 200 level
bergerpaint we can go long on cmp 547/500 rangewe can go long bergrepaint cmp 547/500 range for the 1st imp target 680
one it hold 680 level we can see new high and next big target 1600++
because the abv 680 zone its ready break the 4 year of consolidation range so keep eye on this stock for the long term holding only
go long cmp 547-500
stoploss on 430
1st target on 680
2nd target - 1600+ ( once it break the 4 year of range break out then only our 2nd target we can plan)
MARUTI | LONG | SWINGMARUTI looks like it is bottoming out.
Today it gapped down massively but the first hour candle has closed quite bullish.
Notice the clear Inverted H&S pattern formation setting up on the 1 Hr chart. This actually firms my bias on the upside.
I've taken Long swing position on MARUTI and plan to hold it for the next couple of weeks max.
TGT - 12,375 level
SL - Bearish close below 11,491
PS - Not a recommendation. Pls due your own due diligence.
VOLTAS LTDElectrical, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning, plumbing, firefighting, additional low voltages, and specialised services are all included in the Electro-Mechanical Projects and Services section. Mining and construction equipment, as well as textile machines, are included in the Engineering Products and Services sector. The Unitary Cooling Products for Comfort and Commercial Use division manufactures, markets, and provides after-sales services for cold storage and cooling equipment.
I saw that it has corrected by about 35–40% from its peak, and I believe it is now available at this favourable price. It can be accumulated with the SL 1245-40 above 1287 as a positional base. I believe that after it reaches the 1287 level, it might attempt to reach 1360, 1450, or 1520.
This is only for educational purposes; before making any investments, consult with your advisor.